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Disappeared and Abducted Children and Young Adults => Madeleine McCann (3) disappeared from her parent's holiday apartment at Ocean Club, Praia da Luz, Portugal on 3 May 2007. No trace of her has ever been found. => Topic started by: Alfie on May 06, 2017, 07:09:57 PM

Title: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 06, 2017, 07:09:57 PM
It's a long article but well considered - worth the time taken to read IMO

(http://www.bgpglobalservices.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/sitetitle.png)

http://www.bgpglobalservices.com/happened-madeleine-mccann-2/

Ian Horrocks
May 2017

(Ian Horrocks has had a 30 year long career in the Met,  is an accredited senior investigating officer for homicide, as well as having experience in high value and multinational fraud and other major crime. For the last five years of his service he led one of Scotland Yard’s Kidnap and Specialist Investigations teams.

He is a qualified and accomplished crime scene examiner and is able to utilise this experience in the assessment of major crime scenes.

Following his retirement from the MPS he was the European Director for a renowned business security and risk consultancy based in Hong Kong. He has since been involved in the provision of security advice and guidance to international corporations and individuals as well as advising on crisis management and business continuity).


What happened to Madeleine McCann?

Some time ago, I travelled to Portugal to look at the investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine McCann, and the circumstances surrounding it. My analysis, reasoning and conclusions are shown here. I am one of very few who continue to believe that Madeleine may still be alive. This document has been updated to reflect what has been going on more recently.

Madeleine Beth McCann would now be approaching 14 years old. She went missing ten years ago, on the 3rd May, 2007. So, what happened to her? I obviously do not know; the following may be speculation, but contains inferences developed from the known facts, information made available, and from over 30 years’ experience as a police officer. The harsh reality is that only one, or possibly two people know what happened on that night.

I am sure many will not agree; the following is simply my view and should be read as such.

Having visited the scene, it is easy to see how Madeleine could have been snatched and her abductor made good his escape in less than two minutes. By turning right from the apartment, he could have been totally out of sight within 30 seconds.

Firstly, what are the options? The way I see it there are still principally four, and these remain unchanged, albeit there are possibly variations to each: –

that Madeleine either died accidentally, or was killed by her parents.
that she wandered out of the apartment and was taken by someone in the street.
she was abducted by one or two predatory paedophiles, assaulted and either died, or was killed, and finally.
that she was taken by someone with the intention of keeping her, and raising her.
The talk of Madeleine being kidnapped by a paedophile ring, or people traffickers, for a client in some distant place, or some of the even more far-fetched theories may be worth discussion, but are not in my opinion credible. Likewise, the idea that a random burglar suddenly deciding to take a child instead of valuables is also unlikely. In saying that, there were a number of instances of burglary throughout that part of the Algarve that were not investigated adequately. Some of these involved sex attacks against young children. This is clearly an avenue that should have been fully investigated. Other theories have included her being accidentally knocked down and her body being disposed of by the driver. Although, as with many of the theories, nothing can be totally discounted, I do not think this is realistic.

The thought that Kate and Gerry McCann had anything to do with the death of their daughter, whether being directly responsible, or covering up an accident, is as far as I am concerned frankly preposterous. Although many believe this, as far as I am aware, there is not one shred of credible evidence, either direct or otherwise to indicate that this is even a remote possibility.

There are many reasons for saying this. Firstly, and importantly, there is no family history that would point in any way to this. I also do not believe that anyone with any sense believes that they killed Madeleine deliberately, so this leaves a tragic accident. Even if such an accident had happened, is it feasible that they would not immediately seek assistance and call for an ambulance?

Are we saying that they coldly decided that Madeleine was dead and then put together an elaborate plan to dispose of her body? Did Gerry McCann simply walk down the road with his daughter’s body and dispose of it, and then calmly go out for dinner. This is ridiculous in the extreme. Also, have they then maintained this pretence for so long, the simple answer is no. And as for it being a conspiracy between themselves and any or all of their group of friends, this stretches credibility beyond belief.

The farcical conspiracy theory that the last photo of Madeleine was photo shopped, the spurious and often inaccurately reported forensic findings, the irrelevant behaviour of the cadaver dogs, Mr and Mrs McCann’s perceived demeanour, as well as many other totally immaterial points, just fuel this uninformed and often offensive conjecture. The simple answer is, there is no information, let alone evidence to indicate their involvement in any way. Should they have supervised their children more closely that night; that is not for me to say, but regardless of the answer, it does not assist the investigation in any way.

Although the second option mentioned is unlikely, it needs to be covered. If Madeleine had left the apartment, she would in all likelihood have gone out of the patio doors and walked towards where her parents were. It is also likely that she would have been seen by someone who would have reunited her with her family. She would not have wandered far, and the chance that at this very moment a predator being there who is attracted to victim of this age is so unlikely that it goes beyond reasonable consideration. This option therefore can also be discounted. Additionally, the most telling point that dismisses this theory is the open window and shutter.

Now to the third and fourth options. These I believe are very similar in how they were carried out, but with clearly different endings. I will describe how I believe she was in my opinion taken and then explain why I believe that the final option that Madeleine may still be alive is realistic.

It remains my belief that Madeleine was targeted, and her parents observed following their arrival at The Ocean Club. The McCann family arrived on Saturday 28th April 2007, and except for that evening, dined every night in the complex. This pattern could have been observed by anyone, so by Thursday they could have been watched for up to four nights during which time their routine was established. Whoever abducted Madeleine was then able to put their plan together. The routine of Mr and Mrs McCann and their friends, along with the regular checking of the children could have been easily observed, as well as the fact that access via the patio door was simple.

On the night itself, Gerry McCann checked the children at about 9.05pm and then rejoined the group. Mathew Oldfield checked at about 9.30pm, although he only listened at the door and did not actually see Madeleine. It was only when Kate McCann checked at about 10pm that it was discovered that Madeline was missing.

These actions could be seen from within the Ocean Club area, as well as from the alleyway that runs between this and the apartment. Due to the height of the wall and foliage on top of it, as well as the area inside being well lit, in contrast to the darkness elsewhere, those dining would have been easily observed whilst anyone in the alleyway could remain unseen. Sunset on the 3rd May 2007 was at 8.25pm, so it would have been getting quite dark by 9pm.

Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. They would have observed the group for a few minutes and then gone to the apartment. At the end of the alleyway they could see that the road was clear, it is then only literally a second for someone to go through the gate and into the garden area, where they would be virtually out of sight. It is then simple to enter the apartment through the patio doors, which although closed, had been left unlocked.

I believe the abductor then went into the bedroom where the twins and Madeleine were sleeping. He has no interest in the twins, he is looking for Madeleine. The window and blind were very likely opened to facilitate exit. If two people were involved, Madeleine could have been handed out of the window to the second person. If one, he could possibly have climbed out the window with her, but I believe it to be more likely that they left via the door leading to the car park. Although entry was gained via the patio doors, I do not believe this was the exit route as it is not only unnecessary and illogical, it would also substantially increase the chances of being seen.

I think the plan and escape route were planned. It was clearly well executed. This was not an impulsive act. It took patience as well as planning, and would have involved observing the McCann’s for some time.

Although floodlit, the window of the apartment and exit to the car park are not easily observed. Once out of the apartment car park there is a simple choice, turn left or right. By turning right, the abductor must pass Rua Dr Francisco Gentil Martins, the road leading down to the entrance to the Ocean Club. However, within less than 30 seconds, he could be totally out of sight in an alleyway with high walls that leads directly from Rua Dr Agostinho da Silva to Rua Do Ramalhetete, the main road out of the village. Turning left means he would have to walk a greater distance, initially uphill, and with a greater chance of being seen.

It has been suggested that a child of Madeleine’s description was seen by Martin Smith and his wife, being carried over 400 yards away in Rua da Escola Primaria, shortly before 10pm. This sighting was dismissed by the Portuguese Police, but appears to have been given substantial credibility by Operation Grange, the Metropolitan Police inquiry, who featured this on Crimewatch. I do however remain extremely sceptical about this. As far as I am concerned not only is this too late, but it is also too far away. If someone had abducted a child, they would not have carried them this far. If the plan was to take the child to a car, this would have been parked far closer. If the objective was to dispose of a body, then this person has walked past a lot of waste ground.

This timing also does not fit in with the sighting by Jane Tanner at 9.15pm. However, we are told that the person who Jane Tanner saw has come forward and been eliminated. I do not know how the police can be sure after so many years, that the person they spoke to is one and the same who was seen by Jane Tanner. Did she meet him, were the clothes identical to those she described? I obviously do not know, but regardless I still think that this is still the most likely route taken by the kidnapper.

Was it one person, was it two, were they locals, were they there on holiday or simply visiting, was she taken by a paedophile or by someone who wanted to raise her and look after her. All I can do is to provide a few thoughts and theories.

244
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 06, 2017, 07:10:24 PM
PART 2

Now to one of the most difficult points, was it a paedophile or someone who wanted to keep Madeleine, whether for a caring, or more nefarious reason. Again, I do not know, but what can be done is to look at it logically, and see what is the most likely. A girl of Madeleine’s age is not the usual target age for a paedophile; she is substantially younger than most victims of these offences. This however cannot totally be discounted. Although it cannot be under estimated the amount of planning that a paedophile without a conscience is prepared to go, I believe in this case that the choice of Madeleine and her place of abduction underlines the fact that this was not a planned or even random paedophile attack.

I still believe on balance that when all the available information is examined logically and objectively, that Madeleine was not taken by a paedophile. Once they have made the decision to carry out the abduction, whoever was responsible would be prepared to take more risks than perhaps others would. These risks however are mitigated by the level of planning and control in the abduction process.

If this theory is correct, certain inferences can be made. The people responsible will not have a close extended family. If a family, I do not think that they have any children of their own. I am also of the view that whoever took Madeleine will speak English, albeit not essentially fluently, and not necessarily as a first language.

Now to one of the most significant questions. Were those responsible local to the area, or visitors, whether from elsewhere in Portugal or further afield. Again, no one other than the perpetrator knows. The reality is that they could be either. Whether they were local to the area or a visitor, I am of the view that Madeleine was seen early in the week, and from then the plan was developed to abduct her. If local, they could have initially stayed in the area, and if from further afield, would have left on Thursday, and possibly even vacated their accommodation before this. Talk of her being taken away on a boat from the beach, a local marina or on a ferry to Africa is not only unrealistic, it is also unhelpful.

I will only comment briefly on the investigation conducted by the Portuguese police. It is evident that more could, and should have been done in the immediate aftermath of her disappearance. Additionally, much of the focus of the investigation fell on Mr and Mrs McCann, when resources should have been directed elsewhere. Although it would be irresponsible not to look at the parents, in the absence of any credible evidence, this should have been dealt with, and the investigation moved on. However, the firm and in my opinion unrealistic assessment by Goncal Amaral, the original investigator, prompted it must be said by the unhelpful views of a UK based psychologist, muddied the whole investigation, and in effect set the whole tone for the inquiry.

I am also still at a loss as to why a Joint Investigation Team was not set up in the early stages of the enquiry. As far as I am aware, there was no valid reason for this.

It remains clear that the UK police review and investigation was the correct course of action, and still is, despite what some people may think. How many other British children have gone missing abroad with no clue whatsoever as to the identity of those responsible. As far as I am aware, other than Madeleine, the only other would be Ben Needham, who disappeared on the island of Kos in 1991.

Now to the main question. Where is Madeleine now, and why has she not been discovered. Many have said that with all the publicity, she would have been seen. This is not necessarily correct; there are many instances where this has not happened. Also, don’t forget that whoever took Madeleine knows that she could be recognised at any time and therefore they will go to any means necessary to ensure this does not happen. Could her hair be dyed a different colour, has she got a tan, is she now speaking a different language. These are just a few of the many possible ways in which she could be being disguised to prevent identification.

Albeit rare, there are several well publicised cases where children have been reunited with their families many years after they were abducted. Jaycee Dugard, Shawn Hornbeck, Steven Stayner, Carlina White, Natascha Kampusch, and Fusako Sano are just some of those who have been taken by strangers, and found many years later.

A child will often accept what they are told, particularly if said in a caring way, and will therefore act accordingly. Memories cannot be totally erased but behaviour can be controlled, influenced and to a degree changed. I also believe that there is a good chance that whoever took Madeleine may in all likelihood have subsequently moved, and therefore have new friends and neighbours who accept them for what they are, and not necessarily be suspicious. People generally accept what they are told by others, and are not naturally disbelieving.

However, Madeleine, if alive, is now a teenager. She may become curious as to her background. No one knows where this could lead.

I do not believe she is local to Praia de Luz, or even the Algarve, but if taken by someone who is Portuguese, she could still be in the country. It cannot be under estimated the lengths that people would go to preserve their new ‘family member’. The reality is, she could be anywhere. I appreciate this is not helpful, it is simply the truth. This could particularly be the case if the person who abducted her was a visitor in the complex, or staying nearby. There is also a good chance that whoever abducted Madeleine had most likely driven there.

What can now be done? It is evident that the UK Police have put substantial resources into the investigation. It is now six years since the Metropolitan Police started reviewing this case. How much of their investigation is speculative, and how much based on credible information and evidence, I clearly do not know.

I hesitate to criticise those making the decisions, but I do believe that resources could perhaps be used more appropriately. I understand that many documents have been translated from Portuguese; this is clearly necessary, but only where there is an investigative reason. The problem with such investigations is that often too many resources are expended dotting the t’s and crossing the i’s, when limited budgets can be better allocated. Also, in my view, the substantial cost of digging up a large section of the wasteland was unnecessary, and an example of resources being misused. Does anybody really think that a kidnapper came prepared with a shovel and had the time to dig a hole capable of hiding a body. This is no simple task, the ground in May would be extremely hard, and in my view did not happen. However, this comment is made with the caveat that I do not know if there was any evidential basis for this.

However, this investigation should be allowed to continue, until they either achieve a result, whatever that may be, or totally exhaust every avenue of investigation. It doesn’t have to be a standalone operation. Many other inquiries continue whilst officers are employed on other investigations.

I would by now have hoped that everyone who was in the Ocean Club and nearby at the time have been identified and interviewed, whether they were there as guests, residents or even staff. However, it is my belief that this may still not be the case.

The reality is that as in any such investigation and review what is needed is going back to the basics. To start at the beginning and work forward and not the other way round. There are three main avenues to solving any crime; forensics, witnesses and interviews. In this case, there are no reliable forensics other than telephone data, there would seem to be no apparent credible suspects, and therefore what is left are the witnesses. This is where the focus should continue to be.

The police have recently said that they are following up what they describe as ‘critical leads’. We obviously do not know what these are, but hopefully they are based on evidence, as opposed to speculation and guesswork.

Other avenues need to be both realistic, and achievable. Facial recognition, and social media searching, as has been mentioned recently in the media may be another way forward, if only to cover some of the basics.

As mentioned many times before, people both in the UK and throughout Europe should still be asking themselves, what was their son, brother or friend doing when they were in the Algarve that week ten years ago. It is never too late. Is there anyone who was there at the time who hasn’t been interviewed. These people need to come forward.

Many theories have been suggested, and in reality, very few can be discounted. However, some of these, particularly recently, are so farcical that they deserve to be treated with contempt. The latest suggestion that MI5 colluded with the McCann’s to cover up Madeleine’s death is one such example. Next will be that she was abducted by aliens. This shows the levels that some people, Goncal Amaral, included, will go to for publicity.

I also personally think that nothing can be gained by the McCann’s expending their time and limited resources on pursuing court cases against such people as Amaral. This only gives his deluded theories more publicity than they deserve. However, this is clearly a matter for them, and may in some small way, assist in their grief.

In conclusion, I still obviously cannot dismiss the possibility that Madeleine was abducted by a paedophile for a sinister purpose, and that she is now dead. However, I remain of the opinion that this is not the case, and have shown my reasons why. Also, as an investigator, I think it is important to believe that the person you are searching for is alive, however unrealistic some people may think this is. Until such time as a body is found, or there is irrefutable evidence that she is dead, there must always be hope. Hopefully those continuing the investigation continue to share this belief.

I’m sure many will disagree with my views; that is their prerogative. Many people have their own entrenched views on what happened, and everyone is entitled to their opinion. Is believing that Madeleine is alive being overly and unrealistically optimistic. I do not think so, and until there is categoric evidence to the contrary, I will continue to believe this.

Ian Horrocks

May 2017

 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 06, 2017, 08:23:12 PM

More or less what I have long thought.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 06, 2017, 08:49:16 PM
I remember his previous 'views'.

He was employed by the Sun to 'look' at this case.

Then of course , there was his involvement in the Barry George case...

I remember a photo of him and above it a rather unpleasant headline in regard to the McCann case.

I will post that tomorrow, when I am on a laptop.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 06, 2017, 09:04:44 PM
It has been suggested that a child of Madeleine’s description was seen by Martin Smith and his wife, being carried over 400 yards away in Rua da Escola Primaria, shortly before 10pm. This sighting was dismissed by the Portuguese Police, but appears to have been given substantial credibility by Operation Grange, the Metropolitan Police inquiry, who featured this on Crimewatch. I do however remain extremely sceptical about this. As far as I am concerned not only is this too late, but it is also too far away. If someone had abducted a child, they would not have carried them this far. If the plan was to take the child to a car, this would have been parked far closer. If the objective was to dispose of a body, then this person has walked past a lot of waste ground.

The objective was for Madeleine not to be found (well hidden not dumped in nearby wasteland and quickly found). The last line of inquiry IMO.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 06, 2017, 09:31:05 PM
Where did this come from? It's pretty much what he said in 2012/2013. Perhaps the idea is to counter Sutton? Not a trump card though, similar backgrounds but Horrocks has Barry George in his.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 06, 2017, 09:54:38 PM
It has been suggested that a child of Madeleine’s description was seen by Martin Smith and his wife, being carried over 400 yards away in Rua da Escola Primaria, shortly before 10pm. This sighting was dismissed by the Portuguese Police, but appears to have been given substantial credibility by Operation Grange, the Metropolitan Police inquiry, who featured this on Crimewatch. I do however remain extremely sceptical about this. As far as I am concerned not only is this too late, but it is also too far away. If someone had abducted a child, they would not have carried them this far. If the plan was to take the child to a car, this would have been parked far closer. If the objective was to dispose of a body, then this person has walked past a lot of waste ground.

The objective was for Madeleine not to be found (well hidden not dumped in nearby wasteland and quickly found). The last line of inquiry IMO.
If that was the case why did he walk through town to be seen by many people?
He has not considered other reasons for Smithman being there.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 06, 2017, 10:21:14 PM
I remember his previous 'views'.

He was employed by the Sun to 'look' at this case.

Then of course , there was his involvement in the Barry George case...

I remember a photo of him and above it a rather unpleasant headline in regard to the McCann case.

I will post that tomorrow, when I am on a laptop.

It went a little bit loik this me dearyos:
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Ian_Horrocks.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 06, 2017, 11:04:25 PM
Horrocks explains how and why Madeleine could have been taken. It seems eminently plausible to me.  Which bits seem completely implausible to sceptics and why?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 08:19:45 AM
Inside the twisted minds of the Madeleine McCann child snatchers

(http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Oc_qhhWeyj8/U164ixMf75I/AAAAAAAAAFI/6J2FLrMvZ-I/s1600/Ian+Horrocks.jpg)

From ANTONELLA LAZZERI in Praia da Luz, Portugal

28th April 2012, 11:00 pm  Updated: 5th April 2016, 7:14 pm

...updated.   Mmmm.

THEN

MADELEINE McCann was targeted from the moment she arrived at the resort where
she was snatched — but her abductor was NOT a paedophile, a former top
British cop believes.

She was almost certainly taken by a childless couple, respected kidnap
investigator Ian Horrocks decided after reviewing the case.

The Sun took Ian to the Ocean Club in Praia da Luz, Portugal, to walk in the
footsteps of whoever was responsible for three-year-old Madeleine’s
disappearance on a family holiday five years ago.

Here he presents his shocking conclusions on the case that baffled Portuguese
police have closed. Ian says:

– MADELEINE and her family were watched for days before she was taken
from their apartment.

NOW.

It remains my belief that Madeleine was targeted, and her parents observed following their arrival at The Ocean Club. The McCann family arrived on Saturday 28th April 2007, and except for that evening, dined every night in the complex. This pattern could have been observed by anyone, so by Thursday they could have been watched for up to four nights during which time their routine was established. Whoever abducted Madeleine was then able to put their plan together. The routine of Mr and Mrs McCann and their friends, along with the regular checking of the children could have been easily observed, as well as the fact that access via the patio door was simple....


Tell me Alfie, why should we accept the opinion of a man like Horrocks, who was paid by the Sun, and who effectively is trumping in the wind?


N.B. The original photo with the headline was removed, but had not disappeared elsewhere. 8(0(*


AND WHAT EVIDENCE DOES HE OFFER FOR THIS TARGETING ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 08:40:58 AM
Inside the twisted minds of the Madeleine McCann child snatchers

(http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Oc_qhhWeyj8/U164ixMf75I/AAAAAAAAAFI/6J2FLrMvZ-I/s1600/Ian+Horrocks.jpg)

From ANTONELLA LAZZERI in Praia da Luz, Portugal

28th April 2012, 11:00 pm  Updated: 5th April 2016, 7:14 pm

...updated.   Mmmm.

THEN

MADELEINE McCann was targeted from the moment she arrived at the resort where
she was snatched — but her abductor was NOT a paedophile, a former top
British cop believes.

She was almost certainly taken by a childless couple, respected kidnap
investigator Ian Horrocks decided after reviewing the case.

The Sun took Ian to the Ocean Club in Praia da Luz, Portugal, to walk in the
footsteps of whoever was responsible for three-year-old Madeleine’s
disappearance on a family holiday five years ago.

Here he presents his shocking conclusions on the case that baffled Portuguese
police have closed. Ian says:

– MADELEINE and her family were watched for days before she was taken
from their apartment.

NOW.

It remains my belief that Madeleine was targeted, and her parents observed following their arrival at The Ocean Club. The McCann family arrived on Saturday 28th April 2007, and except for that evening, dined every night in the complex. This pattern could have been observed by anyone, so by Thursday they could have been watched for up to four nights during which time their routine was established. Whoever abducted Madeleine was then able to put their plan together. The routine of Mr and Mrs McCann and their friends, along with the regular checking of the children could have been easily observed, as well as the fact that access via the patio door was simple....


Tell me Alfie, why should we accept the opinion of a man like Horrocks, who was paid by the Sun, and who effectively is trumping in the wind?

Having had a successful 30-year career in London’s Metropolitan Police, where he was a senior investigating officer for homicide.  Which in combination with being the lead in one of Scotland Yard’s Kidnap and Specialist Investigations teams gives him a very impressive CV which must be second to none.

That would certainly give me every confidence in his abilities to make an informed judgement in Madeleine's case.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 08:43:14 AM
Having had a successful 30-year career in London’s Metropolitan Police, where he was a senior investigating officer for homicide.  Which in combination with being the lead in one of Scotland Yard’s Kidnap and Specialist Investigations teams gives him a very impressive CV which must be second to none.

That would certainly give me every confidence in his abilities to make an informed judgement in Madeleine's case.

You would say no different.

So what went wrong in the Jill Dando case and Barry George ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 08:53:16 AM
You would say no different.

So what went wrong in the Jill Dando case and Barry George ?

This thread concerns the kidnap of a little girl ... not the assassination of a much loved personality.  You have made your opinion of Ian Horrocks perfectly clear ... maybe now it is time to set aside personal prejudices on another matter and address some of the points raised in the OP regarding Madeleine's case. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 07, 2017, 08:55:39 AM
Having had a successful 30-year career in London’s Metropolitan Police, where he was a senior investigating officer for homicide.  Which in combination with being the lead in one of Scotland Yard’s Kidnap and Specialist Investigations teams gives him a very impressive CV which must be second to none.

That would certainly give me every confidence in his abilities to make an informed judgement in Madeleine's case.

But he believes Madeleine was abducted by strangers Brietta - therefore his professional reputation must be trashed and doubt cast on his integrity with dark hints that he conspired with the SUN - because he was paid by them.

So predictable - and so irrational.

IMO
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 09:07:23 AM
This thread concerns the kidnap of a little girl ... not the assassination of a much loved personality.  You have made your opinion of Ian Horrocks perfectly clear ... maybe now it is time to set aside personal prejudices on another matter and address some of the points raised in the OP regarding Madeleine's case.

Horrocks 'record' in the Barry George case stands, and there is no getting away with it.

He has brought nothing to this case but his opinion, and not a shred of evidence to support it.

Personally, I would like to ask him why Madeleine's sister wouldn't have been the target of an 'abductor'.

Fewer memories.

Less body mass to carry around.

Perhaps he could also explain, why there is no forensic evidence to show anyone else was in the apartment that night.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: barrier on May 07, 2017, 09:24:22 AM
Yet the mighty MET under the stewardship of Redwood and Wall overseen by Rowley can't just can't square a circle to bring an abduction to bear,usual crap from the Mail this morning with another know nort getting his 15 minutes of fame

.http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4480984/Tycoon-flew-private-jet-Africa-Madeleine-McCann.html
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 09:39:43 AM
Yet the mighty MET under the stewardship of Redwood and Wall overseen by Rowley can't just can't square a circle to bring an abduction to bear,usual crap from the Mail this morning with another know nort getting his 15 minutes of fame

.http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4480984/Tycoon-flew-private-jet-Africa-Madeleine-McCann.html

Indeed, the truth of the matter, is that the 'abduction' scenario has gone nowhere.

I wonder what would happen if, at some point , the same was said by those in OG.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 10:10:28 AM
1). Horrocks has a view on what may have happened to her.  He has built a plausible and logical theory.  It may be completely wrong (I think he acknowledges this in the article).  Nevertheless his theory hangs together very well, very much better than any theory of parental involvement or woke and wandered that I have heard before.  Despite that I don't actually share his optimism that Madeleine was taken to be kept alive for years and years.  I accept it is a possibility though.
2). His theory rests on his belief that Madeleine specifically was targeted days before the abduction, not one of the twins, which explains why she and not they were taken.  Who knows why the (theoretical) abductor prefered her, that question can only be answered by the (theoretical) person who took her.
3) the fact that no forensic evidence was found in the apartment doesn't actually mean none was left.  Many criminal cases occur with no forensic trace being left or found, this wouldn't be the first time.  There is no forensic evidence that Madeleine died at the foot of the stairs or was knocked down by a car either, so citing the lack of forensic evidence does not necessarily put the kybosh on a theory does it?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 07, 2017, 10:12:26 AM
Horrocks explains how and why Madeleine could have been taken. It seems eminently plausible to me.  Which bits seem completely implausible to sceptics and why?

It is just another theory with no evidence to back it up.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 10:18:33 AM
What would be extremely interesting to read would be something as clearly written, objective and well reasoned as Horrocks' theory is (IMO) putting forward a detailed theory of parental involvement.  In ten years I have never read a remotely plausible account of this, and I say this not to goad or inflame but simply to state my opinion.  In all honesty, has anyone else?  Because if you have I'd genuinely appreciate a link to it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 10:21:29 AM
What would be extremely interesting to read would be something as clearly written, objective and well reasoned as Horrocks' theory is (IMO) putting forward a detailed theory of parental involvement.  In ten years I have never read a remotely plausible account of this, and I say this not to goad or inflame but simply to state my opinion.  In all honesty, has anyone else?  Because if you have I'd genuinely appreciate a link to it.

Where is his evidence Alfie for his BELIEFS ?

Let's also remember he was employed by the Sun, who bias in this story is virtually unparalleled.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 07, 2017, 10:35:39 AM
What Ian Horrocks commented in 2013.

http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=3247.msg92507#msg92507
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 07, 2017, 10:37:36 AM
Where did this come from? It's pretty much what he said in 2012/2013. Perhaps the idea is to counter Sutton? Not a trump card though, similar backgrounds but Horrocks has Barry George in his.

(http://www.bgpglobalservices.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/sitetitle.png)

http://www.bgpglobalservices.com/happened-madeleine-mccann-2/
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 10:41:56 AM
Where is his evidence Alfie for his BELIEFS ?

Let's also remember he was employed by the Sun, who bias in this story is virtually unparalleled.
If you read his article he tells you why he believes what he believes.  Let's be grown ups and recognise that whatever your beliefs there is precious little evidence to support it.  That being the case we are left really only with theories that we can hang on the facts that we do know.   Horrocks theory hangs well on those facts, better than most others IMO.  If you disagree say why rather than simply slagging him off for Barry George or writing for the Sun.  Many people write for the Sun, does that mean they are ALL incapable of making thoughtful, objective observations?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 10:44:37 AM
Where Horrocks says "I also found that by turning right from the apartment he could have been totally out of sight within 30 seconds of leaving the apartment." do you think that is from the front or back door pathway?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 10:51:23 AM
1) Horrocks has a view on what may have happened to her.  He has built a plausible and logical theory.  It may be completely wrong (I think he acknowledges this in the article).  Nevertheless his theory hangs together very well, very much better than any theory of parental involvement or woke and wandered that I have heard before.  Despite that I don't actually share his optimism that Madeleine was taken to be kept alive for years and years.  I accept it is a possibility though.
2). His theory rests on his belief that Madeleine specifically was targeted days before the abduction, not one of the twins, which explains why she and not they were taken.  Who knows why the (theoretical) abductor prefered her, that question can only be answered by the (theoretical) person who took her.
3) the fact that no forensic evidence was found in the apartment doesn't actually mean none was left.  Many criminal cases occur with no forensic trace being left or found, this wouldn't be the first time.  There is no forensic evidence that Madeleine died at the foot of the stairs or was knocked down by a car either, so citing the lack of forensic evidence does not necessarily put the kybosh on a theory does it?

In your opinion, his theory hangs together.

Now, how about some real evidence to back it up.


'... so citing the lack of forensic evidence does not necessarily put the kybosh on a theory does it? '

Now how does that equate with accidental death or walking out of the apartment Alfie ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 07, 2017, 10:57:14 AM
The article by Ian Horrocks.

I agree with his comment that it is unlikely a random burglar decided to abduct a child instead of valuables but I disagree very strongly with him and this claim that it is unrealistic that Madeleine was knocked down and taken by a vehicle driver.  In making the second claim it is clear that he has inexplicably totally ignored one piece of valuable evidence and that is that provided by the Portuguese GNR scent dogs.  These two dogs were deployed just hours after the child disappeared and so cannot be ignored easily. The reason why the results obtained from these dogs is so interesting is that they followed the child's scent to a point directly across the public road from mini reception where the scent mysteriously stopped.  Any good cop worth his salt knows that this would be totally consistent with a child being hit with a car and thereafter lifted and removed from the scene.

He posed the question, "Should they have supervised their children more closely that night" but then states vit to be an irrelevance to the investigation. What he fails to point out is that if it is ever established that Madeleine got out and was run over on their (parent's) watch then the entire responsibility factor comes back into play.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 07, 2017, 11:01:11 AM
What would be extremely interesting to read would be something as clearly written, objective and well reasoned as Horrocks' theory is (IMO) putting forward a detailed theory of parental involvement.  In ten years I have never read a remotely plausible account of this, and I say this not to goad or inflame but simply to state my opinion.  In all honesty, has anyone else?  Because if you have I'd genuinely appreciate a link to it.

Horrocks says;

The thought that Kate and Gerry McCann had anything to do with the death of their daughter, whether being directly responsible, or covering up an accident, is as far as I am concerned frankly preposterous. Although many believe this, as far as I am aware, there is not one shred of credible evidence, either direct or otherwise to indicate that this is even a remote possibility.

There may be no evidence but there was opportunity and they were the last people to see her.

There are many reasons for saying this. Firstly, and importantly, there is no family history that would point in any way to this. I also do not believe that anyone with any sense believes that they killed Madeleine deliberately, so this leaves a tragic accident. Even if such an accident had happened, is it feasible that they would not immediately seek assistance and call for an ambulance?

Is there family history in all such cases? If not, that's irrelevant. There could be reasons why calling for assistance wasn't an option.

Are we saying that they coldly decided that Madeleine was dead and then put together an elaborate plan to dispose of her body? Did Gerry McCann simply walk down the road with his daughter’s body and dispose of it, and then calmly go out for dinner. This is ridiculous in the extreme. Also, have they then maintained this pretence for so long, the simple answer is no. And as for it being a conspiracy between themselves and any or all of their group of friends, this stretches credibility beyond belief.

Why would the decision have to be made coldly? Can people put on an act? It depends on the person. Can they keep up the act for years? It would depend on the stakes.

The farcical conspiracy theory that the last photo of Madeleine was photo shopped, the spurious and often inaccurately reported forensic findings, the irrelevant behaviour of the cadaver dogs, Mr and Mrs McCann’s perceived demeanour, as well as many other totally immaterial points, just fuel this uninformed and often offensive conjecture. The simple answer is, there is no information, let alone evidence to indicate their involvement in any way. Should they have supervised their children more closely that night; that is not for me to say, but regardless of the answer, it does not assist the investigation in any way.

Why does he dismiss all the above points? Suspicions are formed from lots of indications sometimes and the behaviour and attitudes of people should be noted, not ignored.

This person is determined to discredit the idea that the McCanns were involved. He has no evidence which excludes them, just his belief that they wouldn't do that. Hence his use of unnecessary words such as 'preposterous' 'coldly' and 'ridiculous', which are clearly used to persuade. Using emotive language means his case is weak imo.



Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 11:04:43 AM
Horrocks says;

The thought that Kate and Gerry McCann had anything to do with the death of their daughter, whether being directly responsible, or covering up an accident, is as far as I am concerned frankly preposterous. Although many believe this, as far as I am aware, there is not one shred of credible evidence, either direct or otherwise to indicate that this is even a remote possibility.

There may be no evidence but there was opportunity and they were the last people to see her.

There are many reasons for saying this. Firstly, and importantly, there is no family history that would point in any way to this. I also do not believe that anyone with any sense believes that they killed Madeleine deliberately, so this leaves a tragic accident. Even if such an accident had happened, is it feasible that they would not immediately seek assistance and call for an ambulance?

Is there family history in all such cases? If not, that's irrelevant. There could be reasons why calling for assistance wasn't an option.

Are we saying that they coldly decided that Madeleine was dead and then put together an elaborate plan to dispose of her body? Did Gerry McCann simply walk down the road with his daughter’s body and dispose of it, and then calmly go out for dinner. This is ridiculous in the extreme. Also, have they then maintained this pretence for so long, the simple answer is no. And as for it being a conspiracy between themselves and any or all of their group of friends, this stretches credibility beyond belief.

Why would the decision have to be made coldly? Can people put on an act? It depends on the person. Can they keep up the act for years? It would depend on the stakes.

The farcical conspiracy theory that the last photo of Madeleine was photo shopped, the spurious and often inaccurately reported forensic findings, the irrelevant behaviour of the cadaver dogs, Mr and Mrs McCann’s perceived demeanour, as well as many other totally immaterial points, just fuel this uninformed and often offensive conjecture. The simple answer is, there is no information, let alone evidence to indicate their involvement in any way. Should they have supervised their children more closely that night; that is not for me to say, but regardless of the answer, it does not assist the investigation in any way.

Why does he dismiss all the above points? Suspicions are formed from lots of indications sometimes and the behaviour and attitudes of people should be noted, not ignored.

This person is determined to discredit the idea that the McCanns were involved. He has no evidence which excludes them, just his belief that they wouldn't do that. Hence his use of unnecessary words such as 'preposterous' 'coldly' and 'ridiculous', which are clearly used to persuade. Using emotive language means his case is weak imo.


Excellent post G-Unit. 8@??)( 8@??)( 8@??)(
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 07, 2017, 11:07:57 AM
The article by Ian Horrocks.

I agree with his comment that it is unlikely a random burglar decided to abduct a child instead of valuables but I disagree very strongly with him and this claim that it is unrealistic that Madeleine was knocked down and taken by a vehicle driver.  In making the second claim it is clear that he has inexplicably totally ignored one piece of valuable evidence and that is that provided by the Portuguese GNR scent dogs.  These two dogs were deployed just hours after the child disappeared and so cannot be discarded easily. The reason why the results obtained from these dogs is so interesting is that they followed the child's scent to a point immediately across the public road from mini reception where the scent mysteriously stopped.  Any good cop worth his salt knows that this would be totally consistent with a child being hit with a car and thereafter lifted and removed from the scene.

Just as a matter of interest why do you value the findings of those dogs, and do you give equal value to the findings of Grime's dogs? The problem with the sniffer dogs is whose scent they were tracking.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 07, 2017, 11:17:12 AM
Just as a matter of interest why do you value the findings of those dogs, and do you give equal value to the findings of Grime's dogs? The problem with the sniffer dogs is whose scent they were tracking.

For several reasons.  The GNR were right there hours after Madeleine disappeared with dogs which were trained to follow a specific scent.   They were totally impartial and were working blind with no external distractions.  We know the police were given items belonging to Madeleine so it is to be expected that it was her fresh scent trail which they followed.

The cadaver and CSI dogs on the other hand came to the crimescene very late on after numerous other people had rented both the apartment and the hire car. We know the conditions under which the inspections were carried out were attroicious in forensic terms and we know that the McCanns hire car was a target from the off.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 11:27:48 AM
For several reasons.  The GNR were right there hours after Madeleine disappeared with dogs which were trained to follow a specific scent.   They were totally impartial and were working blind with no external distractions.  We know the police were given items belonging to Madeleine so it is to be expected that it was her fresh scent trail which they followed.

The cadaver and CSI dogs on the other hand came to the crimescene very late on after numerous other people had rented both the apartment and the hire car. We know the conditions under which the inspections were carried out were attroicious in forensic terms and we know that the McCanns hire car was a target from the off.

Yet the indications remain.

How many other crime scenes have been contaminated, yet forensic dogs have been deployed and indicated correctly ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 11:33:08 AM
Yet the indications remain.

How many other crime scenes have been contaminated, yet forensic dogs have been deployed and indicated correctly ?
There is only one solution in my opinion - Tracker dogs suggest she wandered
Cadaver dog suggest a dead body was in the apartment.
Solution the dead body was not Madeleine.  Madeleine was abducted from the road.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 07, 2017, 11:34:55 AM
Eddie also came late into the Harron and Prout cases. The dogs are usually sent in later when there are no signs of the missing person. SY/PJ still have to explain the dog alerts.
 
"Attracta Harron's body was found on 5 April 2004, four months after she was last seen alive, hidden in a river bank less than 50 yards from Hamilton's home."



Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 07, 2017, 12:00:12 PM
Eddie also came late into the Harron and Prout cases. The dogs are usually sent in later when there are no signs of the missing person. SY/PJ still have to explain the dog alerts.
 
"Attracta Harron's body was found on 5 April 2004, four months after she was last seen alive, hidden in a river bank less than 50 yards from Hamilton's home."

Eddie did his stuff in the Harron case (contributed to putting a vicious murderer behind bars) but contributed nothing to the Prout case, where the dog seems to have been involved from the start.

However, it was not publicised that Eddie had been involved in the Prout case until after Prout's trial because uncorroborated cadaver dog alerts are inadmissible as evidence in court cases.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 07, 2017, 12:06:26 PM
Police follow their clues regardless. They know any body in a missing person case is probably moved 3 months later. That's why police use them or why bother?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 07, 2017, 12:07:32 PM
For several reasons.  The GNR were right there hours after Madeleine disappeared with dogs which were trained to follow a specific scent.   They were totally impartial and were working blind with no external distractions.  We know the police were given items belonging to Madeleine so it is to be expected that it was her fresh scent trail which they followed.

The cadaver and CSI dogs on the other hand came to the crimescene very late on after numerous other people had rented both the apartment and the hire car. We know the conditions under which the inspections were carried out were attroicious in forensic terms and we know that the McCanns hire car was a target from the off.

The first set of dogs at 2.30 am on 4th were given her pink blanket, which should have had her scent on it, but they were patrol dogs. The actual search and rescue dogs which came at 11.30 pm on 4th were given a bath towel allegedly used by Madeleine. I would say it can't be said beyond doubt that they followed Madeleine's scent.



Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 07, 2017, 12:10:38 PM
The first set of dogs at 2.30 am on 4th were given her pink blanket, which should have had her scent on it, but they were patrol dogs. The actual search and rescue dogs which came at 11.30 pm on 4th were given a bath towel allegedly used by Madeleine. I would say it can't be said beyond doubt that they followed Madeleine's scent.

One might have thought that the pink ensemble she was wearing during the last photo would have been the most suitable thing to let the dogs sniff.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 07, 2017, 12:12:27 PM
Certainly, in the Madeleine investigation, why did they bother?

They had no evidence of anything except inconsistencies and strange behaviour (2 child carrying sightings). No sign of the child or break-in, no stranger prints on window, no footprints on bed to get through it etc.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 07, 2017, 12:14:19 PM
One might have thought that the pink ensemble she was wearing during the last photo would have been the most suitable thing to let the dogs sniff.

One would indeed. Was the blanket Madeleine's? Was the cat Madeleine's? We have no proof that they were.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 07, 2017, 01:20:33 PM
If you read his article he tells you why he believes what he believes.  Let's be grown ups and recognise that whatever your beliefs there is precious little evidence to support it.  That being the case we are left really only with theories that we can hang on the facts that we do know.   Horrocks theory hangs well on those facts, better than most others IMO.  If you disagree say why rather than simply slagging him off for Barry George or writing for the Sun.  Many people write for the Sun, does that mean they are ALL incapable of making thoughtful, objective observations?

On 3rd May 2007 at a time between 17:30 & 22:00 a little girl vanished, it would seem, into thin air. That's about it.
What other facts are there that impact on her disappearance rather than "facts" which are mere;y interesting uncorroborated adjuncts ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 01:30:58 PM
Horrocks says;

The thought that Kate and Gerry McCann had anything to do with the death of their daughter, whether being directly responsible, or covering up an accident, is as far as I am concerned frankly preposterous. Although many believe this, as far as I am aware, there is not one shred of credible evidence, either direct or otherwise to indicate that this is even a remote possibility.

There may be no evidence but there was opportunity and they were the last people to see her.

There are many reasons for saying this. Firstly, and importantly, there is no family history that would point in any way to this. I also do not believe that anyone with any sense believes that they killed Madeleine deliberately, so this leaves a tragic accident. Even if such an accident had happened, is it feasible that they would not immediately seek assistance and call for an ambulance?

Is there family history in all such cases? If not, that's irrelevant. There could be reasons why calling for assistance wasn't an option.

Are we saying that they coldly decided that Madeleine was dead and then put together an elaborate plan to dispose of her body? Did Gerry McCann simply walk down the road with his daughter’s body and dispose of it, and then calmly go out for dinner. This is ridiculous in the extreme. Also, have they then maintained this pretence for so long, the simple answer is no. And as for it being a conspiracy between themselves and any or all of their group of friends, this stretches credibility beyond belief.

Why would the decision have to be made coldly? Can people put on an act? It depends on the person. Can they keep up the act for years? It would depend on the stakes.

The farcical conspiracy theory that the last photo of Madeleine was photo shopped, the spurious and often inaccurately reported forensic findings, the irrelevant behaviour of the cadaver dogs, Mr and Mrs McCann’s perceived demeanour, as well as many other totally immaterial points, just fuel this uninformed and often offensive conjecture. The simple answer is, there is no information, let alone evidence to indicate their involvement in any way. Should they have supervised their children more closely that night; that is not for me to say, but regardless of the answer, it does not assist the investigation in any way.

Why does he dismiss all the above points? Suspicions are formed from lots of indications sometimes and the behaviour and attitudes of people should be noted, not ignored.

This person is determined to discredit the idea that the McCanns were involved. He has no evidence which excludes them, just his belief that they wouldn't do that. Hence his use of unnecessary words such as 'preposterous' 'coldly' and 'ridiculous', which are clearly used to persuade. Using emotive language means his case is weak imo.
The reason his theory  is so strong is that noone who believes the McCanns a) had the opportunity and b) the motive and c) the brazen chutzpah and acting skills to maintain a lie for 10years has been able to put forward a rational and plausible theory of parental involvement, and that is a fact.  If I am wrong kindly point me in the right direction. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 07, 2017, 01:35:54 PM
The reason his theory  is so strong is that noone who believes the McCanns a) had the opportunity and b) the motive and c) the brazen chutzpah and acting skills to maintain a lie for 10years has been able to put forward a rational and plausible theory of parental involvement, and that is a fact.  If I am wrong kindly point me in the right direction.

You won't find one because whereas it is perfectly legal to publicly postulate abduction theories involving person or persons unknown, it is not legal to publicly postulate theories involving the McCanns.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 01:38:20 PM
You won't find one because whereas it is perfectly legal to publicly postulate abduction theories involving person or persons unknown, it is not legal to publicly postulate theories involving the McCanns.
@)(++(* Not on this site granted but there are dozens if not hundreds of blogs by armchair defectives on the case full of the most salacious and libellous allegations in this case, there must be one surely that has described in logical and plausible terms how the McCanns committed the cover up of the century?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 07, 2017, 01:39:44 PM
@)(++(* Not on this site granted but there are dozens if not hundreds of blogs by armchair defectives on the case full of the most salacious and libellous allegations in this case, there must be one surely that has described in logical and plausible terms how the McCanns committed the cover up of the century?

Probably.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 01:40:04 PM
The reason his theory  is so strong is that noone who believes the McCanns a) had the opportunity and b) the motive and c) the brazen chutzpah and acting skills to maintain a lie for 10years has been able to put forward a rational and plausible theory of parental involvement, and that is a fact.  If I am wrong kindly point me in the right direction.

One could say Alfie, they have no choice.

After all, without an abduction, where are the McCann's ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Angelo222 on May 07, 2017, 01:40:20 PM
There is only one solution in my opinion - Tracker dogs suggest she wandered
Cadaver dog suggest a dead body was in the apartment.
Solution the dead body was not Madeleine.  Madeleine was abducted from the road.

There are many reasons and substances to which a cadaver dog can alert but with a properly trained scent dog you usually get what you asked for.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 01:41:18 PM
Probably.
I very much doubt it but would be happy to be proven wrong.  I have followed this case for 10 years and have yet to read one, how about you?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Angelo222 on May 07, 2017, 01:43:36 PM
Eddie did his stuff in the Harron case (contributed to putting a vicious murderer behind bars) but contributed nothing to the Prout case, where the dog seems to have been involved from the start.

However, it was not publicised that Eddie had been involved in the Prout case until after Prout's trial because uncorroborated cadaver dog alerts are inadmissible as evidence in court cases.

Prout made such a good job of hiding his wife that even Eddie couldn't find the burial site.  He did find cadaver scent however in the family bungalow which no doubt was transfer from her killers clothing and boots.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 01:43:47 PM
Seriously, all you sceptics, in your quiet and reflective  moments, when you are not sat here trying to score points, when you are deep in thought and trying to make sense of this case, have you been able to piece together in your minds a coherent theory of parental involvement that makes total and convincing sense to you?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 01:45:00 PM
I very much doubt it but would be happy to be proven wrong.  I have followed this case for 10 years and have yet to read one, how about you?


Wouldn't it be more accurate to say, one you agreed with, and that won't be happening, will it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 01:47:18 PM
Seriously, all you sceptics, in your quiet and reflective  moments, when you are not sat here trying to score points, when you are deep in thought and trying to make sense of this case, have you been able to piece together in your minds a coherent theory of parental involvement that makes total and convincing sense to you?

There is a major difference between involvement and potential cover-up.

Like I said Alfie, without an abduction, where does that leave the McCann's, and they have claimed abduction from virtually the start.

I will await your answer.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 07, 2017, 01:59:55 PM
Yet the indications remain.

How many other crime scenes have been contaminated, yet forensic dogs have been deployed and indicated correctly ?
If you have a look at Eddie' s CV you will find it is very very limited
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: barrier on May 07, 2017, 02:10:30 PM
Seriously, all you sceptics, in your quiet and reflective  moments, when you are not sat here trying to score points, when you are deep in thought and trying to make sense of this case, have you been able to piece together in your minds a coherent theory of parental involvement that makes total and convincing sense to you?
Myself and Scotland Yard don't have a clue to what happened if that makes me a sceptic fair enough, doesn't mean to say I have to have a theory into what happened either.The more SY rule out the harder the narrative of an abduction is to follow.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 02:22:40 PM

Wouldn't it be more accurate to say, one you agreed with, and that won't be happening, will it.
No, I mean one that made me slap my forehead and go "of course!  That makes perfect sense, that's how they could have done it!"
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 02:23:24 PM
There is a major difference between involvement and potential cover-up.

Like I said Alfie, without an abduction, where does that leave the McCann's, and they have claimed abduction from virtually the start.

I will await your answer.
I don't understand your question sorry, please re-phrase.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 02:27:44 PM
For several reasons.  The GNR were right there hours after Madeleine disappeared with dogs which were trained to follow a specific scent.   They were totally impartial and were working blind with no external distractions.  We know the police were given items belonging to Madeleine so it is to be expected that it was her fresh scent trail which they followed.

The cadaver and CSI dogs on the other hand came to the crimescene very late on after numerous other people had rented both the apartment and the hire car. We know the conditions under which the inspections were carried out were attroicious in forensic terms and we know that the McCanns hire car was a target from the off.

If the GNR dogs were indeed following Madeleine's scent I think the fact that both followed it to the car park opposite the reception area may indicate that she was taken to a vehicle which was parked there to wait for her.

I don't think there was any RTA.

The route followed by the GNR dogs was a secluded, dark and sheltered one with boundary walls from start to finish until the end of the lane behind apartment 5a.
Perhaps the nature of the route helped to preserve the scent because I don't think they checked it out immediately ... but only when all else had failed.

I agree the Portuguese dogs and handlers did an excellent job.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 02:29:30 PM
Myself and Scotland Yard don't have a clue to what happened if that makes me a sceptic fair enough, doesn't mean to say I have to have a theory into what happened either.The more SY rule out the harder the narrative of an abduction is to follow.
SY have a theory, of course they do.  They may evn have more than one but you can sure they make some sort of plausible and coherent narrative.  My problem with many of those who doubt the parents is that they are happy just to doubt without making any attempt whatsoever to give serious thought as to how all their doubts cohere into a plausible theory. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 02:33:19 PM
I don't understand your question sorry, please re-phrase.

Very easy really.

If there was no abduction, where does it leave the McCann's ?

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 07, 2017, 02:35:15 PM
Where Horrocks says "I also found that by turning right from the apartment he could have been totally out of sight within 30 seconds of leaving the apartment." do you think that is from the front or back door pathway?
You can do it from both, but he was talking about the front door.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 02:49:07 PM
If I were sceptical to that extent I would find it extremely coincidental that Gerry just happened to be in the apartment moments before a guy was seen carrying off a young girl a few yards up the street.  Had Gerry not stopped Jez Wilkins he would have walked right into that mystery man.  Was that a coincidence too??

Did Jane Tanner ruin it??

I don't think there was any chance of Gerry and the man seen carrying the child encountering each other.  They were heading away from each other. Gerry downhill and back to the tapas the carrier behind him heading to where is anyone's guess.

More likely the carrier waited for Gerry to leave the apartment to make his move in the full expectation hat Gerry would be back in the tapas. 
Jez was the one change from other nights that an observer would not expect.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 04:29:09 PM
Very easy really.

If there was no abduction, where does it leave the McCann's ?
Still without Madeleine, still utterly bereft, still haunted with guilt for leaving her alone I expect.  But I'm still not entirely sure what you're driving at.  Do you think they'd go to prison if it was established that she woke up and fell down a hole?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 04:48:20 PM
No more than they do already, unless you mean that they deliberately hid her body after an accident.  If they sincerely believed Madeleine was abducted (impossible to prove they don't and their view has been shared by numerous professionals including it seems both current police forces investigating the disappearance)then there is no issue with the Fund, just as there is no issue with the Fund set up to find Ben Needham, despite the fact that the police believe he wandered off.

As I have said before Alfie, bar a confession, assuming a crime was committed, we will probably never know the truth.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 04:52:08 PM
As I have said before Alfie, bar a confession, assuming a crime was committed, we will probably never know the truth.
I wouldn't disagree with you there.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 07, 2017, 05:56:29 PM
There is only one solution in my opinion - Tracker dogs suggest she wandered
Cadaver dog suggest a dead body was in the apartment.
Solution the dead body was not Madeleine.  Madeleine was abducted from the road.

Cadaver dog alerted in the apartment unknown as to how the scent got there.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 06:03:46 PM
Cadaver dog alerted in the apartment unknown as to how the scent got there.

Or what the scent may have been to cause the dog's reaction.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 07, 2017, 06:12:19 PM
Or what the scent may have been to cause the dog's reaction.

Depends how many myths you want or roll out.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 06:18:06 PM
In 2013 Ian Horrocks considered the police conduct of Madeleine's case and concluded that the myopic view of Madeleine's parents by an investigation which left no straw unchewed as far as belief in their involvement was concerned obstructed what should have been the real inquiry.

They became so fixated on the premise of parental guilt that despite there being no evidence to support it they allowed it to take over the investigation to the exclusion of other valid lines of inquiry.

Indeed it is a legacy still laboured under by some who call themselves sceptics even today.



Quote
One of the main problems as I see it was that quite early on in the investigation, as well as looking at the offence as possibly being committed by a paedophile; the police clearly suspected that Mr and Mrs McCann were in some way involved. This was obviously an initial valid and correct line of enquiry, however, even though there was absolutely no evidence to support this, it clearly became of significance and the focus of much of their time and resources.

This was undoubtedly reinforced by the comments made by a member of the British Police team ***, who regardless of the fact that there was absolutely nothing to point to either Mr or Mrs McCann being involved, still stated that their involvement ‘deserves as much attention as the criminal and sexual motivations that has been previously prioritised’. This in my view misguided analysis also disregards the sighting by Jane Tanner.

This may have supported and gave credence to the views of some in the Portuguese Police and diverted investigative resources away from more realistic and obvious lines of enquiry.

Such thinking would potentially have closed the minds of the police to other lines of investigation and avenues of enquiry, thereby missing many opportunities to gather evidence, interview witnesses and identify potential suspects. In such cases as has been seen all too often before, both in the UK and elsewhere, the investigator often, albeit subconsciously will try to make the evidence fit his theory. This can be extremely dangerous. Although theories are of course a significant part of detective work, they should be based on evidence and not simply that you think you know what happened. The vital point is to keep an open mind and to go where the evidence leads, not where you think you want it to go.

The reality is that in such cases it is fundamental that the investigators keep an open mind and work to the evidence not what they think may have happened. Also, their belief should be that they are looking for a live child and not confirmation of death. This mindset is fundamental to the way an investigation progresses and how the people working on it respond to information.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=3247.msg92507#msg92507


*** Lee Rainbow is quoted here 

Scotland Yard statements on Madeleine McCann fail to erase the question marks Allvoices

BY NIGEL MOORE
Jul 09, 2013 at 6:11 PM PDT [Jul 10, 2013 at 02:11 AM BST]

http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Nigel/id447.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 07, 2017, 06:21:01 PM
If the GNR dogs were indeed following Madeleine's scent I think the fact that both followed it to the car park opposite the reception area may indicate that she was taken to a vehicle which was parked there to wait for her.

I don't think there was any RTA.

The route followed by the GNR dogs was a secluded, dark and sheltered one with boundary walls from start to finish until the end of the lane behind apartment 5a.
Perhaps the nature of the route helped to preserve the scent because I don't think they checked it out immediately ... but only when all else had failed.

I agree the Portuguese dogs and handlers did an excellent job.

I have considered that Brie but the big difference is that if she was abducted from the apartment she was carried.  In those circumstances scent is not transferred directly to the ground which would be the case with a barefooted child. A child walking will lay a trail which can be easily followed.  The scent from a carried child will tend to dissipate and especially so if it is windy.

We can't rule out a RTA, it is still a very valid possibility.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 06:26:26 PM
Depends how many myths you want or roll out.

It is a myth that Eddie alerted to cadaver odour. 

Quite simply, it is unknown what Eddie did alert to. 

All the dialogue on it won't change the fact that the dog's visit achieved nothing but confusion and nothing of use to producing any indication of what might have happened to Madeleine McCann.

To all intents and purposes the dogs were an irrelevance ... apart from the utter confusion and harm police misunderstanding of them led to.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 06:27:38 PM
I have considered that Brie but the big difference is that if she was abducted from the apartment she was carried.  In those circumstances scent is not transferred directly to the ground which would be the case with a barefooted child. A child walking will lay a trail which can be easily followed.  The scent from a carried child will tend to dissipate and especially so if it is windy.

We can't rule out a RTA, it is still a very valid possibility.
tracker dogs aren't limited to only being able to follow the trail of barefooted pedestrians as far as I'm aware.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 06:52:31 PM
It is a myth that Eddie alerted to cadaver odour. 

Quite simply, it is unknown what Eddie did alert to. 

All the dialogue on it won't change the fact that the dog's visit achieved nothing but confusion and nothing of use to producing any indication of what might have happened to Madeleine McCann.

To all intents and purposes the dogs were an irrelevance ... apart from the utter confusion and harm police misunderstanding of them led to.

It is not a myth, it is a possibility.

Likewise, if the dogs are so irrelevant, why are some Mccann supporters obsessed with them ?  8**8:/:
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 07, 2017, 06:55:41 PM
It is not a myth, it is a possibility.

Likewise, if the dogs are so irrelevant, why are some Mccann supporters obsessed with them ?  8**8:/:

I would go further and say it is most likely. It is what the dog was trained to alert to.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 06:56:56 PM
Police follow their clues regardless. They know any body in a missing person case is probably moved 3 months later. That's why police use them or why bother?
Where did this come from?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 07, 2017, 06:59:06 PM
It is a myth that Eddie alerted to cadaver odour. 

Quite simply, it is unknown what Eddie did alert to. 

All the dialogue on it won't change the fact that the dog's visit achieved nothing but confusion and nothing of use to producing any indication of what might have happened to Madeleine McCann.

To all intents and purposes the dogs were an irrelevance ... apart from the utter confusion and harm police misunderstanding of them led to.

Bang-on right.

Apart from that I would add to the part emboldened, misunderstanding AND LIES!

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 07:01:25 PM
Bang-on right.

Apart from that I would add to the part emboldened, misunderstanding AND LIES!

Oh, surprise. @)(++(* @)(++(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:06:48 PM
There are many reasons and substances to which a cadaver dog can alert but with a properly trained scent dog you usually get what you asked for.
Well I'll upgrade my analysis then "There is only one solution in my opinion - Tracker dogs suggest she wandered
Cadaver dog suggests many reasons and substances, including a dead body may have been in the apartment.
Solution: If there was a body the dead body was not Madeleine.  Madeleine was abducted from the road.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:09:43 PM
There is a major difference between involvement and potential cover-up.

Like I said Alfie, without an abduction, where does that leave the McCann's, and they have claimed abduction from virtually the start.

I will await your answer.
The only logical theory is an abduction after MM woke and wandered. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 07:10:39 PM
The only logical theory is an abduction after MM woke and wandered.

Try explaining your rationale.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:15:16 PM
Very easy really.

If there was no abduction, where does it leave the McCann's ?
Is that a hypothetical question?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:18:02 PM
You can do it from both, but he was talking about the front door.
So the front door could be opened from the inside could it?  Or was it deadlocked and the key removed? 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:20:07 PM
As I have said before Alfie, bar a confession, assuming a crime was committed, we will probably never know the truth.
No - we are going to work it out.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:22:23 PM
Cadaver dog alerted in the apartment unknown as to how the scent got there.
That's fair enough.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 07, 2017, 07:24:15 PM
So the front door could be opened from the inside could it?  Or was it deadlocked and the key removed?
May I ask if this has anything to do with the price of chips?

He was talking about the front door.

Ask Mr Horrocks whether he thought the front door was deadlocked.  I neither know nor care about Mr Horrocks opinion on this point.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:26:44 PM
I have considered that Brie but the big difference is that if she was abducted from the apartment she was carried.  In those circumstances scent is not transferred directly to the ground which would be the case with a barefooted child. A child walking will lay a trail which can be easily followed.  The scent from a carried child will tend to dissipate and especially so if it is windy.

We can't rule out a RTA, it is still a very valid possibility.
What was RTA standing for please?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 07, 2017, 07:28:17 PM
What was RTA standing for please?
road traffic accident
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:32:09 PM
Try explaining your rationale.
It is the only logical theory I have heard so far.  Alfie has been asking for other logical theories and there have been none so far.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 07:34:50 PM
It is the only logical theory I have heard so far.  Alfie has been asking for other logical theories and there have been none so far.

That is a matter of opinion.

You seem to have forgotten the absence of evidence in this case, which can point to one scenario above another.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:36:35 PM
May I ask if this has anything to do with the price of chips?

He was talking about the front door.

Ask Mr Horrocks whether he thought the front door was deadlocked.  I neither know nor care about Mr Horrocks opinion on this point.
You told me he was talking about the front door.  Well when you said either door.  But I am questioning if it was possible to exit by the front door without knowing where the key was.

You were right SIL " If two people were involved, Madeleine could have been handed out of the window to the second person. If one, he could possibly have climbed out the window with her, but I believe it to be more likely that they left via the door leading to the car park. Although entry was gained via the patio doors, I do not believe this was the exit route as it is not only unnecessary and illogical, it would also substantially increase the chances of being seen." 

Still unproven that the door could be opened from inside without the key.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 07:37:45 PM
That is a matter of opinion.

You seem to have forgotten the absence of evidence in this case, which can point to one scenario above another.
All others fail on a logical analysis.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 07, 2017, 07:56:52 PM
I don't think there was any chance of Gerry and the man seen carrying the child encountering each other.  They were heading away from each other. Gerry downhill and back to the tapas the carrier behind him heading to where is anyone's guess.

More likely the carrier waited for Gerry to leave the apartment to make his move in the full expectation hat Gerry would be back in the tapas. 
Jez was the one change from other nights that an observer would not expect.

He was crossing the same road they all walked up to check. That wasn't Pre-planned and that man wasn't involved. You would go away from danger not towards it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 07, 2017, 08:07:40 PM
Where did this come from?

Eddie checked all the apartments of the group. The only one he alerted to was the missing child one and Keela alerted to blood. I don't believe in all these coincidences and Kate is a hypocrite. There were many dog alerts.

“As a lawyer once said to me, apropos another matter, ‘One coincidence, two coincidences – maybe they’re still coincidences. Any more than that and it stops being coincidence.” (Madeleine)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 08:11:05 PM
Eddie checked all the apartments of the group. The only one he alerted to was the missing child one and Keela alerted to blood. I don't believe in all these coincidences and Kate is a hypocrite. There were many dog alerts.

“As a lawyer once said to me, apropos another matter, ‘One coincidence, two coincidences – maybe they’re still coincidences. Any more than that and it stops being coincidence.” (Madeleine)
Maybe it was an error but you said "they know any body in a missing person case is probably moved 3 months later"   That was what I wanted to know about thanks.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 09:51:36 PM
He was crossing the same road they all walked up to check. That wasn't Pre-planned and that man wasn't involved. You would go away from danger not towards it.

How long did it take him to cross?

According to Horrocks thirty seconds.

Despite having been seen no alarm was raised because it would be appx. forty five minutes before anyone knew a child was missing ... so from his point of view ... RESULT! particularly since the only witness could only describe his clothing but not his features.

When a detective with the amount of experience of this type of crime under his belt that Horrocks has, voices an opinion, I am inclined to accept his opinion.

That is that Jane Tanner saw Madeleine's abduction in progress; Madeleine was carried to a vehicle parked in the near vicinity; she was then driven out of Luz on the nearby exit route and has not been seen from that day to this as far as we know.

She was well on her way before being missed and before the police were called ... all according to plan.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 07, 2017, 09:54:06 PM
How long did it take him to cross?

According to Horrocks thirty seconds.

Despite having been seen no alarm was raised because it would be appx. forty five minutes before anyone knew a child was missing ... so from his point of view ... RESULT! particularly since the only witness could only describe his clothing but not his features.

When a detective with the amount of experience of this type of crime under his belt that Horrocks has, oices an opinion, I am inclined to accept his opinion.

That is that Jane Tanner saw Madeleine's abduction in progress; Madeleine was carried to a vehicle parked in the near vicinity; she was then driven out of Luz on the nearby exit route and has not been seen from that day to this as far as we know.

She was well on her way before being missed and before the police were called ... all according to plan.

Yet not a shred of evidence to support it.

All Horrocks opinion.

Remember, abduction is not a fact, no matter the hyperbole surrounding those that support it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 07, 2017, 11:10:27 PM
Yet not a shred of evidence to support it.

All Horrocks opinion.

Remember, abduction is not a fact, no matter the hyperbole surrounding those that support it.

Eyewitness testimony is accepted in a court of law as "evidence" of what the eye witness saw ... therefore it is entirely wrong to say there is no evidence supporting Madeleine's abduction.  Jane Tanner saw it and what she saw would have been evidence in a trial.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 11:23:59 PM
He was crossing the same road they all walked up to check. That wasn't Pre-planned and that man wasn't involved. You would go away from danger not towards it.
I would say if he/she was involved it wasn't  with criminal intent.  I still believe Tanner person was part of the plot though.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 07, 2017, 11:37:38 PM
Eyewitness testimony is accepted in a court of law as "evidence" of what the eye witness saw ... therefore it is entirely wrong to say there is no evidence supporting Madeleine's abduction.  Jane Tanner saw it and what she saw would have been evidence in a trial.

And how credible would that 'evidence' appear to the jury when SY had all but ruled the sighting out ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 11:41:06 PM
And how credible would that 'evidence' appear to the jury when SY had all but ruled the sighting out ?
I'd love it to come to trial for SY would have to produce their witness and we'd see proof of the route he took back from the night creche, his name and the child's name, where he was staying, and the direction he was walking.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Montclair on May 07, 2017, 11:51:59 PM
These articles by rent-a-cops are irrelevant. These retired cops are paid by the editors of the newspapers to write what they are told, just like the journalists do nowadays.  No matter what the opinion of the person they will never be allowed to write something which shows the McCanns in a bad light or even in the slightest suggest that they could be responsible for the disappearance of their daughter.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 07, 2017, 11:56:07 PM
These articles by rent-a-cops are irrelevant. These retired cops are paid by the editors of the newspapers to write what they are told, just like the journalists do nowadays.  No matter what the opinion of the person they will never be allowed to write something which shows the McCanns in a bad light or even in the slightest suggest that they could be responsible for the disappearance of their daughter.
That must be bordering on being libellous IMO.  Have you got evidence of the claims you make?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 08, 2017, 12:14:40 AM
And how credible would that 'evidence' appear to the jury when SY had all but ruled the sighting out ?

Have they really?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 04:15:53 AM
What Horrocks says makes perfect sense and with his background should be taken seriously. There seems to be no one with any credibility suggesting the parents are involved so it's about time sceptics woke up
Horrocks describes the alerts as irrelevant and he is a policeman with a lot of experience
Once the parents are ruled out with woke and wandered so unlikely abduction does start to become a fact and explains the remit
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 06:59:48 AM
What Horrocks says makes perfect sense and with his background should be taken seriously. There seems to be no one with any credibility suggesting the parents are involved so it's about time sceptics woke up
Horrocks describes the alerts as irrelevant and he is a policeman with a lot of experience
Once the parents are ruled out with woke and wandered so unlikely abduction does start to become a fact and explains the remit
No.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 08, 2017, 07:05:55 AM
What Horrocks says makes perfect sense and with his background should be taken seriously. There seems to be no one with any credibility suggesting the parents are involved so it's about time sceptics woke up
Horrocks describes the alerts as irrelevant and he is a policeman with a lot of experience
Once the parents are ruled out with woke and wandered so unlikely abduction does start to become a fact and explains the remit

It seems to be a question of which policeman with a lot of experience you want to believe?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: barrier on May 08, 2017, 07:11:45 AM
Eyewitness testimony is accepted in a court of law as "evidence" of what the eye witness saw ... therefore it is entirely wrong to say there is no evidence supporting Madeleine's abduction.  Jane Tanner saw it and what she saw would have been evidence in a trial.
Whether such evidence stands up under cross examination by either the defence or prosecution in a court of law in another point entirely.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 07:15:23 AM
Eyewitness testimony is accepted in a court of law as "evidence" of what the eye witness saw ... therefore it is entirely wrong to say there is no evidence supporting Madeleine's abduction.  Jane Tanner saw it and what she saw would have been evidence in a trial.

A parent carrying a child home...........
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 07:17:32 AM
It seems to be a question of which policeman with a lot of experience you want to believe?

Indeed Slarti.

SY weren't on the scene when Madeleine disappeared.

The local police were. They witnessed the behaviour and reactions of the Mccanns.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: barrier on May 08, 2017, 07:26:06 AM
I'd love it to come to trial for SY would have to produce their witness and we'd see proof of the route he took back from the night creche, his name and the child's name, where he was staying, and the direction he was walking.
Strange isn't it Brunt door steps some one not connected,the beeb reporter sticks his mike under the nose of a couple of Portuguese not connected,SY are supposedly hot on the heels of purple haze yet this fella who could hold important info is barely mentioned,hmmm.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 08, 2017, 08:16:53 AM
It seems to be a question of which policeman with a lot of experience you want to believe?
The ones with the plausible, logical theories get my vote.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 08:20:18 AM
The ones with the plausible, logical theories get my vote.

Well, that's abduction out of the window. 8(0(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 08, 2017, 08:23:00 AM
Well, that's abduction out of the window. 8(0(*
OK then let's hear a plausible and logical theory by a cop that isn't abduction.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 08:28:46 AM
OK then let's hear a plausible and logical theory by a cop that isn't abduction.

That has been done already.

...and of course, you wouldn't want me to 'libel' anyone, would you.

As I said  yesterday, and several times before, there is no evidence to put one scenario above another.

..and if you really believe in abduction, let's see evidence to support it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 08:33:09 AM

The fact that they haven't found Madeleine's body is a good sign.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 08, 2017, 08:48:26 AM
The fact that they haven't found Madeleine's body is a good sign.

Not when the sea is so close it isn't.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 08:51:29 AM
tracker dogs aren't limited to only being able to follow the trail of barefooted pedestrians as far as I'm aware.

You miss the point.  Someone who is barefooted will leave a solid scent trail, someone wearing shoes will still leave a trail but a much weaker one and someone being carried at a height of four feet will leave very little of a trail.  I believe Madeleine was barefooted when she disappeared.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 09:03:52 AM
That has been done already.

...and of course, you wouldn't want me to 'libel' anyone, would you.

As I said  yesterday, and several times before, there is no evidence to put one scenario above another.

..and if you really believe in abduction, let's see evidence to support it.
The situation led her to believe Madeleine had been abducted.  Kate could read the signs present. 
1. Cuddle Cat was there,
2. Madeleine's shoes were still in the apartment,
3. the two gates and sliding door were all shut when she arrived,
4. the window was open and the exterior shutters were up. 

That was enough clues for Kate to consider abduction was the reason Madeleine was missing.  Taken together with the reaction of the parent is evidence of abduction.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 09:12:25 AM
Not when the sea is so close it isn't.

Short of going some distance out to sea in a boat, for which there is no sighting or evidence whatsoever, any body would have been shortly washed back up.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 09:13:00 AM
The situation led her to believe Madeleine had been abducted.  Kate could read the signs present. 
1. Cuddle Cat was there,
2. Madeleine's shoes were still in the apartment,
3. the two gates and sliding door were all shut when she arrived,
4. the window was open and the exterior shutters were up. 

That was enough clues for Kate to consider abduction was the reason Madeleine was missing.  Taken together with the reaction of the parent is evidence of abduction.

I'm afraid Rob, there is no verification of 3 or 4.

1 and 2 can be explained by other means.

Can you remember what she said outside the Portuguese Court when she and her husband were questioned by a local reporter , as to what evidence there was of abduction ?

She replied, ''I know, I was there''.

Followed by ''I know more than you do''.


7 minutes in.

She wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she Rob. 8)-)))

How could she know more ?

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 09:22:47 AM
I would go further and say it is most likely. It is what the dog was trained to alert to.

Normally I would tend to agree but there was so much cross contamination with items to be tested in this case that I feel the results were greatly compromised. If Eddie did detect cadaver scent there are innocent reasons already discussed why it could have been in apartment 5a.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 08, 2017, 09:28:15 AM
You miss the point.  Someone who is barefooted will leave a solid scent trail, someone wearing shoes will still leave a trail but a much weaker one and someone being carried at a height of four feet will leave very little of a trail.  I believe Madeleine was barefooted when she disappeared.
The dogs weren't able to tell us how strong the scent was - strong, medium or light so we are unable to tell from their actions whether or not she was wearing shoes at the time.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 09:29:35 AM
Normally I would tend to agree but there was so much cross contamination with items to be tested in this case that I feel the results were greatly compromised. If Eddie did detect cadaver scent there are innocent reasons already discussed why it could have been in apartment 5a.

However, the possibility remains.

Let's face reality.

What else is there in this case, other than that, and that Madeleine disappeared ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 08, 2017, 09:30:23 AM
That has been done already.

...and of course, you wouldn't want me to 'libel' anyone, would you.

As I said  yesterday, and several times before, there is no evidence to put one scenario above another.

..and if you really believe in abduction, let's see evidence to support it.
Of course not, we were talking about various cops' theories - I said I preferred those from cops that were logical and plausible.  The only cop I know of who has ventured a "parents dunnit" theory is Amaral and his theory is neither logical nor plausible in my (and Horrocks) opinion.  What do you think of it?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 09:31:17 AM
So the front door could be opened from the inside could it?  Or was it deadlocked and the key removed?

Do you notice anything significant from this police photo as to how the additional lock to 5a actually worked?

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 09:32:07 AM
It seems to be a question of which policeman with a lot of experience you want to believe?

I believe those that understand the evidence
Amaral doesn't  that's why he got so much wrong
It's all on record
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 08, 2017, 09:33:33 AM
Short of going some distance out to sea in a boat, for which there is no sighting or evidence whatsoever, any body would have been shortly washed back up.

Can you provide some cite for that?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 09:35:17 AM
I'm afraid Rob, there is no verification of 3 or 4.

1 and 2 can be explained by other means.

Can you remember what she said outside the Portuguese Court when she and her husband were questioned by a local reporter , as to what evidence there was of abduction ?

She replied, ''I know, I was there''.

Followed by ''I know more than you do''.


7 minutes in.

She wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she Rob. 8)-)))

How could she know more ?

Let's see what you are saying "I'm afraid Rob, there is no verification of 3 or 4."  In other  words because it was her experience you can't disprove that.

"1 and 2 can be explained by other means."  Do it then.

"She replied, ''I know, I was there. I know more than you do''.  I think you would have to agree that Kate experiencing the moment that she finds Madeleine missing is an experience no one else can ever experience, so she will know more than anyone about that experience.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 09:35:31 AM
Indeed Slarti.

SY weren't on the scene when Madeleine disappeared.

The local police were. They witnessed the behaviour and reactions of the Mccanns.

But they didn't understand the alerts or the forensic evidence  so who could have any faith in their conclusions
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: carlymichelle on May 08, 2017, 09:36:43 AM
Can you provide some cite for that?

i have read where bodies have been weighed  down  in the ocean or  water  by rocks or bricks hence  where  bodies are never  found because the body cant float  sorry to be graphic
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 09:39:11 AM
Let's see what you are saying "I'm afraid Rob, there is no verification of 3 or 4."  In other  words because it was her experience you can't disprove that.

"1 and 2 can be explained by other means."  Do it then.

"She replied, ''I know, I was there. I know more than you do''.  I think you would have to agree that Kate experiencing the moment that she finds Madeleine missing is an experience no one else can ever experience, so she will know more than anyone about that experience.

No verification Rob, means precisely that.

Second, she wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she.

1 and 2, by the other scenarios.

Oh, by the way, what photos are there of Madeleine holding this cuddlecat ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 09:40:05 AM
Can you provide some cite for that?

Someone involved in the investigation checked the tide pattern, and the fact that all high places had rocks underneath.

Throwing a body from the beach wouldn't have worked either.

It's all on here somewhere as like everything else, it has all been done before.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 09:42:47 AM
i have read where bodies have been weighed  down  in the ocean or  water  by rocks or bricks hence  where  bodies are never  found because the body cant float  sorry to be graphic

You need a boat to do that.  Did anyone see any of The Tapas 9 putting to sea in a boat.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 09:42:55 AM
Can you provide some cite for that?
Eleanor - words to this effect are in Mark Harrison the English search adviser's report.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 09:44:25 AM
Eleanor - words to this effect are in Mark Harrison the English search adviser's report.

Yep, I thought it was Mark Harrison.  But thanks for that.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 09:45:23 AM
What Horrocks says makes perfect sense and with his background should be taken seriously. There seems to be no one with any credibility suggesting the parents are involved so it's about time sceptics woke up
Horrocks describes the alerts as irrelevant and he is a policeman with a lot of experience
Once the parents are ruled out with woke and wandered so unlikely abduction does start to become a fact and explains the remit

His comments are a direct contradiction of Redwoods.  One believes Tannerman was probably Crècheman while the other doesn't.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 09:46:53 AM
The dogs weren't able to tell us how strong the scent was - strong, medium or light so we are unable to tell from their actions whether or not she was wearing shoes at the time.
Amy Tierney asked Kate if Madeleine's shoes were still there and she records in her statement  that they were present.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 09:51:43 AM
No verification Rob, means precisely that.

Second, she wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she.

1 and 2, by the other scenarios.

Oh, by the way, what photos are there of Madeleine holding this cuddlecat ?
Second, she wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she.  so she didn't do it then - thanks for confirming your belief of that.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 09:53:44 AM
The dogs weren't able to tell us how strong the scent was - strong, medium or light so we are unable to tell from their actions whether or not she was wearing shoes at the time.

Both Portuguese search dogs independently indicated the same route while searching for Madeleine which is a positive result and highly significant.  Neither dog followed the route taken by Tannerman.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 09:57:56 AM
i have read where bodies have been weighed  down  in the ocean or  water  by rocks or bricks hence  where  bodies are never  found because the body cant float  sorry to be graphic

And it is recorded that there were boats out that night.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 10:00:51 AM
Second, she wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she.  so she didn't do it then - thanks for confirming your belief of that.

Very true, she was sat at the tapas restaurant all night.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 10:01:23 AM
Well, that's abduction out of the window. 8(0(*
Abduction wasn't and isn't out of the window
Horrocks has been there and along with other experts have said how easy abduction would have been
Even sil has said abduction is the most likely in the latest newspaper article
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 10:01:56 AM
And it is recorded that there were boats out that night.
Were the skippers questioned?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 10:08:39 AM
And it is recorded that there were boats out that night.

So which one of The Tapas 9 could that have been?  And where would they have found a boat?  Unless you think they had one lined up ready

Or perhaps it was Robert Murat.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on May 08, 2017, 10:10:52 AM
These articles by rent-a-cops are irrelevant. These retired cops are paid by the editors of the newspapers to write what they are told, just like the journalists do nowadays.  No matter what the opinion of the person they will never be allowed to write something which shows the McCanns in a bad light or even in the slightest suggest that they could be responsible for the disappearance of their daughter.

Indeed and that about sums it up. Perhaps that is why there was such a huge 10 year anniversary media blast,which was unplanned(?)apparently &%+((£ @)(++(*
After Amaral Won!, the media had to report it and this opened up a whole new audience,questioning the Tapas and their behaviour.... rushing in PR -Reputation Management.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 10:15:05 AM
Second, she wasn't there when Madeleine disappeared, was she.  so she didn't do it then - thanks for confirming your belief of that.



The truth is, none of us know what actually happened.

There is absolutely no verification of Kate Mccann's accounts of events.

Her comments outside the court, don't make sense.

We have our beliefs, or if you prefer theories.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 10:16:42 AM
Very true, she was sat at the tapas restaurant all night.

Only from the time she arrived there.

Hardly all night.

Barely a hour and a half in fact.

Oh, by the way, is there any evidence at all, other than the night Madeleine disappeared, Kate McCann actually checked on the children on any other night ?

Remembering the claim, both the mccanns made, that they regularly checked on the children.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 10:19:16 AM
Only from the time she arrived there.

Hardly all night.

Barely a hour and a half in fact.

Lots of time to plan a cover up then.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 08, 2017, 10:19:56 AM
Were the skippers questioned?

These were row boats operated by lone fishermen.  They can be seen often out at night.  As to questioning, unsure?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on May 08, 2017, 10:25:10 AM
Only from the time she arrived there.

Hardly all night.

Barely a hour and a half in fact.

It would have been easier if the Tapas had a'child checkig' schedule they stuck to.... alas this wasn't a consideration for their 'listening' checks. How remis. I wonder why they bothered with that system as they knew their children were prone to wake up, and the mobile ones could wonder and get themselves into difficulties of sorts. Hence why Kate left a door unlocked. Hence why a woke and wondered scenario is so hated and denied because it would apportion blame to the mother.  Over to you Ian... want to change your mind again?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 10:31:10 AM



The truth is, none of us know what actually happened.

There is absolutely no verification of Kate Mccann's accounts of events.

Her comments outside the court, don't make sense.

We have our beliefs, or if you prefer theories.
So would you care to explain your theory then instead of just rubbishing mine.
You say "there is absolutely no verification of Kate Mccann's accounts of events" yet I repeatedly tell you that Gerry and Amy Tierney do confirm Kate's account.

Her comments do make sense to me.

Put up your theory for scrutiny please?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 10:38:03 AM
So would you care to explain your theory then instead of just rubbishing mine.
You say "there is absolutely no verification of Kate Mccann's accounts of events" yet I repeatedly tell you that Gerry and Amy Tierney do confirm Kate's account.

Her comment do make sense to me.

Put up your theory for scrutiny please?

We've been through this all before.


That Rob was after 10 pm and therefore meaningless.

As to my 'theory' Rob, it is one shared by others, and hardly unique to me. I also defer to the possibility that she got out of the apartment herself, and if you wish to trail through my old posts, you can find the reason why.

However, unlike you  I do realize that there is insufficient evidence of any scenario to solve the case.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 10:39:54 AM
It would have been easier if the Tapas had a'child checkig' schedule they stuck to.... alas this wasn't a consideration for their 'listening' checks. How remis. I wonder why they bothered with that system as they knew their children were prone to wake up, and the mobile ones could wonder and get themselves into difficulties of sorts. Hence why Kate left a door unlocked. Hence why a woke and wondered scenario is so hated and denied because it would apportion blame to the mother. 
It gets tricky but I tend to agree with what you are saying here.  But she can only be blamed for leaving the door unlocked, hardly a major crime.  She can't be blamed for abducting the child from a woke and wandered situation.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on May 08, 2017, 10:51:39 AM
It gets tricky but I tend to agree with what you are saying here.  But she can only be blamed for leaving the door unlocked, hardly a major crime.  She can't be blamed for abducting the child from a woke and wandered situation.

I am not saying I agree or disagree with the woke and wandered theory. However I disagree with your analysis that based on leaving a child alone in an apartment who is free to wander outside to be abducted is a major crime in which The mother should shoulder some responsibility. They walked away from that- smiling, free to enjoy new lives. And became the biggest victims of police brutality, Portuges justice ( according to them and thier fan club) since Pontius Pilot.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 10:58:12 AM
I am not saying I agree or disagree with the woke and wandered theory. However I disagree with your analysis that based on leaving a child alone in an apartment who is free to wander outside to be abducted is a major crime in which The mother should shoulder some responsibility. They walked away from that- smiling, free to enjoy new lives. And became the biggest victims of police brutality, Portuges justice ( according to them and thier fan club) since Pontius Pilot.
How could anyone think that the McCanns have had a wonderful time over the last 10 years? 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 08, 2017, 11:03:07 AM
I am not saying I agree or disagree with the woke and wandered theory. However I disagree with your analysis that based on leaving a child alone in an apartment who is free to wander outside to be abducted is a major crime in which The mother should shoulder some responsibility. They walked away from that- smiling, free to enjoy new lives. And became the biggest victims of police brutality, Portuges justice ( according to them and thier fan club) since Pontius Pilot.

If you really believe that the parents of a missing child ... any missing child ... or even any missing person ... emerge from that unscathed and "enjoying new lives" ... I believe you are sadly deluded.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on May 08, 2017, 11:20:58 AM
If you really believe that the parents of a missing child ... any missing child ... or even any missing person ... emerge from that unscathed and "enjoying new lives" ... I believe you are sadly deluded.


My comments do not say they live happily ever after , They reflect that they are responsible for their daughters fate, and instead of being charged and  jailed( an may have been the case) they walked free to get new lives. They walked away free, smiling and they did and do enjoy berating anyone who dares to challege them and their theories. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: carlymichelle on May 08, 2017, 11:27:31 AM
My comments do not say they live happily ever after , They reflect that they are responsible for their daughters fate, and instead of being charged and  jailed( an may have been the case) they walked free to get new lives. They walked away free, smiling and they did and do enjoy berating anyone who dares to challege them and their theories. 

oh   come on supporters  were devastated  when  amaral  won even though they  deny it @)(++(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 11:28:18 AM
How could anyone think that the McCanns have had a wonderful time over the last 10 years?

Their problems are self inflicted Rob.

Did you see the images/photos from the BBC interview.

Here's one of them.

(http://i3.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article10326282.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/Kate-And-Gerry-McCann-Give-An-Interview-To-The-BBC-To-Mark-10-Year-Anniversary-of-Disappearance-Of-T.jpg)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: carlymichelle on May 08, 2017, 11:32:27 AM
Their problems are self inflicted Rob.

Did you see the images/photos from the BBC interview.

Here's one of them.

(http://i3.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article10326282.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/Kate-And-Gerry-McCann-Give-An-Interview-To-The-BBC-To-Mark-10-Year-Anniversary-of-Disappearance-Of-T.jpg)

wow  &%+((£ are they doing a modelling  course??
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 08, 2017, 11:41:58 AM
oh   come on supporters  were devastated  when  amaral  won even though they  deny it @)(++(*

Wrong.  I thought it was a huge opportunity to have a laugh at The Portuguese Justice System.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 11:42:44 AM
Wrong.  I thought it was a huge opportunity to have a laugh at The Portuguese Justice System.


Nah.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 11:48:30 AM
Ian Horrocks is an experienced detective
He has said the dog alerts are irrelevant
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 08, 2017, 12:00:47 PM
Ian Horrocks is an experienced detective
He has said the dog alerts are irrelevant

He has also poured scorn on the idea that the parents are involved, but has no evidence to support his belief. Choosy!
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 08, 2017, 12:01:38 PM
I have leaned towards the theory that the intruder had a key to the wooden door and made entry from there

However Horrocks' notion of how entry was made is worth looking at and it is something which the forum has previously discussed.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6209.msg232924#msg232924

Horrocks says "These actions could be seen from within the Ocean Club area, as well as from the alleyway that runs between this and the apartment. Due to the height of the wall and foliage on top of it, as well as the area inside being well lit, in contrast to the darkness elsewhere, those dining would have been easily observed whilst anyone in the alleyway could remain unseen. Sunset on the 3rd May 2007 was at 8.25pm, so it would have been getting quite dark by 9pm.

Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. They would have observed the group for a few minutes and then gone to the apartment. At the end of the alleyway they could see that the road was clear, it is then only literally a second for someone to go through the gate and into the garden area, where they would be virtually out of sight. It is then simple to enter the apartment through the patio doors, which although closed, had been left unlocked."  End Quote

I don't think it would have been necessary for an intruder to be exposed using the road to the gate ... it would have been easy enough to get across the wall and gain entry from the garden.

Margaret Hall who had been baby sitting in apartment 5a the year prior to Madeleine's disappearance recounted witnessing a man lurking in the shadows ... we had some discussion whether that was at the front of the building or poolside.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6209.msg232924#msg232924

In my opinion her encounter was poolside.
Which certainly ties in with what Horrocks has said about the ease of access from that area.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 08, 2017, 12:06:20 PM
I am not saying I agree or disagree with the woke and wandered theory. However I disagree with your analysis that based on leaving a child alone in an apartment who is free to wander outside to be abducted is a major crime in which The mother should shoulder some responsibility. They walked away from that- smiling, free to enjoy new lives. And became the biggest victims of police brutality, Portuges justice ( according to them and thier fan club) since Pontius Pilot.

So the thousands of parents who have done exactly the same on holiday and also regularly left their children alone whilst they went to dinner - are all criminals IYO?    So why are some of them still doing the same - and why have none of them  been arrested?

I've never seen any evidence of the 'happy new life' which you infer the McCann family went home to enjoy.  AFAIAC if they were guilty - then a life which consists of living a lie every day and having to watch every word they ever said for the rest of their lives -  is not a life worth living.  The stress of having to do that - especially in public - would be intolerable.   Why would anyone choose such a vile life for themselves given the choice?

The McCanns did have a choice - they could have returned home - requested privacy - and just kept their heads down until it all disappeared from the public's mind.   

However,  It is glaringly obvious that the fact  they chose to do the opposite and kept asking for the case to be re-investigated are not the actions of guilty people - by any stretch of the imagination. 

The idea that they returned home to enjoy a new life could not be further from the truth  imo.

AIMHO



Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 12:15:00 PM
I have leaned towards the theory that the intruder had a key to the wooden door and made entry from there

However Horrocks' notion of how entry was made is worth looking at and it is something which the forum has previously discussed.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6209.msg232924#msg232924

Horrocks says "These actions could be seen from within the Ocean Club area, as well as from the alleyway that runs between this and the apartment. Due to the height of the wall and foliage on top of it, as well as the area inside being well lit, in contrast to the darkness elsewhere, those dining would have been easily observed whilst anyone in the alleyway could remain unseen. Sunset on the 3rd May 2007 was at 8.25pm, so it would have been getting quite dark by 9pm.

Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. They would have observed the group for a few minutes and then gone to the apartment. At the end of the alleyway they could see that the road was clear, it is then only literally a second for someone to go through the gate and into the garden area, where they would be virtually out of sight. It is then simple to enter the apartment through the patio doors, which although closed, had been left unlocked."  End Quote

I don't think it would have been necessary for an intruder to be exposed using the road to the gate ... it would have been easy enough to get across the wall and gain entry from the garden.

Margaret Hall who had been baby sitting in apartment 5a the year prior to Madeleine's disappearance recounted witnessing a man lurking in the shadows ... we had some discussion whether that was at the front of the building or poolside.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6209.msg232924#msg232924

In my opinion her encounter was poolside.
Which certainly ties in with what Horrocks has said about the ease of access from that area.

How high were the fences between the private gardens?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 08, 2017, 12:19:11 PM
I have leaned towards the theory that the intruder had a key to the wooden door and made entry from there

However Horrocks' notion of how entry was made is worth looking at and it is something which the forum has previously discussed.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6209.msg232924#msg232924

Horrocks says "These actions could be seen from within the Ocean Club area, as well as from the alleyway that runs between this and the apartment. Due to the height of the wall and foliage on top of it, as well as the area inside being well lit, in contrast to the darkness elsewhere, those dining would have been easily observed whilst anyone in the alleyway could remain unseen. Sunset on the 3rd May 2007 was at 8.25pm, so it would have been getting quite dark by 9pm.

Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. They would have observed the group for a few minutes and then gone to the apartment. At the end of the alleyway they could see that the road was clear, it is then only literally a second for someone to go through the gate and into the garden area, where they would be virtually out of sight. It is then simple to enter the apartment through the patio doors, which although closed, had been left unlocked."  End Quote

I don't think it would have been necessary for an intruder to be exposed using the road to the gate ... it would have been easy enough to get across the wall and gain entry from the garden.

Margaret Hall who had been baby sitting in apartment 5a the year prior to Madeleine's disappearance recounted witnessing a man lurking in the shadows ... we had some discussion whether that was at the front of the building or poolside.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6209.msg232924#msg232924

In my opinion her encounter was poolside.
Which certainly ties in with what Horrocks has said about the ease of access from that area.

So are you saying that if the patio doors hadn't been left ajar in all possibility Madeleine would not have been taken ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 08, 2017, 12:29:15 PM
Brietta - What do you mean by encounter?  "In my opinion her encounter was poolside."
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 08, 2017, 01:32:53 PM
Are we saying that they coldly decided that Madeleine was dead and then put together an elaborate plan to dispose of her body? Did Gerry McCann simply walk down the road with his daughter’s body and dispose of it, and then calmly go out for dinner. This is ridiculous in the extreme.

The fact is the man the Smiths saw is still unidentified and he wasn't seen before dinner. Horrocks can't even get his facts right and should never rule anything out without evidence.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 01:59:23 PM
So the thousands of parents who have done exactly the same on holiday and also regularly left their children alone whilst they went to dinner - are all criminals IYO?    So why are some of them still doing the same - and why have none of them  been arrested?

I've never seen any evidence of the 'happy new life' which you infer the McCann family went home to enjoy.  AFAIAC if they were guilty - then a life which consists of living a lie every day and having to watch every word they ever said for the rest of their lives -  is not a life worth living.  The stress of having to do that - especially in public - would be intolerable.   Why would anyone choose such a vile life for themselves given the choice?

The McCanns did have a choice - they could have returned home - requested privacy - and just kept their heads down until it all disappeared from the public's mind.   

However,  It is glaringly obvious that the fact  they chose to do the opposite and kept asking for the case to be re-investigated are not the actions of guilty people - by any stretch of the imagination. 

The idea that they returned home to enjoy a new life could not be further from the truth  imo.

AIMHO

You keep saying, thousands of people have done the same.

Now cite some data to back it up please.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Angelo222 on May 08, 2017, 05:09:12 PM
So the thousands of parents who have done exactly the same on holiday and also regularly left their children alone whilst they went to dinner - are all criminals IYO?    So why are some of them still doing the same - and why have none of them  been arrested?

I've never seen any evidence of the 'happy new life' which you infer the McCann family went home to enjoy.  AFAIAC if they were guilty - then a life which consists of living a lie every day and having to watch every word they ever said for the rest of their lives -  is not a life worth living.  The stress of having to do that - especially in public - would be intolerable.   Why would anyone choose such a vile life for themselves given the choice?

The McCanns did have a choice - they could have returned home - requested privacy - and just kept their heads down until it all disappeared from the public's mind.   

However,  It is glaringly obvious that the fact  they chose to do the opposite and kept asking for the case to be re-investigated are not the actions of guilty people - by any stretch of the imagination. 

The idea that they returned home to enjoy a new life could not be further from the truth  imo.

AIMHO

This happens in hotels where the facilities are all under one roof and where there are listening services.  Leaving small children all alone in an unsecured apartment immediately adjacent to a public road while the parents went off dining and socialising was irresponsible.  It matters little whether it was 50 metres away or 5 miles, events can occur where youngsters are concerned.

What is all the more galling about this case is the fact that facilities were available but the McCanns thought they knew better and didn't bother.  They took a chance and it backfired on them.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 08, 2017, 05:31:00 PM
This happens in hotels where the facilities are all under one roof and where there are listening services.  Leaving small children all alone in an unsecured apartment immediately adjacent to a public road while the parents went off dining and socialising was irresponsible.  It matters little whether it was 50 metres away or 5 miles, events can occur where youngsters are concerned.

What is all the more galling about this case is the fact that facilities were available but the McCanns thought they knew better and didn't bother.  They took a chance and it backfired on them.

1.  A total retreat from theMcCannsdunsomethingdreadfultoMadeleineandcovereditup

2.  A regular checking-system (narrowly) failed to thwart an abduction imo.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 05:33:59 PM
This happens in hotels where the facilities are all under one roof and where there are listening services.  Leaving small children all alone in an unsecured apartment immediately adjacent to a public road while the parents went off dining and socialising was irresponsible.  It matters little whether it was 50 metres away or 5 miles, events can occur where youngsters are concerned.

What is all the more galling about this case is the fact that facilities were available but the McCanns thought they knew better and didn't bother.  They took a chance and it backfired on them.
It is irresponsible in your opinion
People take chances every day
Far more children will be harmed by parents who smoke around them than are left to sleep in apartments
Far more children are harmed by parents not putting them in seat belts
Many children have been left alone on holiday
The McCann situation will have caused that number to fall
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 06:28:31 PM
I can't cut and paste at the moment so let's start with his reference to family history
That's evidence but you probably don't realise it
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 06:32:12 PM
1.  A total retreat from theMcCannsdunsomethingdreadfultoMadeleineandcovereditup

2.  A regular checking-system (narrowly) failed to thwart an abduction.

We do know why you have to type abduction.

Without it, the McCann's are up the creek.

You know that, the McCann's know that, and so does anyone with an independent mind.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 08, 2017, 06:37:16 PM
We do know why you have to type abduction.

Without it, the McCann's are up the creek.

You know that, the McCann's know that, and so does anyone with an independent mind.

 Rather a silly statement
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 06:42:44 PM
This happens in hotels where the facilities are all under one roof and where there are listening services.  Leaving small children all alone in an unsecured apartment immediately adjacent to a public road while the parents went off dining and socialising was irresponsible.  It matters little whether it was 50 metres away or 5 miles, events can occur where youngsters are concerned.

What is all the more galling about this case is the fact that facilities were available but the McCanns thought they knew better and didn't bother.  They took a chance and it backfired on them.

It was inexcusable, and the arrogant pair thought they knew better.

Madeleine suffered the consequences.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 07:22:20 PM
As you well know Alfie, an alternative theory would be regarded as libel.

The irony is, that the abduction scenario is typed, without a shred of real evidence to support it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 08, 2017, 07:24:52 PM
As you well know Alfie, an alternative theory would be regarded as libel.

The irony is, that the abduction scenario is typed, without a shred of real evidence to support it.
It's so fortunate for you "sceptics" that this site doesn't allow you to share your views on what happened, that way you never get properly challenged - and let's face it any theory you did put down (libel aside) would has as much evidence as Horrocks' theory ie: not alot.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 08, 2017, 07:41:10 PM
I can't cut and paste at the moment so let's start with his reference to family history
That's evidence but you probably don't realise it

The fact that a family appears OK doesn't mean it is OK. I would expect a policeman to know that you can't judge by appearances, but he seems to be doing just that.

Sometimes, families who seem to have it all from the outside are hiding a different story behind closed doors.
https://www.helpguide.org/articles/abuse/child-abuse-and-neglect.htm


Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 08, 2017, 07:41:30 PM
It's so fortunate for you "sceptics" that this site doesn't allow you to share your views on what happened, that way you never get properly challenged - and let's face it any theory you did put down (libel aside) would has as much evidence as Horrocks' theory ie: not alot.

If you had bothered to pay attention, I have been saying that for some considerable time, i.e. there is b....r all evidence to support any scenario.

As to properly challenged, I would like the opportunity to really challenge supporters view of the case, but I know if I or others do that, the posts will be removed, and/or we get points. 8**8:/:
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 08, 2017, 09:00:05 PM
If you had bothered to pay attention, I have been saying that for some considerable time, i.e. there is b....r all evidence to support any scenario.

As to properly challenged, I would like the opportunity to really challenge supporters view of the case, but I know if I or others do that, the posts will be removed, and/or we get points. 8**8:/:
Why?  Properly challenge away.  As long as you're not abusive or goading I don't see why you would get points
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 08, 2017, 10:17:07 PM
From reading what Mr Horrocks has said, plus doing some research into his professional background his theory, whether you think its accurate or not, he is qualified to make an opinion on Madeleine's case. The original post is thought provoking and well laid out and his points as to why Madeleine's parents should be dismissed as suspects are also balanced and an astute conclusion based on what little evidence there is.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 02:21:53 AM
The fact that a family appears OK doesn't mean it is OK. I would expect a policeman to know that you can't judge by appearances, but he seems to be doing just that.

Sometimes, families who seem to have it all from the outside are hiding a different story behind closed doors.
https://www.helpguide.org/articles/abuse/child-abuse-and-neglect.htm

The family history is just one piece in the jigsaw
One piece of evidence
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 09, 2017, 06:08:27 AM
The family history is just one piece in the jigsaw
One piece of evidence

A lack of known problems doesn't mean there were none. So what else did he have?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 06:18:03 AM
A lack of known problems doesn't mean there were none. So what else did he have?
Read his article
It's everything I have thought for the past ten years
Good to see someone so informed having the same thoughts
His comment that the canine alerts are irrelevant is spot on and from a very experienced policeman
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 07:06:47 AM
Why?  Properly challenge away.  As long as you're not abusive or goading I don't see why you would get points

I am happy to debate the points you make where I and others can expect a reasonable opportunity to do so. Other than that, you already know where I post elsewhere and you are welcome to discuss the issues there.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 07:09:12 AM
From reading what Mr Horrocks has said, plus doing some research into his professional background his theory, whether you think its accurate or not, he is qualified to make an opinion on Madeleine's case. The original post is thought provoking and well laid out and his points as to why Madeleine's parents should be dismissed as suspects are also balanced and an astute conclusion based on what little evidence there is.

Mr. Horrocks has no evidence.


He has his opinions, and the bias he has already shown in this case.

Any ex-police officer worth his NaCl, would know you can't eliminate possible suspects, when any crime has yet to be determined.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 09, 2017, 07:19:59 AM
Read his article
It's everything I have thought for the past ten years
Good to see someone so informed having the same thoughts
His comment that the canine alerts are irrelevant is spot on and from a very experienced policeman

I've read it and it's just an opinion piece bringing nothing new or enlightening to the case.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 07:24:32 AM
I've read it and it's just an opinion piece bringing nothing new or enlightening to the case.

Exactly.

An opinion. He nailed his colours to the mast when he worked for the Sun on the case, and we know all too well  that paper's slant on this case. 100% backing of the McCann's.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 09, 2017, 08:14:23 AM
Exactly.

An opinion. He nailed his colours to the mast when he worked for the Sun on the case, and we know all too well  that paper's slant on this case. 100% backing of the McCann's.

The irony is that the McCann supporters think Horrock's opinion counts because of his background and experience. Yet the opinion of another ex policeman who has as much experience and who worked on the case doesn't count.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 08:19:42 AM
The irony is that the McCann supporters think Horrock's opinion counts because of his background and experience. Yet the opinion of another ex policeman who has as much experience and who worked on the case doesn't count.
Because it's patently absurd as I'm sure even you would agree.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 08:21:35 AM
I've read it and it's just an opinion piece bringing nothing new or enlightening to the case.
But it is plausible and logically thought through is it not?  The fact of the matter is whatever happened to Madeleine will already have been described as a theory by now, so nothing is new, one of them is bound to be close to the truth, some are alot closer to the truth than others.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 08:32:01 AM
It is fascinating to observe those who  support Horrocks

Also, he nailed his colours to the McCann supporting Sun, which tells us everything we need to know about Horrocks.

He has merely provided his jaundiced view of the case, even though he doesn't know what crime occurred.

Enough said.


Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 09:12:22 AM
As we know, Horrocks was employed by the Sun.

The Sun had a book deal with the mccann's.

The Sun, let's not forget Ms. Brooks, has been 100% behind the McCann's.

Besides Horrocks wasn't there in 2007.

Did Horrocks interview the McCann's ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 09:29:37 AM
It is fascinating to observe those who  support Horrocks, knowing full well his incompetency in the Jill Dando case, as regards Barry George.

Also, he nailed his colours to the McCann supporting Sun, which tells us everything we need to know about Horrocks.

He has merely provided his jaundiced view of the case, even though he doesn't know what crime occurred.

Enough said.
Yes, he's provided his view to which he is entitled - do you think he's been paid to have this view and isn't sincere or something?  Attack the substance of what he says, not the man himself if you can.  What in his theory is implausible or illogical?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 09:33:08 AM
Yes, he's provided his view to which he is entitled - do you think he's been paid to have this view and isn't sincere or something?  Attack the substance of what he says, not the man himself if you can.  What in his theory is implausible or illogical?

It's all hypothetical.

Has he had access to all the PJ files on the case ?

Has he interviewed the parties concerned ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 09, 2017, 09:33:19 AM
Yes, he's provided his view to which he is entitled - do you think he's been paid to have this view and isn't sincere or something?  Attack the substance of what he says, not the man himself if you can.  What in his theory is implausible or illogical?

Horrocks was paid for his opinion, agreed? In this country Horrocks would not have been able to postulate a theory in the media with the McCanns as perpetrators, agreed? QED if he wanted paid this theory, or similar, was his only choice.

It really isn't rocket science.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 09:35:06 AM
Horrocks was paid for his opinion, agreed? In this country Horrocks would not have been able to postulate a theory in the media with the McCanns as perpetrators, agreed? QED if he wanted paid this theory, or similar, was his only choice.

It really isn't rocket science.

That Faithlilly precisely summarizes the situation.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 09:39:43 AM
Horrocks was paid for his opinion, agreed? In this country Horrocks would not have been able to postulate a theory in the media with the McCanns as perpetrators, agreed? QED if he wanted paid this theory, or similar, was his only choice.

It really isn't rocket science.
Even if he was paid a million pounds for it it's a pretty decent theory that is plausible and logical and hangs well on the known facts of the case, unlike theory of parental involvement that I have read in ten years (including yours).
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 09:45:10 AM
Even if he was paid a million pounds for it it's a pretty decent theory that is plausible and logical and hangs well on the known facts of the case, unlike theory of parental involvement that I have read in ten years (including yours).

Nope, it's a view you like, because it doesn't involve the McCann's.

He has b....r all facts, let alone evidence to deal with.

He hasn't interviewed the McCann's, or watch them under interview as regards being questioned about the events.

I trust the police on the ground in 2007, who saw what the McCann's did at the time, and the way they responded and behaved.

To top that, no evidence to support abduction was found.

P.S. What trail has been uncovered as regards kidnappers, burglars or paedophiles ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 09, 2017, 10:02:51 AM
Firstly I don't think it's necessary for a policeman to have direct contact with an individual to assess their character. Whether that assessment would be accurate is doubtful.

As to character flaws, is wanting to protect one's family from criminal charges potentially leading to financial ruin and the splitting up of that family really a character flaw?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 09, 2017, 10:03:51 AM
Even if he was paid a million pounds for it it's a pretty decent theory that is plausible and logical and hangs well on the known facts of the case, unlike theory of parental involvement that I have read in ten years (including yours).

It's speculative at best, as is mine.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:11:34 AM
Here's an easy and open question for all McCann's supporters to answer.

If there was no 'abduction', where does it leave the McCann's ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:12:48 AM
The fact is that it's not just Horrocks saying abduction is the most likely
It's just about every informed report
Amaral and his coffin however are completely on their own
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Here's an easy and open question for all McCann's supporters to answer.

If there was no 'abduction', where does it leave the McCann's ?
You tell us where you think it leaves them
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:15:11 AM
P.S. I'm just watching some sniffer dogs being deployed, and would you believe it, they play as they search.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 10:15:24 AM
Here's an easy and open question for all McCann's supporters to answer.

If there was no 'abduction', where does it leave the McCann's ?
They would still have their nuclear family of 5 instead of 4.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:18:04 AM
They would still have their nuclear family of 5 instead of 4.

Let's try again Rob.

Madeleine disappeared, FACT.

Where does it leave the McCann's if she wasn't abducted  when she disappeared?

I await cogent replies.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:21:39 AM
P.S. I'm just watching some sniffer dogs being deployed, and would you believe it, they play as they search.

Really
And does the handler keep bringing them back to spots they have previously ignored
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:23:21 AM
It does seem quite remarkable how some people haven't taken time to watch forensic/police dogs being deployed, either on camera, or in real life.


IT WOULD HELP.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:26:09 AM
It does seem quite remarkable how some people haven't taken time to watch forensic/police dogs being deployed, either on camera, or in real life.


IT WOULD HELP.

It would help if sceptics listened to what the experts say about the alerts
Mark Harrison
No inference can be drawn from unconfirmed alerts
It would help if amaral read it
10 yrs and you still don't understand the alerts
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: carlymichelle on May 09, 2017, 10:27:59 AM
responsible for whatever her fate is??
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:29:12 AM
It would help, if some people stopped typing cliches.

It is well known the alerts weren't corroborated, and neither were they dismissed either.

The possibility remains, the dogs alerted to a body, and that really galls both the McCann's and some of their supporters.

Since no matter how long they type on the subject, the alerts remain.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: carlymichelle on May 09, 2017, 10:31:30 AM
It would help, if some people stopped typing cliches.

It is well known the alerts weren't corroborated, and neither were they dismissed either.

The possibility remains, the dogs alerted to a body, and that really galls both the McCann's and some of their supporters.

Since no matter how long they type on the subject, the alerts remain.

sniffer dogs are trained for years  stephen they live with their trainers and havea bond  police understand more about their alerts and movements then supporters  who  are too emotionally  atttached to think   outside the box imo
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:33:17 AM
sniffer dogs are trained for years  stephen they live with their trainers and havea bond  police understand more about their alerts and movements then supporters  who  are too emotionally  atttached to think   outside the box imo

Precisely Carly.

perhaps some of the supporters should watch the plethora of material available on the net or TV, watching police dogs being trained, and deployed.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 10:33:34 AM
Let's try again Rob.

Madeleine disappeared, FACT.

Where does it leave the McCann's if she wasn't abducted  when she disappeared?

I await cogent replies.
They would still have their nuclear family of 5 instead of 4 because without an abduction she would have been found in the area.
Disappeared and then found.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:34:53 AM
They would still have their nuclear family of 5 instead of 4 because without an abduction she would have been found in the area.


Keep trying Rob, and try answering the question properly.

It would help.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 09, 2017, 10:35:37 AM
They would still have their nuclear family of 5 instead of 4 because without an abduction she would have been found in the area.

A very good answer.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 10:36:45 AM
A very good answer.

Yet she wasn't, and there is no evidence to show abduction, over any other possibility.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:37:48 AM
They would still have their nuclear family of 5 instead of 4 because without an abduction she would have been found in the area.
Disappeared and then found.

A very good answer Rob
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 10:43:11 AM

Keep trying Rob, and try answering the question properly.

It would help.
I have, I suggest it is just that you don't like my answer.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:44:02 AM
Yet she wasn't, and there is no evidence to show abduction, over any other possibility.
Yes of course as far as you and the very intelligent sceptics are concerned the evidence points to Maddie dying in the apartment

Woof woof
But the fact is no one with any sense agrees with you
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 10:46:36 AM
Your post is absolute rubbish
It isn't emotional attachment it's an understanding of what the alerts signify
You don't understand
None of the sceptics understand yet it's quite simple if you listen to the experts

@colinsutton During your time as police what was your experience of specialist police dogs - percentage wise how reliable were cadaver dogs?

"Used them twice, they were correct twice."
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:49:36 AM
@colinsutton During your time as police what was your experience of specialist police dogs - percentage wise how reliable were cadaver dogs?

"Used them twice, they were correct twice."

You need to read his whole report
I believe he says he does not know a lot about these dogs
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: carlymichelle on May 09, 2017, 10:53:17 AM
since  abduction is unlikley the mccans are responisble for maddies  fate   if  she wandered   and fell in a hole or a  unused mine etc   they are  responsible  or whatever did happen  that night you know why?? maddie  was  3  years old  thats why   
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 10:53:46 AM
Let's try again Rob.

Madeleine disappeared, FACT.

Where does it leave the McCann's if she wasn't abducted  when she disappeared?

I await cogent replies.
Scenarios involving vats of acid come to mind.  She could have fallen into a manhole or earthworks?  What about if she climbed into large skip bin and fell asleep?  It would leave the McCanns wondering what the heck ever happened to their daughter.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:54:22 AM
@colinsutton During your time as police what was your experience of specialist police dogs - percentage wise how reliable were cadaver dogs?

"Used them twice, they were correct twice."

Could you give a cite to his full statement where this quote comes from
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 09, 2017, 10:55:45 AM
No.

It is simply that you won't answer the question directly.

Since you know damn well that without 'abduction' the Mccanns are up the proverbial creek.

If you and several others say there was no abduction, why aren't The McCanns up this proverbial creek?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 10:56:06 AM
since  abduction is unlikley the mccans are responisble for maddies  fate   if  she wandered   and fell in a hole or a  unused mine etc   they are  responsible  or whatever did happen  that night you know why?? maddie  was  3  years old  thats why   
Abduction isn't unlikely
It's actually quite probable
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 10:56:32 AM
since  abduction is unlikley the mccans are responisble for maddies  fate   if  she wandered   and fell in a hole or a  unused mine etc   they are  responsible  or whatever did happen  that night you know why?? maddie  was  3  years old  thats why   
If a burglar attempting to enter her bedroom woke her up are they still responsible?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 11:04:54 AM
Could you give a cite to his full statement where this quote comes from

Colin Sutton‏ @colinsutton  14h

14 hours ago on his Twitter account. He's gonna dig out the two cases.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 11:22:23 AM
Nope, it's a view you like, because it doesn't involve the McCann's.

He has b....r all facts, let alone evidence to deal with.

He hasn't interviewed the McCann's, or watch them under interview as regards being questioned about the events.

I trust the police on the ground in 2007, who saw what the McCann's did at the time, and the way they responded and behaved.

To top that, no evidence to support abduction was found.

P.S. What trail has been uncovered as regards kidnappers, burglars or paedophiles ?

You are entirely wrong that no evidence of abduction was found ... Jane Tanner was an eyewitness to the barefoot child in pyjamas being carried in the street immediately outside the apartment and away from the direction of the apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 09, 2017, 11:24:28 AM
This happens in hotels where the facilities are all under one roof and where there are listening services.  Leaving small children all alone in an unsecured apartment immediately adjacent to a public road while the parents went off dining and socialising was irresponsible.  It matters little whether it was 50 metres away or 5 miles, events can occur where youngsters are concerned.

What is all the more galling about this case is the fact that facilities were available but the McCanns thought they knew better and didn't bother.  They took a chance and it backfired on them.

With respect Angelo - you are missing the point - which is that thousands of people whilst on holiday have made exactly the same choice as the McCanns and left their children alone in their rooms to go to dinner .     It makes no difference where the room is situated, or whether they use an official listening service or whether they make their own checks, or whether they use  baby alarms and make no checks, the parents have still made that choice to leave their babies and children alone in their rooms.   It's quite obvious that they made the same decision as the McCanns  because  just like them - they believed it was safe -  and clearly - also for obvious reasons -  it never once entered their heads that their child could be abducted.

This is because (a) It's so rare.   The last child to disappear abroad was Ben Needham 16 years prior  -so that would not be in their minds.    And (b) because people always believe that horrific stuff only ever happens to other people.  Hence the familiar  ''I never thought this could happen to me''  comment.

There are folk who completely disagree with the listening method of childcare - and they are entitled to their opinion, but singling the McCanns out for eternal persecution -  as if no other parents had ever done the same - when we know that leaving children in this way has been so popular with parents  (on holiday) that for decades it has been offered to them as a service  - is completely wrong IMO.

I am far more shocked by parents who - knowing what happened to Madeleine - still make the choice to leave their children and/or use baby alarms than I ever was by the McCanns.

Hindsight is a wonderful weapon - it's also a very unfair one to use against those who did not have it's benefit at the time.

AIMHO


Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 11:31:25 AM
You are entirely wrong that no evidence of abduction was found ... Jane Tanner was an eyewitness to the barefoot child in pyjamas being carried in the street immediately outside the apartment and away from the direction of the apartment.

And apparently OG are looking for her being the woman in purple. They are either being clever or the biggest chumps of all time! The window was closed when he was seen and he's found - carrying a smaller 2 year old not Madeleine.

Q. Relative to whether I know Jane Tanner;

Now I know her name, description of the clothes and photos which I have seen in the press. At that time I knew of her as a member of the group but did not know her name. I do not remember having seen her when I spoke with Gerry, but I believe I saw her when I first ventured out. She was stopped on the street in front of one of the group's apartments when I passed her down towards the exit to my apartment. I do not know if it was her apartment or not. I remember that she was wearing the colour purple.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/JEREMY-WILKINS-ROGATORY.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 11:32:09 AM
P.S. I'm just watching some sniffer dogs being deployed, and would you believe it, they play as they search.

Are they playing tag with the evidence?
(http://rsc-store-media.s3.amazonaws.com/catalog/product/cache/8/image/132x9999/17f82f742ffe127f42dca9de82fb58b1/t/e/tennis_tug_e.jpg)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 11:41:52 AM
Yet she wasn't, and there is no evidence to show abduction, over any other possibility.
(http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gc5dT0xLZrY/UlzOdpNw6XI/AAAAAAAA-5s/WADWRmn9Ygg/s200/Seen+by+Jane+Tanner.jpg)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 11:56:44 AM
And apparently OG are looking for her being the woman in purple. They are either being clever or the biggest chumps of all time! The window was closed when he was seen and he's found - carrying a smaller 2 year old not Madeleine.

Q. Relative to whether I know Jane Tanner;

Now I know her name, description of the clothes and photos which I have seen in the press. At that time I knew of her as a member of the group but did not know her name. I do not remember having seen her when I spoke with Gerry, but I believe I saw her when I first ventured out. She was stopped on the street in front of one of the group's apartments when I passed her down towards the exit to my apartment. I do not know if it was her apartment or not. I remember that she was wearing the colour purple.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/JEREMY-WILKINS-ROGATORY.htm

We really do not know exactly who Scotland Yard and the Policia Judiciaria have in their sights and that is as it should be.

You really have no idea when the shutter was raised and the window opened.  Jane Tanner obviously didn't see it as she hurried across the carpark in the cool of the evening ... it was in her peripheral vision, to see it she would have had to turn to look directly at it.
Ask yourself why she would have.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 12:00:38 PM
It is very clear Matt said there were no draughts nor sounds, moving curtains etc. like Kate saw when he did his check after that sighting. Checks passing through the car park after the sighting noticed nothing wrong.  Matt's window is next to Madeleine's. No evidence exists of that window being open at the time of the Tanner sighting.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 12:14:16 PM
It is very clear Matt said were no draughts or sounds, moving curtains etc. like Kate saw when he did his check after that sighting. Checks passing through the car park after the sighting noticed nothing wrong.  Matt's window is next to Madeleine's. No evidence exists of that window being open at the time of the Tanner sighting.

Madeleine and the twins room was lighter than it should have been as a result of the orange glow from the street lamp outside.

Kate's interaction with the door in combination with the open window resulted in creating the draught which moved the curtains and slammed the door.
We've got a whole thread on this somewhere.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 12:16:16 PM
No evidence exists and Tannerman is found and ruled out. Gerry said slats were open which explains the light getting through.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 12:40:42 PM
You are entirely wrong that no evidence of abduction was found ... Jane Tanner was an eyewitness to the barefoot child in pyjamas being carried in the street immediately outside the apartment and away from the direction of the apartment.

A man taking a child home.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 12:47:25 PM
A man taking a child home.

One that OG seem to have no interest in.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 12:51:22 PM
Mr. Horrocks has no evidence.


He has his opinions, and the bias he has already shown in this case.

Any ex-police officer worth his NaCl, would know you can't eliminate possible suspects, when any crime has yet to be determined.

What you are disagreeing with is his opinion, however logically he is considered an authority on police work based on experience regardless of the mount of evidence?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 12:52:02 PM
A man taking a child home.

That's what I said to sil last night after her elimination of smithman
Why would smithman try to avoid anyone
He was not suspicious at all
Back to the drawing board for sil
At least sil agrees abduction is the most likely svenario
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 12:57:50 PM
It is fascinating to observe those who  support Horrocks

Also, he nailed his colours to the McCann supporting Sun, which tells us everything we need to know about Horrocks.

He has merely provided his jaundiced view of the case, even though he doesn't know what crime occurred.

Enough said.

You are dismissing an experienced law enforcement officer for what tangible reason? Because he wrote articles for the Sun?

I have to ask you with what credentials are you able to substantiate this claim and justify such dismissal of knowledge and experience?

If you are able to assure us all that you have in some way worked this case, or others similar, have a working experience of such crimes to the amount or similar as Mr Horrocks then perhaps your instant dismissal would have some grounding in logic and fact. However just saying he wrote for the Sun, no matter how appalling it is as a paper, it not an argument.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:01:34 PM
What you are disagreeing with is his opinion, however logically he is considered an authority on police work based on experience regardless of the mount of evidence?

What evidence are you referring to ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 01:03:23 PM
What evidence are you referring to ?

Stephen
Do you really have a scientific background
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:07:36 PM
No evidence exists and Tannerman is found and ruled out. Gerry said slats were open which explains the light getting through.

A British tourist who was taking a decidedly odd route with his child from the creche to his accommodation has almost certainly been traced.
The question is ... was that the man seen by Jane Tanner outside Block A?  Until there is a definitive answer to that one Jane Tanner's sighting is evidence now as it was when she reported it on the night of the little girl's disappearance ten years ago.

The lighting in the room would not have been described by the witness in the manner it was unless the shutter had been raised.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:11:45 PM
Thgere is no evidence worth a grain of salt to shopw abduction, compared to any other possibility.

No forensic evidence.

No sign whatsoever of anyone else in the apartment.

No trail in the paedophile network.

10 years of worldwide publicity and absolutely NOTHING.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:13:07 PM
A man taking a child home.

Or a man kidnapping a child.

He was seen yards from an apartment from where it would be discovered soon after that a child had gone missing.

If Kate McCann returned home to discover the television was missing and Jane Tanner had seen a man carrying a television outside ... what could reasonably be deduced from that?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:14:26 PM
A British tourist who was taking a decidedly odd route with his child from the creche to his accommodation has almost certainly been traced.
The question is ... was that the man seen by Jane Tanner outside Block A?  Until there is a definitive answer to that one Jane Tanner's sighting is evidence now as it was when she reported it on the night of the little girl's disappearance ten years ago.

The lighting in the room would not have been described by the witness in the manner it was unless the shutter had been raised.

Have you been in the room and studied the lighting ?

How could Jane Tanner see clearly in what at best was twilight, and the only illumination, street lights ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 01:15:25 PM
What evidence are you referring to ?

The amount of evidence he will have bagged and tagged, and then used his skills to detect the perpetrator of a crime. Someone serving in the police force for that length of time and in the areas highlighted in his career, would you think it was fair to say he has knowledge of evidence and used it to mount a case against a suspect?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:15:41 PM
Or a man kidnapping a child.

He was seen yards from an apartment from where it would be discovered soon after that a child had gone missing.

If Kate McCann returned home to discover the television was missing and Jane Tanner had seen a man carrying a television outside ... what could reasonably be deduced from that?

Straw clutching, and no more than that.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:17:18 PM
The amount of evidence he will have bagged and tagged, and then used his skills to detect the perpetrator of a crime. Someone serving in the police force for that length of time and in the areas highlighted in his career, would you think it was far to say he has knowledge of evidence and used it to mount a case against a suspect?

Can you remind me as to Horrocks experiences in missing children cases ?

Evidently,he hasn't interviewed the two people at the centre of the case, Gerry and Kate Mccann. That should have been one of the first things he should have done.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:23:47 PM
Thgere is no evidence worth a grain of salt to shopw abduction, compared to any other possibility.

No forensic evidence.

No sign whatsoever of anyone else in the apartment.

No trail in the paedophile network.

10 years of worldwide publicity and absolutely NOTHING.

Eye witness testimony is evidence based on what the witness saw and is used as such by the courts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eyewitness_testimony

Therefore you are wrong about there being no evidence.  I believe you are wrong about forensics also ... as there are samples yet to be identified taken from the apartment shortly after Madeleine disappeared.
Showing that there had been an unaccountable presence in the apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:24:45 PM
Eye witness testimony is evidence based on what the witness saw and is used as such by the courts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eyewitness_testimony

Therefore you are wrong about there being no evidence.  I believe you are wrong about forensics also ... as there are samples yet to be identified taken from the apartment shortly after Madeleine disappeared.
Showing that there had been an unaccountable presence in the apartment.

Believe what you wish.

It won't help.

As to the other traces, not one iota of proof they were made on the 3 rd May 2007.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 01:26:09 PM
Or a man kidnapping a child.

He was seen yards from an apartment from where it would be discovered soon after that a child had gone missing.

If Kate McCann returned home to discover the television was missing and Jane Tanner had seen a man carrying a television outside ... what could reasonably be deduced from that?
And then, when police are satisfied that the man was carrying his own television, what does the witness say? "Oh I must be mistaken, I just jumped to conclusions"
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:26:52 PM
And then, when police are satisfied that the man was carrying his own television, what does the witness say? "Oh I must be mistaken, I just jumped to conclusions"

Indeed. 8((()*/
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:28:20 PM
Have you been in the room and studied the lighting ?

How could Jane Tanner see clearly in what at best was twilight, and the only illumination, street lights ?

I have read the description given by the witness.

Jane Tanner saw a man carrying a child whether she saw him in the twilight and under street lighting she saw what she saw and made sworn statements about her sighting with as much detail as she could remember.

Her sighting is evidence.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:31:30 PM
I have read the description given by the witness.

Jane Tanner saw a man carrying a child whether she saw him in the twilight and under street lighting she saw what she saw and made sworn statements about her sighting with as much detail as she could remember.

Her sighting is evidence.

Yes, evidence of a man taking his child home.

How many times have we been told by Mccann supporters on here, you sometimes see what you wish to see ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 01:32:37 PM
I have read the description given by the witness.

Jane Tanner saw a man carrying a child whether she saw him in the twilight and under street lighting she saw what she saw and made sworn statements about her sighting with as much detail as she could remember.

Her sighting is evidence.

Of a man carrying a small child - nothing more.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:33:24 PM
Believe what you wish.

It won't help.

As to the other traces, not one iota of proof they were made on the 3 rd May 2007.

Unidentified forensic traces taken from the scene of a crime are evidence.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 01:35:14 PM

I'm quoting your recent newspaper article wher you are quoted that it your opinion Maddie was abducted
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:35:35 PM
Unidentified forensic traces taken from the scene of a crime are evidence.

It doesn't mean they were made on that day.

 8**8:/:

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 09, 2017, 01:38:29 PM
I'm quoting your recent newspaper article wher you are quoted that it your opinion Maddie was abducted
You twisted what I said about Smithman and threw in a cheap gibe.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:39:16 PM
Yes, evidence of a man taking his child home.

How many times have we been told by Mccann supporters on here, you sometimes see what you wish to see ?

A child was missing.

A man was seen carrying a child coming from the direction of her apartment.

Surely the police were remiss in not being able to trace that person for elimination purposes.  They were informed timeously enough.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 01:41:04 PM
Was that rather like his work in the Jill Dando case then ?

Can you remind me as to Horrocks experiences in missing children cases ?

If you read into Mr Horrock's research and background, you would be aware that a missing person or child for whatever reason, normally has the same reasons for going missing. Bring to bear his extensive knowledge of deconstructing crimes scenes with support of forensics and then using it to present a file to the CPS does tend to suggest to me, that his overall knowledge of crime detecting and prosecuting can be taken into consideration. And not to be looked at such a granular level that it can be, in your case instantly dismissed.

The assassination of Jill Dando was a case that put the entire constabulary and MET police under intense pressure and scrutiny. Critical thinking and mistakes were made and this was perfectly highlighted when Barry George successfully appealed the case. Mistakes were made as with any criminal investigation but what was dire that the forensics were cross contaminated.

I assume you bring this case up because of Mr Horrock's view of this given the experience, they were all misled by inaccurate forensics. This happens, not just in the UK but other countries as well.

Again though,  given all this, bringing up his lack of direct handling of missing children cases, or his view on the flawed investigation into Jill Dando is still not an argument
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 01:41:24 PM
It doesn't mean they were made on that day.

 8**8:/:

Whenever they may have been left ... no one knows who it was who left them in the apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 01:42:38 PM
A child was missing.

A man was seen carrying a child coming from the direction of her apartment.

Surely the police were remiss in not being able to trace that person for elimination purposes.  They were informed timeously enough.

'...In  the direction of the apartment..'

How many other apartments were in the vicinity, and how many children were staying there ?

Any idea at all.

By the way, there is a libelous post at the bottom of page 20 of this thread in regard to Amaral. I recommend it be removed, and it has been reported already.

Noted. Libelous post removed.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 01:43:06 PM
You twisted what I said about Smithman and threw in a cheap gibe.
Rather than childish insults explain exactly what is wrong with my post
Smithman had no desire to avoid anyone
His mo was to act like a tourist
That rather blows your theory out of the water
Sorry if the truth hurts
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 01:43:26 PM
A child was missing.

A man was seen carrying a child coming from the direction of her apartment.

Surely the police were remiss in not being able to trace that person for elimination purposes.  They were informed timeously enough.

As I recall, the information was held in a UK police file and never saw the light of day until discovered by OG.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 09, 2017, 01:55:16 PM
Rather than childish insults explain exactly what is wrong with my post
Smithman had no desire to avoid anyone
His mo was to act like a tourist
That rather blows your theory out of the water
Sorry if the truth hurts
Why do you keep bringing Smithman to the Horrocks thread when there is a perfectly good, active Smithman thread?

Could it be you are hoping no one reads the Smithman thread, where it is perfectly clear you are deploying nonsensical tactics, and have added not a jot to the debate?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 03:28:02 PM
A British tourist who was taking a decidedly odd route with his child from the creche to his accommodation has almost certainly been traced.
The question is ... was that the man seen by Jane Tanner outside Block A?  Until there is a definitive answer to that one Jane Tanner's sighting is evidence now as it was when she reported it on the night of the little girl's disappearance ten years ago.

The lighting in the room would not have been described by the witness in the manner it was unless the shutter had been raised.

Have you seen crecheman's clothes and kids pyjamas? Blue and orange = brown.

(https://shininginluz.files.wordpress.com/2015/07/tannerman-and-crc3a8cheman.jpg?w=700)

That was SY's revelation moment.

The room was lighter than I expected but I definitely didn't see the shutters up, the curtains were definitely not disturbed and the shutters would have had to have been completely up, I presume, not to get that sort of, because they were shutters that went solid but when you lifted them they had gaps of light, and I wasn't aware of that and it may well be that the light was just the source from behind'

I was there to check, erm, no, no funny sort of smells, no sort of funny draughts, no sort of funny sort of noises, no, erm, nothing that I can think of for that. I mean, it was a complete just a shock out of the blue when, you know, I'd been in and then suddenly somebody's saying Madeleine's missing, there was nothing that made me think, oh'.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MATTHEW-OLDFIELD-ROGATORY.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:32:46 PM
I have read the description given by the witness.

Jane Tanner saw a man carrying a child whether she saw him in the twilight and under street lighting she saw what she saw and made sworn statements about her sighting with as much detail as she could remember.

Her sighting is evidence.
But it can't be linked to the McCann's apartment.  Jane Tanner only saw the person crossing the top of the road.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:34:42 PM
Yes, evidence of a man taking his child home.

How many times have we been told by Mccann supporters on here, you sometimes see what you wish to see ?
What Jane saw was a person (either a man or a woman) carrying a child from the left to the right across the top of the road.  Nothing about on his way home.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 03:35:43 PM
What Jane was a person (either a man or a woman) carrying a child from the left to the right across the top of the road.  Nothing about on his way home.

It's OG that says he was on his way home, I think
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:36:37 PM
Of a man carrying a small child - nothing more.
Well a bit more than that a limp child, in pyjamas with no shoes on. No blanket.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 03:38:20 PM
What Jane was a person (either a man or a woman) carrying a child from the left to the right across the top of the road.  Nothing about on his way home.

Were you there Rob ?

How do you they weren't on the way home.


Have you never seen a parent carrying a tired child  ?

Remember Gerry McCann coming off a plane ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 03:38:49 PM
Well a bit more than that a limp child, in pyjamas with no shoes on. No blanket.

There was a blanket covering the child. Pink in Tanner's drawing.

(http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=7629.0;attach=7333;image)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 03:42:02 PM
There was a blanket covering the child. Pink in Tanner's drawing.
(http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=7629.0;attach=7333;image)

Ah yes, the incredible Ms. Tanner with the incredible eyesight in poor lighting conditions.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:42:53 PM
Were you there Rob ?

How do you they weren't on the way home.


Have you never seen a parent carrying a tired child  ?

Remember Gerry McCann coming off a plane ?
Yes I carried a "dead" child too.  You can't carry a limp child as you can a sleeping child. Jane could not tell from what she saw what the person had intentions of doing.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:45:24 PM
There was a blanket covering the child. Pink in Tanner's drawing.

(http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=7629.0;attach=7333;image)
I would not call that covered by a blanket in Tanner's sketch.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 03:46:39 PM
She thought it was a top from her sketch but it was that pink blanket covering the child.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 03:47:15 PM
All irrelevant anyway as OG are not interested in this man or child.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:48:46 PM
She thought it was a top from her sketch but it was that pink blanket covering the child.
The sketch shows something pink plonked on top of the child.  I would only use the word covering the child if the feet and legs were being covered.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 03:49:22 PM
All irrelevant anyway as OG are not interested in this man or child.

Exactly but the McCanns still have crecheman being unidentified on their official website so their fans follow.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 03:51:09 PM
The sketch shows something pink plonked on top of the child.  I would only use the word covering the child if the feet and legs were being covered.

The blanket wasn't completely covering the child. Dangling legs were seen by Tanner uncovered.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 03:53:16 PM
Exactly but the McCanns still have crecheman being unidentified on their official website so their fans follow.
What is Crecheman's name then?

The blanket wasn't completely covering the child. Dangling legs were seen by Tanner uncovered.
So I would expect the person carrying the child home from creche to cover the child i.e. to use the blanket to the fullest extent.
Therefore IMO they are separate sighting of different people.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 04:02:59 PM
What is Crecheman's name then?
So I would expect the person carrying the child home from creche to cover the child i.e. to use the blanket to the fullest extent.
Therefore IMO they are separate sighting of different people.



Why should we be told that?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 04:06:09 PM
Yes I carried a "dead" child too.  You can't carry a limp child as you can a sleeping child. Jane could not tell from what she saw what the person had intentions of doing.


What on earth are you on about ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 04:16:50 PM
As noted in the opening post ... Ian Horrocks doesn't really rate the man seen by the Smiths as Madeleine's abductor.

Quote
It has been suggested that a child of Madeleine’s description was seen by Martin Smith and his wife, being carried over 400 yards away in Rua da Escola Primaria, shortly before 10pm. This sighting was dismissed by the Portuguese Police, but appears to have been given substantial credibility by Operation Grange, the Metropolitan Police inquiry, who featured this on Crimewatch. I do however remain extremely sceptical about this. As far as I am concerned not only is this too late, but it is also too far away. If someone had abducted a child, they would not have carried them this far. If the plan was to take the child to a car, this would have been parked far closer. If the objective was to dispose of a body, then this person has walked past a lot of waste ground.

This timing also does not fit in with the sighting by Jane Tanner at 9.15pm. However, we are told that the person who Jane Tanner saw has come forward and been eliminated. I do not know how the police can be sure after so many years, that the person they spoke to is one and the same who was seen by Jane Tanner. Did she meet him, were the clothes identical to those she described? I obviously do not know, but regardless I still think that this is still the most likely route taken by the kidnapper.
End quote

One option is for a quick getaway using a vehicle ... why risk parking a vehicle so far from the MCann apartment and being unnecessarily exposed on foot with a stolen child?

I'm with him in thinking the man seen by Jane Tanner was heading for a car and the quick getaway that would have given him.
I don't think he wandered around to be seen by all and sundry in an area which even off season SIL has told us he would be likely to encounter passersby or be seen from a bar or restaurant.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 04:17:46 PM


Why should we be told that?
It is what a responsible parent would do.  You don't need to be told that, you should know it already.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 09, 2017, 04:22:31 PM
It is what a responsible parent would do.  You don't need to be told that, you should know it already.

You were asking about the person's name.  Your post 328
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 04:32:26 PM
People do seem to like to get embroiled in semantics, if wrestling with the minutiae for example blankets and clothing is the way to go with this case, then I am afraid that I am not seeing the relevance.

There seems to be a great reluctance to view Mr Horrock's theory as sensible or one that is based on his vast experience in the police force. And unfortunately the main thrusts of this discrediting are not really to do with what he has said, but about the man himself. If you are having to attack the person and not the opinion then there is seriously something wrong with the counter debate to the points he makes.

So far Stephen has put forward his opinion that Mr Horrock can be essentially dismissed on his opinion because; he has written for the Sun newspaper and also his involvement with the Jill Dando case. From my perspective this is going after the man and not his opinion, to question his motives merely because he has written for and been paid subsequently by a tabloid newspaper does not in anyway diminish his prior respectable policing career nor his valid observation on Madeleine's case. 

When I read his lengthy review I did find it well thought out, balanced and without having to jump to any conclusions, or at least not without having an explanation in doing so. He has looked over most of the current theories for Madeleine's disappearance including that her parents were involved in some way and has explained why this to him, drawing on his policing career is nonsensical.

I have somewhat confounded as to why members have an increasing hostility towards this gentleman and his educated opinion
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 04:39:19 PM
People do seem to like to get embroiled in semantics, if wrestling with the minutiae for example blankets and clothing is the way to go with this case, then I am afraid that I am not seeing the relevance.

There seems to be a great reluctance to view Mr Horrock's theory as sensible or one that is based on his vast experience in the police force. And unfortunately the main thrusts of this discrediting are not really to do with what he has said, but about the man himself. If you are having to attack the person and not the opinion then there is seriously something wrong with the counter debate to the points he makes.

So far Stephen has put forward his opinion that Mr Horrock can be essentially dismissed on his opinion because; he has written for the Sun newspaper and also his involvement with the Jill Dando case. From my perspective this is going after the man and not his opinion, to question his motives merely because he has written for and been paid subsequently by a tabloid newspaper does not in anyway diminish his prior respectable policing career nor his valid observation on Madeleine's case. 

When I read his lengthy review I did find it well thought out, balanced and without having to jump to any conclusions, or at least not without having an explanation in doing so. He has looked over most of the current theories for Madeleine's disappearance including that her parents were involved in some way and has explained why this to him, drawing on his policing career is nonsensical.

I have somewhat confounded as to why members have an increasing hostility towards this gentleman and his educated opinion

Yes it's strange they attack Horrocks who presents a reasoned argument but support amaral who clearly did not understand the dog alerts or the DNA evidence
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 04:52:22 PM
One option is for a quick getaway using a vehicle ... why risk parking a vehicle so far from the MCann apartment and being unnecessarily exposed on foot with a stolen child?

I'm with him in thinking the man seen by Jane Tanner was heading for a car and the quick getaway that would have given him.
I don't think he wandered around to be seen by all and sundry in an area which even off season SIL has told us he would be likely to encounter passersby or be seen from a bar or restaurant.

I have to agree with this, it makes the most sense. It's not convoluted nor does it draw on any conspiratorial elements. The suspect would certainly want to exit the area of the crime quickly with least resistance so the parking of a vehicle somewhere close and partly secluded makes perfect sense.

As Mr Horrocks says, by the time the alarm was raised Madeleine could have been miles away from the apartment with no real chance of catching the abductor
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 09, 2017, 05:21:22 PM
If you read into Mr Horrock's research and background, you would be aware that a missing person or child for whatever reason, normally has the same reasons for going missing. Bring to bear his extensive knowledge of deconstructing crimes scenes with support of forensics and then using it to present a file to the CPS does tend to suggest to me, that his overall knowledge of crime detecting and prosecuting can be taken into consideration. And not to be looked at such a granular level that it can be, in your case instantly dismissed.

The assassination of Jill Dando was a case that put the entire constabulary and MET police under intense pressure and scrutiny. Critical thinking and mistakes were made and this was perfectly highlighted when Barry George successfully appealed the case. Mistakes were made as with any criminal investigation but what was dire that the forensics were cross contaminated.

I assume you bring this case up because of Mr Horrock's view of this given the experience, they were all misled by inaccurate forensics. This happens, not just in the UK but other countries as well.

Again though,  given all this, bringing up his lack of direct handling of missing children cases, or his view on the flawed investigation into Jill Dando is still not an argument

Horrocks cracked cases because he had access to all relevant evidence. As far as we are aware, in this case, he has no more information than that which is already in the public domain i.e. no more than us and therefore is at the same disadvantage as us when formulating a theory.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 05:26:34 PM
I have to agree with this, it makes the most sense. It's not convoluted nor does it draw on any conspiratorial elements. The suspect would certainly want to exit the area of the crime quickly with least resistance so the parking of a vehicle somewhere close and partly secluded makes perfect sense.

As Mr Horrocks says, by the time the alarm was raised Madeleine could have been miles away from the apartment with no real chance of catching the abductor

Or to use a well known expression, he is f##rting in the wind, and  hasn't got a clue.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 09, 2017, 05:38:20 PM
Or to use a well known expression, he is f##rting in the wind, and  hasn't got a clue.
You prefer to support a detective who does not understand the dog alerts or the forensic evidence
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 05:53:01 PM
Horrocks cracked cases because he had access to all relevant evidence. As far as we are aware, in this case, he has no more information than that which is already in the public domain i.e. no more than us and therefore is at the same disadvantage as us when formulating a theory.

Granted, no one has anything proving or making a theory stronger than any other theory currently considered. What makes Mr Horrocks different is that he can call upon his vast experience of solving crimes, this is something that we as commentators do not have. I cannot equate lack of evidence in a case to diminish the theory put forward by a highly seasoned and experienced police officer
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 05:57:12 PM
As a reminder, as it seems it is needed.

We are asked to accept the opinion of an ex-copper who wasn't on the scene and was paid by the Sun newspaper, with their obvious bias on the case, to give a pro-McCann version of events.

He hasn't interviewed the McCann's, and has nothing but speculation to back up the story.

He has no evidence to show an abduction occurred.

Amaral observed the McCann's being interviewed and no doubt read the transcripts as well.

Amaral and his team were on site.

They could not find evidence of abduction, but did get inconsistent accounts of events from the McCann's and their associates.

Madeleine was searched for extensively by many people, but  nothing was found.

She disappeared without trace, and that remains the situation.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 09, 2017, 05:58:19 PM
Granted, no one has anything proving or making a theory stronger than any other theory currently considered. What makes Mr Horrocks different is that he can call upon his vast experience of solving crimes, this is something that we as commentators do not have. I cannot equate lack of evidence in a case to diminish the theory put forward by a highly seasoned and experienced police officer

I think there is plenty of evidence to rule out that the McCanns (or any of their friends) had anything to do with Madeleine's disappearance.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 05:58:31 PM
Granted, no one has anything proving or making a theory stronger than any other theory currently considered. What makes Mr Horrocks different is that he can call upon his vast experience of solving crimes, this is something that we as commentators do not have. I cannot equate lack of evidence in a case to diminish the theory put forward by a highly seasoned and experienced police officer

This seasoned officer got it totally wrong in the Dando case.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 06:00:13 PM
I think there is plenty of evidence to rule out that the McCanns (or any of their friends) had anything to do with Madeleine's disappearance.

Such as what ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 06:11:36 PM
Or to use a well known expression, he is f##rting in the wind, and  hasn't got a clue.

This is attacking Mr Horrocks and not what he is saying which isn't an argument. Any professional officer, including Operation Grange detectives have always said that needed to investigate right from the start due to the lack of anything close to evidence and build the inquiry lines from there. As it stands, unless Operation Grange do have solid leads, anyone in their professional capacity then and now can only comment or put forward a theory on the data that is already in the public domain. That also includes Snr Amaral.

However I wouldn't ever say that Snr Amaral hasn't known what he has been saying during the investigation because he was a professional detective assigned a highly pressured case. The door swings both ways here Stephen and attacking that person instead of their theory usually suggests that their theory cannot be reasonably countered
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 06:21:05 PM
This is attacking Mr Horrocks and not what he is saying which isn't an argument. Any professional officer, including Operation Grange detectives have always said that needed to investigate right from the start due to the lack of anything close to evidence and build the inquiry lines from there. As it stands, unless Operation Grange do have solid leads, anyone in their professional capacity then and now can only comment or put forward a theory on the data that is already in the public domain. That also includes Snr Amaral.

However I wouldn't ever say that Snr Amaral hasn't known what he has been saying during the investigation because he was a professional detective assigned a highly pressured case. The door swings both ways here Stephen and attacking that person instead of their theory usually suggests that their theory cannot be reasonably countered

We have repeatedly seen on here, McCann supporters attack Amaral, often mercilessly, especially when they thought the McCann's would win their legal action. Yet these same supporters expect Horrocks theories to be accepted without question.

So perhaps you can tell me why I or anyone else should accept his theory, when he hasn't done the ground work by interviewing the McCann's or their associates. ?

Remembering that Colin Sutton stated that any investigation should have started with them, which of course OG didn't do either.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 06:35:31 PM
Firstly no I don't think it's necessary for a policeman to have direct contact with an individual to assess their character. Whether that assessment would be accurate is doubtful.

As to character flaws, is wanting to protect one's family from criminal charges potentially leading to financial ruin and the splitting up of that family really a character flaw?
Er...no, the 'character flaw' is in chucking your child's body in a bin and then pretending she'd been abducted.  Jesus, did I really need to point that out?!
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 06:36:53 PM
It's speculative at best, as is mine.
Both theories are speculative, one is plausible and logical (Horrocks) the other isn't (yours).
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 06:37:24 PM
Here's an easy and open question for all McCann's supporters to answer.

If there was no 'abduction', where does it leave the McCann's ?
You already asked that question and I answered it yesterday I believe.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 06:39:19 PM
We have repeatedly seen on here, McCann supporters attack Amaral, often mercilessly, especially when they thought the McCann's would win their legal action. Yet these same supporters expect Horrocks theories to be accepted without question.

So perhaps you can tell me why I or anyone else should accept his theory, when he hasn't done the ground work by interviewing the McCann's or their associates. ?

Remembering that Colin Sutton stated that any investigation should have started with them, which of course OG didn't do either.

Stephen, I'n not asking you or anyone else to accept his theory, because it is only a theory. If anything I am asking that his theory not be dismissed out right especially because of his experience in the field of police work.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 06:42:17 PM
Stephen, I'n not asking you or anyone else to accept his theory, because it is only a theory. If anything I am asking that his theory not be dismissed out right especially because of his experience in the field of police work.

So, that same logic should be applied to Amaral.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 06:45:06 PM
Horrocks cracked cases because he had access to all relevant evidence. As far as we are aware, in this case, he has no more information than that which is already in the public domain i.e. no more than us and therefore is at the same disadvantage as us when formulating a theory.
The advantage with his theory is that it hangs together well on the known facts, it is plausible and logical.  Now, instead of telling us all about Horrocks shortcomings, why don't you tell us why his theory is not worth the paper it's written on?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 06:46:29 PM
We have repeatedly seen on here, McCann supporters attack Amaral, often mercilessly, especially when they thought the McCann's would win their legal action. Yet these same supporters expect Horrocks theories to be accepted without question.

So perhaps you can tell me why I or anyone else should accept his theory, when he hasn't done the ground work by interviewing the McCann's or their associates. ?

Remembering that Colin Sutton stated that any investigation should have started with them, which of course OG didn't do either.
Noone is asking you or expecting you to accept his theory, merely to discuss it, and say why it's not plausible or logical in your view.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 06:46:32 PM
The advantage with his theory is that it hangs together well on the known facts, it is plausible and logical.  Now, instead of telling us all about Horrocks shortcomings, why don't you tell us why his theory is not worth the paper it's written on?

What known facts Alfie ?

Cite please.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 06:47:47 PM
What known facts Alfie ?

Cite please.
Don't be silly Stephen.  Are you trying to claim there are no known facts in this case?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 06:50:21 PM
Don't be silly Stephen.  Are you trying to claim there are no known facts in this case?


I'm not being 'silly'.

Madeleine disappeared.

Now perhaps you can add to that, in terms of what we actually know in regard to facts as to her disappearance, other than she disappeared without trace ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 06:51:29 PM
So, that same logic should be applied to Amaral.

Which I do. I never rule out listening to or reading about contrary opinions and theories regarding anything, and for this particular case it is not constructive to dismiss Snr Amaral out of hand. He was the initial investigating officer and led the subsequent inquiry until he was removed. He was the first investigator to have what little evidence there was collated for presentation. His opinion still counts in my opinion however much I tend to disagree with it or the theory he lays out in the Truth of the Lie.

The same goes for Mr Horrocks and any other interested party for example, Mr Hall who choose to speculate on the case. It is only by listening to them fully and understanding what is laid out that I think you can only then make an informed choice regarding their work and not person themselves.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 06:53:11 PM
Which I do. I never rule out listening to or reading about contrary opinions and theories regarding anything, and for this particular case it is not constructive to dismiss Snr Amaral out of hand. He was the initial investigating officer and led the subsequent inquiry until he was removed. He was the first investigator to have what little evidence there was collated for presentation. His opinion still counts in my opinion however much I tend to disagree with it or the theory he lays out in the Truth of the Lie.

The same goes for Mr Horrocks and any other interested party for example, Mr Hall who choose to speculate on the case. It is only by listening to them fully and understanding what is laid out that I think you can only then make an informed choice regarding their work and not person themselves.

I note you have not referred to Horrocks work in the Jill Dando case.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 06:54:40 PM
I have to agree with this, it makes the most sense. It's not convoluted nor does it draw on any conspiratorial elements. The suspect would certainly want to exit the area of the crime quickly with least resistance so the parking of a vehicle somewhere close and partly secluded makes perfect sense.

As Mr Horrocks says, by the time the alarm was raised Madeleine could have been miles away from the apartment with no real chance of catching the abductor

Of course a getaway vehicle close by makes sense to any Tom, Dick & Harry but there is no evidence of one. Moyes were up on their balcony at 9:15 but they missed the action by then and therefore witnessed nothing unusual below. Fenn above heard nowt until 10:30. Gotta think outside the box.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 07:04:07 PM
I note you have not referred to Horrocks work in the Jill Dando case.

Why is it relevant to this thread and his commentating on this particular case? Again I suspect you are using his comments about Barry George being convicted to dismiss his comments on Madeleine because he was essentially proved wrong by an appeal court? This does not discredit him or indeed render his professional career obsolete that he cannot make comment on another case. Wouldn't you agree?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 07:08:44 PM
Why is it relevant to this thread and his commentating on this particular case? Again I suspect you are using his comments about Barry George being convicted to dismiss his comments on Madeleine because he was essentially proved wrong by an appeal court? This does not discredit him or indeed render his professional career obsolete that he cannot make comment on another case. Wouldn't you agree?

I have read the background to that case, and essentially George was an easy target, and to use an old fashioned term, fitted up.

Also, REPEATEDLY, on this forum, Amaral has been attacked for his involvement in the Cipriano case.

So, I find your approach somewhat one-sided.

Wouldn't you agree ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 07:08:48 PM
Of course a getaway vehicle close by makes sense to any Tom, Dick & Harry but there is no evidence of one. Moyes were up on their balcony at 9:15 but they missed the action by then and therefore witnessed nothing unusual below. Fenn above heard nowt until 10:30. Gotta think outside the box.

I think you have just covered this off in your post. What would be unusual as you say of a car leaving or pulling in. An occupant heard getting out or returning? For something to be unusual and make some become suspicious it needs to be out of the ordinary.

As you say they witnessed nothing unusual below. I would suggest to you that a car parking or leaving is not an unusual event. Or at least not unusual enough for the people you have named to consider it anything but normal.

Perhaps if some hyper car came screaming in, firing a V8 engine and making a bit of a fuss, that would be unusual. I'm assuming this, I don't know whether hyper cars are a common thing in this particular area.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 09, 2017, 07:18:44 PM
I have read the background to that case, and essentially George was an easy target, and to use an old fashioned term, fitted up.

Also, REPEATEDLY, on this forum, Amaral has been attacked for his involvement in the Cipriano case.

So, I find your approach somewhat one-sided.

Wouldn't you agree ?

Barry George was known to the area, he was known to walk Gowan Avenue. People knew of him. His background in finding things military certainly didn't help. Yes I agree he would be and was in my opinion considered an easy target for investigators under increasing media and public pressure and scrutiny. Barry George was convicted on questionable forensic evidence, which rightly so was thrown out on appeal.

With regards to Snr Amaral and his involvement in that case, can you indicate to any of my comments or posts that have outright attacked him? At all in fact? Whereas I disagree with Snr Amaral, I certainly do not question his ability to perform his job or to conduct an investigation. What I do is disagree with his conclusion and theory. I think it's convoluted and requires us to gravitate to conspiratorial elements that make no sense

And no I don't consider my perspective on this case to be anything but balanced and open minded, meaning that should evidence come to light that furthers the investigation I will be readily acceptable of it regardless of who it implicates.
 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 09, 2017, 07:25:15 PM
I think you have just covered this off in your post. What would be unusual as you say of a car leaving or pulling in. An occupant heard getting out or returning? For something to be unusual and make some become suspicious it needs to be out of the ordinary.

As you say they witnessed nothing unusual below. I would suggest to you that a car parking or leaving is not an unusual event. Or at least not unusual enough for the people you have named to consider it anything but normal.

Perhaps if some hyper car came screaming in, firing a V8 engine and making a bit of a fuss, that would be unusual. I'm assuming this, I don't know whether hyper cars are a common thing in this particular area.
One of the July 2014 arguidos liked 'fast' cars but I don't think his car can be described as 'hyper'.

There was a car that left block 6 just before 10pm on the 3rd May.  Nobody else mentioned it.

Witnesses were asked if they had seen anything abnormal.  They weren't asked what they saw that simply looked normal.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 07:28:10 PM

I'm not being 'silly'.

Madeleine disappeared.

Now perhaps you can add to that, in terms of what we actually know in regard to facts as to her disappearance, other than she disappeared without trace ?
The known facts Stephen, her age, her appearance, her family, their background, their friends, their holiday, their accomodation, their movements on holiday, the resort, previous break-ins at the resort, the OC staff, witness statements, etc etc etc etc etc - the known facts.  That is what I am referring to.  Horrocks builds a plausible and logical theory on the known facts. 

Have you ever read a plausible and logical theory of parental involvement Stephen?  One that you read and thought - yup, that sounds very likely indeed?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 09, 2017, 07:44:13 PM
The known facts Stephen, her age, her appearance, her family, their background, their friends, their holiday, their accomodation, their movements on holiday, the resort, previous break-ins at the resort, the OC staff, witness statements, etc etc etc etc etc - the known facts.  That is what I am referring to.  Horrocks builds a plausible and logical theory on the known facts. 

Have you ever read a plausible and logical theory of parental involvement Stephen?  One that you read and thought - yup, that sounds very likely indeed?

Nothing on your first paragraph explains her disappearance.

The break-ins of course have not shown to be linked to this case. That is supposition.

Witness statements as to Madeleine's disappearance. Where are those exactly ?

Horrocks has his theory, Amaral had his. Neither has been proved or disproved.

Can you define your parameters for parental involvement Alfie ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 09, 2017, 07:59:31 PM
The car leaving block 6 has featured many times on this forum at 21.58. Nothing unusual was noticed by anyone after 21.15 because Maddy wasn't in the apartment. Matt was right to be shocked by her disappearance after his check. Nothing strange inside.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 09:22:15 PM
People do seem to like to get embroiled in semantics, if wrestling with the minutiae for example blankets and clothing is the way to go with this case, then I am afraid that I am not seeing the relevance.

.... snippy snip snip.
There is a load of difference in throwing a blanket on top of a dead child compared to wrapping a sleeping child up in a blanket to keep it asleep.  It is not semantics but extracting the most out of the clues we have been given.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 09:26:10 PM
Of course a getaway vehicle close by makes sense to any Tom, Dick & Harry but there is no evidence of one. Moyes were up on their balcony at 9:15 but they missed the action by then and therefore witnessed nothing unusual below. Fenn above heard nowt until 10:30. Gotta think outside the box.
Both at the wrong time to see the action.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 09, 2017, 09:32:21 PM
Nothing on your first paragraph explains her disappearance.

The break-ins of course have not shown to be linked to this case. That is supposition.

Witness statements as to Madeleine's disappearance. Where are those exactly ?

Horrocks has his theory, Amaral had his. Neither has been proved or disproved.

Can you define your parameters for parental involvement Alfie ?
Neither I nor Horrocks have claimed that the known facts explain her disappearance, merely that the theory Horrocks has come up with fits with these facts pretty well.  I haven't got any parameters for parental involvement - it could be anything you like, as long as it's plausible and logical, so have you come across any theory of parental involvement that struck you as either of these things?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 09:33:23 PM
The car leaving block 6 has featured many times on this forum at 21.58. Nothing unusual was noticed by anyone after 21.15 because Maddy wasn't in the apartment. Matt was right to be shocked by her disappearance after his check. Nothing strange inside.
Can you direct me to more information about this car leaving. (PM me please if you like).
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 09, 2017, 09:47:29 PM
Can you direct me to more information about this car leaving. (PM me please if you like).
Maria Manuela Martins da Silva.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 10:16:18 PM
Maria Manuela Martins da Silva.
Thanks but that is too late to be involved
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 09, 2017, 10:20:18 PM
Thanks but that is too late to be involved
Who said she was involved?

You asked about the car that moved at 9.58pm.

You got the car that moved at 9.58pm.

If you think 9.58pm is too late,  why ask about the car that moved at 9.58pm?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 09, 2017, 10:40:11 PM
Yes it's strange they attack Horrocks who presents a reasoned argument but support amaral who clearly did not understand the dog alerts or the DNA evidence

If you could explain how a misunderstanding of the dog alerts or DNA evidence cleared the McCanns, I would be very happy to hear it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 09, 2017, 11:10:25 PM
This seasoned officer got it totally wrong in the Dando case.

Was there any criminality involving "the seasoned officer" in this case?  Try changing the record and debate what is said in the OP and see how you get on with that. It is after all the subject of the thread.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 09, 2017, 11:26:56 PM
Who said she was involved?

You asked about the car that moved at 9.58pm.

You got the car that moved at 9.58pm.

If you think 9.58pm is too late,  why ask about the car that moved at 9.58pm?
I wanted to read that statement again and consider if it could have been that car that knocked Madeleine over.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 09, 2017, 11:54:54 PM
Granted, no one has anything proving or making a theory stronger than any other theory currently considered. What makes Mr Horrocks different is that he can call upon his vast experience of solving crimes, this is something that we as commentators do not have. I cannot equate lack of evidence in a case to diminish the theory put forward by a highly seasoned and experienced police officer

Colin Sutton and petermac ( not sure of his real name) are also highly seasoned and experienced police officers yet none of the two are convinced by the abduction theory. I suppose you pays your money.....!
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 10, 2017, 12:03:01 AM
Colin Sutton and petermac ( not sure of his real name) are also highly seasoned and experienced police officers yet none of the two are convinced by the abduction theory. I suppose you pays your money.....!

Colin Sutton has his very own thread on this forum http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8124.0 this thread is for discussion of the theory propounded by Ian Horrocks.
It would be exceedingly helpful for members to make the attempt to stay on topic, saves a lot of deletion at a later date.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 10, 2017, 12:15:45 AM
Colin Sutton has his very own thread on this forum http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8124.0 this thread is for discussion of the theory propounded by Ian Horrocks.
It would be exceedingly helpful for members to make the attempt to stay on topic, saves a lot of deletion at a later date.

I was on topic and I was not discussing Colin Sutton's theory merely replying to another member's claim that Horrock's experience gives his theory more purchase than the average individual. I was merely pointing out that although a season professional like Horrocks Sutton is not convinced the parents have been investigated sufficiently.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 10, 2017, 12:52:01 AM
I was on topic and I was not discussing Colin Sutton's theory merely replying to another member's claim that Horrock's experience gives his theory more purchase than the average individual. I was merely pointing out that although a season professional like Horrocks Sutton is not convinced the parents have been investigated sufficiently.

 ?{)(** I'm glad you have managed to insert Sutton's opinion into the Horrocks thread on two occasions without a passing nod to what Horrocks has said to substantiate his theory. Which is actually a very strong one.

This thread is about what Ian Horrocks has to say ... a quick glance back at the OP will indicate exactly the line that should follow.

Agree or disagree ... everyone is allowed the opportunity to express their point of view on this forum.  Argument and deflection is exceedingly unhelpful.  Which is why when given such a narrow easily kept to remit as on this thread it is unfair to take it off topic.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 05:59:39 AM
?{)(** I'm glad you have managed to insert Sutton's opinion into the Horrocks thread on two occasions without a passing nod to what Horrocks has said to substantiate his theory. Which is actually a very strong one.

This thread is about what Ian Horrocks has to say ... a quick glance back at the OP will indicate exactly the line that should follow.

Agree or disagree ... everyone is allowed the opportunity to express their point of view on this forum.  Argument and deflection is exceedingly unhelpful.  Which is why when given such a narrow easily kept to remit as on this thread it is unfair to take it off topic.

Strong theory. 8(*(

It's his opinion, devoid of facts, and that minor thing called evidence   8)--))
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 06:01:48 AM
Was there any criminality involving "the seasoned officer" in this case?  Try changing the record and debate what is said in the OP and see how you get on with that. It is after all the subject of the thread.

Well it appears Barry George was 'fitted up'.

The police ignored vital  evidence by other witnesses.

This has been dealt with before.

I suggest you read up on the case.

You are happy to criticise Amaral, so you know the old expression, what's sauce for the goose...
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 08:52:59 AM
I wanted to read that statement again and consider if it could have been that car that knocked Madeleine over.

That car was just after the alarm so too late. Their first timeline had Russell returning to the table at 9:55 when it was infact 9:45. The timeline is key in this case.

(http://i191.photobucket.com/albums/z10/rangeeni/timelineX2578b.jpg)

9:15 Bedroom door open
9:20 Jane sees man carrying child

Case solved ? Not so fast  @)(++(*

Jane left to check at 9:10

10 minute discrepancy.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 10, 2017, 09:00:58 AM
As a reminder, as it seems it is needed.

We are asked to accept the opinion of an ex-copper who wasn't on the scene and was paid by the Sun newspaper, with their obvious bias on the case, to give a pro-McCann version of events.

He hasn't interviewed the McCann's, and has nothing but speculation to back up the story.

He has no evidence to show an abduction occurred.

Amaral observed the McCann's being interviewed and no doubt read the transcripts as well.

Amaral and his team were on site.

They could not find evidence of abduction, but did get inconsistent accounts of events from the McCann's and their associates.

Madeleine was searched for extensively by many people, but  nothing was found.

She disappeared without trace, and that remains the situation.

Cite please for ''Amaral observed the McCanns being interviewed''.   

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 09:03:22 AM
Colin Sutton and petermac ( not sure of his real name) are also highly seasoned and experienced police officers yet none of the two are convinced by the abduction theory. I suppose you pays your money.....!
Let's hear Petermac's theory - please send a link.  Colin Sutton doesn't seem to have any strong views on any particular theory, or at least they seem to change with the wind whoever is asking.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 09:33:59 AM
?{)(** I'm glad you have managed to insert Sutton's opinion into the Horrocks thread on two occasions without a passing nod to what Horrocks has said to substantiate his theory. Which is actually a very strong one.

This thread is about what Ian Horrocks has to say ... a quick glance back at the OP will indicate exactly the line that should follow.

Agree or disagree ... everyone is allowed the opportunity to express their point of view on this forum.  Argument and deflection is exceedingly unhelpful.  Which is why when given such a narrow easily kept to remit as on this thread it is unfair to take it off topic.
If this thread is about what Ian Horrocks has to say are we then allowed to agree or disagree, show similarities and disagreements with his views? 

When I went to the OP to see what the discussion was to be about Alfie doesn't define a point of topic but rather just invites us to read the article.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 10, 2017, 09:43:58 AM
What is Crecheman's name then?
So I would expect the person carrying the child home from creche to cover the child i.e. to use the blanket to the fullest extent.
Therefore IMO they are separate sighting of different people.

It wasn't a blanket IMO.   JT only saw the child's legs and so could not describe any other part of the body to the artist.        However to have left an empty space in that part of the sketch would have made it look very odd.  Therefore the artist filled that gap with an indiscriminate pink blob to give anatomical realism to the sketch.

AIMHO
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 10, 2017, 10:00:24 AM
That car was just after the alarm so too late. Their first timeline had Russell returning to the table at 9:55 when it was infact 9:45. The timeline is key in this case.

(http://i191.photobucket.com/albums/z10/rangeeni/timelineX2578b.jpg)

9:15 Bedroom door open
9:20 Jane sees man carrying child

Case solved ? Not so fast  @)(++(*

Jane left to check at 9:10

10 minute discrepancy.

You are using the times as if they are precise and accurate.  They are not - they are best estimates based on what they remembered at that time.       JT could not recall the exact time she left the table - except to say it was 5 or 10 mins after Gerry left.


Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 10:15:06 AM
It wasn't a blanket IMO.   JT only saw the child's legs and so could not describe any other part of the body to the artist.        However to have left an empty space in that part of the sketch would have made it look very odd.  Therefore the artist filled that gap with an indiscriminate pink blob to give anatomical realism to the sketch.

AIMHO
That is my point.  If it was a father carrying his child back from the creche the long way round, he would have covered her legs with a blanket.  The person claiming to be crecheman admits to having a blanket so I'm sure he would have used it, therefore Jane would have been unable to see the legs and the pyjamas. 
Therefore I contend that Tanner person and crecheman are two separate people, and would require 2 different sightings.

What does Horrocks say about Crecheman"
"This timing also does not fit in with the sighting by Jane Tanner at 9.15pm. However, we are told that the person who Jane Tanner saw has come forward and been eliminated. I do not know how the police can be sure after so many years, that the person they spoke to is one and the same who was seen by Jane Tanner. Did she meet him, were the clothes identical to those she described? I obviously do not know, but regardless I still think that this is still the most likely route taken by the kidnapper." 

From that he sounds sceptical that Tanner person and crecheman are the same person.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 10, 2017, 10:17:44 AM

No way does anyone, even a man, manage to carry a child in that fashion for that distance.  His arms would have been in agony.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 10:30:49 AM
Ian Horrocks states:
"However, Madeleine, if alive, is now a teenager. She may become curious as to her background. No one knows where this could lead." 

I think this idea needs to be actively pursued with setting up a website that would be of interest to "Madeleine McCann" whoever she is today as a different identity.  I don't say I have the expertise here but I am trying to get a team around me that might achieve this.  If there is anyone with ideas that could help please let me know PM or post, but PM is preferred as I'm less likely to miss it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 10:36:09 AM
You are using the times as if they are precise and accurate.  They are not - they are best estimates based on what they remembered at that time.       JT could not recall the exact time she left the table - except to say it was 5 or 10 mins after Gerry left.

Gerry could recall an exact time of 9:04 many months later so don't worry yourself that it's 9:15 on that timeline.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 10:41:49 AM
Ian Horrocks:
"The reality is that as in any such investigation and review what is needed is going back to the basics. To start at the beginning and work forward and not the other way round. There are three main avenues to solving any crime; forensics, witnesses and interviews. In this case, there are no reliable forensics other than telephone data, there would seem to be no apparent credible suspects, and therefore what is left are the witnesses. This is where the focus should continue to be."

That idea seems difficult to me for the witnesses could lie.  Do they then confirm each line of the statement?   What was I doing on May the 3rd 2007, I wouldn't have a clue now.  Others would have forgotten by now.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 10:44:38 AM
Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. Horrocks

Matt leaves just before 9
When he returns Gerry leaves to check
Jane leaves at 9:10
Matt/Russ leave at 9:25
Jane leaves at 9:38
Russ returns at 9:45

Where is this 20 minute opportunity between each check according to Horrocks with all the comings and goings?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 10, 2017, 10:48:00 AM
It wasn't a blanket IMO.   JT only saw the child's legs and so could not describe any other part of the body to the artist.        However to have left an empty space in that part of the sketch would have made it look very odd.  Therefore the artist filled that gap with an indiscriminate pink blob to give anatomical realism to the sketch.

AIMHO

Which is precisely what the artist did with the man's face.  Jane had only seen him from the side and was therefore unable to describe his features.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 10, 2017, 10:49:48 AM
Gerry could recall an exact time of 9:04 many months later so don't worry yourself that it's 9:15 on that timeline.

Apart from Gerry none of the others -including Jez could say with any accuracy what time they did different things or how long it took them to do it.    All times given are approximate.    Claiming to know the exact times of 9 other people's movements -  on the strength of 1 time remembered by 1 person is completely unrealistic IMO.



Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 10:56:48 AM
Apart from Gerry none of the others -including Jez could say with any accuracy what time they did different things or how long it took them to do it.    All times given are approximate.    Claiming to know the exact times of 9 other people's movements -  on the strength of 1 time remembered by 1 person is completely unrealistic IMO.

Matt said Gerry left straight away when he returned so no way can it be 15 minutes after as on that timeline!

4078 'Okay. So take me through from there then, what happened after that''

Reply 'So, erm, back to the table, erm, we have, oh, back to the table, Gerry got up to go and, to go and check on his kids, I mean, and I'd come back and said, you know, I didn't hear any noise when I listened outside your room, so I thought it was a little bit odd that, you know, not kind of a wounded pride that he sort of didn't trust me.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MATTHEW-OLDFIELD-ROGATORY.htm

Don't worry this has been passed on.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 10, 2017, 11:05:37 AM
If this thread is about what Ian Horrocks has to say are we then allowed to agree or disagree, show similarities and disagreements with his views? 

When I went to the OP to see what the discussion was to be about Alfie doesn't define a point of topic but rather just invites us to read the article.

That is the essence of debate and Ian Horrocks does not say his conclusions are writ on tablets of stone. 

Alfie has given us the thread title and the opening post.
He isn't acting as the thought police by telling us what to think; he has treated us like adults and left the discussion to us and imo there is plenty of material in Horrocks' article for discussion.

I think you just want me to repeat the fact that all discussion on the forum is welcome as long as it sticks within the bounds of the topic under discussion, decency, forum protocols and does not libel or defame.

This is probably the only internet forum where both sides of the argument can be presented in a civilised manner and all members should treasure that.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 10, 2017, 11:12:11 AM
Well it appears Barry George was 'fitted up'.

The police ignored vital  evidence by other witnesses.

This has been dealt with before.

I suggest you read up on the case.

You are happy to criticise Amaral, so you know the old expression, what's sauce for the goose...

In other words the answer to my question is that there was no criminality involving "the seasoned officer" in this case.
Please desist from posting as if there was and concentrate instead on the OP and Ian Horrocks' informed opinion on Madeleine McCann's case which is after all the subject under discussion on this thread.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 11:16:18 AM
In other words the answer to my question is that there was no criminality involving "the seasoned officer" in this case.
Please desist from posting as if there was and concentrate instead on the OP and Ian Horrocks' informed opinion on Madeleine McCann's case which is after all the subject under discussion on this thread.

Horrocks is the subject matter.

As to an 'informed opinion', that is a matter of opinion.

Can you tell me what evidence he had at his disposal in writing his views on the case ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 10, 2017, 11:28:44 AM
Horrocks is the subject matter.

As to an 'informed opinion', that is a matter of opinion.

Can you tell me what evidence he had at his disposal in writing his views on the case ?

With the litigious behaviour of the McCanns and payment for his article involved I find it ridiculous that anyone would believe that any article Horrocks published could be other than supportive of the parents.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 10, 2017, 11:40:05 AM
With the litigious behaviour of the McCanns and payment for his article involved I find it ridiculous that anyone would believe that any article Horrocks published could be other than supportive of the parents.

Faith -you make it  sound as if taking action against newspapers who libelled them is some kind of unacceptable behaviour by the McCanns.       As long as no libel was involved Horrocks could write whatever he liked.  Any idea that he would enter into a 'conspiracy' with the Sun because he was paid for his article is wishful thinking IMO.

AIMHO
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 11:48:02 AM
With the litigious behaviour of the McCanns and payment for his article involved I find it ridiculous that anyone would believe that any article Horrocks published could be other than supportive of the parents.

Exactly Faithlilly.

If McCann supporters expect us to believe otherwise, they are sadly mistaken.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 11:49:01 AM
Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. Horrocks

Matt leaves just before 9
When he returns Gerry leaves to check
Jane leaves at 9:10
Matt/Russ leave at 9:25
Jane leaves at 9:38
Russ returns at 9:45

Where is this 20 minute opportunity between each check according to Horrocks with all the comings and goings?
I think he was talking about any particular apartment, but i do see your point and it is valid if you think of the group doing combined checks.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 11:56:12 AM
I think he was talking about any particular apartment, but i do see your point and it is valid if you think of the group doing combined checks.

Anyone watching would be crazy to attempt it with all the comings and goings that night. 20 minute opportunity between checks is clearly not true. Jez was walking around that area aswell.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 12:03:04 PM
With the litigious behaviour of the McCanns and payment for his article involved I find it ridiculous that anyone would believe that any article Horrocks published could be other than supportive of the parents.
What nonsense.  Horrocks theory supports abduction, not the parents.  Now tell us why his theory is illogical and implausible, and why don't you point us in the direction of a better one?  I've looked up Peter Mac btw and he seems to believe Madeleine died on the 29th April - do you think that's more plausible then?  While you're at it perhaps you can explain why Peter Mac hasn't been sued by the McCanns...?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 10, 2017, 12:05:20 PM
Well it appears Barry George was 'fitted up'.

The police ignored vital  evidence by other witnesses.

This has been dealt with before.

I suggest you read up on the case.

You are happy to criticise Amaral, so you know the old expression, what's sauce for the goose...

Stephen are you deliberately being obtuse? I have not criticised Snr Amaral at all. I disagree with this theory, I am debating the opinion not attacking him. There is a big difference.

Also despite Mr Horrocks' opinion on the Jill Dando case, I have already said that this was a mistake and again, I am not attacking Mr Horrocks for his findings or conclusions, I am questioning them. Not Mr Horrocks. Again, there is a big difference.

Attacking the individual is not an argument. Calling them names, questioning their integrity without due reason is not an argument.

You have also in a different post to another member dismissed Mr Horrock's theory simply by saying there is no evidence. The same goes for the investigating teams, then and now. The teams have changed but the amount and quality of the evidence hasn't.

Simply put, for you to dismiss someone you are clearly hostile to because of lack of evidence you are also dismissing Snr Amaral equally because he also had the same evidence. The difference between the two examples here is that you are personally invested in one over the other, not based on investigative knowledge, evidence, facts or reasonable conclusions; but because you have a fixed theory in your mind which doesn't allow you to consider other opinions, for example Mr Horrocks.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 12:06:01 PM
Anyone watching would be crazy to attempt it with all the comings and goings that night. 20 minute opportunity between checks is clearly not true. Jez was walking around that area aswell.
"Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. They would have observed the group for a few minutes and then gone to the apartment. At the end of the alleyway they could see that the road was clear, it is then only literally a second for someone to go through the gate and into the garden area, where they would be virtually out of sight. It is then simple to enter the apartment through the patio doors, which although closed, had been left unlocked".

You don't need twenty minutes.  You don't even need 10 minutes. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 10, 2017, 12:07:39 PM
Colin Sutton and petermac ( not sure of his real name) are also highly seasoned and experienced police officers yet none of the two are convinced by the abduction theory. I suppose you pays your money.....!

Petermac, from JH's forum and staunch ally to AB  has been discredited many times over I'm afraid. However keeping an open mind should he bring something new to the theory then I would be interested to see it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 12:09:44 PM
"Anyone observing their routine would have known that they had at least 20 minutes between each check. They would have observed the group for a few minutes and then gone to the apartment. At the end of the alleyway they could see that the road was clear, it is then only literally a second for someone to go through the gate and into the garden area, where they would be virtually out of sight. It is then simple to enter the apartment through the patio doors, which although closed, had been left unlocked".

You don't need twenty minutes.  You don't even need 10 minutes.

You would be crazy to try it. Maybe he did it when Gerry and Jez were at the gate talking Hey? They didn't see Jane so maybe they missed the abductor too  8(0(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 12:12:21 PM
Horrocks is the subject matter.

As to an 'informed opinion', that is a matter of opinion.

Can you tell me what evidence he had at his disposal in writing his views on the case ?
Horrocks is NOT the subject matter.  The OP would be just as interesting and valid if it had been written By A Nonymouse.  Let's discuss it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 12:13:57 PM
You would be crazy to try it. Maybe he did it when Gerry and Jez were at the gate talking Hey? They didn't see Jane so maybe they missed the abductor too  8(0(*
You' be crazy to steal a child from her bed, abuse and murder her but people do.  Sick depraved people who take insane risks.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 12:17:36 PM
You would be crazy to try it. Maybe he did it when Gerry and Jez were at the gate talking Hey? They didn't see Jane so maybe they missed the abductor too  8(0(*
Pathfinder thinks that a child sex abuser would be "crazy" to take the risk of entering an apartment and removing a child when he knew that people were coming and going by the apartment.  However, interestingly Pathfinder doesn't seem to think it's crazy that the child's father would walk for several hundred metres with the dead weight corpse of his dead child, uncovered and himself undisguised through the streets of a holiday resort.

Let's reflect on this odd disconnect shall we?  &%+((£
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 10, 2017, 12:19:33 PM
Pathfinder thinks that a child sex abuser would be "crazy" to take the risk of entering an apartment and removing a child when he knew that people were coming and going by the apartment.  However, interestingly Pathfinder doesn't seem to think it's crazy that the child's father would would for several hundred metres with the dead weight corpse of his dead child, uncovered and himself undisguised through the streets of a holiday resort.

Let's reflect on this odd disconnect shall we?  &%+((£

Again, sharp!
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 10, 2017, 12:20:28 PM
P.S. I'm just watching some sniffer dogs being deployed, and would you believe it, they play as they search.

That's because it is play to a dog otherwise they would get bored easily and get distracted.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 10, 2017, 12:23:27 PM
You are entirely wrong that no evidence of abduction was found ... Jane Tanner was an eyewitness to the barefoot child in pyjamas being carried in the street immediately outside the apartment and away from the direction of the apartment.

But Redwood claimed he was an innocent tourist and Redwood was the operational detective in charge whereas Horrocks had no such access.  Redwood did admit he was totally sure however but the chances of two men carrying a child away from the direction of block 5 between 9.15pm and 10.00pm must be slim.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 10, 2017, 12:23:59 PM
That's because it is play to a dog otherwise they would get bored easily and get distracted.

Distractions such as enticing toys they play with (especially in the midst of a deadly-serious criminal investigation) is surely awry or amiss somewhere, isn't it?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 12:24:09 PM
Horrocks is NOT the subject matter.  The OP would be just as interesting and valid if it had been written By A Nonymouse.  Let's discuss it.

Interesting to you, because he supports your view.

Now , you would not give him the time of day if he didn't support abduction.

 8(0(*



Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 12:25:35 PM
That's because it is play to a dog otherwise they would get bored easily and get distracted.

I am well aware of that.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 10, 2017, 12:28:11 PM
Distractions such as enticing toys they play with (especially in the midst of a deadly-serious criminal investigation) is surely awry or amiss somewhere, isn't it?

No.  Dogs are often trained using their favourite toy which is given to them when they obey commands.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 12:30:01 PM
Interesting to you, because he supports your view.

Now , you would not give him the time of day if he didn't support abduction.

 8(0(*
If his theory made perfect sense, was both logical and plausible then of course I would.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 10, 2017, 12:33:01 PM
Members are reminded that abusive personal comments aimed at other members are prohibited on this forum.  Attack the comments by all means but not the poster.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 10, 2017, 12:46:59 PM
No.  Dogs are often trained using their favourite toy which is given to them when they obey commands.

But a deadly serious criminal investigation is not a training exercise.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 10, 2017, 12:54:41 PM
But a deadly serious criminal investigation is not a training exercise.

As far as a dog is concerned, there is no difference.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 12:55:40 PM
Pathfinder thinks that a child sex abuser would be "crazy" to take the risk of entering an apartment and removing a child when he knew that people were coming and going by the apartment.  However, interestingly Pathfinder doesn't seem to think it's crazy that the child's father would walk for several hundred metres with the dead weight corpse of his dead child, uncovered and himself undisguised through the streets of a holiday resort.

Let's reflect on this odd disconnect shall we?  &%+((£

That is not my theory i.e. carrying her all that way in one go from 5A to the Smith sighting. There was a smarter way if you examine the timeline.

Was he part of a paedo gang talk McKenzie witnessed?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: John on May 10, 2017, 12:57:22 PM
But a deadly serious criminal investigation is not a training exercise.

Trainers often keep the dogs toy to hand to act as stimulation and/or a treat just as you would give a sugar lump or a sweet to a horse who performs well.

A dog doesn't know the difference between a training exercise and a proper investigative search, its all a game to them.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Angelo222 on May 10, 2017, 01:09:29 PM
But Redwood claimed he was an innocent tourist and Redwood was the operational detective in charge whereas Horrocks had no such access.  Redwood did admit he was totally sure however but the chances of two men carrying a child away from the direction of block 5 between 9.15pm and 10.00pm must be slim.

If you take away Tannerman very little is left by way of evidence. Just because a parent claims a shutter and a window were open doesn't mean it was. Nothing was taken or even disturbed in the McCann's apartment, there was no evidence of a breakin or disturbance of any sort. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 10, 2017, 02:06:52 PM
As far as a dog is concerned, there is no difference.

The emphasis is on the training of the dog, rather than the dog himself
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 02:10:07 PM
That is not my theory i.e. carrying her all that way in one go from 5A to the Smith sighting. There was a smarter way if you examine the timeline.

Was he part of a paedo gang talk McKenzie witnessed?
Oh that's alright then!  You think the father carried the dead body of his child through the streets of a holiday resort to its resting place in two trips instead of one!  Well obviously that's not crazy at all is it?   @)(++(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 05:08:01 PM
5 letter answer to that question beginning with A and somebody not remembering a towel tops it 8(>((
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 05:21:02 PM
5 letter answer to that question beginning with A and somebody not remembering a towel tops it 8(>((
The idea that the father of a missing child (who would subsequently go on to be on the world's TV screens by the next night) would march down the streets of a holiday resort carrying the corpse of said missing child AFTER HIS WIFE RAISED THE ALARM and making no attempt to disguise himself or the child in the process is one five letter word beginning with C and rhyming with daisy.  There's no other word to describe it.  Sozaloz  @)(++(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 06:16:08 PM
Thanks for your words of wisdom about a person committing a crime isn't acting crazy. Madeleine was in a disguise if it was her in long sleeves. Remember the Smith sighting can't be our Maddy - she was in short sleeves and the mother was worried about how COLD she was. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 10, 2017, 06:30:48 PM
Thanks for your words of wisdom about a person committing a crime isn't acting crazy. Madeleine was in a disguise if it was her in long sleeves. Remember the Smith sighting can't be our Maddy - she was in short sleeves and the mother was worried about how COLD she was.

Knowing that Mrs McCann has already raised the alarm and the small resort was about to be descended on, don't you think if Mr McCann had to carry the lifeless body of his first born through the streets he would have at least attempted to stay in the shadows, out of sight and do something however small to conceal his identity?

If he didn't and he was seen then as soon as the story broke, people who saw him would have told the police that they had seen him carrying a child, and this is the father of a child that has just been reported missing and their other two children are safely asleep in their cots.

The theory just doesn't add up. It's why the concealment of her body by one of the parents just has no grounding because it involves too many conspiratorial elements.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 06:34:47 PM
Anyone watching would be crazy to attempt it with all the comings and goings that night. 20 minute opportunity between checks is clearly not true. Jez was walking around that area aswell.
Have you ever considered that Jez is part of the problem rather than the solution?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 06:48:41 PM
But Redwood claimed he was an innocent tourist and Redwood was the operational detective in charge whereas Horrocks had no such access.  Redwood did admit he was totally sure however but the chances of two men carrying a child away from the direction of block 5 between 9.15pm and 10.00pm must be slim.
Would the odds change if one was a woman and one a man?  We have the admission of crecheman, so if he admits to going past that intersection that part becomes 100% certain, therefore we are only looking at the odds of the Tanner sighting really.

We have the admission of crecheman, so if he doesn't admit to going past that intersection that Crecheman part becomes 100% uncertain.   If he didn't go past the intersection in question he is just another parent taking his kid home from the night creche.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 06:51:49 PM
Thanks for your words of wisdom about a person committing a crime isn't acting crazy. Madeleine was in a disguise if it was her in long sleeves. Remember the Smith sighting can't be our Maddy - she was in short sleeves and the mother was worried about how COLD she was.
So, now you're suggesting Gerry was crazy and decided to take the short sleeved top off the corpse and replace it with a long sleeved top as a cunning disguise are you?   &%+((£
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 06:53:25 PM
Knowing that Mrs McCann has already raised the alarm and the small resort was about to be descended on, don't you think if Mr McCann had to carry the lifeless body of his first born through the streets he would have at least attempted to stay in the shadows, out of sight and do something however small to conceal his identity?

If he didn't and he was seen then as soon as the story broke, people who saw him would have told the police that they had seen him carrying a child, and this is the father of a child that has just been reported missing and their other two children are safely asleep in their cots.

The theory just doesn't add up. It's why the concealment of her body by one of the parents just has no grounding because it involves too many conspiratorial elements.

Do you know how many were outside in the tapas area when Kate raised the alarm? The rest didn't know about it until a mother went to the night creche and informed them of hearing men shouting and searching for a girl called Maddy. It wasn't descended upon, quite the opposite.

Matt didn't even go to call the police until after searches around the apartments, pool, tennis courts and then down to Baptista supermarket. They were nowhere near the Smith sighting.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 06:59:08 PM
Do you know how many were outside in the tapas area when Kate raised the alarm? The rest didn't know about it until a mother went to the night creche and informed them of hearing men shouting and searching for a girl called Maddy. It wasn't descended upon, quite the opposite.

Matt didn't even go to call the police until after searches around the apartments, pool, tennis courts and then down to Baptista supermarket. They were nowhere near the Smith sighting.
It was descended upon within hours of Madeleine going missing.  The father of a missing girl would suddenly become very high profile, just what you wouldn't want to happen if you knew you'd been parading a corpse around town the previous evening!
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: The Singularity on May 10, 2017, 07:03:42 PM
Do you know how many were outside in the tapas area when Kate raised the alarm? The rest didn't know about it until a mother went to the night creche and informed them of hearing men shouting and searching for a girl called Maddy. It wasn't descended upon, quite the opposite.

Matt didn't even go to call the police until after searches around the apartments, pool, tennis courts and then down to Baptista supermarket. They were nowhere near the Smith sighting.

Your missing my point. Mr McCann walking through the resort with a child in his arms. He is seen by multiple people. They have no reason to think it's suspicious because they have no reason to.

However, once the story breaks which is did very fast, then the people who saw him would immediately think, hang on that's the gentleman we saw last night carrying the child, and wait..what..one of his children is missing?

With the details fresh in their mind, had it been Mr McCann and he didn't even bother to conceal his identity? He's a cooked goose. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 07:05:17 PM
If you take away Tannerman very little is left by way of evidence. Just because a parent claims a shutter and a window were open doesn't mean it was. Nothing was taken or even disturbed in the McCann's apartment, there was no evidence of a breakin or disturbance of any sort.
Is that fair then to take away evidence?  What case would stand that sort of treatment?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 10, 2017, 08:17:46 PM
Do you know how many were outside in the tapas area when Kate raised the alarm? The rest didn't know about it until a mother went to the night creche and informed them of hearing men shouting and searching for a girl called Maddy. It wasn't descended upon, quite the opposite.

Matt didn't even go to call the police until after searches around the apartments, pool, tennis courts and then down to Baptista supermarket. They were nowhere near the Smith sighting.


Salient post.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 08:24:59 PM
Do you know how many were outside in the tapas area when Kate raised the alarm? The rest didn't know about it until a mother went to the night creche and informed them of hearing men shouting and searching for a girl called Maddy. It wasn't descended upon, quite the opposite.

Matt didn't even go to call the police until after searches around the apartments, pool, tennis courts and then down to Baptista supermarket. They were nowhere near the Smith sighting.
it has different relevance to different investigators depending on their over all theory.  I appreciate that you have provided us with you theory. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 08:35:31 PM
Your missing my point. Mr McCann walking through the resort with a child in his arms. He is seen by multiple people. They have no reason to think it's suspicious because they have no reason to.

However, once the story breaks which is did very fast, then the people who saw him would immediately think, hang on that's the gentleman we saw last night carrying the child, and wait..what..one of his children is missing?

With the details fresh in their mind, had it been Mr McCann and he didn't even bother to conceal his identity? He's a cooked goose.

According to the Smiths they didn't see his face clearly because of the darkness but one later named him on his body language - an action replay in his words. The fact is the McCanns didn't release the efits of that man but were releasing efits of the others. In Kate's book Smithman efits are missing. Leaving no stone unturned?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 08:36:58 PM
It was descended upon within hours of Madeleine going missing.  The father of a missing girl would suddenly become very high profile, just what you wouldn't want to happen if you knew you'd been parading a corpse around town the previous evening!

So seen down a dark backstreet is parading her around town? Where are all the other witnesses if he was parading her around town?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 08:48:17 PM
So seen down a dark backstreet is parading her around town? Where are all the other witnesses if he was parading her around town?
At 10:00 maybe any small town thew streets would be deserted.  I wonder how Gerry knew where to go if it was him?  He could have got hopelessly lost once you go into the quieter side streets, which makes me think it wasn't Gerry but someone else with a greater amount of local knowledge, but not a resident.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 08:52:38 PM
At 10:00 maybe any small town thew streets would be deserted.  I wonder how Gerry knew where to go if it was him?  He could have got hopelessly lost once you go into the quieter side streets, which makes me think it wasn't Gerry but someone else with a greater amount of local knowledge, but not a resident.

350 metres away from the apartment is not miles so you would hardly be lost. The beach was not much further. Do you know all their movements that week?

There are tennis courts on that road next to the wasteland.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 08:56:57 PM
350 metres away from the apartment is not miles so you would hardly be lost. The beach was not much further. Do you know all their movements that week?
Lost?  You can drown in 2 inches of water so I've been told.  If the streets became a maze of blind alleys you could get lost in 350 metres. Besides if you are carrying a body you wouldn't want to backtrack to the Ocean Club to get your bearings again.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 09:02:02 PM
Lost?  You can drown in 2 inches of water so I've been told.  If the streets became a maze of blind alleys you could get lost in 350 metres. Besides if you are carrying a body you wouldn't want to backtrack to the Ocean Club to get you bearings again.

Tennis courts are on the road he was seen next to the wasteland. My theory is he headed to the church direction behind vehicles parked on right hand side not down very narrow well lit steps/lanes.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 09:07:32 PM
Tennis courts are on the road he was seen next to the wasteland. My theory is he headed to the church direction behind vehicles parked on right hand side not down very narrow well lit steps/lanes.
We know they didn't have a key to the church then, so what is the point of going to the church?  Who is this "he" you  are talking about "Tennis courts are on the road he was seen next to the wasteland"
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 09:11:46 PM
We know they didn't have a key to the church then, so what is the point of going to the church?  Who is this "he" you  are talking about "Tennis courts are on the road he was seen next to the wasteland"

Tennis courts are on that road next to the wasteland before the missed cctv camera on the corner and after it (opposite the wasteland entrance). Go past the church to get to the rocks and a building site was behind the church - you go over a little wall at the back to access it. Now who played tennis that week  &%+((£
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 09:20:39 PM
So seen down a dark backstreet is parading her around town? Where are all the other witnesses if he was parading her around town?
There were 9(?) witnesses that we know of, that's a bloody lot!  He walked down a street during opening hours that holidaymakers and locals habitually walk up and down, not a remote back alley.  I would say that was pretty bloody brazen, carrying an uncovered body through town before the restaurants and pubs had even shut. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 10, 2017, 10:20:54 PM
Tennis courts are on that road next to the wasteland before the missed cctv camera on the corner and after it (opposite the wasteland entrance). Go past the church to get to the rocks and a building site was behind the church - you go over a little wall at the back to access it. Now who played tennis that week  &%+((£
Tennis is a two or four person game.  There were many playing tennis that week.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 10:21:06 PM
There were 9(?) witnesses that we know of, that's a bloody lot!  He walked down a street during opening hours that holidaymakers and locals habitually walk up and down, not a remote back alley.  I would say that was pretty bloody brazen, carrying an uncovered body through town before the restaurants and pubs had even shut.

What pubs and restaurants are on that wasteland/tennis courts road? He crossed one large group heading back to their apartments not to pubs/restaurants. The evidence shows that Thursday 3 May 2007 was very quiet in that area at around 10pm. One group doesn't mean it was busy. Look at Kelly's takings that night.

(http://i3.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article3643235.ece/alternates/s615/maddie-search-Main.jpg)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 10:58:29 PM
What pubs and restaurants are on that wasteland/tennis courts road? He crossed one large group heading back to their apartments not to pubs/restaurants. The evidence shows that Thursday 3 May 2007 was very quiet in that area at around 10pm. One group doesn't mean it was busy. Look at Kelly's takings that night.

(http://i3.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article3643235.ece/alternates/s615/maddie-search-Main.jpg)
Did Gerry have prior knowledge that Kelly's takings were going to be low that evening? 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 11:11:37 PM
Did Gerry have prior knowledge that Kelly's takings were going to be low that evening?

LOL but he said it was incredibly quiet at nights where he was.

GERRY McCANN
I bumped into one guy I played tennis with in the street when I'd gone in to check, and that was the first time I think of any of the nights that I'd been going up and down that I saw anyone else really - five, six nights, and it was incredibly quiet.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 11:16:10 PM
LOL but he said it was incredibly quiet at nights where he was.

GERRY McCANN
I bumped into one guy I played tennis with in the street when I'd gone in to check, and that was the first time I think of any of the nights that I'd been going up and down that I saw anyone else really - five, six nights, and it was incredibly quiet.
The street by the side of the apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 11:21:51 PM
The street by the side of the apartment.

Yes and why do you think the lovely wasteland area was busier? Are they playing tennis in the dark?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 10, 2017, 11:27:17 PM
Yes and why do you think the lovely wasteland area was busier? Are they playing tennis in the dark?
What on earth are you on about?  Please don't be facetious.  We are talking about your belief that Gerry McCann was seeing carrying a corpse not on any wasteland, not on a dark tennis court but bold as brass on a street in the centre of a holiday resort before closing time, by nine eye witnesses.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 10, 2017, 11:29:11 PM
What on earth are you on about?  Please don't be facetious.  We are talking about your belief that Gerry McCann was seeing carrying a corpse not on any wasteland, not on a dark tennis court but bold as brass on a street in the centre of a holiday resort before closing time, by nine eye witnesses.

The unidentified man went past the wasteland/tennis courts to that sighting. It's hardly rocket science - 5A leads there and explains why he wasn't seen until he met the Smiths. That cctv camera could have captured him.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 10, 2017, 11:37:28 PM
The unidentified man went past the wasteland/tennis courts to that sighting. It's hardly rocket science - 5A leads there and explains why he wasn't seen until he met the Smiths. That cctv camera could have captured him.
There is no CCTV that would have captured an image of Smithman.

The Estrela da Luz CCTV all points inwards, as required by Portuguese law.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 10, 2017, 11:49:44 PM
There is no CCTV that would have captured an image of Smithman.

The Estrela da Luz CCTV all points inwards, as required by Portuguese law.

It would have captured the Smith family returning, though, as Brietta pointed out many moons ago. It would have verified the time of their return.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 12:07:07 AM
It would have captured the Smith family returning, though, as Brietta pointed out many moons ago. It would have verified the time of their return.
Indeed.

But 23 days after Madeleine disappeared, the chance to verify the time of the Smith sighting was a bit passé.

We have to work with poorer fodder.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 11, 2017, 12:12:26 AM
Indeed.

But 23 days after Madeleine disappeared, the chance to verify the time of the Smith sighting was a bit passé.

We have to work with poorer fodder.

SY should have the right time by now. One out of nine probably knows the actual time if they were leaving earlier that night. Surely one would have checked the time. Aoife said she knew the time in her statement for that very reason and she said it was 10pm when they left Kelly's bar.

Regarding the 3rd of May, 2007, she went, with all her family, to eat at the Dolphin restaurant, which is close to Kelly's Bar. When they left the restaurant, around 21H30, they headed toward Kelly's Bar. They stayed there for about 30 minutes.
— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left because her father and her brother decided to leave early that night. There were two reasons for this: one was the fact that her sister-in-law was not feeling very well and the other was because her brother, sister-in-law, nephew and son of her sister-in-law finished their holiday the next day and had to catch the morning flight returning to Ireland.  (Aoife Smith)
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 12:22:15 AM
What nonsense.  Horrocks theory supports abduction, not the parents.  Now tell us why his theory is illogical and implausible, and why don't you point us in the direction of a better one?  I've looked up Peter Mac btw and he seems to believe Madeleine died on the 29th April - do you think that's more plausible then?  While you're at it perhaps you can explain why Peter Mac hasn't been sued by the McCanns...?

Horrock's theory is as logical and plausible as most other theories I have heard but is, like those, merely speculative and therefore should be given the same weight. As to pM not being sued by the McCanns, if he had presented his theory in a national tabloid I'm sure he and it would have been.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 11, 2017, 12:33:23 AM
SY should have the right time by now. One out of nine probably knows the actual time if they were leaving earlier that night. Surely one would have checked the time. Aoife said she knew the time in her statement for that very reason and she said it was 10pm when they left Kelly's bar.

Regarding the 3rd of May, 2007, she went, with all her family, to eat at the Dolphin restaurant, which is close to Kelly's Bar. When they left the restaurant, around 21H30, they headed toward Kelly's Bar. They stayed there for about 30 minutes.
— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left because her father and her brother decided to leave early that night. There were two reasons for this: one was the fact that her sister-in-law was not feeling very well and the other was because her brother, sister-in-law, nephew and son of her sister-in-law finished their holiday the next day and had to catch the morning flight returning to Ireland.  (Aoife Smith)

— They came on holiday for about 10 days, having returned to Ireland on 9 May 2007. (She is not absolutely certain of the day). (Aoife Smith)

Don't you think you place an awful lot of confidence in the recollection of a child who could not remember what day it was she travelled home after her holiday?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 11, 2017, 12:38:23 AM
— They came on holiday for about 10 days, having returned to Ireland on 9 May 2007. (She is not absolutely certain of the day). (Aoife Smith)

Don't you think you place an awful lot of confidence in the recollection of a child who could not remember what day it was she travelled home after her holiday?

She knew it was the last night for some and she was correct. That clearly stands out to her so it's not unusual. She was 12 years old not an adult who should know about flight schedules/dates.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 12:47:00 AM
— They came on holiday for about 10 days, having returned to Ireland on 9 May 2007. (She is not absolutely certain of the day). (Aoife Smith)

Don't you think you place an awful lot of confidence in the recollection of a child who could not remember what day it was she travelled home after her holiday?

Strange because certain of your fellow supporters seem to think she was the most perceptive of the bunch.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 01:01:57 AM
— They came on holiday for about 10 days, having returned to Ireland on 9 May 2007. (She is not absolutely certain of the day). (Aoife Smith)

Don't you think you place an awful lot of confidence in the recollection of a child who could not remember what day it was she travelled home after her holiday?
Check the time on the Dolphin receipt.  She absolutely nailed it.

Check what she saw - she absolutely nailed it.  Check what she said about what she cannot remember and what she cannot be certain of.  She absolutely nailed it.

Please don't diss Aoife. I have finger-tipped her statement and it all stands up to scrutiny.  It is, IMO, the best of all the statements in the PJ Files.

I like it an awful lot.  But then I may be biased.  When I was trying how to find out the f**k to spell and pronounce Aoife, I chanced upon a tiny factoid.

Aoife can mean Shining.  I like it a lot.   8((()*/
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 01:23:52 AM
Check the time on the Dolphin receipt.  She absolutely nailed it.

Check what she saw - she absolutely nailed it.  Check what she said about what she cannot remember and what she cannot be certain of.  She absolutely nailed it.

Please don't diss Aoife. I have finger-tipped her statement and it all stands up to scrutiny.  It is, IMO, the best of all the statements in the PJ Files.

I like it an awful lot.  But then I may be biased.  When I was trying how to find out the f**k to spell and pronounce Aoife, I chanced upon a tiny factoid.

Aoife can mean Shining.  I like it a lot.   8((()*/

Aoife spent 5 more days in Luz, after the disappearance, while the place was crawling with people looking for Madeleine. Was she suffering from Brain Fog which prevented her recalling the encounter during that period and the days after returning home?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 01:33:48 AM
Aoife spent 5 more days in Luz, after the disappearance, while the place was crawling with people looking for Madeleine. Was she suffering from Brain Fog which prevented her recalling the encounter during that period and the days after returning home?
It seems a rather dictatorial setup in that family, so I suggest that even if she wanted to make an earlier statement she had to get her father's permission first.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 02:10:33 AM
Aoife spent 5 more days in Luz, after the disappearance, while the place was crawling with people looking for Madeleine. Was she suffering from Brain Fog which prevented her recalling the encounter during that period and the days after returning home?
Why should Aoife be "suffering from Brain Fog (sic)"?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 02:20:48 AM
Why should Aoife be "suffering from Brain Fog (sic)"?

Were Madeleine posters not put up around the resort? Were her parents not being extra-vigilant over the remaining children in the group? Seriously - why did she not remember the strange sight late into the evening of a barefoot child, carried by a man, until she was prompted many days later? Why did none of the group remember a thing until after the man who "definitely wasn't Murat" was suspected to be the same man seen walking in the direction of Murat house?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 02:33:59 AM
Were Madeleine posters not put up around the resort? Were her parents not being extra-vigilant over the remaining children in the group? Seriously - why did she not remember the strange sight late into the evening of a barefoot child, carried by a man, until she was prompted many days later? Why did none of the group remember a thing until after the man who "definitely wasn't Murat" was suspected to be the same man seen walking in the direction of Murat house?
Fine, let's start at the start.

What was strange about the Smithman sighting?  3 Smiths gave statements. There is no mention in those statements of abnormal or unusual behaviour.

Why should they remember anything about the encounter?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 03:04:40 AM
Fine, let's start at the start.

What was strange about the Smithman sighting?  3 Smiths gave statements. There is no mention in those statements of abnormal or unusual behaviour.

Why should they remember anything about the encounter?

They shouldn't have -that's the whole point. It was a non-event which registered zero on their radar for many days & then vividly recalled with such detail after a prompt from one person. Had they known that Amaral was not really interested in properly following up the abduction line of enquiry then maybe they wouldn't have bothered to come forward at all.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 08:21:16 AM
Horrock's theory is as logical and plausible as most other theories I have heard but is, like those, merely speculative and therefore should be given the same weight. As to pM not being sued by the McCanns, if he had presented his theory in a national tabloid I'm sure he and it would have been.
So on the internet you are quite at liberty to write up any old theory and present it for us to read without threat of libel action.  So let's see a theory of parental involvement which is equally plausible and logical as Horrocks'.  I know you won't because you can't, and that's a plain and irrefutable fact.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 08:27:10 AM
So on the internet you are quite at liberty to write up any old theory and present it for us to read without threat of libel action.  So let's see a theory of parental involvement which is equally plausible and logical as Horrocks'.  I know you won't because you can't, and that's a plain and irrefutable fact.

That's right Alf
The internet gives anyone the chance to anonymously present any theory
As yet no sceptic has been able to do so
Furthermore none of those SY members who have "contributed" to amarals fund has gone on the net and anonymously blew the whistle on the corrupt SY investigation which would suggest there is no whistle to blow
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 11, 2017, 08:27:24 AM
Horrocks theory is valueless.

He never interviewed the main parties in this case, and correct me if I'm wrong, has not had access to all the files.

........and of course, he was paid by the Sun, with his original theory.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 08:31:08 AM
Horrocks theory is valueless.

He never interviewed the main parties in this case, and correct me if I'm wrong, has not had access to all the files.

........and of course, he was paid by the Sun, with his original theory.
If he had interviewed the main parties he would not be at liberty to propose a theory.  A theory is a theory.  But as I keep reading some have no theory at all.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 08:33:35 AM
Horrocks theory is valueless.

He never interviewed the main parties in this case, and correct me if I'm wrong, has not had access to all the files.

........and of course, he was paid by the Sun, with his original theory.

As his theory does not rely on things that are plain wrong
Like amaral
Then his theory has more value than amarals
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 11, 2017, 08:37:24 AM
It is hardly remarkable that Mccann supporters support a man who is merely expressing his rather blatant biased opinion.

Yet they attack Amaral, who was on the scene at the time and knows damn more than Horrocks ever will about the case.

 Horrocks of course, who was brought in by the bastion of journalistic pap, otherwise known as the Sun.

Also, of course, would Horrocks dare imply the McCann's involvement in Madeleine's disappearance.

Of course he wouldn't, Carter-Ruck would be on the scene.

Mind you, C.R. weren't much help in Portugal.

That was a true shame. 8)--))
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 08:43:05 AM
It is hardly remarkable that Mccann supporters support a man who is merely expressing his rather blatant biased opinion.
Criticise the post not the posters.  The sentence in your post: "that Mccann supporters support a man who is merely expressing his rather blatant biased opinion" is a criticism of a group of posters.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 08:47:52 AM
It is hardly remarkable that Mccann supporters support a man who is merely expressing his rather blatant biased opinion.

Attacking posters not the post
But it's ok to support amaral whose ridiculous opinions are based on fallacies
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 09:11:59 AM
So on the internet you are quite at liberty to write up any old theory and present it for us to read without threat of libel action.  So let's see a theory of parental involvement which is equally plausible and logical as Horrocks'.  I know you won't because you can't, and that's a plain and irrefutable fact.

The McCanns can't sue everyone who presents a theory which opposes their own and what's the use of suing a man of straw ? The Mccanns have almost exclusively gone after organisations who would yield a decent payback.

As to theories I have presented you with a plausible one ( logic is very much more a subjective thing) many times. The fact that you dismiss it does not lessen it's plausibility.

Here's a question for you Alfie. Give me one example, just one will do, of a child who has been targeted in the way ( not for ransom) that Horrocks suggests ? Horrocks doesn't give one and I'm sure if he had one he would have included it. Therefore his 'experience' is a somewhat moot point if that 'experience' has not included his suggested scenario.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 09:35:46 AM
As his theory does not rely on things that are plain wrong
Like amaral
Then his theory has more value than amarals

Although he is correct about the frequency of the McCann's checks he ignores the fact that they weren't the only ones checking. According to Gerry Dave checked the McCann children on Wednesday evening. Any watchers would have seen this and realised that they couldn't just assume that there would be 20 minutes available to them.

He also wants us to believe that the abductors, having theoretically identified a 20 minute 'window of opportunity' went in after that opportunity had passed. Why bother finding a gap and then ignore it?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 09:39:47 AM
Although he is correct about the frequency of the McCann's checks he ignores the fact that they weren't the only ones checking. According to Gerry Dave checked the McCann children on Wednesday evening. Any watchers would have seen this and realised that they couldn't just assume that there would be 20 minutes available to them.

He also wants us to believe that the abductors, having theoretically identified a 20 minute 'window of opportunity' went in after that opportunity had passed. Why bother finding a gap and then ignore it?
Not if they hadn't done surveillance on the apartment on previous days.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 10:25:48 AM
Horrock's theory includes surveillance;

It remains my belief that Madeleine was targeted, and her parents observed following their arrival at The Ocean Club.......so by Thursday they could have been watched for up to four nights during which time their routine was established.....This was not an impulsive act. It took patience as well as planning, and would have involved observing the McCann’s for some time.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8185.0

As he favours Tannerman as the abductor, why did he do all that planning and then ignore it? Where was he when Gerry left the Tapas, as expected, at 9.05 pm? In the alleyway, the garden, the apartment or somewhere else? If he was in the alleyway or somewhere else he couldn't enter via the patio doors after Gerry went in.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 10:43:02 AM
Horrock's theory includes surveillance;

It remains my belief that Madeleine was targeted, and her parents observed following their arrival at The Ocean Club.......so by Thursday they could have been watched for up to four nights during which time their routine was established.....This was not an impulsive act. It took patience as well as planning, and would have involved observing the McCann’s for some time.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8185.0

As he favours Tannerman as the abductor, why did he do all that planning and then ignore it? Where was he when Gerry left the Tapas, as expected, at 9.05 pm? In the alleyway, the garden, the apartment or somewhere else? If he was in the alleyway or somewhere else he couldn't enter via the patio doors after Gerry went in.
Unless they thought that Matt's listening check was the check for that half hour.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 10:58:10 AM
Although he is correct about the frequency of the McCann's checks he ignores the fact that they weren't the only ones checking. According to Gerry Dave checked the McCann children on Wednesday evening. Any watchers would have seen this and realised that they couldn't just assume that there would be 20 minutes available to them.

He also wants us to believe that the abductors, having theoretically identified a 20 minute 'window of opportunity' went in after that opportunity had passed. Why bother finding a gap and then ignore it?
His overall theory is sound, even though he appears to have got it wrong with Tannerman.

The 20min gap existed and it was entirely predictable.  It was called 'main course'.

I don't know how Mr Horrock arrived at his vantage point, but he is correct about it.

I believe access to a front door key may have been involved.  It seems that BBC Panorama picked up on this.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 11:23:40 AM
His overall theory is sound, even though he appears to have got it wrong with Tannerman.

The 20min gap existed and it was entirely predictable.  It was called 'main course'.

I don't know how Mr Horrock arrived at his vantage point, but he is correct about it.

I believe access to a front door key may have been involved.  It seems that BBC Panorama picked up on this.

For once I agree with you
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 11, 2017, 11:42:56 AM
Criticise the post not the posters.  The sentence in your post: "that Mccann supporters support a man who is merely expressing his rather blatant biased opinion" is a criticism of a group of posters.

It is not criticising posters it is exploring their motivations. Please can we have less modding by non mods. If you think a post steps over the bounds please report.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 11:45:17 AM
His overall theory is sound, even though he appears to have got it wrong with Tannerman.

The 20min gap existed and it was entirely predictable.  It was called 'main course'.

I don't know how Mr Horrock arrived at his vantage point, but he is correct about it.

I believe access to a front door key may have been involved.  It seems that BBC Panorama picked up on this.

So he's right about a twenty minute gap and the vantage point, but wrong about when the crime occurred, wrong about the entry point  and wrong about Tannerman? That makes his overall theory unsound, doesn't it?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 11:49:51 AM
So he's right about a twenty minute gap and the vantage point, but wrong about when the crime occurred, wrong about the entry point  and wrong about Tannerman? That makes his overall theory unsound, doesn't it?

Nope it makes his overall theory sound
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 11, 2017, 11:51:51 AM
Check the time on the Dolphin receipt.  She absolutely nailed it.

Check what she saw - she absolutely nailed it.  Check what she said about what she cannot remember and what she cannot be certain of.  She absolutely nailed it.

Please don't diss Aoife. I have finger-tipped her statement and it all stands up to scrutiny.  It is, IMO, the best of all the statements in the PJ Files.

I like it an awful lot.  But then I may be biased.  When I was trying how to find out the f**k to spell and pronounce Aoife, I chanced upon a tiny factoid.

Aoife can mean Shining.  I like it a lot.   8((()*/

I think it falls at the first hurdle ... there is nothing on that receipt to indicate whose receipt it was.  Therefore no definitive time.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 12:18:44 PM
Nope it makes his overall theory sound

Nope, it doesn't.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 01:14:39 PM
I think it falls at the first hurdle ... there is nothing on that receipt to indicate whose receipt it was.  Therefore no definitive time.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P12/12_VOLUME_XIIa_Page_3258.jpg

Does anyone notice something peculiar about this EPS slip?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 11, 2017, 01:26:06 PM
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P12/12_VOLUME_XIIa_Page_3258.jpg

Does anyone notice something peculiar about this EPS slip?

The name is McDonnell ???
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 01:31:26 PM
The name is McDonnell ???

That is the maiden name of Peter's wife, so that is OK.
Look at the alignment of the name & the space between the MC & DON.
When a card is swiped for electronic payments the cardholder's name is not registered on the receipt & AFAIK it is also not produced on the till roll.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 01:45:04 PM
That is the maiden name of Peter's wife, so that is OK.
Look at the alignment of the name & the space between the MC & DON.
When a card is swiped for electronic payments the cardholder's name is not registered on the receipt & AFAIK it is also not produced on the till roll.

Very strange
So what is going on there with a piece of evidence from the official files
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 11, 2017, 01:52:42 PM
That is the maiden name of Peter's wife, so that is OK.
Look at the alignment of the name & the space between the MC & DON.
When a card is swiped for electronic payments the cardholder's name is not registered on the receipt & AFAIK it is also not produced on the till roll.

  Of course!  I think that could be considered a security breach.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 01:55:23 PM
  Of course!  I think that could be considered a security breach.

Or a forgery
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 02:08:18 PM
So he's right about a twenty minute gap and the vantage point, but wrong about when the crime occurred, wrong about the entry point  and wrong about Tannerman? That makes his overall theory unsound, doesn't it?
From memory, I would summarise his theory as having a core consisting of the following.

That there is a vantage point to the south of block 4, from which one could monitor the Tapas group, whilst being both unseen and in 100% safety.  That from that point, it would be possible to carry out an abduction, with very low risk, for the simple reason that one can monitor the Tapas group nearly 100% of the time.

It doesn't matter whether an alleged abductor used the front door with a key, or the rear through unlocked patio doors.

There is such a vantage point and it is a regular on my tours.  From that start point it was possible for a lone person to carry out an abduction, with a high degree of safety and a high chance of success.

I happen to think that key control at the OC was weak, for several reasons.  Mr Horrocks appears not to know this.

Mr Horrocks appears not to have scrutinised the time line in sufficient detail, nor has he analysed the pattern of activity of the T9 that week.  I have.  Accordingly, I am confident there was a predictable window of opportunity when starters began being served.  There was a longer window of opportunity which began when the main courses were served.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 11, 2017, 02:13:12 PM
From memory, I would summarise his theory as having a core consisting of the following.

That there is a vantage point to the south of block 4, from which one could monitor the Tapas group, whilst being both unseen and in 100% safety.  That from that point, it would be possible to carry out an abduction, with very low risk, for the simple reason that one can monitor the Tapas group nearly 100% of the time.

It doesn't matter whether an alleged abductor used the front door with a key, or the rear through unlocked patio doors.

There is such a vantage point and it is a regular on my tours.  From that start point it was possible for a lone person to carry out an abduction, with a high degree of safety and a high chance of success.

I happen to think that key control at the OC was weak, for several reasons.  Mr Horrocks appears not to know this.

Mr Horrocks appears not to have scrutinised the time line in sufficient detail, nor has he analysed the pattern of activity of the T9 that week.  I have.  Accordingly, I am confident there was a predictable window of opportunity when starters began being served.  There was a longer window of opportunity which began when the main courses were served.
What sil is saying is that ther is a clear window of opportunity for an abduction to take place if someone had been watching the family
Which is what I said two weeks ago
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 11, 2017, 02:20:52 PM
  Of course!  I think that could be considered a security breach.

Reds under the bed !
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 02:22:38 PM
From memory, I would summarise his theory as having a core consisting of the following.

That there is a vantage point to the south of block 4, from which one could monitor the Tapas group, whilst being both unseen and in 100% safety.  That from that point, it would be possible to carry out an abduction, with very low risk, for the simple reason that one can monitor the Tapas group nearly 100% of the time.

It doesn't matter whether an alleged abductor used the front door with a key, or the rear through unlocked patio doors.

There is such a vantage point and it is a regular on my tours.  From that start point it was possible for a lone person to carry out an abduction, with a high degree of safety and a high chance of success.

I happen to think that key control at the OC was weak, for several reasons.  Mr Horrocks appears not to know this.

Mr Horrocks appears not to have scrutinised the time line in sufficient detail, nor has he analysed the pattern of activity of the T9 that week.  I have.  Accordingly, I am confident there was a predictable window of opportunity when starters began being served.  There was a longer window of opportunity which began when the main courses were served.

So without analysing the timeline or the group's activity he just took a punt at it anyway. The more I learn about the Met the less they impress.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 02:23:50 PM
Reds under the bed !

A reason to sack the chief investigator, no less.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 02:27:18 PM
Reds under the bed !

I wonder who went to the trouble of digging out Mrs Smith's maiden name?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 11, 2017, 02:32:50 PM
A reason to sack the chief investigator, no less.

The font face is the same.
What is the law in Portugal regarding information required on electronic print outs of till receipts?
Have you checked all the reference code numbers to ensure they either tally or are hooky ?
Did the SIO?
Do you have a control print out that indicates that there is or isn't a problem with print alignment?

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 03:02:36 PM
The font face is the same.
What is the law in Portugal regarding information required on electronic print outs of till receipts?
Have you checked all the reference code numbers to ensure they either tally or are hooky ?
Did the SIO?
Do you have a control print out that indicates that there is or isn't a problem with print alignment?

I have no idea, Alice. It was merely an observation of something which doesn't look quite right but I doubt the SIO checked anything out as the receipt is not at odds with the Smith booking, other than an Irishman allowing a woman to settle a large bill.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 03:27:18 PM
So without analysing the timeline or the group's activity he just took a punt at it anyway. The more I learn about the Met the less they impress.
I may be mixing Mr Horrocks up with guy allegedly told to steer clear of OG.  So I may be doing him a disservice.

However, as a retired police officer he is at certain advantages to us, in others on a par with us, and in others at a disadvantage to us.

I see Mr Horrocks has visited the scene, and has worked out with accuracy where such a scheme could be implemented, how long it would take, and one escape route that shows how quickly a perpetrator would be safe from the Tapas 9.

I know there are other escape-to-safety routes dotted around 5A.

Having worked out that an abduction could be executed in 2 minutes, with safety taking around 30 seconds, Mr Horrocks has no need to analyse the time frame further.  The published time frames have plenty of 2 minute gaps.  In this respect, Mr Horrocks is on a par with us, as neither he nor we have access to the people who might be able to refine the time line.

Mr Horrocks is at a disadvantage to us in a key respect.  Talking Heads are expected to chop and change between cases as the media requires.  The one and only case I am interested in is Madeleine.

I have yet to review the Panorama special, but there is one small segment that may, indirectly, have originated with me.  That comes with focus on this one case, plus some input from forum members who are rigorous in their cross-checks, plus a lot more knowledge of Luz than Mr Horrocks.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 03:30:43 PM
I have no idea, Alice. It was merely an observation of something which doesn't look quite right but I doubt the SIO checked anything out as the receipt is not at odds with the Smith booking, other than an Irishman allowing a woman to settle a large bill.
And if the two Irishmen were already in Kelly's, is there any reason a woman was incapable of settling the bill?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 03:44:19 PM
And if the two Irishmen were already in Kelly's, is there any reason a woman was incapable of settling the bill?

A woman is perfectly capable of settling a bill. It's just that men of a certain generation don't tend (in my experience) to let women be seen paying for anything- especially an ill, pregnant woman.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 04:09:28 PM
A woman is perfectly capable of settling a bill. It's just that men of a certain generation don't tend (in my experience) to let women be seen paying for anything- especially an ill, pregnant woman.
Is it unusual, in your experience, for men to nip to the local to watch football on TV, leaving the women to look after the children as the kids tucked into desserts?  Hence a woman would pay the bill.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 05:48:12 PM
Is it unusual, in your experience, for men to nip to the local to watch football on TV, leaving the women to look after the children as the kids tucked into desserts?  Hence a woman would pay the bill.

Not unusual, no, but rather rude given it was the last night for one couple & the lady wasn't well.
Only 2 UEFA Cup matches that night + some Finnish League fixtures. Sevilla v Osasuna kicked off at 7.45pm your time so would have been finished by 9.30pm - hardly worth bothering about.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 06:02:23 PM
The McCanns can't sue everyone who presents a theory which opposes their own and what's the use of suing a man of straw ? The Mccanns have almost exclusively gone after organisations who would yield a decent payback.

As to theories I have presented you with a plausible one ( logic is very much more a subjective thing) many times. The fact that you dismiss it does not lessen it's plausibility.

Here's a question for you Alfie. Give me one example, just one will do, of a child who has been targeted in the way ( not for ransom) that Horrocks suggests ? Horrocks doesn't give one and I'm sure if he had one he would have included it. Therefore his 'experience' is a somewhat moot point if that 'experience' has not included his suggested scenario.
There was one case recently highlighted on this forum in the US (or was it Australia) when the abductor was seen in CCTV hanging around the victim's house on previous evening(s) to the abduction.  Targeted.  That's just from memory. 
As for your theory being plausible - no.  Just no.  Would you genuinely feel proud to present your theory to Horrocks or Sutton or anyone at the Met?  Do you think they'd reply "yes Faithlilly that really is very plausible"?  Because if you do I would say you are deluding yourself rather seriously. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 06:04:06 PM
Not unusual, no, but rather rude given it was the last night for one couple & the lady wasn't well.
Only 2 UEFA Cup matches that night + some Finnish League fixtures. Sevilla v Osasuna kicked off at 7.45pm your time so would have been finished by 9.30pm - hardly worth bothering about.
I know exactly when the games finished.  It's public record.

If you wish to pooh-pooh my explanation, what's yours?

Simple question.  With an early flight the next morning, a pregnant unwell lady, a bill signed by neither 'gentleman', WTF do you think they headed to Kelly's for?

Any 2 + 2 = 4 will do it for me.   8((()*/
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 11, 2017, 06:05:18 PM
Is it unusual, in your experience, for men to nip to the local to watch football on TV, leaving the women to look after the children as the kids tucked into desserts?  Hence a woman would pay the bill.

Irrespective of who lifted the tab for the meal ... there is no indication of who paid for the drinks in Kelly's.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 06:05:59 PM
FAO: Faithlilly:

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1988653/chilling-footage-of-serial-child-abductor-who-entered-victims-homes-in-early-hours-as-parents-slept/

Targeted abduction. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 11, 2017, 06:07:59 PM
I know exactly when the games finished.  It's public record.

If you wish to pooh-pooh my explanation, what's yours?

Simple question.  With an early flight the next morning, a pregnant unwell lady, a bill signed by neither 'gentleman', WTF do you think they headed to Kelly's for?

Any 2 + 2 = 4 will do it for me.   8((()*/

Kelly's sells cigarettes ... did the restaurant?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 11, 2017, 06:12:24 PM
FAO: Faithlilly:

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1988653/chilling-footage-of-serial-child-abductor-who-entered-victims-homes-in-early-hours-as-parents-slept/

Targeted abduction.

Depressing confirmation that Peter Voisey (England) is not alone in that modus operandi
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 06:36:27 PM
Irrespective of who lifted the tab for the meal ... there is no indication of who paid for the drinks in Kelly's.
From memory, the most likely bill was around €13.75.

Personally, I call that loose change.  Since Martin had a half-share in an apartment in Estrela, I have to run with the idea that he considered it pocket money too.  Do you think otherwise?

What the bills tell me is something excruciatingly simple, but very important.

The bill in both places indicate that the Smiths were very moderate drinkers.  I am not scoring points or making cheap shots here, so please take this with the honest intention it is offered.  The Smiths drank far less per capita than the T9.

This is crucial.  The Smiths did NOT go into Kelly's for a bevvy.

If for some weird reason their apartment had been drained of alcohol, there was a convenience store just around the corner where they could have stocked up on alcohol.  That store features in one of the videos of the McCanns at late-night Mass shortly after Madeleine disappeared.

I doubt they went in to meet up with someone they knew, given that Kelly's was near empty, they were not recognised by the bar maid, and they stayed for quite a while.

And that lot leaves just the beautiful game.

All roads lead to Hampden.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 07:09:34 PM
I know exactly when the games finished.  It's public record.

If you wish to pooh-pooh my explanation, what's yours?

Simple question.  With an early flight the next morning, a pregnant unwell lady, a bill signed by neither 'gentleman', WTF do you think they headed to Kelly's for?

Any 2 + 2 = 4 will do it for me.   8((()*/

I'd like an explanation as to why none of the Smith group reported in their statements that the group split up temporarily before everyone reconvened in Kelly's. Otherwise, I lean towards the group being together for the duration, in accordance with the statement you value so highly for accuracy.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 07:22:20 PM
Kelly's sells cigarettes ... did the restaurant?

I have checked, in general.

Bars are permitted to sell cigarettes.  It is not popular trade, because prices are regulated to wafer-thin profit margins.  But hey-ho, if it gets another customer through the door, who knows what else you can flog them?

Smoking was legal inside restaurants and bars in May 2007.  The law changed on 1 Jan 2008.  This is unfortunate in the sense that there might have been more smokers outside premises if the law had changed a year earlier.

Now here's my problem with this explanation.

Martin and Peter make it around 45-50 minutes-ish in Kelly's.  Aoife makes it 30 mins-ish.  You don't need either to buy a pack of cigarettes.  From memory, there was one purchase of cigarettes in Kelly's that night, but outside of the Smith timeframe.

Why spend that amount of time in a pub, with pregnant unwell wife and early journey the next morning?  There was a convenience store nearby.  One of the 'gentlemen' could have nipped there for cigarettes and got back in under 2 minutes.

Kelly's is not about nicotine.  It is about the beautiful game.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ShiningInLuz on May 11, 2017, 07:27:44 PM
I'd like an explanation as to why none of the Smith group reported in their statements that the group split up temporarily before everyone reconvened in Kelly's. Otherwise, I lean towards the group being together for the duration, in accordance with the statement you value so highly for accuracy.
Kindly give me a pointer for anyone saying the group travelled from the Dolphin to Kelly's as a 9-some?

My memory is not improving with age, so perhaps I have missed it.

Muito obrigad (many thanks).   8((()*/
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 11, 2017, 07:30:40 PM
His overall theory is sound, even though he appears to have got it wrong with Tannerman.

The 20min gap existed and it was entirely predictable.  It was called 'main course'.

I don't know how Mr Horrock arrived at his vantage point, but he is correct about it.

I believe access to a front door key may have been involved.  It seems that BBC Panorama picked up on this.

A 20 minute gap didn't exist.

9:25 - after finishing their starters Matt & Russ leave to check

9:30 Matt enters 5A - his last check after his own and going to Russell's apartment

9:32 Matt returns to the table and informs Jane her daughter is unwell

9:38 Jane after wolfing down her main meal (her words)  returns to her apartment

9:45 Russell returns to the table for his main course

No 20 minute gap - not even close.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: misty on May 11, 2017, 07:44:35 PM
Kindly give me a pointer for anyone saying the group travelled from the Dolphin to Kelly's as a 9-some?

My memory is not improving with age, so perhaps I have missed it.

Muito obrigad (many thanks).   8((()*/

I'd be quite happy to accept that the 2 men sneaked off for a quick pint & the last 20 mins of the footy IF the statements said so. They don't. If that part of 3 statements is absent, what else is incorrect or not recalled?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 11, 2017, 08:03:57 PM
I wonder who went to the trouble of digging out Mrs Smith's maiden name?


There is always the possibility that M.C Donnell or McDonnell was the name of the traders key operator.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 08:23:51 PM
There was one case recently highlighted on this forum in the US (or was it Australia) when the abductor was seen in CCTV hanging around the victim's house on previous evening(s) to the abduction.  Targeted.  That's just from memory. 
As for your theory being plausible - no.  Just no.  Would you genuinely feel proud to present your theory to Horrocks or Sutton or anyone at the Met?  Do you think they'd reply "yes Faithlilly that really is very plausible"?  Because if you do I would say you are deluding yourself rather seriously.

An Australian or US case has not added to Horrocks's experience though has it? Now a similar case that Horrocks has actually worked on? Oh and a cite for the case you mention?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 08:26:35 PM
An Australian or US case has not added to Horrocks's experience though has it? Now a similar case that Horrocks has actually worked on? Oh and a cite for the case you mention?
Oh FFS!!  Laughable goalpost shifting.  You asked for a case of a child being targeted in the way Horrocks suggests and now it has to be a case Horrocks actually worked on?!  To coin a favourite phrase of yours: "behave"!
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 08:43:08 PM
Oh FFS!!  Laughable goalpost shifting.  You asked for a case of a child being targeted in the way Horrocks suggests and now it has to be a case Horrocks actually worked on?!  To coin a favourite phrase of yours: "behave"!

So no case that has added to this 'experience' we have been told about and, as expected, no cite for the Aus/US case ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 08:52:10 PM
So no case that has added to this 'experience' we have been told about and, as expected, no cite for the Aus/US case ?
I posted the cite already on a post which starts FAO Faithlilly.  You asked for an example, I gave you an example.  Now you are demanding another example because you've shifted the goalposts.  Please stop playing games.  I have no idea what cases Horrocks has worked on during his many years with the Met, nor do I see what point you are trying to make.  Have children been specifically targeted in abduction cases?  Yes.  Is Horrocks theory plausible and logical?  Yes.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 11, 2017, 08:57:52 PM
I posted the cite already on a post which starts FAO Faithlilly.  You asked for an example, I gave you an example.  Now you are demanding another example because you've shifted the goalposts.  Please stop playing games.  I have no idea what cases Horrocks has worked on during his many years with the Met, nor do I see what point you are trying to make.  Have children been specifically targeted in abduction cases?  Yes.  Is Horrocks theory plausible and logical?  Yes.

Yet, it is totally hypothetical and has no evidence to support it.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 08:58:49 PM
Yet, it is totally hypothetical and has no evidence to support it.
How many times do I have to say that I accept this is the case?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 11, 2017, 08:59:49 PM
How many times do I have to say that I accept this is the case?

How many times do you need to type your support for Horrocks ?

I think we know that already.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 09:08:36 PM
I posted the cite already on a post which starts FAO Faithlilly.  You asked for an example, I gave you an example.  Now you are demanding another example because you've shifted the goalposts.  Please stop playing games.  I have no idea what cases Horrocks has worked on during his many years with the Met, nor do I see what point you are trying to make.  Have children been specifically targeted in abduction cases?  Yes.  Is Horrocks theory plausible and logical?  Yes.

We are told that Horrocks's theory carries more weight because he is an experienced professional yet neither he nor you can provide an example of a similar case he has worked on. That is the bottom line.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 09:46:08 PM
We are told that Horrocks's theory carries more weight because he is an experienced professional yet neither he nor you can provide an example of a similar case he has worked on. That is the bottom line.
I haven't claimed it.  If you check back you will see that I have said that his theory could have been written by A. Nonymouse and it would still be completely plausible and logical.   And THAT is the bottom line.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 09:48:26 PM
How many times do you need to type your support for Horrocks ?

I think we know that already.
Dear oh dear.  I couldn't give a tuppeny toss about Horrocks, I'm certainly not interested in supporting him, whatever that means.  It's his theory which interests me and which is I posted his blog post, why is that so difficult to grasp?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 11, 2017, 09:55:51 PM
Dear oh dear.  I couldn't give a tuppeny toss about Horrocks, I'm certainly not interested in supporting him, whatever that means.  It's his theory which interests me and which is I posted his blog post, why is that so difficult to grasp?

We already know.  8(0(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 09:59:25 PM
Dear oh dear.  I couldn't give a tuppeny toss about Horrocks, I'm certainly not interested in supporting him, whatever that means.  It's his theory which interests me and which is I posted his blog post, why is that so difficult to grasp?

Unfortunately his theory has been unable to withstand scrutiny as there are assumptions, mistakes and unanswered questions imo.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 10:02:08 PM
Unfortunately his theory has been unable to withstand scrutiny as there are assumptions, mistakes and unanswered questions imo.
In your opinion.  In my opinion it makes perfect plausible and logical sense.  If you've read a better one feel free to PM me a link.  You won't because you can't.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 10:18:40 PM
In your opinion.  In my opinion it makes perfect plausible and logical sense.  If you've read a better one feel free to PM me a link.  You won't because you can't.
CC me too please.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 11, 2017, 10:19:42 PM
In your opinion.  In my opinion it makes perfect plausible and logical sense.

Well, we are quite different. I examine the facts, and if people make inaccurate claims that puts me off.  His 20 minute window of opportunity just isn't there, for example. Journalists make such careless mistakes, policemen shouldn't.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 10:33:44 PM
Well, we are quite different. I examine the facts, and if people make inaccurate claims that puts me off.  His 20 minute window of opportunity just isn't there, for example. Journalists make such careless mistakes, policemen shouldn't.
How many minutes between Gerry's check at 9ish and the next check?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 10:36:50 PM
How many minutes between Gerry's check at 9ish and the next check?
It would depend if you include the time he talked to Jez as part of that check.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 10:39:42 PM
It would depend if you include the time he talked to Jez as part of that check.
No I don't include that time.  If an abductor removed Madeleine shortly after Gerry had left the apartment he wouldn't have known that Gerry was still in the vicinity and would have assumed he'd gone straight back to the table.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 11, 2017, 10:46:17 PM
Mo I don't include that time.  If an abductor removed Madeleine shortly after Gerry had left the apartment he wouldn't have known that Gerry was still in the vicinity and would have assumed he'd gone straight back to the table.
So in your theory you don't have abductor team lookouts.  If they are operating just via the kids bedroom window they would be oblivious of what Gerry was doing.  I think Gerry should have come away from the apartment on edge, he should have been wondering how did that kid's bedroom door move.  He should have  backtracked and popped back in unannounced.
It all comes back to the question as to whether the front door was able to be opened without a key?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 11, 2017, 11:38:46 PM
Mo I don't include that time.  If an abductor removed Madeleine shortly after Gerry had left the apartment he wouldn't have known that Gerry was still in the vicinity and would have assumed he'd gone straight back to the table.

We are told Gerry has rather a loud Glaswegian voice. I such a quiet street the alleged abductor couldn't have helped but hear Gerry talking in the street.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 11, 2017, 11:45:47 PM
We are told Gerry has rather a loud Glaswegian voice. I such a quiet street the alleged abductor couldn't have helped but hear Gerry talking in the street.
Was there a baby asleep in a pushchair?  Maybe he was whispering... 8(0(*
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 12, 2017, 12:18:01 AM
Was there a baby asleep in a pushchair?  Maybe he was whispering... 8(0(*

Neither he nor Jez mentioned whispering so I very much doubt it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 12, 2017, 06:55:57 AM
No I don't include that time.  If an abductor removed Madeleine shortly after Gerry had left the apartment he wouldn't have known that Gerry was still in the vicinity and would have assumed he'd gone straight back to the table.

But Horrocks says they are well organised. They wouldn't just count the McCann's checks and ignore the rest of the group trotting up and down. That would be stupid. So would assuming that Gerry had gone back to the table.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 12, 2017, 07:00:43 AM
But Horrocks says they are well organised. They wouldn't just count the McCann's checks and ignore the rest of the group trotting up and down. That would be stupid. So would assuming that Gerry had gone back to the table.

Horrocks has some credibility and has been to Luz
He says an abduction is possible and fairly easy
That seems a reasonable conclusion
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 12, 2017, 08:12:05 AM
But Horrocks says they are well organised. They wouldn't just count the McCann's checks and ignore the rest of the group trotting up and down. That would be stupid. So would assuming that Gerry had gone back to the table.
Trotting by being the operative observation, not entering the apartment.  Why would it be stupid to assume Gerry had left the apartment to go back to the table?  Did stopping and chatting with passers-by next to the apartment figure in his regular routine each evening?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 12, 2017, 08:12:58 AM
Neither he nor Jez mentioned whispering so I very much doubt it.
Jane Tanner mentions not being able to hear what either man was saying as she passed by them so....
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 12, 2017, 08:21:39 AM
Horrocks has some credibility and has been to Luz
He says an abduction is possible and fairly easy
That seems a reasonable conclusion

I don't see how going to Luz helps, to be honest. He would have been better advised to read the files and familiarise himself with the known facts. The timeline according to the T9 is a fact (three times they wrote it down). Reading that destroys his twenty minute window of opportunity.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/TIME_LINE_3_MAY_07.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 12, 2017, 08:23:52 AM
I don't see how going to Luz helps, to be honest. He would have been better advised to read the files and familiarise himself with the known facts. The timeline according to the T9 is a fact (three times they wrote it down). Reading that destroys his twenty minute window of opportunity.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/TIME_LINE_3_MAY_07.htm
But did they need 20 minutes?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 12, 2017, 08:32:26 AM
Trotting by being the operative observation, not entering the apartment.  Why would it be stupid to assume Gerry had left the apartment to go back to the table?  Did stopping and chatting with passers-by next to the apartment figure in his regular routine each evening?

You said he/they would have made that assumption. Where were they when they made the assumption then?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 12, 2017, 08:37:21 AM
But did they need 20 minutes?

The point is the credibility of an ex copper who clearly hasn't done his research before spouting off, not how long was needed.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 12, 2017, 08:54:32 AM
But did they need 20 minutes?

No - they could have been in and out -  and a fair way off in 4/5 mins,   Especially if it was pre-planned and  they had a car waiting  nearby.
IMO
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 12, 2017, 08:56:30 AM
The point is the credibility of an ex copper who clearly hasn't done his research before spouting off, not how long was needed.
Are we even sure which 20 minute period he is talking of? 

No - they could have been in and out -  and a fair way off in 4/5 mins,   Especially if it was pre-planned and  they had a car waiting  nearby.
IMO

That could be right and even if it wasn't that well planned it wouldn't take much longer.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 12, 2017, 09:18:57 AM
Trotting by being the operative observation, not entering the apartment.  Why would it be stupid to assume Gerry had left the apartment to go back to the table?  Did stopping and chatting with passers-by next to the apartment figure in his regular routine each evening?

Much has been made of the lack of evidence supporting a burglary ... "nothing was taken".

Madeleine was taken though ... which suggests she was the target.

If entry was made from the pool side ... it would have taken seconds to establish she was not in the first bedroom if they didn't already know exactly where to find her.
If entry was made from the car park side ... it would have taken seconds to find her.
The whole episode could have been concluded in the space of appx two minutes given some preparation.

Ian Horrocks has spent a lifetime dealing with serious crime.  It is risible to dismiss his informed opinion on this scenario out of hand because it does not fit the narrative propounded on various internet fora.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 12, 2017, 09:30:06 AM
But did they need 20 minutes?

Nope.  Five minutes would have been more than enough.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 12, 2017, 09:40:46 AM
Much has been made of the lack of evidence supporting a burglary ... "nothing was taken".

Madeleine was taken though ... which suggests she was the target.

If entry was made from the pool side ... it would have taken seconds to establish she was not in the first bedroom if they didn't already know exactly where to find her.
If entry was made from the car park side ... it would have taken seconds to find her.
The whole episode could have been concluded in the space of appx two minutes given some preparation.

Ian Horrocks has spent a lifetime dealing with serious crime.  It is risible to dismiss his informed opinion on this scenario out of hand because it does not fit the narrative propounded on various internet fora.

We don't know she was taken.

Quite possible she walked out of the apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 12, 2017, 09:49:17 AM
You said he/they would have made that assumption. Where were they when they made the assumption then?
Where was the abductor when he hade the assumption that Gerry had returned to the table?  After checking via the window that there was no one about, picking up Madeleine and at the front door of the apartment ready to leave - possibly. 
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 12, 2017, 09:54:44 AM
We don't know she was taken.

Quite possible she walked out of the apartment.
Not often we agree on anything.  But if she walked out of the apartment which door did she exit?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 12, 2017, 10:15:33 AM
We don't know she was taken.

Quite possible she walked out of the apartment.

Horrock's has considered the 'woke and wandered' theory along with everything else and has not entirely ruled it out; but his opinion is that the open window and raised shutter legislates against it.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 12, 2017, 10:18:30 AM
Horrock's has considered the 'woke and wandered' theory along with everything else and has not entirely ruled it out; but his opinion is that the open window and raised shutter legislates against it.

The trouble is, no one else saw the raised shutter or open window before Kate Mccann.

..and we know whose fingerprints were identified.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alice Purjorick on May 12, 2017, 10:23:11 AM
When do we suppose all this "preplanning" commenced?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 12, 2017, 10:24:11 AM
The trouble is, no one else saw the raised shutter or open window before Kate Mccann.

..and we know whose fingerprints were identified.

But we don't know whose weren't.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 12, 2017, 10:28:04 AM
But we don't know whose weren't.

As I have said before Eleanor, it doesn't mean they were made that night.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: faithlilly on May 12, 2017, 10:29:39 AM
Jane Tanner mentions not being able to hear what either man was saying as she passed by them so....

No she said she didn't remember. A completely different thing.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 12, 2017, 10:31:47 AM
As I have said before Eleanor, it doesn't mean they were made that night.
Of course it will be up to the detectives to link their alibis with the evidence found at the apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 12, 2017, 10:32:39 AM
The trouble is, no one else saw the raised shutter or open window before Kate Mccann.

..and we know whose fingerprints were identified.

From the beginning it was viewed as "staged".
The investigators failed to take a step back ... put aside prejudice ... and think ... why would it be?


 ... and in my opinion you are becoming slightly absurd with constant reference to Kate McCann's fingerprints on the inside glass of the window ... one could be led to believe you have read nothing regarding this subject on the forum.
Benice and Carana have explained it well and Pegasus made definitive posts on the subject.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 12, 2017, 10:34:20 AM
The trouble is, no one else saw the raised shutter or open window before Kate Mccann.

..and we know whose fingerprints were identified.

No-one saw Madeleine leave the apartment by herself - so why don't you rule that possibility out on the same grounds?

So what if Kates' fingerprints were on the window.  If she put her hand on the open window pane while she leaned out to look outside - then they would be there.   IMO

Why do you think they were there Stephen?  You never do explain - you just hint that it's some kind of proof of Kate's guilt.  So what exactly is your theory for why Kate's fingerprints were there?

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 12, 2017, 10:34:46 AM
As I have said before Eleanor, it doesn't mean they were made that night.

And it doesn't mean that Kate's were either.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 12, 2017, 10:40:36 AM
And it doesn't mean that Kate's were either.

Didn't she admit to checking the window ?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 12, 2017, 10:46:01 AM
Didn't she admit to checking the window ?

Did the abductor, is more to the point.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: slartibartfast on May 12, 2017, 10:51:41 AM
From the beginning it was viewed as "staged".
The investigators failed to take a step back ... put aside prejudice ... and think ... why would it be?


 ... and in my opinion you are becoming slightly absurd with constant reference to Kate McCann's fingerprints on the inside glass of the window ... one could be led to believe you have read nothing regarding this subject on the forum.
Benice and Carana have explained it well and Pegasus made definitive posts on the subject.

If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 12, 2017, 11:01:04 AM
From the beginning it was viewed as "staged".
The investigators failed to take a step back ... put aside prejudice ... and think ... why would it be?


 ... and in my opinion you are becoming slightly absurd with constant reference to Kate McCann's fingerprints on the inside glass of the window ... one could be led to believe you have read nothing regarding this subject on the forum.
Benice and Carana have explained it well and Pegasus made definitive posts on the subject.

Unfortunately, I am well experienced with that kind of window, and how it may be opened. 8((()*/

I have read the other posts, some time ago.

I also engaged with discussion with Pegasus on that issue.

However, the fact remains, Kate McCann's prints were identified.

Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 12, 2017, 11:03:04 AM
No she said she didn't remember. A completely different thing.
Completely different?  How so?  Did she remember hearing Gerry's booming voice?  No.  You are speculating that Gerry was chatting loudly because it suits you to but there is no evidence that he was, and in the circumstances, with a sleeping baby in close proximity that had just been lulled to sleep and being a parent himself we could instead speculate that Gerry was not booming but being considerate and speaking softly, so softly in fact that the passerby could not recall hearing one word of what he was talking about.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 12, 2017, 11:10:53 AM
Unfortunately, I am well experienced with that kind of window, and how it may be opened. 8((()*/

I have read the other posts, some time ago.

I also engaged with discussion with Pegasus on that issue.

However, the fact remains, Kate McCann's prints were identified.

Why wouldn't they be?  She had been living in the appartment for five days.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: G-Unit on May 12, 2017, 12:17:53 PM
Why wouldn't they be?  She had been living in the appartment for five days.

During which time the window, curtains and shutters were not touched;

The window in Madeleine's room remained closed, but she doesn't know if it was locked, blinds and curtains drawn. The window remained like this since the first day, night and day. She never opened it. If somebody saw the window blinds in Madeleine's room open, it was not Kate who opened them, she never saw them open.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/KATE-MCCANN_ARGUIDO.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 12, 2017, 01:44:03 PM
No-one saw Madeleine leave the apartment by herself - so why don't you rule that possibility out on the same grounds?

So what if Kates' fingerprints were on the window.  If she put her hand on the open window pane while she leaned out to look outside - then they would be there.   IMO

Why do you think they were there Stephen?  You never do explain - you just hint that it's some kind of proof of Kate's guilt.  So what exactly is your theory for why Kate's fingerprints were there?

The finger print evidence doesn't add up to leaning out or all her fingers would be present. When you lean out you use your hand as support not two fingers.

"middle finger of the left hand (3x) and forefinger of the left hand (2x)"

right hand pic
(https://us.123rf.com/450wm/alextee/alextee0901/alextee090100061/4222725-dito-indice-e-medio-dito-puntato-come-un-segno-di-pistola.jpg?ver=6)

p.s. Kate didn't say she leaned out of the window in her statements.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Alfie on May 12, 2017, 04:31:03 PM
During which time the window, curtains and shutters were not touched;

The window in Madeleine's room remained closed, but she doesn't know if it was locked, blinds and curtains drawn. The window remained like this since the first day, night and day. She never opened it. If somebody saw the window blinds in Madeleine's room open, it was not Kate who opened them, she never saw them open.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/KATE-MCCANN_ARGUIDO.htm
Allegedly - we have no proof that Kate McCann is telling the truth or remembering correctly.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 12, 2017, 06:03:11 PM
During which time the window, curtains and shutters were not touched;

The window in Madeleine's room remained closed, but she doesn't know if it was locked, blinds and curtains drawn. The window remained like this since the first day, night and day. She never opened it. If somebody saw the window blinds in Madeleine's room open, it was not Kate who opened them, she never saw them open.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/KATE-MCCANN_ARGUIDO.htm

From Kate's book:-

On our arrival we had lowered the blind-style shutters on the outside of the windows, which were controlled from the inside, and closed the curtains.  We left them that way all week.
End quote

It is possible that Kate had briefly touched a window at that time.   It's also very possible  that she wouldn't remember doing something so trivial.

AIMHO


Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: stephen25000 on May 12, 2017, 06:19:12 PM
From Kate's book:-

On our arrival we had lowered the blind-style shutters on the outside of the windows, which were controlled from the inside, and closed the curtains.  We left them that way all week.
End quote

It is possible that Kate had briefly touched a window at that time.   It's also very possible  that she wouldn't remember doing something so trivial.

AIMHO

It is also evidently possible , she did it on the night Madeleine disappeared, which would explain a lot.

AIMHO.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 12, 2017, 06:35:56 PM
It is also evidently possible , she did it on the night Madeleine disappeared, which would explain a lot.

AIMHO.

as i understnd there is evdidence of other prints on the window...not just kates
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 12, 2017, 07:08:30 PM
as i understnd there is evdidence of other prints on the window...not just kates

Cite?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 12, 2017, 07:14:54 PM
as i understnd there is evdidence of other prints on the window...not just kates
I took it like that too, the only mention is to Kate's finger print was that they take her claim of not touching the window all week very literally.  All the others hence were eliminated.  Someone closed the window so how did they do that without leaving prints?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Mr Gray on May 12, 2017, 07:38:21 PM
Cite?

were there not some partial unidentified prints
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 12, 2017, 08:35:23 PM
I took it like that too, the only mention is to Kate's finger print was that they take her claim of not touching the window all week very literally.  All the others hence were eliminated.  Someone closed the window so how did they do that without leaving prints?

Where did she claim that, Robbity?


Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: pathfinder73 on May 12, 2017, 08:49:42 PM
were there not some partial unidentified prints

Not on the inside of the window.  Dianne Webster's prints should be on the shutter and Gerry - three inadequate prints were recovered.

At 11:00am on 4 May 2007 I, IT, assistant-specialist, began to examine the following location:
At apartment 5A, Ocean Club:

- Side of the patio door: One adequate print recovered but not matched to known persons.

- Outside of one patio door: Eight inadequate prints were recovered.- Outside of [the other] patio door: One inadequate print was recovered.- Outside of the external blinds to the children's bedroom: three inadequate prints were recovered.

Date: 2007/05/18

Service Information

To: The Coordinator of the Investigation, G. Amaral

From: Assistant Specialist Irene Trovao

Subject: Identification of finger print

I inform you that according to report nº 140/07 there is a single finger print with sufficient value for identification.

It was revealed with Dragon Blood and gathered from the side of the living room window/door of Ocean Club apartment 5 A on 4th May 2007 after the disappearance of the child.

This morning Officer Silva delivered various fingerprints belonging to his officers who were on duty at the apartment on the night of 3 – 4 May 2007.

These were compared to the finger print which was identified as being that of Nelson Filipe Pacheco da Costa of the Lagos GNR.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/FINGERPRINTS.htm
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 13, 2017, 01:36:50 AM
Where did she claim that, Robbity?
Doesn't that post explain it? http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8185.msg405212#msg405212
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Brietta on May 13, 2017, 02:34:51 AM
Doesn't that post explain it? http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8185.msg405212#msg405212
Thank you
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 13, 2017, 07:23:02 AM
It is also evidently possible , she did it on the night Madeleine disappeared, which would explain a lot.

AIMHO.

What would it explain IYO?
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 13, 2017, 07:55:26 AM
were there not some partial unidentified prints

Yes there were.  Allegedly.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: ferryman on May 13, 2017, 08:15:50 AM
Yes there were.  Allegedly.

It would be astounding if there weren't.

This was a holiday apartment.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 13, 2017, 08:28:27 AM
It would be astounding if there weren't.

This was a holiday apartment.
The cleaners obviously didn't do a very thorough job of cleaning the windows on Wednesday.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 13, 2017, 08:35:54 AM
The cleaners obviously didn't do a very thorough job of cleaning the windows on Wednesday.

You forgot the caveat.  Please don't do this again.  Merci Beaucoup.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Benice on May 13, 2017, 08:48:05 AM
The cleaners obviously didn't do a very thorough job of cleaning the windows on Wednesday.

Would they clean the windows on every visit as part of their routine?  I would have thought window cleaning only happened when they were getting the apartment ready for new guests, after the old guests had left.

IMO
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Robittybob1 on May 13, 2017, 09:03:03 AM
Would they clean the windows on every visit as part of their routine?  I would have thought window cleaning only happened when they were getting the apartment ready for new guests, after the old guests had left.

IMO
I gather it was a scheduled routine.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 13, 2017, 09:05:19 AM
The cleaners obviously didn't do a very thorough job of cleaning the windows on Wednesday.

Any idea what mid-week cleaning duties would entail?
I'm surprised there was a cleaner in at all mid-week. Never been to anywhere like OC, but any self catering accommodation I've ever used was cleaned before and after occupancy, not during.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 13, 2017, 09:16:44 AM
Any idea what mid-week cleaning duties would entail?
I'm surprised there was a cleaner in at all mid-week. Never been to anywhere like OC, but any self catering accommodation I've ever used was cleaned before and after occupancy, not during.

They do it everyday at Val do Lobo.
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: jassi on May 13, 2017, 10:01:07 AM
They do it everyday at Val do Lobo.

Have to admit that I'd never heard of the place, but looking at pictures of the place, it looks far superior to OC
Title: Re: What Happened To Madeleine McCann? - by Ian Horrocks.
Post by: Eleanor on May 13, 2017, 10:14:50 AM
Have to admit that I'd never heard of the place, but looking at pictures of the place, it looks far superior to OC

It is.  And very much more expensive, although it didn't seem so at the time.  But that is neither here nor there.  I think they change the sheets a bit more often due to the heat.
Oh, and clean up the kitchen, which we tended to leave in a bit of a mess.