Author Topic: So what actual searching was there?  (Read 411108 times)

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Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2100 on: June 18, 2016, 09:43:32 PM »
If I am giving accurate figures yes, assuming a Binomial Distribution is an appropriate model and your two people are telling the truth.

However, the sample size might shift any calculation to another statistical test such as a Poisson or Normal Distribution.

I feel sure your training in Stats will help on that.

see my post above...how would a binomial distribution be relevant

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2101 on: June 18, 2016, 09:47:44 PM »
how would you plot your binomial distribution when there is only one variable...I'm all ears

stephen25000

  • Guest
Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2102 on: June 18, 2016, 09:48:03 PM »
see my post above...how would a binomial distribution be relevant

2 outcomes Dave.

People either did or did not leave children in unlocked accomodation.

Fixed number of trials.

So could be a BD.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2103 on: June 18, 2016, 09:49:32 PM »
2 outcomes Dave.

People either did or did not leave children in unlocked accomodation.

Fixed number of trials.

So could be a BD.
no....people did or did not leave their children...one variable...how do you plot  a binomial distrubution


stephen seems to have left the building
« Last Edit: June 18, 2016, 09:52:23 PM by davel »

stephen25000

  • Guest
Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2104 on: June 18, 2016, 09:54:33 PM »
no....people did or did not leave their children...one variable...how do you plot  a binomial distrubution

Incorrect.

You do not 'plot' a BD.

It is a statistical test based on two outcomes, in this case people  leaving or not leaving children in unlocked accommodation.

Together with a fixed number of trials.

You should know that already, as well as the alternatives.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2105 on: June 18, 2016, 09:56:08 PM »
Incorrect.

You do not 'plot' a BD.

It is a statistical test based on two outcomes, in this case people are leaving or not leaving children in unlocked accommodation.

Together with a fixed number of trials.

You should know that already, as well as the alternatives.

a binomial  distribution is  a graph and is plotted...it requires two variables to plot  a graph

do not lecture me about statistics when you do not realise a binomial has two variables that can be plotted as a graph to give the representative bell shape...


as regards how many people have left children in a baby listening enviroment...that cannot be plotted as a graph as there is only one variable

looks like stephen has screwed up statistically speaking
« Last Edit: June 18, 2016, 10:09:25 PM by davel »

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2106 on: June 18, 2016, 10:11:03 PM »
As I remember Carly's parents left her in a hotel room...so we are now up to three in this relatively small sample

stephen25000

  • Guest
Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2107 on: June 18, 2016, 10:29:56 PM »
a binomial  distribution is  a graph and is plotted...it requires two variables to plot  a graph

do not lecture me about statistics when you do not realise a binomial has two variables that can be plotted as a graph to give the representative bell shape...


as regards how many people have left children in a baby listening enviroment...that cannot be plotted as a graph as there is only one variable

looks like stephen has screwed up statistically speaking

You still don't understand.

2 events , success or failure .

In this case leaving or not leaving children in unlocked accommodation.

Stephen has not screwed up.


Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2108 on: June 18, 2016, 10:32:19 PM »
You still don't understand.

2 events , success or failure .

In this case leaving or not leaving children in unlocked accommodation.

Stephen has not screwed up.

one event with two outcomes...it is you who does not understand...stephen has screwed up


stephen25000

  • Guest
Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2109 on: June 18, 2016, 10:33:15 PM »
one event with two outcomes...it is you who does not understand...stephen has screwed up

You don't understand BD.

As I thought.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2110 on: June 18, 2016, 10:36:28 PM »
You don't understand BD.

As I thought.

you dont and anyone reading this who understands statistics will know...a BD requires two varaibles...here we only have one...you could plot the age of the parents against the number of parents who left children....that would give you a graph and probably a BD...but then you would have two variables .....age and number

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2111 on: June 18, 2016, 10:39:48 PM »
sil is watching and has claimed to understand statistics so perhaps she might wish to support you...and alice too

Offline misty

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2112 on: June 18, 2016, 10:40:42 PM »
Anyone care to explain what form of searching binomial distribution is? Thanks in anticipation.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2113 on: June 18, 2016, 10:44:41 PM »
Anyone care to explain what form of searching binomial distribution is? Thanks in anticipation.
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#good point ...the thread was taken off topic by this post...


Much better not to leave your children alone in the first place, so they can't disappear.


by stephen

Offline Alice Purjorick

Re: So what actual searching was there?
« Reply #2114 on: June 18, 2016, 10:47:31 PM »
factor in butlins...pontins and all the other hotels that have offered baby listening

Why not give the full relevant info on forum members first?
For when I said 'twas wanting 'twas that to which I referred.
"Navigating the difference between weird but normal grief and truly suspicious behaviour is the key for any detective worth his salt.". ….Sarah Bailey