There is proof, men were seen watching the balcony of 5a, a child saw a man when she was walking to the bus stop for the school bus, in the alleyway by 5a he was staring up at the balcony, again when she was walking home he was there staring up at the balcony. He had a pencil in his pocket, more than likely writing down when they left and returned. There were a pile of cigarette buts on the balcony of a vacant apartment opposite the McCann's, they just cleared them away when they could have found DNA on them.
You can't produce odds as many of these abductions are random, wrong place wrong time, just like the McCann's. In the case of the child taken from her bath, man passing seeing child in bath alone takes child, how can you work out that happening again and again and again? IMO
Would you be kind enough to refresh my memory? I can remember a child who took notice of 5A because a relative had lived there previously, but I can't recall her name. Is that the one? Can you remember her name?
The balcony on block 6 was ideally suited to viewing the media circus that deployed on 4 May 2007. So IF the butts actually existed, it would be necessary to clarify when they were deposited.