Amaral and the dogs

[Mr Gray]

Bump for an answer...or opinion. Anyone good at maths?

There are simply too many unknowns to make any sort of accurate prediction...fact


I would say that given the amount of information we have on the case we can make a fairly good estimate on whether maddie was abducted...I would say 90% plus

[ferryman]

IIRC his personal profile mentioned over 200 case searches. The operative word beng searches, not cases.
You are still calling him a liar as he has, in one of his reports stated that whilst a serving police officer working for South Yorkshire police, he undertook the search in PDL. That does not mean freelance.
Eddie was not trained for and did not alert to fruit or vegetables..and if you like, per se
Have you watched Lenny Harper's video interview on the subject?

You recall incorrectly.

Grime makes two separate references, one where he says cases; the other where he says case searches.

[/list]

[Alice Purjorick]

all this proves nothing applicable to the alerts...we all know dog's are excellent at finding evidence...that can be evaluated. what we don't know is how reliable the alerts are. It is claimed that eddie has never given a false alert...that is absolute BS and I don't believe Grime ever said that

I said the stuff about Matthew Zarella's trials was worth reading.
You reply with a load of blx that has no bearing on my post.

[mercury]

Well, it appears to be a case of, there is no chance that Eddie could have alerted to remnant dead body scent, for whch he was trained,  in the only apartment a person is missing from, and  to support that belief, a professional and seasoned police officer/dog handler has to be libelled with lies, half truths, twisted facts and insinuations

A little crazy/illogical

[mercury]

There are simply too many unknowns to make any sort of accurate prediction...fact


I would say that given the amount of information we have on the case we can make a fairly good estimate on whether maddie was abducted...I would say 90% plus

I wasn't asking anyone  to be a fortune teller but do the math, and like Ferryman, I suggest you reread the original question which was not what you are probably imagning it to be.

Your second paragraph is irrelevant to the question I asked

[mercury]

You recall incorrectly.

Grime makes two separate references, one where he says case searches; the other where he says case searches; the other where he says cases.

[/list]

That's three

Why don't you just accept it is highly probable he meant individual searches rather than cases whch would mean he lied, but I suppose that doesn't suit?

[stephen25000]

There are simply too many unknowns to make any sort of accurate prediction...fact


I would say that given the amount of information we have on the case we can make a fairly good estimate on whether maddie was abducted...I would say 90% plus

Oh dear, he we go again.

90% plus  *&*%£

I can say with 100% certainty, you made that up.

[Mr Gray]

I wasn't asking anyone  to be a fortune teller but do the math, and like Ferryman, I suggest you reread the original question which was not what you are probably imagning it to be.

Your second paragraph is irrelevant to the question I asked

well guess what...in my second paragraph I asked a question...do you imagine you are the only person able to ask a question

[ferryman]

That's three

Why don't you just accept it is highly probable he meant individual searches rather than cases whch would mean he lied, but I suppose that doesn't suit?

I couldn't get the layout of the post right.

Here is where Grime says operational deployment and over 200 cases

http://mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/VOLUME_IXprocesso_2265.jpg

The true number is operational deployment and 37 cases.[/list]

[Anna]

Can we please get back on the track, of the thread topic. Thanks

[ferryman]

Why do I keep getting

at the end of each post?

[mercury]

well guess what...in my second paragraph I asked a question...do you imagine you are the only person able to ask a question

Are you eating mushrooms perchance? There was no question in your second (irrelevant) paragraph.
If you cannot answer my original question, just say so

[Mr Gray]

I wasn't asking anyone  to be a fortune teller but do the math, and like Ferryman, I suggest you reread the original question which was not what you are probably imagning it to be.

Your second paragraph is irrelevant to the question I asked

this is the original question...

What are the probabilities that the only apartment (from where a missing child went missing) in amongst seven, contained  any one or all of the myriad of "living scents" (bypassing the sausages and bacon for now) to which the dogs alerted?

Pretty unlucky don't you think?

my answer is the same...not enough information to compute...as you asked if someone who is good at maths could work it out you obviously can't your self

[Mr Gray]

Are you eating mushrooms perchance? There was no question in your second (irrelevant) paragraph.
If you cannot answer my original question, just say so

I've answered your original question twice...

third time...not enough information

[mercury]

I couldn't get the layout of the post right.

Here is where Grime says operational deployment and over 200 cases

http://mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/VOLUME_IXprocesso_2265.jpg

The true number is operational deployment and 37 cases.[/list]

And here he talks of case searches, now which one do you think is the more likely seeing as it is on record Eddie was involved in 37 cases?


http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P9/09_VOLUME_IXa_Page_2481.jpg

Edited to correct link