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Disappeared and Abducted Children and Young Adults => Madeleine McCann (3) disappeared from her parent's holiday apartment at Ocean Club, Praia da Luz, Portugal on 3 May 2007. No trace of her has ever been found. => Topic started by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 06:07:59 PM

Title: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 06:07:59 PM
Grime said the alerts were suggestive of cadaver contaminant...the sceptics seem to believe he has confirmed cadaver contaminant...he didnt ..they are wrong...simple
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 06:37:29 PM
Grime said the alerts were suggestive of cadaver contaminant...the sceptics seem to believe he has confirmed cadaver contaminant...he didnt ..they are wrong...simple
Well what caused the cadaver dog to alert then Davel?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 06:41:36 PM
Well what caused the cadaver dog to alert then Davel?

As, grime, has, said they are only suggestive and not confirmed you would, need to ask him...
I don't want the argument side tracked... Grime says, suggestive.. Sceptics believe  it's, a confirmation... That's, the point that needs, to be, answered.. Let's, answer this question rather than move to another one
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 06:43:44 PM
You should know the answer to this Rob, a sea bass sandwich or a used tampon, left lying around - as you do on holiday.

As, I said Rob.... Posters, will try and, avoid, the point in question
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 03, 2018, 06:49:42 PM
Obviously the cadaver dogs will feature quite a bit in this thread; it is worth bearing in mind though that we have a myriad of posts throughout the forum concerning them.

In my opinion it would be great if we could take a broader view of what evidence there was available.

For example what information was available to the PJ to justify making Kate and Gerry arguidos on the 7th of September 2007 just a few days prior to the introduction of amendment to the Criminal Code which necessitated firm evidence to be in place before taking that step?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 06:50:37 PM
As, I said Rob.... Posters, will try and, avoid, the point in question
What is the evidence then?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 06:52:52 PM
Obviously the cadaver dogs will feature quite a bit in this thread; it is worth bearing in mind though that we have a myriad of posts throughout the forum concerning them.

In my opinion it would be great if we could take a broader view of what evidence there was available.

For example what information was available to the PJ to justify making Kate and Gerry arguidos on the 7th of September 2007 just a few days prior to the introduction of amendment to the Criminal Code which necessitated firm evidence to be in place before taking that step?

Sorry Brietta I've, started this thread to explore, faithlillys, claim that although grime used, the word suggestive he actually confirmed, the, alerts

To me this is, a basic error in the sceptics logic and needs, to be, addressed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 06:54:30 PM
As, grime, has, said they are only suggestive and not confirmed you would, need to ask him...
I don't want the argument side tracked... Grime says, suggestive.. Sceptics believe  it's, a confirmation... That's, the point that needs, to be, answered.. Let's, answer this question rather than move to another one
You should take note of your words the Davel.  I appreciate your initiative in starting your own thread.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 06:56:16 PM
You should take note of your words the Davel.  I appreciate your initiative in starting your own thread.

What I can show is that the whole sceptic movement is based on a misconception
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 03, 2018, 06:56:25 PM
Sorry Brietta I've, started this thread to explore, faithlillys, claim that although grime used, the word suggestive he actually confirmed, the, alerts

To me this is, a basic error in the sceptics logic and needs, to be, addressed

Received and understood, Davel.  WOOF!!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 07:03:05 PM
What I can show is that the whole sceptic movement is based on a misconception
Do it then.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 03, 2018, 07:06:27 PM
http://www.11alive.com/article/news/investigations/little-man-lost/a-chance-k9-encounter-could-provide-clues-in-the-deorr-kunz-case/85-524989004

Worth watching & reading, especially in light of Eddie's training mainly on decomposing piglet.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 07:12:42 PM
Do it then.

To certain extent  I already have done but it has been deleted
In
CMOMM claims that Martin Grime confirms the 17 alerts to dead body scent by his TWO cadaver dogs.... More than one lie there and this is the leading sceptic site..

Faith claimed today that although grime used the word suggestive... What he meant was that the cadaver alerts, are confirmed


The cadaver alerts are not confirmed... There is no evidence of a body in the apartment... That is a fact... Will any sceptic accept the truth
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 03, 2018, 07:18:26 PM
What I can show is that the whole sceptic movement is based on a misconception

FFS! Why don't we have farting duck emoji  ?

"And the only reason I'm
Singing you this song now is cause you may know somebody in a similar
Situation, or you may be in a similar situation, and if your in a
Situation like that there's only one thing you can do and that's walk into
The shrink wherever you are, just walk in say "Shrink, You can get
Anything you want, at Alice's restaurant. ". And walk out. You know, if
One person, just one person does it they may think he's really sick and
They won't take him. And if two people, two people do it, in harmony,
They may think they're both faggots and they won't take either of them.
And three people do it, three, can you imagine, three people walking in
Singin a bar of Alice's Restaurant and walking out. They may think it's an
Organization. And can you, can you imagine fifty people a day, I said
Fifty people a day walking in singin a bar of Alice's Restaurant and
Walking out. And friends they may thinks it's a movement".

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 07:20:01 PM
FFS! Why don't we have farting duck emoji  ?

"And the only reason I'm
Singing you this song now is cause you may know somebody in a similar
Situation, or you may be in a similar situation, and if your in a
Situation like that there's only one thing you can do and that's walk into
The shrink wherever you are, just walk in say "Shrink, You can get
Anything you want, at Alice's restaurant. ". And walk out. You know, if
One person, just one person does it they may think he's really sick and
They won't take him. And if two people, two people do it, in harmony,
They may think they're both faggots and they won't take either of them.
And three people do it, three, can you imagine, three people walking in
Singin a bar of Alice's Restaurant and walking out. They may think it's an
Organization. And can you, can you imagine fifty people a day, I said
Fifty people a day walking in singin a bar of Alice's Restaurant and
Walking out. And friends they may thinks it's a movement".


So another one who cannot address, the point in question.. And neither, will anyone else
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 07:24:28 PM
Lets lok at the, alerts to the, car...


If they had put 50 cars, in a, field... With no sign of which car belonged to the McCann's... Any alerts would have been impressive.

But no... Put a, car covered in McCann stickers in a, car park... And when the dog ignores it call him back a, few, times until he Barks... It's hard to believe  that is, actually what happened.... But it did

Where's the laughing Duck emoji
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 07:50:44 PM
Dogs read window stickers!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 03, 2018, 07:57:57 PM
So another one who cannot address, the point in question.. And neither, will anyone else

What point in question, of relevance was that then?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 08:11:49 PM
Dogs read window stickers!

Excellent point... The dogs dont but the handler does... And the dogs don't call themselves back... The handler does
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 08:16:28 PM
Excellent point... The dogs dont but the handler does... And the dogs don't call themselves back... The handler does
So if there was no odour Eddie still not going to alert to nothing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 08:21:26 PM
So if there was no odour Eddie still not going to alert to nothing.

Again we need to ask grime... Grime says suggestive... Sceptics say it's confirmed...the sceptics are clearly wrong
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 03, 2018, 08:52:19 PM
They are trained to detect cadaver scent. If they fail in their training then they won't be doing the job. Corroborating evidence is required to prove the positive alerts.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2018, 08:55:05 PM
They are trained to detect cadaver scent. If they fail in their training then they won't be doing the job. Corroborating evidence is required to prove the positive alerts.


Yes we know that so as there was no corroborating  evidence the alerts are NOT confirmed

So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is incorrect
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 03, 2018, 09:21:39 PM
So another one who cannot address, the point in question.. And neither, will anyone else

If you read carefully you will note I responded to a post by you making a crackpot assertion that there is a "whole sceptic movement".
I am still waiting for you provide evidence of it and that you know of them all, Ace.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 03, 2018, 09:27:43 PM
Dogs read window stickers!

Clever Hans effect not to mention Zampo :)
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 03, 2018, 10:02:12 PM
Clever Hans effect not to mention Zampo :)


Groundhog Day to the power of plenty.... @)(++(*
The tape has now done a complete loop.
Mercy
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 03, 2018, 10:14:57 PM


Groundhog Day to the power of plenty.... @)(++(*
The tape has now done a complete loop.
Mercy

I take it you know of Clever Hans effect ... where the dog can 'read' what its master know and is unconsciously signalling?
Therefore dispensing with the necessity to be capable of reading the McCann stickers for itself.

Similarly, Zampo the cadaver dog alerted at supposed deposition sites ... only problem being that there had never been a mass murderer and there had never been murder victims to justify any alerts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 03, 2018, 10:27:58 PM
I take it you know of Clever Hans effect ... where the dog can 'read' what its master know and is unconsciously signalling?
Therefore dispensing with the necessity to be capable of reading the McCann stickers for itself.

Similarly, Zampo the cadaver dog alerted at supposed deposition sites ... only problem being that there had never been a mass murderer and there had never been murder victims to justify any alerts.

My views on this case were formed without input from dawgs.
I know dawgs have been used in tracking and sniffing capacities for nearly 300 years.
The dawg is a tool much like any other tool.
If I want to know about tools I look up in the appropriate manual not by visiting sites such as this...

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 03, 2018, 11:06:51 PM
Well what caused the cadaver dog to alert then Davel?
The cadavar dog Eddie also alerts to the dried blood from a living person.  That could have caused it. 
Also the brought home from hospital clothes and belongings from a deceased resident who was Tasmin Silences Grandpa could have caused the alerts ... as could his ashes if his widow stored them at home.
 
ETA:  And as Misty pointed out, Eddie was trained on dead piglets
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 03, 2018, 11:14:41 PM
My views on this case were formed without input from dawgs.
I know dawgs have been used in tracking and sniffing capacities for nearly 300 years.
The dawg is a tool much like any other tool.
If I want to know about tools I look up in the appropriate manual not by visiting sites such as this...

You'll find some tools here which are quite good at hitting a nail on the head.  ?>)()<
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 03, 2018, 11:24:02 PM
The cadavar dog Eddie also alerts to the dried blood from a living person.  That could have caused it. 
Also the brought home from hospital clothes and belongings from a deceased resident who was Tasmin Silences Grandpa could have caused the alerts ... as could his ashes if his widow stored them at home.
 
ETA:  And as Misty pointed out, Eddie was trained on dead piglets


Do you have any evidence that the grandparents of Tamsin Silence were even living in 5a when her grandfather died ?

Further if Eddie had alerted in the bedroom to dried blood Keela would have alerted too.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 03, 2018, 11:24:25 PM
You'll find some tools here which are quite good at hitting a nail on the head.  ?>)()<

A Brummagem Screwdriver ?

At least I passed up on the "skiving tool" joke.....oops it appears I didn't. ?{)(**
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 03, 2018, 11:29:31 PM
The cadavar dog Eddie also alerts to the dried blood from a living person.  That could have caused it. 
Also the brought home from hospital clothes and belongings from a deceased resident who was Tasmin Silences Grandpa could have caused the alerts ... as could his ashes if his widow stored them at home.
 
ETA:  And as Misty pointed out, Eddie was trained on dead piglets


But as Davel demonstrates from Grimes reports,  the alleged alerts need to be confirmed by corroborating  evidence.  There was no corraborating evidence, so the alerts are NOT confirmed

So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is incorrect.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 03, 2018, 11:35:26 PM
But as Davel demonstrates from Grimes reports,  the alleged alerts need to be confirmed by corroborating  evidence.  There was no corraborating evidence, so the alerts are NOT confirmed

So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is incorrect.

Please do not repost claims you can not substantiate.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 03, 2018, 11:37:06 PM
There is absolutely no forensic evidence linking the alerts in any way to the disappearance of Madeleine.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 03, 2018, 11:41:21 PM
There is absolutely no forensic evidence linking the alerts in any way to the disappearance of Madeleine.

Logic dictates that when a cadaver dog alerts in an apartment where a child has disappeared those alerts and the disappearance are statistically more likely to be connected than not.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 03, 2018, 11:46:27 PM
Logic dictates that when a cadaver dog alerts in an apartment where a child has disappeared those alerts and the disappearance are statistically more likely to be connected than not.
Even DNA results are expressed in statistical terms, so why not dog alerts, except there will be no science backing up your conclusion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 03, 2018, 11:48:23 PM
Logic dictates that when a cadaver dog alerts in an apartment where a child has disappeared those alerts and the disappearance are statistically more likely to be connected than not.

In this case, statistics & logic are not backed up by forensic evidence & circumstances.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 03, 2018, 11:59:11 PM
In this case, statistics & logic are not backed up by forensic evidence & circumstances.

What forensics would verify death if Madeleine had met with an accident in or outside the apartment where she had lived for six days ? As to circumstances, until we know the truth of what happened that night we can make no judgement on whether a death was possible in or outside the apartment.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 04, 2018, 12:00:39 AM
Do you have any evidence that the grandparents of Tamsin Silence were even living in 5a when her grandfather died ?

Further if Eddie had alerted in the bedroom to dried blood Keela would have alerted too.

Could have been to the scent of Tasmins Grandpas ashes, which a widow in a foreign country would probably find very comforting if by her bedside.  She would feel his presence near her IMO

As Davel reminded us ... No forensic back up, anyway and that is what matters.

You are clutching at straws Faith.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 12:13:25 AM
Snip......Could have been to the scent of Tasmins Grandpas ashes, which a widow in a foreign country would probably find very comforting if by her bedside.  She would feel his presence near her IMO


Again do you have any evidence that Tamsin Silence’s grandfather was even in Portugal when he died ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 04, 2018, 12:34:44 AM
What forensics would verify death if Madeleine had met with an accident in or outside the apartment where she had lived for six days ? As to circumstances, until we know the truth of what happened that night we can make no judgement on whether a death was possible in or outside the apartment.

How can you therefore apply logic & statistics to unverified circumstances & absence of evidence relating to any accident or unlawful incident?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 12:51:29 AM
How can you therefore apply logic & statistics to unverified circumstances & absence of evidence relating to any accident or unlawful incident?

I said nothing about statistics. Logic dictates that if a cadaver dog alerts in a certain location and in that location a child has gone missing then the two are more probably than not linked. There may be no collectible forensics to prove that the death occurred but the alert is nonetheless indicative and will certainly be given its due weight by any investigating police force.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 04, 2018, 01:22:02 AM
I said nothing about statistics. Logic dictates that if a cadaver dog alerts in a certain location and in that location a child has gone missing then the two are more probably than not linked. There may be no collectible forensics to prove that the death occurred but the alert is nonetheless indicative and will certainly be given its due weight by any investigating police force.

You referred to statistics in post #35.
How can you apply logic & statistics to any alert in a residence over a decade old contaminated by multiple unknown occupants?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 01:32:42 AM
You referred to statistics in post #35.
How can you apply logic & statistics to any alert in a residence over a decade old contaminated by multiple unknown occupants?

The above was also true of Murat’s villa and the various other locations Eddie was taken to yet at none of those did he alert to the scent he was trained to find. Can you give a logical explanation for that ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 04, 2018, 01:59:35 AM
The above was also true of Murat’s villa and the various other locations Eddie was taken to yet at none of those did he alert to the scent he was trained to find. Can you give a logical explanation for that ?

We have not seen Eddie in action at Casa Liliana, where "nothing of any significance" was reportedly found.
Neither Eddie nor Keela was granted access to the interior of any vehicle except the McCanns hire car.
Eddie was not granted a similar amount of time in other apartments as in 5A. Furniture was not moved around in the other apartments.
Was Eddie trained to find scent in the spectrum of a human cadaver under 5 hours old?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 04, 2018, 02:34:22 AM
I said nothing about statistics. Logic dictates that if a cadaver dog alerts in a certain location and in that location a child has gone missing then the two are more probably than not linked. There may be no collectible forensics to prove that the death occurred but the alert is nonetheless indicative and will certainly be given its due weight by any investigating police force.

Using that criteria, how many deaths does logic dictate occurred in Haute de la Garrenne?  Eddie's trained response was to bark ... how often did he 'alert' in the exclusive footage shown below?
Exclusive footage of 'Eddie'- Cadaver Dog at Haut de la Garenne
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MczCU66raBE
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 02:42:25 AM
Using that criteria, how many deaths does logic dictate occurred in Haute de la Garrenne?  Eddie's trained response was to bark ... how often did he 'alert' in the exclusive footage shown below?
Exclusive footage of 'Eddie'- Cadaver Dog at Haut de la Garenne
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MczCU66raBE

That video is excruciating.  What on earth is Eddie barking at?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 04, 2018, 03:03:40 AM
That video is excruciating.  What on earth is Eddie barking at?

There is a belief system held by some that Eddie's bark is infallible as is often quoted in the case of Apartment 5A where he was also filmed barking as seen in the Haute de la Garenne video, as well as beside the door of a vehicle in a public car park etc.

There were no unaccounted deaths in the former children's home to justify his alerts ... bearing in mind that of the children who lived there some had been sent by local authorities who if they sent three children out demanded to get the same three back ... and the majority had relatives most of whom would have missed them had they vanished.

In my opinion comparison of video of Eddie barking in Jersey and Eddie barking in Praia da Luz are not dissimilar.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 03:29:49 AM

Poor old Eddie.  He never was a true Cadaver Dog.  He had learned too many old tricks, along with the normal pit falls of what a Cadaver Dog will alert to in the absence of an actual dead body, like teeth and semen and urine.  And he was far too excitable.

I think that Martin Grime had the right basic idea and that these dogs, if properly trained can be useful, but it is never going to be an exact science.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 04, 2018, 06:17:54 AM
Please do not repost claims you can not substantiate.
Show me the colaborating evidence Faith.

You cant, because there isn't any.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 07:50:39 AM
Show me the colaborating evidence Faith.

You cant, because there isn't any.
I can only imagine an instruction "Please do not repost claims you can not substantiate" must mean that all options have to be on the table.
"So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is incorrect."  would become "So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is unproven so can't be claimed as correct or incorrect.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 08:23:13 AM
I can only imagine an instruction "Please do not repost claims you can not substantiate" must mean that all options have to be on the table.
"So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is incorrect."  would become "So to claim the alerts, were to cadaver odour is unproven so can't be claimed as correct or incorrect.

To claim the alerts were to cadaver odour is factually incorrect...it has not been possible  and is impossible to determine what the alerts were to...poeple have opinions...and that is all they are... To claim the alerts may have been to cadaver odour of course is correct
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 08:27:20 AM
Logic dictates that when a cadaver dog alerts in an apartment where a child has disappeared those alerts and the disappearance are statistically more likely to be connected than not.

by how much..
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 08:29:07 AM
I said nothing about statistics. Logic dictates that if a cadaver dog alerts in a certain location and in that location a child has gone missing then the two are more probably than not linked. There may be no collectible forensics to prove that the death occurred but the alert is nonetheless indicative and will certainly be given its due weight by any investigating police force.

just the way that if a child disappears statistically the parents are likeely to be involved...this is not evidence but intelligence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 08:34:30 AM
the point of this thread is to show taht the sceptics belief is based on a fallacy. faith has stated as a fact that the alerts were to cadaver odour based on grimes statement which is a logical fallacy.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 10:06:37 AM
the point of this thread is to show taht the sceptics belief is based on a fallacy. faith has stated as a fact that the alerts were to cadaver odour based on grimes statement which is a logical fallacy.
There are many types of logical fallacy, which type is it? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 10:11:37 AM
There are many types of logical fallacy, which type is it? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies

Im using the words in their literal sense

In reasoning to argue a claim, a fallacy is reasoning that is evaluated as logically incorrect

from your link
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 10:18:37 AM
We have not seen Eddie in action at Casa Liliana, where "nothing of any significance" was reportedly found.
Neither Eddie nor Keela was granted access to the interior of any vehicle except the McCanns hire car.
Eddie was not granted a similar amount of time in other apartments as in 5A. Furniture was not moved around in the other apartments.
Was Eddie trained to find scent in the spectrum of a human cadaver under 5 hours old?

Firstly unless you are suggesting that Grime, Harrison and half the PJ failed to report an alert in Casa Liliana then your first point is irrelevant.
Secondly the dogs reacted to no other car.
Thirdly Eddie’s behaviour changed on entering 5a and continued during the search. I’m sure this was the reason more time was spent there. This doesn’t appear to have happened in any other of the apartments.
And finally the fact that Eddie was used suggests so.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 10:21:34 AM
Firstly unless you are suggesting that Grime, Harrison and half the PJ failed to report an alert in Casa Liliana then your first point is irrelevant.
Secondly the dogs reacted to no other car.
Thirdly Eddie’s behaviour changed on entering 5a and continued during the search. I’m sure this was the reason more time was spent there. This doesn’t appear to have happened in any other of the apartments.
And finally the fact that Eddie was used suggests so.

you are missing the point. Is it confirmed that edddie detected cadaver scent in 5a...you claim it is and you are wrong
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 10:22:59 AM
Using that criteria, how many deaths does logic dictate occurred in Haute de la Garrenne?  Eddie's trained response was to bark ... how often did he 'alert' in the exclusive footage shown below?
Exclusive footage of 'Eddie'- Cadaver Dog at Haut de la Garenne
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MczCU66raBE

Didn’t Eddie alert to dried blood ? If a blood dog hadn’t also screened the area isn’t it possible that Eddie was alerting to blood ? Fortunately Keela also searched 5a and didn’t alert in the bedroom so we can rule dried blood out in that instance.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 10:26:59 AM
Show me the colaborating evidence Faith.

You cant, because there isn't any.

You claimed Tamsin Silence’s grandad’s ashes/clothes caused Eddie to alert yet have posted no proof that her grandfather even died in Portugal never mind that his ashes/clothes were stored in 5a. So as per forum etiquette either provide a cite or withdraw your misleading posts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 10:41:17 AM
You claimed Tamsin Silence’s grandad’s ashes/clothes caused Eddie to alert yet have posted no proof that her grandfather even died in Portugal never mind that his ashes/clothes were stored in 5a. So as per forum etiquette either provide a cite or withdraw your misleading posts.
Sadie only said "could have been".  "Could have been to the scent of Tasmin's Grandpas ashes ...."
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 04, 2018, 10:43:27 AM
Sadie only said "could have been".  "Could have been to the scent of Tasmin's Grandpas ashes ...."


Could have been is suggestive of,either they were in 5a or they were not.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 10:46:00 AM

Could have been is suggestive of,either they were in 5a or they were not.
Could have been therefore no need for a cite.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 04, 2018, 10:46:30 AM
Could have been therefore no need for a cite.

Easy get out.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 04, 2018, 10:50:36 AM
Sadie only said "could have been".  "Could have been to the scent of Tasmin's Grandpas ashes ...."

When you have to have a number of independent assumptions for a theory to work it tends towards speculation, which is frowned on here.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 10:52:54 AM
When you have to have a number of independent assumptions for a theory to work it tends towards speculation, which is frowned on here.

so we need to stick to facts...no confirmation of cadaver odour according to the experts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 04, 2018, 10:53:32 AM
so we need to stick to facts...no confirmation of cadaver odour according to the experts

The dog alerted.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 10:57:19 AM
Easy get out.
It is the way it is done around here.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 04, 2018, 11:14:53 AM
Dogs read window stickers!

Martin Grime knew the car was the one the McCann's were using,  Martin Grimes knew 5a was the apartment that the McCann's stayed in.    In my opinion Eddie spent a lot more time being called back to the McCann's car and apartment.    With regards to the apartment,   Eddie would have sniffed about the bedroom of 5a and left as he did the other apartments,  but Martin Grimes called him back numerous times.    In my opinion Eddie either barked just to please Martin Grimes or he barked because he could smell something that may be remotely connected to the smell he was supposed to alert to,  something that was once in the bedroom and been taken away, such as stained clothing or something that had been walked in from the outside.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 11:18:01 AM
Martin Grime knew the car was the one the McCann's were using,  Martin Grimes knew 5a was the apartment that the McCann's stayed in.    In my opinion Eddie spent a lot more time being called back to the McCann's car and apartment.    With regards to the apartment,   Eddie would have sniffed about the bedroom of 5a and left as he did the other apartments,  but Martin Grimes called him back numerous times.    In my opinion Eddie either barked just to please Martin Grimes or he barked because he could smell something that may be remotely connected to the smell he was supposed to alert to,  something that was once in the bedroom and been taken away, such as stained clothing or something that had been walked in from the outside.
True, it seemed to be inconsistent really, and I have made note of this previously.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 11:21:13 AM
Martin Grime knew the car was the one the McCann's were using,  Martin Grimes knew 5a was the apartment that the McCann's stayed in.    In my opinion Eddie spent a lot more time being called back to the McCann's car and apartment.    With regards to the apartment,   Eddie would have sniffed about the bedroom of 5a and left as he did the other apartments,  but Martin Grimes called him back numerous times.    In my opinion Eddie either barked just to please Martin Grimes or he barked because he could smell something that may be remotely connected to the smell he was supposed to alert to,  something that was once in the bedroom and been taken away, such as stained clothing or something that had been walked in from the outside.

‘Suggestive of cadaver contaminant’.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 04, 2018, 11:28:44 AM
‘Suggestive of cadaver contaminant’.

Of course that was said,  but Eddie alerts to blood of a living person,   washing could have had blood on them and been removed and scent was still there.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 11:30:00 AM
Of course that was said,  but Eddie alerts to blood of a living person,   washing could have had blood on them and been removed and scent was still there.

Keela didn’t alert so not blood.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 04, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Keela didn’t alert so not blood.

Keela alerted to blood that was present,   Eddie would alert to blood that was there but had been removed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 11:33:23 AM
‘Suggestive of cadaver contaminant’.
In the full context "My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence."  Martin Grime  http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 04, 2018, 11:59:06 AM
you are missing the point. Is it confirmed that edddie detected cadaver scent in 5a...you claim it is and you are wrong

I fear this is a particularly grey area but the actual truth as far as the inspection of 5a is concerned is that Eddie did alert to substances for which he was trained.

The difficulty arises when one attempts to put a label on those substances because we know, as Sadie already pointed out, that Eddie could alert to many substances including cadaver odour.  That is why Mr Grime had to apply the caveat to the dog alerts to the effect that the alerts had no evidential reliability unless corroborated by other evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 12:02:05 PM
Keela alerted to blood that was present,   Eddie would alert to blood that was there but had been removed.

From Grime’s profile


'Keela' The Crime Scene Investigation (C.S.I.) dog will search for and locate human

blood to such small proportions that it is unlikely to be recovered by the forensic

science procedures in place at this time due to its size or placement.

She will locate contaminated weapons, screen motor vehicles and items of clothing

and examine crime scenes for minute human blood deposits. She will accurately

locate human blood on items that have been subjected to 'clean up operations' or

having been subjected to severa1 washing machine cycles.

In training she has accurately located minute samples of blood on property up to

thirty-six years old.’

In order for the dog to locate the source the blood must have 'dried' in situ. Any

'wetting' once dried will not affect the dog's abilities.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 04, 2018, 12:38:12 PM
From Grime’s profile


'Keela' The Crime Scene Investigation (C.S.I.) dog will search for and locate human

blood to such small proportions that it is unlikely to be recovered by the forensic

science procedures in place at this time due to its size or placement.

She will locate contaminated weapons, screen motor vehicles and items of clothing

and examine crime scenes for minute human blood deposits. She will accurately

locate human blood on items that have been subjected to 'clean up operations' or

having been subjected to severa1 washing machine cycles.

In training she has accurately located minute samples of blood on property up to

thirty-six years old.’

In order for the dog to locate the source the blood must have 'dried' in situ. Any

'wetting' once dried will not affect the dog's abilities.

Where does it say that Keela will alert to a scent that has been left in the location by something such as clothing that has been removed?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 12:45:07 PM

As most people know, salt and cold water removes blood from fabric, totally, in my experience.  Would a Blood Scent Dog still be able to smell the blood afterwards?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 12:52:53 PM
I fear this is a particularly grey area but the actual truth as far as the inspection of 5a is concerned is that Eddie did alert to substances for which he was trained.

The difficulty arises when one attempts to put a label on those substances because we know, as Sadie already pointed out, that Eddie could alert to many substances including cadaver odour.  That is why Mr Grime had to apply the caveat to the dog alerts to the effect that the alerts had no evidential reliability unless corroborated by other evidence.

There is no grey are whatsoever... The alerts, are not
Confirmed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 02:57:07 PM
Where does it say that Keela will alert to a scent that has been left in the location by something such as clothing that has been removed?

Keela alerts to blood. Eddie alerts to blood and cadaver scent. If Eddie alerts and Keela doesn’t then that is suggestive that Eddie is alerting to cadaver scent. I really can’t make it any simpler.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 02:59:14 PM
As most people know, salt and cold water removes blood from fabric, totally, in my experience.  Would a Blood Scent Dog still be able to smell the blood afterwards?

According to Grime yes.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 04, 2018, 03:07:20 PM
Where does it say that Keela will alert to a scent that has been left in the location by something such as clothing that has been removed?

This might answer your question  https://www.pawsoflife.org/Library/HRD/Oesterhelweg%201998.pdf
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 04, 2018, 03:48:13 PM
Firstly unless you are suggesting that Grime, Harrison and half the PJ failed to report an alert in Casa Liliana then your first point is irrelevant.
Secondly the dogs reacted to no other car.
Thirdly Eddie’s behaviour changed on entering 5a and continued during the search. I’m sure this was the reason more time was spent there. This doesn’t appear to have happened in any other of the apartments.
And finally the fact that Eddie was used suggests so.

We know what Eddie alerted to in the Renault ... a key fob contaminated with cellular material from Gerry McCann.

So he did alert to the substance he was trained to ... but since Gerry McCann was and is very much alive ... it just was not 'cadaver scent'.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 04, 2018, 04:03:29 PM
Didn’t Eddie alert to dried blood ? If a blood dog hadn’t also screened the area isn’t it possible that Eddie was alerting to blood ? Fortunately Keela also searched 5a and didn’t alert in the bedroom so we can rule dried blood out in that instance.

From memory Eddie alerted to
Therefore the cadaver dog alerted.  Samples collected - forensic tests conducted and conclusions were as detailed above.
Therefore the dog did its job, found what he was trained to find, but he didn't find cadaver scent which did not have an explanation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 04:56:33 PM
From memory Eddie alerted to
  • tissues used to clean up and discarded after a sexual encounter
Contamination ?
  • milk teeth
From a cadaver or deposited in same area as cadaver ?
  • very old bones
From a cadaver.
  • JAR/6 - which was a coconut shell
Contained collagen. Coconuts do not contain collagen.
  • a spot where cremation ashes had been scattered
A burned cadaver.

Therefore the cadaver dog alerted.  Samples collected - forensic tests conducted and conclusions were as detailed above.
Therefore the dog did its job, found what he was trained to find, but he didn't find cadaver scent which did not have an explanation.

Let me remind you exactly what Eddie alerted to.


JAR/30: 3-4; 1940s to 1980s. Two fragments of burnt bone one is fragment of longbone? Tibia. Submitted to University of Sheffield with KSH/158. Origin confirmed as human. Submitted for dating awaiting results.

JAR/33: 3-4; 1940s to 1980’s.
Calcined fragment of bone. ?human.

JAR/53: 183. Cellar 3 Dark char rich deposit equivalent to 169.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
5 fragments of calcined long bone ?human.

JAR/54: 183. Cellar 3 Dark char rich deposit equivalent to 169.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
4 fragments of calcined bone ?human.

JAR/55: 183. Cellar 3 Dark char rich deposit equivalent to 169.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
1 fragment of calcined bone ?human.

JAR/57:183. Cellar 3 Dark char rich deposit equivalent to 169.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
2 fragments of bone of unknown origin.

JAR/56: 183. Cellar 3 Dark char rich deposit equivalent to 169.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
1 fragment of bone ?human.

JAR/67: 183. Zone 3 East Cellar 3.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Human Tooth: deciduous left maxillary first molar, age 9 yrs ± 3 yrs. Could have been shed naturally (Anthro exam).
Submitted to odontologist, see report.

JAR/69: 183. Zone 3 East Cellar 3.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Fragments x 3 of possible human cortical bone.

JAR/61: 183 Zone 4 East Cellar 3.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
23 Fragments of bone:
1 Burnt fragment which closely resembles a human juvenile mastoid process.
2. Burnt fragment of ?human mandible.
3. Fragments of burnt long bone x 3 measuring between 11.3 and 16.3 mm.
4. Fragments of unidentified burnt cortical and trabecular bone x 7.
5. Fragment of slightly burnt long bone measuring 33 mm. The cortex of the
bone resembles human but it is quite thick and the trabeculae can not be seen because it requires cleaning. It appears to have been cut at one end.
6. Fragments of unburnt unidentified long bone. x 3 The appearance and texture of the cortex of the fragments appears more animal than human but it is advised that further examination should be undertaken in order to confirm this.
7. Fragments of unidentified long bone x 7. 5 have been burnt and 2 haven’t. Species
uncertain although two of the burnt fragments could possibly be human

JAR/90: 183 Cellar 3 Zone 3 East.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Fragments of unidentified bone of unknown species. One which is calcined is possibly human bone.

Cellar 4 Context 169 (redeposited char material from fire elsewhere. Unsealed)

JAR/36: 169. Cellar 4 E. Charred material at southern end of Zone 4. Equivalent to 127.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Fragment of bone ?human.

JAR/37: 169. Cellar 4 E. Charred material at southern end of Zone 4. Equivalent to 127.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Fragment of burnt bone. ?human mastoid process

JAR/39: 169. Cellar 4 E. Charred material at southern end of Zone 4. Equivalent to 127.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Fragment of burnt bone ?human.

JAR/40: 169. Cellar 4 E. Charred material at southern end of Zone 4. Equivalent to 127.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Fragment of bone ?human.

GMK/18: 169. Cellar 4 E. Charred material at southern end of Zone 4. Equivalent to 127.
4 / 5: 1960s to present date.
Human tooth. Anthro exam – deciduous left maxillary lateral incisor. Age range 6 yrs ± 2yrs

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 04:58:43 PM
We know what Eddie alerted to in the Renault ... a key fob contaminated with cellular material from Gerry McCann.

So he did alert to the substance he was trained to ... but since Gerry McCann was and is very much alive ... it just was not 'cadaver scent'.

Eddie alerts to blood. There was blood on the key fob. In 5a Eddie alerted but Keela didn’t so it couldn’t have been to blood but cadaver scent.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 05:03:26 PM
We know what Eddie alerted to in the Renault ... a key fob contaminated with cellular material from Gerry McCann.

So he did alert to the substance he was trained to ... but since Gerry McCann was and is very much alive ... it just was not 'cadaver scent'.
It is still cadaver scent even if the person the tissue comes from is still alive.  Imagine if a person lost his arm in an accident, and makes his way to hospital.  The people never recover his arm, but he survives.
Years later dogs on a cadaver dog training exercise find a years old bones from a human victim.
Wouldn't the dog trainers immediately think the person had died?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 05:07:07 PM
Eddie alerts to blood. There was blood on the key fob. In 5a Eddie alerted but Keela didn’t so it couldn’t have been to blood but cadaver scent.

Bolloxs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 05:08:10 PM
It is still cadaver scent even if the person the tissue comes from is still alive.  Imagine if a person lost his arm in an accident, and makes his way to hospital.  The people never recover his arm, but he survives.
Years later dogs on a cadaver dog training exercise find a years old bones from a human victim.
Wouldn't the dog trainers immediately think the person had died?

I wouldn't.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 05:19:40 PM
Keela alerts to blood. Eddie alerts to blood and cadaver scent. If Eddie alerts and Keela doesn’t then that is suggestive that Eddie is alerting to cadaver scent. I really can’t make it any simpler.

no you couldnt...it would be suggestive but would not confirm anything
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2018, 05:21:03 PM
Eddie alerts to blood. There was blood on the key fob. In 5a Eddie alerted but Keela didn’t so it couldn’t have been to blood but cadaver scent.

not according to grime..it would be suggestive of cadaver scent
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 04, 2018, 05:32:32 PM
I wouldn't.
Do you want to take a bet on that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 04, 2018, 06:05:35 PM
Bolloxs.

I have just been given a warning for using bleedin' and blx  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 04, 2018, 06:11:43 PM
Bolloxs.

you forgot IYO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 06:27:03 PM
I have just been given a warning for using bleedin' and blx  @)(++(*

It wass nae me.  I must have missed that one.  Which I frequently do.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 06:28:07 PM
you forgot IYO

It wasn't In My Opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 06:32:07 PM
Bolloxs.

What part ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 04, 2018, 06:34:15 PM
It wasn't In My Opinion.

Ah right, forgot you were a mod.

Isn't it goading - not a very nice example for a mod
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 04, 2018, 07:00:57 PM
Eddie alerts to blood. There was blood on the key fob. In 5a Eddie alerted but Keela didn’t so it couldn’t have been to blood but cadaver scent.

You are missing the point I am trying to make.

Keela alerts to blood.   Eddie alerts to blood.

Keela alerts to blood that is present, on an object even if it has been cleaned.

Eddie will alert to blood that is present,  but as a cadaver dog will also alert to blood that has been on something such as clothing which was once in the area of alert but which has been removed.

Another problem is three families stayed in 5a after the McCann's.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 07:06:06 PM
You are missing the point I am trying to make.

Keela alerts to blood.   Eddie alerts to blood.

Keela alerts to blood that is present, on an object even if it has been cleaned.

Eddie will alert to blood that is present,  but as a cadaver dog will also alert to blood that has been on something such as clothing which was once in the area of alert but which has been removed.

Another problem is three families stayed in 5a after the McCann's.

I’m sorry Lace but Eddie does not alert to blood that has been removed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 04, 2018, 07:09:09 PM
I’m sorry Lace but Eddie does not alert to blood that has been removed.

You know this how?

I shall post this clip again -

Unfortunately, in such a situation the trier of fact may easily be misled as to both the accuracy and precision of the dog's actions: Accuracy in the sense that the dog (depending upon its level of training) may be reacting to something other than residual scent from decomposed human tissue; precision in that the dog may be reacting correctly to the scent of decomposed human tissue, but imprecise in the sense that the dog is not differentiating between whose decomposed human tissue is giving the scent. Further, there may be legitimate reasons for the scent being there: someone may have been injured and left bloody clothing there, someone may have left a used sanitary napkin, etc. Our research demonstrates that residual scent from decomposed human tissue persists in a closed building for many months at levels sufficient to cause a trained dog to alert.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 04, 2018, 07:19:58 PM
Ah right, forgot you were a mod.

Isn't it goading - not a very nice example for a mod

When it comes to Opinions, I am no better or worse than anyone else.  I try to keep the two things separate, but this is difficult.  Although, please God I manage.

Quite probably, Moderators should not express opinions.  But where do you think you will find a person who will have the time and the patience to do this.

At the moment we have two Sceptic Mods and two Supporter Mods.  What more do you want?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 04, 2018, 07:33:52 PM
I’m sorry Lace but Eddie does not alert to blood that has been removed.

Keela didn't, according to Grime. I've never seen anything to suggest that Eddie didn't.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 07:36:59 PM
You know this how?

I shall post this clip again -

Unfortunately, in such a situation the trier of fact may easily be misled as to both the accuracy and precision of the dog's actions: Accuracy in the sense that the dog (depending upon its level of training) may be reacting to something other than residual scent from decomposed human tissue; precision in that the dog may be reacting correctly to the scent of decomposed human tissue, but imprecise in the sense that the dog is not differentiating between whose decomposed human tissue is giving the scent. Further, there may be legitimate reasons for the scent being there: someone may have been injured and left bloody clothing there, someone may have left a used sanitary napkin, etc. Our research demonstrates that residual scent from decomposed human tissue persists in a closed building for many months at levels sufficient to cause a trained dog to alert.

Where does this clip come from Lace ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 04, 2018, 07:48:31 PM
Where does this clip come from Lace ?

http://www.csst.org/forensic_evidence_canines.html
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2018, 08:02:03 PM
http://www.csst.org/forensic_evidence_canines.html

1998 ? I’m sure our knowledge of cadaver dogs has moved on since this paper was written.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2018, 02:46:33 AM
1998 ? I’m sure our knowledge of cadaver dogs has moved on since this paper was written.

Mine has certainly progressed by leaps and bounds ... but back in the nineties it appears a lack of in-depth knowledge allowed a lot of anomalies to enter the evidence chain allowing some really weird occurrences not least among which was the get out of jail free card given to quite a few Swedish murderers.

One only has to consider Thomas Quick the serial killer who never was ... and Zampo the sniffer dog who checked out each murder site + no DNA evidence, no fingerprint evidence, no eye witness evidence or production of murder weapons.
There was even eye witness evidence that Quick had a cast iron alibi for some of his confessed murders.

Quick was convicted of over thirty murders without a shred of evidence to support a single one and in one case despite semen which was not a match for his DNA being found on the victim's body.

Snip
"Zampo marked for human remains 45 times at those 24 locations. Not a single trace of blood or body parts was ever found ... "
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/oct/20/thomas-quick-bergwall-sweden-murder


So as you so rightly pointed out, our knowledge in 2018 is far more refined as once unknown words such as "putrescine and cadaverine" slip from our keyboards with an ease impossible for us in 2007.
But that was the sum of our knowledge way back then reliant on studies such as that of 1998 ... at least at present we are now aware that evidence does not consist of "dogs don't lie" ... and if we ever doubt that we need only think of Zampo.

 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 05, 2018, 08:35:03 AM
1998 ? I’m sure our knowledge of cadaver dogs has moved on since this paper was written.

Has it?   How would you train a cadaver dog not to alert to something that he is trained to alert to such as blood?  Grime himself says the cadaver scent remains,   so could the scent of blood.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 10:11:28 AM
Mine has certainly progressed by leaps and bounds ... but back in the nineties it appears a lack of in-depth knowledge allowed a lot of anomalies to enter the evidence chain allowing some really weird occurrences not least among which was the get out of jail free card given to quite a few Swedish murderers.

One only has to consider Thomas Quick the serial killer who never was ... and Zampo the sniffer dog who checked out each murder site + no DNA evidence, no fingerprint evidence, no eye witness evidence or production of murder weapons.
There was even eye witness evidence that Quick had a cast iron alibi for some of his confessed murders.

Quick was convicted of over thirty murders without a shred of evidence to support a single one and in one case despite semen which was not a match for his DNA being found on the victim's body.

Snip
"Zampo marked for human remains 45 times at those 24 locations. Not a single trace of blood or body parts was ever found ... "
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/oct/20/thomas-quick-bergwall-sweden-murder


So as you so rightly pointed out, our knowledge in 2018 is far more refined as once unknown words such as "putrescine and cadaverine" slip from our keyboards with an ease impossible for us in 2007.
But that was the sum of our knowledge way back then reliant on studies such as that of 1998 ... at least at present we are now aware that evidence does not consist of "dogs don't lie" ... and if we ever doubt that we need only think of Zampo.

I’m not interested in your or my knowledge but the professionals who do actually know what they are talking about and posting a research paper which is twenty years old as some kind of proof of a cadaver dog’s fallibility is ridiculous in the extreme.

As to Zampo he is described as a sniffer dog, and not a very well trained one at that. As far as we can tell he was neither an EVRD dog like Eddie nor a blood dog like Keela and was used by people who obviously didn’t know what they were doing.so any likeness to the McCann case ends right there, no matter how hard you try to push those ‘similarities’.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 10:21:39 AM
I’m not interested in your or my knowledge but the professionals who do actually know what they are talking about and posting a research paper which is twenty years old as some kind of proof of a cadaver dog’s fallibility is ridiculous in the extreme.

As to Zampo he is described as a sniffer dog, and not a very well trained one at that. As far as we can tell he was neither an EVRD dog like Eddie nor a blood dog like Keela and was used by people who obviously didn’t know what they were doing.so any likeness to the McCann case ends right there, no matter how hard you try to push those ‘similarities’.

You need to listen ti the, experts
Grime said that the alerts were suggestive... That's, all
Not confirmed... Anyone who thinks otherwise does not understand  the, evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 05, 2018, 10:24:26 AM
1998 ? I’m sure our knowledge of cadaver dogs has moved on since this paper was written.
I read the paper and I would say what was found was sound and won't change  with time.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 10:25:48 AM
You need to listen ti the, experts
Grime said that the alerts were suggestive... That's, all
Not confirmed... Anyone who thinks otherwise does not understand  the, evidence

Ever wondered why there was no ‘suggestive’ alerts in any other apartment searched by Eddie ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 05, 2018, 10:33:12 AM
Ever wondered why there was no ‘suggestive’ alerts in any other apartment searched by Eddie ?
You know you can say things like that, and that it is only Madeleine who is missing, and no one else is known to have died in the apartment 5A.  OK it looks bad but there is no corroborating evidence found to confirm that the alerts had any positive connection to Madeleine McCann.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 10:35:25 AM
You know you can say things like that, and that it is only Madeleine who is missing, and no one else is known to have died in the apartment 5A.  OK it looks bad but there is no corroborating evidence found to confirm that the alerts had any positive connection to Madeleine McCann.

It doesn't look badat all when you understand  why it happened ...it makes, the, alerts look bad
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 05, 2018, 10:37:52 AM
It doesn't look badat all when you understand  why it happened ...it makes, the, alerts look bad
So are you saying you know why it happened?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 05, 2018, 10:42:17 AM
We are told by Grime that Eddie’s behaviour changed profoundly when entering 5a. Obviously that didn’t happen when entering the other apartments.
and Grime repeatedly said there would need to be corroborating evidence found to confirm the alerts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 05, 2018, 10:42:26 AM
You need to listen ti the, experts
Grime said that the alerts were suggestive... That's, all
Not confirmed... Anyone who thinks otherwise does not understand  the, evidence


Anyone who thinks otherwise does not understand  the, evidence



What actual evidence is there - that mccanns are innocent, none.

What actual evidence is there - that maddie was abducted, none.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 10:44:09 AM
We are told by Grime that Eddie’s behaviour changed profoundly when entering 5a. Obviously that didn’t happen when entering the other apartments.

so why did it change...grime doesnt give us any reason...perhaps picking something up from grime. What we have now is grime reading doggie body language...

whatever you say grime wasnt sure enough to say in his opinion it was cadaver scent...so ..still...no confirmation...lots of innuendo but tahts it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 10:44:52 AM

Anyone who thinks otherwise does not understand  the, evidence



What actual evidence is there - that mccanns are innocent, none.

What actual evidence is there - that maddie was abducted, none.

the "evidence" of the dogs...seeing as taht is what we are talking about
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 05, 2018, 10:46:41 AM
the "evidence" of the dogs...seeing as taht is what we are talking about


Yes but that doesn't make the mccanns innocent ,does it.

The way you are going on , is as if it does.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 10:53:04 AM
Has it?   How would you train a cadaver dog not to alert to something that he is trained to alert to such as blood?  Grime himself says the cadaver scent remains,   so could the scent of blood.

Of course it has.

How can I put this as simply as possible Lace. Grime, who is the expert, says that Eddie alerts to cadaver scent and dried blood from a living person. Keela alerts to dried blood from a living person even if there has been attempts to wash that blood away. Both Eddie and Keela smell the blood. However, and this is the important part, Keela didn’t smell blood in the bedroom of apartment 5a so didn’t alert. Eddie alerted and we know it wasn't to the scent of blood because if it had been Keela would have alerted ergo it must have been to the other scent he was trained to alert to ie cadaver scent.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 11:08:22 AM
so why did it change...grime doesnt give us any reason...perhaps picking something up from grime. What we have now is grime reading doggie body language...

whatever you say grime wasnt sure enough to say in his opinion it was cadaver scent...so ..still...no confirmation...lots of innuendo but tahts it

Reading Eddie’s reactions is exactly what Grime did. Didn’t you know that that’s exactly what he was supposed to do ?

Without further evidence as a professional Grime couldn’t say that the alerts were any more than suggestive. It’s ridiculous to suggest that that means he didn’t have absolute faith in his dogs and their capabilities.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 11:09:54 AM
Of course it has.

How can I put this as simply as possible Lace. Grime, who is the expert, says that Eddie alerts to cadaver scent and dried blood from a living person. Keela alerts to dried blood from a living person even if there has been attempts to wash that blood away. Both Eddie and Keela smell the blood. However, and this is the important part, Keela didn’t smell blood in the bedroom of apartment 5a so didn’t alert. Eddie alerted and we know it wasn't to the scent of blood because if it had been Keela would have alerted ergo it must have been to the other scent he was trained to alert to ie cadaver scent.

Faith, if I agreed with you on this point, I'd say so. However, I don't.

Grime stated that Keela would only react to the PHYSICAL trace of blood. If blood wasn't physically present, she wouldn't react.

He never said that Eddie also required the physical presence of blood in order to alert, but he did say that he could react to lingering odours in the air.

That's why I find the much touted matrix of K + E = x or y, K - E = y, E - K = z to be simplistic.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 05, 2018, 11:13:56 AM
Of course it has.

How can I put this as simply as possible Lace. Grime, who is the expert, says that Eddie alerts to cadaver scent and dried blood from a living person. Keela alerts to dried blood from a living person even if there has been attempts to wash that blood away. Both Eddie and Keela smell the blood. However, and this is the important part, Keela didn’t smell blood in the bedroom of apartment 5a so didn’t alert. Eddie alerted and we know it wasn't to the scent of blood because if it had been Keela would have alerted ergo it must have been to the other scent he was trained to alert to ie cadaver scent.

If you want to be rude.   How can I put this as simply as possible Faithlilly.

Keela didn't smell blood in the bedroom as there was no blood present for her to smell.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 05, 2018, 11:14:35 AM
Do you have evidence of Eddie being 'rushed' or is that just your (non-expert) opinion?

You've seen the video's.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 11:15:50 AM
So are you saying you know why it happened?

I've posted it.... The digs were repeatedly  brought back to places they had ignored.... Why did they ignore them in the first place... Why did they not react
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 11:17:49 AM
Faith, if I agreed with you on this point, I'd say so. However, I don't.

Grime stated that Keela would only react to the PHYSICAL trace of blood. If blood wasn't physically present, she wouldn't react.

He never said that Eddie also required the physical presence of blood in order to alert, but he did say that he could react to lingering odours in the air.

That's why I find the much touted matrix of K + E = x or y, K - E = y, E - K = z to be simplistic.

Carana how do you think Keela finds blood ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 05, 2018, 11:18:28 AM
If you want to be rude.   How can I put this as simply as possible Faithlilly.

Keela didn't smell blood in the bedroom as there was no blood present for her to smell.

So therefore Eddie alerted to the other discipline he was trained in.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 11:21:21 AM
So therefore Eddie alerted to the other discipline he was trained in.

Perhaps he did... Perhaps he didn't... Who knows...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 05, 2018, 11:34:10 AM
Carana how do you think Keela finds blood ?

Keela finds blood that is present in the room,  she does not alert to the scent of blood that had BEEN in the room and removed from the room on clothes for example.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 11:54:51 AM
Carana how do you think Keela finds blood ?

Contrary to the aficionados of the "matrix" theory, my understanding is that Eddie was the GP (detecting something of potential interest in x general area). Keela was the blood specialist, trained solely to find physical traces of blood (the blood specialist).

I find that to be an interesting combo, in theory. One could detect a large area of potential interest, and the other was trained solely to zoom in to hopefully pinpoint where exploitable forensic evidence of blood (a physical trace) might be.

In this particular case, however, nothing of interest was found.

In a less publicised case, the public may never have even known about the dog inspections... but that's history.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2018, 02:11:34 PM
You've seen the video's.

Can you provide a cite that these various videos are the same as the official videos? Can you provide evidence of your expertise on the correct usage of police dogs?

This thread is about 'sceptics' misunderstanding evidence. In my opinion certain people can't even identify evidence, let alone assess it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 02:25:02 PM
Can you provide a cite that these various videos are the same as the official videos? Can you provide evidence of your expertise on the correct usage of police dogs?

This thread is about 'sceptics' misunderstanding evidence. In my opinion certain people can't even identify evidence, let alone assess it.

To be clear the alerts have no value as evidences
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2018, 02:40:18 PM
To be clear the alerts have no value as evidences

Just like the dog videos and people's opinions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2018, 03:20:53 PM
I’m not interested in your or my knowledge but the professionals who do actually know what they are talking about and posting a research paper which is twenty years old as some kind of proof of a cadaver dog’s fallibility is ridiculous in the extreme.

As to Zampo he is described as a sniffer dog, and not a very well trained one at that. As far as we can tell he was neither an EVRD dog like Eddie nor a blood dog like Keela and was used by people who obviously didn’t know what they were doing.so any likeness to the McCann case ends right there, no matter how hard you try to push those ‘similarities’.

Oh, sorry ... I thought you were interested when you posted ... "1998 ? I’m sure our knowledge of cadaver dogs has moved on since this paper was written."

I thought it was a pretty comprehensive document for its time ... exactly what was in it that you think has been superseded apropos the collection of evidence with the assistance of dogs in 2007 ... which is the period of usual interest.

Aaaaah ... good old Zampo ... isn't he a proper wag.  Had everyone proper fooled did he not?  All those alerts and nary a shred of evidence in support.
One wonders why anyone fell for that one, eh?
Not a shred of supporting evidence, eh?  Oh wait a minute ...  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 03:25:37 PM
Personally, I don't feel comfortable with the title of this thread, as it seems to be of the tennis-match variety, so I doubt that I will often post on it.

If it had been a more generic "do case-followers simply misunderstand the evidence", I think I'd have found that to be more open to potential misunderstandings and to possibly bridge the gap in some aspects.

JMO.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2018, 03:42:58 PM
Of course it has.

How can I put this as simply as possible Lace. Grime, who is the expert, says that Eddie alerts to cadaver scent and dried blood from a living person. Keela alerts to dried blood from a living person even if there has been attempts to wash that blood away. Both Eddie and Keela smell the blood. However, and this is the important part, Keela didn’t smell blood in the bedroom of apartment 5a so didn’t alert. Eddie alerted and we know it wasn't to the scent of blood because if it had been Keela would have alerted ergo it must have been to the other scent he was trained to alert to ie cadaver scent.

Please watch how you word your posts to ensure you do not offend fellow members.

Let us imagine for a moment we are ordinary members of the public called to jury duty in an adversary justice system such as our own.  In the midst of the trial one expert makes a case for the prosecution and another expert presents an opposing argument on behalf of the defence.
The judge will ensure the objectivity of the expert evidence presented ... but it is the ordinary members of the public who will deliberate on it and evaluate it before making a decision on it.

On this forum we probably have a more informed opinion on many matters than do jurors in many trials in the real world.  In the absence of a dog expert to 'keep us right' here, we the de facto jurors are well qualified to express an opinion without let or hindrance. 

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 05, 2018, 03:57:38 PM
Personally, I don't feel comfortable with the title of this thread, as it seems to be of the tennis-match variety, so I doubt that I will often post on it.

If it had been a more generic "do case-followers simply misunderstand the evidence", I think I'd have found that to be more open to potential misunderstandings and to possibly bridge the gap in some aspects.

JMO.

I agree. But then what did you expect when you consider the instigator is the self appointed arbiter of evidence?
It's a nice place in which to hone one's "Goyalka* skills" when one feels the desire to do so..... ?{)(**

* that'll keep the "Googlers" busy for ten or twelve years!  ?{)(**
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 04:14:43 PM
I agree. But then what did you expect when you consider the instigator is the self appointed arbiter of evidence?
It's a nice place in which to hone one's "Goyalka* skills" when one feels the desire to do so..... ?{)(**

* that'll keep the "Googlers" busy for ten or twelve years!  ?{)(**


Who started the thread is irrelevant, IMO. Anyone could have done.

I'd have preferred a different title.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 04:41:25 PM
If you want to be rude.   How can I put this as simply as possible Faithlilly.

Keela didn't smell blood in the bedroom as there was no blood present for her to smell.

Exactly. So the alert from Eddie couldn’t have been from blood.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 04:44:50 PM
Exactly. So the alert from Eddie couldn’t have been from blood.

Why not?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 04:53:51 PM
Why not?

You seem to believe that Eddie alerts to the residual scent from blood. Do you have a cite for that ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2018, 04:55:04 PM
Personally, I don't feel comfortable with the title of this thread, as it seems to be of the tennis-match variety, so I doubt that I will often post on it.

If it had been a more generic "do case-followers simply misunderstand the evidence", I think I'd have found that to be more open to potential misunderstandings and to possibly bridge the gap in some aspects.

JMO.

I agree. It's purpose seems to be to identify and insult a particular group of people while at the same time suggesting that the author and those who agree with him are superior. I think it's very close to breaking forum rules.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 05:09:22 PM
I agree. It's purpose seems to be to identify and insult a particular group of people while at the same time suggesting that the author and those who agree with him are superior. I think it's very close to breaking forum rules.

I'm not getting into an argument over this. Anyone could have started it and my view would be the same.

All I'm saying is that I'd have been more interested if there had been a more inclusive title over potential misunderstandings of evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 05, 2018, 05:12:47 PM
I'm not getting into an argument over this. Anyone could have started it and my view would be the same.

All I'm saying is that I'd have been more interested if there had been a more inclusive title over potential misunderstandings of evidence.
Propose a better title and get Davel to agree to the change and we'll see if the editing can be done.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 05:33:58 PM
I agree. It's purpose seems to be to identify and insult a particular group of people while at the same time suggesting that the author and those who agree with him are superior. I think it's very close to breaking forum rules.

Its not meant to insult anyone its a genuine question which I think is important. On a leading sceptic site which you have praised, a letter has been posted which has been sent to the net flix film makers,
In it it states that the TWO cadaver dogs alerted to cadaver odour in 17 places and that this hs been confirmed by Grime...we also had faithlilly claming that grime has effectively confirmed taht the alerts are confirmed as cadaver odour....this is a very serious misrepresentation of the truth which needs to be addressed...It seems to me that sceptics in general believe the alerts are evidential and confirm the presence of a cadaver...this is patently wrong.

all sceptics have to do is point out where I  am wrong...it shouldnt be that  difficult if I am...so go ahead...so far no one has
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 05:39:29 PM
I'm not getting into an argument over this. Anyone could have started it and my view would be the same.

All I'm saying is that I'd have been more interested if there had been a more inclusive title over potential misunderstandings of evidence.

Im looking to address  very important point....in a genral discussion this pt would have   been lost.I understand why sceptics are uncomfortable discussing it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 05, 2018, 05:41:06 PM
Its not meant to insult anyone its a genuine question which I think is important. On a leading sceptic site which you have praised, a letter has been posted which has been sent to the net flix film makers,
In it it states that the TWO cadaver dogs alerted to cadaver odour in 17 places and that this hs been confirmed by Grime...we also had faithlilly claming that grime has effectively confirmed taht the alerts are confirmed as cadaver odour....this is a very serious misrepresentation of the truth which needs to be addressed...It seems to me that sceptics in general believe the alerts are evidential and confirm the presence of a cadaver...this is patently wrong.

all sceptics have to do is point out where I  am wrong...it shouldnt be that  difficult if I am...so go ahead...so far no one has

Absolute dribble I agree!  For one thing there only was one cadaver dog.  The other was a CSI blood dog.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 05:44:41 PM
You seem to believe that Eddie alerts to the residual sent from blood. Do you have a cite for that ?

It's the absence of one concerning Eddie that intrigued me.

Re Keela, from a transcript:


"She will only indicate to me when she has found human blood, only human blood and it is only blood and there must be something there physically for her to be able to alert to me that's she has actually found something. At this point over here where the victim recovery dog has indicated, as you saw on the ..."

(Trying to find a working link.)

I've never read any such thing as regards Eddie. On the contrary, Grime talked about air cones and whatnot.


Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 05, 2018, 05:46:13 PM
There is no grey are whatsoever... The alerts, are not
Confirmed

Confirmed as cadaver odour no, but the EVRD certainly alerted to a substance or substances for which he was trained and there's no getting away from that fact.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 05, 2018, 05:46:33 PM
Why not?

Because none was detected by Keela. The dogs work as a team. What do the police believe made Eddie alert many times? I believe they answered it when they searched wasteland and pipes.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2018, 05:47:38 PM
Its not meant to insult anyone its a genuine question which I think is important. On a leading sceptic site which you have praised, a letter has been posted which has been sent to the net flix film makers,
In it it states that the TWO cadaver dogs alerted to cadaver odour in 17 places and that this hs been confirmed by Grime...we also had faithlilly claming that grime has effectively confirmed taht the alerts are confirmed as cadaver odour....this is a very serious misrepresentation of the truth which needs to be addressed...It seems to me that sceptics in general believe the alerts are evidential and confirm the presence of a cadaver...this is patently wrong.

all sceptics have to do is point out where I  am wrong...it shouldnt be that  difficult if I am...so go ahead...so far no one has

Oh, so you're just singling out the people who wrote that letter, not 'sceptics' all over the world wherever they may be? Why didn't you say so then?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 05:47:44 PM
Its not meant to insult anyone its a genuine question which I think is important. On a leading sceptic site which you have praised, a letter has been posted which has been sent to the net flix film makers,
In it it states that the TWO cadaver dogs alerted to cadaver odour in 17 places and that this hs been confirmed by Grime...we also had faithlilly claming that grime has effectively confirmed taht the alerts are confirmed as cadaver odour....this is a very serious misrepresentation of the truth which needs to be addressed...It seems to me that sceptics in general believe the alerts are evidential and confirm the presence of a cadaver...this is patently wrong.

all sceptics have to do is point out where I  am wrong...it shouldnt be that  difficult if I am...so go ahead...so far no one has

Ok, I agree, Davel, on that point. There never were 2 "cadaver" dogs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 05:54:21 PM
Confirmed as cadaver odour no, but the EVRD certainly alerted to a substance or substances for which he was trained and there's no getting away from that fact.

Which substances was he referring to when he mentioned that he was alerting to those within his "training parameters". No one seems to have questioned that...

What exactly was included or excluded from those "training parameters"?

I thought we'd done dog threads to death... and I'm not sure what there could be to say that hasn't been raised on literally dozens of threads before now.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 06:03:41 PM
To be fair, Davel, I doubt that many people on here bow to worshipping GAD or even GASP, whatever their views.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 06:05:13 PM
I don't read other forums or the sceptic forum of which dave speaks. I just about bother reading & posting here.

I understand that the alerts don't prove Maddie's demise. So you can count me out from misunderstanding.

However, when I consider the fact that a cadaver dog did alert, in conjunction with other events,  things like the sighting of a Gerry-a-like carrying an unconscious child, the McCann's abduction story, which fails to convince me an abduction ever occurred, the shortage of missing people returning alive & well after a dog has alerted to areas or items associated with them (1 apparently)..

When I consider all that, I have to conclude the same as the PJ did, & no amount of 'not suspect' chants are going to convince me I'm wrong.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 06:17:38 PM
I don't read other forums or the sceptic forum of which dave speaks. I just about bother reading & posting here.

I understand that the alerts don't prove Maddie's demise. So you can count me out from misunderstanding.

However, when I consider the fact that a cadaver dog did alert, in conjunction with other events,  things like the sighting of a Gerry-a-like carrying an unconscious child, the McCann's abduction story, which fails to convince me an abduction ever occurred, the shortage of missing people returning alive & well after a dog has alerted to areas or items associated with them (1 apparently)..

When I consider all that, I have to conclude the same as the PJ did, & no amount of 'not suspect' chants are going to convince me I'm wrong.

I don't have a problem with what you just said, if that's your genuine opinion. I don't see it that way, but that's neither here nor there for the time being.

I have a problem with people who cherry-pick tabloid articles and construct supposedly learned "research articles" based on alledged "facts" that they can't possibly NOT know were debunked a decade ago.

I just can't see how those can be considered as sincere opinion, let alone fact, ten years later.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 06:29:06 PM
I don't read other forums or the sceptic forum of which dave speaks. I just about bother reading & posting here.

I understand that the alerts don't prove Maddie's demise. So you can count me out from misunderstanding.

However, when I consider the fact that a cadaver dog did alert, in conjunction with other events,  things like the sighting of a Gerry-a-like carrying an unconscious child, the McCann's abduction story, which fails to convince me an abduction ever occurred, the shortage of missing people returning alive & well after a dog has alerted to areas or items associated with them (1 apparently)..

When I consider all that, I have to conclude the same as the PJ did, & no amount of 'not suspect' chants are going to convince me I'm wrong.

You are clearly drawing inferences from the, alerts.... Which as Harrison says you cannot do that your reasoning  is, flawed... And no amount of dogs don't lie make any difference... The alerts, are not confirmed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 06:30:43 PM
Confirmed as cadaver odour no, but the EVRD certainly alerted to a substance or substances for which he was trained and there's no getting away from that fact.

I don't see that is a fact and I don't see on what basis you make that claim as certain
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 06:33:09 PM
Oh, so you're just singling out the people who wrote that letter, not 'sceptics' all over the world wherever they may be? Why didn't you say so then?

I'm singling out sceptics who mistakenly think inferences can be drawn  from the, alerts... According to expert ..opinion.. They cannot
We've had posters here claim they are circumstantial  evidence... They are not IMO

Would you be willing to share your view on the alerts... I somehow doubt it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 06:33:43 PM
You are clearly drawing inferences from the, alerts.... Which as Harrison says you cannot do that your reasoning  is, flawed... And no amount of dogs don't lie make any difference... The alerts, are not confirmed

They are still alerts though. I'll infer from them whatever I damn well wish, thankyou kindly.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 06:34:55 PM
They are still alerts though. I'll infer from them whatever I damn well wish.

You can infer what you want... But the experts don't agree with you
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 06:35:13 PM
You can infer what you want... But the experts don't agree with you

I don't need them to.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 06:36:41 PM
I don't see that is a fact and I don't see on what basis you make that claim as certain

It can be taken as a fact that Eddie did alert, can't it? However, what to is less than limpid...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 06:40:19 PM
It can be taken as a fact that Eddie did alert, can't it? However, what to is less than limpid...

Of course it can.

A cadaver dog alerted, so it did, it really did happen, that is a fact.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 06:41:01 PM
It can be taken as a fact that Eddie did alert, can't it? However, what to is less than limpid...
Initially he didn't.... Until being repeatedly called back... That sounds most unconvincing....
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 05, 2018, 06:55:48 PM
Which substances was he referring to when he mentioned that he was alerting to those within his "training parameters". No one seems to have questioned that...

What exactly was included or excluded from those "training parameters"?

I thought we'd done dog threads to death... and I'm not sure what there could be to say that hasn't been raised on literally dozens of threads before now.

We have but try:
"Were it North Korea we would all be having a barbecue by now; Airedale leg with kimchi anyone"?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 05, 2018, 07:02:00 PM
We have but try:
"Were it North Korea we would all be having a barbecue by now; Airedale leg with kimchi anyone"?

I think I might pass on that invitation today, but thanks all the same, Alice... lol
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 07:07:04 PM
Initially he didn't.... Until being repeatedly called back... That sounds most unconvincing....

You appear to be inferring something from the alerts. I thought we weren't supposed to do that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 07:11:39 PM
You appear to be inferring something from the alerts. I thought we weren't supposed to do that.

I'm not inferring anything... You ate using the alerts as evidence to support your belief in the McCann's guilt but the experts are clear they have no evidential  value... So you prove my point
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 07:13:40 PM
I'm not inferring anything... You ate using the alerts as evidence to support your belief in the McCann's guilt but the experts are clear they have no evidential  value... So you prove my point

No, I'm using the fact a dog alerted.

I can't just ignore that fact, I'm not the police.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 07:18:17 PM
No, I'm using the fact a dog alerted.

I can't just ignore that fact, I'm not the police.

You are, using the alert as, evidence... It isn't... That's, what you don't understand
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 07:19:53 PM
You are, using the alert as, evidence... It isn't... That's, what you don't understand

It's not evidence, it's an indication.

I don't ignore indicators when I'm driving, & I'm not about to start.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2018, 07:21:15 PM
It's not evidence, it's an indication.

I don't ignore indicators when I'm driving, & I'm not about to start.
You confirm you don't understand  the, evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 05, 2018, 07:21:59 PM
You confirm you don't understand  the, evidence

What evidence?

I'm often informed there isn't any.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 05, 2018, 09:12:40 PM
You confirm you don't understand  the, evidence
Now you got us all confused.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2018, 09:42:19 PM
I'm singling out sceptics who mistakenly think inferences can be drawn  from the, alerts... According to expert ..opinion.. They cannot
We've had posters here claim they are circumstantial  evidence... They are not IMO

Would you be willing to share your view on the alerts... I somehow doubt it

I find the idea of evidence interesting. As I understand it evidence comes in many forms. According to Wikipedia there is;

Digital evidence
Personal experience
Scientific evidence
Testimonial
Physical evidence
Trace evidence
Relationship evidence

There is strong evidence and weak evidence. Strong evidence can prove an assertion, weak evident can support it but doesn't prove it.

I think that alerts could be used as part of body of circumstantial evidence as they were in the Prout case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evidence#Types_of_evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 09:46:06 PM
It's the absence of one concerning Eddie that intrigued me.

Re Keela, from a transcript:


"She will only indicate to me when she has found human blood, only human blood and it is only blood and there must be something there physically for her to be able to alert to me that's she has actually found something. At this point over here where the victim recovery dog has indicated, as you saw on the ..."

(Trying to find a working link.)

I've never read any such thing as regards Eddie. On the contrary, Grime talked about air cones and whatnot.

So, as far as you are aware, Grime has never claimed that Eddie alerts to only the residual scent of blood. Is that correct ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 05, 2018, 11:18:05 PM
https://www.annmarieackermann.com/category/cadaver-dogs/

This is an interesting read with some very relevant points in various sections (especially about the use of pork).
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2018, 11:30:31 PM
https://www.annmarieackermann.com/category/cadaver-dogs/

This is an interesting read with some very relevant points in various sections (especially about the use of pork).

Having read a good portion of your link Misty the thing for me that comes across very clearly is the cadaver dog’s trainer’s faith in the capabilities of their dogs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 05, 2018, 11:47:14 PM
Having read a good portion of your link Misty the thing for me that comes across very clearly is the cadaver dog’s trainer’s faith in the capabilities of their dogs.

IYO did Grime express the same faith in Eddie when he said "suggestive" of an alert being to whatever it was Eddie was trained to find?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 05, 2018, 11:54:48 PM
I think some members are forgetting that cadaver dogs which are not trained using an actual cadaver will alert to many other substances.  The best trained dogs are those which are trained solely using cadavers.

If you train a dog using a cadaver it will alert when it finds a cadaver or cadaver odour.  If you retrain a dog which has previously been trained for some other purpose and it is trained using substitute organic material and dead pigs then you run the risk that it will alert to those substances or any material closely related to those substances.  Eddie was retrained, he was not trained solely using cadavers.  That in itself opens up all sorts of challenges to his reliability.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:00:24 AM
I think some members are forgetting that cadaver dogs which are not trained using an actual cadaver will alert to many other substances.  The best trained dogs are those which are trained solely using cadavers.

Is that what Grime, who is after all the expert, said ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:04:01 AM
IYO did Grime express the same faith in Eddie when he said "suggestive" of an alert being to whatever it was Eddie was trained to find?

He did. He is also aware that an alert can only be indicative, legally and needs to be strengthened by supporting evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 06, 2018, 12:05:21 AM
Fact:  Eddie did alert in 5a and to clothing laid out in the gym.  The difficulty as we all know is that it is not known what he alerted to.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:13:20 AM
Fact:  Eddie did alert in 5a and to clothing laid out in the gym.  The difficulty as we all know is that it is not known what he alerted to.

Eddie was trained to alert to two scents, dried blood and cadaver odour. Grime said when Eddie alerted it was ‘ suggestive of cadaver scent contaminant. It therefore doesn’t take a rocket scientist to work out the most likely source of the alert.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 12:32:23 AM
Eddie was trained to alert to two scents, dried blood and cadaver odour. Grime said when Eddie alerted it was ‘ suggestive of cadaver scent contaminant. It therefore doesn’t take a rocket scientist to work out the most likely source of the alert.

There was no identifiable source, though, as Grime clearly described when talking about scent-coning.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 01:28:40 AM
There was no identifiable source, though, as Grime clearly described when talking about scent-coning.

In many cases a cadaver dog will alert to the scent they are trained to detect long before any source of that scent is ever found, that’s why they are used. An alert is given great weight in an investigation and is often the reason why an investigation is steered in a certain direction. To suppose that because there is no identifiable source at that time that  the alert shouldn’t, or isn’t, being viewed as an important piece of intelligence is naive to say the least.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 01:46:15 AM
In many cases a cadaver dog will alert to the scent they are trained to detect long before any source of that scent is ever found, that’s why they are used. An alert is given great weight in an investigation and is often the reason why an investigation is steered in a certain direction. To suppose that because there is no identifiable source at that time that  the alert shouldn’t, or isn’t, being viewed as an important piece of intelligence is naive to say the least.

A while back, Innominate pointed out that the r/h bed in the parents' bedroom covered an area of flooring which, during Eddie's exercise,  had been exposed on the night of 3/5. The wardrobe was also not dismantled to check for traces of blood which may have been present on the unexposed parts of the fixture. The examination for any source of scent prompting the alert was therefore incomplete.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 01:47:33 AM
There was no identifiable source, though, as Grime clearly described when talking about scent-coning.
scent-coning???  what's that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 06, 2018, 02:01:02 AM
scent-coning???  what's that?

Quite a bit about it on the internet.  Picked this one at random, a quick scan suggests it might cover a bit of the theory. http://www.vsrda.org/how-scent-and-airflow-works
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 02:01:35 AM
scent-coning???  what's that?

The source of the scent could be coming from another area of the room but moved by air current, resulting in pooling in another area such as a corner or inside the fitted furniture.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 02:09:34 AM
Quite a bit about it on the internet.  Picked this one at random, a quick scan suggests it might cover a bit of the theory. http://www.vsrda.org/how-scent-and-airflow-works

That doesn't seem to gel with what Grime describes, does it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 06, 2018, 02:14:49 AM
The source of the scent could be coming from another area of the room but moved by air current, resulting in pooling in another area such as a corner or inside the fitted furniture.


Eddie showed a reaction in the enclosed passageway outside apartment five A and couldn't wait to get inside, if memory serves me well.
Bit odd that he could smell something while still outside.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 02:20:55 AM

Eddie showed a reaction in the enclosed passageway outside apartment five A and couldn't wait to get inside, if memory serves me well.
Bit odd that he could smell something while still outside.

Why would Eddie have reacted outside anyway when he wasn't in working mode at that particular time?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 06, 2018, 02:21:49 AM
That doesn't seem to gel with what Grime describes, does it?

Grime was operating in an enclosed space in a small flat where wind currents weren't a factor.  Why would a scent be discernible to the dog from the area of small passageway to pool in that particular corner?

I think the scent must have been carried in on someone's clothing or footwear.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 06, 2018, 02:30:28 AM
Why would Eddie have reacted outside anyway when he wasn't in working mode at that particular time?

That would be my understanding too.

The video shows him excitable and not waiting for his command before starting his search.  Some imagine this emphasises the strength of the 'scent of death'.  In my opinion that section of the video shows him acting outwith his training parameters similar to the way in which he acted in the gymnasium where he ran over the evidence, mouthed it and threw it around.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 02:42:29 AM
Grime was operating in an enclosed space in a small flat where wind currents weren't a factor.  Why would a scent be discernible to the dog from the area of small passageway to pool in that particular corner?

I think the scent must have been carried in on someone's clothing or footwear.

I do wonder how much cross-contamination was on the dog lead Grime carried when he was gloved up & ready to deploy Eddie.

[attachment deleted by admin]
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 06, 2018, 02:56:39 AM
I do wonder how much cross-contamination was on the dog lead Grime carried when he was gloved up & ready to deploy Eddie.

I never thought of that before.
Correct me if I'm wrong, the gloves are to prevent cross contamination of evidence gathered at a scene - skin cells, grease etc?  But if the gloves themselves have been subject to prior contamination ... that defeats the purpose rather?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 03:14:40 AM
I never thought of that before.
Correct me if I'm wrong, the gloves are to prevent cross contamination of evidence gathered at a scene - skin cells, grease etc?  But if the gloves themselves have been subject to prior contamination ... that defeats the purpose rather?

It does defeat the purpose. Had the lead been contaminated during previous deployments, training exercises, in police vans etc etc?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 04:32:22 AM
Fact:  Eddie did alert in 5a and to clothing laid out in the gym.  The difficulty as we all know is that it is not known what he alerted to.
And we don't know how it got onto the clothing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 04:51:05 AM
That doesn't seem to gel with what Grime describes, does it?
Working cadaver dogs inside bedrooms has another level of complexity to the  search.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 04:57:04 AM
Grime was operating in an enclosed space in a small flat where wind currents weren't a factor.  Why would a scent be discernible to the dog from the area of small passageway to pool in that particular corner?

I think the scent must have been carried in on someone's clothing or footwear.
That is an interesting point.  For the dogs to be brought in such a long time after the event, who is to say what has happened in the between times.  No wonder Martin Grimes told the PJ to get corroborating forensic evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 08:04:09 AM
The point is as shown by spam is that [posters are using the alerts as evidence in their thought process to decide that madeleine died in teh aprtment when the FACT is taht according to the experts the alerts should not be used as evidence...therefore these posters do not understand what the evidence is
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 06, 2018, 08:06:20 AM
The point is as shown by spam is that [posters are using the alerts as evidence in their thought process to decide that madeleine died in teh aprtment when the FACT is taht according to the experts the alerts should not be used as evidence...therefore these posters do not understand what the evidence is

Always remembering that those experts are policemen and talking about acceptable legal evidence and not evidence in general.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 08:09:35 AM
r
Always remembering that those experts are policemen and talking about acceptable legal evidence and not evidence in general.
If the, alerts could be shown to be, reliable they would be, allowed as evidence... The fact that they cannot be means, they are not
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 09:39:29 AM
Always remembering that those experts are policemen and talking about acceptable legal evidence and not evidence in general.

Some people seem unable to understand that there are different kinds of evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 09:41:59 AM
Some people seem unable to understand that there are different kinds of evidence.
Then enlighten us... Tell us what type of evidence the alerts are... Seeing as they have  no reliability or value as evidence and no inference can be drawn from them..

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 06, 2018, 09:57:34 AM
Then enlighten us... Tell us what type of evidence the alerts are... Seeing as they have  no reliability or value as evidence and no inference can be drawn from them..

If that were the case, why does it bother you so much.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:09:02 AM
If that were the case, why does it bother you so much.

Its a discussion forum where we discuss things... It doesn't bother me and that's, a silly assumption  to make..
So tell me...what type of evidence do you think it is... Give us another example of evidence that isevidence... But not in the legal sense... You are making no sense and seem just to be making excuses
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 06, 2018, 10:10:06 AM
Then enlighten us... Tell us what type of evidence the alerts are... Seeing as they have  no reliability or value as evidence and no inference can be drawn from them..


Has any one ever said -  that the dog alerts, have been ruled out completely.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:14:45 AM
So it seems that the alerts, are, a special  type of evidence... Perhaps, those, making this, strange claim could tell us more about this, special type of evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:16:21 AM

Has any one ever said -  that the dog alerts, have been ruled out completely.

Yes, grime said they are ruled out as evidence... Did you not know, that
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 10:18:49 AM
A while back, Innominate pointed out that the r/h bed in the parents' bedroom covered an area of flooring which, during Eddie's exercise,  had been exposed on the night of 3/5. The wardrobe was also not dismantled to check for traces of blood which may have been present on the unexposed parts of the fixture. The examination for any source of scent prompting the alert was therefore incomplete.

How do you think Keela finds blood ? Do you think it has to be visible?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:21:21 AM
Some people seem unable to understand that there are different kinds of evidence.

You have made a, claim you should substantiate it..
The alerts have no evidential value so what type of evidence are they.... More excuses
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:23:56 AM
Always remembering that those experts are policemen and talking about acceptable legal evidence and not evidence in general.

What do you mean by evidence in general... Explain..
 ...why is that not fair comment
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 10:29:01 AM
You have made a, claim you should substantiate it..
The alerts have no evidential value so what type of evidence are they.... More excuses
Evidential value and evidence are different things.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:31:47 AM
Evidential value and evidence are different things.

Explain then... Substantiate your claim
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 10:32:01 AM
So it seems that the alerts, are, a special  type of evidence... Perhaps, those, making this, strange claim could tell us more about this, special type of evidence

DNA evidence is similar. By itself DNA evidence may prove nothing but put together with other evidence may provide the police with a strong case.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 10:40:23 AM
Explain then... Substantiate your claim
what that they are different.

evidence
noun
1.
the available body of facts or information indicating whether a belief or proposition is true or valid.
"the study finds little evidence of overt discrimination"
synonyms:   proof, confirmation, verification, substantiation, corroboration, affirmation, authentication, attestation, documentation; More
verb
1.
be or show evidence of.


https://thelawdictionary.org/evidential-value/
"What is EVIDENTIAL VALUE?
Value of records given as or in support of evidence, based on the certainty of the records origins. The value here is not in the record content. This certainty is essential for authentic and adequate evidence of an entity's actions, functioning, policies, and/or structure."

Different definitions or description so they are different concepts.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 06, 2018, 10:46:03 AM
Yes, grime said they are ruled out as evidence... Did you not know, that


Would that be the case, if they found corroborating evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 10:46:53 AM
DNA evidence is similar. By itself DNA evidence may prove nothing but put together with other evidence may provide the police with a strong case.

DNA never proves nothing... It proves the presence if a persons DNA.... It doesn't explain how it got
The akert dies not prove the presence if cadaver contaminant
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 10:51:15 AM
How do you think Keela finds blood ? Do you think it has to be visible?

The blood has to be present in the area where Keela is searching.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 10:52:56 AM

Would that be the case, if they found corroborating evidence.
It can only be found in the places they looked.  How many of the 17 alert places (?) did they look for corroborating evidence? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 10:55:02 AM
The blood has to be present in the area where Keela is searching.
But what does present mean?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 11:07:02 AM
what that they are different.

evidence
noun
1.
the available body of facts or information indicating whether a belief or proposition is true or valid.
"the study finds little evidence of overt discrimination"
synonyms:   proof, confirmation, verification, substantiation, corroboration, affirmation, authentication, attestation, documentation; More
verb
1.
be or show evidence of.


https://thelawdictionary.org/evidential-value/
"What is EVIDENTIAL VALUE?
Value of records given as or in support of evidence, based on the certainty of the records origins. The value here is not in the record content. This certainty is essential for authentic and adequate evidence of an entity's actions, functioning, policies, and/or structure."

Different definitions or description so they are different concepts.

Semantics... One is a noun and one an adjective. The alerts have no evidential value and therefore no value, as, evidence.. No inference cabn be drawn from them and therefore they cannot be used to support a fact and therefore by definition are not evidence... Of any kind
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 11:13:14 AM
It can only be found in the places they looked.  How many of the 17 alert places (?) did they look for corroborating evidence?

So how many places did they look for evidence... Is that how much faith was placed in the alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 06, 2018, 11:16:46 AM
Semantics... One is a noun and one an adjective. The alerts have no evidential value and therefore no value, as, evidence.. No inference cabn be drawn from them and therefore they cannot be used to support a fact and therefore by definition are not evidence... Of any kind


why would you think SY , chose the opinion maddie may have not left the apartment alive.

They did not have to say that.

surely, that would be knowledge of the dog alerts.



 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 11:24:02 AM

why would you think SY , chose the opinion maddie may have not left the apartment alive.

They did not have to say that.

surely, that would be knowledge of the dog alerts.

Because it's, an option and was an option before the dogs were brought in... Nothing to do with the alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 11:28:15 AM

why would you think SY , chose the opinion maddie may have not left the apartment alive.

They did not have to say that.

surely, that would be knowledge of the dog alerts.

They had to say that,   they started the investigation saying they would investigate whether Madeleine was alive or sadly dead.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 06, 2018, 11:31:05 AM
They had to say that,   they started the investigation saying they would investigate whether Madeleine was alive or sadly dead.

It would appear that they still don't know, after a number of years on intense investigation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 11:32:31 AM
It would appear that they still don't know, after a number of years on intense investigation.

Yes no proof despite the dogs
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 11:32:54 AM
DNA never proves nothing... It proves the presence if a persons DNA.... It doesn't explain how it got
The akert dies not prove the presence if cadaver contaminant

Of course DNA can carry huge weight in a criminal investigation, think a child’s DNA in the boot of a suspect’s car. DNA can also be part of a circumstantial case which,  while not proving anything on its own, taken together with other evidence builds a very strong case for an accused’s guilt. The cadaver dog alerts are the same. By themselves, without a body,  they  are only suggestive of death but together with other evidence, such as blood splatter or proveable lying by the suspect, and they can be part of a very strong case.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 11:33:19 AM
It would appear that they still don't know, after a number of years on intense investigation.

They have to find the person who took her to determine that don't they?  IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 11:34:30 AM
Of course DNA can carry huge weight in a criminal investigation, think a child’s DNA in the boot of a suspect’s car. DNA can also be part of a circumstantial case which,  while not proving anything on its own, taken together with other evidence builds a very strong case for an accused’s guilt. The cadaver dog alerts are the same. By themselves, without a body,  they  are only suggestive of death but together with other evidence, such as blood splatter or proveable lying by the suspect, and they can be part of a very strong case.

To say the alerts are the same as DNA is patently ridiculous and proves my point

Dna proves the presence of the suspects dna but does not explain how it got their

The alert isn't even evidence of cadaver odour
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 06, 2018, 11:36:50 AM
They have to find the person who took her to determine that don't they?  IMO

Probably. No success there either it would seem.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 06, 2018, 11:44:06 AM
They have to find the person who took her to determine that don't they?  IMO

What like, find the body - prove we killed her.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 11:50:35 AM
Then enlighten us... Tell us what type of evidence the alerts are... Seeing as they have  no reliability or value as evidence and no inference can be drawn from them..

I see no difference between a trained dog's alert and a statement by a person. Both exist, both express opinions and both can be proved right or wrong by other evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 11:55:32 AM
I see no difference between a trained dog's alert and a statement by a person. Both exist, both express opinions and both can be proved right or wrong by other evidence.

You might not but a court does... On the basis a human can be Cross examined but a dog can't... More evidence you do not understand  the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:02:19 PM
To say the alerts are the same as DNA is patently ridiculous and proves my point

Dna proves the presence of the suspects dna but does not explain how it got their

The alert isn't even evidence of cadaver odour

Context is everything. DNA is not always evidence of guilt but in a circumstantial case where there is other evidence supporting it it can be. Cadaver dog alerts are similar as in the case of Suzanne Pilley. There was no body to prove Miss Pilley was dead but together with other evidence a case was built which was strong enough to prove David Gilroy’s guilt.


THE man accused of murdering Suzanne Pilley had scratches that could have been from “grappling” with someone, a court heard yesterday.

Consultant pathologist Dr Nathaniel Cary said David Gilroy’s injuries could have been caused by fingernails.

Dr Cary studied photos taken of Gilroy by police in the days after bookkeeper Suzanne, 38, went missing.

The witness thought a “skin tone substance” had been used on one of Gilroy’s injuries.

Yesterday, a police officer told the trial a sniffer dog gave “a full blown ­positive ­indication” that he could smell human remains or blood on the outside of Gilroy’s car.

South Yorkshire PC Simone Thompson’s dog Buster was used in the search for Suzanne.
The animal ­also indicated he could smell human remains in the boot, PC Thompson said.
Another cop told how Gilroy’s ­Vauxhall Vectra looked like it may have been driven in “off-road” conditions.

PC Alastair Bain said he found “vegetative” matter on the underside of the car. PC Bain also said three of the car’s four coil suspension springs were fractured.

The trial earlier heard how Gilroy drove to Lochgilphead in Argyll the day after Suzanne was last seen. Asked by prosecution QC Alex Prentice if he would have made that journey with the car in such a condition, PC Bain replied: “No.”

Gilroy, 49, of Silverknowes, Edinburgh, denies murdering ex-lover Suzanne on May 4, 2010. He denies trying to defeat the ends of justice by applying make-up to disguise the extent of his injuries.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 12:07:32 PM
Context is everything. DNA is not always evidence of guilt but in a circumstantial case where there is other evidence supporting it it can be. Cadaver dog alerts are similar as in the case of Suzanne Pilley. There was no body to prove Miss Pilley was dead but together with other evidence a case was built which was strong enough to prove David Gilroy’s guilt.


THE man accused of murdering Suzanne Pilley had scratches that could have been from “grappling” with someone, a court heard yesterday.

Consultant pathologist Dr Nathaniel Cary said David Gilroy’s injuries could have been caused by fingernails.

Dr Cary studied photos taken of Gilroy by police in the days after bookkeeper Suzanne, 38, went missing.

The witness thought a “skin tone substance” had been used on one of Gilroy’s injuries.

Yesterday, a police officer told the trial a sniffer dog gave “a full blown ­positive ­indication” that he could smell human remains or blood on the outside of Gilroy’s car.

South Yorkshire PC Simone Thompson’s dog Buster was used in the search for Suzanne.
The animal ­also indicated he could smell human remains in the boot, PC Thompson said.
Another cop told how Gilroy’s ­Vauxhall Vectra looked like it may have been driven in “off-road” conditions.

PC Alastair Bain said he found “vegetative” matter on the underside of the car. PC Bain also said three of the car’s four coil suspension springs were fractured.

The trial earlier heard how Gilroy drove to Lochgilphead in Argyll the day after Suzanne was last seen. Asked by prosecution QC Alex Prentice if he would have made that journey with the car in such a condition, PC Bain replied: “No.”

Gilroy, 49, of Silverknowes, Edinburgh, denies murdering ex-lover Suzanne on May 4, 2010. He denies trying to defeat the ends of justice by applying make-up to disguise the extent of his injuries.

Cadaver alert no evidential value.... Are you suggesting DNA has no evidential value... To suggest they are similar is ridiculous
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:13:05 PM
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CA-C-2yU2D0

‘The key evidence came from police dogs’
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:14:14 PM
Cadaver alert no evidential value.... Are you suggesting DNA has no evidential value... To suggest they are similar is ridiculous

Without context DNA has no evidential value.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 12:21:49 PM
So, as far as you are aware, Grime has never claimed that Eddie alerts to only the residual scent of blood. Is that correct ?

What I said is that Grime stated that Keela would only react to the physical presence of blood. He never stated that Eddie would only react to the physical presence.

I find it therefore possible that Eddie could react to a residual scent of blood in the absence of any physical presence.

Whether that's what happened or not... no one knows.

My main point being  that the "matrix" of possibilities is simplstic and flawed, yet still touted by some - a decade later - as the (presumably undeniable) "truth".

IMO, it's not an undeniable "truth", even if I don't discount the possibility that she may indeed have died there.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 12:28:48 PM
What like, find the body - prove we killed her.

Do you think that is what Gerry meant when he said 'show us the body'?     In my opinion he meant show us the body to prove Madeleine is dead,  as Gerry said unless there was proof they would go on beleiving Madeleine was alive.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 12:30:13 PM
I see no difference between a trained dog's alert and a statement by a person. Both exist, both express opinions and both can be proved right or wrong by other evidence.

How can a trained dog be proved right or wrong,  when there is no body?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 12:35:20 PM
Without context DNA has no evidential value.

Again you are, trying to compare DNA, to alerts

Dna always, has evidential value
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 06, 2018, 12:38:14 PM
The point is as shown by spam is that [posters are using the alerts as evidence in their thought process to decide that madeleine died in teh aprtment when the FACT is taht according to the experts the alerts should not be used as evidence...therefore these posters do not understand what the evidence is

The alerts are merely suggestive of cadaver odour but can also be suggestive of many other things too.  I don't see what's hard to understand about that?   *%87
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 06, 2018, 12:42:13 PM
Again you are, trying to compare DNA, to alerts

Dna always, has evidential value

I agree on that one, DNA is unique to the individual with only a few exceptions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:46:33 PM
What I said is that Grime stated that Keela would only react to the physical presence of blood. He never stated that Eddie would only react to the physical presence.

I find it therefore possible that Eddie could react to a residual scent of blood in the absence of any physical presence.

Whether that's what happened or not... no one knows.

My main point being  that the "matrix" of possibilities is simplstic and flawed, yet still touted by some - a decade later - as the (presumably undeniable) "truth".

IMO, it's not an undeniable "truth", even if I don't discount the possibility that she may indeed have died there.

So Grime, through all his correspondence and statements, has never said that Eddie reacts only to the residual scent of blood.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 06, 2018, 12:47:30 PM
Do you think that is what Gerry meant when he said 'show us the body'?     In my opinion he meant show us the body to prove Madeleine is dead,  as Gerry said unless there was proof they would go on beleiving Madeleine was alive.


I am not on about what [you] thought he meant, its what he said. - you are twisting it.

your opinion is wrong - on what you thought he meant.

He challenged the police, find the body prove we killed her.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 12:52:16 PM
I agree on that one, DNA is unique to the individual with only a few exceptions.

I’m not arguing that but often finding DNA, such as when someone is known to have lived at the property, is not evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 12:59:50 PM
You might not but a court does... On the basis a human can be Cross examined but a dog can't... More evidence you do not understand  the evidence

I'm not discussing how courts deal with evidence, I'm discussing what evidence is, and it's not just omething that's used in court.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 01:05:09 PM
I'm not discussing how courts deal with evidence, I'm Rdiscussing what evidence is, and it's not just omething that's used in court.

You are giving your own opinion of what evidence is... I'm giving a recognised standard of evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 01:06:26 PM
I see no difference between a trained dog's alert and a statement by a person. Both exist, both express opinions and both can be proved right or wrong by other evidence.


Hmmm. My view is that it's not necessarily that simple.

A dog reacts. A handler interprets.

There is not a single "human cadaver odour" but many components, many of which can occur naturally and can be totally irrelevant, or be present at different stages, or in the presence of some substances, or present in common VOCs between species, but can still trigger a reaction.

Sometimes a whole human cadaver isn't present, therefore the entire spectrum isn't present. A bit of bone probably won't smell the same to a dog as decomposing gut, or a potentially irrelevant nicked bit of flesh in a kitchen mishap. Or blood or semen. Nor even may the dog be able to distinguish between certain "aromas" common across species.

There is also the issue of the fact that the dog may have picked up on a certain amount of "anticipation" in certain areas and Eddie could have been anxious to please by picking out anything within his (undefined) parameters. That's conjecture, but possible,

In the absence of corroborating forensic evidence, the whole thing is just a question mark. IMO.

Is it possible that she did in fact die in that flat? Yes, I don't see how that could be excluded as a possibility. Do the dog alerts prove that? No. Is there forensic evidence to support that she did? No.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 01:10:34 PM
So Grime, through all his correspondence and statements, has never said that Eddie reacts only to the residual scent of blood.

I've no idea what you're trying to make me say, nor why, Faith. lol

For the umpteennth time, Grime never said that Eddie would only react to the physical presence of blood, but he did say that about Keela.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 01:11:12 PM

I am not on about what [you] thought he meant, its what he said. - you are twisting it.

your opinion is wrong - on what you thought he meant.

He challenged the police, find the body prove we killed her.

There is no evidence that Gerry said 'find the body and prove we killed her'.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2018, 01:18:56 PM

I am not on about what [you] thought he meant, its what he said. - you are twisting it.

your opinion is wrong - on what you thought he meant.

He challenged the police, find the body prove we killed her.

The PJ know who did it in this case. They've always wanted to reopen to finish it. Their Supreme Court confirmed it. SY can be the media focus. After 2007 the PJ didn't need another circus IMO.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 01:26:16 PM
There is no evidence that Gerry said 'find the body and prove we killed her'.


He could equally have asked if there was proof that she was definitely dead and that, as her parents, they wanted to know if there was any proof, or whether they were still in limbo as to her fate.

Where did this 'find the body and prove we killed her' headline originate?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 01:28:24 PM
The PJ know who did it in this case. They've always wanted to reopen to finish it. Their Supreme Court confirmed it. SY can be the media focus. After 2007 the PJ didn't need another circus IMO.


You've totally lost me, PF. I haven't the faintest idea what you're basing your assertions on.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 01:28:54 PM
The PJ know who did it in this case. They've always wanted to reopen to finish it. Their Supreme Court confirmed it. SY can be the media focus. After 2007 the PJ didn't need another circus IMO.


So where does Gerry say 'find the body and prove we killed her?'
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 06, 2018, 01:29:19 PM

He could equally have asked if there was proof that she was definitely dead and that, as her parents, they wanted to know if there was any proof, or whether they were still in limbo as to her fate.

Where did this 'find the body and prove we killed her' headline originate?


I don't know where it originated from Carana,  but it is obvious that whatever Gerry said it has been twisted.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2018, 01:32:30 PM
You've totally lost me, PF. I haven't the faintest idea what you're basing your assertions on.

The PJ know who did it and want to finish it IMO. Their Supreme Court had to come out with the truth. The McCanns have never been cleared in this case regardless of their official non-suspect status like in Aug 07.

3 May 2017

Paulo Ribeiro was one of four local suspects who denied any involvement when questioned by British detectives.

Pedro do Carmo, deputy director of the Policia Judiciaria, told Panorama he had never considered them to be suspects.

"I can only say that we questioned those people on request of the Metropolitan Police and only based on the request of the Metropolitan Police.

"We never questioned those people. We never saw or looked at those people as suspects of the crime."

Last week, Scotland Yard announced there was no evidence to implicate the four men and the case against them had been closed.


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-39779256
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 01:36:21 PM

I don't know where it originated from Carana,  but it is obvious that whatever Gerry said it has been twisted.

It was a newspaper headline.
http://themaddiecasefiles.com/the-deleted-daily-express-articles-in-chronologica-t247-s120.html

Thursday September 13,2007
By Padraic Flanagan in Praia da Luz Have your say(24)
THE parents of missing Madeleine McCann yesterday challenged the police: “Find the body and prove we killed her.”

The couple, who are suspected over the child’s death and the disposal of her body, issued the startling ultimatum as the public prosecutor in Portugal sent the police case against them to a judge.

It is thought that the McCanns’ high-powered lawyers have told them that without a body it will be extremely difficult for the authorities to press charges.

Where is the evidence that Madeleine is dead

A close friend said: “The legitimate question to ask Portuguese police is: ‘Where is the body? Where is the evidence that Madeleine is dead? We have got no idea’.”

The change in the family’s tone – just days after the McCanns were still pleading for the search for Madeleine to continue – surprised sources close to the investigation. ........cont
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 01:36:50 PM
So where does Gerry say 'find the body and prove we killed her?'

Another example of not understanding the evidence?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 06, 2018, 01:39:49 PM
As far as courts are concerned there are two types of evidence.
Direct Evidence and Indirect Evidence a.k.a Circumstantial Evidence. The judge is final arbiter on what may be presented in his court.
Few convictions are realised from direct evidence alone.
As far as this thread is concerned I wonder what Talking Heads would say about it?  This maybe?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWtCittJyr0
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 01:43:35 PM
Another example of not understanding the evidence?

I don't think it was even about evidence... just another quite possibly distorted tabloid headline to ensure sales.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 01:46:37 PM
You are giving your own opinion of what evidence is... I'm giving a recognised standard of evidence

So are we only discussing evidence which is admissible in court? Grime's opinion on the alerts would be admissible then.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 01:49:31 PM
So are we only discussing evidence which is admissible in court? Grime's opinion on the alerts would be admissible then.

Can you see any situation  where Grimes opinion... The alerts have no evidential value... Would be if interest to the court
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 01:56:41 PM


http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/LEGAL_SUMMARY.htm

snipped
The viewing of these videos, whose contents is very impressive, becomes essential to understand the dogs' action and signalling, more than by any words.

These dogs, which had already been used on multiple occasions by the Scotland Yard and by the FBI with positive results, are evidence collection means and do not serve as evidence; any residue, even if invisible to the naked eye, which is collected using this type of dogs, has to be subject to forensics testing in a credentialed laboratory.


Martin Grime, the dogs' instructor himself [20], mentions in his report: "Whereas there may be no retrievable evidence for court purposes this may well assist intelligence gathering in Major Crime investigations"; or scientist Dr John Lowe [21] who refers that the FSS has no scientific support about the use of the dogs as a fundament for the collection of biological residues and that normally take the handler's word for certification, that asserts that the dogs are more sensitive than any chemical technique or other techniques that are normally used by crime scene sector experts.

In that sense, forensic examinations were performed in the areas and on the objects that were marked and signalled by the blood dog, especially in a credentialed British lab (Forensic Science Service - cf. Appendixes I and VII - FSS Final Report), and also, some of them, at the National Institute for Legal Medicine (cf. Appendix I), whose final results failed to corroborate the canine markings, that is to say that cellular material was collected, which was nevertheless not identified as belonging to a specific person, and it was not even possible to establish said material's quality (namely if it could be blood or another type of bodily fluid)


I cannot see anything in that summary which would suggest the alerts or the handler's opinion would be used by the PP in a Portuguese court.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 02:00:34 PM
As far as courts are concerned there are two types of evidence.
Direct Evidence and Indirect Evidence a.k.a Circumstantial Evidence. The judge is final arbiter on what may be presented in his court.
Few convictions are realised from direct evidence alone.
As far as this thread is concerned I wonder what Talking Heads would say about it?  This maybe?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWtCittJyr0

Lol Alice re the song.

Yes, there have been convictions in the absence of a body. Some may be justified by a solid mass of other evidence, others not.

In this case, aside from the somewhat iffy issue of dog alerts, and non-corroborating forensic evidence, what solid evidence is there to come to any conclusion whatsoever?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 02:35:54 PM
I’m not arguing that but often finding DNA, such as when someone is known to have lived at the property, is not evidence.

I agree.

It's evidence that the person, or items that may have been in contact with the person and somehow transferred, were found.

It's not evidence, per se, that anything nefarious had happened, unless there is no innocent explanation as to how that DNA got there.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 02:37:37 PM
Can you see any situation  where Grimes opinion... The alerts have no evidential value... Would be if interest to the court

Which court, in which country?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 03:36:16 PM
Which court, in which country?

As I said... Any court
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 04:29:28 PM
As I said... Any court

Do you mean in theory?

If so, any country that hasn't banned, or even one that has never been faced with whether or not such testimony is acceptable or not, might do do.

If that happens, then presumably it's up to the defence to question it... providing the defence counsel has more than an hour to read up on and prepare the whole defence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 04:54:03 PM
I've no idea what you're trying to make me say, nor why, Faith. lol

For the umpteennth time, Grime never said that Eddie would only react to the physical presence of blood, but he did say that about Keela.

He also never said that Eddie alerted to the residual scent from blood. You are simply making assumptions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 05:31:13 PM
Can you see any situation  where Grimes opinion... The alerts have no evidential value... Would be if interest to the court

I think he could say a lot more than that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 05:34:18 PM
I think he could say a lot more than that.

He could... But anything he said Re the alerts would carry that caveat making it rather useless
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 05:46:36 PM
He also never said that Eddie alerted to the residual scent from blood. You are simply making assumptions.

I know... but why make the distinction between one dog and not the other? Grime stated that Eddie alerted to residual scent (the cone spiel). He never stated that he would alert to residual scents except blood, AFAIK.

All I'm saying is that that early matrix (not stated by Grime himself, but by a certain faction of case followers) is simplistic to the exclusion of other plausible possibilities. If people wish to stick with that mantra, then that's their choice. Ten years on, those that haven't realised that it may not be as simple as that are unlikely to accept other possibilities anyway.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 05:57:14 PM
In the case of the murder of Bianca Jones Grime's evidence was allowed and it's use was upheld on appeal. An interesting read.
http://caselaw.findlaw.com/mi-court-of-appeals/1683760.html
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 05:58:44 PM
I know... but why make the distinction between one dog and not the other? Grime stated that Eddie alerted to residual scent (the cone spiel). He never stated that he would alert to residual scents except blood, AFAIK.

All I'm saying is that that early matrix (not stated by Grime himself, but by a certain faction of case followers) is simplistic to the exclusion of other plausible possibilities. If people wish to stick with that mantra, then that's their choice. Ten years on, those that haven't realised that it may not be as simple as that are unlikely to accept other possibilities anyway.

This is what Grime said in his profile.

‘'Eddie' The Enhanced Victim Recovery Dog (E.V.RD.) will search for and locate

human remains and body fluids including blood to very small samples in any

environment or terrain’
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 06:00:46 PM
In the case of the murder of Bianca Jones Grime's evidence was allowed and it's use was upheld on appeal. An interesting read.
http://caselaw.findlaw.com/mi-court-of-appeals/1683760.html

Also in the case of Aurelio Montano cadaver dog evidence gained a conviction without a body. http://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/aurora-beacon-news/chi-former-aurora-man-found-guilty-of-wifes-1990-murder-20131030-story.html
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 06, 2018, 06:10:19 PM
He also never said that Eddie alerted to the residual scent from blood. You are simply making assumptions.

There's a single molecule  in blood which has been shown to attract carnivores (such as dogs) to the source. As Eddie could reportedly alert to the residual scent of various cadaver elements, in which blood plays a part, it was possible that he could alert to residual scent from blood. I'm guessing that the identified molecule is quite volatile, given the way a predator can seek it out but have no idea how long it remains detectable in the air.
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2014/11/heres-what-draws-carnivores-blood

Here's what draws carnivores to blood
By Puneet KolliparaNov. 10, 2014 , 2:45 PM

What is it about the scent of blood that makes carnivores go crazy? It may all come down to a single molecule, according to a new study. Tigers and wild dogs were drawn to this compound as much as to blood itself. The findings shed light on how animals recognize complex substances through smell and could even help curb some human phobias.

Like footprints in the snow, the scent of blood can guide meat-hunting animals to wounded prey. Yet blood, like many substances with strong smells, contains myriad molecular ingredients, only some of which may play a role in attracting predators. In general, it’s tough to pin down the role that all molecules in a substance might play, says Matthias Laska, a zoologist at Linköping University in Sweden. “You have to start by making a best guess.”

For Laska and his colleagues, that guess started with a molecule called trans-4,5-epoxy-(E)-2-decenal. The molecule—a so-called aldehyde—carries the telltale metallic stench of blood and is found in pigs’ blood and perhaps in all mammalian blood, Laska says.
To find out if the molecule is really what attracts predators, Laska and colleagues tested how 40 meat-eating mammals from four species would react to its scent. The researchers partnered with Kolmården Wildlife Park, a zoo in Sweden, which gave them access to Siberian tigers (Panthera tigris altaica), South American bush dogs (Speothos venaticus), African wild dogs (Lycaon pictus), and Asian wild dogs (Cuon alpinus) for the study.

The researchers soaked wooden blocks with one of four substances: the aldehyde, horse blood, the fruity-smelling molecule isopentyl acetate, or a nearly odorless solvent. After throwing these substance-laced blocks to the animals, the researchers observed and noted how the creatures responded and interacted with the blocks.

The researchers recorded thousands of interactions between the animals and the blocks in 20 days of experiments per species. On average, all four carnivore species played with the aldehyde-laced blocks just as much as with the blood-laced blocks, the team reports today in PLOS ONE. Moreover, the animals interacted with the blood- and aldehyde-laced blocks twice to four times as much as they did with blocks laced with the other two substances.

Laska says he was surprised that his team’s initial best guess worked so well. “This is one of the things you can only dream of and hope for that happens not so often in your experiments,” he says.

Still, he warns that the findings may not apply to all carnivorous animals and their olfactory systems. “Other animals and other olfactory systems might have evolved an alternative strategy,” he says. He hopes to answer that question by doing similar studies on other blood compounds and other carnivorous species, such as wolves. Laska even has a student performing a similar study using mice instead of carnivores. “We want to see if blood elicits escape behavior in prey species,” he says
“It’s an elegantly done study that’s trying to answer a basic question: whether one single molecule can trigger a complex behavior as well as a complex odor does, and it answers that question beautifully,” says Johan Lundström, an experimental neuropsychologist at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm. Lundström notes the findings could have implications for human health, as some people fear blood’s smell or link it to a traumatic past event. By understanding which components of blood trigger responses in people, researchers could generate better treatments for mental issues such as blood-related post-traumatic stress disorder or phobias.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 06:40:44 PM
Also in the case of Aurelio Montano cadaver dog evidence gained a conviction without a body. http://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/aurora-beacon-news/chi-former-aurora-man-found-guilty-of-wifes-1990-murder-20131030-story.html

Sometimes alerts by a dog with an exemplary track record will be admitted as evidence, especially if there's other evidence suggesting foul play. In the Bianca Jones case Grime's dog Morse had achieved almost 100% accuracy in his regular tests. Grime's dog's were trained to a very high standard.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 06:49:07 PM
There's a single molecule  in blood which has been shown to attract carnivores (such as dogs) to the source. As Eddie could reportedly alert to the residual scent of various cadaver elements, in which blood plays a part, it was possible that he could alert to residual scent from blood. I'm guessing that the identified molecule is quite volatile, given the way a predator can seek it out but have no idea how long it remains detectable in the air.
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2014/11/heres-what-draws-carnivores-blood

Here's what draws carnivores to blood
By Puneet KolliparaNov. 10, 2014 , 2:45 PM

What is it about the scent of blood that makes carnivores go crazy? It may all come down to a single molecule, according to a new study. Tigers and wild dogs were drawn to this compound as much as to blood itself. The findings shed light on how animals recognize complex substances through smell and could even help curb some human phobias.

Like footprints in the snow, the scent of blood can guide meat-hunting animals to wounded prey. Yet blood, like many substances with strong smells, contains myriad molecular ingredients, only some of which may play a role in attracting predators. In general, it’s tough to pin down the role that all molecules in a substance might play, says Matthias Laska, a zoologist at Linköping University in Sweden. “You have to start by making a best guess.”

For Laska and his colleagues, that guess started with a molecule called trans-4,5-epoxy-(E)-2-decenal. The molecule—a so-called aldehyde—carries the telltale metallic stench of blood and is found in pigs’ blood and perhaps in all mammalian blood, Laska says.
To find out if the molecule is really what attracts predators, Laska and colleagues tested how 40 meat-eating mammals from four species would react to its scent. The researchers partnered with Kolmården Wildlife Park, a zoo in Sweden, which gave them access to Siberian tigers (Panthera tigris altaica), South American bush dogs (Speothos venaticus), African wild dogs (Lycaon pictus), and Asian wild dogs (Cuon alpinus) for the study.

The researchers soaked wooden blocks with one of four substances: the aldehyde, horse blood, the fruity-smelling molecule isopentyl acetate, or a nearly odorless solvent. After throwing these substance-laced blocks to the animals, the researchers observed and noted how the creatures responded and interacted with the blocks.

The researchers recorded thousands of interactions between the animals and the blocks in 20 days of experiments per species. On average, all four carnivore species played with the aldehyde-laced blocks just as much as with the blood-laced blocks, the team reports today in PLOS ONE. Moreover, the animals interacted with the blood- and aldehyde-laced blocks twice to four times as much as they did with blocks laced with the other two substances.

Laska says he was surprised that his team’s initial best guess worked so well. “This is one of the things you can only dream of and hope for that happens not so often in your experiments,” he says.

Still, he warns that the findings may not apply to all carnivorous animals and their olfactory systems. “Other animals and other olfactory systems might have evolved an alternative strategy,” he says. He hopes to answer that question by doing similar studies on other blood compounds and other carnivorous species, such as wolves. Laska even has a student performing a similar study using mice instead of carnivores. “We want to see if blood elicits escape behavior in prey species,” he says
“It’s an elegantly done study that’s trying to answer a basic question: whether one single molecule can trigger a complex behavior as well as a complex odor does, and it answers that question beautifully,” says Johan Lundström, an experimental neuropsychologist at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm. Lundström notes the findings could have implications for human health, as some people fear blood’s smell or link it to a traumatic past event. By understanding which components of blood trigger responses in people, researchers could generate better treatments for mental issues such as blood-related post-traumatic stress disorder or phobias.
Human blood  as opposed to other types of blood so it has to be a unique chemical or combination of chemicals in my opinion  .  OK this chemical might give the dog the "blood" bit and there must be some other molecule(s) that indicate "human".
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2018, 07:49:25 PM
Human blood  as opposed to other types of blood so it has to be a unique chemical or combination of chemicals in my opinion  .  OK this chemical might give the dog the "blood" bit and there must be some other molecule(s) that indicate "human".

I expect that there are more dog-related threads on here and no doubt elsewhere than on anything else, for some unfathomable reason.

There are hundreds of components in the global "bouquet", Rob. A number of which are in common with other species, some are found in greater concentration at certain peak times, some are found depending on what is decomposing, and some are even found in perfectly ordinary environments.

At the end of the day, there was no forensic evidence to corroborate them. A few anecdotal accounts on the vague possibility that the alerts may be valid even in the absence of any corroboration may keep the debate alive - much as whether the person who claimed to be Anastacia was actually the surviving daugher of the Tsar.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 06, 2018, 08:02:36 PM
Lol Alice re the song.

Yes, there have been convictions in the absence of a body. Some may be justified by a solid mass of other evidence, others not.

In this case, aside from the somewhat iffy issue of dog alerts, and non-corroborating forensic evidence, what solid evidence is there to come to any conclusion whatsoever?

If you are starting from square one and basic principles you are probably kicking against an open door...
There is no direct evidence of either parental involvement or abduction.
Indirect/Circumstantial evidence has never properly been put to the test as there have been no court proceedings. It would seem there is no indirect evidence which links a crime of either abduction by persons unknown or abduction by identifiable parties nor sufficiently strong indirect evidence to allow charges of parental involvement to be brought hence the filing of the case.
What we know is that a little girl seemingly vanished off the face the earth between the hours of 17:30 and 22:00 on 3rd May 2007.
Not a lot to work with but plenty of chaff has been generated.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 08:08:44 PM
If you are starting from square one and basic principles you are probably kicking against an open door...
There is no direct evidence of either parental involvement or abduction.
Indirect/Circumstantial evidence has never properly been put to the test as there have been no court proceedings. It would seem there is no indirect evidence which links a crime of either abduction by persons unknown or abduction by identifiable parties nor sufficiently strong indirect evidence to allow charges of parental involvement to be brought hence the filing of the case.
What we know is that a little girl seemingly vanished off the face the earth between the hours of 17:30 and 22:00 on 3rd May 2007.
Not a lot to work with but plenty of chaff has been generated.

I would say there is plenty of evidence the parents, were not involved
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 06, 2018, 08:10:10 PM
He could... But anything he said Re the alerts would carry that caveat making it rather useless

If the opposing expert witness showed Grime was erroneous in his assessment it wouldn't.
You keep making the same mistake regarding Grime's status should the case ever wind up in court.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 06, 2018, 08:11:43 PM
I would say there is plenty of evidence the parents, were not involved

I know you would

Delineate the "plenty of evidence" then.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 08:12:41 PM
If the opposing expert witness showed Grime was erroneous in his assessment it wouldn't.
You keep making the same mistake regarding Grime's status should the case ever wind up in court.
You are, assuming another expert witness could be found.... That he, would disagree... And the fact that there us, no real scientific  evidence to support the unconfirmed  alerts... That's the important point
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 08:19:04 PM
I expect that there are more dog-related threads on here and no doubt elsewhere than on anything else, for some unfathomable reason.

There are hundreds of components in the global "bouquet", Rob. A number of which are in common with other species, some are found in greater concentration at certain peak times, some are found depending on what is decomposing, and some are even found in perfectly ordinary environments.

At the end of the day, there was no forensic evidence to corroborate them. A few anecdotal accounts on the vague possibility that the alerts may be valid even in the absence of any corroboration may keep the debate alive - much as whether the person who claimed to be Anastacia was actually the surviving daugher of the Tsar.
It can't be that complicated as a dog can do it.  It can't be  a blend of odours as that would give too many combinations and the dog would never be able to always identify "human cadaver" only.  all these smells will be there but they have been trained to isolate the right one.  That is how I'm thinking.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 08:50:49 PM
Abduction can be proved on the balance of possibilities, taking all the evidence into account.. Imo

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2018, 08:53:31 PM
Abduction can be proved on the balance of possibilities, taking all the evidence into account.. Imo

If we are talking stastistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 08:54:58 PM
If we are talking stastistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger.

Absolute rubbish... If I am allowed to say so
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 06, 2018, 08:58:15 PM
Absolute rubbish... If I am allowed to say so
It was a trick statement and you fell for it IMO.  Using "statistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger."  But the evidence does not support this in this case.  The stats are the summation/analysis of thousands of cases.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 09:19:58 PM
It was a trick statement and you fell for it IMO.  Using "statistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger."  But the evidence does not support this in this case.  The stats are the summation/analysis of thousands of cases.

Best get your facts right.. I didn't fall for it because it isn't true....
As you have confirmed... I trust you understand  why it isn't true
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 09:23:05 PM
You are, assuming another expert witness could be found.... That he, would disagree... And the fact that there us, no real scientific  evidence to support the unconfirmed  alerts... That's the important point

The lack of 'real scientific evidence' isn't the important point. What would it have proved? It couldn't tell the investigators what happened to Madeleine.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 09:25:01 PM
The lack of 'real scientific evidence' isn't the important point. What would it have proved? It couldn't tell the investigators what happened to Madeleine.
..
Scientific testing would give us an idea how accurate the alerts, are... We simply do not know
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 09:27:19 PM
It was a trick statement and you fell for it IMO.  Using "statistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger."  But the evidence does not support this in this case.  The stats are the summation/analysis of thousands of cases.

Using statistics it is not more probable that maddie was harmed by her parents than a, stranger
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 09:32:20 PM
..
Scientific testing would give us an idea how accurate the alerts, are... We simply do not know

Scientists have no test which can confirm or deny the accuracy Eddie's alerts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 06, 2018, 09:35:16 PM
Scientists have no test which can confirm or deny the accuracy Eddie's alerts.
No but it would be very simple to design double blind studies ti test and calibrate  the dogs in training
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2018, 09:46:17 PM
No but it would be very simple to design double blind studies ti test and calibrate  the dogs in training

Police dogs are licensed only if they pass tests. I assume the police are happy with the testing they carry out. Therefore I assume they would be prepared to testify as to the skill and reliability of one of their dogs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 12:47:33 AM
How frightfully unobservant of you.

I think Alice is spot on.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 07, 2018, 01:00:57 AM
I think Alice is spot on.
So, are you unobservant too?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 01:16:59 AM
So, are you unobservant too?

Not as unobservant as you it would appear.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 01:47:56 AM
Cut it out - I will be deleting personal abuse.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2018, 07:12:05 AM
Using statistics it is not more probable that maddie was harmed by her parents than a, stranger

Please do show us...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:05:05 AM
Police dogs are licensed only if they pass tests. I assume the police are happy with the testing they carry out. TheRrefore I assume they would be prepared to testify as to the skill and reliability of one of their dogs.

They are happy with the tests with the caveat that the alerts themselves have no evidential value...grime has already given his opinion as to the reliability of the alerts... As did Harrison.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:12:02 AM
Please do show us...

Im disagreeing with faith post that statistics point to the mccanns ...if faith would like to start a new thread we can discuss it and i can prove her wrong
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 08:22:11 AM
Best get your facts right.. I didn't fall for it because it isn't true....
As you have confirmed... I trust you understand  why it isn't true
We are talking statistics not the actual cause of this case in particular. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 08:23:34 AM
Using statistics it is not more probable that maddie was harmed by her parents than a, stranger
As you were asked - you do it then show us the statistics!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:29:36 AM
As you were asked - you do it then show us the statistics!

As you are a moderator remove the ad hom attack
As I said... Faith madebthe claim... She should start the discussion supporting her claim... And then we can discuss it..

But... If a child is put to bed in it's own house.. And in the morning found murdered... Statistically is it more likely the parents were involved than a stranger
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 08:34:27 AM
As you are a moderator remove the ad hom attack
As I said... Faith madebthe claim... She should start the discussion supporting her claim... And then we can discuss it..

But... If a child is put to bed in it's own house.. And in the morning found murdered... Statistically is it more likely the parents were involved than a stranger
You had other posters backing you up.  So be happy with that. 
Faith does not follow orders.  I could start it or you for I'd love to get the real stats behind cases like this.  As I said the other day Yvonne Martin's experience of 99.9% due to the family seemed rather high.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:38:55 AM
You had other posters backing you up.  So be happy with that. 
Faith does not follow orders.  I could start it or you for I'd love to get the real stats behind cases like this.  As I said the other day Yvonne Martin's experience of 99.9% due to the family seemed rather high.

And I do not follow orders but it seems ad hom posts directed towards me, are allowed on the forum
You didn't answer the question in my post
What is the 99% Re martin all about
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:40:15 AM
If we are talking stastistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger.

Could you provide some proof of this... It's absolute rubbish
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 08:43:56 AM
And I do not follow orders but it seems ad hom posts directed towards me, are allowed on the forum
You didn't answer the question in my post
What is the 99% Re martin all about
Did you not follow the thread on Yvonne Martin? 

As far as I am concerned you did not ask me a question?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:53:32 AM
Did you not follow the thread on Yvonne Martin? 

As far as I am concerned you did not ask me a question?

See post 322 directed to you
I followed the martin thread but don't recall the significance of the 99%...could you explain
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 09:03:03 AM
See post 322 directed to you
I followed the martin thread but don't recall the significance of the 99%...could you explain

The text of 322 "As you are a moderator remove the ad hom attack
As I said... Faith made the claim... She should start the discussion supporting her claim... And then we can discuss it..

But... If a child is put to bed in it's own house.. And in the morning found murdered... Statistically is it more likely the parents were involved than a stranger"

I'm not allowed to delete or edit post (other than strict situations).

You made a claim about stats but stats are based on an analysis of data.  Where is your data?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 07, 2018, 09:05:36 AM
I know you would

Delineate the "plenty of evidence" then.

I've just read some of this thread,

So what is the evidence for abduction?
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=4142.0

The evidence appears to be the fact that Maddie is missing & 'not suspects'.

I noticed some posts by ferryman in there, whatever happened to him?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 09:10:33 AM
I've just read some of this thread,

So what is the evidence for abduction?
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=4142.0

The evidence appears to be the fact that Maddie is missing & 'not suspects'.

I noticed some posts by ferryman in there, whatever happened to him?
He is still around. ( I getting confused with Pathfinder73 sorry)
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 07, 2018, 09:16:29 AM
He is still around.

But thankfully no longer on here
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 07, 2018, 09:19:35 AM
We are talking statistics not the actual cause of this case in particular.

In my opinion the statistics are used by some as 'evidence' to 'prove' a case ... which in my opinion indicates a total misconception regarding what constitutes evidence ... as well as a misuse of statistics.

Every other day there are cases of parental abduction reported in the media ... usually ending with the bodies of one parent and the children s/he has murdered being found in a beauty spot and the body of the other parent lying murdered at home.

In my opinion what the statistics do show is how rare stranger abductions are ... but they are not evidence which proves they never happen.
In fact what they are evidence proven by their rarity ... that the Tapas nine were lulled into a false sense of security before Madeleine became a statistic among children who vanish without trace.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:21:28 AM
The text of 322 "As you are a moderator remove the ad hom attack
As I said... Faith made the claim... She should start the discussion supporting her claim... And then we can discuss it..

But... If a child is put to bed in it's own house.. And in the morning found murdered... Statistically is it more likely the parents were involved than a stranger"

I'm not allowed to delete or edit post (other than strict situations).

You made a claim about stats but stats are based on an analysis of data.  Where is your data?

Faith made a, post Re statistics which I contradicted...it seems no one had asked her to provide any numbers... If you don't want to answer the question I posted Re statistics then fine... The debate can not go any further
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:22:59 AM
In my opinion the statistics are used by some as 'evidence' to 'prove' a case ... which in my opinion indicates a total misconception regarding what constitutes evidence ... as well as a misuse of statistics.

Every other day there are cases of parental abduction reported in the media ... usually ending with the bodies of one parent and the children s/he has murdered being found in a beauty spot and the body of the other parent lying murdered at home.

In my opinion what the statistics do show is how rare stranger abductions are ... but they are not evidence which proves they never happen.
In fact what they are evidence proven by their rarity ... that the Tapas nine were lulled into a false sense of security before Madeleine became a statistic among children who vanish without trace.

Faiths claim that statistically the McCann's, are involved is patently absurd but posters don't seem to want to address it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:31:05 AM
Statistics are like the alerts.... They can point the investigation in a certain direction.. But cannot be used as evidence against a subject
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2018, 09:33:20 AM
It is an observation that you keep claiming that there is evidence supporting innocence but then always fail to provide it. You appear to want to redefine what evidence is depending on the argument you are having at the time.

Time to put up.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 07, 2018, 09:36:14 AM
Faiths claim that statistically the McCann's, are involved is patently absurd but posters don't seem to want to address it

I can see why there is a reluctance to discuss it as the statistics referred to are clearly not applicable in Madeleine's case just as they weren't for Holly and Jessica or any of the other cases of stranger abduction.

In my opinion manufacturing a factoid that it is relevant to Madeleine's case when the police have quite obviously ruled it out and have said so might be considered libel ... and if not that, certainly incredibly cruel and unkind
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2018, 09:49:10 AM
If we are talking stastistics it more probable that Madeleine was harmed by her parents than a stranger.

Just to see what Faith said rather than what Davel and his supporters said she said.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:58:10 AM
Just to see what Faith said rather than what Davel and his supporters said she said.

I actually quoted what faith said so theres no confusion abd I've asked faith to substantiate it... It us patently absurd
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Erngath on March 07, 2018, 10:03:53 AM
But thankfully no longer on here

In your opinion which you are entitled to have.
Just as I hold  the same opinion about some sceptics, who thankfully are no longer here!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 07, 2018, 10:15:54 AM
In your opinion which you are entitled to have.
Just as I hold  the same opinion about some sceptics, who thankfully are no longer here!

We must be thankful that we are both satisfied.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:22:16 AM
We must be thankful that we are both satisfied.

Perhaps you would like to see more posters leave
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2018, 10:28:46 AM
Perhaps you would like to see more posters leave

Well we do occasionally have intervals of fruitful discussion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 10:29:13 AM
In my opinion whatever these 'sceptics' may or may not have misunderstood is balanced by the demonstrated lack of understanding about what evidence is and how it could be used.

Some think the alerts 'mean nothing' because they weren't confirmed. Confirmation wouldn't have told the investigators anything though. All it could do was authenticate the capabilities of Keela, and they were already known and acknowledged.

In certain circumstances the alerts by the dogs could be used in conjunction with other evidence to make a case.  The reliability of the dogs can be demonstrated by their success rate in training and deployment. That suggests that they were rarely wrong. The reliability of other dogs is irrelevant because they weren't used.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2018, 10:33:59 AM
I can see why there is a reluctance to discuss it as the statistics referred to are clearly not applicable in Madeleine's case just as they weren't for Holly and Jessica or any of the other cases of stranger abduction.

In my opinion manufacturing a factoid that it is relevant to Madeleine's case when the police have quite obviously ruled it out and have said so might be considered libel ... and if not that, certainly incredibly cruel and unkind

I see you are using selection bias in choosing the data you want to use.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:36:42 AM
Well we do occasionally have intervals of fruitful discussion.

IMO losing members is no cause for celebration... It diminishes the forum...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Erngath on March 07, 2018, 10:38:33 AM
We must be thankful that we are both satisfied.

Indeed.
I've had a particularly pleasant and satisfying few weeks, three family birthdays, a Christening and a Golden Wedding..
February was a very satisfying month.
The weather was dreadful but much improved now.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 10:43:40 AM
Well we do occasionally have intervals of fruitful discussion.

I have found this thread fruitful. I have a better understanding of what evidence actually is and a better understanding of how it might be used imo. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Erngath on March 07, 2018, 10:46:27 AM
I have found this thread fruitful. I have a better understanding of what evidence actually is and a better understanding of how it might be used imo.

It's been interesting to read.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:57:06 AM
I have found this thread fruitful. I have a better understanding of what evidence actually is and a better understanding of how it might be used imo.

I'm glad you have learnt something  from a thread I have introduced.. My understanding hasn't changed but it didn't need to
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:08:41 AM
An expected response. IMO you have yet to proof any evidence of abduction which doesn’t also apply to many of the other scenarios.

If you had read the post you would have seen I said there is plenty of evidence the parents, are not involved... And there is... I'm astonished posters can't see that
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 11:22:34 AM



Well i don't think it proves any thing


He did his job the dogs did the job they were trained to do.


I would think, M G credibility and the dogs, would have been zero

If maddie had been found alive.

If a body was found - things would have been different, it would   have been used as evidence.


edited as wrong post quoted.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 07, 2018, 11:26:49 AM
Well i don't think it proves any thing


He did his job the dogs did the job they were trained to do.


I would think, M G credibility and the dogs, would have been zero

If maddie had been found alive.

If a body was found - things would have been different, it would   have been used as evidence.

If Madeleine had been found alive, would the video inspections have been leaked and uploaded?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 11:28:27 AM
I'm glad you have learnt something  from a thread I have introduced.. My understanding hasn't changed but it didn't need to

No, it's my opinion that you'll cling to and repeat your convictions that 'the alerts mean nothing' and 'the alerts weren't 'scientifically confirmed' despite the fact that the alerts do mean something and scientific confirmation has no bearing on that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 11:30:59 AM
If Madeleine had been found alive, would the video inspections have been leaked and uploaded?

If she had been found alive the case wouldn’t have been archived and the files wouldn’t have been released until after any court case, if ever.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 07, 2018, 11:34:51 AM
If she had been found alive the case wouldn’t have been archived and the files wouldn’t have been released until after any court case, if ever.

Perhaps we agree, then: the dog videos wouldn't have been uploaded and we wouldn't be rehashing their potential significance, or absence thereof, almost 10 years later.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 11:36:01 AM
Well i don't think it proves any thing


He did his job the dogs did the job they were trained to do.


I would think, M G credibility and the dogs, would have been zero

If maddie had been found alive.

If a body was found - things would have been different, it would   have been used as evidence.

I didn't say anything had been 'proved'. I said the alerts are evidence, which has consistently been denied.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:49:50 AM
I didn't say anything had been 'proved'. I said the alerts are evidence, which has consistently been denied.

They have no evidential reliability...they are not reliable as evidence..
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 07, 2018, 11:54:03 AM
A question about the Cuddle Cat alert by Eddie.    If Grime didn't know that Cuddle Cat had been Madeleine's toy which was on her bed the night she disappeared,   would he have hidden it in the kitchen cupboard and then produced it when Eddie barked?

Cuddle Cat wasn't taken as evidence just given back to the McCann's.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 12:02:13 PM
If Madeleine had been found alive, would the video inspections have been leaked and uploaded?

Well that would have to depend on when maddie was found.

Maddie could have been found after they had been uploaded

So the answer is would have to be -  yes.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 12:04:29 PM
I didn't say anything had been 'proved'. I said the alerts are evidence, which has consistently been denied.

But not evidence allowed in court... So basically useless
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 12:06:13 PM
I didn't say anything had been 'proved'. I said the alerts are evidence, which has consistently been denied.

Sorry G-Unit it was a mistake quoting your post it should have been davels - i will remove it from my post.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 12:24:44 PM
Sorry G-Unit it was a mistake quoting your post it should have been davels - i will remove it from my post.

No problem.  8((()*/
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 12:31:44 PM
No, it's my opinion that you'll cling to and repeat your convictions that 'the alerts mean nothing' andt 'the alerts weren't 'scientifically confirmed' despite the fact that the alerts do mean something and scientific confirmation has no bearing on that.

It's Grimes opinion that these alerts have no evidential value.. They are therefore worthless as evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 12:42:03 PM
But not evidence allowed in court... So basically useless

The trainer/handler's evidence is allowed in court, as are the dog's operational and training records. All evidence which could be used to demonstrate the likelihood of the reliability of the alerts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 12:45:13 PM
It's Grimes opinion that these alerts have no evidential value.. They are therefore worthless as evidence


Think you should stop posting  things as fact - when they are not.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 12:47:43 PM
The trainer/handler's evidence is allowed in court, as are the dog's operational and training records. All evidence which could be used to demonstrate the likelihood of the reliability of the alerts.

In this instance the trainer has said the alerts have no evidential reliability si that would make the statements useless... Do you have a cite, where the alerts have been allowed in a UK or Portuguese court..

It seems a bit pointless presenting the alerts, as evidence then having the expert say they have no evidential value... Sounds ridiculous
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 07, 2018, 12:53:09 PM
The trainer/handler's evidence is allowed in court, as are the dog's operational and training records. All evidence which could be used to demonstrate the likelihood of the reliability of the alerts.

Exactly. It is a court that will decide what is acceptable.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 12:56:39 PM
The only provenance we have on the value if the alerts is the trainer... And he has, stated clearly they have ni evidential  value... So some sceptics still don't understand  the evidence imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 01:07:44 PM
In this instance the trainer has said the alerts have no evidential reliability si that would make the statements useless... Do you have a cite, where the alerts have been allowed in a UK or Portuguese court..

It seems a bit pointless presenting the alerts, as evidence then having the expert say they have no evidential value... Sounds ridiculous

Suzanne Pilley and Bob Rose.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 01:19:52 PM
Suzanne Pilley and Bob Rose.

In the Bob rise case Eddie found the body... Hardly an unconfirmed  alert
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 01:20:14 PM
In this instance the trainer has said the alerts have no evidential reliability si that would make the statements useless... Do you have a cite, where the alerts have been allowed in a UK or Portuguese court..

It seems a bit pointless presenting the alerts, as evidence then having the expert say they have no evidential value... Sounds ridiculous

It's perfectly correct to say that the alerts in themselves have no evidential reliability. When they are used as part of a body of evidence, however, they can add weight to an argument as they did in the Prout case.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 01:25:10 PM
In the Bob rise case Eddie found the body... Hardly an unconfirmed  alert

You asked for examples of dog alerts being allowed in court. I gave you two examples.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 01:27:08 PM
You asked for examples of dog alerts being allowed in court. I gave you two examples.
So they can be mentioned in court if, a body is found...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 01:32:09 PM
The only provenance we have on the value if the alerts is the trainer... And he has, stated clearly they have ni evidential  value... So some sceptics still don't understand  the evidence imo

The dogs have operational and test records which can be used as evidence when evaluating their alerts. In my opinion you have misunderstood what Grime meant.

In my opinion he meant the alerts alone don't prove anything. In this case only Keela's alerts could have been confirmed by the scientists, but they would still have proved nothing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 01:51:33 PM
The dogs have operational and test records which can be used as evidence when evaluating their alerts. In my opinion you have misunderstood what Grime meant.

In my opinion he meant the alerts alone don't prove anything. In this case only Keela's alerts could have been confirmed by the scientists, but they would still have proved nothing.
I don't misunderstand anything.... Harrison went further and said no inferences could be drawn from the alerts..
I know, what no evidential  value or reliability mean
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 01:59:56 PM
I don't misunderstand anything.... Harrison went further and said no inferences could be drawn from the alerts..
I know, what no evidential  value or reliability mean


That was an educated guess - because there was no body.


Definitions of
inference
1
n the reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion or making a logical judgment on the basis of circumstantial evidence and prior conclusions rather than on the basis of direct observation

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 07, 2018, 02:19:57 PM
The dogs have operational and test records which can be used as evidence when evaluating their alerts. In my opinion you have misunderstood what Grime meant.

In my opinion he meant the alerts alone don't prove anything. In this case only Keela's alerts could have been confirmed by the scientists, but they would still have proved nothing.

I disagree - depending on where she alerted in a crime scene, her alerts could have been confirmed and might have been found to be crucial.

As it happens, there was nothing of forensic significance in this case.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 02:35:30 PM

That was an educated guess - because there was no body.


Definitions of
inference
1
n the reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion or making a logical judgment on the basis of circumstantial evidence and prior conclusions rather than on the basis of direct observation

So no inference
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 02:42:32 PM
So they can be mentioned in court if, a body is found...

And Suzanne Pilley ? We were told on Crimewartch that the dog alerts were crucial in gaining a conviction without a body.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 03:16:35 PM
So no inference

During a 2009 television interview with Portuguese journalist Sandra Felgueira, Gerry McCann was asked about the cadaver dogs alerting to the scent of a dead body in apartment 5A and their rental car.

"I can tell you that we've obviously looked at evidence about cadaver dogs and they're incredibly unreliable," McCann replied


seems gmccann agrees with you.



In one of his preliminary reports, Harrison said any alerts by the dogs may suggest that a body had been in the property and then removed. He added "no inference can be drawn as to whether a human cadaver has previously been in any location without other supporting physical evidence".



https://www.9news.com.au/world/2017/03/20/14/18/madeleine-mccann-cadaver-sniffer-dogs-reaction-apartment-car-didnt-make-sense


interesting comment

CORRECTION: On March 21 this article was changed to reflect that 'arguido' status was lifted (instead of 'cleared') from Kate and Gerry McCann.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 04:55:14 PM
During a 2009 television interview with Portuguese journalist Sandra Felgueira, Gerry McCann was asked about the cadaver dogs alerting to the scent of a dead body in apartment 5A and their rental car.

"I can tell you that we've obviously looked at evidence about cadaver dogs and they're incredibly unreliable," McCann replied


seems gmccann agrees with you.



In one of his preliminary reports, Harrison said any alerts by the dogs may suggest that a body had been in the property and then removed. He added "no inference can be drawn as to whether a human cadaver has previously been in any location without other supporting physical evidence".



https://www.9news.com.au/world/2017/03/20/14/18/madeleine-mccann-cadaver-sniffer-dogs-reaction-apartment-car-didnt-make-sense


interesting comment

CORRECTION: On March 21 this article was changed to reflect that 'arguido' status was lifted (instead of 'cleared') from Kate and Gerry McCann.

Martin Harrison agrees, with me too.. And it was he who advised bringing the dogs in... No evidential reliability is very clear... As is no inference
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 05:28:19 PM
And Suzanne Pilley ? We were told on Crimewartch that the dog alerts were crucial in gaining a conviction without a body.
The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission has revieed this case at the request of gilroys family...there only real finding is that the dog evidence was unreliable...so your claims are meaningless.


In a statement the Gilroy family said: “ We are shocked not just at the decision but also at what seems to us to be many instances where the Commission’s analysis has fallen far short of a full and fair investigation into the detail of the application which David, supported by us, made to them in November 2014. “One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.”

Read more at: https://www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-pilley-murder-killer-s-family-shocked-by-closure-of-review-1-4465183


isnt it about time sceptics faced the truth re the alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 05:29:21 PM
But thankfully no longer on here
( I was getting confused with Pathfinder73 sorry)  Pathfinder is being quiet too.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 05:37:01 PM
I'm glad you have learnt something  from a thread I have introduced.. My understanding hasn't changed but it didn't need to
I think your understanding re the stats has room for improvement.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 05:41:16 PM
I didn't say anything had been 'proved'. I said the alerts are evidence, which has consistently been denied.
Evidence of what though?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 05:45:36 PM
I think your understanding re the stats has room for improvement.

That's, a personal insult ...my knowledge  of stats is pretty good... What don't you think I understand and I can correct you
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 05:47:08 PM
The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission has revieed this case at the request of gilroys family...there only real finding is that the dog evidence was unreliable...so your claims are meaningless.


In a statement the Gilroy family said: “ We are shocked not just at the decision but also at what seems to us to be many instances where the Commission’s analysis has fallen far short of a full and fair investigation into the detail of the application which David, supported by us, made to them in November 2014. “One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.”

Read more at: https://www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-pilley-murder-killer-s-family-shocked-by-closure-of-review-1-4465183


isnt it about time sceptics faced the truth re the alerts
https://www.scotcourts.gov.uk/search-judgments/judgment?id=fbc08aa6-8980-69d2-b500-ff0000d74aa7

‘The case against him ( Gilroy ) would have been overwhelming. There would have been evidence of: (a) the turbulent nature of his relationship with the deceased, involving intense jealousy in the context of expressed views from the deceased that their relationship was at an end; (b) the proximity of the arrivals of the deceased and the appellant at 11 Thistle Street on the morning of the disappearance; (c) the undoubtedly sinister cessation of text messages between the appellant and the deceased at about the time of her disappearance; (d) the appellant's strange demeanour on the morning of the disappearance and his sudden departure to collect his car on the pretext of having lost the minutes; (d) the cadaver dog's reaction to his car; (e) most significant, the state of the appellant's car upon his return from an unexpectedly long and sudden trip to Lochgilphead; and (f) the injuries on his hands, which he tried to conceal and which were characteristic of a reaction of someone being strangled.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 05:49:25 PM
https://www.scotcourts.gov.uk/search-judgments/judgment?id=fbc08aa6-8980-69d2-b500-ff0000d74aa7

‘The case against him ( Gilroy ) would have been overwhelming. There would have been evidence of: (a) the turbulent nature of his relationship with the deceased, involving intense jealousy in the context of expressed views from the deceased that their relationship was at an end; (b) the proximity of the arrivals of the deceased and the appellant at 11 Thistle Street on the morning of the disappearance; (c) the undoubtedly sinister cessation of text messages between the appellant and the deceased at about the time of her disappearance; (d) the appellant's strange demeanour on the morning of the disappearance and his sudden departure to collect his car on the pretext of having lost the minutes; (d) the cadaver dog's reaction to his car; (e) most significant, the state of the appellant's car upon his return from an unexpectedly long and sudden trip to Lochgilphead; and (f) the injuries on his hands, which he tried to conceal and which were characteristic of a reaction of someone being strangled.

The evidence was overwhelming.... The review body however decided that the cafaver dog evidence wad unreliable... Which supports my view
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 05:50:17 PM
I think your understanding re the stats has room for improvement.

To be honest I don't rate your opinion on anything
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 05:56:41 PM
That's, a personal insult ...my knowledge  of stats is pretty good... What don't you think I understand and I can correct you
You have not provided proof of that as yet.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 06:01:22 PM
The evidence was overwhelming.... The review body however decided that the cafaver dog evidence wad unreliable... Which supports my view

I have provided a cite that the Court of Appeal considered the dog alerts to be a valuable piece of evidence. Can you provide a cite, other than the obviously upset family, that the Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission considered the dog’s evidence ‘unreliable’ ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 06:03:47 PM
You have not provided proof of that as yet.
You have criticised my knowledge of stats.. On what basis
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 06:04:44 PM
I have provided a cite that the Court of Appeal considered the dog alerts to be a valuable piece of evidence. Can you provide a cite, other than the obviously upset family, that the Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission considered the dog’s evidence ‘unreliable’ ?

I think that's, a pretty damning condemnation of the alerts.. Don't you
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 06:08:38 PM
You have criticised my knowledge of stats.. On what basis
From the little that you've said on the matter.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 06:12:06 PM
From the little that you've said on the matter.

If I've said little it's not enough  for you to form an opinion... What particularly
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 06:13:35 PM
I think that's, a pretty damning condemnation of the alerts.. Don't you

So no cite ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 06:14:09 PM
If I've said little it's not enough  for you to form an opinion... What particularly
I can form an opinion whenever I like.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 07, 2018, 06:20:14 PM
Abduction can be proved on the balance of possibilities, taking all the evidence into account.. Imo

I don't think abduction can be proved at all.  The only reliable evidence which exists indicates the child left the apartment under her own steam which might very well have resulted in an abduction thereafter.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 07, 2018, 06:24:27 PM
I have provided a cite that the Court of Appeal considered the dog alerts to be a valuable piece of evidence. Can you provide a cite, other than the obviously upset family, that the Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission considered the dog’s evidence ‘unreliable’ ?

I don't think anyone should pay much attention to the SCCRC as they have no credibility whatsoever IMHO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 06:33:19 PM
I don't think abduction can be proved at all.  The only reliable evidence which exists indicates the child left the apartment under her own steam which might very well have resulted in an abduction thereafter.

Which would make mccanns, totally responsible.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 06:38:55 PM
I don't think abduction can be proved at all.  The only reliable evidence which exists indicates the child left the apartment under her own steam which might very well have resulted in an abduction thereafter.

that isnt what the portugues police...who had all the information concluded in their final report....they said that was highly unlikely
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 06:40:10 PM
So no cite ?

The family are quoting the report...if you want to speculate they are lying...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 06:40:52 PM
I can form an opinion whenever I like.

so can I ..and I have formed an opinion of you...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 07, 2018, 06:43:57 PM
Which would make mccanns, totally responsible.

That's like blaming US parents for sending their children to school knowing full well they could be shot by a deranged gunman. The risk is high - 17 school shootings in the first 45 days of 2018.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 07, 2018, 06:47:07 PM
That's like blaming US parents for sending their children to school knowing full well they could be shot by a deranged gunman. The risk is high - 17 school shootings in the first 45 days of 2018.

Nothing like it at all. In the shooting cases there are identified culprits, whereas there is no identified culprit in the McCann case.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 07, 2018, 06:51:15 PM
Nothing like it at all. In the shooting cases there are identified culprits, whereas there is no identified culprit in the McCann case.

So the risk taken is not negligence when a perpetrator can be identified & brought to justice, despite the end result to the victim?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 06:53:50 PM
I don't misunderstand anything.... Harrison went further and said no inferences could be drawn from the alerts..
I know, what no evidential  value or reliability mean

 no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

What do you think that means?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 06:59:43 PM
That's like blaming US parents for sending their children to school knowing full well they could be shot by a deranged gunman. The risk is high - 17 school shootings in the first 45 days of 2018.

Leaving a child home alone is a parental choice. Sending children to school is a legal requirement.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 07:01:33 PM
Leaving a child home alone is a parental choice. Sending children to school is a legal requirement.

sending a child to school is not  a legal requirement...just being picky
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 07:03:31 PM
no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

What do you think that means?
it means these alerts have no relaibility as evidence....what do you think it means
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 07:13:38 PM
sending a child to school is not  a legal requirement...just being picky

Well, they can be educated at home if someone really wants to take on that responsibility. They must be educated by law, which for most children involves attending school.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 07:14:23 PM
Well, they can be educated at home if someone really wants to take on that responsibility. They must be educated by law, which for most children involves attending school.

just pointing out your mistake
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 07, 2018, 07:15:53 PM
I've just read some of this thread,

So what is the evidence for abduction?
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=4142.0

The evidence appears to be the fact that Maddie is missing & 'not suspects'.

I noticed some posts by ferryman in there, whatever happened to him?

He was given the bums rush for refusing to obey orders about libeling folk I believe.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 07:17:14 PM
He was given the bums rush for refusing to obey orders about libeling folk I believe.

yes posters need to take care who they libel.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 07:25:37 PM
it means these alerts have no relaibility as evidence....what do you think it means

Can you explain what the rest of the sentence means? Is the word 'unless' significant, do you think?

"unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence."
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 07:33:07 PM
Can you explain what the rest of the sentence means? Is the word 'unless' significant, do you think?

"unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence."

its clear...he also said this..

Forensic confirmation and specialized investigation methods will determine the reasons and the suspicions. In order to undoubtedly affirm there must be a confirmation of the alert signals made by the dog.

thats forensic confirmation
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 07, 2018, 08:04:31 PM
That's like blaming US parents for sending their children to school knowing full well they could be shot by a deranged gunman. The risk is high - 17 school shootings in the first 45 days of 2018.


The mccanns left there children in an unlocked room,.

totally out of order comparing it with what you have.

Those parents would be victims, of tragic events.

The mccanns left there children, to go to a tapas - ,leaving maddie to face a tragic event

The true victim, in all this.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 08:13:40 PM

The mccanns left there children in an unlocked room,.

totally out of order comparing it with what you have.

Those parents would be victims, of tragic events.

The mccanns left there children, to go to a tapas - ,leaving maddie to face a tragic event

The true victim, in all this.

If Maddie was abducted as i believe she was...then Maddie and all her family are victims...show some compassion
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 07, 2018, 08:30:42 PM
that isnt what the portugues police...who had all the information concluded in their final report....they said that was highly unlikely

Seems they don't have much faith in their own sniffer dogs then.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 08:32:24 PM
its clear...he also said this..

Forensic confirmation and specialized investigation methods will determine the reasons and the suspicions. In order to undoubtedly affirm there must be a confirmation of the alert signals made by the dog.

thats forensic confirmation

So you agree that the use of the word 'unless' means that when there is corroborating evidence the alerts do have evidential or intelligence reliability.
 
no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

I do wish you would provide cites.

You seem to have concentrated on 'forensic confirmation' and ignored 'specialized investigation methods'. What do you think they are?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 09:00:31 PM
So you agree that the use of the word 'unless' means that when there is corroborating evidence the alerts do have evidential or intelligence reliability.
 
no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

I do wish you would provide cites.

You seem to have concentrated on 'forensic confirmation' and ignored 'specialized investigation methods'. What do you think they are?
"We have our methods of extracting the truth out of you" - 'specialized investigation methods' something like trickery will do it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:11:14 PM
So you agree that the use of the word 'unless' means that when there is corroborating evidence the alerts do have evidential or intelligence reliability.
 
no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

I do wish you would provide cites.

You seem to have concentrated on 'forensic confirmation' and ignored 'specialized investigation methods'. What do you think they are?

It's your turn.. What do you think they are..grime also says this..

. The signals of an alert are only just that. Once the alert has been given by the dog, it is up to the investigator/forensic scientist to locate, identify and scientifically provide the evidence of DNA, etc.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 09:27:59 PM
It's your turn.. What do you think they are..grime also says this..

. The signals of an alert are only just that. Once the alert has been given by the dog, it is up to the investigator/forensic scientist to locate, identify and scientifically provide the evidence of DNA, etc.

In my opinion the best way for someone to learn is to do the research themselves. I could tell you and you would continue to ignore the things that were said which don't suit your opinion.

Please provide cites for your quotes.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:31:27 PM
In my opinion the best way for someone to learn is to do the research themselves. I could tell you and you would continue to ignore the things that were said which don't suit your opinion.

Please provide cites for your quotes.
have you not seen them before ..grimes interview...grimes rogatory. you think you could tell me...I think you cannot...so it is simply your opinion. You and others are ignoring GRimes and Harrisons reservations on the alerts because they do not suit your opinion
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:33:39 PM
from Grimes rogatory...

'Based upon your experience with the dogs, can you specify whether the positive signals given by them have always matched the scientific results''
I cannot. In this case, for example, not all the alert signals have been investigated by the appropriate agencies in order to provide forensic comparations, in spite of indications to the contrary. It also should be taken into account that the procedures for forensic testing are still less discriminating than the system of dogs' smell.
During training, the dogs are barely rewarded for positive alert signals regarding targets of known substances.

again grime talks about forensic corroboration
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 09:37:47 PM
The family are quoting the report...if you want to speculate they are lying...

Unless we actually see the report there is no way of knowing. What we do know however is that Gilroy is, despite the review, still in prison convicted of  murder, which rather suggests that the dog’s alerts were absolutely reliable.


 It is interesting though that the only individuals who ever claim that cadaver dogs are unreliable are always the ones who are on the wrong end of an alert.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:41:23 PM
Unless we actually see the report there is no way of knowing. What we do know however is that Gilroy is, despite the review, still in prison convicted of  murder, which rather suggests that the dog’s alerts were absolutely reliable.


 It is interesting though that the only individuals who ever claim that cadaver dogs are unreliable are always the ones who are on the wrong end of an alert.

a bit like the only poeple who claim a miscarriage of justice are those who have been convicted ...are they all wrong too...


suggests is the right word ...no confirmation...and ther is evidence that the alerts were considered unreliable
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 09:50:58 PM
a bit like the only poeple who claim a miscarriage of justice are those who have been convicted ...are they all wrong too...


suggests is the right word ...no confirmation...and ther is evidence that the alerts were considered unreliable

With no body the only evidence that Suzanne is dead are the dog alerts and Gilroy is still wallowing in prison charged with murder. You do the maths.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 09:54:38 PM
With no body the only evidence that Suzanne is dead are the dog alerts and Gilroy is still wallowing in prison charged with murder. You do the maths.
on that basis ..the only evidence that maddie is dead are the alerts....once again you show how litle you understand the evidence..keep on proving me right
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 10:04:48 PM
With no body the only evidence that Suzanne is dead are the dog alerts and Gilroy is still wallowing in prison charged with murder. You do the maths.
Do you know this case Davel.  Was the conviction based on dog alerts?  What is the name of the case?
https://youtu.be/CA-C-2yU2D0
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 10:09:28 PM
on that basis ..the only evidence that maddie is dead are the alerts....once again you show how litle you understand the evidence..keep on proving me right

Nail on the head Davel. Gilroy was convicted of Suzanne’s murder. The only evidence that she is dead was the cadaver dog alerts. The Court of Appeal upheld the conviction. The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission closed the case therefore they could not have found the dogs unreliable as there would then be no proof of death and no case to answer.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:12:45 PM
Do you know this case Davel.  Was the conviction based on dog alerts?  What is the name of the case?

of course I know the case ...the conviction was not based on the dog alerts...there was lots of evidence to convict..the accused  family launched an appeal and the conviction was upheld...but theinvestigating body ruled the dog alert evidence was unreliable...but as there was so much other evidence it didnt matter...david Gilroy
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:14:59 PM
Nail on the head Davel. Gilroy was convicted of Suzanne’s murder. The only evidence that she is dead was the cadaver dog alerts. The Court of Appeal upheld the conviction. The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission closed the case therefore they could not have found the dogs unreliable as there would then be no proof of death and no case to answer.

according to the family the only criticism by the SCCRC was that the dog evidence was unreliable..if you think the only evidence she is dead are the alerts then you really do not understand the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 10:21:57 PM
of course I know the case ...the conviction was not based on the dog alerts...there was lots of evidence to convict..the accused  family launched an appeal and the conviction was upheld...but theinvestigating body ruled the dog alert evidence was unreliable...but as there was so much other evidence it didnt matter...david Gilroy

Did you see this which I posted a couple of days ago from Crimewatch ?   ‘https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CA-C-2yU2D0

It claims ‘The key evidence came from police dogs’

The rest of the case was circumstantial, the dog alerts was the key piece of evidence that drew the other strands together into a cohesive case of murder.

BTW I didn’t think you were claiming that the dog’s were unreliable in the McCann case but merely that their alerts carried no weight.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:26:18 PM
Did you see this which I posted a couple of days ago from Crimewatch ?   ‘https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CA-C-2yU2D0

It claims ‘The key evidence came from police dogs’

The rest of the case was circumstantial, the dog alerts was the key piece of evidence that drew the other strands together into a cohesive case of murder.

BTW I didn’t think you were claiming that the dog’s were unreliable in the McCann case but merely that their alerts carried no weight.

cite for the dog alerts were the key piece of evidence ,,,,its just your opinion....and its my opinion that the alerts in the mccann case..based on common sense...the way the dogs were repeatedly called back...the testimony of grime and harrison...are unreliable in this case
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 10:26:32 PM
of course I know the case ...the conviction was not based on the dog alerts...there was lots of evidence to convict..the accused  family launched an appeal and the conviction was upheld...but theinvestigating body ruled the dog alert evidence was unreliable...but as there was so much other evidence it didnt matter...david Gilroy
https://youtu.be/CA-C-2yU2D0  CRIMEWATCH. How they CAUGHT David Gilroy- Suzanne Pilley.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:29:25 PM
https://youtu.be/CA-C-2yU2D0  CRIMEWATCH. How they CAUGHT David Gilroy- Suzanne Pilley.

are you aware of the apeal to the SCCRC...obviuosly not

the SCCRC ruled that the dog alerts were unreliable but therewas so much other evidence the conviction stood
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 10:38:13 PM
cite for the dog alerts were the key piece of evidence ,,,,its just your opinion....and its my opinion that the alerts in the mccann case..based on common sense...the way the dogs were repeatedly called back...the testimony of grime and harrison...are unreliable in this case

Have you watched the video ? It is not my opinion that the dog alerts were the key piece of evidence, I’m quoting from the programme.

Your last sentence ( actually can you write in proper sentences with proper punctuation ) is very close to libel. Grime called Eddie back because he recognised his change in behaviour around places and objects related to the McCanns.

It’s odd how you suggest that Grime is unprofessional on the one hand yet quote him as if his word is law on the other.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 10:41:17 PM
are you aware of the apeal to the SCCRC...obviuosly not

the SCCRC ruled that the dog alerts were unreliable but therewas so much other evidence the conviction stood

Until you post exactly what the SCCRC said we have only a distraught family’s, who may have misunderstood, word for it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:41:27 PM
Have you watched the video ? It is not my opinion that the dog alerts were the key piece of evidence, I’m quoting from the programme.

Your last sentence ( actually can you write in proper sentences with proper punctuation ) is very close to libel. Grime called Eddie back because he recognised his change in behaviour around places and objects related to the McCanns.

It’s odd how you suggest that Grime is unprofessional on the one hand yet quote him as if his word is law on the other.

I have never sugested grime was unprofessional...my posts are all here...you again obviously dont understand the evidence.. Grime repeatedly called eddie back to places he had ignored.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 10:42:54 PM
Have you watched the video ? It is not my opinion that the dog alerts were the key piece of evidence, I’m quoting from the programme.

Your last sentence ( actually can you write in proper sentences with proper punctuation ) is very close to libel. Grime called Eddie back because he recognised his change in behaviour around places and objects related to the McCanns.

It’s odd how you suggest that Grime is unprofessional on the one hand yet quote him as if his word is law on the other.
Do you accept what Davel says here:  "are you aware of the apeal to the SCCRC...obviuosly not

the SCCRC ruled that the dog alerts were unreliable but there was so much other evidence the conviction stood"?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 10:44:59 PM
I have never sugested grime was unprofessional...my posts are all here he is welcome to sue me if he wishes..you again obviously dont understand the evidence

You implied Grime  dishonestly brought his dog’s back again and again to objects that belonged to the McCanns even though Eddie showed no interest. Is that correct ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 10:48:48 PM
You implied Grime  dishonestly brought his dog’s back again and again to objects that belonged to the McCanns even though Eddie showed no interest. Is that correct ?
It was Davel's opinion.  He is not claiming it was a fact.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:49:57 PM
You implied Grime  dishonestly brought his dog’s back again and again to objects that belonged to the McCanns even though Eddie showed no interest. Is that correct ?

no its not correct and again shows your poor understanding...where have  mentioned dishonesty..absolutely pathetic observation of the written word...you are starting to look somewhat foolish...

grime certainly called the dogs back ...that is a fact...but i dont consider his actions dishonest...as i have posted previously
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:50:40 PM
It was Davel's opinion.  He is not claiming it was a fact.

it is a fact rob...as evidenced in the files
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 10:52:41 PM
no its not correct and again shows your poor understanding...where have  mentioned dishonesty..absolutely pathetic observation of the written word...you are starting to look somewhat foolish...

grime certainly called the dogs back ...that is a fact...but i dont consider his actions dishonest...as i have posted previously
Do you think there was absolutely nothing wrong with the dog handling techniques?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 10:52:59 PM
Do you think there was absolutely nothing wrong with the dog handling techniques?

not at all...Ive posted all this before
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 10:55:38 PM
no its not correct and again shows your poor understanding...where have  mentioned dishonesty..absolutely pathetic observation of the written word...you are starting to look somewhat foolish...

grime certainly called the dogs back ...that is a fact...but i dont consider his actions dishonest...as i have posted previously

According to you he knew he was skewing the evidence when he called Eddie back even though he had previously shown no interest. What else would you call it but dishonest?

Tell you what Davel you explain to me how you think Grime could honestly bring a cadaver dog back to objects he knew the dog had shown no interest in ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 10:58:19 PM
According to you he knew he was skewing the evidence when he called Eddie back even though he had previously shown no interest. What else would you call it but dishonest?

Tell you what Davel you explain to me how you think Grime could honestly bring a cadaver dog back to objects he knew the dog had shown no interest in ?
Simply needed a double check.  Are you saying dogs lie?     
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:00:11 PM
According to you he knew he was skewing the evidence when he called Eddie back even though he had previously shown no interest. What else would you call it but dishonest?

Tell you what Davel you explain to me how you think Grime could honestly bring a cadaver dog back to objects he knew the dog had shown no interest in ?

very simple ...if there was evidence to be found it would be in5a...nothing should be missed...therefore it was important the dogswere repeatedly brought back to examine sites grime felt were important..but nothing of any significance was found

and he wasnt skewing evidence because the alerts themselves are not evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:01:01 PM
Simply needed a double check.

or even triple check...it was important no evidence was  missed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2018, 11:01:55 PM
have you not seen them before ..grimes interview...grimes rogatory. you think you could tell me...I think you cannot...so it is simply your opinion. You and others are ignoring GRimes and Harrisons reservations on the alerts because they do not suit your opinion

It is against forum protocol to provide quotes without cites.

You think my understanding of the nature of 'specialized investigation methods' is just my opinion? How do you know when you don't know what my understanding is? Talk about illogical!

I have explained the reservations, it's you who have ignored the rest of what was said because it doesn't support your opinions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:02:53 PM
It is against forum protocol to provide quotes without cites.

You think my understanding of the nature of 'specialized investigation methods' is just my opinion? How do you know when you don't know what my understanding is? Talk about illogical!

I have explained the reservations, it's you who have ignored the rest of what was said because it doesn't support your opinions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:04:12 PM
It is against forum protocol to provide quotes without cites.

You think my understanding of the nature of 'specialized investigation methods' is just my opinion? How do you know when you don't know what my understanding is? Talk about illogical!

I have explained the reservations, it's you who have ignored the rest of what was said because it doesn't support your opinions.

I said I think...not that I know...it is you who are illogical..as is the rest of your post
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:07:29 PM
Grime triple checked and still found no evidence...he was careful to state had found no evidence...yet those who misunderstand think he has grounds to sue me..it shows how little they understand
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2018, 11:08:23 PM
very simple ...if there was evidence to be found it would be in5a...nothing should be missed...therefore it was important the dogswere repeatedly brought back to examine sites grime felt were important..but nothing of any significance was found

and he wasnt skewing evidence because the alerts themselves are not evidence

Why did Grime consider the sites important if Eddie was showing no interest ? Further why did Eddie alert if there was nothing of interest in the apartment?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:14:53 PM
Why did Grime consider the sites important if Eddie was showing no interest ? Further why did Eddie alert if there was nothing of interest in the apartment?

why did Grime think 5a was imortant... I think most sensible people would understand why...why did eddie alert...have there been any studies on cadaver dogs where they are repeatedly encouraged...I have my opinions but without proper scientific studies...and there are none,...we do not have a reliable answer
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 11:16:15 PM
or even triple check...it was important no evidence was  missed
As in sites to find possible corroborating evidence after an alert.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 07, 2018, 11:21:26 PM
As in sites to find possible corroborating evidence after an alert.

the best cadaver dogs in the world...found nothing.

and that is a FACT IMO...that no one can dispute
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 07, 2018, 11:46:10 PM
the best cadaver dogs in the world...found nothing.

and that is a FACT ...that no one can dispute
The dogs did their job they alerted or stayed quiet if there was nothing to signal on.  The dogs are not looking for  evidence.  You can't say they found nothing for that is not their job but to locate an area of alert.  But if it is in the air and the air moves there is no actual location from which to take samples. 
Keela pointed actual spots to take the samples from but not so much with Eddie.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 07:39:18 AM
are you aware of the apeal to the SCCRC...obviuosly not

the SCCRC ruled that the dog alerts were unreliable but therewas so much other evidence the conviction stood

Your ability to take quotes and change them to suit your agenda is fascinating. The Gilroy family said;

One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.
http://www.gilroyfamily.info/news.asp

So the SCCRC never said the dog alerts were unreliable, they said the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.

The interesting point is that the dog handler's evidence was admissible in court.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 07:52:29 AM
The dogs did their job they alerted or stayed quiet if there was nothing to signal on.  The dogs are not looking for  evidence.  You can't say they found nothing for that is not their job but to locate an area of alert.  But if it is in the air and the air moves there is no actual location from which to take samples. 
Keela pointed actual spots to take the samples from but not so much with Eddie.

According to grime... But what does he know... He trains dogs to help recover evidence... That's their job..
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 08, 2018, 08:17:55 AM
If Maddie was abducted as i believe she was...then Maddie and all her family are victims...show some compassion

You ask me to show compassion , on your belief.

I Don't believe, maddie was abducted.

The true victim is maddie.

The mccanns are victims of there own actions.

Well its a fact, you cant misunderstand evidence of abduction - because there isn't any.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 08:19:04 AM
You ask me to show compassion , on your belief.

I Don't believe, maddie was abducted.

The true victim is maddie.

The mccanns are victims of there own actions.

Well its a fact, you cant misunderstand evidence of abduction - because there isn't any.

so if abduction was proved...would you then feel some compassion towards the mccanns
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 08:29:38 AM
Your ability to take quotes and change them to suit your agenda is fascinating. The Gilroy family said;

One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.
http://www.gilroyfamily.info/news.asp

So the SCCRC never said the dog alerts were unreliable, they said the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.

The interesting point is that the dog handler's evidence was admissible in court.

The SCCRC ruled that the evidence given re the dog alerts was unreliable....it has been discussed before that for some reason the alerts are allowed as evidence in scotland
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 08:45:59 AM
Unless we actually see the report there is no way of knowing. What we do know however is that Gilroy is, despite the review, still in prison convicted of  murder, which rather suggests that the dog’s alerts were absolutely reliable.


 It is interesting though that the only individuals who ever claim that cadaver dogs are unreliable are always the ones who are on the wrong end of an alert.

In this case they found her body. 

This is interesting -   

PC Thompson said the dog gave "positive indications" of a smell of decomposing human remains or blood in the building which housed IML during the probe.

OR BLOOD    you see a cadaver dog can smell the scent of blood even when there is no blood to find.   Which was my point in the 5a bedroom,   Eddie could have smelt blood which had been in the room,  thought it may not have been a body,  it could have been blood on clothing or someone could have had a nose bleed,  it could even have been blood in fertiliser used on the garden and walked into the grout of the tiles.   Three families stayed in 5a after the McCann's.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 08:48:44 AM
so if abduction was proved...would you then feel some compassion towards the mccanns

About as much as you felt for Amaral when he was cleared of libel, I would imagine.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 08:50:07 AM
About as much as you felt for Amaral when he was cleared of libel, I would imagine.

to compare the disappearance of maddie with amarals libel case is crass in the extreme
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 08, 2018, 08:58:31 AM
so if abduction was proved...would you then feel some compassion towards the mccanns

Hard question really, as i have never thought maddie was abducted since week 1


Not compassion, but i would feel some regret of what i have said about them -  i would think

If i had thought maddie...was abducted... i would never have got involved with this case.

I could not fight the corner of the mccanns... who brought this on themselves.

My compassion lies 100% with maddie.

How would you feel... if there was no abduction, and the mccanns were involved. [



Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 08, 2018, 08:59:02 AM
so if abduction was proved...would you then feel some compassion towards the mccanns

As if abduction will ever be proven.
I don't normally use smileys but  @)(++(* to that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 09:03:00 AM
Hard question really, as i have never thought maddie was abducted since week 1


Not compassion, but i would feel some regret of what i have said about them -  i would think

If i had thought maddie...was abducted... i would never have got involved with this case.

I could not fight the corner of the mccanns... who brought this on themselves.

My compassion lies 100% with maddie.

How would you feel... if there was no abduction, and the mccanns were involved. [

If it was shown the mccanns knew what happenned and had concealed evidece...started a fraudulent fund...deceived everyone...I think they should be jailed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Erngath on March 08, 2018, 09:23:28 AM
Hard question really, as i have never thought maddie was abducted since week 1


Not compassion, but i would feel some regret of what i have said about them -  i would think

If i had thought maddie...was abducted... i would never have got involved with this case.

I could not fight the corner of the mccanns... who brought this on themselves.

My compassion lies 100% with maddie.

How would you feel... if there was no abduction, and the mccanns were involved. [




And what of your feelings towards the person who abducted Madeleine?
Would your antipathy towards the McCanns lessen?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 09:25:17 AM
Hard question really, as i have never thought maddie was abducted since week 1


Not compassion, but i would feel some regret of what i have said about them -  i would think

If i had thought maddie...was abducted... i would never have got involved with this case.

I could not fight the corner of the mccanns... who brought this on themselves.

My compassion lies 100% with maddie.

How would you feel... if there was no abduction, and the mccanns were involved. [

many poeple suffer through their own mistakes....i still feel sympathy for them
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 09:28:14 AM
The SCCRC ruled that the evidence given re the dog alerts was unreliable....it has been discussed before that for some reason the alerts are allowed as evidence in scotland

The evidence given by the dog handler. Was it her evidence re: the alerts? Was it her evidence re: training? Was it how she used the dog?

Your assumption that they were unhappy with the alerts is an unjustified assumption in my opinion. It wasn't 'alerts' that were 'allowed as evidence' it was the testimony of a police dog handler. Expert witness testimony is allowed in any court, not just those in Scotland.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 09:34:10 AM
The evidence given by the dog handler. Was it her evidence re: the alerts? Was it her evidence re: training? Was it how she used the dog?

Your assumption that they were unhappy with the alerts is an unjustified assumption in my opinion. It wasn't 'alerts' that were 'allowed as evidence' it was the testimony of a police dog handler. Expert witness testimony is allowed in any court, not just those in Scotland.

It seems you are simply trying to find an excuse for the fact her evidence was criticised
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 09:45:16 AM
You implied Grime  dishonestly brought his dog’s back again and again to objects that belonged to the McCanns even though Eddie showed no interest. Is that correct ?

Dishonestly?   where did you get that from?    It is obvious from the video's that Grime brought Eddie back again and again.   He knew he was in 5a and he wanted Eddie to have a really good search.

In one of the other apartments,   Eddie is trying to get at something under the bed,   Grime lifts the bed up and looks to see what is under it then puts it back down again.   Eddie still tries to get under the bed and Grime tells him to leave it.   Now why?    why didn't he let Eddie sniff what he wanted to get at?   If it had been 5a no doubt he would have.

Why did Grime chose Cuddle Cat to hide in the cupboard?    Eddie had ignored it,  why didn't he give it to Eddie to sniff again?   Why put it in the cupboard. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 09:47:37 AM
The evidence given by the dog handler. Was it her evidence re: the alerts? Was it her evidence re: training? Was it how she used the dog?

Your assumption that they were unhappy with the alerts is an unjustified assumption in my opinion. It wasn't 'alerts' that were 'allowed as evidence' it was the testimony of a police dog handler. Expert witness testimony is allowed in any court, not just those in Scotland.

Maybe they were unhappy with the alerts as the handler said the dog smelt cadaver scent or blood.    There could have been an innocent reason why blood was smelt in that room.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 09:49:15 AM
It seems you are simply trying to find an excuse for the fact her evidence was criticised

David Gilroy was caught and convicted because of painstaking and detailed work by the police. Paying close attention to detail was a specialism of mine in my work; if something needed analysing in detail I used to get the job.

You make assumptions without having evidence to support them. I try very hard not to.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 09:55:21 AM
Maybe they were unhappy with the alerts as the handler said the dog smelt cadaver scent or blood.    There could have been an innocent reason why blood was smelt in that room.

Nobody knows unless they have the report, do they? What's the point of guessing?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 09:56:12 AM
In this case they found her body. 

This is interesting -   

PC Thompson said the dog gave "positive indications" of a smell of decomposing human remains or blood in the building which housed IML during the probe.

OR BLOOD    you see a cadaver dog can smell the scent of blood even when there is no blood to find.   Which was my point in the 5a bedroom,   Eddie could have smelt blood which had been in the room,  thought it may not have been a body,  it could have been blood on clothing or someone could have had a nose bleed,  it could even have been blood in fertiliser used on the garden and walked into the grout of the tiles.   Three families stayed in 5a after the McCann's.

Could you please provide a proper cite for the case quoted above ? Was a blood dog also used in the case ?

You have provided no evidence that any cadaver dog alerts to just the scent of blood. You must have found one if you believe that to be the case so please let the rest of us read it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 09:59:36 AM
Dishonestly?   where did you get that from?    It is obvious from the video's that Grime brought Eddie back again and again.   He knew he was in 5a and he wanted Eddie to have a really good search.

In one of the other apartments,   Eddie is trying to get at something under the bed,   Grime lifts the bed up and looks to see what is under it then puts it back down again.   Eddie still tries to get under the bed and Grime tells him to leave it.   Now why?    why didn't he let Eddie sniff what he wanted to get at?   If it had been 5a no doubt he would have.

Why did Grime chose Cuddle Cat to hide in the cupboard?    Eddie had ignored it,  why didn't he give it to Eddie to sniff again?   Why put it in the cupboard.

You baulk at the word dishonesty then go on to accuse Grime of, at the least incompetence, amend at the harshes downright dishonesty.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 08, 2018, 10:09:38 AM
Nobody knows unless they have the report, do they? What's the point of guessing?

Because you can then make leaps of faith to attempt to prove a point. IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:21:02 AM
Could you please provide a proper cite for the case quoted above ? Was a blood dog also used in the case ?

You have provided no evidence that any cadaver dog alerts to just the scent of blood. You must have found one if you believe that to be the case so please let the rest of us read it.

Eddie alerted to the scent of blood from the keyfob and behind the sofa.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:22:26 AM
You baulk at the word dishonesty then go on to accuse Grime of, at the least incompetence, amend at the harshes downright dishonesty.

They are just questions,   can you answer them?

You accuse the McCann's of being dishonest,   you don't seem to mind doing that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 10:27:35 AM
Eddie alerted to the scent of blood from the keyfob and behind the sofa.

There was cellular material found on both the key fob and behind the sofa. He did not alert to simply the scent.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:27:49 AM
Could you please provide a proper cite for the case quoted above ? Was a blood dog also used in the case ?

You have provided no evidence that any cadaver dog alerts to just the scent of blood. You must have found one if you believe that to be the case so please let the rest of us read it.

I took the quote from the Gilroy case.  The dog was a cadaver dog,  the handler said the dog alerted to the scent of cadaver or blood,  so that dog would alert to just blood.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 10:28:38 AM
You baulk at the word dishonesty then go on to accuse Grime of, at the least incompetence, amend at the harshes downright dishonesty.

I dont accuse grime of incompetence either..you are confused
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 10:29:41 AM
They are just questions,   can you answer them?

You accuse the McCann's of being dishonest,   you don't seem to mind doing that.

They are not just questions. They suggest that you think there is the possibility that Grime was being dishonest.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 10:30:23 AM
I dont accuse grime of incompetence either..you are confused

I’m afraid you did and I am anything but confused.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:31:10 AM
Faithlilly here is where I found the quote. - 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-17270117
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 10:31:26 AM
David Gilroy was caught and convicted because of painstaking and detailed work by the police. Paying close attention to detail was a specialism of mine in my work; if something needed analysing in detail I used to get the job.

You make assumptions without having evidence to support them. I try very hard not to.

attention to detail is somethng I deal with every day...assessing evidence is something I deal with everyday and is something I have been taught to do...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:31:58 AM
They are not just questions. They suggest that you think there is the possibility that Grime was being dishonest.

They are questions that I find puzzling,  maybe you can answer them.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 10:32:25 AM
I’m afraid you did and I am anything but confused.

then provide the cite where I did...you are not only confused but wrong
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 10:32:53 AM
Eddie alerted to the scent of blood from the keyfob and behind the sofa.

Is that a fact or an opinion? How do you know what Eddie was alerting to?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 10:34:41 AM
Faithlilly here is where I found the quote. - 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-17270117

Do you think that Suzanne is still alive ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:35:05 AM
Is that a fact or an opinion? How do you know what Eddie was alerting to?

What else was there?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
What else was there?

Cellular matter.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:38:37 AM
Cellular matter.

A soup of DNA from up to five people,  hardly cadaver scent is it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 10:40:36 AM
Is that a fact or an opinion? How do you know what Eddie was alerting to?
Does Martin Grime say, or does he just say Eddie alert to the key fob?
And since there was blood found on the key fob.  Adding 2 and 2 seems reasonable.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 10:40:43 AM
Is that a fact or an opinion? How do you know what Eddie was alerting to?

no one knows...thats the whole point..even grime doesnt know
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 08, 2018, 10:42:23 AM
no one knows...thats the whole point..even grime doesnt know

See post #475
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 10:55:21 AM
Do you think that Suzanne is still alive ?

They found her body.

There was other evidence against Gilroy.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 11:00:03 AM
See post #475

that wasnt my post
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 08, 2018, 11:00:36 AM
Does Martin Grime say, or does he just say Eddie alert to the key fob?
And since there was blood found on the key fob.  Adding 2 and 2 seems reasonable.

No, there was no formal identification of blood by the FSS. Eddie alerted to the fob, and as Keela also alerted to it, it was therefore assumed to have been blood.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2018, 11:33:31 AM
They found her body.

There was other evidence against Gilroy.
Wiki says they never found her body.

There was other evidence against Gilroy, including the dog alerts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Suzanne_Pilley
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 11:44:01 AM
Wiki says they never found her body.

There was other evidence against Gilroy, including the dog alerts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Suzanne_Pilley

lots of evidence...but  the evidence provided by the dog handler was deemed unreliable
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2018, 12:10:42 PM
Wiki says they never found her body.

There was other evidence against Gilroy, including the dog alerts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Suzanne_Pilley

No,  they haven't found her body,  my mistake thank you SIL.    I saw an headline from last year saying her body had been found,  there was a body found in a wood, but it wasn't her,  misleading headline.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2018, 12:43:19 PM
attention to detail is somethng I deal with every day...assessing evidence is something I deal with everyday and is something I have been taught to do...

Looking at the evidence on this thread, your attention to detail leaves a lot to be desired in my opinion. If you were careful about details this;

 They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.” (your post #376)

wouldn't have become this;

the SCCRC ruled that the dog alerts were unreliable (your post #431)

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 08, 2018, 12:45:30 PM
that wasnt my post

Didn’t say it was.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 12:49:23 PM
Didn’t say it was.

didnt say you did..i dont see its relevant to my post
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 12:51:23 PM
A soup of DNA from up to five people,  hardly cadaver scent is it?

But certainly blood identified as Gerry's on the key fob.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 12:54:42 PM
But certainly blood identified as Gerry's on the key fob.

add that to  the cadaver alerts...the statistics from yvonne martin and youve got a pretty strong case
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2018, 01:05:23 PM
lots of evidence...but  the evidence provided by the dog handler was deemed unreliable
Presumably you have a cite?

Given that it is relevant.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 01:06:13 PM
Presumably you have a cite?

Given that it is relevant.

it was given yesterday
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 08, 2018, 01:14:47 PM
But certainly blood identified as Gerry's on the key fob.

It wasn't though.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 01:16:47 PM
It wasn't though.

Yes it was.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2018, 01:46:19 PM
it was given yesterday
If you are unwilling to provide or re-provide a simple cite, then I am committing your comment to the general dustbin of rubbish.

I.e. I have no reason to believe that Buster's alerts were dismissed by the court.  This is based on the information from the BBC and Wiki that this did not happen.

Over to you.  Cite?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 01:58:25 PM
If you are unwilling to provide or re-provide a simple cite, then I am committing your comment to the general dustbin of rubbish.

I.e. I have no reason to believe that Buster's alerts were dismissed by the court.  This is based on the information from the BBC and Wiki that this did not happen.

Over to you.  Cite?
Put in your dustbin if you like... I dont really care.. The cite was provided yesterday... Read back... It's forum rules to provide a cite... I have done
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 02:01:26 PM
For those who have followed the thread I've sent an email to see if I can get a copy of the review where the evidence Re the digs was deemed unreliable
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 08, 2018, 02:03:54 PM
Yes it was.

Could you point out the relevant page in the FSS report, then, in case I missed it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2018, 02:08:16 PM
Put in your dustbin if you like... I dont really care.. The cite was provided yesterday... Read back... It's forum rules to provide a cite... I have done
I could re-read through 10 pages to see if you provided a cite.

The much-easier path is simply to provide your cite.  Go on, just do it.  It will only take you a moment.   *&(+(+
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 02:15:40 PM
I could re-read through 10 pages to see if you provided a cite.

The much-easier path is simply to provide your cite.  Go on, just do it.  It will only take you a moment.   *&(+(+
Post 376 I think
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2018, 02:52:04 PM
Post 376 I think
Many thanks for your link.   *&(+(+

https://www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-pilley-murder-killer-s-family-shocked-by-closure-of-review-1-4465183

What I understand from this is that the Gilroy family objected to the evidence re the dogs.  Is there anything solid that the Scottish court actually ruled out this testimony?

Otherwise this is groundhog day.  The McCanns claim the dogs are unreliable.  The Gilroys claim the dogs are unreliable. The McCanns are free.  David Gilroy is serving a life sentence.

Is there anything solid that the court rejected the evidence of the dogs, whilst still finding Gilroy's conviction was secure?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 02:59:16 PM
Many thanks for your link.   *&(+(+

https://www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-pilley-murder-killer-s-family-shocked-by-closure-of-review-1-4465183

What I understand from this is that the Gilroy family objected to the evidence re the dogs.  Is there anything solid that the Scottish court actually ruled out this testimony?

Otherwise this is groundhog day.  The McCanns claim the dogs are unreliable.  The Gilroys claim the dogs are unreliable. The McCanns are free.  David Gilroy is serving a life sentence.

Is there anything solid that the court rejected the evidence of the dogs, whilst still finding Gilroy's conviction was secure?

It was The SCRCC who criticised the dog evidence... Reprted byy the family... I've emailed the SCRCC for a copy of their review

And of course both Harrison and Grime have said that the uncomfirmed alerts are unreliable
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2018, 03:41:08 PM
It was The SCRCC who criticised the dog evidence... Reprted byy the family... I've emailed the SCRCC for a copy of their review

And of course both Harrison and Grime have said that the uncomfirmed alerts are unreliable
Please update us if you get a copy of the review.

Until then, it is a Gilroy family statement that...

Akin to, it is a McCann family statement that ...

Or a Clarence Mitchell statement that ...

Or a friend of the family said ...

Or an unnamed source close to the family said ...

Good luck with the SCRCC.  Genuinely.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 04:03:09 PM
Please update us if you get a copy of the review.

Until then, it is a Gilroy family statement that...

Akin to, it is a McCann family statement that ...

Or a Clarence Mitchell statement that ...

Or a friend of the family said ...

Or an unnamed source close to the family said ...

Good luck with the SCRCC.  Genuinely.

I take your point but I think there must be something  behind it... We will agree to disagree..
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 05:37:40 PM
Could you point out the relevant page in the FSS report, then, in case I missed it?

A low level incomplete DNA profile which matched the corresponding components in the DNA profile of Gerald McCann was obtained from cellular material on the key card (286C/2007-CRL(12)). This sample has not been sent for further testing using LCN DNA profiling tests.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 08, 2018, 06:44:08 PM
A low level incomplete DNA profile which matched the corresponding components in the DNA profile of Gerald McCann was obtained from cellular material on the key card (286C/2007-CRL(12)). This sample has not been sent for further testing using LCN DNA profiling tests.

Thanks, I'm aware of that. Where does it state that blood had been identified?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 06:54:53 PM
Thanks, I'm aware of that. Where does it state that blood had been identified?
Since Keela was trained to only alert to human blood in traces than can't be seen with the eye, we tend to call it "blood" even though we can't see it. 
Like I've read somewhere if a knife had been used and it had been wiped clean multiple times so there are no visible traces of blood left on it she will still alert to the knife.   I think we are entitle to say "she is still alerting to the traces of blood" but it can't be proven it was blood. 
Now Keela alerted to the key fob as well as Eddie.  Can you accept that Keela identified it as blood?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 07:51:25 PM
Since Keela was trained to only alert to human blood in traces than can't be seen with the eye, we tend to call it "blood" even though we can't see it. 
Like I've read somewhere if a knife had been used and it had been wiped clean multiple times so there are no visible traces of blood left on it she will still alert to the knife.   I think we are entitle to say "she is still alerting to the traces of blood" but it can't be proven it was blood. 
Now Keela alerted to the key fob as well as Eddie.  Can you accept that Keela identified it as blood?

As keela can alert to remains so small as not to be detectable by science... What was recovered may not be what she was, alerting to &%%6 &%%6
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 07:52:32 PM
Thanks, I'm aware of that. Where does it state that blood had been identified?

Eddie alerts to cadaver odour and blood. Eddie alerted to the key fob so he was either alerting to cadaver odour or blood. Agreed ? Cadaver odour is made up of volatile organic compounds, blood of cells. QED it can’t be cadaver odour.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 08:04:59 PM
Eddie alerts to cadaver odour and blood. Eddie alerted to the key fob so he was either alerting to cadaver odour or blood. Agreed ? Cadaver odour is made up of volatile organic compounds, blood of cells. QED it can’t be cadaver odour.

Could have been blood and cadaver odour on the key FOB... QED
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 08:09:52 PM
As keela can alert to remains so small as not to be detectable by science... What was recovered may not be what she was, alerting to &%%6 &%%6
Think about it just a little more please.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 08:28:14 PM
The Renault Scenic + its key were taken by the PJ on 6/8/2007.
on 7th August 2007
"At 04h51, it was verified that the dog 'marked' the area of a sandbox [bucket of sand] of the Fire
System where the car key had been concealed beneath the sand."
(http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P8/08_VOLUME_VIIIa_Page_2187.jpg)

On 8th August at lunchtime Joao Carlos returned the car (logically with key) to the McCanns)  - source Madeleine (KM book).

How did the key get sent to the FSS Birmingham for forensic testing if the McCanns had it back? Hire cars aren't rented out along with the spare key.


http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/EDDIE-KEELA.htm
Samples recovered in the car.

Between August 6th at 9.30pm and August 7th at 4am, the following samples were recovered in the grey Renault Scenic car.

snipped
9, 10 and 11: Hair

12: Car key

13: Control samples of seat fabric

All of these were handed over to Birmingham FSS for analyses.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 08:34:12 PM
Could have been blood and cadaver odour on the key FOB... QED

Could have been.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 08:39:25 PM
The Renault Scenic + its key were taken by the PJ on 6/8/2007.
on 7th August 2007
"At 04h51, it was verified that the dog 'marked' the area of a sandbox [bucket of sand] of the Fire
System where the car key had been concealed beneath the sand."
(http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P8/08_VOLUME_VIIIa_Page_2187.jpg)

On 8th August at lunchtime Joao Carlos returned the car (logically with key) to the McCanns).

How did the key get sent to the FSS Birmingham for forensic testing if the McCanns had it back? Hire cars aren't rented out along with the spare key.


http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/EDDIE-KEELA.htm
Samples recovered in the car.

Between August 6th at 9.30pm and August 7th at 4am, the following samples were recovered in the grey Renault Scenic car.

snipped
9, 10 and 11: Hair

12: Car key

13: Control samples of seat fabric

All of these were handed over to Birmingham FSS for analyses.

Shall we just stick to the point Misty ? Eddie does not alert to just the scent of blood without blood being present.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 08:43:46 PM
As keela can alert to remains so small as not to be detectable by science... What was recovered may not be what she was, alerting to &%%6 &%%6
Even a scientific test will have a degree of uncertainty.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 08:46:17 PM
Shall we just stick to the point Misty ? Eddie does not alert to just the scent of blood without blood being present.

I'm understanding the point of the argument as long as the correct key card was being tested by the FSS.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 08:46:56 PM
Could have been blood and cadaver odour on the key FOB... QED
There is no scientific test for cadaver odour.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 08:47:57 PM
I'm understanding the point of the argument as long as the correct key card was being tested by the FSS.

It had Gerry’s DNA on it so not sure the point you’re trying to make ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 08:49:43 PM
There is no scientific test for cadaver odour.

So nothing can be confirmed  without physical evidence... QEF
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 08:50:58 PM
It had Gerry’s DNA on it so not sure the pint you’re trying to make ?

The DNA sample was incomplete. Was it actually Gerry's?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 08:51:47 PM
I'm understanding the point of the argument as long as the correct key card was being tested by the FSS.
Was there ever a photo of the key and key card so we know what it was like?  Could the key be separated from the fob?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2018, 08:55:58 PM
Was there ever a photo of the key and key card so we know what it was like?  Could the key be separated from the fob?
What key card
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 08:58:16 PM
What key card
That is right where is a photo of the object in question, was it a key, a key fob or a key card or a key ring?  Did it ever feature on the video?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 09:03:33 PM
The DNA sample was incomplete. Was it actually Gerry's?


A low level incomplete DNA profile which matched the corresponding components in the DNA profile of Gerald McCann was obtained from cellular material on the key card (286C/2007-CRL(12)).

Let’s see. Either the cards got muddled and the card that was sent to the FSS was not used by Gerry but the DNA taken from it just happened to match the corresponding DNA components of his or it was Gerry’s. What do you think are the chances of the former ?

Anyway back to the point. Neither you nor Carana have been able to prove that Eddie alerts to only the residual smell of blood. Keela didn’t alert to blood in the bedroom of 5a, Eddie did therefore he must have been alerting to cadaver scent
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 09:12:00 PM

A low level incomplete DNA profile which matched the corresponding components in the DNA profile of Gerald McCann was obtained from cellular material on the key card (286C/2007-CRL(12)).

Let’s see. Either the cards got muddled and the card that was sent to the FSS was not used by Gerry but the DNA taken from it just happened to match the corresponding DNA components of his or it was Gerry’s. What do you think are the chances of the former ?

Anyway back to the point. Neither you nor Carana have been able to prove that Eddie alerts to only the residual smell of blood. Keela didn’t alert to blood in the bedroom of 5a, Eddie did therefore he must have been alerting to cadaver scent

We go round & round in circles. Was Eddie ever trained to alert to remnant scent of a HUMAN cadaver under 5 hours old - given that the odour of decomposition changes as a cadaver goes through various phases?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 09:14:10 PM
We go round & round in circles. Was Eddie ever trained to alert to remnant scent of a HUMAN cadaver under 5 hours old - given that the odour of decomposition changes as a cadaver goes through various phases?

We are talking about whether Eddie alerts to just the residual scent from blood. Have you any proof that he does ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 09:20:42 PM
We are talking about whether Eddie alerts to just the residual scent from blood. Have you any proof that he does ?

As decomposing blood is an integral part of a complete human cadaver, how do you separate the scent to know whether he would alert to a  pool of blood from a leaking fresh cadaver which had been forensically cleaned up?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 09:30:27 PM
As decomposing blood is an integral part of a complete human cadaver, how do you separate the scent to know whether he would alert to a  pool of blood from a leaking fresh cadaver which had been forensically cleaned up?

Forensically cleaned ? In a holiday apartment?

If Eddie was alerting to the scent of decomposing blood from a cadaver then a cadaver would have to have been in the room, surely ?

Eddie alerts to blood from a living person, so does Keela. Keela didn’t alert, so Eddie’s alert couldn’t have been to blood from a living person.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 10:44:52 PM
Forensically cleaned ? In a holiday apartment?

If Eddie was alerting to the scent of decomposing blood from a cadaver then a cadaver would have to have been in the room, surely ?

Eddie alerts to blood from a living person, so does Keela. Keela didn’t alert, so Eddie’s alert couldn’t have been to blood from a living person.

When Eddie alerted to the car key, there was a car door between him & the key. Is it therefore possible there was a bed between Eddie & the source of the blood in 5A bedroom?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 08, 2018, 10:47:13 PM
Forensically cleaned ? In a holiday apartment?

If Eddie was alerting to the scent of decomposing blood from a cadaver then a cadaver would have to have been in the room, surely ?

Eddie alerts to blood from a living person, so does Keela. Keela didn’t alert, so Eddie’s alert couldn’t have been to blood from a living person.
"Eddie alerts to blood from a living person" where does this come from?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 10:52:57 PM
"Eddie alerts to blood from a living person" where does this come from?

Both dogs alerted to dried blood from a living human - emphasis on dried.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 11:03:54 PM
When Eddie alerted to the car key, there was a car door between him & the key. Is it therefore possible there was a bed between Eddie & the source of the blood in 5A bedroom?

Not sure what you mean Misty. There was no blood as Keela had already searched the property and didn’t alert in the bedroom.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 11:09:30 PM
Not sure what you mean Misty. There was no blood as Keela had already searched the property and didn’t alert in the bedroom.

Keela only alerts with her nose at the source of the scent. What happens when that source is hidden by a bed or a wardrobe fitment?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2018, 11:44:51 PM
Keela only alerts with her nose at the source of the scent. What happens when that source is hidden by a bed or a wardrobe fitment?

Eddie finds blood from a living person the same way as Keela does so surely if Eddie could smell it so could Keela ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 08, 2018, 11:56:37 PM
Eddie finds blood from a living person the same way as Keela does so surely if Eddie could smell it so could Keela ?

Eddie didn't alert to whatever Keela found in the boot of the Scenic, although there was a door between the  source & the dog, same as with the key. It took Keela quite a while to pinpoint the exact source but only because she was given access to the boot. How would Keela alert to an area she didn't have access to (e.g. under a bed, under a wardrobe floor), where a source may be present?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 09, 2018, 02:38:22 AM
Eddie finds blood from a living person the same way as Keela does so surely if Eddie could smell it so could Keela ?
IMO you would have no idea of the decision making process a dog would have to go through.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 09, 2018, 12:46:22 PM
IMO you would have no idea of the decision making process a dog would have to go through.

That would appear to be one step of anthropomorphism  too far !
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2018, 01:39:35 PM
According to the opening post, the purpose of this thread was to discuss what Martin Grime's evidence meant and if it had been misunderstood.

A lot of opinions were posted, mostly by posters who support the parents. They seem to have misunderstood the aim of the thread and haven't really addressed the question posed in the first post.

A good post in my opinion;

"To claim the alerts were to cadaver odour is factually incorrect...it has not been possible  and is impossible to determine what the alerts were to...poeple have opinions...and that is all they are... To claim the alerts may have been to cadaver odour of course is correct" post #52

The above post is good because the expert who trained and used the dogs shared his opinion which has more credibility than others' because of his experience and knowledge. He said;

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

So we have an expert opinion. Grime goes on to say;

This does not however suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Some people seem to think that he's referring to forensic confirmation, but that's clearly wrong, because cadaver scent can't be confirmed by forensic tests.

So 'corroborating evidence' means something else.

Corroborating evidence (or corroboration) is evidence that supports a proposition already supported by initial evidence, therefore confirming the original proposition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corroborating_evidence

So Eddie's unconfirmed alerts were;

G5A
Rear bedroom of the apartment in the immediate right hand corner by the door. 
Veranda outside parent's bedroom.
Garden area directly under veranda.

McCann villa
a pink cuddly toy in the villas lounge
Mother and child clothing (after removal)

Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent, and that the alerts seemed to be suggesting a connection between the site of the missing child's disappearance, her toy, her clothes and her mother's clothes, there had to be an attempt to find corroborating evidence in my opinion.

The PJ tried but failed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2018, 01:52:40 PM
According to the opening post, the purpose of this thread was to discuss what Martin Grime's evidence meant and if it had been misunderstood.

A lot of opinions were posted, mostly by posters who support the parents. They seem to have misunderstood the aim of the thread and haven't really addressed the question posed in the first post.

A good post in my opinion;

"To claim the alerts were to cadaver odour is factually incorrect...it has not been possible  and is impossible to determine what the alerts were to...poeple have opinions...and that is all they are... To claim the alerts may have been to cadaver odour of course is correct" post #52

The above post is good because the expert who trained and used the dogs shared his opinion which has more credibility than others' because of his experience and knowledge. He said;

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

So we have an expert opinion. Grime goes on to say;

This does not however suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Some people seem to think that he's referring to forensic confirmation, but that's clearly wrong, because cadaver scent can't be confirmed by forensic tests.

So 'corroborating evidence' means something else.

Corroborating evidence (or corroboration) is evidence that supports a proposition already supported by initial evidence, therefore confirming the original proposition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corroborating_evidence

So Eddie's unconfirmed alerts were;

G5A
Rear bedroom of the apartment in the immediate right hand corner by the door. 
Veranda outside parent's bedroom.
Garden area directly under veranda.

McCann villa
a pink cuddly toy in the villas lounge
Mother and child clothing (after removal)

Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent, and that the alerts seemed to be suggesting a connection between the site of the missing child's disappearance, her toy, her clothes and herthat Grimes opinion was that these alerts, were triggered by cadaver scent... mother's clothes, there had to be an attempt to find corroborating evidence in my opinion.

The PJ tried but failed.

You state that Grimes opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent... That is not true... Showing you don't understand the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2018, 03:23:06 PM
According to the opening post, the purpose of this thread was to discuss what Martin Grime's evidence meant and if it had been misunderstood.

A lot of opinions were posted, mostly by posters who support the parents. They seem to have misunderstood the aim of the thread and haven't really addressed the question posed in the first post.

A good post in my opinion;

"To claim the alerts were to cadaver odour is factually incorrect...it has not been possible  and is impossible to determine what the alerts were to...poeple have opinions...and that is all they are... To claim the alerts may have been to cadaver odour of course is correct" post #52

The above post is good because the expert who trained and used the dogs shared his opinion which has more credibility than others' because of his experience and knowledge. He said;

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

So we have an expert opinion. Grime goes on to say;

This does not however suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Some people seem to think that he's referring to forensic confirmation, but that's clearly wrong, because cadaver scent can't be confirmed by forensic tests.

So 'corroborating evidence' means something else.

Corroborating evidence (or corroboration) is evidence that supports a proposition already supported by initial evidence, therefore confirming the original proposition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corroborating_evidence

So Eddie's unconfirmed alerts were;

G5A
Rear bedroom of the apartment in the immediate right hand corner by the door. 
Veranda outside parent's bedroom.
Garden area directly under veranda.

McCann villa
a pink cuddly toy in the villas lounge
Mother and child clothing (after removal)

Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent, and that the alerts seemed to be suggesting a connection between the site of the missing child's disappearance, her toy, her clothes and her mother's clothes, there had to be an attempt to find corroborating evidence in my opinion.

The PJ tried but failed.

from Grimes rogatory...

'Can you confirm if the signal given regarding the stuffed toy corresponds to a concrete alert of detection of a cadaver, or a mere trick played by the dog''
The dogs were not taught any 'tricks'. EVRD 'signalled' the toy, which at my request was retained by the Judicial Police for future forensic analysis. I have no knowledge of the results of any forensic analysis on the toy.


so grime requested forensic analysis of the toy...why do you think he did that

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 09, 2018, 05:08:58 PM
Eddie finds blood from a living person the same way as Keela does so surely if Eddie could smell it so could Keela ?

Grime stated that Keela would only react to the physical presence of blood. He made no such comment (AFAIK) as to whether Eddie would also only alert to the physical presence or not.

Why would he require the physical presence of that one scent of the many involved in human decomposition, whether the victim is actually still alive or not?

Is there any way of discerning whether it was a physical scent, but out of range for Keela, or whether it was a residual scent left by something that had been and removed in that flat by any of the occupants just prior to their inspection?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 09, 2018, 05:45:16 PM
from Grimes rogatory...

'Can you confirm if the signal given regarding the stuffed toy corresponds to a concrete alert of detection of a cadaver, or a mere trick played by the dog''
The dogs were not taught any 'tricks'. EVRD 'signalled' the toy, which at my request was retained by the Judicial Police for future forensic analysis. I have no knowledge of the results of any forensic analysis on the toy.


so grime requested forensic analysis of the toy...why do you think he did that

There is an apparent contradiction as to where the positive alert occurred.  I am now aware that when Grimes talks of alert by Eddie on CC this was supposed to have occurred in the place where the clothes were examined, but we generally think this occurred at the villa, but Grimes is quoted this did not happen at the villa.  I don't have the quotes for this on hand but I will provide them as soon as I can. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2018, 06:40:18 PM
from Grimes rogatory...

'Can you confirm if the signal given regarding the stuffed toy corresponds to a concrete alert of detection of a cadaver, or a mere trick played by the dog''
The dogs were not taught any 'tricks'. EVRD 'signalled' the toy, which at my request was retained by the Judicial Police for future forensic analysis. I have no knowledge of the results of any forensic analysis on the toy.


so grime requested forensic analysis of the toy...why do you think he did that

If he did, the question is why? He knew full well that Eddie's alerts couldn't be forensically confirmed. Unless Keela also alerted, but there's no record that she did so.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2018, 06:40:40 PM
There is an apparent contradiction as to where the positive alert occurred.  I am now aware that when Grimes talks of alert by Eddie on CC this was supposed to have occurred in the place where the clothes were examined, but we generally think this occurred at the villa, but Grimes is quoted this did not happen at the villa.  I don't have the quotes for this on hand but I will provide them as soon as I can.

as its on video theres no contradiction
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2018, 06:43:00 PM
If he did, the question is why? He knew full well that Eddie's alerts couldn't be forensically confirmed. Unless Keela also alerted, but there's no record that she did so.

obviously he thought there could be forensic evidence on CC.....grime has never said the alert by eddie could not be confirmed by forensics....eddie barked at CC....when there is no tangible evidence he stays still with his head in the air.....so barking must confirm tangible evidence that could forensically confirm the alert
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 09, 2018, 06:44:50 PM
Grime stated that Keela would only react to the physical presence of blood. He made no such comment (AFAIK) as to whether Eddie would also only alert to the physical presence or not.

Why would he require the physical presence of that one scent of the many involved in human decomposition, whether the victim is actually still alive or not?

Is there any way of discerning whether it was a physical scent, but out of range for Keela, or whether it was a residual scent left by something that had been and removed in that flat by any of the occupants just prior to their inspection?

Martin Grime said Eddie’s alert was suggestive of cadaver odour contaminant. He would of course have taken Keela and Eddie’s capabilities into consideration and, in his professional opinion, an alert to blood had been ruled out. Do you not think that if Grime had been concerned that the scent Eddie had alerted to was blood he would have said so or are you another one of those amateur sleuths who think you know better than the professionals?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 09, 2018, 06:46:06 PM
There is an apparent contradiction as to where the positive alert occurred.  I am now aware that when Grimes talks of alert by Eddie on CC this was supposed to have occurred in the place where the clothes were examined, but we generally think this occurred at the villa, but Grimes is quoted this did not happen at the villa.  I don't have the quotes for this on hand but I will provide them as soon as I can.

Unless it winds up in court all this is just coffee house chat.
Should it wind up in court with Mr Grime as an expert witness then he would subject to some very stringent conditions wrt the evidencehe gives [well within UK; I don't know about Portugal].
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2018, 06:50:25 PM
Unless it winds up in court all this is just coffee house chat.
Should it wind up in court with Mr Grime as an expert witness then he would subject to some very stringent conditions wrt the evidencehe gives [well within UK; I don't know about Portugal].

the whole forum is coffee house chat...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2018, 07:11:40 PM
There is an apparent contradiction as to where the positive alert occurred.  I am now aware that when Grimes talks of alert by Eddie on CC this was supposed to have occurred in the place where the clothes were examined, but we generally think this occurred at the villa, but Grimes is quoted this did not happen at the villa.  I don't have the quotes for this on hand but I will provide them as soon as I can.

Cuddlecat was taken from the McCann's villa with the clothes and other items. Whether either or both dogs alerted to it isn't recorded, but it was returned to the McCanns on 3rd along with the other items taken. Gerry signed for them.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P8/08_VOLUME_VIIIa_Page_2125.jpg
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/CLOTHES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2018, 07:21:53 PM
Cuddlecat was taken from the McCann's villa with the clothes and other items. Whether either or both dogs alerted to it isn't recorded, but it was returned to the McCanns on 3rd along with the other items taken. Gerry signed for them.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P8/08_VOLUME_VIIIa_Page_2125.jpg
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/CLOTHES.htm

Grime confirmed eddie signalled CC in his rogatory
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 02:11:46 PM
the whole forum is coffee house chat...

Indeed, however, that does not stop some from thinking they will solve the case or contribute significantly to "The Investigation/Search".

But the dogs take pride of place in the coffee house stakes when all is considered....imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 02:44:03 PM
Indeed, however, that does not stop some from thinking they will solve the case or contribute significantly to "The Investigation/Search".

But the dogs take pride of place in the coffee house stakes when all is considered....imo
Because some sceptics have not understood the evidence ad I have shown
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 10, 2018, 02:50:30 PM
Because some sceptics have not understood the evidence ad I have shown

You know it really doesn’t matter who understands the evidence, whether sceptic or supporter. What really matters is SY does and as we know from the reliance they put on the dogs to find bodies or evidence of death you can be quite sure they do.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 10, 2018, 03:14:48 PM
You know it really doesn’t matter who understands the evidence, whether sceptic or supporter. What really matters is SY does and as we know from the reliance they put on the dogs to find bodies or evidence of death you can be quite sure they do.

Sadly, it's taken over 500 posts to get to this conclusion.
Talk about arguing over nothing - sheesh
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 03:33:31 PM
You know it really doesn’t matter who understands the evidence, whether sceptic or supporter. What really matters is SY does and as we know from the reliance they put on the dogs to find bodies or evidence of death you can be quite sure they do.

doesnt matter at all and Im sure SY do understand that the dogs in this case found no evidence of death IMO. However if posters are going to post its reasonable for other posters to question things that are not true.....but having made the points i have I can see why sceptics dont want to discuss the alerts ...because they dont want to be shown that their beliefs are incorrect IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 03:37:13 PM
Because some sceptics have not understood the evidence ad I have shown

Where precisely, pray, have you demonstrated that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 03:39:21 PM
Where precisely, pray, have you demonstrated that?

have a look on the other thread...Ive pointed out points where gunit was misquoting the files...

that eddie was independently scientifically tested is one example of an untrue statement
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2018, 04:03:19 PM
have a look on the other thread...Ive pointed out points where gunit was misquoting the files...

that eddie was independently scientifically tested is one example of an untrue statement

Both dogs and I are licensed as two separate working teams. We are independently tested and licensed annually, normally at six monthly intervals as a 'rolling' programme to ensure best practice is maintained.

When gauze pads are laid out for a dog to sniff and some have scent on them and some don't, that is blind testing, which is 'scientific'. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 04:09:23 PM
Both dogs and I are licensed as two separate working teams. We are independently tested and licensed annually, normally at six monthly intervals as a 'rolling' programme to ensure best practice is maintained.

When gauze pads are laid out for a dog to sniff and some have scent on them and some don't, that is blind testing, which is 'scientific'.

That is not accepted scientific  testing.... They actually use the, word anectdotal..


Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases and is scenario based conducted
over a period of a week, twice annually, it is conducted utilising independent
A.C.P.O. authorised assessors. Continuation training is conducted on a dialy
basis and includes simple scent discrimination testing to large scale scenario
based exercises.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 10, 2018, 04:16:24 PM
That is not accepted scientific  testing.... They actually use the, word anectdotal..


Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases and is scenario based conducted
over a period of a week, twice annually, it is conducted utilising independent
A.C.P.O. authorised assessors. Continuation training is conducted on a dialy
basis and includes simple scent discrimination testing to large scale scenario
based exercises.


Please provide a cite for you “quote”.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 04:17:05 PM
The we have this claim by gunit...


Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent
...where does that come from...grime does not say that
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 04:18:36 PM
Please provide a cite for you “quote”.

did you notice gunit didnt...its from grimes witness satement which i have just quoted...now where is your cite...and where is gunits cite

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 04:23:39 PM
could we ask gunit for a cite to this statement...there isnt one..

Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 05:49:45 PM
could we ask gunit for a cite to this statement...there isnt one..

Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent
do you still dispute that? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 10, 2018, 05:55:00 PM
do you still dispute that?

Where is the cite which supports it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 06:10:13 PM
have a look on the other thread...Ive pointed out points where gunit was misquoting the files...

that eddie was independently scientifically tested is one example of an untrue statement

Your precise statement refers to THE evidence.
You are now banging on about a specific item.
Which would you have us consider ? Your sweeping assertion of the evidence or just a little bit of it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 10, 2018, 06:12:40 PM
About as much as you felt for Amaral when he was cleared of libel, I would imagine.

There is a difference.  Amaral was convicted of Perjury.  The McCanns have been convicted of nothing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 10, 2018, 06:16:11 PM
You know it really doesn’t matter who understands the evidence, whether sceptic or supporter. What really matters is SY does and as we know from the reliance they put on the dogs to find bodies or evidence of death you can be quite sure they do.
We can be quite sure that SY understand what precisely regarding the dog alerts in this case?  Perhaps you could clarify, thanks.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 06:17:51 PM
That is not accepted scientific  testing.... They actually use the, word anectdotal..


Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases and is scenario based conducted
over a period of a week, twice annually, it is conducted utilising independent
A.C.P.O. authorised assessors. Continuation training is conducted on a dialy
basis and includes simple scent discrimination testing to large scale scenario
based exercises.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

You would have to work out what "Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases" means  before you say it is unscientific.  It might be like "mock exercises"  where they know there is cadaver odour at the scene  and the dogs have to find it to pass their qualification.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 06:32:29 PM
Where is the cite which supports it?
Well where is the post by G-unit using the disputed words?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 06:42:12 PM
Where is the cite which supports it?
"My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence."  source http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 06:51:26 PM
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

You would have to work out what "Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases" means  before you say it is unscientific.  It might be like "mock exercises"  where they know there is cadaver odour at the scene  and the dogs have to find it to pass their qualification.

I what anectdotal means and I know what scientific  means
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 06:53:46 PM
"My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence."  source http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Gunit had claimed that Grimes opinion is that it IS cadaver contaminant when grime has never stated that.... He's used the words possible and suggestive... Can you not see the difference
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 06:57:43 PM
There is a report in the files from the PJ which states that grime brought the dogs back to places they had previously ignored... It is therefore  not libellous to make this claim. The cite has been given several times but I cannot find it at the moment... I have never said this in a malicious sense but stated clearly  he did this so as not to miss any important evidence... Imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 07:00:36 PM
What is, going on... My post is, supported by a statement  from the PJ that is, in the files.... Are moderators not aware of this
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 10, 2018, 07:04:07 PM
What is, going on... My post is, supported by a statement  from the PJ that is, in the files.... Are moderators not aware of this

When you find them you can post them.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 07:06:01 PM
When you find them you can post them.

it has been posted on the forum before...is it only me who remembers them...its part of the files
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 10, 2018, 07:06:47 PM
it has been posted on the forum before...is it only me who remembers them...its part of the files

When you find them you can post them.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 07:07:16 PM
Gunit had claimed that Grimes opinion is that it IS cadaver contaminant when grime has never stated that.... He's used the words possible and suggestive... Can you not see the difference
I can obviously see the word "suggestive" in one sentence and "is" in the other.  But the thing to consider is we are determining Grime's opinion and as far as opinion can be turned into fact does it really make any difference whether it was written "in my opinion it was triggered by cadaver odour"  or whether it was "in my opinion it was triggered as I suggest by cadaver odour"
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 07:09:58 PM
I can obviously see the word "suggestive" in one sentence and "is" in the other.  But the thing to consider is we are determining Grime's opinion and as far as opinion can be turned into fact does it really make any difference whether it was written "in my opinion it was triggered by cadaver odour"  or whether it was "in my opinion triggered as I suggest by cadaver odour"

Grime did not say the alert was triggered by cadaver odour...he used the word suggestive and possible...there is an absolute world of difference....we are looking at what grime said...NOT what some poster THINKS he meant
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2018, 07:28:18 PM
BUMPED. 

Welcome Vertigo
An answer please for our new member. 


Quote from: Faithlilly on Today at 02:50:30 PM

Quote
You know it really doesn’t matter who understands the evidence, whether sceptic or supporter. What really matters is SY does and as we know from the reliance they put on the dogs to find bodies or evidence of death you can be quite sure they do.



We can be quite sure that SY understand what precisely regarding the dog alerts in this case?  Perhaps you could clarify, thanks.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 07:33:54 PM
On this date I join to the case files the translations of the verbal reports made in English by the police sniffer dog trainer Martin Grime, referring to the sniffer dog inspections carried out with the cadaver odour detection dog Eddie and the human blood detection dog, Keela.

These translations were made working from the audio-visual recordings of each of the inspections.

These terms of joining were elaborated and will be signed.

Portimao 23 August 2007

Inspector Paiva

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

We are debating the semantics of syntax against this backdrop ? !
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 07:35:44 PM
Grime did not say the alert was triggered by cadaver odour...he used the word suggestive and possible...there is an absolute world of difference....we are looking at what grime said...NOT what some poster THINKS he meant
No matter what is actually written it has to be read and that requires thought and understanding.  You are technically correct but I don't see the difference.  How are the two views different?
And besides it is only Grime's opinion.  He needed corroborating evidence before he would say it was a fact.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Eleanor on March 10, 2018, 07:41:41 PM
No matter what is actually written it has to be read and that requires thought and understanding.  You are technically correct but I don't see the difference.  How are the two views different?
And besides it is only Grime's opinion.  He needed corroborating evidence before he would say it was a fact.

And therein lies the rub.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 07:42:37 PM
No matter what is actually written it has to be read and that requires thought and understanding.  You are technically correct but I don't see the difference.  How are the two views different?
And besides it is only Grime's opinion.  He needed corroborating evidence before he would say it was a fact.

so you cannot see the difference between

...it is my opinion that the dog alerted to cadaver...and,...

it is my opinion that it is possible that the dog alerted to cadaver...if you cannot see the massive difference its pointless me trying to explain
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 10, 2018, 07:44:54 PM
We can be quite sure that SY understand what precisely regarding the dog alerts in this case?  Perhaps you could clarify, thanks.

The weight of those alerts as evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 07:46:14 PM
so you cannot see the difference between

...it is my opinion that the dog alerted to cadaver...and,...

it is my opinion that it is possible that the dog alerted to cadaver...if you cannot see the massive difference its pointless me trying to explain
Opinions aren't facts.  Opinions are possibilities. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 07:47:59 PM
The weight of those alerts as evidence.
Which weighs heavier a ton of feathers or a ton of lead?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 08:02:51 PM
Opinions aren't facts.  Opinions are possibilities.

You have totally missed the point... I'm talking facts... What was actually  said
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 08:05:06 PM
The weight of those alerts as evidence.
..
No value as evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 08:11:47 PM
The weight of those alerts as evidence.

If the alerts by Eddie were only "suggestive of" or "possibly" cadaver odour, what other odour could Eddie have been alerting to if the dog was never wrong?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 08:17:51 PM
You have totally missed the point... I'm talking facts... What was actually  said
You might have quoted Grime more correctly but can you explain what it was he meant?  Have a go at answering Misty's question.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 08:22:27 PM
You have totally missed the point... I'm talking facts... What was actually  said

Is that what you think Mr Grime might have said in his verbal report of which there is no record [apparently] prior to it being translated into Portuguese for the police files or the version of what you think Mr Grime might have said in his verbal report of which there is no record [apparently] after it was translated into Portuguese for the police files then back into English by a translator of unknown provenance and ability which is on the files that are bandied about  or the written version of the report Mr Grime subsequently submitted which is on the files that are bandied about ?
If you see what I mean ?
Plenty of ground to cover there
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 08:58:38 PM
Is that what you think Mr Grime might have said in his verbal report of which there is no record [apparently] prior to it being translated into Portuguese for the police files or the version of what you think Mr Grime might have said in his verbal report of which there is no record [apparently] after it was translated into Portuguese for the police files then back into English by a translator of unknown provenance and ability which is on the files that are bandied about  or the written version of the report Mr Grime subsequently submitted which is on the files that are bandied about ?
If you see what I mean ?
Plenty of ground to cover there

Its gunit who has quoted gime incorrectly...perhaps all the files are innaccurate and its a total dogs dinner...could be

what of course really matters is the mccanns ...according to both investiagtions are not suspects
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 09:00:36 PM
You might have quoted Grime more correctly but can you explain what it was he meant?  Have a go at answering Misty's question.
I would rather stick to facts...and i have quoted grime correctly whereas gunit quoted incorectly..any speculation I make would most probably be removed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 09:07:33 PM
You might have quoted Grime more correctly but can you explain what it was he meant?  Have a go at answering Misty's question.

By using the words "suggestive of" & "possibly" Grime was inferring that Eddie's alerts may not have been to cadaver odour, meaning the dog was not always correct and thus unreliable as a definitive source of intelligence. IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 09:10:58 PM
By using the words "suggestive of" & "possibly" Grime was inferring that Eddie's alerts may not have been to cadaver odour, meaning the dog was not always correct and thus unreliable as a definitive source of intelligence. IMO.
That is one way of looking at it.  I was interested to see how Davel interpreted those words?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 10, 2018, 09:22:36 PM
By using the words "suggestive of" & "possibly" Grime was inferring that Eddie's alerts may not have been to cadaver odour, meaning the dog was not always correct and thus unreliable as a definitive source of intelligence. IMO.

I take it as more of a standard police evidence approach. Unless they can be 100% certain they will qualify their statements. It doesn’t mean the dog was not always correct.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 09:25:03 PM
That is one way of looking at it.  I was interested to see how Davel interpreted those words?

Im not interreting anything...that would be opinion...Im taking the words at face value.

grime has not sated its his opinion the dogs alerted to cadaver...hes said its possible...you cant seem to see the difernece which questions your ability to analyse the evidence...imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 09:26:12 PM
I take it as more of a standard police evidence approach. Unless they can be 100% certain they will qualify their statements. It doesn’t mean the dog was not always correct.

On camera, Grime said that when Keela alerted, blood was always found, ergo he had 100% confidence in her alerts. Why didn't he have the same confidence when referring to Eddie's alerts?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 09:28:50 PM
Im not interreting anything...that would be opinion...Im taking the words at face value.

grime has not sated its his opinion the dogs alerted to cadaver...hes said its possible...you cant seem to see the difernece which questions your ability to analyse the evidence...imo
If it was only possible cadaver odour what other possibilities are there?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 09:29:10 PM
I take it as more of a standard police evidence approach. Unless they can be 100% certain they will qualify their statements. It doesn’t mean the dog was not always correct.

grime could have said in his opinion the dog alerted to cadaver...he didnt..and he went even further by saying the alerts had no evidential reliability... as did harrison...it doesnt mean the dog wasnt always correct and it doesnt mean the dog was always correct...it means no one knows
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 09:29:41 PM
If it was only possible cadaver odour what other possibilities are there?

ask grime
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 09:31:08 PM
ask grime
OK let's ask him.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 09:37:30 PM
OK let's ask him.

how do you propose to do that and what makes you think he would answer...its an ongoing case...you expect to \ask an important witness questions
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 10, 2018, 09:42:01 PM
how do you propose to do that and what makes you think he would answer...its an ongoing case...you expect to \ask an important witness questions
I'll get you to do that!  The case could be shut down next month.  Must be getting close to the end now.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 09:44:28 PM
I'll get you to do that!  The case could be shut down next month.  Must be getting close to the end now.

http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?board=83.0

He's also been subjected to the alleged D-Notice.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 10:07:02 PM
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?board=83.0

He's also been subjected to the alleged D-Notice.

Jeez is this a matter of National Security then?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 10:11:54 PM
Its gunit who has quoted gime incorrectly...perhaps all the files are innaccurate and its a total dogs dinner...could be

what of course really matters is the mccanns ...according to both investiagtions are not suspects

A pretyy inept bodyswerve if I may say so sir!
The post I responded to was all your own work and nothing to do with G-Unit or whether indeed the McCanns are or are not suspects.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 10:22:01 PM
Jeez is this a matter of National Security then?

I was (un)reliably informed 'twas so, when I first stumbled upon t'internet chat.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 10:26:52 PM
A pretyy inept bodyswerve if I may say so sir!
The post I responded to was all your own work and nothing to do with G-Unit or whether indeed the McCanns are or are not suspects.

I think I would settle for the mcCanns being arrested tomorrow because at least it would end all this pointless debate
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2018, 10:34:11 PM
I was (un)reliably informed 'twas so, when I first stumbled upon t'internet chat.

Blimey! you mean like Burgess, MaClean and the Krogers? and even like what's going on "up the road" from me as we speak ? Watch out for bold Bulgars with umbrellas.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 10, 2018, 10:46:38 PM
The weight of those alerts as evidence.
That doesn't answer my question but thanks anyway.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 10:52:04 PM
Blimey! you mean like Burgess, MaClean and the Krogers? and even like what's going on "up the road" from me as we speak ? Watch out for bold Bulgars with umbrellas.

Not quite the LFC suits of '96 (minus the ricin) but he said he was "in the know".
Have you been decontaminated & debriefed?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2018, 10:53:29 PM
I take it as more of a standard police evidence approach. Unless they can be 100% certain they will qualify their statements. It doesn’t mean the dog was not always correct.

of course...just because in Jersey the "childs skull" turned out to be a coconut...does not mean the dog is wrong...because it impossible to prove the dog is wrong...even if the dog is wrong
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 10, 2018, 11:03:25 PM
We've been informed on this thread that the Met know the weight of the dogs' so-called evidence, the implication being that they consider the alerts highly significant.  Is there any verbatim reference to the dog alerts in this case by any member of the Met that supports this contention?  If so, what was said and by whom?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 10, 2018, 11:14:10 PM
We've been informed on this thread that the Met know the weight of the dogs' so-called evidence, the implication being that they consider the alerts highly significant.  Is there any verbatim reference to the dog alerts in this case by any member of the Met that supports this contention?  If so, what was said and by whom?
DCI Redwood March 2014
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-mccann/uk-police-in-madeleine-mccann-case-probe-new-intruder-link-idUSBREA2I1D220140319
*snipped*
"There is always the potential that she didn't leave the apartment alive. What is important for us to do is consider all the options"

That statement inplies that SY did not fully support the cadaver dog's alerts at that time, although there is no direct reference to same.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 10, 2018, 11:23:53 PM
DCI Redwood March 2014
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-mccann/uk-police-in-madeleine-mccann-case-probe-new-intruder-link-idUSBREA2I1D220140319
*snipped*
"There is always the potential that she didn't leave the apartment alive. What is important for us to do is consider all the options"

That statement inplies that SY did not fully support the cadaver dog's alerts at that time, although there is no direct reference to same.
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 10, 2018, 11:52:20 PM
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe.

Welcome Vertigo.

Yes, I was wondering about that.

NB: Quite an avatar...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 12:32:58 AM
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe.
That will take some figuring out how that can be.  Smithman carrying possible Madeleine away from the Ocean Club, no suggestion she had been dead whilst being carried, by the Met.
Would a person carry a dead child past a whole family?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 01:12:52 AM
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe.

The Met use cadaver dogs regularly so wont be as eager to dismiss their alerts as some supporters.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 11, 2018, 06:22:37 AM
That will take some figuring out how that can be.  Smithman carrying possible Madeleine away from the Ocean Club, no suggestion she had been dead whilst being carried, by the Met.
Would a person carry a dead child past a whole family?

Would that person have a choice in the matter?

Was he supposed to turn round & walk the other way when he was already the best part half way down the road before the family emerged from the alleyway.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 11, 2018, 06:29:11 AM
The Met use cadaver dogs regularly so wont be as eager to dismiss their alerts as some supporters.

Of course, any & every investigator that considers the dogs alerts thinks.... 'abduction!'

What utter horse dung.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 07:21:15 AM
Would that person have a choice in the matter?

Was he supposed to turn round & walk the other way when he was already the best part half way down the road before the family emerged from the alleyway.
I would like to see what that would be like.  Someone deceased long enough to leave cadaver odour in the apartment.  And then get someone else to carry the cadaver along the road making it look like a girl asleep. 
Two problems:
1.   How long has the girl been deceased. 
2.  How do you carry a person who has been deceased that long and make it look natural as you carry her.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 11, 2018, 07:23:20 AM
I would like to see what that would be like.  Someone deceased long enough to leave cadaver odour in the apartment.  And then get someone else to carry the cadaver along the road making it look like a girl asleep. 
Two problems:
1.   How long has the girl been deceased. 
2.  How do you carry a person who has been deceased that long and make it look natural as you carry her.

He did not look comfortable carrying the child.

Dead weight.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 07:57:52 AM
He did not look comfortable carrying the child.

Dead weight.
I don't know if that is a fair interpretation.

To be fair I suppose you would have to compare the man carrying a cadaver to a man carrying a sleeping child.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 11, 2018, 08:23:37 AM
I would like to see what that would be like.  Someone deceased long enough to leave cadaver odour in the apartment.  And then get someone else to carry the cadaver along the road making it look like a girl asleep. 
Two problems:
1.   How long has the girl been deceased. 
2.  How do you carry a person who has been deceased that long and make it look natural as you carry her.

Perhaps it doesn't look natural;

 He adds that he did not hold the child in a comfortable position, suggesting [the carrying] not being habitual.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 08:27:21 AM
Perhaps it doesn't look natural;

 He adds that he did not hold the child in a comfortable position, suggesting [the carrying] not being habitual.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm

OK we could add observers to out reconstruction and question them later about what their impressions were.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 08:41:50 AM
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe.

Digging up the mound is also suggestive of if she left the apartment alive it wasn't for very long.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 08:50:12 AM
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe.

No, it means the evidence was inconclusive and that he was keeping his options open.  IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 11, 2018, 08:53:28 AM
Digging up the mound is also suggestive of if she left the apartment alive it wasn't for very long.

They weren't looking for a live child or an abductor there, were they?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 08:54:38 AM
DCI Redwood also said back in 2013(?) he believed it quite possible that Madeleine was still alive, which suggests that the dog alerts were not the weighty piece of evidence that some would have us believe. 

No, it means the evidence was inconclusive and that he was keeping his options open.  IMO

Four years on Rowley couldn't confim either way,the investigation must be at an impasse.imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 08:57:08 AM
They weren't looking for a live child or an abductor there, were they?

It could have been where one of the private investigators thought she was being kept in a secret lair.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 09:21:05 AM
IMO, VRDs can be an invaluable asset. Just a couple of weeks ago, they were able to locate the remains of the abducted little French girl (RIP little one) in quite challenging terrain and weather.

As most of us will remember, in the Shannon case the dog correctly alerted to cadaver odour, but for a totally irrelevant reason.

In the debrief below, there is also reference to questions about their reliability and mentions unnamed other cases in which their use "had the potential to cause complications".

As the debrief doesn't elaborate further, there's no way of knowing what was meant by "reliability". Correctly alerting to irrelevant cadaver odour? Alerting to substances or odours indicative of human decomposition within their "training parameters" but which did not involve death?


From the NPIA debrief of the Shannon Matthews case, for anyone interested...


Strategic Debrief
Operation Paris: The Investigation into the Disappearance of Shannon Matthews


• Victim recovery dogs were used to search the homes of significant TIEs 

and other priority locations. In all,
9 victim recovery dogs were used from 4 forces, but dogs and handlers are trained to different standards and so some caution was required in deploying them. The deployment of victim recovery dogs was considered to be very useful and West Yorkshire Police have decided to train more of their own.

(...)

Issues for National Consideration

Victim Recovery Dogs

The victim recovery dogs used in this operation were drawn from four different forces. It emerged that each force has its own training and deployment policy and so there is no consistency in what the dogs can do and how it is done. Furthermore, there is no national standard for accrediting dogs and handlers, or record keeping of the success rate they achieve. This makes it difficult for SIOs to interpret the indication that 
a dog gives in any given situation and may lead 
to the expenditure of large resources in following up an indication from a dog with no way of knowing how reliable that indication was in the first place. ACPO is currently examining this issue due to a number of recent cases where the use of victim recovery dogs has had the potential to cause complications in an enquiry.

The properties that the dogs searched contained a high level of second-hand furniture bought from dwellings where someone had died. This resulted in numerous indications that required further investigation to confirm whether they were connected to the investigation, or to previous owners of the furniture.

The value of these dogs is undoubted, but there is an urgent need to have national policy on their training, accreditation and deployment and better information for SIOs about their use. The NPIA is currently working with the ACPO Strategic Dogs Working Group to resolve these issues.


http://library.college.police.uk/docs/npia/Operation-Paris.pdf
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 11, 2018, 10:14:28 AM
The Met use cadaver dogs regularly so wont be as eager to dismiss their alerts as some supporters.
That is something of a non sequitur - in my opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 11, 2018, 10:17:49 AM
No, it means the evidence was inconclusive and that he was keeping his options open.  IMO
Faithlilly contended that the Met believe the dog evidence held considerable weight (though actually doesn't provide any evidence of this).  The fact that the Met have made several statements clearly indicating they believe Madeleine may have left the apartment alive and may even yet BE alive shows that whatever weight they have placed on the alerts it is not a particularly weighty weight.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 10:25:45 AM
Faithlilly contended that the Met believe the dog evidence held considerable weight (though actually doesn't provide any evidence of this).  The fact that the Met have made several statements clearly indicating they believe Madeleine may have left the apartment alive and may even yet BE alive shows that whatever weight they have placed on the alerts it is not a particularly weighty weight.

‘Redwood said the assumption that Madeleine was abducted "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case.’

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/mar/19/madeleine-mccann-police-intruder-girls-algarve

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 10:37:42 AM
Faithlilly contended that the Met believe the dog evidence held considerable weight (though actually doesn't provide any evidence of this).  The fact that the Met have made several statements clearly indicating they believe Madeleine may have left the apartment alive and may even yet BE alive shows that whatever weight they have placed on the alerts it is not a particularly weighty weight.

No, it means they have no incontrovertible evidence either way.
They may well have their suspicions, but no hard evidence. Again IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 10:38:22 AM
Faithlilly contended that the Met believe the dog evidence held considerable weight (though actually doesn't provide any evidence of this).  The fact that the Met have made several statements clearly indicating they believe Madeleine may have left the apartment alive and may even yet BE alive shows that whatever weight they have placed on the alerts it is not a particularly weighty weight.

The truth of the matter is that no one knows what SY are investigating,they have no definitive answer into whether the child is alive or dead,that being the case there are no leads imo.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 10:42:19 AM
‘Redwood said the assumption that Madeleine was abducted "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case.’

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/mar/19/madeleine-mccann-police-intruder-girls-algarve

The same piece also has this.

Quote
Redwood said the assumption that Madeleine was abducted "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 11, 2018, 10:44:05 AM
‘Redwood said the assumption that Madeleine was abducted "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case.’

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/mar/19/madeleine-mccann-police-intruder-girls-algarve
Where is the reference to the weight given to the dog alerts in this statement?  Consider this:  the Met has spent £11m+ on an investigation into Madeleine's disappearance.  If they were in any way convinced that the dog alerts were correct, then what do you think they have been spending their money on?  If the McCanns were behind Madeleine's disappearance then by now the only way to prove this would be to elicit a confession as we know that there is no forensic evidence to link them to any foul play.  What better way to put pressure on them than for the Met to signal to them (indirectly) that they believed them responsible by giving great weight to the dog alerts.  If the Met said we are almost certain Madeleine died in the apartment then that very much narrows it down to the McCanns without outright accusing them.  The pressure on them would be immense.  But they haven't done that have they?  Instead they have spent £11+ million on investigating numerous other lines of investigation - why have they done that, in your opinion?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 10:45:00 AM
Faithlilly contended that the Met believe the dog evidence held considerable weight (though actually doesn't provide any evidence of this).  The fact that the Met have made several statements clearly indicating they believe Madeleine may have left the apartment alive and may even yet BE alive shows that whatever weight they have placed on the alerts it is not a particularly weighty weight.

Mark Rowley back in April last year.

Quote
We don't have evidence telling us if Madeleine is alive or dead.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 10:48:41 AM
Where is the reference to the weight given to the dog alerts in this statement?  Consider this:  the Met has spent £11m+ on an investigation into Madeleine's disappearance.  If they were in any way convinced that the dog alerts were correct, then what do you think they have been spending their money on?  If the McCanns were behind Madeleine's disappearance then by now the only way to prove this would be to elicit a confession as we know that there is no forensic evidence to link them to any foul play.  What better way to put pressure on them than for the Met to signal to them (indirectly) that they believed them responsible by giving great weight to the dog alerts.  If the Met said we are almost certain Madeleine died in the apartment then that very much narrows it down to the McCanns without outright accusing them.  The pressure on them would be immense.  But they haven't done that have they?  Instead they have spent £11+ million on investigating numerous other lines of investigation - why have they done that, in your opinion?

That £11 million gets as far as this.

Quote
We don't have evidence telling us if Madeleine is alive or dead.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 10:49:57 AM
Faithlilly contended that the Met believe the dog evidence held considerable weight (though actually doesn't provide any evidence of this).  The fact that the Met have made several statements clearly indicating they believe Madeleine may have left the apartment alive and may even yet BE alive shows that whatever weight they have placed on the alerts it is not a particularly weighty weight.

To be fair to the initial PJ team, they had no prior experience of the use of such dogs, therefore they may have been reliant on whatever they were told, as opposed to the UK police who have post-mortems on investigations to determine what went well, what screwed up and why with a view to improving future practice.

The GNR did ask around if anyone had heard of someone who'd died in the flat, so they were aware of that possibility, but I've found no indication that it went beyond that to enquiring about what may or may not have been second-hand furniture, for example.

Neither have I found any indication (prior to a later question by the Rebelo team concerning blood and the expression of some bewilderment over the CC episode) that they'd asked for specifics as to what exactly was within Eddie's "training parameters" so as to exclude other potential explanations.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 11:00:16 AM
Where is the reference to the weight given to the dog alerts in this statement?  Consider this:  the Met has spent £11m+ on an investigation into Madeleine's disappearance.  If they were in any way convinced that the dog alerts were correct, then what do you think they have been spending their money on?  If the McCanns were behind Madeleine's disappearance then by now the only way to prove this would be to elicit a confession as we know that there is no forensic evidence to link them to any foul play.  What better way to put pressure on them than for the Met to signal to them (indirectly) that they believed them responsible by giving great weight to the dog alerts.  If the Met said we are almost certain Madeleine died in the apartment then that very much narrows it down to the McCanns without outright accusing them.  The pressure on them would be immense.  But they haven't done that have they?  Instead they have spent £11+ million on investigating numerous other lines of investigation - why have they done that, in your opinion?

No idea. All we do know for certain is what the various police officers have said over the years and Redwood said abduction may not be the lead OG is following.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 11:11:43 AM
Where is the reference to the weight given to the dog alerts in this statement?  Consider this:  the Met has spent £11m+ on an investigation into Madeleine's disappearance.  If they were in any way convinced that the dog alerts were correct, then what do you think they have been spending their money on?  If the McCanns were behind Madeleine's disappearance then by now the only way to prove this would be to elicit a confession as we know that there is no forensic evidence to link them to any foul play.  What better way to put pressure on them than for the Met to signal to them (indirectly) that they believed them responsible by giving great weight to the dog alerts.  If the Met said we are almost certain Madeleine died in the apartment then that very much narrows it down to the McCanns without outright accusing them.  The pressure on them would be immense.  But they haven't done that have they?  Instead they have spent £11+ million on investigating numerous other lines of investigation - why have they done that, in your opinion?

A very pertainant  question that many have asked before.
One has to assume that they are looking for additional evidence to support their theory - whatever that is.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 11:16:11 AM
No idea. All we do know for certain is what the various police officers have said over the years and Redwood said abduction may not be the lead OG is following.

What was the context?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 11:21:16 AM
A very pertainant  question that many have asked before.
One has to assume that they are looking for additional evidence to support their theory - whatever that is.

There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know. Donald Rumsfeld
Read more at: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/donald_rumsfeld_148142
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 11:28:33 AM
There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know. Donald Rumsfeld
Read more at: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/donald_rumsfeld_148142

I think that sums up this case very nicely.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 11:52:40 AM
I think that sums up this case very nicely.

You've only highlighted one, though, Jassi. ;)

I find the whole of that to be pertinent as we aren't privy to all of the details.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 12:05:10 PM
You've only highlighted one, though, Jassi. ;)

I find the whole of that to be pertinent as we aren't privy to all of the details.

Yeah, but there are things we know we know
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 12:12:21 PM
What was the context?

I provided a link Carana which explains the context.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 12:23:38 PM
I provided a link Carana which explains the context.

Just looked back, Yes, thanks, Faith.

So it was indeed in the context of the as yet unidentified peretrators in the other child molestation / assault cases in the area.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 12:30:17 PM
Just looked back, Yes, thanks, Faith.

So it was indeed in the context of the as yet unidentified peretrators in the other child molestation / assault cases in the area.

I think this better explains the context Carana.

• This article was amended on 21 March 2014. The earlier version stated that Detective Chief Inspector Andy Redwood had said the assumption that Madeleine had been alive when she left the apartment "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case. To clarify: those quoted words actually came after Redwood had referred to the assumption that Madeleine had been abducted. However, Redwood did say during the same press conference that police were considering the possibility that Madeleine was not alive when taken from the apartment as well as the possibility that she was.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 01:22:00 PM
I think this better explains the context Carana.

• This article was amended on 21 March 2014. The earlier version stated that Detective Chief Inspector Andy Redwood had said the assumption that Madeleine had been alive when she left the apartment "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case. To clarify: those quoted words actually came after Redwood had referred to the assumption that Madeleine had been abducted. However, Redwood did say during the same press conference that police were considering the possibility that Madeleine was not alive when taken from the apartment as well as the possibility that she was.

Clear as mud as to what that correction was actually about.

If he'd said that she might still be alive, but was THEN asked questions re Smellyman (or al. ) and whether that had implications as to whether police thinking was that she could indeed have died prior to a removal from the flat, that would make sense to me in the context of a presser.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 01:52:58 PM
Clear as mud as to what that correction was actually about.

If he'd said that she might still be alive, but was THEN asked questions re Smellyman (or al. ) and whether that had implications as to whether police thinking was that she could indeed have died prior to a removal from the flat, that would make sense to me in the context of a presser.

I believe that may also be the reason for the ‘McCanns are not suspects’ statements. I believe that if an array of police officers had not been pressed for an answer regarding the status of the parents within the investigation they never would have made any pronouncement.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 02:39:11 PM
We've been informed on this thread that the Met know the weight of the dogs' so-called evidence, the implication being that they consider the alerts highly significant. Is there any verbatim reference to the dog alerts in this case by any member of the Met that supports this contention?  If so, what was said and by whom?

Why does that matter?
1) Has a crime been committed in this case within the jurisdiction of the MPS?
2) With respect to weighting that would only come into consideration should a case be heard in court in which case the judge and jury would be the arbiters of weighting with the judge directing the jury where appropriate.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 04:04:10 PM
Why does that matter?
1) Has a crime been committed in this case within the jurisdiction of the MPS?
2) With respect to weighting that would only come into consideration should a case be heard in court in which case the judge and jury would be the arbiters of weighting with the judge directing the jury where appropriate.

There might be a reason as to why the police force deemed most suitable to take up the case wasn't one with the least experience...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 04:05:53 PM
There might be a reason as to why the police force deemed most suitable to take up the case wasn't one with the least experience...

Which if it fails,then the experience means jack all.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 04:23:44 PM
Which if it fails,then the experience means jack all.

Not all cases are solved, sadly, however competent the force may be.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 11, 2018, 04:40:26 PM
No idea. All we do know for certain is what the various police officers have said over the years and Redwood said abduction may not be the lead OG is following.

In my opinion you've got that entirely wrong.

Snip
Mr Rowley said there was no ‘definitive evidence’ as to whether Madeleine is alive or dead.

He added: ‘That’s why we describe it as a missing person inquiry. We understand why, after this many years, people will be pessimistic, but it’s important we keep an open mind.’ The officer added that however Madeleine left the apartment, she was abducted.

http://metro.co.uk/2017/04/25/madeleine-mccann-police-following-significant-leads-as-10th-anniversary-approaches-6595974/?ito=cbshare
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 04:44:46 PM
Not all cases are solved, sadly, however competent the force may be.

Then the expertise that SY are supposed to bring may not be all its cracked up to be.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 04:47:38 PM
Then the expertise that SY are supposed to bring may not be all its cracked up to be.

Look, you can't find an abductor if there isn't one to find, no matter how much expertise is brought to bear.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 05:04:00 PM
There might be a reason as to why the police force deemed most suitable to take up the case wasn't one with the least experience...

The police would garner evidence and present it to the CPS who would decide how to proceed.
Did you see the documentary on Chester CPS last year? it was very informative.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 05:16:21 PM
Yeah, but there are things we know we know
And there are things you think we know but are mistaken.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 11, 2018, 05:43:04 PM
In my opinion you've got that entirely wrong.

Snip
Mr Rowley said there was no ‘definitive evidence’ as to whether Madeleine is alive or dead.

He added: ‘That’s why we describe it as a missing person inquiry. We understand why, after this many years, people will be pessimistic, but it’s important we keep an open mind.’ The officer added that however Madeleine left the apartment, she was abducted.

http://metro.co.uk/2017/04/25/madeleine-mccann-police-following-significant-leads-as-10th-anniversary-approaches-6595974/?ito=cbshare

I think that would be included in the ‘what every officer has said’

Please stop picking holes Brietta when there are none to pick.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 11, 2018, 05:50:24 PM
Mark Rowley back in April last year.
Quote
We don't have evidence telling us if Madeleine is alive or dead.
That seems fairly conclusive proof that the Met don't consider the dog alerts to be evidence of anything at all.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 05:53:30 PM
I think that would be included in the ‘what every officer has said’

Please stop picking holes Brietta when there are none to pick.
You said "No idea. All we do know for certain is what the various police officers have said over the years and Redwood said abduction may not be the lead OG is following."

Not ‘what every officer has said’.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 11, 2018, 05:55:10 PM
Why does that matter?
1) Has a crime been committed in this case within the jurisdiction of the MPS?
2) With respect to weighting that would only come into consideration should a case be heard in court in which case the judge and jury would be the arbiters of weighting with the judge directing the jury where appropriate.
It matters only in the context of a discussion between myself and another forum member, this is a discussion forum and I was enjoying an exchange of views, not preparing for court.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 11, 2018, 06:01:50 PM

That seems fairly conclusive proof that the Met don't consider the dog alerts to be evidence of anything at all.

If she didn't leave alive which they can't or won't confirm,it raises questions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 11, 2018, 06:05:26 PM
Would the Portuguese judges have accepted the evidence of Grime as an expert witness in any court case during 2007/8?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 06:07:26 PM
It matters only in the context of a discussion between myself and another forum member, this is a discussion forum and I was enjoying an exchange of views, not preparing for court.

So just your idle musings that have no real relevance to the case ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 06:14:29 PM
Would the Portuguese judges have accepted the evidence of Grime as an expert witness in any court case during 2007/8?
Who knows but I am sure someone with a professed phenomenal knowledge of Portuguese law will be along presently to advise us.
If the judges don't then end of dawg saga[ if only!]
If the judges do then there will be court rules to follow the result of which will be perm any one from about half a dozen as we lie at present.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 11, 2018, 06:16:38 PM
Who knows but I am sure someone with a professed phenomenal knowledge of Portuguese law will be along presently to advise us.
If the judges don't then end of dawg saga[ if only!]
If the judges do then there will be court rules to follow the result of which will be perm any one from about half a dozen as we lie at present.

If the judges do, then we'll NEVER hear the end of it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 11, 2018, 06:29:58 PM
So just your idle musings that have no real relevance to the case ?
Thanks, I certainly intend to, if that's not a problem.  The post that you picked up on was relevant to the case, we were discusiing but yes, it was just an idle musing if that's what you want to call it.  I'm not expecting to crack the case, offer startling new insight or assist anyone in preparing for court, perhaps your expectations are set a bit too high?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 11, 2018, 06:34:21 PM
Who knows but I am sure someone with a professed phenomenal knowledge of Portuguese law will be along presently to advise us.
If the judges don't then end of dawg saga[ if only!]
If the judges do then there will be court rules to follow the result of which will be perm any one from about half a dozen as we lie at present.

We have had the benefit of discussing the dogs' alerts & what they represented for the last 10 years. SY are also aware of the limitations of cadaver alerts, given current research. For anyone to have had such alerts used against them as evidence of death, without other definitive evidence, would have been a gross miscarriage of justice IMO. I do think that the change of PJ co-ordinator + sidekick in October 2007 prevented such a moj,

http://vnonline.co.uk/vn/news/16012/Scientists-work-with-dogs-to-ID-human-remains

*snipped*

The University of Leicester project is the only one in the UK to apply multidimensional chromatography to the understanding of decomposition. The team are currently supporting cadaver dog training in the UK as police forces are often very limited as to which samples they can use, which can reduce their effectiveness during investigations.

“Within the UK we are restricted to the use of animal samples in both research and police dog training, due to current legislation,” Mr Brooks said.

Protocols are currently being introduced to allow police forces to use human samples donated from hospitals, in order to increase the dogs’ reliability and effectiveness.
This is yet to be implemented, however, and it is not known how regular or consistent the supply will be.

==========================================================

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 07:02:09 PM
We have had the benefit of discussing the dogs' alerts & what they represented for the last 10 years. SY are also aware of the limitations of cadaver alerts, given current research. For anyone to have had such alerts used against them as evidence of death, without other definitive evidence, would have been a gross miscarriage of justice IMO. I do think that the change of PJ co-ordinator + sidekick in October 2007 prevented such a moj,

http://vnonline.co.uk/vn/news/16012/Scientists-work-with-dogs-to-ID-human-remains

*snipped*

The University of Leicester project is the only one in the UK to apply multidimensional chromatography to the understanding of decomposition. The team are currently supporting cadaver dog training in the UK as police forces are often very limited as to which samples they can use, which can reduce their effectiveness during investigations.

“Within the UK we are restricted to the use of animal samples in both research and police dog training, due to current legislation,” Mr Brooks said.

Protocols are currently being introduced to allow police forces to use human samples donated from hospitals, in order to increase the dogs’ reliability and effectiveness.
This is yet to be implemented, however, and it is not known how regular or consistent the supply will be.

==========================================================

That sounds eminently reasonable.
Most cases however are decided on the weight of circumstantial evidence. The notion someone will be banged up on the strength of a dog "alert" is somewhat fatuous as is presuming it will all be at the behest of a prejudiced police officer.

What standing does the research quoted above have in court? For example is it accepted ?

"It was held that the duty of the expert witness “... is to furnish the Judge or jury with the necessary scientific criteria for testing the accuracy of their conclusions, so as to enable the Judge or jury to form their own
independent judgment by the application of these criteria to the facts proved in evidence. The scientific opinion evidence, if intelligible, convincing and tested, becomes a factor (and often an important factor) for consideration along with the whole other evidence in the case, but the
decision is for the Judge or jury. In particular the bare ipse dixit of a scientist, however eminent, upon the issue in controversy, will normally carry little weight, for it cannot be tested by cross-examination nor independently appraised, and the parties have invoked the decision
of a judicial tribunal and not an oracular pronouncement by an expert.”


Expert evidence will only be admissible where it will assist the court in
reaching its conclusions and is given by an expert who is impartial and
sufficiently qualified in a field of expertise, which itself is considered to be
reliable.


Plenty to go at there  8(0(*

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 11, 2018, 07:02:58 PM
Having had a read over the past few posts it was in my mind to admonish members to beware their conduct towards new members to the forum and to be polite and welcoming as per forum rules.

However Vertigo Swirl seems to be coping very well without any such comment from me.

It is as s/he says a discussion forum to which I would add that members expressing all points of view ... which are within forum rules ... are very welcome.

Welcome Vertigo Swirl, I hope you enjoy posting here.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 11, 2018, 07:37:03 PM
That sounds eminently reasonable.
Most cases however are decided on the weight of circumstantial evidence. The notion someone will be banged up on the strength of a dog "alert" is somewhat fatuous as is presuming it will all be at the behest of a prejudiced police officer.

What standing does the research quoted above have in court? For example is it accepted ?

"It was held that the duty of the expert witness “... is to furnish the Judge or jury with the necessary scientific criteria for testing the accuracy of their conclusions, so as to enable the Judge or jury to form their own
independent judgment by the application of these criteria to the facts proved in evidence. The scientific opinion evidence, if intelligible, convincing and tested, becomes a factor (and often an important factor) for consideration along with the whole other evidence in the case, but the
decision is for the Judge or jury. In particular the bare ipse dixit of a scientist, however eminent, upon the issue in controversy, will normally carry little weight, for it cannot be tested by cross-examination nor independently appraised, and the parties have invoked the decision
of a judicial tribunal and not an oracular pronouncement by an expert.”


Expert evidence will only be admissible where it will assist the court in
reaching its conclusions and is given by an expert who is impartial and
sufficiently qualified in a field of expertise, which itself is considered to be
reliable.


Plenty to go at there  8(0(*

so are the alerts part of a field that is considered reliable...what scientintific evidence is there to support them....

apart from grime saying they have no evidential reliability
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 11, 2018, 08:27:36 PM
Having had a read over the past few posts it was in my mind to admonish members to beware their conduct towards new members to the forum and to be polite and welcoming as per forum rules.

However Vertigo Swirl seems to be coping very well without any such comment from me.

It is as s/he says a discussion forum to which I would add that members expressing all points of view ... which are within forum rules ... are very welcome.

Welcome Vertigo Swirl, I hope you enjoy posting here.

I’m sure he will...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 08:48:42 PM
so are the alerts part of a field that is considered reliable...what scientintific evidence is there to support them....

apart from grime saying they have no evidential reliability

It will depend on what the judge says based on all the information he receives and Mr Grime providing the judge with all relevant information including that which may cast doubt on his own opinion.
But:
"In particular the bare ipse dixit of a scientist, however eminent, upon the issue in controversy, will normally carry little weight information".
No matter how hard you try you will be unable to place Mr Grime in a position where he behaves as an advocate as that simply is not acceptable to the courts, backed up by case law.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 11, 2018, 08:58:52 PM
That sounds eminently reasonable.
Most cases however are decided on the weight of circumstantial evidence. The notion someone will be banged up on the strength of a dog "alert" is somewhat fatuous as is presuming it will all be at the behest of a prejudiced police officer.

What standing does the research quoted above have in court? For example is it accepted ?

"It was held that the duty of the expert witness “... is to furnish the Judge or jury with the necessary scientific criteria for testing the accuracy of their conclusions, so as to enable the Judge or jury to form their own
independent judgment by the application of these criteria to the facts proved in evidence. The scientific opinion evidence, if intelligible, convincing and tested, becomes a factor (and often an important factor) for consideration along with the whole other evidence in the case, but the
decision is for the Judge or jury. In particular the bare ipse dixit of a scientist, however eminent, upon the issue in controversy, will normally carry little weight, for it cannot be tested by cross-examination nor independently appraised, and the parties have invoked the decision
of a judicial tribunal and not an oracular pronouncement by an expert.”


Expert evidence will only be admissible where it will assist the court in
reaching its conclusions and is given by an expert who is impartial and
sufficiently qualified in a field of expertise, which itself is considered to be
reliable.


Plenty to go at there  8(0(*

Circumstantial evidence & prejudiced police officers - check out the case of case of David Dooley (appeal still pending) - https://www.chemistryworld.com/opinion/murder-without-forensic-evidence/3006995.article

Re. expert witnesses - do we expect the judge & jury to be competent enough in a particular science to apply it to the case in hand? Is the equivalent of the US Daubert standard now enshrined in UK Criminal Law & is there anything similar in Portugal?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 11, 2018, 09:12:57 PM
Circumstantial evidence & prejudiced police officers - check out the case of case of David Dooley (appeal still pending) - https://www.chemistryworld.com/opinion/murder-without-forensic-evidence/3006995.article

Re. expert witnesses - do we expect the judge & jury to be competent enough in a particular science to apply it to the case in hand? Is the equivalent of the US Daubert standard now enshrined in UK Criminal Law & is there anything similar in Portugal?

You too need to brush up on the duties of the expert witness.
You may not like the rules and I may not like them either but you and I do not constitute a majority, until we both are advocates we stand no chance of altering the rules.
I don't know what the rules are in Portugal as I have repeatedly stated. I am sure the basic rule of the expert not being allowed to usurp the powers of the court will stand though.

If you know what they are you could apprise us.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 09:17:31 PM
Here's the section in the CÓDIGO DE PROCESSO PENAL Lei 48/2007, de 29 de Agosto re experts:

CAPÍTULO VI
Da prova pericial

Artigo 151.o
Quando tem lugar
A prova pericial tem lugar quando a percepção ou a apreciação dos factos exigirem especiais conhecimentos técnicos, científicos ou artísticos.

Artigo 152.o
Quem a realiza
1 — A perícia é realizada em estabelecimento, laboratório ou serviço oficial apropriado ou, quando tal não for possível ou conveniente, por perito nomeado de entre pessoas constantes de listas de peritos existentes em cada
38
comarca, ou, na sua falta ou impossibilidade de resposta em tempo útil, por pessoa de honorabilidade e de reconhecida competência na matéria em causa.
2 — Quando a perícia se revelar de especial complexidade ou exigir conhecimentos de matérias distintas, pode ela ser deferida a vários peritos funcionando em moldes colegiais ou interdisciplinares.

Artigo 153.o
Desempenho da função de perito
1 — O perito é obrigado a desempenhar a função para que tiver sido competentemente nomeado, sem prejuízo do disposto no artigo 47.o e no número seguinte.
2 — O perito nomeado pode pedir escusa com base na falta de condições indispensáveis para realização da perícia e pode ser recusado, pelos mesmos fundamentos, pelo Ministério Público, pelo arguido, pelo assistente ou pelas partes civis, sem prejuízo, porém, da realização da perícia se for urgente ou houver perigo na demora.
3 — O perito pode ser substituído pela autoridade judiciária que o tiver nomeado quando não apresentar o relatório no prazo fixado ou quando desempenhar de forma negligente o encargo que lhe foi cometido. A decisão de substituição do perito é irrecorrível.
4 — Operada a substituição, o substituído é notificado para comparecer perante a autoridade judiciária competente e expor as razões por que não cumpriu o encargo. Se aquela considerar existente grosseira violação dos deveres que ao substituído incumbiam, o juiz, oficiosamente ou a requerimento, condena-o ao pagamento de uma soma entre 1 UC e 6 UC.

Artigo 154.o
Despacho que ordena a perícia
1 — A perícia é ordenada, oficiosamente ou a requerimento, por despacho da autoridade judiciária, contendo o nome dos peritos e a indicação sumária do objecto da perícia, bem como, precedendo audição dos peritos, se possível, a indicação do dia, hora e local em que se efectivará.
2 — Quando se tratar de perícia sobre características físicas ou psíquicas de pessoa que não haja prestado consentimento, o despacho previsto no número anterior é da competência do juiz, que pondera a necessidade da sua realização, tendo em conta o direito à integridade pessoal e à reserva da intimidade do visado.
3 — O despacho é notificado ao Ministério Público, quando este não for o seu autor, ao arguido, ao assistente e às partes civis, com a antecedência mínima de três dias sobre a data indicada para a realização da perícia.
4 — Ressalvam -se do disposto no número anterior os casos:
a) Em que a perícia tiver lugar no decurso do inquérito e a autoridade judiciária que a ordenar tiver razões para crer que o conhecimento dela ou dos seus resultados, pelo arguido, pelo assistente ou pelas partes civis, poderia prejudicar as finalidades do inquérito;
b) De urgência ou de perigo na demora.

Artigo 155.o
Consultores técnicos
1 — Ordenada a perícia, o Ministério Público, o arguido, o assistente e as partes civis podem designar para assistir à realização da mesma, se isso ainda for possível, um consultor técnico da sua confiança.
2 — O consultor técnico pode propor a efectivação de determinadas diligências e formular observações e objecções, que ficam a constar do auto.
3 — Se o consultor técnico for designado após a realização da perícia, pode, salvo no caso previsto na alínea a) do n.o 4 do artigo anterior, tomar conhecimento do relatório.
4 — A designação de consultor técnico e o desempenho da sua função não podem atrasar a realização da perícia e o andamento normal do processo.

Artigo 156.o
Procedimento
1 — Os peritos prestam compromisso, podendo a autoridade judiciária competente, oficiosamente ou a requerimento dos peritos ou dos consultores técnicos, formular quesitos quando a sua existência se revelar conveniente.
2 — A autoridade judiciária assiste, sempre que possível e conveniente, à realização da perícia, podendo a autoridade que a tiver ordenado permitir também a presença do arguido e do assistente, salvo se a perícia for susceptível de ofender o pudor.
39
3 — Se os peritos carecerem de quaisquer diligências ou esclarecimentos, requerem que essas diligências se pratiquem ou esses esclarecimentos lhes sejam fornecidos, para tanto lhes podendo ser mostrados quaisquer actos ou documentos do processo.
4 — Os elementos de que o perito tome conhecimento no exercício das suas funções só podem ser utilizados dentro do objecto e das finalidades da perícia.
5 — As perícias referidas no n.o 2 do artigo 154.o são realizadas por médico ou outra pessoa legalmente autorizada e não podem criar perigo para a saúde do visado.
6 — Quando se tratar de análises de sangue ou de outras células corporais, os exames efectuados e as amostras recolhidas só podem ser utilizados no processo em curso ou em outro já instaurado, devendo ser destruídos, mediante despacho do juiz, logo que não sejam necessários.

Artigo 157.o
Relatório pericial
1 — Finda a perícia, os peritos procedem à elaboração de um relatório, no qual mencionam e descrevem as suas respostas e conclusões devidamente fundamentadas. Aos peritos podem ser pedidos esclarecimentos pela autoridade judiciária, pelo arguido, pelo assistente, pelas partes civis e pelos consultores técnicos.
2 — O relatório, elaborado logo em seguida à realização da perícia, pode ser ditado para o auto.
3 — Se o relatório não puder ser elaborado logo em seguida à realização da perícia, é marcado um prazo, não superior a 60 dias, para a sua apresentação. Em casos de especial complexidade, o prazo pode ser prorrogado, a requerimento fundamentado dos peritos, por mais 30 dias.
4 — Se o conhecimento dos resultados da perícia não for indispensável para o juízo sobre a acusação ou sobre a pronúncia, pode a autoridade judiciária competente autorizar que o relatório seja apresentado até à abertura da audiência.
5 — Se a perícia for realizada por mais de um perito e houver discordância entre eles, apresenta cada um o seu relatório, o mesmo sucedendo na perícia interdisciplinar. Tratando-se de perícia colegial, pode haver lugar a opinião vencedora e opinião vencida.

Artigo 158.o
Esclarecimentos e nova perícia
1 — Em qualquer altura do processo pode a autoridade judiciária competente determinar, oficiosamente ou a requerimento, quando isso se revelar de interesse para a descoberta da verdade, que:
a) Os peritos sejam convocados para prestarem esclarecimentos complementares, devendo ser-lhes comunicados o dia, a hora e o local em que se efectivará a diligência;
ou
b) Seja realizada nova perícia ou renovada a perícia anterior a cargo de outro ou outros peritos.
2 — Os peritos dos estabelecimentos, laboratórios ou serviços oficiais são ouvidos por teleconferência a partir do seu local de trabalho, sempre que tal seja tecnicamente possível, sendo tão-só necessária a notificação do dia e da hora a que se procederá a sua audição.

Artigo 159.o
Perícias médico-legais e forenses
1 — As perícias médico-legais e forenses que se insiram nas atribuições do Instituto Nacional de Medicina Legal são realizadas pelas delegações deste e pelos gabinetes médico-legais.
2 — Excepcionalmente, perante manifesta impossibilidade dos serviços, as perícias referidas no número anterior podem ser realizadas por entidades terceiras, públicas ou privadas, contratadas ou indicadas para o efeito pelo Instituto.
3 — Nas comarcas não compreendidas na área de actuação das delegações e dos gabinetes médico-legais em funcionamento, as perícias médico-legais e forenses podem ser realizadas por médicos a contratar pelo Instituto. 4 — As perícias médico-legais e forenses solicitadas ao Instituto em que se verifique a necessidade de formação médica especializada noutros domínios e que não possam ser realizadas pelas delegações do Instituto ou pelos gabinetes médico-legais, por aí não existirem peritos com a formação requerida ou condições materiais para a sua realização, podem ser efectuadas, por indicação do Instituto, por serviço universitário ou de saúde público ou privado.
5 — Sempre que necessário, as perícias médico-legais e forenses de natureza laboratorial podem ser realizadas por entidades terceiras, públicas ou privadas, contratadas ou indicadas pelo Instituto.
40
6 — O disposto nos números anteriores é correspondente aplicável à perícia relativa a questões psiquiátricas, na qual podem participar também especialistas em psicologia e criminologia.
7 — A perícia psiquiátrica pode ser efectuada a requerimento do representante legal do arguido, do cônjuge não separado judicialmente de pessoas e bens ou da pessoa, de outro ou do mesmo sexo, que com o arguido viva em condições análogas às dos cônjuges, dos descendentes e adoptados, ascendentes e adoptantes, ou, na falta deles, dos irmãos e seus descendentes.

Artigo 160.o
Perícia sobre a personalidade
1 — Para efeito de avaliação da personalidade e da perigosidade do arguido pode haver lugar a perícia sobre as suas características psíquicas independentes de causas patológicas, bem como sobre o seu grau de socialização. A perícia pode relevar, nomeadamente para a decisão sobre a revogação da prisão preventiva, a culpa do agente e a determinação da sanção.
2 — A perícia deve ser deferida a serviços especializados, incluindo os serviços de reinserção social, ou, quando isso não for possível ou conveniente, a especialistas em criminologia, em psicologia, em sociologia ou em psiquiatria.
3 — Os peritos podem requerer informações sobre os antecedentes criminais do arguido, se delas tiverem necessidade.

Artigo 160.o -A
Realização de perícias
1 — As perícias referidas nos artigos 152.o e 160.o podem ser realizadas por entidades terceiras que para tanto tenham sido contratadas por quem as tivesse de realizar, desde que aquelas não tenham qualquer interesse na decisão a proferir ou ligação com o assistente ou com o arguido.
2 — Quando, por razões técnicas ou de serviço, quem tiver de realizar a perícia não conseguir, por si ou através de entidades terceiras para tanto contratadas, observar o prazo determinado pela autoridade judiciária, deve imediatamente comunicar -lhe tal facto, para que esta possa determinar a eventual designação de novo perito.

Artigo 161.o
Destruição de objectos
Se os peritos, para procederem à perícia, precisarem de destruir, alterar ou comprometer gravemente a integridade de qualquer objecto, pedem autorização para tal à entidade que tiver ordenado a perícia. Concedida a autorização, fica nos autos a descrição exacta do objecto e, sempre que possível, a sua fotografia; tratando-se de documento, fica a sua fotocópia, devidamente conferida.

Artigo 162.o
Remuneração do perito
1 — Sempre que a perícia for feita em estabelecimento ou por perito não oficial, a entidade que a tiver ordenado fixa a remuneração do perito em função de tabelas aprovadas pelo Ministério da Justiça ou, na sua falta, tendo em atenção os honorários correntemente pagos por serviços do género e do relevo dos que foram prestados.
2 — Em caso de substituição do perito, nos termos do n.o 3 do artigo 153.o, pode a entidade competente determinar que não há lugar a remuneração para o substituído.
3 — Das decisões sobre a remuneração cabe, conforme os casos, recurso ou reclamação hierárquica.

Artigo 163.o
Valor da prova pericial
1 — O juízo técnico, científico ou artístico inerente à prova pericial presume-se subtraído à livre apreciação do julgador.
2 — Sempre que a convicção do julgador divergir do juízo contido no parecer dos peritos, deve aquele fundamentar a divergência.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 11, 2018, 09:22:51 PM
This about evidence more generally.

LIVRO III
Da prova
TÍTULO I
Disposições gerais
Artigo 124.o
Objecto da prova
1 — Constituem objecto da prova todos os factos juridicamente relevantes para a existência ou inexistência do crime, a punibilidade ou não punibilidade do arguido e a determinação da pena ou da medida de segurança aplicáveis.
2 — Se tiver lugar pedido civil, constituem igualmente objecto da prova os factos relevantes para a determinação da responsabilidade civil.

Artigo 125.o
Legalidade da prova
São admissíveis as provas que não forem proibidas por lei.

Artigo 126.o
Métodos proibidos de prova
1 — São nulas, não podendo ser utilizadas, as provas obtidas mediante tortura, coacção ou, em geral, ofensa da integridade física ou moral das pessoas.
2 — São ofensivas da integridade física ou moral das pessoas as provas obtidas, mesmo que com consentimento delas, mediante:
a) Perturbação da liberdade de vontade ou de decisão através de maus-tratos, ofensas corporais, administração de meios de qualquer natureza, hipnose ou utilização de meios cruéis ou enganosos;
b) Perturbação, por qualquer meio, da capacidade de memória ou de avaliação;
c) Utilização da força, fora dos casos e dos limites permitidos pela lei;
d) Ameaça com medida legalmente inadmissível e, bem assim, com denegação ou condicionamento da obtenção de benefício legalmente previsto;
e) Promessa de vantagem legalmente inadmissível.
3 — Ressalvados os casos previstos na lei, são igualmente nulas, não podendo ser utilizadas, as provas obtidas mediante intromissão na vida privada, no domicílio, na correspondência ou nas telecomunicações sem o consentimento do respectivo titular.
4 — Se o uso dos métodos de obtenção de provas previstos neste artigo constituir crime, podem aquelas ser utilizadas com o fim exclusivo de proceder contra os agentes do mesmo.

Artigo 127.o
Livre apreciacão da prova
Salvo quando a lei dispuser diferentemente, a prova é apreciada segundo as regras da experiência e a livre convicção da entidade competente.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 11, 2018, 09:32:37 PM
You too need to brush up on the duties of the expert witness.
You may not like the rules and I may not like them either but you and I do not constitute a majority, until we both are advocates we stand no chance of altering the rules.
I don't know what the rules are in Portugal as I have repeatedly stated. I am sure the basic rule of the expert not being allowed to usurp the powers of the court will stand though.

If you know what they are you could apprise us.
http://www.maths.ed.ac.uk/~cgga/Guide-4-WEB.pdf
Case Assessment and Interpretation of Expert Evidence
Guidance for Judges, Lawyers, Forensic Scientists and Expert Witnesses

4.2. How to evaluate the response of a sniffer dog p 76-83

page 82-83
In the final analysis, every individual case has its own unique facts and circumstances.
Experimental data produce generalisations and approximations of reality, and even evidently
flawed data may be superior to pure guesswork. Forensic scientists need to make intelligent
use of whatever pertinent data might be available to help them tame the uncertainties and deal
with the investigative and evidential demands of the instant case. Experienced and
knowledgeable forensic experts will adjust the available data, taking account of its
methodological strengths and limitations, better to reflect what they judge to be the
probabilities of obtaining particular scientific findings in the circumstances of particular
investigations or proceedings.


Doesn't that sound like the judge is expected to determine the admissibility of any cadaver dog evidence in a UK court case?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 11, 2018, 09:36:50 PM
http://www.maths.ed.ac.uk/~cgga/Guide-4-WEB.pdf
Case Assessment and Interpretation of Expert Evidence
Guidance for Judges, Lawyers, Forensic Scientists and Expert Witnesses

4.2. How to evaluate the response of a sniffer dog p 76-83

page 82-83
In the final analysis, every individual case has its own unique facts and circumstances.
Experimental data produce generalisations and approximations of reality, and even evidently
flawed data may be superior to pure guesswork. Forensic scientists need to make intelligent
use of whatever pertinent data might be available to help them tame the uncertainties and deal
with the investigative and evidential demands of the instant case. Experienced and
knowledgeable forensic experts will adjust the available data, taking account of its
methodological strengths and limitations, better to reflect what they judge to be the
probabilities of obtaining particular scientific findings in the circumstances of particular
investigations or proceedings.


Doesn't that sound like the judge is expected to determine the admissibility of any cadaver dog evidence in a UK court case?

You did take that seriously: "You too need to brush up on the duties of the expert witness"!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 11, 2018, 10:36:01 PM
It will depend on what the judge says based on all the information he receives and Mr Grime providing the judge with all relevant information including that which may cast doubt on his own opinion.
But:
"In particular the bare ipse dixit of a scientist, however eminent, upon the issue in controversy, will normally carry little weight information".
No matter how hard you try you will be unable to place Mr Grime in a position where he behaves as an advocate as that simply is not acceptable to the courts, backed up by case law.

you miss the point...the court will only accept expert witnesses from fields that are deemed reliable...as grime the expert has sated the alerts have no evidential reliability then the alerts cannot claim any reliability...then...is there any scientific evidence to support the alerts ...the answer is no...the alerts cannot be confirmed scientifically
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 11, 2018, 10:45:18 PM
You did take that seriously: "You too need to brush up on the duties of the expert witness"!

It's what I do when trying to disguise the fact I'm an idiot. ^*&&
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 11, 2018, 11:09:02 PM
Here's the section in the CÓDIGO DE PROCESSO PENAL Lei 48/2007, de 29 de Agosto re experts:

CAPÍTULO VI
Da prova pericial

*snipped*
Artigo 163.o
Valor da prova pericial
1 — O juízo técnico, científico ou artístico inerente à prova pericial presume-se subtraído à livre apreciação do julgador.
2 — Sempre que a convicção do julgador divergir do juízo contido no parecer dos peritos, deve aquele fundamentar a divergência.

,,,Article 163
Value of forensic evidence
1 — the technical, scientific or artistic judgment inherent in the forensic evidence is assumed to be subtracted from the judge's free judgement.
2 — where the conviction of the judge differs from the judgment contained in the opinion of the experts, it shall substantiate the divergence.

-------------------------------------------------------------------

What's your interpretation of that clause, please, Carana?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2018, 12:25:40 AM
Robbie Coltrane's new series features the Suzanne Pilley case and say that the cadaver dog alerts were critical evidence.

"The dogs provide the evidence and gave support that Suzanne had been murdered." "They are a remarkable tool."  "Where the car boot was situated in the garage, the dog gave an alert at that spot." Now the investigation focused on David Gilroy. Detective Chief Inspector Gary Flannigan

from "Robbie Coltrane's Critical Evidence" Series 2 Episode 8 "Into Thin Air"

"The cadaver dog provided critical evidence."
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 13, 2018, 01:35:44 AM
Robbie Coltrane's new series features the Suzanne Pilley case and say that the cadaver dog alerts were critical evidence.

"The dogs provide the evidence and gave support that Suzanne had been murdered." "They are a remarkable tool."  "Where the car boot was situated in the garage, the dog gave an alert at that spot." Now the investigation focused on David Gilroy. Detective Chief Inspector Gary Flannigan

from "Robbie Coltrane's Critical Evidence" Series 2 Episode 8 "Into Thin Air"

"The cadaver dog provided critical evidence."

In my opinion the indications provided by the cadaver dog in areas where it is likely Suzanne Pilley's remains had lain for some time, reinforced compelling evidence of CCTV footage/phone pings which proved that David Gilroy's apparently hastily arranged work related car journey had taken longer than necessary and had included evidence of off-road activity.

I think the dog indications assisted police to form an opinion about what may have been part of the sequence of events in Suzanne's disappearance ... but they were not stand alone evidence ... Gilroy was convicted as a result of an accumulation of evidence, including having a motive before the event and as a result of his actions afterwards.
Unfortunately the CCTV footage of Suzanne outside her workplace did not actually record her entering the building but obviously the jury were of the opinion the police had gathered enough evidence for them to return a guilty verdict.


Snip
Gilroy's mistake was to underestimate the huge electronic footprint that became a compelling body of evidence.

After analysing CCTV evidence, police had recreated a journey he made to Argyll and back three times.

They discovered Mr Gilroy had taken two hours longer than their average time each way.

And a comparison of fuel consumption suggested there were 124 miles unaccounted for.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Colleagues described him as seeming clammy, sweaty and with scratches on his neck and face. But he got his act together.

He made an excuse to go home and collect the car. He bought air freshners in Superdrug on Princes Street.

He used make-up to cover scratch marks on his hands.

He adjusted his diary to give him a reason to go to Argyll the following day.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As the court prosecution pointed out, Mr Gilroy, who was the one person with intimate knowledge of Ms Pilley, had gone on a journey of "no importance" the day after she had disappeared instead of "assisting the police inquiry".

He returned home that night and spent the evening with his family, all the time Ms Pilley's body was in the boot of his car.

He had made a journey to Lochgilphead, to check on a school his firm was overseeing.

However, he did not take a direct route and instead headed much further north.

He was logged at Tyndrum at 13:22, then Inveraray at 15:51 before arriving at Lochgilphead at 16:26.

Gilroy's car suspension was found by investigators to be badly damaged and it had vegetation stuck underneath.

They were convinced he had driven off road.

Detectives were certain he had detoured along the A83 to somewhere near the beauty spot, Rest and Be Thankful, with enough time to dispose of Ms Pilley's body.

A targeted, intensive search was organised for a weekend in August. The terrain was tough and ultimately Ms Pilley's body was not found.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-17358340
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 13, 2018, 02:27:44 AM
Robbie Coltrane's new series features the Suzanne Pilley case and say that the cadaver dog alerts were critical evidence.

"The dogs provide the evidence and gave support that Suzanne had been murdered." "They are a remarkable tool."  "Where the car boot was situated in the garage, the dog gave an alert at that spot." Now the investigation focused on David Gilroy. Detective Chief Inspector Gary Flannigan

from "Robbie Coltrane's Critical Evidence" Series 2 Episode 8 "Into Thin Air"

"The cadaver dog provided critical evidence."

2 dogs were used. Did one fail to alert to the car boot?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 13, 2018, 06:33:12 AM
In my opinion the indications provided by the cadaver dog in areas where it is likely Suzanne Pilley's remains had lain for some time, reinforced compelling evidence of CCTV footage/phone pings which proved that David Gilroy's apparently hastily arranged work related car journey had taken longer than necessary and had included evidence of off-road activity.

I think the dog indications assisted police to form an opinion about what may have been part of the sequence of events in Suzanne's disappearance ... but they were not stand alone evidence ... Gilroy was convicted as a result of an accumulation of evidence, including having a motive before the event and as a result of his actions afterwards.
Unfortunately the CCTV footage of Suzanne outside her workplace did not actually record her entering the building but obviously the jury were of the opinion the police had gathered enough evidence for them to return a guilty verdict.


Snip
Gilroy's mistake was to underestimate the huge electronic footprint that became a compelling body of evidence.

After analysing CCTV evidence, police had recreated a journey he made to Argyll and back three times.

They discovered Mr Gilroy had taken two hours longer than their average time each way.

And a comparison of fuel consumption suggested there were 124 miles unaccounted for.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Colleagues described him as seeming clammy, sweaty and with scratches on his neck and face. But he got his act together.

He made an excuse to go home and collect the car. He bought air freshners in Superdrug on Princes Street.

He used make-up to cover scratch marks on his hands.

He adjusted his diary to give him a reason to go to Argyll the following day.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As the court prosecution pointed out, Mr Gilroy, who was the one person with intimate knowledge of Ms Pilley, had gone on a journey of "no importance" the day after she had disappeared instead of "assisting the police inquiry".

He returned home that night and spent the evening with his family, all the time Ms Pilley's body was in the boot of his car.

He had made a journey to Lochgilphead, to check on a school his firm was overseeing.

However, he did not take a direct route and instead headed much further north.

He was logged at Tyndrum at 13:22, then Inveraray at 15:51 before arriving at Lochgilphead at 16:26.

Gilroy's car suspension was found by investigators to be badly damaged and it had vegetation stuck underneath.

They were convinced he had driven off road.

Detectives were certain he had detoured along the A83 to somewhere near the beauty spot, Rest and Be Thankful, with enough time to dispose of Ms Pilley's body.

A targeted, intensive search was organised for a weekend in August. The terrain was tough and ultimately Ms Pilley's body was not found.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-17358340

Yes, some people think the McCann alerts needed to be confirmed with forensic evidence, but corroborating evidence isn't always forensic.

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however  suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence  reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 13, 2018, 07:11:17 AM
Yes, some people think the McCann alerts needed to be confirmed with forensic evidence, but corroborating evidence isn't always forensic.

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however  suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence  reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
"forensic
adjective
1.
relating to or denoting the application of scientific methods and techniques to the investigation of crime.
"forensic evidence"
2.
relating to courts of law.
noun
1.
scientific tests or techniques used in connection with the detection of crime."


From Wikipedia:
"Corroborating evidence (or corroboration) is evidence that supports a proposition already supported by initial evidence, therefore confirming the original proposition. For example, W, a witness, testifies that she saw X drive his automobile into a green car. Meanwhile, Y, another witness, testifies that when he examined X's car, later that day, he noticed green paint on its fender. There can also be corroborating evidence related to a certain source, such as what makes an author think a certain way due to the evidence that was supplied by witnesses or objects.[1]

That is interesting in that if corroborating evidence is required the dog alert must be "initial evidence"
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 08:58:38 AM
Yes, some people think the McCann alerts needed to be confirmed with forensic evidence, but corroborating evidence isn't always forensic.

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however  suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence  reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Grime and Harrison say physical evidence... So what could that be
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 13, 2018, 09:40:19 AM
Yes, some people think the McCann alerts needed to be confirmed with forensic evidence, but corroborating evidence isn't always forensic.

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however  suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence  reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

There was no trace of Suzanne's body in either of the locations where the dog indicated interest ... under the stair well in the basement and in the boot of Gilroy's vehicle ... therefore there was no evidence to support the police theory that she had been killed in the basement and removed.

There was no single piece of evidence pointing to Gilroy's guilt.  Only when separate strands were considered as a whole was there enough compelling evidence which was accepted as proof of guilt by the jury.  It consisted of ...
I don't think I've forgotten anything ... but without all of that I doubt anything the cadaver dog indicated to in the basement would ever have seen the light of day in a courtroom and gives a clear indication of the weight of evidence required to convict.
The sceptics have in my opinion have always shown naivity when it comes to dog alerts and what constitutes evidence. 

Snip
A cadaver dog, trained to locate the scent of dead bodies, reacted in the basement garage at a bay where Gilroy’s car had been parked, at an adjoining bay, and at a door that led to the internal staircase. It also gave an alert at a recess behind the door, where a body could have been laid.
https://www.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-pilley-murder-trial-killer-keeps-secret-of-lover-s-grave-1-2175207
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 13, 2018, 09:57:03 AM
,,,Article 163
Value of forensic evidence
1 — the technical, scientific or artistic judgment inherent in the forensic evidence is assumed to be subtracted from the judge's free judgement.
2 — where the conviction of the judge differs from the judgment contained in the opinion of the experts, it shall substantiate the divergence.

-------------------------------------------------------------------

What's your interpretation of that clause, please, Carana?

Sorry, Misty, I missed your question.

TBH, I'm staring at it in the hope that a penny of meaning might drop from somewhere.

My best guess (and this might be totally wrong) is that a judge can't arbitrarily dismiss the value of the expert opinion in question: in the event of a disagreement, the judge needs to justify a different assessment.


Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 13, 2018, 10:27:49 AM
Grime and Harrison say physical evidence... So what could that be
Something more substantial than a hypothesis.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 13, 2018, 10:57:25 AM
Here's the section in the CÓDIGO DE PROCESSO PENAL Lei 48/2007, de 29 de Agosto re experts:

CAPÍTULO VI
Da prova pericial

Artigo 151.o


... etc. etc.
I do believe that is the catch of the day.  Many thanks Carana.   *&(+(+
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 11:06:36 AM
Robbie Coltrane's new series features the Suzanne Pilley case and say that the cadaver dog alerts were critical evidence.

"The dogs provide the evidence and gave support that Suzanne had been murdered." "They are a remarkable tool."  "Where the car boot was situated in the garage, the dog gave an alert at that spot." Now the investigation focused on David Gilroy. Detective Chief Inspector Gary Flannigan

from "Robbie Coltrane's Critical Evidence" Series 2 Episode 8 "Into Thin Air"

"The cadaver dog provided critical evidence."
You quote Robbie Coltrane and I will quote martin grime
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 13, 2018, 12:46:49 PM
Grime and Harrison say physical evidence... So what could that be

Grime didn't say that in my quote. Corroborating evidence is anything which supports a hypothesis.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 01:30:15 PM
Grime didn't say that in my quote. Corroborating evidence is anything which supports a hypothesis.

You need to read all the quotes made by Grime and Harrison.... They both specifically refer to physical evidence..
Again it seems, there is something  you are unaware  of

After the conclusion of the searches, a meeting in the Portimao offices of the PJ took place in the cabinet of Goncalo AMARAL and those present included Guilermino ENCARNACO, an official representative from the Leicestershire police, Martin GRIME and myself. During the meeting were exhibited videos with the details of search activities including the sniffer dogs lead by Martin GRIME. GRIME commented on the actions of the dogs and added that no confirmed evidence or information could be taken from the alerts by the dogs but needed to be confirmed with physical evidence.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON-RIGATORY.htm

then from grime..

Once the alert has been given by the dog, it is up to the investigator/forensic scientist to locate, identify and scientifically provide the evidence of DNA, etc.

http://mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES_RIGATORY.htm

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 13, 2018, 01:44:53 PM
You need to read all the quotes made by Grime and Harrison.... They both specifically refer to physical evidence..
Again it seems, there is something  you are unaware  of

After the conclusion of the searches, a meeting in the Portimao offices of the PJ took place in the cabinet of Goncalo AMARAL and those present included Guilermino ENCARNACO, an official representative from the Leicestershire police, Martin GRIME and myself. During the meeting were exhibited videos with the details of search activities including the sniffer dogs lead by Martin GRIME. GRIME commented on the actions of the dogs and added that no confirmed evidence or information could be taken from the alerts by the dogs but needed to be confirmed with physical evidence.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON-RIGATORY.htm

then from grime..

Once the alert has been given by the dog, it is up to the investigator/forensic scientist to locate, identify and scientifically provide the evidence of DNA, etc.

http://mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES_RIGATORY.htm

There was none in the Gilroy case, just corroborting evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 02:11:03 PM
There was none in the Gilroy case, just corroborting evidence.

And what do you imagine that proves... There is evidence that that the dog evidence was considered unreliable


Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 13, 2018, 02:14:00 PM
There was none in the Gilroy case, just corroborting evidence.

Sorry, I'm not picking up on your meaning.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 13, 2018, 02:18:16 PM
You quote Robbie Coltrane and I will quote martin grime

I'll see your Martin Grime and raise a John Coltrane.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZcN5LP4WLAA
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 02:23:32 PM
I'll see your Martin Grime and raise a John Coltrane.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZcN5LP4WLAA

strange choice..Coltrane payed cracker ...the criminal profiler....as used in the Colin Stagg case and we know what use that was.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 02:30:17 PM
There was none in the Gilroy case, just corroborting evidence.

so the alerts were not corroborated.. I emailed the SCCRC re the case and have been told my request is being dealt with as a FOI reuqest...so at least I will get some response
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 02:44:42 PM
There was none in the Gilroy case, just corroborting evidence.

once again you are making assunptions...who says the alerts were corroborated...another pointer tha you do not understand the evidence...it may well be the alerts ahve been discredited
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 13, 2018, 02:50:25 PM
once again you are making assunptions...who says the alerts were corroborated...another pointer tha you do not understand the evidence...it may well be the alerts ahve been discredited

Not according to Grime they haven't.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 02:54:27 PM
Not according to Grime they haven't.

I'm talking about the Gilroy case... Grime does not support the alerts as evidence in the McCann case..
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 13, 2018, 03:06:01 PM
I'm talking about the Gilroy case... Grime does not support the alerts as evidence in the McCann case..

Not officially but he believes Ediie did alert to cadaver scent.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 03:23:06 PM
Not officially but he believes Ediie did alert to cadaver scent.

Cite... You can't give a cite so is just an unsubstantiated  claim
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 13, 2018, 03:28:04 PM
Cite

I'm afraid I can't post a cite but I do know he believed in Eddie and that he genuinely alerted in accordance with his training regimes.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 03:32:18 PM
I'm afraid I can't post a cite but I do know he believed in Eddie and that he genuinely alerted in accordance with his training regimes.

So now it's not cadaver scent but training regime which include blood... That's why you need a cite
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 13, 2018, 03:34:48 PM
So now it's not cadaver scent but training regime which include blood... That's why you need a cite

But his training regimes included cadaver scent.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 03:37:50 PM
But his training regimes included cadaver scent.

And blood.. Theres, confusion already...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 13, 2018, 04:06:21 PM
And blood.. Theres, confusion already...

Ah but blood was easily excluded using Keela.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 04:27:28 PM
Ah but blood was easily excluded using Keela.
waht about other body fluids in the training regime

you make a clain and have no cite...you say grime confirmed cadaver then you change it to within training regime...your claim ..imo...therfore has no credibility..

I have a quote from grime saying its possible the alert was to cadaver...Harrison says something similar...both say the alerts ahve no evidential vlue...I have a cite for all that....mine can all be confirmed...yours cannot
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 13, 2018, 05:33:14 PM
strange choice..Coltrane payed cracker ...the criminal profiler....as used in the Colin Stagg case and we know what use that was.

John Coltrane played tenor and soprano saxophones. See the youtube clip I posted.
Robbie Coltrane who played Cracker took his stage surname from John Coltrane.
There is nothing strange about the choice of John Coltrane.
Simples.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 05:50:34 PM
John Coltrane played tenor and soprano saxophones. See the youtube clip I posted.
Robbie Coltrane who played Cracker took his stage surname from John Coltrane.
There is nothing strange about the choice of John Coltrane.
Simples.

I obviously  didn't give your post the attention you felt it deserved
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 13, 2018, 06:01:29 PM
And what do you imagine that proves... There is evidence that that the dog evidence was considered unreliable

That corroborating evidence plus alerts without forensic confirmation can be used to secure a conviction. The courts didn't find anything to be unreliable.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2018, 06:19:41 PM
You can watch the episode if you have Sky. Season 2 Episode 8 "Into Thin Air".

Robbie Coltrane’s Critical Evidence came to a climatic end this Sunday. Looking at a tragic missing persons case turned murder case, an investigation that still runs till this day with a body having never been found…

So let’s take a closer look under the microscope!

It all started as a missing persons case, but after a week of combing through CCTV footage from across the city of Edinburgh, the case became that of a murder investigation. Suzanne Pilley, a small town bookkeeper in the city of Edinburgh, had begun her day like any other, got on the morning bus and walked to her office. But this was as far as she got, as it was here that she was murdered, before being dumped in the Scottish highlands.

This is what police investigators strongly believed was the case and they had one man in their line of questioning, Suzanne’s boss, David Gilroy. However from the outset he had been very forthcoming with police, providing them with details of her personal life, her friends, relationships and police took this as useful information but it didn’t arouse suspicion.

Though as time passed, small shreds of evidence began to mount up into a clearer picture of events and Gilroy was most definitely in the frame. It had surfaced that he and Suzanne had been engaged in an affair and it had been far from loving, with Suzanne’s family informing police of Gilroy’s violent temper. Now police had a solid suspect, they could start piecing evidence together, the first breakthrough coming from the cadaver dogs. They were sent in to search for any clues of a body having been in the office complex, in which the bookies were situated. They unearthed 3 distinct traces of a decomposing body being in 3 separate locations within the building, the main one being Gilroy’s work parking space, at the end at which the boot of his car was.

From this, officers now knew that a body had been moved and more than likely put into the boot of Gilroy’s car. This was then paired with CCTV evidence of Gilroy’s movements on the day of Suzanne’s disappearance, in which he had acted out of character, being seen several times wandering up and down the lane by the parking bays of his office and then a second time returning to the office with a plastic bag, which after investigation of purchase receipts was found to contain air fresheners.

Further to this was the journey that Gilroy had taken the following day after Suzanne’s disappearance, in which he had to travel to the other side of Scotland, cutting through the Scottish highlands, a remote and heavily wooded area. Now this was a scheduled journey that he had had to take, but police chose not to take this at face value and instead painstakingly worked out the route he took and how long it should have taken him. They conducted fuel tests to see how much he should have used, had he taken the route, without any form of deviation and this is where the critical evidence was uncovered. On the remote portion of his route that should have taken just over thirty minutes to pass through, Gilroy had taken almost two and half hours and similarly had taken roughly the same amount of time on his journey back. He had also switched his phone off and then on again either side of entering and leaving the area.

So police had the connection of a body having been moved and being placed in a parking space belonging to David Gilroy, they had his erratic behaviour captured on CCTV and the purchase of air fresheners and now they had him taking a journey but with significant detours. This was evidence of him having murdered Suzanne Pilley in the bookies, dragging her body down a fire escape and then dumping her body in his boot and buying air fresheners to try and mask the smell of her decomposing body. The following day he had journeyed across the remote area of Scotland, removed her body from his boot and hidden or buried it in the dense woodland.

However, this was all circumstantial evidence as they had no body to tie Gilroy with the actual murder and only 4 cases of a ‘no body’ murder conviction had ever seen a guilty verdict, but police believed they had enough evidence to charge Gilroy and on 15th March 2012 he was sentenced, by majority verdict, to life imprisonment for the murder of Suzanne Pilley.

To this day her body has never been found and Gilroy has never admitted to her murder or the possible location of her body and so the case remains open. The question this raises is did Gilroy deserve the sentence of life when his guilt was not 100% proven?

http://www.crimeandinvestigation.co.uk/shows/robbie-coltranes-critical-evidence/articles/episode-8-under-the-microscope
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 06:22:59 PM
That corroborating evidence plus alerts without forensic confirmation can be used to secure a conviction. The courts didn't find anything to be unreliable.

It is only you saying the alerts are corroborated... You are making things up... It will be interesting to see what my FOI request brings up
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 13, 2018, 06:50:34 PM
It is only you saying the alerts are corroborated... You are making things up... It will be interesting to see what my FOI request brings up

I don't make things up. Whatever you 'turn up' had no effect on the verdict, the appeal or the findings of the SCCRC.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 13, 2018, 08:59:56 PM
And what do you imagine that proves... There is evidence that that the dog evidence was considered unreliable

Apart from the family’s anguished claim after Gilroy’s case was closed by the SCRCC there is no evidence that the aforementioned SCRCC said any such thing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2018, 09:03:56 PM
Apart from the family’s anguished claim after Gilroy’s case was closed by the SCRCC there is no evidence that the aforementioned SCRCC said any such thing.

so there is evidence from the family.....and we await my FOI request
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 14, 2018, 01:14:57 AM
And blood.. Theres, confusion already...
And Eddie was trained on dead piglets

Once a dog has been trained on something, he cannot be detrained.

So Eddie was trained on :

1)  Dessicated blood from a living person
2)  Cadaver odour from dead piglets
3)  And at some time, after the period we are thinking of IIRC, he was trained ion the USA on human cadavers
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 06:02:45 AM
And Eddie was trained on dead piglets

Once a dog has been trained on something, he cannot be detrained.

So Eddie was trained on :

1)  Dessicated blood from a living person
2)  Cadaver odour from dead piglets
3)  And at some time, after the period we are thinking of IIRC, he was trained ion the USA on human cadavers

And?

In my role as advisor to the U.S. Justice Department I have facilitated assessment of numerous cadaver search dog teams in the United States. These dogs are exclusively trained using human cadaver sources. When I
introduced decomposing pig cadavers into training assessments 100 % of the animals alerted to the medium.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 14, 2018, 06:56:26 AM
And?

In my role as advisor to the U.S. Justice Department I have facilitated assessment of numerous cadaver search dog teams in the United States. These dogs are exclusively trained using human cadaver sources. When I
introduced decomposing pig cadavers into training assessments 100 % of the animals alerted to the medium.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
I don't believe that means a cadaver dog will be fooled by a bacon sandwich.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 08:06:23 AM
I don't believe that means a cadaver dog will be fooled by a bacon sandwich.

Whoever thinks it might is clutching at straws in my opinion;

"The initial training of the dog was conducted using human blood and
stil born decomposing piglets. The importance of this is that the dog is
introduced to the scent of a decomposing body NOT FOODSTUFF. This
ensures that the dog disregards the 'bacon sandwich' and 'kebab' etc that is
ever present in the background environment. Therefore the dog would
remain efficient searching for a cadaver in a café where the clientele were sat
eating bacon sandwiches."
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 08:38:55 AM
Whoever thinks it might is clutching at straws in my opinion;

This ensures that the dog disregards the 'bacon sandwich' and 'kebab' etc that is ever present in the background environment. Therefore the dog would remain efficient searching for a cadaver in a café where the clientele were sat
eating bacon sandwiches.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

These alerts have not been corroborated.... And  therefore they have no evidential  value or reliability and no inference can be drawn from them
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 14, 2018, 11:15:33 AM
waht about other body fluids in the training regime

you make a clain and have no cite...you say grime confirmed cadaver then you change it to within training regime...your claim ..imo...therfore has no credibility..

I have a quote from grime saying its possible the alert was to cadaver...Harrison says something similar...both say the alerts ahve no evidential vlue...I have a cite for all that....mine can all be confirmed...yours cannot

Grime is legally constrained as to what he could and can say publicly in this case but he is the dog expert who trained Eddie so was best placed to know if any alert was significant.  It is my understanding that he believes the dog did alert to a cadaver related odour.  Where that odour came from however was the subject of a long debate previously.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 11:27:34 AM
Grime is legally constrained as to what he could and can say publicly in this case but he is the dog expert who trained Eddie so was best placed to know if any alert was significant.  It is my understanding that he believes the dog did alert to a cadaver related odour.  Where that odour came from however was the subject of a long debate previously.
It's not really important... We have several statements from Grime and Harrison...
No cite no credibility... Imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 14, 2018, 11:42:39 AM
It's not really important... We have several statements from Grime and Harrison...
No cite no credibility... Imo


Can not believe how you can think -  the dogs failed....or Martin Grime.

Probably posted before, but interesting all the same.


http://themaddiecasefiles.com/martin-grime-and-eddie-and-keela-t35.html
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 14, 2018, 11:43:12 AM
Whoever thinks it might is clutching at straws in my opinion;

This ensures that the dog disregards the 'bacon sandwich' and 'kebab' etc that is ever present in the background environment. Therefore the dog would remain efficient searching for a cadaver in a café where the clientele were sat
eating bacon sandwiches.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

The dog did grab food from a kitchen in his mouth and run with it until reprimanded during the filmed inspection of the apartments, though.
May not have been a bacon sandwich ... but it was in his mouth as was CC in the villa and as were items of Kate and Sean's clothing in the gymnasium.  So if we can see what grabs his attention it equals nothing?  But if we cannot see what grabs his attention it equals 'cadaver scent'?

Hmmm ... I think there may be a big dose of 'emperor' and 'new clothes' coming on there ... to say nothing of Zampo.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 11:48:58 AM

Can not believe how you can think -  the dogs failed....or Martin Grime.

Probably posted before, but interesting all the same.


http://themaddiecasefiles.com/martin-grime-and-eddie-and-keela-t35.html

I have never said either failed... Just failed to find any evidence

SY agree Maddie may still be alive or may be dead... Which is the same situation without any alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: kizzy on March 14, 2018, 12:17:08 PM
I have never said either failed... Just failed to find any evidence

SY agree Maddie may still be alive or may be dead... Which is the same situation without any alerts


The same situation as in - no evidence of abduction, either.

With a lot more searching than 2 dogs. not to mention the millions spent.

Its like when you think about it, you cant  misunderstand evidence on abduction - because there is nothing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 14, 2018, 01:15:04 PM
It's not really important... We have several statements from Grime and Harrison...
No cite no credibility... Imo

Sorry but I am unable to share my emails with you for obvious reasons.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 01:28:53 PM
Sorry but I am unable to share my emails with you for obvious reasons.

I'm not really interested.... There, enough in the public domain to understand the dogs and the alerts...without a cite your claim is worthless
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 01:35:42 PM

The same situation as in - no evidence of abduction, either.

With a lot more searching than 2 dogs. not to mention the millions spent.

Its like when you think about it, you cant  misunderstand evidence on abduction - because there is nothing.

http://www.news.com.au/world/europe/manhunt-underway-as-madeleine-mccann-seen-in-paraguay/news-story/5c6e499bc67915955743cb1e939bea92

March 2016
snipped
Despite the latest ‘sighting’ being discredited, it is still understood to have sparked an investigation.

Commissioner Sanny Amarilla, Deputy Chief of one of the police stations hunting for Maddie, confirmed four stations in Areguá, intelligence personnel from the Interior Ministry and local Interpol divisions are looking for the young girl.

He said: “We are investigating neighbourhoods where there are foreign citizens, villas, condos, to see if there is someone with a similar description that corresponds to the newspaper clipping.

“This news stretches across the globe, it is very important. So if they are in the area we need to find this girl and return her to her family.”
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Interpol don't look for dead children. Clearly there is evidence Madeleine was abducted - we just don't know what it is.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 01:37:55 PM
Sorry but I am unable to share my emails with you for obvious reasons.

As I've said before it would be extremely  unprofessional of Grime to share information Re, an on-going case... And you have repeated his supposed opinion... I find the whole thing unrealistic... I think you've been had
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 01:48:25 PM
The dog did grab food from a kitchen in his mouth and run with it until reprimanded during the filmed inspection of the apartments, though.
May not have been a bacon sandwich ... but it was in his mouth as was CC in the villa and as were items of Kate and Sean's clothing in the gymnasium.  So if we can see what grabs his attention it equals nothing?  But if we cannot see what grabs his attention it equals 'cadaver scent'?

Hmmm ... I think there may be a big dose of 'emperor' and 'new clothes' coming on there ... to say nothing of Zampo.

Most dogs, like people, take food in their mouths in order to eat it. They're unlikely to take non-food items in their mouths for the same reason. In my opinion that's more likely to be connected to the dog's vomeronasal organ.
https://www.dailydogdiscoveries.com/dogs-vomeronasal-organ/
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 14, 2018, 01:55:10 PM
The dog did grab food from a kitchen in his mouth and run with it until reprimanded during the filmed inspection of the apartments, though.
May not have been a bacon sandwich ... but it was in his mouth as was CC in the villa and as were items of Kate and Sean's clothing in the gymnasium.  So if we can see what grabs his attention it equals nothing?  But if we cannot see what grabs his attention it equals 'cadaver scent'?

Hmmm ... I think there may be a big dose of 'emperor' and 'new clothes' coming on there ... to say nothing of Zampo.

It is the alert which is important. Did Eddie alert to the foodstuff in his mouth before picking it up ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 01:58:49 PM
It is the alert which is important. Did Eddie alert to the foodstuff in his mouth before picking it up ?

the alerts..this is what I find strange...and what the pj found strange too..


u) From the screening of the videos, referred previously, done when the dogs were working, some doubts arise. We don't want and we can't take the place of the trainer, we only wish to alert, with this paragraph, to some facts, that according to us, need further clarification.

v) If the dog is trained to react when he detects what he is looking for, why, in most of the cases, we see the dog passing more than once by that place in an uninterested way, until he finally signals the place where he had already passed several times'


so not just CC but most of the alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 14, 2018, 02:11:05 PM
the alerts..this is what I find strange...and what the pj found strange too..


u) From the screening of the videos, referred previously, done when the dogs were working, some doubts arise. We don't want and we can't take the place of the trainer, we only wish to alert, with this paragraph, to some facts, that according to us, need further clarification.

v) If the dog is trained to react when he detects what he is looking for, why, in most of the cases, we see the dog passing more than once by that place in an uninterested way, until he finally signals the place where he had already passed several times'


so not just CC but most of the alerts

Could you provide context for those questions please ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 02:35:47 PM
Could you provide context for those questions please ?
You mean you haven't seen  them before... 2 min

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ANALYSIS-11-VOLUMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 14, 2018, 03:05:04 PM
Most dogs, like people, take food in their mouths in order to eat it. They're unlikely to take non-food items in their mouths for the same reason. In my opinion that's more likely to be connected to the dog's vomeronasal organ.
https://www.dailydogdiscoveries.com/dogs-vomeronasal-organ/

Perhaps you should endeavour to read cites prior to posting ... but enough diversion ... let's return to the topic.

Evidence!  Misunderstanding of which causes so much ... misunderstanding.  We have all read about Eddie's prowess and his training regime and whether he used his vomeronasal-organ when working at his day job will forever remain a mystery but since it is part of the anatomy of the dog nose I imagine not.

Perhaps you can provide a cite which says Eddie's trained response when working in the field included picking up waste food from a kitchen bin? and running around with potential evidence in his mouth ... then you might have ammunition to give weight to your argument.
Otherwise in my opinion you are either playing games or waffling.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 14, 2018, 03:22:45 PM
Perhaps you should endeavour to read cites prior to posting ... but enough diversion ... let's return to the topic.

Evidence!  Misunderstanding of which causes so much ... misunderstanding.  We have all read about Eddie's prowess and his training regime and whether he used his vomeronasal-organ when working at his day job will forever remain a mystery but since it is part of the anatomy of the dog nose I imagine not.

Perhaps you can provide a cite which says Eddie's trained response when working in the field included picking up waste food from a kitchen bin? and running around with potential evidence in his mouth ... then you might have ammunition to give weight to your argument.
Otherwise in my opinion you are either playing games or waffling.

I think it is safe to say you aren’t a forensic dog handler or trainer so we are on fairly solid ground in assuming your attempt at casting doubt on the dogs is not based on knowledge.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 14, 2018, 03:40:48 PM
As I've said before it would be extremely  unprofessional of Grime to share information Re, an on-going case... And you have repeated his supposed opinion... I find the whole thing unrealistic... I think you've been had

I don't think so.  Even Kate McCann accepted the dog alerts to the extent she had to address them. Gerry on the other hand attempted to dismiss them which sort of speaks for itself imo.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 14, 2018, 03:44:06 PM
I think it is safe to say you aren’t a forensic dog handler or trainer so we are on fairly solid ground in assuming your attempt at casting doubt on the dogs is not based on knowledge.

It isn't really safe for you to make any assumption about any other member is it?

Maybe you think it is normal for a working dog who we are told apparently does not become distracted by food to be seen becoming distracted by food.  One doesn't really require to be much of a dog expert to find that a bit extraordinary does one?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 14, 2018, 03:51:01 PM
It isn't really safe for you to make any assumption about any other member is it?

Maybe you think it is normal for a working dog who we are told apparently does not become distracted by food to be seen becoming distracted by food.  One doesn't really require to be much of a dog expert to find that a bit extraordinary does one?

Which comment drops you neatly back into square one. If you know nothing about the subject you are in no position to make any sensible contribution whatever.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 04:00:55 PM
I previously posted about this on the dog poll thread, but for those who haven't read it I'll leave you to decide whether the dog or handler was the weak link.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Preston_(dog_handler)

John Preston (died 2008)[1] was a dog handler and former state trooper from Pennsylvania[2] who testified for the prosecution in criminal cases across the country in the early 1980s.[3] Preston claimed that his dog (named Harass II[4] or Harrass 2[5]) could perform feats of forensic detection far beyond the abilities of other investigative dogs.[3]

As an expert, Preston was paid $300 per day; in his previous job as a Pennsylvania state trooper, he was paid $20,000 per year.[1] Brevard County, Florida, paid Preston $37,429 in the first half of 1984 alone.[1]
Claimed abilities of his dog
Preston claimed that his dog could smell human traces years or months after a suspect walked over the ground,[6] on heavily trafficked streets,[1] or both.[7] He claimed that his dog could smell underwater, and, in a case against a man who was eventually freed on DNA evidence, Preston claimed that his dog could track a human scent even after hurricanes.[8] Tracking dog experts say these feats are impossible.[7][8]

Preston's dog would sometimes urinate on the evidence while Preston claimed it was working.

Repudiated testimony
Preston's testimony was repudiated by the Kings County District Attorney in New York and the Arizona Supreme Court, who called him a "charlatan".[1][3] A U.S. Postal Service investigation in 1983 claimed Preston led Harass II to the results requested by investigators, which Preston requested before using the dog.[1]

When tested by Judge Gilbert Goshorn during a 1984 trial in Brevard, Florida, Harass II failed to track a scent much simpler, fresher, and shorter in length than those it supposedly tracked in other cases.[2][4][8] Goshorn offered Preston another chance at the test the next day, but Preston left town instead.[1][2] He did not return to Brevard to testify again.[1]

In a 2008 affidavit, Goshorn said:[1]

It is my belief that the only way Preston could achieve the results he achieved in numerous other cases was having obtained information about the case prior to the scent tracking so that Preston could lead the dog to the suspect or evidence in question. I believe that Preston was regularly retained to confirm the state's preconceived notions about a case.

Sam Bardwell, a former prosecutor in Brevard County, Florida in the 1980s who used Preston as a witness in a rape case, has claimed that "John Preston was a total fraud, and everyone knew it."[1] Karen Brandon, who worked in the same office at the same time, denied that anyone knew this.[1]

Preston testified falsely at least twice about his certification as a tracking expert.[9] Preston was never charged with any crime.

Effect and fallout
Preston helped convict at least two men who were eventually freed by DNA evidence.[4] Each spent more than twenty years in prison.[2] One, Bill Dillon, was not informed of the repudiation of Preston's testimony until 2006.[8] The state of Florida had launched no investigation into Preston's cases.[8]

The Brevard/Seminole State Attorney claimed that it would not be possible to discover which cases Preston testified in.[4] Later, he announced that he would "re-review" those cases, but that the cases had already been reviewed in 2004.[2][11] The 2004 review did not flag the case of Bill Dillon, who was later freed on DNA evidence contradicting Preston's testimony.[11] In 2009, J. Preston Silvernail, chief judge of Florida's 18th judicial circuit, declined to call a grand jury to investigate the Florida State Attorney's Office's hiring of Preston.[12]

Preston testified as an expert witness at dozens of criminal trials in Florida.[13] The Innocence Project of Florida believes that as many as 60 people may have been convicted based partially or solely upon Preston's testimony. Florida Today found 15 cases in which Preston testified.[1][6]

Across the country, Preston's testimony resulted in over 100 criminal convictions.
                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 14, 2018, 04:16:28 PM
Which comment drops you neatly back into square one. If you know nothing about the subject you are in no position to make any sensible contribution whatever.

Were that rule of yours to be observed across the board ... the potential for a benign and happy social media scene would be immense ... as very few would be able to meet the criteria.  Possibly not even you ;)
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 14, 2018, 04:20:07 PM
I previously posted about this on the dog poll thread, but for those who haven't read it I'll leave you to decide whether the dog or handler was the weak link.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Preston_(dog_handler)

John Preston (died 2008)[1] was a dog handler and former state trooper from Pennsylvania[2] who testified for the prosecution in criminal cases across the country in the early 1980s.[3] Preston claimed that his dog (named Harass II[4] or Harrass 2[5]) could perform feats of forensic detection far beyond the abilities of other investigative dogs.[3]

As an expert, Preston was paid $300 per day; in his previous job as a Pennsylvania state trooper, he was paid $20,000 per year.[1] Brevard County, Florida, paid Preston $37,429 in the first half of 1984 alone.[1]
Claimed abilities of his dog
Preston claimed that his dog could smell human traces years or months after a suspect walked over the ground,[6] on heavily trafficked streets,[1] or both.[7] He claimed that his dog could smell underwater, and, in a case against a man who was eventually freed on DNA evidence, Preston claimed that his dog could track a human scent even after hurricanes.[8] Tracking dog experts say these feats are impossible.[7][8]

Preston's dog would sometimes urinate on the evidence while Preston claimed it was working.

Repudiated testimony
Preston's testimony was repudiated by the Kings County District Attorney in New York and the Arizona Supreme Court, who called him a "charlatan".[1][3] A U.S. Postal Service investigation in 1983 claimed Preston led Harass II to the results requested by investigators, which Preston requested before using the dog.[1]

When tested by Judge Gilbert Goshorn during a 1984 trial in Brevard, Florida, Harass II failed to track a scent much simpler, fresher, and shorter in length than those it supposedly tracked in other cases.[2][4][8] Goshorn offered Preston another chance at the test the next day, but Preston left town instead.[1][2] He did not return to Brevard to testify again.[1]

In a 2008 affidavit, Goshorn said:[1]

It is my belief that the only way Preston could achieve the results he achieved in numerous other cases was having obtained information about the case prior to the scent tracking so that Preston could lead the dog to the suspect or evidence in question. I believe that Preston was regularly retained to confirm the state's preconceived notions about a case.

Sam Bardwell, a former prosecutor in Brevard County, Florida in the 1980s who used Preston as a witness in a rape case, has claimed that "John Preston was a total fraud, and everyone knew it."[1] Karen Brandon, who worked in the same office at the same time, denied that anyone knew this.[1]

Preston testified falsely at least twice about his certification as a tracking expert.[9] Preston was never charged with any crime.

Effect and fallout
Preston helped convict at least two men who were eventually freed by DNA evidence.[4] Each spent more than twenty years in prison.[2] One, Bill Dillon, was not informed of the repudiation of Preston's testimony until 2006.[8] The state of Florida had launched no investigation into Preston's cases.[8]

The Brevard/Seminole State Attorney claimed that it would not be possible to discover which cases Preston testified in.[4] Later, he announced that he would "re-review" those cases, but that the cases had already been reviewed in 2004.[2][11] The 2004 review did not flag the case of Bill Dillon, who was later freed on DNA evidence contradicting Preston's testimony.[11] In 2009, J. Preston Silvernail, chief judge of Florida's 18th judicial circuit, declined to call a grand jury to investigate the Florida State Attorney's Office's hiring of Preston.[12]

Preston testified as an expert witness at dozens of criminal trials in Florida.[13] The Innocence Project of Florida believes that as many as 60 people may have been convicted based partially or solely upon Preston's testimony. Florida Today found 15 cases in which Preston testified.[1][6]

Across the country, Preston's testimony resulted in over 100 criminal convictions.
                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------

There are rogues in every profession, even police officers and doctors and that is why we have corroboration before charging anyone with a crime when confronted by scent dog indications.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 05:22:45 PM
Perhaps you should endeavour to read cites prior to posting ... but enough diversion ... let's return to the topic.

Evidence!  Misunderstanding of which causes so much ... misunderstanding.  We have all read about Eddie's prowess and his training regime and whether he used his vomeronasal-organ when working at his day job will forever remain a mystery but since it is part of the anatomy of the dog nose I imagine not.

Perhaps you can provide a cite which says Eddie's trained response when working in the field included picking up waste food from a kitchen bin? and running around with potential evidence in his mouth ... then you might have ammunition to give weight to your argument.
Otherwise in my opinion you are either playing games or waffling.

I haven't a clue what you mean about reading cites, please explain.

Is there evidence that Eddie was forbidden to use his mouth?  I'm afraid I haven't seen that, so I would appreciate a cite please.

The vomeronasal organ is also connected to the mouth.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 05:40:43 PM
I haven't a clue what you mean about reading cites, please explain.

Is there evidence that Eddie was forbidden to use his mouth?  I'm afraid I haven't seen that, so I would appreciate a cite please.

The vomeronasal organ is also connected to the mouth.
Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 14, 2018, 05:49:10 PM
Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?
That concern seems a valid point but it hasn't been raised before AFAIK.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 05:55:38 PM
That concern seems a valid point but it hasn't been raised before AFAIK.
Perhaps the dogs are thoroughly decontaminated after every search, put through a sheep dip for dogs and their teeth brushed and noses scrubbed? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 14, 2018, 06:25:00 PM
Perhaps the dogs are thoroughly decontaminated after every search, put through a sheep dip for dogs and their teeth brushed and noses scrubbed?
I would imagine  the cadaver dog trainers are keen not to give their dog bad experiences after using their dogs.  In my experience dogs could be upset by the procedures you describe.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 06:25:56 PM
Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?

As this thread is about evidence perhaps you could provide some rather than basing your opinion on what seems reasonable and logical to you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 14, 2018, 06:36:57 PM
As this thread is about evidence perhaps you could provide some rather than basing your opinion on what seems reasonable and logical to you.
The issue raised by Vertigo Swirl could be raised against the evidence of the dogs by the defence team.  If raised it could cast an element of doubt on their findings.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 06:44:04 PM
As this thread is about evidence perhaps you could provide some rather than basing your opinion on what seems reasonable and logical to you.

Is it your opinion that the examination of the alleged crime scene, carried out by the dogs was forensically acceptable? Would you (or a court) have considered any tangible evidence collected by humans using the same method as the dogs to be reliable?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 06:44:32 PM
As this thread is about evidence perhaps you could provide some rather than basing your opinion on what seems reasonable and logical to you.
Some evidence of what exactly (apart from my own IMO reasonable and logical conclusions)?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 14, 2018, 06:45:14 PM
Were that rule of yours to be observed across the board ... the potential for a benign and happy social media scene would be immense ... as very few would be able to meet the criteria.  Possibly not even you ;)

I appear to have misread the sign on the door then.
The actions are far from benign; abuse, aggression and condescension seemingly being the order of the day. I was just following suit.
I'll go look for the benign happy room.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 06:46:57 PM
The issue raised by Vertigo Swirl could be raised against the evidence of the dogs by the defence team.  If raised it could cast an element of doubt on their findings.

They could ask the question of Grime and he would answer. It would then be up to the Judge/jury to decide if his answer was satisfactory.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 06:51:16 PM
They could ask the question of Grime and he would answer. It would then be up to the Judge/jury to decide if his answer was satisfactory.

Grime has already given his opinion  re the alerts...as has Harrison...no evidential relaibility...are you sugggesting he might change it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 06:51:52 PM
Some evidence of what exactly (apart from my own reasonable and logical conclusions)?

In the absence of evidence to support our claims we are required to include an imo, I am told.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 06:57:17 PM
Grime has already given his opinion  re the alerts...as has Harrison...no evidential relaibility...are you sugggesting he might change it

It wasn't his opinion of the alerts that was being discussed, it was a layman's opinion of his training methods. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 07:00:11 PM
It wasn't his opinion of the alerts that was being discussed, it was a layman's opinion of his training methods.

but how can the alerts even be considered as evidence if Grime and Harrison say they have no evidential reliability
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 07:03:07 PM
Does anyone know who in the SYP conducted the regular testing of Eddie?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 07:12:02 PM
In the absence of evidence to support our claims we are required to include an imo, I am told.
I think you will find that if you review what I wrote carefully, I made no unsubstantiated claims, merely posed a couple of questions and was only seeking your opinion - I take your unnecessary request for evidence as an attempt at deflection.

Here's what I wrote again:

Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?

You can of course answer: no it does not stand to reason that a dog should be trained not to contaminate a crime scene, and no risk of cross-contamination from the dog, and that will be the end of it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 14, 2018, 07:24:22 PM
I think you will find that if you review what I wrote carefully, I made no unsubstantiated claims, merely posed a couple of questions and was only seeking your opinion - I take your unnecessary request for evidence as an attempt at deflection.

Here's what I wrote again:

Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?

You can of course answer: no it does not stand to reason that a dog should be trained not to contaminate a crime scene, and no risk of cross-contamination from the dog, and that will be the end of it.
I doubt that a simple denial will resolve anything?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 14, 2018, 07:31:17 PM
I think you will find that if you review what I wrote carefully, I made no unsubstantiated claims, merely posed a couple of questions and was only seeking your opinion - I take your unnecessary request for evidence as an attempt at deflection.

Here's what I wrote again:

Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?

You can of course answer: no it does not stand to reason that a dog should be trained not to contaminate a crime scene, and no risk of cross-contamination from the dog, and that will be the end of it.

OK then Ace you tell us how it should be done or does your ability extend merely as far as "only asking questions" ? Which if you will pardon my bluntness adds nothing to debate.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 14, 2018, 07:42:07 PM
Does it not stand to reason that a dog trained to look for evidence in a crime scene should also be trained not to pick up (and contaminate) potential evidence in his mouth?  Say Eddie had previously been rootling around some old cadaver, and then snuffled his way around a crime scene looking for evidence.  Any risk of cross contamination there, in your opinion?

I would expect a dog of this type would not be trained to high levels of obedience which may lead to it being too focused on the handler and less on the task in hand.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 14, 2018, 07:48:02 PM
You mean you haven't seen  them before... 2 min

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ANALYSIS-11-VOLUMES.htm

Of course I have. I was more interested in Grime’s answers.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 07:56:46 PM
Does anyone know who in the SYP conducted the regular testing of Eddie?

It was ACPO which assessed, tested and licensed Eddie.

U.K., A.C.P.O. licensed and accredited cadaver dogs

Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases and is scenario based conducted over a period of a week, twice annually, it is conducted utilising independent A.C.P.O. authorised assessors.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 14, 2018, 07:59:48 PM
It was ACPO which assessed, tested and licensed Eddie.

U.K., A.C.P.O. licensed and accredited cadaver dogs

Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases and is scenario based conducted over a period of a week, twice annually, it is conducted utilising independent A.C.P.O. authorised assessors.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

so its anectdotal and not scientific as you claimed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 08:09:32 PM
OK then Ace you tell us how it should be done or does your ability extend merely as far as "only asking questions" ? Which if you will pardon my bluntness adds nothing to debate.
It seems to me that your role on this forum is to antagonise and name call.  For this reason I consider your ripostes unworthy of consideration or further reply.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 14, 2018, 08:22:15 PM
It seems to me that your role on this forum is to antagonise and name call.  For these reasons I consider your ripostes unworthy of consideration or further reply.
It might seem like that at times but I'd say just try and do the things that Alice asks and see where it takes you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 08:58:44 PM
It was ACPO which assessed, tested and licensed Eddie.

U.K., A.C.P.O. licensed and accredited cadaver dogs

Licensing is derived from anecdotal cases and is scenario based conducted over a period of a week, twice annually, it is conducted utilising independent A.C.P.O. authorised assessors.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Here is a link to the ACPO dog training manual, implemented in 2011. Page 116 onward deals with Victim Detection Dogs.
https://www.btp.police.uk/PDF/FOI%20Response%201074-16%20-%20Police%20Dogs%20Manual%20of%20Guidance.pdf

From what I have gleaned, the dogs are not tested by an ACPO assessor for their abilities to detect cadaver odour, only actual cadaver deposits.
Presumably, the training of Eddie on elements of cross contamination & remnant scent falls outside the scope of ACPO accreditation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2018, 09:07:55 PM
Here is a link to the ACPO dog training manual, implemented in 2011. Page 116 onward deals with Victim Detection Dogs.
https://www.btp.police.uk/PDF/FOI%20Response%201074-16%20-%20Police%20Dogs%20Manual%20of%20Guidance.pdf

From what I have gleaned, the dogs are not tested by an ACPO assessor for their abilities to detect cadaver odour, only actual cadaver deposits.
Presumably, the training of Eddie on elements of cross contamination & remnant scent falls outside the scope of ACPO accreditation.

Grime's dogs had their own unique tests;


They are tested to units of assessment prepared as a stand-alone system as these dogs are unique. Training records are maintained and are available if required.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 09:13:05 PM
Grime's dogs had their own unique tests;


They are tested to units of assessment prepared as a stand-alone system as these dogs are unique. Training records are maintained and are available if required.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

So who formulated & conducted those unique tests which were outside the scope of ACPO?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 14, 2018, 09:23:40 PM
So who formulated & conducted those unique tests which were outside the scope of ACPO?

You mean the 2011 manual?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 09:33:44 PM
You mean the 2011 manual?

No, I mean the stand-alone system for the unique dogs, as claimed by Grime in G-Unit's last post.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 14, 2018, 09:34:48 PM
No, I mean the stand-alone system for the unique dogs, as claimed by Grime in G-Unit's last post.

Before there was a manual.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 09:56:19 PM
So which agency conferred upon Eddie the unique title Enhanced Victim Recovery Dog?  And based on what tests, conducted by whom?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 14, 2018, 10:26:15 PM
Before there was a manual.

You mean there was no manual or criteria on which ACPO tested dogs prior to 2011?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 14, 2018, 11:01:56 PM
So which agency conferred upon Eddie the unique title Enhanced Victim Recovery Dog?  And based on what tests, conducted by whom?

One could incline to the view it is unimportant.
Were it not kosher he would potentially be exposed to action under Section 2 of the Fraud Act 2006.
We can be reasonably confident there was no action in that respect unless you have evidence to the contrary.
Or from another angle should there be a court action the judge will make the appropriate decision about Mr Grime's competence and the dogs training.
Either way us internet punters are not part of the equation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 14, 2018, 11:34:12 PM
I'm not sure why there is a belief in some quarter that I am here because I believe my views will help shape a future court action.  I'm simply shooting the breeze.  I thought that's what internet discussions were for?  Nor contrary to insinuation above am I implying that Mr Grime is potentially guilty of the crime of fraud, however I do think my questions are relevant to the case and to the discussion at hand.  Should Mr McCann claim to be an Enhanced Heart Surgeon, one might wonder where and how he came by such a prestigious title, or whether it was just him bigging himself up?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 15, 2018, 12:34:36 AM
He has additionally trained exclusively using human remains in the U.S.A. in association with the F.B.I. The enhanced training of the dog has also involved the use of collection of 'cadaver scent' odor from human corpses using remote technical equipment which does not contact the subject. This method is comparable to the simulation of cross contamination. It does however differ in that the remote scent samples recovery does not involve subject matter and therefore is a 'pure' scent sample.

I have developed the training of the E.V.R.D. to include the screening of scent pads taken from motor vehicles, property or scenes by a Scent Transference Unit. Operational use of the STU is in a developmental and evaluative stage used in conjunction with selective FBI casework.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 15, 2018, 01:10:37 AM
He has additionally trained exclusively using human remains in the U.S.A. in association with the F.B.I. The enhanced training of the dog has also involved the use of collection of 'cadaver scent' odor from human corpses using remote technical equipment which does not contact the subject. This method is comparable to the simulation of cross contamination. It does however differ in that the remote scent samples recovery does not involve subject matter and therefore is a 'pure' scent sample.

I have developed the training of the E.V.R.D. to include the screening of scent pads taken from motor vehicles, property or scenes by a Scent Transference Unit. Operational use of the STU is in a developmental and evaluative stage used in conjunction with selective FBI casework.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm


How & by whom was Eddie's competence in those additional fields tested & verified?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 15, 2018, 01:32:14 AM

And?

In my role as advisor to the U.S. Justice Department I have facilitated assessment of numerous cadaver search dog teams in the United States. These dogs are exclusively trained using human cadaver sources. When I
introduced decomposing pig cadavers into training assessments 100 % of the animals alerted to the medium
.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Thank you Gunit.   You have just showed that a cadaver dog will alert to pig cadaver odour, especially a dog trained on piglet corpses, as Eddie was.


I have been looking for evidence that cadaver dogs are also able to alerrt to burnt flesh and came across these references to Cadaver dogs being used to find corpses in the Californian forest fires


Seems the police in California have proved that Cadaver dogs alert to badly burned bodies. 

https://uk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20171015182721AA4kLJf

http://www.sfexaminer.com/death-toll-in-california-fires-jumps-as-two-more-bodies-found/

According to some, it is mainly the burnt body fat that holds the scent. 
On pigs that would be the pork crackling.  Eddie trained on piglets, so he would alert to anything contaminated by the smell of pork crackling IMO

Someone having eaten pork crackling could have contaminated Cuddlecat that Eddie (only maybe) alerted to. 

Personally I think that Eddie alerted not to Cuddlecat but to a piesce of paper on top of a pile of folders .... or maybe to the folders themselves. 
Who put the piece of paper/ folders there?

Interesting !

AIMO, of course
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 15, 2018, 01:43:08 AM
Thank you Gunit.   You have just showed that a cadaver dog will alert to pig cadaver odour, especially a dog trained on piglet corpses, as Eddie was.


I have been looking for evidence that cadaver dogs are also able to alerrt to burnt flesh and came across these references to Cadaver dogs being used to find corpses in the Californian forest fires


Seems the police in California have proved that Cadaver dogs alert to badly burned bodies. 

https://uk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20171015182721AA4kLJf

http://www.sfexaminer.com/death-toll-in-california-fires-jumps-as-two-more-bodies-found/

According to some, it is mainly the burnt body fat that holds the scent. 
On pigs that would be the pork crackling.  Eddie trained on piglets, so he would alert to anything contaminated by the smell of pork crackling IMO

Someone having eaten pork crackling could have contaminated Cuddlecat that Eddie (only maybe) alerted to. 

Personally I think that Eddie alerted not to Cuddlecat but to a piesce of paper on top of a pile of folders .... or maybe to the folders themselves. 
Who put the piece of paper/ folders there?

Interesting !

AIMO, of course


Always remembering that scent dogs are trained to find many different things.  If a dog is trained to find A, B and C he will do so and ignore D, E and F.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 15, 2018, 07:38:33 AM
Thank you Gunit.   You have just showed that a cadaver dog will alert to pig cadaver odour, especially a dog trained on piglet corpses, as Eddie was.


I have been looking for evidence that cadaver dogs are also able to alerrt to burnt flesh and came across these references to Cadaver dogs being used to find corpses in the Californian forest fires


Seems the police in California have proved that Cadaver dogs alert to badly burned bodies. 

https://uk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20171015182721AA4kLJf

http://www.sfexaminer.com/death-toll-in-california-fires-jumps-as-two-more-bodies-found/

According to some, it is mainly the burnt body fat that holds the scent. 
On pigs that would be the pork crackling.  Eddie trained on piglets, so he would alert to anything contaminated by the smell of pork crackling IMO

Someone having eaten pork crackling could have contaminated Cuddlecat that Eddie (only maybe) alerted to. 

Personally I think that Eddie alerted not to Cuddlecat but to a piesce of paper on top of a pile of folders .... or maybe to the folders themselves. 
Who put the piece of paper/ folders there?

Interesting !

AIMO, of course

Why do you keep pushing these myths. We do not get crackling from decaying charred whole pigs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 07:40:37 AM
Thank you Gunit.   You have just showed that a cadaver dog will alert to pig cadaver odour, especially a dog trained on piglet corpses, as Eddie was.


I have been looking for evidence that cadaver dogs are also able to alerrt to burnt flesh and came across these references to Cadaver dogs being used to find corpses in the Californian forest fires


Seems the police in California have proved that Cadaver dogs alert to badly burned bodies. 

https://uk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20171015182721AA4kLJf

http://www.sfexaminer.com/death-toll-in-california-fires-jumps-as-two-more-bodies-found/

According to some, it is mainly the burnt body fat that holds the scent. 
On pigs that would be the pork crackling.  Eddie trained on piglets, so he would alert to anything contaminated by the smell of pork crackling IMO

Someone having eaten pork crackling could have contaminated Cuddlecat that Eddie (only maybe) alerted to. 

Personally I think that Eddie alerted not to Cuddlecat but to a piesce of paper on top of a pile of folders .... or maybe to the folders themselves. 
Who put the piece of paper/ folders there?

Interesting !

AIMO, of course

You think you've spotted a flaw in the training and use of cadaver dogs which has gone completely unnoticed by the expert who work with them? I very much doubt that.

Grime said Eddie alerted only to cuddle cat at the villa. He trained and handled the dog. Are you qualified to contradict him? Not as far as I know.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 08:00:21 AM
You think you've spotted a flaw in the training and use of cadaver dogs which has gone completely unnoticed by the expert who work with them? I very much doubt that.

Grime said Eddie alerted only to cuddle cat at the villa. He trained and handled the dog. Are you qualified to contradict him? Not as far as I know.

You need to understand  that it is perfectly valid for a lay person to criticise a professional...
The claimed alert to cuddle cat shows how vague the alerts can be... Imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 15, 2018, 08:02:23 AM
You mean there was no manual or criteria on which ACPO tested dogs prior to 2011?

From the Shannon debrief:

Issues for National Consideration
Victim Recovery Dogs
The victim recovery dogs used in this operation were drawn from four different forces. It emerged that each force has its own training and deployment policy and so there is no consistency in what the dogs can do and how it is done. Furthermore, there is no national standard for accrediting dogs and handlers, or record keeping of the success rate they achieve. This makes it difficult for SIOs to interpret the indication that
a dog gives in any given situation and may lead
to the expenditure of large resources in following up an indication from a dog with no way of knowing how reliable that indication was in the first place. ACPO is currently examining this issue due to a number of recent cases where the use of victim recovery dogs has had the potential to cause complications in an enquiry.

The properties that the dogs searched contained a high level of second-hand furniture bought from dwellings where someone had died. This resulted in numerous indications that required further investigation to confirm whether they were connected to the investigation, or to previous owners of the furniture.

The value of these dogs is undoubted, but there is an urgent need to have national policy on their training, accreditation and deployment and better information for SIOs about their use. The NPIA is currently working with the ACPO Strategic Dogs Working Group to resolve these issues.

http://library.college.police.uk/docs/npia/Operation-Paris.pdf
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 09:38:17 AM
Interesting;

may lead
to the expenditure of large resources in following up an indication from a dog with no way of knowing how reliable that indication was in the first place.
http://library.college.police.uk/docs/npia/Operation-Paris.pdf

The police do follow up 'indications' then, sometimes using 'large resources'.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 09:45:05 AM
Interesting;

may lead
to the expenditure of large resources in following up an indication from a dog with no way of knowing how reliable that indication was in the first place.
http://library.college.police.uk/docs/npia/Operation-Paris.pdf

The police do follow up 'indications' then, sometimes using 'large resources'.

No way of knowing how reliable that indication was... Interesting
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 15, 2018, 09:54:29 AM
Interesting;

may lead
to the expenditure of large resources in following up an indication from a dog with no way of knowing how reliable that indication was in the first place.
http://library.college.police.uk/docs/npia/Operation-Paris.pdf

The police do follow up 'indications' then, sometimes using 'large resources'.

If they hadn't followed up on the indications in Shannon's case there would have been nothing to explain that it was contact with second hand furniture which had caused the dogs to indicate in the first instance.

Follow up = no mystery
No follow up = mystery
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 15, 2018, 10:01:05 AM
Interesting;

may lead
to the expenditure of large resources in following up an indication from a dog with no way of knowing how reliable that indication was in the first place.
http://library.college.police.uk/docs/npia/Operation-Paris.pdf

The police do follow up 'indications' then, sometimes using 'large resources'.

Well the UK did in the Shannon case and eventually realised that it was due to some piece of second-hand furniture.

The PJ did ask around if anyone was aware of someone dying in the flat, but there's no indication that they'd tried to check out other possibilities, such as where the furniture had come from, or whether a previous occupant had kept the ashes of a loved one, or whatever else.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 15, 2018, 10:14:12 AM
If they hadn't followed up on the indications in Shannon's case there would have been nothing to explain that it was contact with second hand furniture which had caused the dogs to indicate in the first instance.

Follow up = no mystery
No follow up = mystery

But surely that’s the police’s job ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 10:46:51 AM
If they hadn't followed up on the indications in Shannon's case there would have been nothing to explain that it was contact with second hand furniture which had caused the dogs to indicate in the first instance.

Follow up = no mystery
No follow up = mystery

The dogs alerted but there was no body in place. They were, therefore, unconfirmed. No evidential or intelligence reliability can be placed on unconfirmed alerts, apparently. In this case they acted on them, however. That suggests to me that they weren't seen as of no interest.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 15, 2018, 11:09:24 AM
The dogs alerted but there was no body in place. They were, therefore, unconfirmed. No evidential or intelligence reliability can be placed on unconfirmed alerts, apparently. In this case they acted on them, however. That suggests to me that they weren't seen as of no interest.

No interpretation was given to the dogs' reactions.

The reason for them was investigated and a solution for them was found ... which was very obviously the correct one ... for the simple reason that thankfully, Shannon was proved to be very much alive.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 11:34:50 AM
No interpretation was given to the dogs' reactions.

The reason for them was investigated and a solution for them was found ... which was very obviously the correct one ... for the simple reason that thankfully, Shannon was proved to be very much alive.

So alerts do need to be investigated. That's what I thought.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 15, 2018, 12:18:50 PM
So alerts do need to be investigated. That's what I thought.

I think some confuse “not to be relied on” with unimportant.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 12:28:37 PM
I think some confuse “not to be relied on” with unimportant.

I think on the whole supporters understand  the alerts far better than sceptics.  The alerts.. If uncorroborated.. May suggest a line of enquiry... As do statistics from previous cases... But are not evidence.
In the Gilroy case I doubt the, alerts played any part in the investigation... Gilroy was questioned... He had cuts on his hands... 450 texts... He'd been having an affair which Suzzanne wished to end... He warranted further investigation  purely fir these reasons alone... It was, these further investigation s that identified his deceit Re his car journey... That was the evidence that convicted him... Not the alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 01:00:34 PM
I think some confuse “not to be relied on” with unimportant.

They were very important in the conviction of David Gilroy. The police had CCTV evidence that Suzanne was heading to work, but not of her entering the building. It was the dog alerts that suggested she entered the building, was killed and was then removed in Gilroy's car boot. The alerts suggested a reason for his wounds, for him going to get his car and for his unexplained mileage the following day.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 01:09:13 PM
They were very important in the conviction of David Gilroy. The police had CCTV evidence that Suzanne was heading to work, but not of her entering the building. It was the dog alerts that suggested she entered the building, was killed and was then removed in Gilroy's car boot. The alerts suggested a reason for his wounds, for him going to get his car and for his unexplained mileage the following day.

So you think the only reason death was suspected was because of the alerts... As I understand the SSCRC stated that there was, ample evidence without the evidence of the dog handler

Do you think he would not have been convicted without the alerts... Of course he would have been.... There was, real evidence  against him
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 15, 2018, 01:25:03 PM
I'm not sure why there is a belief in some quarter that I am here because I believe my views will help shape a future court action.  I'm simply shooting the breeze.  I thought that's what internet discussions were for?  Nor contrary to insinuation above am I implying that Mr Grime is potentially guilty of the crime of fraud, however I do think my questions are relevant to the case and to the discussion at hand.  Should Mr McCann claim to be an Enhanced Heart Surgeon, one might wonder where and how he came by such a prestigious title, or whether it was just him bigging himself up?

If you are really that interested in the reason I would suggest you concentrate your efforts in a place where you will find that reason. Asking questions in this small corner of cyber world is unlikely to deliver.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 15, 2018, 01:39:12 PM
So you think the only reason death was suspected was because of the alerts... As I understand the SSCRC stated that there was, ample evidence without the evidence of the dog handler

Do you think he would not have been convicted without the alerts... Of course he would have been.... There was, real evidence  against him

Do you have a cite for that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 01:42:38 PM
Do you have a cite for that?

There's a newspaper  article  that supports, that statement
I'm on a phone at the moment... I'm fairly sure I've quoted it before... It really is quite obvious when you look at the amount of evidence against Gilroy
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 01:47:14 PM
So you think the only reason death was suspected was because of the alerts... As I understand the SSCRC stated that there was, ample evidence without the evidence of the dog handler

Do you think he would not have been convicted without the alerts... Of course he would have been.... There was, real evidence  against him

I can't say what the verdict would have been without the dog alerts and neither can you. Police often ask five questions; who, what, why, where and when.

Who and why soon became clear. What, where and when were suggested by the alert evidence. All the evidence was equally important in my opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 02:08:34 PM
I can't say what the verdict would have been without the dog alerts and neither can you. Police often ask five questions; who, what, why, where and when.

Who and why soon became clear. What, where and when were suggested by the alert evidence. All the evidence was equally important in my opinion.
In your opinion...
From what I have, read that is not the case.... And surely you can see the overwhelming amount I'd evidence against Gilroy
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 15, 2018, 02:09:12 PM
There's a newspaper  article  that supports, that statement
I'm on a phone at the moment... I'm fairly sure I've quoted it before... It really is quite obvious when you look at the amount of evidence against Gilroy

STATEMENT ON BEHALF OF THE GILROY FAMILY
In response to The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission decision to close the case against David Gilroy’s claim he had suffered a miscarriage of justice.

One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable. They say that evidence should not have been before the trial court. However, they also say that the absence of the dog evidence would not have changed the guilty verdict. That verdict was by a majority so some jurors did not agree that the case against him had been proved.
http://www.gilroyfamily.info/news.asp

The family argued that without the dog evidence more jurors may have been convinced not to convict ... maybe they were hoping for the infamous Scottish "not proven" ... which some interpret as saying: "We know you did it we just can't prove it".

However the Commission didn't agree with the family's contention and Gilroy's conviction for Suzanne Pilley's murder remains with The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission declaring that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 15, 2018, 02:16:34 PM
In your opinion...
From what I have, read that is not the case.... And surely you can see the overwhelming amount I'd evidence against Gilroy

Just some of which is mentioned here ... http://www.deadlinenews.co.uk/2012/03/15/in-full-the-evidence-which-convicted-david-gilroy-of-murdering-suzanne-pilley/

I think the Crown case was very comprehensive when the quality and amount of evidence they presented is taken into consideration.

In my opinion the dog alerts were important indications for the police that they were investigating the right suspect ~ but they were not of themselves evidence of anything other than that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 15, 2018, 02:19:33 PM
What's admissible in one jurisdiction isn't necessarily the case in another.

Blablaland might have a law that states that an uncorroborated woof is sufficient to convict someone and sentence them to death.

How would that be relevant to the present case?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 15, 2018, 02:23:11 PM
STATEMENT ON BEHALF OF THE GILROY FAMILY
In response to The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission decision to close the case against David Gilroy’s claim he had suffered a miscarriage of justice.

One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable. They say that evidence should not have been before the trial court. However, they also say that the absence of the dog evidence would not have changed the guilty verdict. That verdict was by a majority so some jurors did not agree that the case against him had been proved.
http://www.gilroyfamily.info/news.asp

The family argued that without the dog evidence more jurors may have been convinced not to convict ... maybe they were hoping for the infamous Scottish "not proven" ... which some interpret as saying: "We know you did it we just can't prove it".

However the Commission didn't agree with the family's contention and Gilroy's conviction for Suzanne Pilley's murder remains with The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission declaring that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.

The SCCRC hought there was enough evidence to convict Gilroy without the dog evidence, but his family didn't. As the judgement stands we're unlikely to find out who was right.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 15, 2018, 02:28:35 PM
What's admissible in one jurisdiction isn't necessarily the case in another.

Blablaland might have a law that states that an uncorroborated woof is sufficient to convict someone and sentence them to death.

How would that be relevant to the present case?

I agree.  In my opinion it is horses for courses. 

In Edinburgh there was evidence enough to prosecute a case against a suspect. 

In Praia da Luz there was no evidence which would have enabled a case to be prosecuted against anyone.

In my opinion, thinking there was underlines that there is a basic misconception about what constitutes evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 15, 2018, 06:10:58 PM
STATEMENT ON BEHALF OF THE GILROY FAMILY
In response to The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission decision to close the case against David Gilroy’s claim he had suffered a miscarriage of justice.

One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable. They say that evidence should not have been before the trial court. However, they also say that the absence of the dog evidence would not have changed the guilty verdict. That verdict was by a majority so some jurors did not agree that the case against him had been proved.
http://www.gilroyfamily.info/news.asp

The family argued that without the dog evidence more jurors may have been convinced not to convict ... maybe they were hoping for the infamous Scottish "not proven" ... which some interpret as saying: "We know you did it we just can't prove it".

However the Commission didn't agree with the family's contention and Gilroy's conviction for Suzanne Pilley's murder remains with The Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission declaring that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable.

So nothing from the SCCRC ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 15, 2018, 06:24:43 PM
If you are really that interested in the reason I would suggest you concentrate your efforts in a place where you will find that reason. Asking questions in this small corner of cyber world is unlikely to deliver.
Never mind, I enjoy posing the questions nonetheless, but thank you for your advice and concern.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 15, 2018, 06:27:02 PM
So nothing from the SCCRC ?

So you think the family have made this up... That the SCCRC only criticise the dog evidence and nothing else... That would be simply bizarre... We don't have a transcript of the decision but, I have emailed the SSCRC and they tell me it Is being treated as a FOI
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 16, 2018, 11:49:57 PM
Not only is the evidence misunderstood in this case, but I think some are guilty of reading too much significance into the utterances of people connected to the case, for example some seem to get rather excited when Madeleine is referred to by the police as "missing" rather than "abducted".  There seems to be this belief that this is a carefully chosen description designed to send a subtle message to the world that the police don't believe she was abducted, however taking one phrase out of context and holding it up as evidence of police scepticism about the abduction theory is a bit silly, particularly as there are numerous instances of the police referring specifically to Madeleine as having been abducted, even fairly recently. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 17, 2018, 06:12:38 AM
Not only is the evidence misunderstood in this case, but I think some are guilty of reading too much significance into the utterances of people connected to the case, for example some seem to get rather excited when Madeleine is referred to by the police as "missing" rather than "abducted".  There seems to be this belief that this is a carefully chosen description designed to send a subtle message to the world that the police don't believe she was abducted, however taking one phrase out of context and holding it up as evidence of police scepticism about the abduction theory is a bit silly, particularly as there are numerous instances of the police referring specifically to Madeleine as having been abducted, even fairly recently.
And every now and then the death word is used.    Then it is assumed to have real significance.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 17, 2018, 11:16:57 AM
So you think the family have made this up... That the SCCRC only criticise the dog evidence and nothing else... That would be simply bizarre... We don't have a transcript of the decision but, I have emailed the SSCRC and they tell me it Is being treated as a FOI

I think, like Gerry in Lisbon, the Gilroys knew the importance of the dog alerts so commented on those specifically. Until we know exactly what the SCCRC said we can’t know how accurate those comments from the family were.

I do find it rather bizarre though that you took the time to email the SCCRC to prove we sceptics wrong.

Edit: Personal comments against another member removed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 11:31:08 AM
I think, like Gerry in Lisbon, the Gilroys knew the importance of the dog alerts so commented on those specifically. Until we know exactly what the SCCRC said we can’t know how accurate those comments from the family were.

I do find it rather bizarre though that you took the time to email the SCCRC to prove we sceptics wrong.

Edit: Personal comments against another member removed.

your opinon of me is of no imprtance to me based on my opinion of you......Ive reached my own conclusions on the case....ive emailed them out of interest...Angelo and John both claim to have been in email correspondence with grime...do you find that bizarre too.didnt you say you had been to PDL....my email pales into insignificance in that light,

Ive read a little more...it seems no dog alerted in the boot of the car...one dog sniffed at an area ...thats all. I think gilroy is probably guilty but I think the dog evidence played little to no part in his conviction...but it does make good tv which is important to the programme makers.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 11:40:48 AM
And Suzanne Pilley ? We were told on Crimewartch that the dog alerts were crucial in gaining a conviction without a body.

two dogs...neither dog alerted to the boot of the car..

do you have a cite that a dog alerted to the boot of the car
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 17, 2018, 11:41:43 AM
your opinon of me is of no imprtance to me based on my opinion of you......Ive reached my own conclusions on the case....ive emailed them out of interest...Angelo and John both claim to have been in email correspondence with grime...do you find that bizarre too.didnt you say you had been to PDL....my email pales into insignificance in that light,

Ive read a little more...it seems no dog alerted in the boot of the car...one dog sniffed at an area ...thats all. I think gilroy is probably guilty but I think the dog evidence played little to no part in his conviction...but it does make good tv which is important to the programme makers.


I simply said that the McCanns would more than likely find your behaviour rather alarming. As to a PDL my interest in the case developed because I had holidayed there several times before the incident not as a result of the incident. As is your want you made an assumption and built a framework of justification around that assumption.

Edit  - flaming comments removed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 11:43:36 AM

I simply said that the McCanns would more than likely find your stalkerish behaviour rather alarming. As to a PDL my interest in the case developed because I had holidayed there several times before the incident not as a result of the incident. As is your want you made an assumption and built a framework of justification around that assumption.

I find your claim bizarre...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 17, 2018, 11:46:46 AM
two dogs...neither dog alerted to the boot of the car..

do you have a cite that a dog alerted to the boot of the car

Have you watched the Crimewatch episode ? It specifically says the dog’s evidence was key to the prosecution and that they alerted to the boot of the car, 6.40 approx minutes in.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 11:50:31 AM
Have you watched the Crimewatch episode ? It specifically says the dog’s evidence was key to the prosecution and that they alerted to the boot of the car, 6.40 approx minutes in.

The dog never alerted in the boot according to evidence given at the trial...you are watching a sensationilist tv programme...

Edit  - flaming comments removed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 17, 2018, 12:04:32 PM
The dog never alerted in the boot according to evidence given at the trial...you are watching a sensationilist tv programme...





‘Specialist cadaver dogs brought in from South Yorkshire Police were used to search the basement and garage of the Thistle Street building where they both worked at Infrastructure Managers Limited. They also turned their attention to the boot of Gilroy's silver Vauxhall Vectra car.’

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/13050602.David_Gilroy__how_police_solved_a_murder_mystery/

Edit  - flaming comments removed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 12:09:15 PM


‘Specialist cadaver dogs brought in from South Yorkshire Police were used to search the basement and garage of the Thistle Street building where they both worked at Infrastructure Managers Limited. They also turned their attention to the boot of Gilroy's silver Vauxhall Vectra car.’

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/13050602.David_Gilroy__how_police_solved_a_murder_mystery/

a cite from a reputable source that a dog alerted in the boot....my information is taht it didnt

   QUOTE .....Asked what happened after that, he said: "The dog went into the boot and showed some interest in the boot."

"What is it you saw?" asked Mr Prentice.

Mr Heron replied: "My observation was that at the top-right corner and the left-front corner the dog paused and showed interest in these areas."

Asked what the dog did then, Mr Heron said: "Just paid particular attention, sniffing at that particular area."...end QUOTE


so now sniffing at aparticular area becomes an alert.......in the vague world of the cadaver alerts


https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/suzanne-pilley-murder-trial-dog-1117604


Is there any evidence that the dog handlers actually gave evidence...it seems there isnt.


I must apologise for my stalkerish behaviour in trying to establish the truth in this rather important area...it seems some want the truth subdued





Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 12:21:03 PM


‘Specialist cadaver dogs brought in from South Yorkshire Police were used to search the basement and garage of the Thistle Street building where they both worked at Infrastructure Managers Limited. They also turned their attention to the boot of Gilroy's silver Vauxhall Vectra car.’

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/13050602.David_Gilroy__how_police_solved_a_murder_mystery/

Edit  - flaming comments removed

read my post with direct quotes from the trial
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 17, 2018, 02:18:42 PM
read my post with direct quotes from the trial

Would they be kosher transcripts you paid for with good cash money or newspaper reports?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 17, 2018, 03:41:34 PM
a cite from a reputable source that a dog alerted in the boot....my information is taht it didnt

   QUOTE .....Asked what happened after that, he said: "The dog went into the boot and showed some interest in the boot."

"What is it you saw?" asked Mr Prentice.

Mr Heron replied: "My observation was that at the top-right corner and the left-front corner the dog paused and showed interest in these areas."

Asked what the dog did then, Mr Heron said: "Just paid particular attention, sniffing at that particular area."...end QUOTE


so now sniffing at aparticular area becomes an alert.......in the vague world of the cadaver alerts


https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/suzanne-pilley-murder-trial-dog-1117604


Is there any evidence that the dog handlers actually gave evidence...it seems there isnt.


I must apologise for my stalkerish behaviour in trying to establish the truth in this rather important area...it seems some want the truth subdued

In the documentary it reveals that the dog alerted to the car space of Gilroy (where the boot would have been) and later also alerted to the boot of his car.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 03:49:54 PM
In the documentary it reveals that the dog alerted to the car space of Gilroy (where the boot would have been) and later also alerted to the boot of his car.

Then the TV programme is sensationalising the alerts and is not accurate....the dog never alerted in the boot of the car ...unless sniffing is now classed as an alert. THe alerts played little or no part in the prosecution...According to the SCCRC the conviction would have been made without the alerts...and its clear from the evidence that  that is the case
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 17, 2018, 03:59:51 PM
. In this series, Robbie Coltrane reveals eight of the hardest, most complex and baffling murder cases ever to be investigated by British police

was this case really one of the hardest and most complex........it was fairly obvious early on who the main suspect was and it really was the CCTV that was the critical evidence that cracked the case....imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 17, 2018, 11:41:33 PM
Then the TV programme is sensationalising the alerts and is not accurate....the dog never alerted in the boot of the car ...unless sniffing is now classed as an alert. THe alerts played little or no part in the prosecution...According to the SCCRC the conviction would have been made without the alerts...and its clear from the evidence that  that is the case

On 23 February 2012, the advocate depute led evidence from a Lothian and Borders Police constable who told the court that they had enlisted the help of specially trained cadaver dogs from South Yorkshire Police to search the offices where David Gilroy and Suzanne Pilley worked. The dogs were specially trained to smell for blood and human remains. The court was told that the dogs, springer spaniels, had identified three areas of interest; one in the basement area of the offices, and two in the boot of David Gilroy's silver Vauxhall vectra.

http://murderpedia.org/male.G/g/gilroy-david.htm

"Our use of the cadaver dog is certainly groundbreaking." Detective superintendent Gary Flannigan

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/13050602.David_Gilroy__how_police_solved_a_murder_mystery/

A “VICTIM recovery” dog which reacted positively in the search for missing bookkeeper Suzanne Pilley had once located a body under nine feet of water, a jury has heard.

Buster, a springer spaniel, and his police handler were taken to Edinburgh from their base in South Yorkshire to help the inquiry into Ms Pilley’s disappearance, and he searched the basement garage at her work. PC Simone Thompson, 44, said her dog showed interest in a number of areas of the garage and an internal staircase which led to the offices in the building. “It signified he was locating the scent of what he was trained for … human remains and human blood scent,” said PC Thompson.

Asked about previous operations in which Buster had taken part, PC Thompson said she had had “some very good results” with him and that he had “done extremely well”. She recounted an inquiry in which a woman had been reported missing by her husband. “We were requested to search a stretch of fast-flowing river. From the bank, Buster gave a positive indication. The dog was adamant there was an indication at that point. The underwater search team attended and, at the point Buster had indicated, the missing female was found in nine feet of water,” said PC Thompson.

https://www.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-cadaver-dog-once-found-body-in-9ft-of-water-1-2156838
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 12:30:16 AM
On 23 February 2012, the advocate depute led evidence from a Lothian and Borders Police constable who told the court that they had enlisted the help of specially trained cadaver dogs from South Yorkshire Police to search the offices where David Gilroy and Suzanne Pilley worked. The dogs were specially trained to smell for blood and human remains. The court was told that the dogs, springer spaniels, had identified three areas of interest; one in the basement area of the offices, and two in the boot of David Gilroy's silver Vauxhall vectra.

http://murderpedia.org/male.G/g/gilroy-david.htm

"Our use of the cadaver dog is certainly groundbreaking." Detective superintendent Gary Flannigan

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/13050602.David_Gilroy__how_police_solved_a_murder_mystery/

A “VICTIM recovery” dog which reacted positively in the search for missing bookkeeper Suzanne Pilley had once located a body under nine feet of water, a jury has heard.

Buster, a springer spaniel, and his police handler were taken to Edinburgh from their base in South Yorkshire to help the inquiry into Ms Pilley’s disappearance, and he searched the basement garage at her work. PC Simone Thompson, 44, said her dog showed interest in a number of areas of the garage and an internal staircase which led to the offices in the building. “It signified he was locating the scent of what he was trained for … human remains and human blood scent,” said PC Thompson.

Asked about previous operations in which Buster had taken part, PC Thompson said she had had “some very good results” with him and that he had “done extremely well”. She recounted an inquiry in which a woman had been reported missing by her husband. “We were requested to search a stretch of fast-flowing river. From the bank, Buster gave a positive indication. The dog was adamant there was an indication at that point. The underwater search team attended and, at the point Buster had indicated, the missing female was found in nine feet of water,” said PC Thompson.

https://www.scotsman.com/news/suzanne-cadaver-dog-once-found-body-in-9ft-of-water-1-2156838

If certain posters think that OG will treat the dog alerts as unimportant are they are obviously fooling themselves.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 18, 2018, 01:02:37 AM
If certain posters think that OG will treat the dog alerts as unimportant are they are obviously fooling themselves.

Members should be in no doubt that there was a catalogue of evidence which supported the Crown case and it was that cumulative evidence which enabled the guilty verdict to be returned on Gilroy.

Any who believe that Gilroy's case ... or any other ... stands or falls on dogs indicating an interest rather than other substantive and compelling evidence, in my opinion fail to understand the rule of law and the amount of investigative work and corroboration required before a case can be brought to court and a verdict reached.

In other words ... they simply misunderstand the evidence and the role it plays in securing justice.


How surveillance society solved a murder with no body

By Steven Brocklehurst - BBC.co.uk

April 17, 2012

Two years ago, Suzanne Pilley disappeared on her way to work in the centre of Edinburgh. Her body was never discovered but her killer was convicted last month after his movements were traced by a range of surveillance devices. On Wednesday, David Gilroy was sentenced to a minimum of 18 years before he can apply for parole.

CCTV footage, mobile phone records, emails, shop receipts - our everyday routine leaves an "electronic footprint".

David Gilroy went to great lengths to cover his tracks after he killed Suzanne Pilley in May 2010.

But an extraordinary police investigation tracked his movements in the smallest of detail.

CCTV footage from a supermarket two days before Suzanne's disappearance shows the pair buying groceries for a meal near her flat.

What looks on the screen to be an unremarkable domestic scene is in fact his last desperate attempt to resurrect the relationship.

Gilroy, a married man, had been having a secret relationship with his work colleague for about a year but she had been trying to end it.

That night they had a massive row and two days later he killed her.

At 08:19 on Tuesday 4 May, Suzanne's final commute to work was captured by CCTV cameras which track virtually every bus passenger in the Scottish capital.

She had spent the night with a new man whom she had recently met.

Suzanne got off the bus at 08:49 and was picked up by other CCTV cameras as she walked the last part of her journey to work.

She was seen going into a supermarket before she finally disappeared from view.

Specialist CCTV analysts looked at images from 84 cameras in the area and built up a case that a tiny image of Suzanne could be seen from a distant camera as she entered her work.

Gilroy had spent the previous few weeks besieging her with numerous texts and voicemails, desperate to continue their relationship.

Police were able to recover everything left on her phone, even though the phone itself has never been found.

Gilroy knew there were no CCTV cameras at the place where he and Pilley worked.

However, CCTV cameras on properties outside the building show him going in and out of the basement garage.

The man who quickly became a suspect had arrived at work by bus but later made excuses to go home and collect his car.

Later he was caught by CCTV having just bought four air fresheners.

Police believe Gilroy lured Suzanne to the basement and killed her.

He then hid her body in a stairwell before later transferring it to the boot of his car.

Specialist cadaver dogs were used to search the basement and garage of the building.

They found areas of interest but no DNA or forensics.

Before Gilroy went home he went to his computer and arranged an appointment which would require him to drive about 130 miles to Lochgilphead in rural Argyll the next day.

The killer then went home and acted naturally.

CCTV images even caught him attending a school concert and a restaurant that evening.

Police reconstructed Gilroy's trip to Argyll on 5 May through CCTV at various places along the route, such as when he stopped for petrol.

Officers had to trawl for CCTV footage from hundreds of cameras - not just on the main route to Lochgilphead but surrounding roads as well.

It was a route Gilroy took regularly but on this occasion he went much further north than the direct route and police were suspicious.

Gilroy's mobile phone was later seized by police, along with his car.

Experts found that the phone had been switched off between Stirling and Inveraray and the same on the way back.

Police suspected Gilroy had deliberately switched his phone off to conceal his movements while he did a "reccy" for a site to dispose of Suzanne's body. He repeated this on his way back when he actually buried the body.

But Gilroy did not realise that his car would provide more clues that he had been driving along rough forest tracks.

Damage to the suspension, scrape marks on the underside of the car and vegetation attached to the car were all clues of his off-road activities.

Police reckoned that the average time for the journey between Tyndrum and Inveraray was 36 minutes.

CCTV analysis of the time taken by Gilroy indicated that he took five hours and eight minutes.

Footage from CCTV also showed that an umbrella on the back parcel shelf of his car, probably put there when Suzanne's body was placed in the boot, disappeared from view on the return journey, having been placed back in the boot.

Despite extensive searches, Suzanne's body was never found.

However, due to the cumulative evidence built up in the police investigation, Gilroy was convicted at the High Court in Edinburgh last month.

On Wednesday, he was given a life sentence with a minimum of 18 years before he can apply for parole.
http://murderpedia.org/male.G/g/gilroy-david.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:42:31 AM
Members should be in no doubt that there was a catalogue of evidence which supported the Crown case and it was that cumulative evidence which enabled the guilty verdict to be returned on Gilroy.

Any who believe that Gilroy's case ... or any other ... stands or falls on dogs indicating an interest rather than other substantive and compelling evidence, in my opinion fail to understand the rule of law and the amount of investigative work and corroboration required before a case can be brought to court and a verdict reached.

In other words ... they simply misunderstand the evidence and the role it plays in securing justice.


How surveillance society solved a murder with no body

By Steven Brocklehurst - BBC.co.uk

April 17, 2012

Two years ago, Suzanne Pilley disappeared on her way to work in the centre of Edinburgh. Her body was never discovered but her killer was convicted last month after his movements were traced by a range of surveillance devices. On Wednesday, David Gilroy was sentenced to a minimum of 18 years before he can apply for parole.

CCTV footage, mobile phone records, emails, shop receipts - our everyday routine leaves an "electronic footprint".

David Gilroy went to great lengths to cover his tracks after he killed Suzanne Pilley in May 2010.

But an extraordinary police investigation tracked his movements in the smallest of detail.

CCTV footage from a supermarket two days before Suzanne's disappearance shows the pair buying groceries for a meal near her flat.

What looks on the screen to be an unremarkable domestic scene is in fact his last desperate attempt to resurrect the relationship.

Gilroy, a married man, had been having a secret relationship with his work colleague for about a year but she had been trying to end it.

That night they had a massive row and two days later he killed her.

At 08:19 on Tuesday 4 May, Suzanne's final commute to work was captured by CCTV cameras which track virtually every bus passenger in the Scottish capital.

She had spent the night with a new man whom she had recently met.

Suzanne got off the bus at 08:49 and was picked up by other CCTV cameras as she walked the last part of her journey to work.

She was seen going into a supermarket before she finally disappeared from view.

Specialist CCTV analysts looked at images from 84 cameras in the area and built up a case that a tiny image of Suzanne could be seen from a distant camera as she entered her work.

Gilroy had spent the previous few weeks besieging her with numerous texts and voicemails, desperate to continue their relationship.

Police were able to recover everything left on her phone, even though the phone itself has never been found.

Gilroy knew there were no CCTV cameras at the place where he and Pilley worked.

However, CCTV cameras on properties outside the building show him going in and out of the basement garage.

The man who quickly became a suspect had arrived at work by bus but later made excuses to go home and collect his car.

Later he was caught by CCTV having just bought four air fresheners.

Police believe Gilroy lured Suzanne to the basement and killed her.

He then hid her body in a stairwell before later transferring it to the boot of his car.

Specialist cadaver dogs were used to search the basement and garage of the building.

They found areas of interest but no DNA or forensics.

Before Gilroy went home he went to his computer and arranged an appointment which would require him to drive about 130 miles to Lochgilphead in rural Argyll the next day.

The killer then went home and acted naturally.

CCTV images even caught him attending a school concert and a restaurant that evening.

Police reconstructed Gilroy's trip to Argyll on 5 May through CCTV at various places along the route, such as when he stopped for petrol.

Officers had to trawl for CCTV footage from hundreds of cameras - not just on the main route to Lochgilphead but surrounding roads as well.

It was a route Gilroy took regularly but on this occasion he went much further north than the direct route and police were suspicious.

Gilroy's mobile phone was later seized by police, along with his car.

Experts found that the phone had been switched off between Stirling and Inveraray and the same on the way back.

Police suspected Gilroy had deliberately switched his phone off to conceal his movements while he did a "reccy" for a site to dispose of Suzanne's body. He repeated this on his way back when he actually buried the body.

But Gilroy did not realise that his car would provide more clues that he had been driving along rough forest tracks.

Damage to the suspension, scrape marks on the underside of the car and vegetation attached to the car were all clues of his off-road activities.

Police reckoned that the average time for the journey between Tyndrum and Inveraray was 36 minutes.

CCTV analysis of the time taken by Gilroy indicated that he took five hours and eight minutes.

Footage from CCTV also showed that an umbrella on the back parcel shelf of his car, probably put there when Suzanne's body was placed in the boot, disappeared from view on the return journey, having been placed back in the boot.

Despite extensive searches, Suzanne's body was never found.

However, due to the cumulative evidence built up in the police investigation, Gilroy was convicted at the High Court in Edinburgh last month.

On Wednesday, he was given a life sentence with a minimum of 18 years before he can apply for parole.
http://murderpedia.org/male.G/g/gilroy-david.htm

The evidence which convicted Gilroy was indeed cumulative but the cadaver dog alerts were seen as a key piece of that cumulative evidence. There was no body or forensic evidence, just as in the McCann case but, just again as in the McCann case, there was strong indications from a cadaver dog. We have no idea whether at this very moment OG are building the same kind of cumulative case that brought Gilroy to justice, with the cadaver dog indications, again, as a central plank.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 18, 2018, 08:12:54 AM
The evidence which convicted Gilroy was indeed cumulative but the cadaver dog alerts were seen as a key piece of that cumulative evidence. There was no body or forensic evidence, just as in the McCann case but, just again as in the McCann case, there was strong indications from a cadaver dog. We have no idea whether at this very moment OG are building the same kind of cumulative case that brought Gilroy to justice, with the cadaver dog indications, again, as a central plank.

Where does it say the cadaver dog indications were 'strong'   the article said - 

They found areas of interest but no DNA or forensics.unquote.

Areas of interest.   Which could have been the scent of blood or cadaver.   That without a body would not have been accepted.

All the other information they had on him sealed it for the police.

Plus the fact that she hasn't been heard of again. 

I doubt very much if the police are building up the same sort of evidence against the McCann's.  what evidence would that be?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 18, 2018, 08:14:59 AM
If certain posters think that OG will treat the dog alerts as unimportant are they are obviously fooling themselves.

They will treat them as unimportant as that is what they are.   IMO

Gilroy case -    One strand was fully and professionally examined by the SCCRC. They concluded that the evidence given by the dog handler was unreliable. They say that evidence should not have been before the trial court. However, they also say that the absence of the dog evidence would not have changed the guilty verdict. That verdict was by a majority so some jurors did not agree that the case against him had been proved.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 18, 2018, 08:21:27 AM
. In this series, Robbie Coltrane reveals eight of the hardest, most complex and baffling murder cases ever to be investigated by British police

was this case really one of the hardest and most complex........it was fairly obvious early on who the main suspect was and it really was the CCTV that was the critical evidence that cracked the case....imo

The CCTV evidence strongly suggested that Suzanne Pilley was heading to work, but it didn't prove she arrived there. In fact Gilroy's family seemed to be suggesting a possible alternative;

They are questioning key aspects of the case including the critical CCTV recordings that placed Ms Pilley within minutes of her workplace on the day she disappeared and have claimed a small blue car seen near their Thistle Street office on the same morning has never been found.
http://gilroyfamily.info/archive.asp

It was the dog alerts which suggested she did arrive, died, and was removed in Gilroy's car.

He seems to have been a cool customer as he showed no outward signs of what he had done. His workmates noticed nothing unusual in his behaviour, I believe, and;

After killing Pilley, Gilroy is thought to have kept her body in the boot of his car overnight while he attended a family dinner and a school concert.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/apr/18/david-gilroy-jailed-murder-suzanne-pilley
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 18, 2018, 09:32:00 AM
The CCTV evidence strongly suggested that Suzanne Pilley was heading to work, but it didn't prove she arrived there. In fact Gilroy's family seemed to be suggesting a possible alternative;

They are questioning key aspects of the case including the critical CCTV recordings that placed Ms Pilley within minutes of her workplace on the day she disappeared and have claimed a small blue car seen near their Thistle Street office on the same morning has never been found.
http://gilroyfamily.info/archive.asp

It was the dog alerts which suggested she did arrive, died, and was removed in Gilroy's car.

He seems to have been a cool customer as he showed no outward signs of what he had done. His workmates noticed nothing unusual in his behaviour, I believe, and;

After killing Pilley, Gilroy is thought to have kept her body in the boot of his car overnight while he attended a family dinner and a school concert.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/apr/18/david-gilroy-jailed-murder-suzanne-pilley

Snip
Gilroy's mistake was to underestimate the huge electronic footprint that became a compelling body of evidence.


Snip
He hid her body in a recess under a stairwell.

Then he began his cover up.

Colleagues described him as seeming clammy, sweaty and with scratches on his neck and face. But he got his act together.

He made an excuse to go home and collect the car. He bought air freshners in Superdrug on Princes Street.

He used make-up to cover scratch marks on his hands.

He adjusted his diary to give him a reason to go to Argyll the following day.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-17358340



In my opinion anyone promoting that the case brought against Gilroy rested on "dog evidence" is entirely wrong and shows a clear misunderstanding of what constitutes evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 18, 2018, 09:37:08 AM
If certain posters think that OG will treat the dog alerts as unimportant are they are obviously fooling themselves.

I would have thought that by July 2013, the Met had had time to review the potential significance of the alerts.

"Over the last two years what the review has told me is that there is no clear, definitive proof that Madeleine McCann is dead," Det Ch Insp Redwood said.

"So on that basis, I still genuinely believe that there is a possibility that she is alive."

He added: "It is a positive step in our hunt for Madeleine that our understanding of the evidence has enabled us to shift from review to investigation."

4 July 2013
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-23179230

By March 2014 the view that she might still be alive appears to have been tempered by the focus on smellyman. Who, AFAIK, still hasn't been identified.

I don't see a huge amount of importance attached to the dog alerts.

UK police in Madeleine McCann case probe new intruder link
Sarah Young
March 19, 2014


LONDON (Reuters) - British detectives investigating the 2007 disappearance of Madeleine McCann said they were looking for a man suspected of carrying out a series of sexual assaults on young girls staying in Portuguese holiday villas between 2004 and 2010.
Kate and Gerry McCann pose with a computer generated image of how their missing daughter Madeleine might look now, during a news conference in London May 2, 2012. REUTERS/Andrew Winning

McCann, then aged three, went missing from her bedroom at the Praia da Luz holiday resort in the Algarve region while her parents were dining with friends at a nearby restaurant, leading to a global search that gripped the world’s media.

London police, who started a review of the case in 2011 and began their own investigation last year, said on Wednesday they were looking for more information about 12 crimes committed in Portuguese holiday resorts.

In four cases between 2004 and 2006 a man sexually assaulted five white girls, aged between 7 and 10 years, in their beds, in three different Algarve resorts, police said. Two of the 12 offences were committed in Praia da Luz.

“We need to eliminate this man from our enquiries and ascertain whether these offences are linked to Madeleine’s disappearance,” Andy Redwood, senior investigating officer at London’s Metropolitan Police Service, told a news briefing.

The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.

“This an offender who has got a very, very unhealthy interest in young, white female children who he’s attacking while they’re on holiday in their beds,” Redwood said.

“ALL OPTIONS” OPEN

Redwood said the new appeal for information on the man who carried out the attacks was just one of the “priority lines” of inquiry currently being pursued. British police are also in contact with their counterparts in Spain, Belgium, Jersey, Switzerland, Netherlands and Germany over the case.

British Prime Minister David Cameron ordered a new investigation by London police after the McCanns wrote to him three years ago saying neither British nor Portuguese authorities had done enough to try to find their daughter.

Redwood said McCann might have long been dead.

“There is always the potential that she didn’t leave the apartment alive. What is important for us to do is consider all the options,” he said.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-mccann/uk-police-in-madeleine-mccann-case-probe-new-intruder-link-idUSBREA2I1D220140319
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 18, 2018, 10:25:17 AM
Snip
Gilroy's mistake was to underestimate the huge electronic footprint that became a compelling body of evidence.


Snip
He hid her body in a recess under a stairwell.

Then he began his cover up.

Colleagues described him as seeming clammy, sweaty and with scratches on his neck and face. But he got his act together.

He made an excuse to go home and collect the car. He bought air freshners in Superdrug on Princes Street.

He used make-up to cover scratch marks on his hands.

He adjusted his diary to give him a reason to go to Argyll the following day.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-17358340



In my opinion anyone promoting that the case brought against Gilroy rested on "dog evidence" is entirely wrong and shows a clear misunderstanding of what constitutes evidence.

The dog alerts suggested that she entered the building and died there. That's why it was one of the important components of the circumstantial evidence collected. All the components combined suggested what had happened.

It seems there are contradictory reports concerning Gilroy's colleagues.

The defence case began on the morning of 12 March 2012 and lasted half a day. The court heard from a number of witnesses who worked in the offices of Infrastructure Managers Ltd, who spoke to the fact that they did not see anything out of the ordinary at the premises in Thistle Street on 4 May 2012.
http://murderpedia.org/male.G/g/gilroy-david.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 18, 2018, 10:30:32 AM
I would have thought that by July 2013, the Met had had time to review the potential significance of the alerts.

"Over the last two years what the review has told me is that there is no clear, definitive proof that Madeleine McCann is dead," Det Ch Insp Redwood said.

"So on that basis, I still genuinely believe that there is a possibility that she is alive."

He added: "It is a positive step in our hunt for Madeleine that our understanding of the evidence has enabled us to shift from review to investigation."

4 July 2013
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-23179230

By March 2014 the view that she might still be alive appears to have been tempered by the focus on smellyman. Who, AFAIK, still hasn't been identified.

I don't see a huge amount of importance attached to the dog alerts.

UK police in Madeleine McCann case probe new intruder link
Sarah Young
March 19, 2014


LONDON (Reuters) - British detectives investigating the 2007 disappearance of Madeleine McCann said they were looking for a man suspected of carrying out a series of sexual assaults on young girls staying in Portuguese holiday villas between 2004 and 2010.
Kate and Gerry McCann pose with a computer generated image of how their missing daughter Madeleine might look now, during a news conference in London May 2, 2012. REUTERS/Andrew Winning

McCann, then aged three, went missing from her bedroom at the Praia da Luz holiday resort in the Algarve region while her parents were dining with friends at a nearby restaurant, leading to a global search that gripped the world’s media.

London police, who started a review of the case in 2011 and began their own investigation last year, said on Wednesday they were looking for more information about 12 crimes committed in Portuguese holiday resorts.

In four cases between 2004 and 2006 a man sexually assaulted five white girls, aged between 7 and 10 years, in their beds, in three different Algarve resorts, police said. Two of the 12 offences were committed in Praia da Luz.

“We need to eliminate this man from our enquiries and ascertain whether these offences are linked to Madeleine’s disappearance,” Andy Redwood, senior investigating officer at London’s Metropolitan Police Service, told a news briefing.

The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.

“This an offender who has got a very, very unhealthy interest in young, white female children who he’s attacking while they’re on holiday in their beds,” Redwood said.

“ALL OPTIONS” OPEN

Redwood said the new appeal for information on the man who carried out the attacks was just one of the “priority lines” of inquiry currently being pursued. British police are also in contact with their counterparts in Spain, Belgium, Jersey, Switzerland, Netherlands and Germany over the case.

British Prime Minister David Cameron ordered a new investigation by London police after the McCanns wrote to him three years ago saying neither British nor Portuguese authorities had done enough to try to find their daughter.

Redwood said McCann might have long been dead.

“There is always the potential that she didn’t leave the apartment alive. What is important for us to do is consider all the options,” he said.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-mccann/uk-police-in-madeleine-mccann-case-probe-new-intruder-link-idUSBREA2I1D220140319



'The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.'

12 offences in total, in various resorts, & not a mention of how he was gaining access to these children's bedrooms, other than just 'appearing'.  Now that's magic.


Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 10:33:21 AM
The dog alerts suggested that she entered the building and died there. That's why it was one of the important components of the circumstantial evidence collected. All the components combined suggested what had happened.

It seems there are contradictory reports concerning Gilroy's colleagues.

The defence case began on the morning of 12 March 2012 and lasted half a day. The court heard from a number of witnesses who worked in the offices of Infrastructure Managers Ltd, who spoke to the fact that they did not see anything out of the ordinary at the premises in Thistle Street on 4 May 2012.
http://murderpedia.org/male.G/g/gilroy-david.htm

You and others, are trying desperately to show the dogs as important in this, case and have failed imo
There was not even an alert in the car
There is real evidence that resulted in his conviction
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 18, 2018, 10:41:21 AM
I would have thought that by July 2013, the Met had had time to review the potential significance of the alerts.

"Over the last two years what the review has told me is that there is no clear, definitive proof that Madeleine McCann is dead," Det Ch Insp Redwood said.

"So on that basis, I still genuinely believe that there is a possibility that she is alive."

He added: "It is a positive step in our hunt for Madeleine that our understanding of the evidence has enabled us to shift from review to investigation."

4 July 2013
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-23179230

By March 2014 the view that she might still be alive appears to have been tempered by the focus on smellyman. Who, AFAIK, still hasn't been identified.

I don't see a huge amount of importance attached to the dog alerts.

UK police in Madeleine McCann case probe new intruder link
Sarah Young
March 19, 2014


LONDON (Reuters) - British detectives investigating the 2007 disappearance of Madeleine McCann said they were looking for a man suspected of carrying out a series of sexual assaults on young girls staying in Portuguese holiday villas between 2004 and 2010.
Kate and Gerry McCann pose with a computer generated image of how their missing daughter Madeleine might look now, during a news conference in London May 2, 2012. REUTERS/Andrew Winning

McCann, then aged three, went missing from her bedroom at the Praia da Luz holiday resort in the Algarve region while her parents were dining with friends at a nearby restaurant, leading to a global search that gripped the world’s media.

London police, who started a review of the case in 2011 and began their own investigation last year, said on Wednesday they were looking for more information about 12 crimes committed in Portuguese holiday resorts.

In four cases between 2004 and 2006 a man sexually assaulted five white girls, aged between 7 and 10 years, in their beds, in three different Algarve resorts, police said. Two of the 12 offences were committed in Praia da Luz.

“We need to eliminate this man from our enquiries and ascertain whether these offences are linked to Madeleine’s disappearance,” Andy Redwood, senior investigating officer at London’s Metropolitan Police Service, told a news briefing.

The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.

“This an offender who has got a very, very unhealthy interest in young, white female children who he’s attacking while they’re on holiday in their beds,” Redwood said.

“ALL OPTIONS” OPEN

Redwood said the new appeal for information on the man who carried out the attacks was just one of the “priority lines” of inquiry currently being pursued. British police are also in contact with their counterparts in Spain, Belgium, Jersey, Switzerland, Netherlands and Germany over the case.

British Prime Minister David Cameron ordered a new investigation by London police after the McCanns wrote to him three years ago saying neither British nor Portuguese authorities had done enough to try to find their daughter.

Redwood said McCann might have long been dead.

“There is always the potential that she didn’t leave the apartment alive. What is important for us to do is consider all the options,” he said.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-mccann/uk-police-in-madeleine-mccann-case-probe-new-intruder-link-idUSBREA2I1D220140319

'The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.'

12 offences in total, in various resorts, & not a mention of how he was gaining access to these children's bedrooms, other than just 'appearing'.  Now that's magic.




If we're taking unsubstantiated reports as the true story then is this  true?

Quote
Early ideas about sex predators, child traffickers and "a burglary gone wrong" were largely dismissed before both detective teams joined forces to focus on the latest theory.


https://news.sky.com/story/madeleine-mccann-set-to-be-extended-as-police-ask-for-more-funds-11024595
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 18, 2018, 10:41:30 AM

'The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.'

12 offences in total, in various resorts, & not a mention of how he was gaining access to these children's bedrooms, other than just 'appearing'.  Now that's magic.

I presume that the police have a little more information on how the person may have got in. If some were in the height of summer, a window may have been left open, which wouldn't appear to be the case here. Circumstances might not be the same in all instances.

There may be more than one perp, and there may be no connection at all. No one seems to know yet.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 11:17:03 AM
I would have thought that by July 2013, the Met had had time to review the potential significance of the alerts.

"Over the last two years what the review has told me is that there is no clear, definitive proof that Madeleine McCann is dead," Det Ch Insp Redwood said.

"So on that basis, I still genuinely believe that there is a possibility that she is alive."

He added: "It is a positive step in our hunt for Madeleine that our understanding of the evidence has enabled us to shift from review to investigation."

4 July 2013
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-23179230

By March 2014 the view that she might still be alive appears to have been tempered by the focus on smellyman. Who, AFAIK, still hasn't been identified.

I don't see a huge amount of importance attached to the dog alerts.

UK police in Madeleine McCann case probe new intruder link
Sarah Young
March 19, 2014


LONDON (Reuters) - British detectives investigating the 2007 disappearance of Madeleine McCann said they were looking for a man suspected of carrying out a series of sexual assaults on young girls staying in Portuguese holiday villas between 2004 and 2010.
Kate and Gerry McCann pose with a computer generated image of how their missing daughter Madeleine might look now, during a news conference in London May 2, 2012. REUTERS/Andrew Winning

McCann, then aged three, went missing from her bedroom at the Praia da Luz holiday resort in the Algarve region while her parents were dining with friends at a nearby restaurant, leading to a global search that gripped the world’s media.

London police, who started a review of the case in 2011 and began their own investigation last year, said on Wednesday they were looking for more information about 12 crimes committed in Portuguese holiday resorts.

In four cases between 2004 and 2006 a man sexually assaulted five white girls, aged between 7 and 10 years, in their beds, in three different Algarve resorts, police said. Two of the 12 offences were committed in Praia da Luz.

“We need to eliminate this man from our enquiries and ascertain whether these offences are linked to Madeleine’s disappearance,” Andy Redwood, senior investigating officer at London’s Metropolitan Police Service, told a news briefing.

The man, described as being tanned with short, dark, unkempt hair, spoke English with a foreign accent and would appear early in the morning. In some incidents, he was disturbed and left.

“This an offender who has got a very, very unhealthy interest in young, white female children who he’s attacking while they’re on holiday in their beds,” Redwood said.

“ALL OPTIONS” OPEN

Redwood said the new appeal for information on the man who carried out the attacks was just one of the “priority lines” of inquiry currently being pursued. British police are also in contact with their counterparts in Spain, Belgium, Jersey, Switzerland, Netherlands and Germany over the case.

British Prime Minister David Cameron ordered a new investigation by London police after the McCanns wrote to him three years ago saying neither British nor Portuguese authorities had done enough to try to find their daughter.

Redwood said McCann might have long been dead.

“There is always the potential that she didn’t leave the apartment alive. What is important for us to do is consider all the options,” he said.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-mccann/uk-police-in-madeleine-mccann-case-probe-new-intruder-link-idUSBREA2I1D220140319

Redwood’s last statement on the case was when.....5 years ago. A lot can happen in 5 years. Have we heard anything from Nicola Walls ? If not, why not ?

It does come back to the simple question I asked on the other thread. If OG was investigating the McCanns would the public be told ? Of course the answer is no.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 18, 2018, 11:20:37 AM
If we're taking unsubstantiated reports as the true story then is this  true?

"Early ideas about sex predators, child traffickers and "a burglary gone wrong" were largely dismissed before both detective teams joined forces to focus on the latest theory."

https://news.sky.com/story/madeleine-mccann-set-to-be-extended-as-police-ask-for-more-funds-11024595

Thanks. I'd never seen that before.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 11:22:20 AM
If certain posters think that OG will treat the dog alerts as unimportant are they are obviously fooling themselves.
Mark Rowley has said that there is no evidence that Madeleine is alive or dead.  How do you square that with what you've just written?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 11:26:44 AM
Redwood’s last statement on the case was when.....5 years ago. A lot can happen in 5 years. Have we heard anything from Nicola Walls ? If not, why not ?

It does come back to the simple question I asked on the other thread. If OG was investigating the McCanns would the public be told ? Of course the answer is no.
IN YOUR OPINION.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 11:26:53 AM
Mark Rowley has said that there is no evidence that Madeleine is alive or dead.  How do you square that with what you've just written?

I think Mark Rowley is being very frugal with information related to the case. We were told at the beginning that there would be no running commentary from OG so his non answer is no more than we were told to expect.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 12:10:48 PM
I think Mark Rowley is being very frugal with information related to the case. We were told at the beginning that there would be no running commentary from OG so his non answer is no more than we were told to expect.
That being the case what leads you to believe the Met are taking the dog alerts as serious evidence of Madeleine's death?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 12:41:21 PM
That being the case what leads you to believe the Met are taking the dog alerts as serious evidence of Madeleine's death?


I’m not sure I did say that. What I said is that OG certainly won’t see the dog alerts as unimportant as some supporters believe.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 12:45:33 PM

I’m not sure I did say that. What I said is that OG certainly won’t see the dog alerts as unimportant as some supporters believe.

Your opinion again... I would, say that Grange would find the alerts unimportant... The dogs are used to find evidence.
The alerts themselves tell us nothing
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 12:51:23 PM
Your opinion again... I would, say that Grange would find the alerts unimportant... The dogs are used to find evidence.
The alerts themselves tell us nothing

You keep on believing that Davel if it brings you comfort.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 12:52:48 PM

I’m not sure I did say that. What I said is that OG certainly won’t see the dog alerts as unimportant as some supporters believe.
And you base this opinion on what?  There is certainly evidence to suggest that they don't take them seriously otherwise they wouldn't say there was "no evidence" of Madeleine's death, they would say there is "little evidence", for example.  IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:01:54 PM
Faithlilly you have repeatedly claimed that it is a "certainty" that the current investigating police force have given the dog alerts the "due weight" you think they deserve.  I think that this is stating opinion as fact.  Please tell me why you think it is a factual statement, and what weight you think the police have actually given to the alerts?  A heavy weight, a medium weight  or a light weight?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:02:31 PM
And you base this opinion on what?  There is certainly evidence to suggest that they don't take them seriously otherwise they wouldn't say there was "no evidence" of Madeleine's death, they would say there is "little evidence", for example.  IMO.

I base my opinion on every police authorities use of and faith in cadaver dogs and their indications.

Have OG released an updated construct of how Madeleine may look now recently ? You would think that that may have been a priority on the 10th anniversary of her disappearance, if they thought she was alive of course.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:07:18 PM
I base my opinion on every police authorities use of and faith in cadaver dogs and their indications.

Have OG released an updated construct of how Madeleine may look now recently ? You would think that that may have been a priority on the 10th anniversary of her disappearance, if they thought she was alive of course.
Do you have a link to verify the claim that every police authority has "faith" in cadaver dogs and their indications?
Again you seem to be discerning coded messages from the police through their actions or, in this case, inactions. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:08:14 PM
Faithlilly you have repeatedly claimed that it is a "certainty" that the current investigating police force have given the dog alerts the "due weight" you think they deserve.  I think that this is stating opinion as fact.  Please tell me why you think it is a factual statement, and what weight you think the police have actually given to the alerts?  A heavy weight, a medium weight  or a light weight?

Let’s look at it this way. If OG do not believe the dog alerts are in any way significant then there’s nothing to worry about but if they do, as the police in the Pilley and Bianca Jones’s cases did, then it will lead them to more difficult questions. Is that clear enough ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 18, 2018, 01:11:07 PM
Let’s look at it this way. If OG do not believe the dog alerts are in any way significant then there’s nothing to worry about but if they do, as the police in the Pilley and Bianca Jones’s cases did, then it will lead them to more difficult questions. Is that clear enough ?

The only thing that OG don't believe in was Tannerman,nothing else has got a mention.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:12:16 PM
Do you have a link to verify the claim that every police authority has "faith" in cadaver dogs and their indications?
Again you seem to be discerning coded messages from the police through their actions or, in this case, inactions.

If you like I could give you case upon case where cadaver dogs have been used. Why would police authorities use them if they had no confidence in their abilities?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:12:26 PM
Let’s look at it this way. If OG do not believe the dog alerts are in any way significant then there’s nothing to worry about but if they do, as the police in the Pilley and Bianca Jones’s cases did, then it will lead them to more difficult questions. Is that clear enough ?
Are you therefore retracting your claim that it is a "certainty" that the police in this case have given the alerts "due weight"?  That would make things crystal clear thank you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:15:09 PM
Are you therefore retracting your claim that it is a "certainty" that the police in this case have given the alerts "due weight"?  That would make things crystal clear thank you.

I think I said ‘the weight they deserve’ .
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:18:07 PM
If you like I could give you case upon case where cadaver dogs have been used. Why would police authorities use them if they had no confidence in their abilities?
I think this has been explained time and time again but I can have another go at it if you like?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:20:18 PM
I think I said ‘the weight they deserve’ .
subjective.  The weight they deserve according to whom? What weight?  Great or little?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:23:20 PM
I think I said ‘the weight they deserve’ .
What you actually said:

"I said nothing about statistics. Logic dictates that if a cadaver dog alerts in a certain location and in that location a child has gone missing then the two are more probably than not linked. There may be no collectible forensics to prove that the death occurred but the alert is nonetheless indicative and will certainly be given its due weight by any investigating police force".
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:24:09 PM
I think this has been explained time and time again but I can have another go at it if you like?

Whatever pleases you. Please include though why dog trainers are asked to give evidence in court in cases where there is no body.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:25:16 PM
subjective.  The weight they deserve according to whom? What weight?  Great or little?

According to the investigating authority, that will be up to them, no idea.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:28:03 PM
What you actually said:

"I said nothing about statistics. Logic dictates that if a cadaver dog alerts in a certain location and in that location a child has gone missing then the two are more probably than not linked. There may be no collectible forensics to prove that the death occurred but the alert is nonetheless indicative and will certainly be given its due weight by any investigating police force".

The ‘due weight’ is whatever the investigating authority feels is appropriate.

You will get the same answer no matter how many ways you couch your question.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 01:34:57 PM
If you like I could give you case upon case where cadaver dogs have been used. Why would police authorities use them if they had no confidence in their abilities?

I doubt you can and I doubt you can give any case where the alert has been accepted  as evidence of death.... They certainly are not in the McCann case
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:40:38 PM
Faithlilly, are you aware of the 2011 report by the National Policing Improvements Agency which found that the use of sniffer dogs can actually hinder police work and which called for better training and standards in this area, a recommendation which the Association Of Chief Police Officers promised they would be acting on by introducing improved standards?
https://news.sky.com/story/sniffer-dogs-can-hinder-police-work-10488976
This would seem to indicate IMO that there is an understanding amongst the police themselves that dog work is not a completely reliable method of ascertaining what has happened in a crime scene where no body or actual forensic evidence is present.  Would you not agree?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 01:45:05 PM
Whatever pleases you. Please include though why dog trainers are asked to give evidence in court in cases where there is no body.
The prosecution calls all sorts of people (witnesses, experts, etc) to give evidence if they think their testimony will help build a case against the accused and convince the jury, just as the defence will have their own witnesses and experts to dismantle that testimony.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 01:49:21 PM
Faithlilly, are you aware of the 2011 report by the National Policing Improvements Agency which found that the use of sniffer dogs can actually hinder police work and which called for better training and standards in this area, a recommendation which the Association Of Chief Police Officers promised they would be acting on by introducing improved standards?
https://news.sky.com/story/sniffer-dogs-can-hinder-police-work-10488976
This would seem to indicate IMO that there is an understanding amongst the police themselves that dog work is not a completely reliable method of ascertaining what has happened in a crime scene where no body or actual forensic evidence is present.  Would you not agree?

This report was 7 years ago and actually proved how reliable the dog alerts were as the alerts were always prompted by furniture which was linked to a dead body. That this hindered the investigating authorities as it was the wrong body does not prove, in itself , that the dogs were unreliable. They detected what they were trained to detect.

If you have something more up to date about the use of cadaver dogs that would be great and, while you’re having a google, if you could find proof that any of the fixtures and fittings in 5a had any connection to a dead body that would be great too.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 02:14:17 PM
This report was 7 years ago and actually proved how reliable the dog alerts were as the alerts were always prompted by furniture which was linked to a dead body. That this hindered the investigating authorities as it was the wrong body does not prove, in itself , that the dogs were unreliable. They detected what they were trained to detect.

If you have something more up to date about the use of cadaver dogs that would be great and, while you’re having a google, if you could find proof that any of the fixtures and fittings in 5a had any connection to a dead body that would be great too.
Correct me if I'm wrong but the dog alerts in this case occurred in 2007, the NPIA report which found that sniffer dogs could actually hamper police work occured in 2011, so why do you require more recent reports, do you think there is one which contradicts the findings of the NPIA?  If there is then by all means post it yourself.   I have not made any claim about fixtures and fittings in 5a so am at a loss as to why you would require me to find proof that they did have a connection to a dead body, though if I may I would like to ask the question - was the provenance of each stick of furniture in that apartment traced, and if not, why not?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 03:14:24 PM
Correct me if I'm wrong but the dog alerts in this case occurred in 2007, the NPIA report which found that sniffer dogs could actually hamper police work occured in 2011, so why do you require more recent reports, do you think there is one which contradicts the findings of the NPIA?  If there is then by all means post it yourself.   I have not made any claim about fixtures and fittings in 5a so am at a loss as to why you would require me to find proof that they did have a connection to a dead body, though if I may I would like to ask the question - was the provenance of each stick of furniture in that apartment traced, and if not, why not?

As we are looking at the weight OG give to the cadaver dog alerts NOW then a report with the most up to date information of how alerts are viewed and used NOW would be helpful. Out of date reports really do not move us much further forward.

You are right that you made no claims about the fixtures and fittings of 5a but as the report you posted referred to them as the cause of dog alerts I thought that’s what you were putting forward as the reason for the alerts in 5a. Wasn’t that the case ?

As to your last question are you now saying that furniture may have played a part ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 18, 2018, 03:22:53 PM
The only thing that OG don't believe in was Tannerman,nothing else has got a mention.

In my opinion you are expressing the wrong opinion regarding 'Tannerman'.  In my opinion DCI Redwood vindicated Jane Tanner's sighting ... the rest is in the detail.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 03:27:57 PM
In my opinion you are expressing the wrong opinion regarding 'Tannerman'.  In my opinion DCI Redwood vindicated Jane Tanner's sighting ... the rest is in the detail.

No matter what your opinion it is obvious that by relentlessly pushing Tannerman as the probable abductor a great deal of time, and money, was wasted pursuing the wrong man. There really is nothing positive about that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 03:29:52 PM
As we are looking at the weight OG give to the cadaver dog alerts NOW then a report with the most up to date information of how alerts are viewed and used NOW would be helpful. Out of date reports really do not move us much further forward.

You are right that you made no claims about the fixtures and fittings of 5a but as the report you posted referred to them as the cause of dog alerts I thought that’s what you were putting forward as the reason for the alerts in 5a. Wasn’t that the case ?

As to your last question are you now saying that furniture may have played a part ?
I'm afraid I don't follow your reasoning.  In 2011, the NPIA found that police work could be hampered by dog alerts, based on information they had gathered up to that point and recommended systems be put in place to address various issues.  The alerts in the McCann case happened well before these changes were made, so why do you think a more recent report about standards of reliability of dog alerts in police work would be relevant exactly?  In any case, I'm sure you'd agree that if there was a more recent report that said actually the NPIA report was incorrect and that police work is not and has never been hampered by sniffer dogs then those of us who follow this case would have heard about it by now.  These things are hardly top secret. 
I am putting forward no reason for the the alerts in 5a, nor am I saying that furniture played a part, but given that we know from another case that furniture played a part in an alert, it would be reasonable (would it not?) to investigate whether or not it did in this case.  If this is an unreasonable suggestion perhaps you could explain why.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 03:56:27 PM
As we are looking at the weight OG give to the cadaver dog alerts NOW then a report with the most up to date information of how alerts are viewed and used NOW would be helpful. Out of date reports really do not move us much further forward.

You are right that you made no claims about the fixtures and fittings of 5a but as the report you posted referred to them as the cause of dog alerts I thought that’s what you were putting forward as the reason for the alerts in 5a. Wasn’t that the case ?

As to your last question are you now saying that furniture may have played a part ?

As you have claim you can quote case upon case of the alerts being used in investigations then quote a couple of cases where they have been used in the last two years... Then we will have up to date information... The one case, you have quoted.... Gilroy... The alerts, do not seem to have been of any real importance to the conviction..
I doubt you will be able to quote any
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 04:04:18 PM
I guess Faithlilly raises an interesting point about the shelf-life of reports though.  For how long does any report on any particular subject remain valid? Is it out of date within 24 hours, 24 days, 24 months, 24 years?   If we can find no recent report about the reliability of cadaver dogs, are we OK to dismiss the claims as not worth the paper they're written on if the report is over a number of months or years old?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 04:43:36 PM
I'm afraid I don't follow your reasoning.  In 2011, the NPIA found that police work could be hampered by dog alerts, based on information they had gathered up to that point and recommended systems be put in place to address various issues.  The alerts in the McCann case happened well before these changes were made, so why do you think a more recent report about standards of reliability of dog alerts in police work would be relevant exactly?  In any case, I'm sure you'd agree that if there was a more recent report that said actually the NPIA report was incorrect and that police work is not and has never been hampered by sniffer dogs then those of us who follow this case would have heard about it by now.  These things are hardly top secret. 
I am putting forward no reason for the the alerts in 5a, nor am I saying that furniture played a part, but given that we know from another case that furniture played a part in an alert, it would be reasonable (would it not?) to investigate whether or not it did in this case.  If this is an unreasonable suggestion perhaps you could explain why.

At the time of the report the NPIA was not incorrect because it was based on the knowledge they had then. Our knowledge of how the dogs work has moved on so it would be ridiculous to assume the police’s understanding of the dog alerts hasn’t. OG will be using the knowledge they have now to understand the alerts.

Again just for clarity, the report, if you insist on referring to it, did not say that the alerts were unreliable, on the contrary each time that a dog alerted then there was a dead body connected to that alert and, in the end, the source of that alert was identified. The detrimental effect of having to deploy extra resources  to identify the source is the object of the report. The reliability of the dogs is not.

As to the dogs alerting to the furniture in 5a, why 5a and no other properties that the dogs were deployed in ? Is this another one of those ‘coincidences’ Kate talks of ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 18, 2018, 04:46:35 PM
I guess Faithlilly raises an interesting point about the shelf-life of reports though. For how long does any report on any particular subject remain valid? Is it out of date within 24 hours, 24 days, 24 months, 24 years?   If we can find no recent report about the reliability of cadaver dogs, are we OK to dismiss the claims as not worth the paper they're written on if the report is over a number of months or years old?

Until it is proven to be invalid following review by a group of experts in that particular field ?




Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 04:50:11 PM
Until it is proven to be invalid following review by a group of experts in that particular field ?
Sounds good to me.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 04:52:15 PM
At the time of the report the NPIA was not incorrect because it was based on the knowledge they had then. Our knowledge of how the dogs work has moved on so it would be ridiculous to assume the police’s understanding of the dog alerts hasn’t. OG will be using the knowledge they have now to understand the alerts.

Again just for clarity, the report, if you insist on referring to it, did not say that the alerts were unreliable, on the contrary each time that a dog alerted then there was a dead body connected to that alert and, in the end, the source of that alert was identified. The detrimental effect of having to deploy extra resources  to identify the source is the object of the report. The reliability of the dogs is not.

As to the dogs alerting to the furniture in 5a, why 5a and no other properties that the dogs were deployed in ? Is this another one of those ‘coincidences’ Kate talks of ?
Could you kindly provide a cite to back up your statement that our knowledge of how the dogs work has moved on since 2011, and also how this knowledge negates the findings of the NPIA report which was that dog work can hamper police investigations, thanks in advance. 
Re; your second para, I made no claim that the report said the dogs were unreliable, only that their use had the potential to hamper police work.
re: your third para: until we know the provenance of the furniture in 5a how can we answer the question either way?  You have refrained from saying whether or not checking out the furniture would have been a reasonable thing to do in the circumstances.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 04:56:01 PM
At the time of the report the NPIA was not incorrect because it was based on the knowledge they had then. Our knowledge of how the dogs work has moved on so it would be ridiculous to assume the police’s understanding of the dog alerts hasn’t. OG will be using the knowledge they have now to understand the alerts.

Again just for clarity, the report, if you insist on referring to it, did not say that the alerts were unreliable, on the contrary each time that a dog alerted then there was a dead body connected to that alert and, in the end, the source of that alert was identified. The detrimental effect of having to deploy extra resources  to identify the source is the object of the report. The reliability of the dogs is not.

As to the dogs alerting to the furniture in 5a, why 5a and no other properties that the dogs were deployed in ? Is this another one of those ‘coincidences’ Kate talks of ?

Once again.. The dogs did not alert to sites in 5a according to the pj
..they eventually  alerted to sites they had previously  ignored... It seems they we're given more time to alert in 5a
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 05:34:36 PM
I guess Faithlilly raises an interesting point about the shelf-life of reports though.  For how long does any report on any particular subject remain valid? Is it out of date within 24 hours, 24 days, 24 months, 24 years?   If we can find no recent report about the reliability of cadaver dogs, are we OK to dismiss the claims as not worth the paper they're written on if the report is over a number of months or years old?

You do know that the report was not on the reliability of the dogs but how the reliability of their alerts sometimes send an investigation in the wrong direction.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 05:43:21 PM
Could you kindly provide a cite to back up your statement that our knowledge of how the dogs work has moved on since 2011, and also how this knowledge negates the findings of the NPIA report which was that dog work can hamper police investigations, thanks in advance. 
Re; your second para, I made no claim that the report said the dogs were unreliable, only that their use had the potential to hamper police work.
re: your third para: until we know the provenance of the furniture in 5a how can we answer the question either way?  You have refrained from saying whether or not checking out the furniture would have been a reasonable thing to do in the circumstances.

Okay. 1. It is simply common sense that, with the research which is being carried out on the subject, that our knowledge of how cadaver dogs work will have moved on.

2. I didn't say you did.

3. Checking the furniture would have been an excellent idea. Do you know whether the PJ did not at the time or it has been done since ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 06:14:40 PM
You do know that the report was not on the reliability of the dogs but how the reliability of their alerts sometimes send an investigation in the wrong direction.
Yes, and I have repeatedly said so.  You however are dismissing the report on the grounds that it is out of date, so what do you expect a more recent report to say that contradicts the NPIA report?  That dog alerts never send the investigation in the wrong direction, and that the NPIA report was wholly mistaken?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 06:20:58 PM
Okay. 1. It is simply common sense that, with the research which is being carried out on the subject, that our knowledge of how cadaver dogs work will have moved on.

2. I didn't say you did.

3. Checking the furniture would have been an excellent idea. Do you know whether the PJ did not at the time or it has been done since ?

I accept your answers 2 and 3 but answer number 1 simply won't do I'm afraid.  You have made a claim that our understanding of dog alerts (inasmuch as how they affect the direction of an investigation, as per the NPIA report which is what we were discussing and which you rejected for being out of date) will have moved on, but that is only your belief and with no report cited, I'm afraid it has to remain just that -  a belief. 
Going back to point 3 I have no idea if the furniture has been tested since the case was closed the first time, but have no reason to believe it was in 2007-2008.  Do we know if it was the same furniture in situ when the investigation re-opened in 2013, and if it was wouldn't the fact that dozens if not hundreds of people had used it since make a nonsense of any such test?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 06:49:05 PM
I accept your answers 2 and 3 but answer number 1 simply won't do I'm afraid.  You have made a claim that our understanding of dog alerts (inasmuch as how they affect the direction of an investigation, as per the NPIA report which is what we were discussing and which you rejected for being out of date) will have moved on, but that is only your belief and with no report cited, I'm afraid it has to remain just that -  a belief. 
Going back to point 3 I have no idea if the furniture has been tested since the case was closed the first time, but have no reason to believe it was in 2007-2008.  Do we know if it was the same furniture in situ when the investigation re-opened in 2013, and if it was wouldn't the fact that dozens if not hundreds of people had used it since make a nonsense of any such test?

It would have taken only one, pj officer who had been in contact with a corpse in his, uniform to have contaminated the whole if 5a
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 07:13:47 PM
I accept your answers 2 and 3 but answer number 1 simply won't do I'm afraid.  You have made a claim that our understanding of dog alerts (inasmuch as how they affect the direction of an investigation, as per the NPIA report which is what we were discussing and which you rejected for being out of date) will have moved on, but that is only your belief and with no report cited, I'm afraid it has to remain just that -  a belief. 
Going back to point 3 I have no idea if the furniture has been tested since the case was closed the first time, but have no reason to believe it was in 2007-2008.  Do we know if it was the same furniture in situ when the investigation re-opened in 2013, and if it was wouldn't the fact that dozens if not hundreds of people had used it since make a nonsense of any such test?

Not entirely sure I care whether my first answer will do. It's simply common sense.

As to the furniture being the cause of the alerts can I refer you to my previous answers.

Edit : removed insult.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 07:18:15 PM
Not entirely sure I care whether my first answer will do. It's simply common sense.

As to the furniture being the cause of the alerts can I refer you to my previous answers.
I understand that "common sense" won't do as a cite and that despite your claims that the NPIA report has been superseded and is therefore out of date, you have provided nothing to back this up.  Therefore as you have posted nothing to refute the NPIA findings that sniffer dogs can adversely effect the outcome of a police investigation I think it safe to say that their's is still a valid conclusion, and in fact is more valid than yours.   
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 07:20:58 PM
Not entirely sure I care whether my first answer will do. It's simply common sense.

As to the furniture being the cause of the alerts can I refer you to my previous answers.

Edit : removed insult.

All this could be, easily settled if you posted, some of the many cases, you know of..... It seems, that is another of your claims, that has no credibility
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 07:58:30 PM
I understand that "common sense" won't do as a cite and that despite your claims that the NPIA report has been superseded and is therefore out of date, you have provided nothing to back this up.  Therefore as you have posted nothing to refute the NPIA findings that sniffer dogs can adversely effect the outcome of a police investigation I think it safe to say that their's is still a valid conclusion, and in fact is more valid than yours.

Yet again you misquote me ( Delete) I didn't say the NPIA report had been superseded I said that in all probably the knowledge surrounding the work of the dogs would have moved forward. As the use of dogs are now seen more than ever in cases of missing people, Tia Sharpe, April Jones and the recent searches in Greece for Ben Needham to name but three, it would be logical to suppose the problems identified in the 2011 report  had been partly if not fully resolved.

 In fact the use of cadaver dogs in PDL by OG recently suggests they recently know their value.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 07:59:58 PM
Yet again you misquote me ( Delete) I didn't say the NPIA report had been superseded I said that in all probably the knowledge surrounding the work of the dogs would have moved forward. As the use of dogs are now seen more than ever in cases of missing people, Tia Sharpe, April Jones and the recent searches in Greece for Ben Needham to name but three, it would be logical to suppose the problems identified in the 2011 report  had been partly if not fully resolved.

 In fact the use of cadaver dogs in PDL by OG recently suggests they recently know their value.
Any problems now fully resolved since 2011 would have no bearing whatsoever on any problems present in 2007. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 08:02:45 PM
Yet again you misquote me ( Delete ) I didn't say the NPIA report had been superseded I said that in all probably the knowledge surrounding the work of the dogs would have moved forward. As the use of dogs are now seen more than ever in cases of missing people, Tia Sharpe, April Jones and the recent searches in Greece for Ben Needham to name but three, it would be logical to suppose the problems identified in the 2011 report  had been partly if not fully resolved.

 In fact the use of cadaver dogs in PDL by OG recently suggests they recently know their value.

they certainly do know and understand their value....as do I...their value is in the evidence they find
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 08:05:16 PM
This is 2014.....

Cadaver dogs 'are an incredible investigatory tool - no question about it,' says Lawrence Kobilinsky, professor and chairman of the department of sciences at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York. Certainly, he says, they can help uncover valuable evidence in criminal cases - a body, or bones or maybe clothing.

But he is among those who doesn't think the dogs' alerts and subsequent tests of soil and air where should be admissible in court, at least not yet.

'What we need to do is strengthen the science,' Kobilinksy says.

And even in investigations, dogs alerting is often just the first step in what can be a lengthy, sometimes fruitless endeavor.



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2801234/buster-ed-cadaver-dog-helped-track-remains-200-people.html#ixzz5A8I2KmTY
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook




yet more confirmation of what grime and Harrison said
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 08:19:54 PM
Any problems now fully resolved since 2011 would have no bearing whatsoever on any problems present in 2007.

However the 2011 report did not say the dog alerts were unreliable, in fact the exact opposite. So all good.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 18, 2018, 08:20:39 PM
I understand that "common sense" won't do as a cite and that despite your claims that the NPIA report has been superseded and is therefore out of date, you have provided nothing to back this up.  Therefore as you have posted nothing to refute the NPIA findings that sniffer dogs can adversely effect the outcome of a police investigation I think it safe to say that their's is still a valid conclusion, and in fact is more valid than yours.

Unless you are claiming that in all fields of human endeavour the only one that hasn’t progress one iota is the study of sniffer dogs, then I think the common sense argument is a valid logical approach.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 18, 2018, 08:25:36 PM
Posters are cordially reminded that certain conduct is unacceptable on this forum so please ensure posts are amicable and relevant before confirming your post.  Your cooperation will make the moderators job so much easier. Thank you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 08:26:41 PM
Unless you are claiming that in all fields of human endeavour the only one that hasn’t progress one iota is the study of sniffer dogs, then I think the common sense argument is a valid logical approach.

You may think so ...I dont. What evidence is there? Pythagoaras Theorem is just as avlid today as it was over 2000 years ago. To make a claim and say its supported by common sense is not a valid approach imo

progression is made by scientific reseach......there doesnt seem to have been any with cadaver dogs that have moved things forward
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 08:31:35 PM
This is 2014.....

Cadaver dogs 'are an incredible investigatory tool - no question about it,' says Lawrence Kobilinsky, professor and chairman of the department of sciences at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York. Certainly, he says, they can help uncover valuable evidence in criminal cases - a body, or bones or maybe clothing.

But he is among those who doesn't think the dogs' alerts and subsequent tests of soil and air where should be admissible in court, at least not yet.

'What we need to do is strengthen the science,' Kobilinksy says.

And even in investigations, dogs alerting is often just the first step in what can be a lengthy, sometimes fruitless endeavor.



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2801234/buster-ed-cadaver-dog-helped-track-remains-200-people.html#ixzz5A8I2KmTY
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook




yet more confirmation of what grime and Harrison said

So it appears things have moved on in the last decade, in America at least.

'Local police departments have been reluctant to use the cadaver dogs for searches because their trainers are volunteers, but that's been changing, as the dogs' training has become more standardized in the last decade - and as they've helped solve more cases.'

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 08:33:08 PM
Unless you are claiming that in all fields of human endeavour the only one that hasn’t progress one iota is the study of sniffer dogs, then I think the common sense argument is a valid logical approach.
Is it logical to say that dog alerts now no longer adversely effect the outcome of police investigations?  In other words what advancements have been made to ensure that a dog no longer alerts to a piece of furniture that has the been contaminated  by a dead body that has no relevance to the case under investigation?  And in any case what have any supposed advancements since 2011 got to do with alerts that took place in 2007?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 08:35:24 PM
So it appears things have moved on in the last decade, in America at least.

'Local police departments have been reluctant to use the cadaver dogs for searches because their trainers are volunteers, but that's been changing, as the dogs' training has become more standardized in the last decade - and as they've helped solve more cases.'

you would need to understand how they have helped to solve cases....common sense would say by finding evidence..

the eminent professor confirms taht the alerts themselves should not be pesented in court as evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 18, 2018, 08:40:55 PM
you would need to understand how they have helped to solve cases....common sense would say by finding evidence..

the eminent professor confirms taht the alerts themselves should not be pesented in court as evidence
The article quoted him as saying he thinks and now you are saying he confirms.  I tend to think a confirmation would need to be based on a study rather than just his opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 18, 2018, 08:41:32 PM
Is it logical to say that dog alerts now no longer adversely effect the outcome of police investigations?  In other words what advancements have been made to ensure that a dog no longer alerts to a piece of furniture that has the been contaminated  by a dead body that has no relevance to the case under investigation?  And in any case what have any supposed advancements since 2011 got to do with alerts that took place in 2007?

You may as well say fingerprinting adversely effects police investigations as unidentifiable prints may cause extra work...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 08:43:52 PM
The article quoted him as saying he thinks and now you are saying he confirms.  I tend to think a confirmation would need to be based on a study rather than just his opinion.

He confirms that in his opinion..... The whole point is there are no proper scientific studies.. Grime was only quoting opinion

Does anyone have an expert opinion that the alerts should be admissable as evidence... It seems not
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 18, 2018, 08:46:18 PM
You may as well say fingerprinting adversely effects police investigations as unidentifiable prints may cause extra work...
It's not me saying it, it was the NPIA.  Do you think their report is invalid then?  In any case unidentifiable prints are unlikely to be used as evidence against anyone, and nor should dog alerts for much the same reasons.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 18, 2018, 08:58:44 PM
He confirms that in his opinion..... The whole point is there are no proper scientific studies.. Grime was only quoting opinion

Does anyone have an expert opinion that the alerts should be admissable as evidence... It seems not

State the definition of "expert" on which you are relying.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 09:03:23 PM
State the definition of "expert" on which you are relying.

A recognised expert in their field... I believe  you first introduced the term relating to expert witnesses
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 18, 2018, 09:10:28 PM
A recognised expert in their field... I believe  you first introduced the term relating to expert witnesses

It doesn't matter what I introduced. It was your definition that counted it was your post.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 18, 2018, 09:12:42 PM
A recognised expert in their field... I believe  you first introduced the term relating to expert witnesses
Google that:
"expert witness
noun LAW
a person whose level of specialized knowledge or skill in a particular field qualifies them to present their opinion about the facts of a case during legal proceedings."
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 09:13:48 PM
It doesn't matter what I introduced. It was your definition that counted it was your post.
As you mentioned  it first I'm asking for your definition... I think it's, a pointless argument...
Let's hear an expert supporting the admission of alerts... We can then look at his qualifications
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 18, 2018, 09:45:18 PM
As you mentioned  it first I'm asking for your definition... I think it's, a pointless argument...
Let's hear an expert supporting the admission of alerts... We can then look at his qualifications
State which particular alerts you have in mind.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 09:46:22 PM
State which particular alerts you have in mind.

Any claimed unconfirmed  cadaver alert
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 18, 2018, 10:00:31 PM
Any claimed unconfirmed  cadaver alert

That statement seems to be an oxymoron. Care to clarify?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2018, 10:06:33 PM
That statement seems to be an oxymoron. Care to clarify?
It's clear enough
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 18, 2018, 10:26:19 PM
It's clear enough
It is all the same difference.  Perfectly clear as mud.  You are clearly confused.  I find the solution weirdly normal.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 18, 2018, 11:14:57 PM
you would need to understand how they have helped to solve cases....common sense would say by finding evidence..

the eminent professor confirms taht the alerts themselves should not be pesented in court as evidence

He said ‘yet’ in 2014 and in America where volunteers are regularly used. This does not happen in the U.K.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 19, 2018, 01:51:39 AM
Why do you keep pushing these myths. We do not get crackling from decaying charred whole pigs.
The finest pork flavour is thought to come from pigs that have been hung for 9 days.  Depending on the cut, pigs are normally hung for 4-12 days.  It wouldn't take long for a dead pig to develop cadaver odour that would be discernable to the sensitive nose of a Cadavar dog

http://www.thepigsite.com/articles/2364/ageing-and-the-impact-on-meat-quality

A cadaver dog such as Eddie which was trained on dead pig would be able to alert to pork crackling because cadaver dogs are known to recognise the cadaver odour even after burning.  As stated before they were used in the forest fires in California to identify the dead.

There seems to be little doubt that a cadaver dog trained on pigs would alert to pork crackling IMO

Would a dog trainer would wish to advertise this weakness in the dogs likely range of identifying cadaver odiour ?   Would people paying good money for the dogs services want a dog that might be alerting to the cadaver odour of a pig, rather than a missing human ?

OMO, but what I am saying is logical based upon

1.  Our knowledge that Eddie was trained on dead pigs
2.  Dead pigs smell very like humans
3.  Pigs are hung for several days for the meat to mature if bred for pork, so would have a cadaver odour about them
4.  Dogs are used in forest fires etc to identify the burnt cadavers of humans, which would smell very like burnt cadavers of pigs ( Pork crackling included)


So, did someone who had been eating pork crackling / scratchings handle the paper or those folders on the counter above the cupboard that Cuddlecat was produced from ?

Eddie certainly didn't alert to Cuddlecat; he had just been playing with it, with no alert !!

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 19, 2018, 06:53:14 AM
The finest pork flavour is thought to come from pigs that have been hung for 9 days.  Depending on the cut, pigs are normally hung for 4-12 days.  It wouldn't take long for a dead pig to develop cadaver odour that would be discernable to the sensitive nose of a Cadavar dog

http://www.thepigsite.com/articles/2364/ageing-and-the-impact-on-meat-quality

A cadaver dog such as Eddie which was trained on dead pig would be able to alert to pork crackling because cadaver dogs are known to recognise the cadaver odour even after burning.  As stated before they were used in the forest fires in California to identify the dead.

There seems to be little doubt that a cadaver dog trained on pigs would alert to pork crackling IMO

Would a dog trainer would wish to advertise this weakness in the dogs likely range of identifying cadaver odiour ?   Would people paying good money for the dogs services want a dog that might be alerting to the cadaver odour of a pig, rather than a missing human ?

OMO, but what I am saying is logical based upon

1.  Our knowledge that Eddie was trained on dead pigs
2.  Dead pigs smell very like humans
3.  Pigs are hung for several days for the meat to mature if bred for pork, so would have a cadaver odour about them
4.  Dogs are used in forest fires etc to identify the burnt cadavers of humans, which would smell very like burnt cadavers of pigs ( Pork crackling included)


So, did someone who had been eating pork crackling / scratchings handle the paper or those folders on the counter above the cupboard that Cuddlecat was produced from ?

Eddie certainly didn't alert to Cuddlecat; he had just been playing with it, with no alert !!

In my opinion the attempts to cast doubt on Grime and his dog occasionally verge on the ridiculous.

There's a significant difference between a pig which has been hung and a decaying piglet used for training cadaver dogs. The clue is that the piglets are whole - there's nowt taken out.

Martin Grime said his dog alerted to Cuddle Cat. He is the expert and he was there. Armchair detectives, in my opinion, have no expertise and their opinions count for nothing.

 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 06:56:15 AM
It is all the same difference.  Perfectly clear as mud.  You are clearly confused.  I find the solution weirdly normal.
I'm certainly  not confused..... Harrison... Grime say the, alerts, have no evidential value
Can anyone  post an expert supporting the use, and value of unconfirmed alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 07:14:49 AM
In my opinion the attempts to cast doubt on Grime and his dog occasionally verge on the ridiculous.

There's a significant difference between a pig which has been hung and a decaying piglet used for training cadaver dogs. The clue is that the piglets are whole - there's nowt taken out.

Martin Grime said his dog alerted to Cuddle Cat. He is the expert and he was there. Armchair detectives, in my opinion, have no expertise and their opinions count for nothing.

Grime has, said, the, alerts, have, no evidential value... I totally agree, with him..
What is, surprising is, the, fact that the, dog trained, to react to cadaver on most occasions, originally didn't react to it... As in cuddle cat... Those, aren't my words, but the, words, of the, pj and, are in the, files
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 07:40:31 AM
Grime has, said, the, alerts, have, no evidential value... I totally agree, with him..
What is, surprising is, the, fact that the, dog trained, to react to cadaver on most occasions, originally didn't react to it... As in cuddle cat... Those, aren't my words, but the, words, of the, pj and, are in the, files
You'd better find them.  I have not seen that as yet.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 07:43:16 AM
You'd better find them.  I have not seen that as yet.

I have posted them several times... Recently  too
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 19, 2018, 08:30:27 AM
The finest pork flavour is thought to come from pigs that have been hung for 9 days.  Depending on the cut, pigs are normally hung for 4-12 days.  It wouldn't take long for a dead pig to develop cadaver odour that would be discernable to the sensitive nose of a Cadavar dog

http://www.thepigsite.com/articles/2364/ageing-and-the-impact-on-meat-quality

A cadaver dog such as Eddie which was trained on dead pig would be able to alert to pork crackling because cadaver dogs are known to recognise the cadaver odour even after burning.  As stated before they were used in the forest fires in California to identify the dead.

There seems to be little doubt that a cadaver dog trained on pigs would alert to pork crackling IMO

Would a dog trainer would wish to advertise this weakness in the dogs likely range of identifying cadaver odiour ?   Would people paying good money for the dogs services want a dog that might be alerting to the cadaver odour of a pig, rather than a missing human ?

OMO, but what I am saying is logical based upon

1.  Our knowledge that Eddie was trained on dead pigs
2.  Dead pigs smell very like humans
3.  Pigs are hung for several days for the meat to mature if bred for pork, so would have a cadaver odour about them
4.  Dogs are used in forest fires etc to identify the burnt cadavers of humans, which would smell very like burnt cadavers of pigs ( Pork crackling included)


So, did someone who had been eating pork crackling / scratchings handle the paper or those folders on the counter above the cupboard that Cuddlecat was produced from ?

Eddie certainly didn't alert to Cuddlecat; he had just been playing with it, with no alert !!

Martin Grime.

Quote
'Eddie' The Enhanced Victim Recovery Dog (E.V.R.D.) will search for and
locate human remains and body fluids including blood in any environment or
terrain. The initial training of the dog was conducted using human blood and
stil born decomposing piglets. The importance of this is that the dog is
introduced to the scent of a decomposing body NOT FOODSTUFF. This
ensures that the dog disregards the 'bacon sandwich' and 'kebab' etc that is
ever present in the background environment. Therefore the dog would
remain efficient searching for a cadaver in a café where the clientele were sat
eating bacon sandwiches. He has additionally trained exclusively using
human remains in the U.S.A. in association with the F.B.I.
The enhanced
training of the dog has also involved the use of collection of 'cadaver scent'
odor from human corpses using remote technical equipment which does not
contact the subject. This method is comparable to the simulation of cross
contamination. It does however differ in that the remote scent samples
recovery does not involve subject matter and therefore is a 'pure' scent
sample. The dog has since initial training gained considerable experience in
successfully operationally locating human remains and evidential forensic
material.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 08:43:02 AM
You'd better find them.  I have not seen that as yet.

u) From the screening of the videos, referred previously, done when the dogs were working, some doubts arise. We don't want and we can't take the place of the trainer, we only wish to alert, with this paragraph, to some facts, that according to us, need further clarification.

v) If the dog is trained to react when he detects what he is looking for, why, in most of the cases, we see the dog passing more than once by that place in an uninterested way, until he finally signals the place where he had already passed several times'

w) On one of the films, it's possible to see that 'Eddie' sniffs Madeleine's cuddle cat, more than once, bites it, throws it into the air and only after the toy is hidden does he 'mark' it (page 2099). Whys didn't he signal it when he sniffs it on the first time'


http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ANALYSIS-11-VOLUMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 01:08:21 PM
It is all the same difference.  Perfectly clear as mud.  You are clearly confused.  I find the solution weirdly normal.

I am not clearly confused... Your post should at least carry... IMO... Please alter
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 19, 2018, 03:14:03 PM
In my opinion the attempts to cast doubt on Grime and his dog occasionally verge on the ridiculous.

There's a significant difference between a pig which has been hung and a decaying piglet used for training cadaver dogs. The clue is that the piglets are whole - there's nowt taken out.

Martin Grime said his dog alerted to Cuddle Cat. He is the expert and he was there. Armchair detectives, in my opinion, have no expertise and their opinions count for nothing.

"Armchair detectives, in my opinion, have no expertise and their opinions count for nothing".

But for entertainment value it is priceless.

This  should dispel any sillyness:

"This ensures that the dog disregards the 'bacon sandwich' and 'kebab' etc that is
ever present in the background environment. Therefore the dog would
remain efficient searching for a cadaver in a café where the clientele were sat
eating bacon sandwiches. He has additionally trained exclusively using
human remains in the U.S.A. in association with the F.B.I."


The dogs gave alerts to what they were trained to alert to. No point in giving yourself grief over it.

 If presented in court this 'evidence' would be added to other evidence (perhaps circumstantial)and expert witnesses such as Amaral  et el. 

Hmmm interesting indeed!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 04:25:28 PM
I am not clearly confused... Your post should at least carry... IMO... Please alter
Oxymoron
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 04:31:25 PM
I have posted them several times... Recently  too
I want you to show me what the source of this sentence is "What is, surprising is, the, fact that the, dog trained, to react to cadaver on most occasions, originally didn't react to it... As in cuddle cat... Those, aren't my words, but the, words, of the, pj and, are in the, files"?
Where in the files?
That is the third time you have resisted finding a requested cite, I will delete your posts without cites in the future.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 04:34:29 PM
I want you to show me what the source of this sentence is "What is, surprising is, the, fact that the, dog trained, to react to cadaver on most occasions, originally didn't react to it... As in cuddle cat... Those, aren't my words, but the, words, of the, pj and, are in the, files"?
Where in the files?
That is the third time you have resisted finding a requested cite, I will delete your posts without cites in th6e future.

Now who is clearly confused.. Post 952 this morning

You need to read the posts before making such a fool of yourself

Most posters have seen this several times before... It's in the files... And I've posted the cite many times
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 04:37:42 PM
Oxymoron

You have no right to state as a fact that I am clearly confused when it's just your opinion... And you are clearly confused.. Imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 04:44:23 PM
u) From the screening of the videos, referred previously, done when the dogs were working, some doubts arise. We don't want and we can't take the place of the trainer, we only wish to alert, with this paragraph, to some facts, that according to us, need further clarification.

v) If the dog is trained to react when he detects what he is looking for, why, in most of the cases, we see the dog passing more than once by that place in an uninterested way, until he finally signals the place where he had already passed several times'

w) On one of the films, it's possible to see that 'Eddie' sniffs Madeleine's cuddle cat, more than once, bites it, throws it into the air and only after the toy is hidden does he 'mark' it (page 2099). Whys didn't he signal it when he sniffs it on the first time'


http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ANALYSIS-11-VOLUMES.htm

I have pointed out several times in my analysis there is no alert at all on Cuddle Cat. 

It is good to see the overseeing body expressed doubts about that too.
What wasn't so great was that they still accepted that Eddie alerted to CC when hidden, but I still maintain there is no proof CC  was in the sideboard at the time of the alerts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 04:47:54 PM
I have pointed out several times in my analysis there is no alert at all on Cuddle Cat. 

It is good to see the overseeing body expressed doubts about that too...so they expressed doubts about other alerts too

Again you are stating your opinion as fact... Grime said there was an alert to CC... so you are contradicting him
The point of my post is that according to the pj Eddie did not react to other sites originally...before eventually  alerting...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 04:50:45 PM
I want you to show me what the source of this sentence is "What is, surprising is, the, fact that the, dog trained, to react to cadaver on most occasions, originally didn't react to it... As in cuddle cat... Those, aren't my words, but the, words, of the, pj and, are in the, files"?
Where in the files?
That is the third time you have resisted finding a requested cite, I will delete your posts without cites in the future.

As your post is making an unfair and incorrect accusation against me could you alter this one too
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 04:55:10 PM
Now who is clearly confused.. Post 952 this morning

You need to read the posts before making such a fool of yourself

Most posters have seen this several times before... It's in the files... And I've posted the cite many times
That analysis report - who do you think wrote it? 
"ANALYSIS REPORT OF THE FIRST 11 VOLUMES OF THE INQUIRY (pages 1-3004) Central Department of Criminal Investigation, February, 5th, 2008"  Is the "Central Department of Criminal Investigation" part of the PJ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 05:05:30 PM
That analysis report - who do you think wrote it? 
"ANALYSIS REPORT OF THE FIRST 11 VOLUMES OF THE INQUIRY (pages 1-3004) Central Department of Criminal Investigation, February, 5th, 2008"  Is the "Central Department of Criminal Investigation" part of the PJ?

I know who wrote it.. Do you
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 05:30:22 PM
I know who wrote it.. Do you
Can you answer my question please?   It is certainly written by the Portuguese, but is the CID part of the PJ or above it?  The report makes requests for clarifications so it appears to me to be a higher authority than the PJ.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 05:33:36 PM
Can you answer my question please?   It is certainly written by the Portuguese, but is the CID part of the PJ or above it?  The report makes requests for clarifications so it appears to me to be a higher authority than the PJ.
If you look at the link provided your question will be answerred
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 05:39:09 PM
If you look at the link provided your question will be answerred
Can you answer my original question please?  That analysis report - who do you think wrote it?  And what is the relationship to the PJ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 05:45:40 PM
Can you answer my original question please?  That analysis report - who do you think wrote it?  And what is the relationship to the PJ?

Have you not looked at the report... It tells you who wrote it..
Stop badgering me for simple information that is on the cite I have provided
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 05:49:09 PM
Have you not looked at the report... It tells you who wrote it..
Stop badgering me for simple information that is on the cite I have provided
Is that part of the report or just a translators note?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 05:51:30 PM
Is that part of the report or just a translators note?
I'll leave you to make your own mind up
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 05:55:04 PM
I'll leave you to make your own mind up
I take it that this part is a translator note "TRANSLATION BY LUZ

*12-11  OUTROS APENSOS FILE 12: 11 VOLUMES - Pages 1a to 1s
This file, 113 pages in total, has no written page numbers. It consists of a detailed analysis/report of the First 11 volumes of the investigation (pages 1 to 3004) re the mobile phone antennas activated and other calls made during the period under investigation. It includes the detailed chart (diagrammatic) created by the PJ re phone calls made by the Tapas 9 and others.
 

NOTE:
This is the second report demanded to a team of independent analysts from the Central Department of Criminal Investigation (Central Division of Information Analysis - PJ), dated from February 2008.
The references to the annexes and pages of the files were kept, just in order to allow anyone to ask for some particular document(s) to be translated ' I would do them ALL if I had the time, but I fear I won't be able to, so I'll be happy to go over those that you consider more interesting, if the request is rationally founded."

Is that how you read it?

If that is true then "(Central Division of Information Analysis - PJ)" is not actually a verified fact but a note.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 06:01:59 PM
I take it that this part is a translator note "TRANSLATION BY LUZ

*12-11  OUTROS APENSOS FILE 12: 11 VOLUMES - Pages 1a to 1s
This file, 113 pages in total, has no written page numbers. It consists of a detailed analysis/report of the First 11 volumes of the investigation (pages 1 to 3004) re the mobile phone antennas activated and other calls made during the period under investigation. It includes the detailed chart (diagrammatic) created by the PJ re phone calls made by the Tapas 9 and others.
 

NOTE:
This is the second report demanded to a team of independent analysts from the Central Department of Criminal Investigation (Central Division of Information Analysis - PJ), dated from February 2008.
The references to the annexes and pages of the files were kept, just in order to allow anyone to ask for some particular document(s) to be translated ' I would do them ALL if I had the time, but I fear I won't be able to, so I'll be happy to go over those that you consider more interesting, if the request is rationally founded."

Is that how you read it?

If that is true then "(Central Division of Information Analysis - PJ)" is not actually a verified fact but a note.

are you sure...its there in portuguese on page 13...on PJ headed notepaper and its by Paolo Dias...and you had the nerve to say ...I was confused
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 08:36:59 PM
are you sure...its there in portuguese on page 13...on PJ headed notepaper and its by Paolo Dias...and you had the nerve to say ...I was confused
I'm letting you teach me here.  I want you to explain to me how you are sure that this is a report written by the PJ.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 19, 2018, 08:45:18 PM
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/OA_11V/Relatorio_de_analise%20dos_primeiros_11_volumes_Page1a.jpg

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/OA_11V/Relatorio_de_analise%20dos_primeiros_11_volumes_Page1b.jpg

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/OA_11V/Relatorio_de_analise%20dos_primeiros_11_volumes_Page1c.jpg

Rest of original Portuguese report in images at link http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ANALYSIS-11-VOLUMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 09:05:02 PM
I'm letting you teach me here.  I want you to explain to me how you are sure that this is a report written by the PJ.
While I was watching my favourite tv show... Misty has, done, the honours
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 09:06:19 PM
OK so the DCICPT is a branch of the PJ dealing with analysis.  We might have called it internal audit, or Standards.

So do we end up with one part of the PJ disputing what another part has found?  What I found out in my profession was that the "Standards Group's" decisions over ruled the verifiers on the ground.

Or did in this case Goncalo Amaral just ignore what the DCICPT found?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 09:07:57 PM
OK so the DCICPT is a branch of the PJ dealing with analysis.  We might have called it internal audit, or Standards.

So do we end up with one part of the PJ disputing what another part has found?  What I found out in my profession was that the "Standards Group's" decisions over ruled the verifiers on the ground.

Or did in this case Goncalo Amaral just ignore what the DCICPT found?
Amaral ignored, Grime and Harrison... Which is, more important
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 09:11:38 PM
Amaral ignored, Grime and Harrison... Which is, more important
You can do what you like to the UK cops but you must not cross the DCICPT!  You have to show obedience.  IMO.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/PHONE_TEXTS.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ANALYSIS-11-VOLUMES.htm

Feasibility Study on the creation of a database on investigations and prosecutions"  http://193.62.18.232/postgrad/JAI_AGIS/Volume%202/National%20Reports/Portugal.doc 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2018, 09:13:41 PM
You can do what you like to the UK cops but you must not cross the DCICPT!  You have to show obedience.  IMO.
Amaral ignored the, experts.. Grime and, Harrison
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 19, 2018, 09:19:54 PM
OK so the DCICPT is a branch of the PJ dealing with analysis.  We might have called it internal audit, or Standards.

So do we end up with one part of the PJ disputing what another part has found?  What I found out in my profession was that the "Standards Group's" decisions over ruled the verifiers on the ground.

Or did in this case Goncalo Amaral just ignore what the DCICPT found?

Amaral had been removed by Feb 2008, when that report was written.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 09:23:07 PM
Amaral had been removed by Feb 2008, when that report was written.
Did he take no notice of it when he came to writing his book? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 19, 2018, 09:25:03 PM
Did he take no notice of it when he came to writing his book?

No. He shouldn't have had access to it anyway.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 09:34:28 PM
No. He shouldn't have had access to it anyway.
I read the other day that GA was kept in the loop on the case even though he had resigned.  I have no idea where the cite is now sorry.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 19, 2018, 09:37:00 PM
Amaral ignored the, experts.. Grime and, Harrison

He's not the only one.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 19, 2018, 09:39:18 PM
He's not the only one.
One of Davel's guessing games again?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 07:49:21 AM
He's not the only one.

No he isn't... You have too
You claimed that according  to grime the alerts, we're triggered by cadaver, of our... Which is, of course not true
Grime said initially it was possible the, alerts, were to cadaver and later changed that to suggestive



Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent[/font......from your post
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 08:36:53 AM
No he isn't... You have too
You claimed that according  to grime the alerts, we're triggered by cadaver, of our... Which is, of course not true
Grime said initially it was possible the, alerts, were to cadaver and later changed that to suggestive



Given that Grime's opinion was that these alerts were triggered by cadaver scent[/font......from your post

 ... and therein lies the puzzle of precisely what is classed as "cadaver odour" which can be a varied soup made up of many constituents.

In my opinion amateur interpretation of any points of interest shown by Eddie in Luz are very much a case of running before learning to walk. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 20, 2018, 08:46:25 AM
... and therein lies the puzzle of precisely what is classed as "cadaver odour" which can be a varied soup made up of many constituents.

In my opinion amateur interpretation of any points of interest shown by Eddie in Luz are very much a case of running before learning to walk.

... or lack of interest.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 20, 2018, 08:53:54 AM
... or lack of interest.

Or imaginings about tired, hot or thirsty dogs, pork crackling, bacon sarnies, fertilizer, kebabs etc. etc....
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 09:15:36 AM
... and therein lies the puzzle of precisely what is classed as "cadaver odour" which can be a varied soup made up of many constituents.

In my opinion amateur interpretation of any points of interest shown by Eddie in Luz are very much a case of running before learning to walk.

That's why I have never really speculated, about what the alerts, are too... That us, Grimes job and he cannot tell us for certain
We have the claim to an alert to CC which does not look very convvincing
We have the pj raising questions, about the quality of most if the other alerts
But Grime tells us none if them have any evidential reliability so it doesn't really matter
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 09:22:38 AM
... or lack of interest.

Absolutely ... we have not seen the video of some areas which the operation was tasked with searching ... but we have seen the video in the garage where it is recorded there was a lack of interest in some areas there.
Seeing is believing or not ... as the case might be.

I recommend you watch it again.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 09:28:35 AM
Or imaginings about tired, hot or thirsty dogs, pork crackling, bacon sarnies, fertilizer, kebabs etc. etc....

Did anyone check your suggestions out?  If not ... why not?  The video did show the dog having to be relieved of an item of food stuff from his mouth, which he had picked up while working, after all.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 20, 2018, 10:13:21 AM
Did anyone check your suggestions out?  If not ... why not?  The video did show the dog having to be relieved of an item of food stuff from his mouth, which he had picked up while working, after all.

They're not my suggestions, they have been made by those who seem prepared to go to any lengths no matter how ridiculous to try to discredit Grime and his dogs.

Eddie didn't alert to any food items in PdL, or at any other time. As to picking them up, so what? It means nothing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 10:16:37 AM
Did anyone check your suggestions out?  If not ... why not?  The video did show the dog having to be relieved of an item of food stuff from his mouth, which he had picked up while working, after all.

Did he alert to the foodstuff?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 10:20:57 AM
They're not my suggestions, they have been made by those who seem prepared to go to any lengths no matter how ridiculous to try to discredit Grime and his dogs.

Eddie didn't alert to any food items in PdL, or at any other time. As to picking them up, so what? It means nothing.

It means that the dog which allegedly ignores foodstuffs when working was seen not to ignore but to lift food in his mouth when working.

If you fail to see the significance of that ... that is entirely up to you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 10:21:36 AM
Did he alert to the foodstuff?

Did he alert to Cuddle Cat?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 10:21:51 AM
They're not my suggestions, they have been made by those who seem prepared to go to any lengths no matter how ridiculous to try to discredit Grime and his dogs.

Eddie didn't alert to any food items in PdL, or at any other time. As to picking them up, so what? It means nothing.
We don't know, what Eddie, alerted to and according to his, statements neither does Grime
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 10:26:39 AM
It means that the dog which allegedly ignores foodstuffs when working was seen not to ignore but to lift food in his mouth when working.

If you fail to see the significance of that ... that is entirely up to you.

He alerts only when he barks. Did he bark ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 10:27:06 AM
Did he alert to Cuddle Cat?

Did he bark ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 10:27:58 AM
He alerts only when he barks. Did he bark ?

He also alerts without barking... Read grimes, statement
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 10:28:36 AM
He also alerts without barking... Read grimes, statement

Does he? Do you have a cite ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 20, 2018, 10:30:50 AM
We don't know, what Eddie, alerted to and according to his, statements neither does Grime
But is the event of an alert a defined action.  Do you know what an alert is?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 20, 2018, 10:34:41 AM
People have to remember that a scent dog and his handler work as a team and develop an intuition after a while which nobody else will appreciate.  Grime was best placed to know when Eddie was reacting and what that reaction meant in terms of his exhaustive training.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 10:44:22 AM
People have to remember that a scent dog and his handler work as a team and develop an intuition after a while which nobody else will appreciate.  Grime was best placed to know when Eddie was reacting and what that reaction meant in terms of his exhaustive training.

I agree... And his, statement says that it is possible... And later suggestive of cadaver odour... He, says the, alerts have no evidential value... I'm happy to accept his statements
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 10:47:04 AM
But is the event of an alert a defined action.  Do you know what an alert is?

According  to grime Eddie alerted to CC... Are you questioning his professional opion
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 10:47:52 AM
Does he? Do you have a cite ?

You mean you are not, aware of this
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 10:49:10 AM
You mean you are not, aware of this

Do you have a cite ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 10:52:03 AM
I agree... And his, statement says that it is possible... And later suggestive of cadaver odour... He, says the, alerts have no evidential value... I'm happy to accept his statements

Both Harrison and Grime say the alerts can be used as intelligence.

McCann's Apartment.

The apartment in which the McCann's had stayed may present further
opportunities to search. The use of a specialist EVRD (Enhanced Victim
Recovery Dog) and CSI dog (human blood detecting dog) could potentially indicate on whether Madeline's blood is in the property or the scent of a dead body is present. In relation to the dead body scent if such a scent is indicated by the EVRD and no body is located it may suggest that a body has been in the property but removed. This search process could be repeated in all the apartments that were occupied by the friends holidaying with the McCann's.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 10:54:14 AM
Both Harrison and Grime say the alerts can be used as intelligence.

McCann's Apartment.

The apartment in which the McCann's had stayed may present further
opportunities to search. The use of a specialist EVRD (Enhanced Victim
Recovery Dog) and CSI dog (human blood detecting dog) could potentially indicate on whether Madeline's blood is in the property or the scent of a dead body is present. In relation to the dead body scent if such a scent is indicated by the EVRD and no body is located it may suggest that a body has been in the property but removed. This search process could be repeated in all the apartments that were occupied by the friends holidaying with the McCann's.

What do they mean by intelligence

The alerts tell them where to look for evidence... Intelligence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 20, 2018, 11:14:26 AM
The dogs suggest that a dead body was inside that apartment and the police follow it up. The dogs provide the police with intelligence as in the Kate Prout, Theresa Parker, Pilley etc. cases - the missing person has never turned up alive. If you think the police ignore such intelligence in a missing person case then you are clearly living in fantasy land.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 11:22:38 AM
The dogs suggest that a dead body was inside that apartment and the police follow it up. The dogs provide the police with intelligence as in the Kate Prout, Theresa Parker, Pilley etc. cases - the missing person has never turned up alive. If you think the police ignore such intelligence in a missing person case then you are clearly living in fantasy land.

The dogs suggest it is poSsible a dead body was inside... There has been a case where a missing person turned up
Anyone who believes it is a fact there was, a body is living in fantasy land

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 20, 2018, 11:31:31 AM
From dog intelligence, the police will think a dead body was inside that apartment. It's their job to follow it up and prove if it was the case or not! In a missing person case it is a crucial part of their investigation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 11:35:12 AM
From dog intelligence, the police will think a dead body was inside that apartment. It's their job to follow it up and prove if it was the case or not!
The police will not think a dead body has been in there... You are wrong... They will think it a, possibility... Read what grind has to say...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 20, 2018, 11:40:41 AM
Eddie's first alert was in the parent's bedroom (Blood dog Keela did not alert there!) suggests to the police there probably was a dead body in this missing person case with no other explanation. There job is to prove it  or not with corroborating evidence. Following the many alerts by the cadaver dog the handler believes:

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence. http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 12:09:48 PM
Eddie's first alert was in the parent's bedroom (Blood dog Keela did not alert there!) suggests to the police there probably was a dead body in this missing person case with no other explanation. There job is to prove it  or not with corroborating evidence. Following the many alerts by the cadaver dog the handler believes:

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence. http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

It doesn't suggest there probably was a body there.... You are making things up
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 12:11:24 PM
The dogs suggest that a dead body was inside that apartment and the police follow it up. The dogs provide the police with intelligence as in the Kate Prout, Theresa Parker, Pilley etc. cases - the missing person has never turned up alive. If you think the police ignore such intelligence in a missing person case then you are clearly living in fantasy land.

                                      Shannon Matthews ... ???   
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 12:14:03 PM
Did he bark ?

Did you watch the video?  The answer to your question is illustrated within.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 12:56:45 PM
                                      Shannon Matthews ... ???   

In the Karen Matthews case the reason for the scent was found and it was indeed from a cadaver.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 12:57:43 PM
Did you watch the video?  The answer to your question is illustrated within.

I believe a cite is forum etiquette.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 20, 2018, 12:58:22 PM
In the Karen Matthews case the reason for the scent was found and it was indeed from a cadaver.

In that one, yes. What were the other unspecified cases about?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 01:00:50 PM
In the Karen Matthews case the reason for the scent was found and it was indeed from a cadaver.

So there, was no dead body
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 20, 2018, 01:46:23 PM
So there, was no dead body

Suggestive of cadaver scent contaminant...

That might have been correct. Who knows? Did Grime or Harrison inform the PJ what that actually meant, and what they ought to investigate in order to exclude irrelevant possibilities beyond a shout out to ask if anyone had actually died there?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 01:56:05 PM
In the Karen Matthews case the reason for the scent was found and it was indeed from a cadaver.

The police were looking for Shannon who had been reported as missing ... the dogs showed an interest in the scent they had been trained to recognise ... thankfully the police continued searching for Shannon who was found " - drugged in the base of a divan bed at a flat belonging to her mother's boyfriend's uncle -" http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-42972376

The police believe there had been a fair chance Shannon could have died during her protracted incarceration and her body disposed of.  In my opinion that would have been an interesting situation both for the prosecution and the defence ... given the dogs and furniture contaminated with the residual smell of the deaths of former owners.
Schoolgirl is 'lucky to be alive' http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/mobile/england/west_yorkshire/7762663.stm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 20, 2018, 02:11:31 PM
In the Karen Matthews case the reason for the scent was found and it was indeed from a cadaver.

Agreed there was a body, just not the one they were looking for.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 03:20:12 PM
Agreed there was a body, just not the one they were looking for.

Exactly. Now if supporters can show any evidence that there was any connection between the fixtures and fittings in 5a and a dead body there may be some mileage in their argument.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 20, 2018, 03:31:37 PM
Exactly. Now if supporters can show any evidence that there was any connection between the fixtures and fittings in 5a and a dead body there may be some mileage in their argument.

If the PJ had checked, who knows whether there may have been or not?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 03:36:34 PM
Agreed there was a body, just not the one they were looking for.

reminds of the stage psychic.......does anyone know a Paul...you might be easily impressed but I am not
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 03:39:32 PM
Exactly. Now if supporters can show any evidence that there was any connection between the fixtures and fittings in 5a and a dead body there may be some mileage in their argument.

there is no argument...no evidential relability...Grime rules
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 20, 2018, 04:10:50 PM
reminds of the stage psychic.......does anyone know a Paul...you might be easily impressed but I am not

I'm not really into psychics, but I recommend looking up Tom Binns/Ian D Montfort who is definitely worth viewing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 04:17:50 PM
Exactly. Now if supporters can show any evidence that there was any connection between the fixtures and fittings in 5a and a dead body there may be some mileage in their argument.

there will be no mileage whatsoever...its a celestial teapot argumnet...and all you have to support your beliefs
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 05:38:52 PM
If the PJ had checked, who knows whether there may have been or not?

So only in 5a ? A tad unfortunate for the parents of a missing child wouldn’t you say ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 05:43:20 PM
So only in 5a ? A tad unfortunate for the parents of a missing child wouldn’t you say ?

not sure if you actually read this forum...how long were the dogs allowed to reconsider in 5a when in most cases they failed to alert...in other apartments where they failed to alert were they just brought staright out..


particularly with the alleged alert to CC...the opinion of the PJ officers who watched the dogs and had doubts...with Grime saying the alerts have no evidential value....my opinion that the alerts are basically valueless has some basis
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 06:05:31 PM
Agreed there was a body, just not the one they were looking for.
where was the body in the Shannon Matthews case then?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 06:07:35 PM
So only in 5a ? A tad unfortunate for the parents of a missing child wouldn’t you say ?
You could say the same in the Shannon Matthews case.  If the child was still missing  I do believe we'd have a whole bunch of people convinced she died in that bedroom, wouldn't we?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 06:09:48 PM
If the PJ had checked, who knows whether there may have been or not?
It might have also helped if they'd checked out all the other people who'd ever stayed in that apartment (both before and after Madeleine went missing) for details of their possible proximity to a dead body. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 06:13:06 PM
You could say the same in the Shannon Matthews case.  If the child was still missing  I do believe we'd have a whole bunch of people convinced she died in that bedroom, wouldn't we?
plus of course,,,cadaver dogs are only taken to sites where poeple are believed dead or missing...perhaps if they were taken to every missing person site....
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 20, 2018, 06:21:14 PM
not sure if you actually read this forum...how long were the dogs allowed to reconsider in 5a when in most cases they failed to alert...in other apartments where they failed to alert were they just brought staright out..


particularly with the alleged alert to CC...the opinion of the PJ officers who watched the dogs and had doubts...with Grime saying the alerts have no evidential value....my opinion that the alerts are basically valueless has some basis

As Brietta said...

Quote
In my opinion amateur interpretation of any points of interest shown by Eddie in Luz are very much a case of running before learning to walk.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2018, 06:24:02 PM
As Brietta said...

but I dont agree with Briietta for  obvious reasons......we all have the right to question professional opinion..post shipman
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 20, 2018, 06:49:39 PM
there will be no mileage whatsoever...its a celestial teapot argumnet...and all you have to support your beliefs
Where is the IMO ? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 07:59:03 PM
but I dont agree with Briietta for  obvious reasons......we all have the right to question professional opinion..post shipman

Would you be questioning Grime’s professional opinion if his dogs hadn’t alerted in 5a ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 20, 2018, 08:06:19 PM
Would you be questioning Grime’s professional opinion if his dogs hadn’t alerted in 5a ?

Imagine if they'd alerted to Murat's house and car!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 20, 2018, 08:15:27 PM
Imagine if they'd alerted to Murat's house and car!
Hopefully he would be consistent.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 08:56:33 PM
Imagine if they'd alerted to Murat's house and car!
Do you think perhaps in such a circumstance they same arguments would still be raging 11 years on, but with the sides of the debate reversed?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 20, 2018, 09:06:15 PM
Do you think perhaps in such a circumstance they same arguments would still be raging 11 years on, but with the sides of the debate reversed?

In my opinion those who support the McCanns would be supporting the alerts. Those who don't wouldn't be suggesting he'd eaten pork crackling before the dogs arrived.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 09:25:22 PM
Do you think perhaps in such a circumstance they same arguments would still be raging 11 years on, but with the sides of the debate reversed?

That is an interesting thought though.

First of all there would have to have been a trial and it would have been interesting indeed to see what supporting evidence would have been presented.

Would Amaral have talked himself into getting the sack ... or would he have become the unassailable hero cop who had solved two 'murders' ... and who would therefore not have embarked on his career as an author or as a media pundit whose specialist subject was vilifying the McCanns.

Therefore in my opinion, all things considered, I don't think there would be any discussion at all.  But eleven years down the line Madeleine would still be missing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 09:32:19 PM
That is an interesting thought though.

First of all there would have to have been a trial and it would have been interesting indeed to see what supporting evidence would have been presented.

Would Amaral have talked himself into getting the sack ... or would he have become the unassailable hero cop who had solved two 'murders' ... and who would therefore not have embarked on his career as an author or as a media pundit whose specialist subject was vilifying the McCanns.

Therefore in my opinion, all things considered, I don't think there would be any discussion at all.  But eleven years down the line Madeleine would still be missing.

Why would there have to be a trial ? There wasn’t one when the dogs alerted to items connected to the McCanns. If it was Murat would the alerts gain more significance than with the McCanns ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 20, 2018, 09:39:41 PM
Why would there have to be a trial ? There wasn’t one when the dogs alerted to items connected to the McCanns. If it was Murat would the alerts gain more significance than with the McCanns ?

Without supporting evidence the reactions of the dogs would have exactly the same significance in both cases you mention ... in my opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 09:43:56 PM
Without supporting evidence the reactions of the dogs would have exactly the same significance in both cases you mention ... in my opinion.

So this from you ‘First of all there would have to have been a trial ‘ is not true ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 09:44:17 PM
In my opinion those who support the McCanns would be supporting the alerts. Those who don't wouldn't be suggesting he'd eaten pork crackling before the dogs arrived.
What would they be suggesting instead then, those who don't support the McCanns?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 20, 2018, 10:18:19 PM
Would you be questioning Grime’s professional opinion if his dogs hadn’t alerted in 5a ?

The judge asked a similar question in the Cartmel horse racing "swindle".
"Had Gay Future not won would the case have been brought"
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 20, 2018, 10:49:33 PM
What would they be suggesting instead then, those who don't support the McCanns?

Is there any good reason for people not to believe the dogs- supporter or sceptic?  No one has claimed that the dogs identified Maddies cadaver- they were used to  identify scents and signpost -along with other evidence a case may have been brought.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 10:54:30 PM
Is there any good reason for people not to believe the dogs- supporter or sceptic?  No one has claimed that the dogs identified Maddies cadaver- they were used to  identify scents and signpost -along with other evidence a case may have been brought.
I think a fair few people have concluded that Madeleine died in the apartment on the strength of the dog alerts alone IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 20, 2018, 10:59:40 PM
I think a fair few people have concluded that Madeleine died in the apartment on the strength of the dog alerts alone IMO.

And what is wrong with some people believing that, they may add more things to the list to get their answer- they saw it and believed it what can you do about it? Calling the dogs and handlers liars is not going to change their minds.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 11:20:38 PM
I think a fair few people have concluded that Madeleine died in the apartment on the strength of the dog alerts alone IMO.

I think OG may have concluded that she died in the apartment too.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 11:25:45 PM
And what is wrong with some people believing that, they may add more things to the list to get their answer- they saw it and believed it what can you do about it? Calling the dogs and handlers liars is not going to change their minds.
People can believe what they like, I'm simply responding to your claim that no one has claimed that the dogs identified Madeleine's cadaver.  I think you'll find that some people have, and yet as you yourself appear to agree, they did not!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 20, 2018, 11:26:34 PM
I think OG may have concluded that she died in the apartment too.
That is your belief, unsupported by any evidence. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 20, 2018, 11:32:24 PM

• This article was amended on 21 March 2014. The earlier version stated that Detective Chief Inspector Andy Redwood had said the assumption that Madeleine had been alive when she left the apartment "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case. To clarify: those quoted words actually came after Redwood had referred to the assumption that Madeleine had been abducted. However, Redwood did say during the same press conference that police were considering the possibility that Madeleine was not alive when taken from the apartment as well as the possibility that she was.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/mar/19/madeleine-mccann-police-intruder-girls-algarve

If, as has been suggested by some supporters, the dog alerts are meaningless, it does make you wonder what other evidence OG have to suggest Madeleine may have been dead when she left the apartment?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 20, 2018, 11:43:50 PM
People can believe what they like, I'm simply responding to your claim that no one has claimed that the dogs identified Madeleine's cadaver.  I think you'll find that some people have, and yet as you yourself appear to agree, they did not!

Indeed, however the point I was making was: people looked at the dogs alerts and their purpose,along with other things and then concluded the dogs must be correct and it was/could be  MBM.  there is a difference!

I find Gerrys response to that quite bizzarre if I am honest.  The parents claim their daughter was abducted- she could have been killed in the apartment by the abductor an removed. but the parents were smug about answering with "ask the dogs". I mean WTF is that about.

That interview  really convinced me something was not right at all.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 21, 2018, 12:40:37 AM
• This article was amended on 21 March 2014. The earlier version stated that Detective Chief Inspector Andy Redwood had said the assumption that Madeleine had been alive when she left the apartment "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case. To clarify: those quoted words actually came after Redwood had referred to the assumption that Madeleine had been abducted. However, Redwood did say during the same press conference that police were considering the possibility that Madeleine was not alive when taken from the apartment as well as the possibility that she was.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/mar/19/madeleine-mccann-police-intruder-girls-algarve

If, as has been suggested by some supporters, the dog alerts are meaningless, it does make you wonder what other evidence OG have to suggest Madeleine may have been dead when she left the apartment?

Had Madeleine been killed in the apartment during a bungled burglary & her body removed, Eddie's alerts would have been meaningless when considering minimum post-mortem contamination time.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 21, 2018, 12:52:20 AM
So this from you ‘First of all there would have to have been a trial ‘ is not true ?

You singularly overestimate any significance attached to dog indications ... even hypothetical ones.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 21, 2018, 05:52:06 AM
I think OG may have concluded that she died in the apartment too.
When you say "OG may have concluded that she died in the apartment too" is that in the sense of all things are possible?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 08:12:10 AM
• This article was amended on 21 March 2014. The earlier version stated that Detective Chief Inspector Andy Redwood had said the assumption that Madeleine had been alive when she left the apartment "may not follow with all our thinking" on the case. To clarify: those quoted words actually came after Redwood had referred to the assumption that Madeleine had been abducted. However, Redwood did say during the same press conference that police were considering the possibility that Madeleine was not alive when taken from the apartment as well as the possibility that she was.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/mar/19/madeleine-mccann-police-intruder-girls-algarve

If, as has been suggested by some supporters, the dog alerts are meaningless, it does make you wonder what other evidence OG have to suggest Madeleine may have been dead when she left the apartment?
Have you got anything more up to date?  The last we heard from Mark Rowley (2017) he said there was no evidence that Madeleine was dead, nor any that she was alive.  So either we accept what the police say, and that their most recent statements trump earlier statements made by ex officers on the case, or we don't.  Which is it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 08:14:53 AM
Indeed, however the point I was making was: people looked at the dogs alerts and their purpose,along with other things and then concluded the dogs must be correct and it was/could be  MBM.  there is a difference!

I find Gerrys response to that quite bizzarre if I am honest.  The parents claim their daughter was abducted- she could have been killed in the apartment by the abductor an removed. but the parents were smug about answering with "ask the dogs". I mean WTF is that about.

That interview  really convinced me something was not right at all.
I think Gerry's comment has been taken out of context, twisted and used as an internet meme to propagandise against him and his wife IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 08:19:20 AM
I think Gerry's comment has been taken out of context, twisted and used as an internet meme to propagandise against him and his wife IMO.

I think Gerry's, rather clever comment has gone over the heads of some posters

The fact that the dogs cannot talk and cannot be cross examined is one reason why the, alerts have no evidential value
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 08:31:01 AM
Indeed, however the point I was making was: people looked at the dogs alerts and their purpose,along with other things and then concluded the dogs must be correct and it was/could be  MBM.  there is a difference!

I find Gerrys response to that quite bizzarre if I am honest.  The parents claim their daughter was abducted- she could have been killed in the apartment by the abductor an removed. but the parents were smug about answering with "ask the dogs". I mean WTF is that about.

That interview  really convinced me something was not right at all.

The purpose of that interview from the McCann's perspective was to publicise the CEOP video 'A minute for Madeleine' (narrated by Jim Gamble) and some new pictures of how she might look at the age of six.

Sandra Feigueiras, on the other hand, was interested in other matters. After a very quick mention of the reason she has been invited to interview them she moves on to her own agenda.

The McCanns do their best to stick to their agenda, and Sandra keeps going with hers. For the first time the McCanns can't quote Judicial secrecy as a reason for not answering her questions. Eventually she gets that famous answer from Gerry.

I can understand the McCann's frustration, but he made a mistake dismissing cadaver dogs the way he did in my opinion.

http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 09:01:06 AM
I think Gerry's, rather clever comment has gone over the heads of some posters

The fact that the dogs cannot talk and cannot be cross examined is one reason why the, alerts have no evidential value

I don't see what's clever about making a childish comment about dogs which assist the police in finding the bodies of people so their nearest and dearest can have closure. In fact it was incredibly stupid, in my opinion. It suggested that the police forces using these dogs were spending money on training and maintaining handlers and dogs which were only occasionally successful.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 09:06:59 AM
I don't see what's clever about making a childish comment about dogs which assist the police in finding the bodies of people so their nearest and dearest can have closure. In fact it was incredibly stupid, in my opinion. It suggested that the police forces using these dogs were spending money on training and maintaining handlers and dogs which were only occasionally successful.

That's, your opinion... As we know the PJ have completely misunderstood  the, alerts hence the proven facts.... When people are misrepresenting things to prove your daughter is dead and that you are responsible... I find Gerry's actions quite reasonable
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 09:32:15 AM
I don't see what's clever about making a childish comment about dogs which assist the police in finding the bodies of people so their nearest and dearest can have closure. In fact it was incredibly stupid, in my opinion. It suggested that the police forces using these dogs were spending money on training and maintaining handlers and dogs which were only occasionally successful.

Interesting you were critical of ferryman yesterday yet it was ferryman who established that Eddie had only been deployed 37 times, in 5 years..... That's, almost one case, every two months. Eddie hasn't found a fat lot in his career... So occasionally successful seems, quite accurate
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 21, 2018, 10:41:40 AM
You singularly overestimate any significance attached to dog indications ... even hypothetical ones.

It would appear you don’t want to answer the question Brietta and can I remind you that it was you who posted that the dogs alerting to Murat’s property would lead to a trial not me. Can you therefore explain your claim please ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 21, 2018, 10:52:37 AM
Had Madeleine been killed in the apartment during a bungled burglary & her body removed, Eddie's alerts would have been meaningless when considering minimum post-mortem contamination time.

So you think a dead body may have been in 5a but the cadaver dog alert had nothing to do with that body ? Further that the McCanns were unlucky enough to be the only ones to actually have a dead body in there apartment AND  for the cadaver dogs to alert to the scent they were trained to ?

Wouldn’t that be one coincidence too far ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 11:22:38 AM
So you think a dead body may have been in 5a but the cadaver dog alert had nothing to do with that body ? Further that the McCanns were unlucky enough to be the only ones to actually have a dead body in there apartment AND  for the cadaver dogs to alert to the scent they were trained to ?

Wouldn’t that be one coincidence too far ?

There, are no coincidences there
Your last statement is making an assumption that the alert was to cadaver... That has not been confirmed
5a is the only apartment where the digs we're given an extended, amount of time to alert
If maddie had died in the apartment and been removed soon after there would have been no time for the odour to develop
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 11:28:57 AM
That's, your opinion... As we know the PJ have completely misunderstood  the, alerts hence the proven facts.... When people are misrepresenting things to prove your daughter is dead and that you are responsible... I find Gerry's actions quite reasonable

It is indeed my opinion, as I think I made clear. What was gained by making such a flippant comment then? How did it advance the McCann's aims? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 21, 2018, 11:49:19 AM
There, are no coincidences there
Your last statement is making an assumption that the alert was to cadaver... That has not been confirmed
5a is the only apartment where the digs we're given an extended, amount of time to alert
If maddie had died in the apartment and been removed soon after there would have been no time for the odour to develop

So the cadaver dog alerted to what it was trained to alert to in apartment 5a and only 5a, an apartment that, OG have claimed, may have had a dead body in it and the alert isn’t to that dead body. Do you know how bonkers that sounds ?

Further I’m no dog trainer but I would assume Grime spent more time in 5a than any other apartment because of the dog’s reaction before he even entered the apartment. Even the untrained eye can see the change in his behaviour.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 12:50:04 PM
Interesting you were critical of ferryman yesterday yet it was ferryman who established that Eddie had only been deployed 37 times, in 5 years..... That's, almost one case, every two months. Eddie hasn't found a fat lot in his career... So occasionally successful seems, quite accurate

Ferryman's argument was based on an FOI request to South Yorkshire police. The answer didn't cover a five year period, it covered a four year period;

"The information supplied therefore relates to his service between 2003 and 2007."

During that time Eddie was used 37 times, mostly outside the SYP area.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8032.315

The other point I would make is whether SYP held all of the records relating to Eddie, or just the ones they had been paid for? 

Anyone doing research should, in my opinion, be careful to present the correct facts. Failing to do that tends to mislead those who later quote their findings.



Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 12:50:57 PM
It is indeed my opinion, as I think I made clear. What was gained by making such a flippant comment then? How did it advance the McCann's aims?
Why does it have to advance any aims... The poor man was upset are his daughter
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 12:53:17 PM
So the cadaver dog alerted to what it was trained to alert to in apartment 5a and only 5a, an apartment that, OG have claimed, may have had a dead body in it and the alert isn’t to that dead body. Do you know how bonkers that sounds ?

Further I’m no dog trainer but I would assume Grime spent more time in 5a than any other apartment because of the dog’s reaction before he even entered the apartment. Even the untrained eye can see the change in his behaviour.

You do not know what the dog alerted to... Neither dies grime... Now you are reading the digs body language

The bottom lir
No evidential reliability... That's, what counts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 12:57:38 PM
Ferryman's argument was based on an FOI request to South Yorkshire police. The answer didn't cover a five year period, it covered a four year period;

"The information supplied therefore relates to his service between 2003 and 2007."

During that time Eddie was used 37 times, mostly outside the SYP area.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=8032.315

The other point I would make is whether SYP held all of the records relating to Eddie, or just the ones they had been paid for? 

Anyone doing research should, in my opinion, be careful to present the correct facts. Failing to do that tends to mislead those who later quote their findings.

Check your maths.. 2003,4,5,6,7....is 5 years
Eddies CV. supplied by grime is sparse in results

Eddie was used 37 times and it's clear that includes usage both inside and outside the SYP area

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 21, 2018, 01:21:26 PM
You do not know what the dog alerted to... Neither dies grime... Now you are reading the digs body language

The bottom lir
No evidential reliability... That's, what counts

" 'Allo, 'Allo zees ees Night'awk calling"

I'll skip the "It's the tobacco that counts" gag

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 21, 2018, 01:27:08 PM
You do not know what the dog alerted to... Neither dies grime... Now you are reading the digs body language

The bottom lir
No evidential reliability... That's, what counts

Even if I couldn’t see how excited Eddie became on entering 5a Grime says his behaviour changes. He also says Eddie alerts to what he is trained to alert to.

TBH if you think that OG would be foolish enough to believe the dog alerts weren’t connected to what may have been a dead child in 5a then there really is no convincing you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 01:38:46 PM
Even if I couldn’t see how excited Eddie became on entering 5a Grime says his behaviour changes. He also says Eddie alerts to what he is trained to alert to.

TBH if you think that OG would be foolish enough to believe the dog alerts weren’t connected to what may have been a dead child in 5a then there really is no convincing you.

He didn't say eddie alerted to what he's trained to in 5a... He said it was possible it was cadaver odour.... Possible.... And also used the word suggestive...

I'm not convinced... Particularly  seeing the alert to CCand the remarks of the PJ...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 01:39:52 PM
Check your maths.. 2003,4,5,6,7....is 5 years
Eddies CV. supplied by grime is sparse in results

Eddie was used 37 times and it's clear that includes usage bothb inside and outside the SYP area

What months? Even if the period started in January 2003 it is not a full 5 year period. To say it is is misleading.

SYP speak of 'usage', Grime of 'searches'. They aren't the same thing. In my opinion usage could refer to one quick house search in the SYP area or to the hiring out of the team to PdL for a week. Two usages, but how many searches?

over 200 criminal case searches
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 01:53:27 PM
What months? Even if the period started in January 2003 it is not a full 5 year period. To say it is is misleading.

SYP speak of 'usage', Grime of 'searches'. They aren't the same thing. In my opinion usage could refer to one quick house search in the SYP area or to the hiring out of the team to PdL for a week. Two usages, but how many searches?

over 200 criminal case searches
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

I would, say it means in years 3 to 7...that's 5 years.... In all of those years utilized 37 times
200 case searches evidently relates to multiple searches in each case..
Again... Look at the CV... How many criminal cases, has eddies evidence been critical in solving... Very... Very few
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 02:23:12 PM
Why does it have to advance any aims... The poor man was upset are his daughter

Every time they gave interviews it was to advance their aims. On this occasion it was to appeal to the people of Portugal, via RPT to help them with information. A good interview with Sandra could have helped with that aim. Gerry made a mess of it my opinion by refusing to answer her questions in a reasonable manner. He also prompted  a lot of people to go off and research cadaver dogs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 02:30:51 PM
Every time they gave interviews it was to advance their aims. On this occasion it was to appeal to the people of Portugal, via RPT to help them with information. A good interview with Sandra could have helped with that aim. Gerry made a mess of it my opinion by refusing to answer her questions in a reasonable manner. He also prompted  a lot of people to go off and research cadaver dogs.

sandra was obviously advancing her own aims and gerry was uoset...no big deal imo...with amarals propaganda they had no chance of cooperaton from the portuguese public
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 05:59:09 PM
sandra was obviously advancing her own aims and gerry was uoset...no big deal imo...with amarals propaganda they had no chance of cooperaton from the portuguese public

He certainly was upset. He didn't like being asked questions he didn't want to answer, did he? He probably alienated a few more Portuguese with that performance. If it was the brainwave of their new Portuguese PR Agency it was a massive fail imo. Unlike Bilton et al Sandra didn't give a fig about Carter-Ruck.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 06:10:44 PM
I don't see what's clever about making a childish comment about dogs which assist the police in finding the bodies of people so their nearest and dearest can have closure. In fact it was incredibly stupid, in my opinion. It suggested that the police forces using these dogs were spending money on training and maintaining handlers and dogs which were only occasionally successful.
It's perhaps as stupid as the oft-repeated phrase "dogs don't lie".
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 06:14:33 PM
Every time they gave interviews it was to advance their aims. On this occasion it was to appeal to the people of Portugal, via RPT to help them with information. A good interview with Sandra could have helped with that aim. Gerry made a mess of it my opinion by refusing to answer her questions in a reasonable manner. He also prompted  a lot of people to go off and research cadaver dogs.
What was the question Sandra asked him that prompted this response that you so object to?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 06:16:59 PM
He certainly was upset. He didn't like being asked questions he didn't want to answer, did he? He probably alienated a few more Portuguese with that performance. If it was the brainwave of their new Portuguese PR Agency it was a massive fail imo. Unlike Bilton et al Sandra didn't give a fig about Carter-Ruck.
It's obvious he should have received better media training, than to appear like an upset father of a missing child.  But then of course, he would have been criticized for something else.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 06:59:11 PM
He certainly was upset. He didn't like being asked questions he didn't want to answer, did he? He probably alienated a few more Portuguese with that performance. If it was the brainwave of their new Portuguese PR Agency it was a massive fail imo. Unlike Bilton et al Sandra didn't give a fig about Carter-Ruck.

Your hatred of the mccanns is palpable.....

He wasn't upset because of the questions.... He was upset because he had lost his daughter... Is, that so difficult  to understand
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 08:18:48 PM
Your hatred of the mccanns is palpable.....

He wasn't upset because of the questions.... He was upset because he had lost his daughter... Is, that so difficult  to understand

What a strange idea. Why should I hate them? They've done me no harm.

You're entitled to interpret his reactions in a different way than me, but not to suggest I struggle with understanding. In my opinion you need to learn to debate without resorting to insults.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 21, 2018, 08:22:36 PM
What a strange idea. Why should I hate them? They've done me no harm.

You're entitled to interpret his reactions in a different way than me, but not to suggest I struggle with understanding. In my opinion you need to learn to debate without resorting to insults.

It's not an insult it's my opinion... You think Gerry was angry because he couldn't answer the question... When in reality his, anger was understandable as he had lost his daughter...
Your hatred is palpable...IMO... Do you have no sympathy for them... You don't... IMO... Which to me is very odd
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 21, 2018, 09:08:51 PM
I would, say it means in years 3 to 7...that's 5 years.... In all of those years utilized 37 times
200 case searches evidently relates to multiple searches in each case..
Again... Look at the CV... How many criminal cases, has eddies evidence been critical in solving... Very... Very few

You can say what you like about 'years', it's immaterial anyway. Whoever put the FOI request into SYP asked the wrong question. Why you persist in trying to discredit Eddie's capabilities I don't know. After all, if his alerts meant nothing as you keep saying it doesn't matter how many usages, searches or previous successes he had, does it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 21, 2018, 09:32:05 PM
It's not an insult it's my opinion... You think Gerry was angry because he couldn't answer the question... When in reality his, anger was understandable as he had lost his daughter...
Your hatred is palpable...IMO... Do you have no sympathy for them... You don't... IMO... Which to me is very odd
G-unit has just told you she does not hate the McCanns so please leave it at that.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 21, 2018, 10:38:05 PM
It's perhaps as stupid as the oft-repeated phrase "dogs don't lie".

Do they lie.? how do they do that? did they lie in the McCann case?  you have no expert knowledge about those particular dogs at all. To say it is stupid to say dogs don't lie would be pretentious on your part.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 21, 2018, 10:51:34 PM
It's perhaps as stupid as the oft-repeated phrase "dogs don't lie".

Perhaps as strange as thinking that dogs are capable of lying.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 10:55:51 PM
Do they lie.? how do they do that? did they lie in the McCann case?  you have no expert knowledge about those particular dogs at all. To say it is stupid to say dogs don't lie would be pretentious on your part.
Not at all.  Dogs do lie - on the ground when resting or sleeping, however dogs have no concept of honesty so cannot choose whether or not to deceive, that's why it's as stupid as saying "ask the dogs" because as we know dogs can't talk either, though some do believe that when a trained dog barks it's saying "there used to be a body here". When that happens they may be correct, they may be not, we have no way of knowing for certain either way without supporting evidence.  .
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 10:56:39 PM
Perhaps as strange as thinking that dogs are capable of lying.
I don't know anyone who believes that, do you?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 21, 2018, 10:59:23 PM
I don't know anyone who believes that, do you?

Well as you said it was stupid, one would have to assume you believe it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 11:15:53 PM
Well as you said it was stupid, one would have to assume you believe it?
I said "dogs don't lie" is a stupid phrase because dogs CAN'T lie!  I'm not sure why you think I think they do.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 21, 2018, 11:41:51 PM
Shucks.  I've got to eat some humble pie here.  It seems I was wrong.  Dogs do lie after all!

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/canine-corner/201703/do-dogs-ever-lie-or-try-deceive-people
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 22, 2018, 12:39:11 AM
Shucks.  I've got to eat some humble pie here.  It seems I was wrong.  Dogs do lie after all!

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/canine-corner/201703/do-dogs-ever-lie-or-try-deceive-people

I hadn't read that before. lol
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 22, 2018, 12:59:55 AM
Shucks.  I've got to eat some humble pie here.  It seems I was wrong.  Dogs do lie after all!

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/canine-corner/201703/do-dogs-ever-lie-or-try-deceive-people

Dogs are driven by their own self interest and the need to please.  They do not have the capability to deceive or lie.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 04:16:03 AM
Dogs are driven by their own self interest and the need to please.  They do not have the capability to deceive or lie.
That experiment really showed that dogs can think in terms of self interest.  Isn't that why humans lie as well?

Why would Eddie lie about finding a cadaver odour alert.  Can he tell the difference between a training exercise and an actual case?  If he barked on a training day at the wrong place he would not get a reward for barking at the wrong time.  Did you see Eddie getting any rewards for barking during the examination of the apartments?  I didn't.  So what sort of message is that being given to Eddie?  Will he have been thinking "could I be wrong?"  Maybe he gets the reward at the end of the day only.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2018, 08:52:30 AM
It's not an insult it's my opinion... You think Gerry was angry because he couldn't answer the question... When in reality his, anger was understandable as he had lost his daughter...
Your hatred is palpable...IMO... Do you have no sympathy for them... You don't... IMO... Which to me is very odd

Your opinion being that I have difficulty understanding something which you, being more perceptive than me, can. Gerry McCann refused to answer the questions and, with no mention of being upset he explained;

"The place to have those discussions is in the judicial and legal environment where they can be properly assessed and dealt with within the bounds of the law

So there you have it. 'Judicial secrecy', their previous reason/excuse for not answering questions, may have ended, but it's been replaced by another reason/excuse. Gerry McCann stated their position very clearly;

the Portuguese judiciary have agreed that there is absolutely no evidence that Madeleine is dead or that we were involved....."If people accept that, then they will accept that Madeleine is missing and can still be found."
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

It's not quite true, of course, what Gerry McCann said. Suspicions remained and 'absolutely no evidence' was actually 'insufficient evidence', which the Portuguese people understood and which the SC officially clarified
again years later.

Gerry McCann was asking the Portuguese people to accept, without question, his version of the conclusions of the investigation.

As Sandra Felgueiras said;

 "It is two-and-a-half years after Madeleine disappeared and this was the first time they talked to us in a big interview since the files were closed. I think I should feel free and they should feel free to talk about it. It would be the only chance to clear up the rumours."
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

A chance which the McCanns didn't take.

I do have sympathy for the McCanns, but my reasons are probably very different from yours.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 09:56:04 AM
Your opinion being that I have difficulty understanding something which you, being more perceptive than me, can. Gerry McCann refused to answer the questions and, with no mention of being upset he explained;

"The place to have those discussions is in the judicial and legal environment where they can be properly assessed and dealt with within the bounds of the law

So there you have it. 'Judicial secrecy', their previous reason/excuse for not answering questions, may have ended, but it's been replaced by another reason/excuse. Gerry McCann stated their position very clearly;

the Portuguese judiciary have agreed that there is absolutely no evidence that Madeleine is dead or that we were involved....."If people accept that, then they will accept that Madeleine is missing and can still be found."
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

It's not quite true, of course, what Gerry McCann said. Suspicions remained and 'absolutely no evidence' was actually 'insufficient evidence', which the Portuguese people understood and which the SC officially clarified
again years later.

Gerry McCann was asking the Portuguese people to accept, without question, his version of the conclusions of the investigation.

As Sandra Felgueiras said;

 "It is two-and-a-half years after Madeleine disappeared and this was the first time they talked to us in a big interview since the files were closed. I think I should feel free and they should feel free to talk about it. It would be the only chance to clear up the rumours."
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

A chance which the McCanns didn't take.

I do have sympathy for the McCanns, but my reasons are probably very different from yours.
I believe the archiving report stated ..no evidence....there is not much prospect of understanding the truth re the dogs when amaral claims in his book that eddie discovered a body under a slab of concrete in jersey..totally untrue..

a tv interview is not the place to discuss the evidence in the case...do you realy think it would be possible to understand the dog alerts when ther has been endless discussion here and still no agreement...do you think Gerry could have settled it in a few sentences
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2018, 11:55:45 AM
I believe the archiving report stated ..no evidence....there is not much prospect of understanding the truth re the dogs when amaral claims in his book that eddie discovered a body under a slab of concrete in jersey..totally untrue..

a tv interview is not the place to discuss the evidence in the case...do you realy think it would be possible to understand the dog alerts when ther has been endless discussion here and still no agreement...do you think Gerry could have settled it in a few sentences

I could argue, but I don't need to. It's well known now what weight the archiving report carried, so belive what you like.

In my opinion a sincere and reasonable attempt to answer Sandra's questions would have been far more likely to persuade the Portuguese public to put their trust in the couple and to help them than the response I saw.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 22, 2018, 12:03:26 PM
I could argue, but I don't need to. It's well known now what weight the archiving report carried, so belive what you like.

In my opinion a sincere and reasonable attempt to answer Sandra's questions would have been far more likely to persuade the Portuguese public to put their trust in the couple and to help them than the response I saw.

What did Sandra actually ask?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 12:16:27 PM
I could argue, but I don't need to. It's well known now what weight the archiving report carried, so belive what you like.

In my opinion a sincere and reasonable attempt to answer Sandra's questions would have been far more likely to persuade the Portuguese public to put their trust in the couple and to help them than the response I saw.

I'm sure anything Gerry said would have been pulled apart... There had been that many lies, told in the Portuguese press... That anything the mccanns said would have made no difference...

It would be impossible  to have any valued discussion are the dogs... The alerts have no evidential value according to the experts but you don't accept that
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: byron on March 22, 2018, 12:54:31 PM
What did Sandra actually ask?

Comment from Sandra F

RB: One big problem is only the Portuguese authorities can re-open the case. Sandra Felgueiras is one of Portugal’s leading TV presenters and has covered the McCann story from the start. With her own nightly news show she’s watched Portuguese public support shift away from the McCanns.

SANDRA FELGUEIRAS: They were following the case as it was a big movie. So if you start saying three months later from her disappearance that maybe the McCanns are involved people start thinking, “Oh my God, those guys, the same that were asking for help, I gave them money. I tried to help them and now they must be involved. The police is saying that.” And peoples minds changed and I never felt really that the Portuguese were likely to give a chance to the McCanns again.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2018, 01:00:51 PM
What did Sandra actually ask?

There's a transcript here;

http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

or the interview can be seen here choose your own video;

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=ask+the+dogs+sandra

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 22, 2018, 01:04:06 PM
Comment from Sandra F

RB: One big problem is only the Portuguese authorities can re-open the case. Sandra Felgueiras is one of Portugal’s leading TV presenters and has covered the McCann story from the start. With her own nightly news show she’s watched Portuguese public support shift away from the McCanns.

SANDRA FELGUEIRAS: They were following the case as it was a big movie. So if you start saying three months later from her disappearance that maybe the McCanns are involved people start thinking, “Oh my God, those guys, the same that were asking for help, I gave them money. I tried to help them and now they must be involved. The police is saying that.” And peoples minds changed and I never felt really that the Portuguese were likely to give a chance to the McCanns again.

Thanks, Byron, but my question is about what the actual question was that she asked to get that response from Gerry?

On more general issues, I'm not sure the world was waiting for Cambridge Analytica to reveal just how easily people's opinions can be influenced if you regularly hit the right button on emotive subjects...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 22, 2018, 01:20:26 PM
Thanks, Byron, but my question is about what the actual question was that she asked to get that response from Gerry?

On more general issues, I'm not sure the world was waiting for Cambridge Analytica to reveal just how easily people's opinions can be influenced if you regularly hit the right button on emotive subjects...


 A transcript here  http://themaddiecasefiles.com/sandra-felgueiras-interview-05-11-09-t3546.html
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 01:41:13 PM
How frustrating it must have been for the parents of a missing child who were attempting to promote a police video publicising their daughter to get bogged down in a parochial interview promoting the failed views of a failed cop.

Snip
The McCanns were speaking as police released a video showing how Madeleine might look now, in a bid to prick the conscience of anyone who knows what became of her.

The 60-second video, released in seven languages, features film footage of Madeleine and digitally enhanced photos of what she might look like now with shoulder-length blonde hair, as well as one with a tan and dark hair.

The clip, produced with the aid of psychologists, can be viewed at www.ceop.police.uk.

"This message is aimed at prompting the conscience of an individual who is keeping a secret," said Jim Gamble, head of the Child Exploitation and Online Protection Centre.

Mr McCann hailed the global online appeal as "a world first".

"We're optimistic that this message will get to them, it will cause them to wrestle with their conscience," he said.
https://www.independent.ie/world-news/europe/emotional-mccanns-deny-pact-of-silence-on-maddy-26578825.html


Kate and Gerry McCann were endeavouring to publicise and help their missing daughter ... Sandra Felgueiras just was not at all interested in Madeleine or progressing the search for her which reading the transcript of her interview will confirm.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2018, 02:00:48 PM
Kate McCann made it quite clear why they were speaking to Sandra;

we are desperate for people to help us find Madeleine which is why we are here today. The majority of people are inherently good and I believe the majority of people in Portugal are inherently good people and I am asking them if they will help us spread this message to that person or people...
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

It seems to have escaped her notice that the 'good people' of Portugal had to first be convinced that it was possible to find Madeleine. Perhaps she thought their Portuguese PR agency would deal with that for them.
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/19-Sep8/BBC_23_09_09.htm



Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 02:16:32 PM
Kate McCann made it quite clear why they were speaking to Sandra;

we are desperate for people to help us find Madeleine which is why we are here today. The majority of people are inherently good and I believe the majority of people in Portugal are inherently good people and I am asking them if they will help us spread this message to that person or people...
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

It seems to have escaped her notice that the 'good people' of Portugal had to first be convinced that it was possible to find Madeleine. Perhaps she thought their Portuguese PR agency would deal with that for them.
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/19-Sep8/BBC_23_09_09.htm

Conversely Ms Felgueiras made it perfectly obvious that her agenda had nothing to do with Madeleine or promoting her parents' hopes and fears for her.
In my opinion she started the interview as she finished it by pushing her own agenda ... in my opinion her arrogance must have left Kate and Gerry distraught.


Just an aside ... please differentiate between what is a quotation and what is your own opinion you are not making that clear. Thank you.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 02:18:33 PM
Kate McCann made it quite clear why they were speaking to Sandra;

we are desperate for people to help us find Madeleine which is why we are here today. The majority of people are inherently good and I believe the majority of people in Portugal are inherently good people and I am asking them if they will help us spread this message to that person or people...
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

It seems to have escaped her notice that the 'good people' of Portugal had to first be convinced that it was possible to find Madeleine. Perhaps she thought their Portuguese PR agency would deal with that for them.
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/19-Sep8/BBC_23_09_09.htm

But Sandra had no intention of helping the promote the search for Maddie... She was more interested in promoting the lies re the investigation. She asked how Gerry could explain the alert to cadaver scent... Did she believe there was an alert to cadaver scent.... Because we know that there, was no confirmed alert... Just an alleged alert... That has no evidential value
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 22, 2018, 02:34:49 PM
Kate McCann made it quite clear why they were speaking to Sandra;

we are desperate for people to help us find Madeleine which is why we are here today. The majority of people are inherently good and I believe the majority of people in Portugal are inherently good people and I am asking them if they will help us spread this message to that person or people...
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/31NOV9/Independent_ie_04_11-09.htm

It seems to have escaped her notice that the 'good people' of Portugal had to first be convinced that it was possible to find Madeleine. Perhaps she thought their Portuguese PR agency would deal with that for them.
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/19-Sep8/BBC_23_09_09.htm

It is better to try and change public opinion rather than reinforce it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 02:39:00 PM
But Sandra had no intention of helping the promote the search for Maddie... She was more interested in promoting the lies re the investigation. She asked how Gerry could explain the alert to cadaver scent... Did she believe there was an alert to cadaver scent.... Because we know that there, was no confirmed alert... Just an alleged alert... That has no evidential value

I agree with that entirely.
In my opinion Kate and Gerry were probably going on Sandra Felgueiras excellent reputation as a journalist when they agreed to the interview which is why I think they must have been devastated to discover that her line of questioning was so blinkered and mired in past errors and prejudices.

They must have despaired for Madeleine at the thought this intelligent woman was not even interested enough in her that she was disinterested in the efforts they and the police had been making to further the search for her.

Sandra Felgueiras just wasn't interested in Madeleine in my opinion and using the vehicle of this interview couldn't have cared less about promoting Kate and Gerry's campaign on Madeleine's behalf.
Bit disingenuous of her to suggest that they had missed an opportunity to put their case since their case is Madeleine.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 02:44:01 PM
It is better to try and change public opinion rather than reinforce it.
It would have been impossible for the mccanns to change public opinion with SF asking questions that reinforced it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 22, 2018, 02:51:23 PM
It would have been impossible for the mccanns to change public opinion with SF asking questions that reinforced it

Why?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 02:57:26 PM
It is better to try and change public opinion rather than reinforce it.

In my opinion it appears Portuguese public opinion was already entrenched against the McCann family at the time of the interview and Sandra Felgueiras on this occasion in this interview was the one doing the reinforcing.

In my opinion events change opinions or at least give people pause for thought.

There could have been nothing more effective in influencing public opinion in Portugal than the revelation that many of the leading lights in the Policia Judiciaria had let the PJ of the time down badly as a result of their criminal conduct.

More so than that is the fact that the PJ reopened Madeleine's case and like their English counterparts took pains to state that they were looking at new evidence (which was a necessity to reopen the case) which did not concern Madeleine's parents.

With knowledge comes understanding and I think the light dawned on Portuguese public opinion some time ago with no assistance from interviews conducted by Sandra Felgueiras or her like ... just the progress of time and events.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 02:59:40 PM
Why?
Because she, was, able to reinforce the lie, that the dogs had alerted to cadaver...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 03:00:23 PM
Why?

You are in possession of the facts.  So may I ask you that same question ... why?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 22, 2018, 03:09:05 PM
Because she, was, able to reinforce the lie, that the dogs had alerted to cadaver...

It’s not a lie. If you could prove the dogs didn’t alert to a cadaver odour then maybe you could call it a lie. It would be easy to put together a response that acknowledged the alerts, expressed concern a ps to what it may mean and pledged to work with the PJ to identify the source of the odour...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 04:24:22 PM
It’s not a lie. If you could prove the dogs didn’t alert to a cadaver odour then maybe you could call it a lie. It would be easy to put together a response that acknowledged the alerts, expressed concern a ps to what it may mean and pledged to work with the PJ to identify the source of the odour...

If it is that easy ... please indicate what the dogs' various reactions signified?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 22, 2018, 04:28:51 PM
If it is that easy ... please indicate what the dogs' various reactions signified?
It is that easy.

The dogs alerted.  Fact.

What they alerted to is a matter of debate or opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 04:39:19 PM
It is that easy.

The dogs alerted.  Fact.

What they alerted to is a matter of debate or opinion.

It isn't... It's a matter of fact.... We just don't know what it is..... Even grime
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 04:40:12 PM
Because she, was, able to reinforce the lie, that the dogs had alerted to cadaver...

Proved

Proved facts,so who lied?

Quote
PROVED FACTS

Taking into account the matter considered undisputed in the selection of facts and the decision handed down in due course after producing the matter of evidence and discussing the case, the following facts are demonstrated :
Quote
6. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in the apartment 5A, Ocean Club [alínea AR) of the undisputed facts].

7. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in a vehicle rented by the claimants after the disappearance of MMC [alínea AS) of the undisputed facts].

http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6307.0
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 04:41:33 PM
It is that easy.

The dogs alerted.  Fact.

What they alerted to is a matter of debate or opinion.

In my opinion, to what the dogs reacted is neither a matter for debate or the opinion of amateurs.  It is intelligence for the purpose of guiding investigators in the procurement of evidence.

Slarti purports to know the significance of the dogs' reaction better than the professionals ... for that she requires a cite for which I await with interest.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 04:45:07 PM
Proved

Proved facts,so who lied?

http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6307.0

Proven in what way.... What does the proven mean in this instance...because there certainly is no absolute proof the alerts  were to cadaver
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 04:55:51 PM
Proven in what way.... What does the proven mean in this instance...because there certainly is no absolute proof the alerts  were to cadaver

You'll have to take that up with the court in question,I provided a link which clearly states its a proven fact,is that fact in question?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 05:50:17 PM
You'll have to take that up with the court in question,I provided a link which clearly states its a proven fact,is that fact in question?

I dont need to take it up with anyone it is not a proven fact as we understand it and I have no idea what the portugues court means by it...if they think its proven they obviously dont have a clue (IN MY OPINION).

Edit: (IN MY OPINION) added

No it's not my opinion it's a fact.... If they think it's proven what other explanation is there... Please, tell us
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 05:57:29 PM
It isn't... It's a matter of fact.... We just don't know what it is..... Even grime
Could we say we aren't sure but most likely cadaver odour?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 05:59:44 PM
Could we say we aren't sure but most likely cadaver odour?

Not in my opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:00:57 PM
This is the question asked by Sandra of Gerry McCann:

"How can you explain the coincidence of the scent of cadaver found by British and not Portuguese dogs?"

to which Gerry replied "Ask the dogs Sandra".

Now, what would have been a more reasonable and acceptable answer as far as those who don't believe the McCanns (avoiding using the S word now) are concerned?  What would you have expected him to say in response to that question which would have had you thinking "yeah, man's made a good point, actually I have sympathy with his position, perhaps he's not guilty after all"?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 06:01:47 PM
I dont need to take it up with anyone it is not a proven fact as we understand it and I have no idea what the portugues court means by it...if they think its proven they obviously dont have a clue (IN MY OPINION).

Edit: (IN MY OPINION) added

No it's not my opinion it's a fact.... If they think it's proven what other explanation is there... Please, tell us
"they obviously dont have a clue"  that was the opinion part.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Could we say we aren't sure but most likely cadaver odour?

That is not what grime said... In his first statement  grime said it is possible that the, alert was to cadaver odour... If you want to take that as meaning most likely... Then I think your understaing is very  poor
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:09:17 PM
You'll have to take that up with the court in question,I provided a link which clearly states its a proven fact,is that fact in question?
Do you believe it's a proven fact then?  That the dog definitely alerted to cadaver, because the court said so?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:10:19 PM
"they obviously dont have a clue"  that was the opinion part.

Then how else do you explain their claim that the alert to cadaver is a proven fact.. It plainly isnt
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 22, 2018, 06:12:44 PM
Do you believe it's a proven fact then?  That the dog definitely alerted to cadaver, because the court said so?

What a court says stands as correct until proved otherwise.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:14:57 PM
If the court thinks it's a proven fact then the court does not have a clue... That has to be a fact... How can it not be a fact
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:15:40 PM
Do you believe it's a proven fact then?  That the dog definitely alerted to cadaver, because the court said so?

I believe its written down as a proven fact,do you question a courts judgement because it doesn't suit?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 06:17:09 PM
What a court says stands as correct until proved otherwise.
But you at least admit that a court declaration still could be wrong and changed on a later date.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:18:19 PM
I believe its written down as a proven fact,do you question a courts judgement because it doesn't suit?
No, I question it because I'd like to know how they arrived at the decision that it was definitely a cadaver.  Based on the court ruling are you certain the dog alerted to cadaver?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:19:03 PM
If the court thinks it's a proven fact then the court does not have a clue... That has to be a fact... How can it not be a fact
So its not in dispute thats its written in a court judgement,so maybe the  thread title should read "do understand the evidence".
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:19:57 PM
No, I question it because I'd like to know how they arrived at the decision that it was definitely a cadaver.  Based on the court ruling are you certain the dog alerted to cadaver?

I'm certain its written down.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:20:40 PM
I believe its written down as a proven fact,do you question a courts judgement because it doesn't suit?

No I question it because it is not correct

What I DO KNOW.. is that the Portuguese courts have some strange ideas about what is a proven fact...this is plainly and 100% not a proven fact... As we understand it..
When was it proven... In which court
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 22, 2018, 06:20:53 PM
No, I question it because I'd like to know how they arrived at the decision that it was definitely a cadaver.  Based on the court ruling are you certain the dog alerted to cadaver?

Perhaps if you obtained a transcript of the court proceedings you might discover that which you seek.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:22:18 PM
No I question it because it is not correct

What I DO KNOW.. is that the Portuguese courts have some strange ideas about what is a proven fact...this is plainly and 100% not a proven fact... As we understand it..
When was it proven... In which court
Did you not read the link?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 06:23:34 PM
I'm certain its written down.
Cite the words then please?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:23:52 PM
Did you not read the link?

It's been discussed many times before... I believe the telavent term is... The evidence of common experience...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:24:06 PM
I'm certain its written down.
As you've avoided answering directly twice it would seem to me that you don't accept it's a certainty that the dog alerted to cadaver, and unless you tell me otherwise I will continue to hold that assumption.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:25:14 PM
Perhaps if you obtained a transcript of the court proceedings you might discover that which you seek.
I don't need to read the court transcript to know for a fact that there is no way of proving what the dog in this case alerted to.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:26:18 PM
Cite the words then please?

keep up rob you being a mod an all,post 1127.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 06:29:25 PM
keep up rob you being a mod an all,post 1127.
I've just woken up.  A bit of reminding doesn't hurt. 
Quote from 1127
"6. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in the apartment 5A, Ocean Club [alínea AR) of the undisputed facts].

7. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in a vehicle rented by the claimants after the disappearance of MMC [alínea AS) of the undisputed facts].

http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=6307.0"
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:30:28 PM
The portuguese court seem to have a strange idea about what is a proven fact. In the ciprianio case one of the proven facts was that Joannas blood was found in the apartment...in the fridge I beleive...but the court also sated taht the blood was never dna tested...they just assumed it was joannas and then stated taht as a proven fact...so....the portuguese court seems to have a strange idea about what is a proven fact...that is fact not opinion
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:31:00 PM
As you've avoided answering directly twice it would seem to me that you don't accept it's a certainty that the dog alerted to cadaver, and unless you tell me otherwise I will continue to hold that assumption.

I'm certain its written in a court judgement,my opinion is of no consequence along with all other posters.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:32:25 PM
I'm certain its written in a court judgement,my opinion is of no consequence along with all other posters.

it is of course...but as i have asked you and you dont know the answer is...what does the court mean by proven facts...because it certainly is not proven...so what does that say about the decalration of the portuguese court
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:32:58 PM
I've just woken up.  A bit of reminding doesn't hurt.

I'll forgive you for that,just don't mention the cricket.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:35:58 PM
I'm certain its written in a court judgement,my opinion is of no consequence along with all other posters.
that's the third time you've avoided a direct answer.  Your opinion, my opinion, none of it matters, but when you're shooting the breeze as we are on this forum, a little honesty and directness always helps the chat flow more civilly I find.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:37:06 PM
that's the third time you've avoided a direct answer.  Your opinion, my opinion, none of it matters, but when you're shooting the breeze as we are on this forum, a little honesty and directness always helps the chat flow more civilly I find.

imo...barrier cannot answer because she knows it hs not been proven
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:37:18 PM
it is of course...but as i have asked you and you dont know the answer is...what does the court mean by proven facts...because it certainly is not proven...so what does that say about the decalration of the portuguese court
I don't need to know the answer, its indisputable that's its written down.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:40:00 PM
I don't need to know the answer, its indisputable that's its written down.

but its not indisputable taht it is correct
In fact it's indisputable  that the court is, wrong
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:42:32 PM
that's the third time you've avoided a direct answer.  Your opinion, my opinion, none of it matters, but when you're shooting the breeze as we are on this forum, a little honesty and directness always helps the chat flow more civilly I find.

I'm a mere poster,I don't presume to know more than any official,the judge clearly wrote down in her court that its an undisputed fact,thats good enough for me.You prove she was wrong in her written judgement.
Or are the pros now admitting that because this is wrong (proven facts) that the whole premise of the court case was wrong and that was why Amaral successfully appealed and had it upheld on appeal in the SC.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:44:15 PM
but its not indisputable taht it is correct
In fact it's indisputable  that the court is, wrong

So you agree Amaral was right to win his appeal then.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 22, 2018, 06:45:48 PM
imo...barrier cannot answer because she knows it hs not been proven

 I can say with out fear of contradiction its a proven fact written down.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 06:49:55 PM
I can say with out fear of contradiction its a proven fact written down.

But you are unable to say if you agree with it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 22, 2018, 06:58:06 PM
I'm a mere poster,I don't presume to know more than any official,the judge clearly wrote down in her court that its an undisputed fact,thats good enough for me.You prove she was wrong in her written judgement.
Or are the [ censored word ] now admitting that because this is wrong (proven facts) that the whole premise of the court case was wrong and that was why Amaral successfully appealed and had it upheld on appeal in the SC.
you don't need to know more than the judge or any official to use logic and common sense.   Without tangible evidence of a cadaver, there is no certainty about what the dog alerted to. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 07:23:52 PM
imo...barrier cannot answer because she knows it hs not been proven
Was the problem not so much the judges but the parties to the case allowing that fact to be included in the list of "undisputed facts".
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 07:34:03 PM
Was the problem not so much the judges but the parties to the case allowing that fact to be included in the list of "undisputed facts".
No... Because it's listed as a proven fact... Which of course it isnt
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 07:58:53 PM
No... Because it's listed as a proven fact... Which of course it isnt
The reference quoted says "undisputed fact" not proven fact. ""6. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in the apartment 5A, Ocean Club [alínea AR) of the undisputed facts].

7. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in a vehicle rented by the claimants after the disappearance of MMC [alínea AS) of the undisputed facts]."
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 08:03:27 PM
The reference quoted says "undisputed fact" not proven fact. ""6. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in the apartment 5A, Ocean Club [alínea AR) of the undisputed facts].

7. The British police dogs “Eddie” and “Keela” detected human blood and cadaver in a vehicle rented by the claimants after the disappearance of MMC [alínea AS) of the undisputed facts]."

This has all been discussed many times before... In the SC judgement is listed as, a, proven fact... Page 19
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 08:16:19 PM
This has all been discussed many times before... In the SC judgement is listed as, a, proven fact... Page 19
Was that page 19 of the SC ruling?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 08:17:44 PM
Was that page 19 of the SC ruling?
Yes
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 08:32:09 PM
Was that page 19 of the SC ruling?
" – Fundamental principles

1.2. In the appealed acórdão the following facts are considered proven :

1. The applicants Gerald McCann and Kate (sic) are married to each other.

2. The applicant Madeleine McCann was born on 12.5.2003 , daughter of Kate McCann and Gerald McCann.

3. The applicant Sean McCann was born on 1/2/2005, son of  Kate McCann and Gerald McCann.

4. The applicant Amelie McCann was born on 1/2/2005 , daughter of Kate McCann and Gerald McCann.

5. The applicant Madeleine McCann has been missing since 3/5/2007 , resulting in the criminal investigation n° 201/07.0 GALGS, opened by the prosecutor of Portimão.

6. The dogs Eddie and Keela, from the British police, have detected human blood and cadaver scent in the apartment 5A of the Ocean Club.



I have a feeling these are considered undisputed facts, not that the SC had actual proof of these.  Did they have the McCanns marriage licence in court.  Did they have birth certificates for the kids?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 22, 2018, 08:34:55 PM
" – Fundamental principles

1.2. In the appealed acórdão the following facts are considered proven :

1. The applicants Gerald McCann and Kate (sic) are married to each other.

2. The applicant Madeleine McCann was born on 12.5.2003 , daughter of Kate McCann and Gerald McCann.

3. The applicant Sean McCann was born on 1/2/2005, son of  Kate McCann and Gerald McCann.

4. The applicant Amelie McCann was born on 1/2/2005 , daughter of Kate McCann and Gerald McCann.

5. The applicant Madeleine McCann has been missing since 3/5/2007 , resulting in the criminal investigation n° 201/07.0 GALGS, opened by the prosecutor of Portimão.

6. The dogs Eddie and Keela, from the British police, have detected human blood and cadaver scent in the apartment 5A of the Ocean Club.



I have a feeling these are considered undisputed facts, not that the SC had actual proof of these.  Did they have the McCanns marriage licence in court.  Did they have birth certificates for the kids?
It says proven.... Doesn't matter what you feel

So why is the court saying it's proven when it's not proven
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 08:56:16 PM
It says proven.... Doesn't matter what you feel

So why is the court saying it's proven when it's not proven
It says "considered proven"  doesn't mean proven, just not disputed by the parties.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 09:12:14 PM
It says "considered proven"  doesn't mean proven, just not disputed by the parties.
If I'm right about the McCann team accepting that there was cadaver odour found in the apartment and the car we have a new issue, as to why they accepted that as an undisputed fact.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2018, 09:15:47 PM
If I'm right about the McCann team accepting that there was cadaver odour found in the apartment and the car we have a new issue, as to why they accepted that as an undisputed fact.

I think it possible that Kate and Gerry have found the situation regarding the Portuguese judgement so unacceptable that they are in the process of complaining about it to the European Court of Human Rights.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 09:22:20 PM
I think it possible that Kate and Gerry have found the situation regarding the Portuguese judgement so unacceptable that they are in the process of complaining about it to the European Court of Human Rights.
I agree but if you remember G-unit and I went to considerable effort in understanding where the components of the SC ruling came from and I'd say the undisputed facts were from a previous case.  I don't believe that is the bit they are complaining about.  But on what basis their case to the ECHR depends is all unknown currently.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 22, 2018, 09:48:53 PM
If I'm right about the McCann team accepting that there was cadaver odour found in the apartment and the car we have a new issue, as to why they accepted that as an undisputed fact.

Hey? They didn't, but the judge wouldn't let Gerry dispute it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 22, 2018, 10:21:53 PM
Hey? They didn't, but the judge wouldn't let Gerry dispute it.
Can you prove that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 22, 2018, 10:50:29 PM
I think it possible that Kate and Gerry have found the situation regarding the Portuguese judgement so unacceptable that they are in the process of complaining about it to the European Court of Human Rights.

How is that going ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 12:14:32 AM
Can you prove that?

 There's no more questions and the Judge is about to dismiss the plaintiff when GMC claims that he has something to say.

The judge says that in a civil trial the parties aren't allowed to spontaneous depositions. But she allows him: please do speak!

GMC says that he wants to make a comment about the dogs; he wants to make it clear that it is not a fact that they detected blood...

The judge interrupts him – The issue here isn't not to elucidate what actually happened. The perspective, in this trial, is to determine whether the book and the documentary affected the plaintiffs.

GMC – But the book mentions facts that aren't true.


The judge – The point isn't to establish whether things are true or not, this is not the issue. We want to know whether we are in the juridical remit of offence to persons. For this it's not necessary to know what the truth is. As a judge I'm not supposed to stand in for a criminal investigation.

And so it ended
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Gerry_McCann_08_07_2014.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 23, 2018, 12:26:51 AM
How is that going ?

Probably a bit faster than the wheels of justice roll in Portugal.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 06:49:23 AM
So the cadaver odour is not proven... As, the court says... And is not undisputed... As, the court says... So is the court wrong on both  counts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 08:04:33 AM
It says "considered proven"  doesn't mean proven, just not disputed by the parties.

Do you now accept you are wrong rob
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 23, 2018, 08:14:22 AM
It says "considered proven"  doesn't mean proven, just not disputed by the parties.

As it is not disputed it is accepted by the parties.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 08:17:11 AM
As it is not disputed it is accepted by the parties.

It clearly isn't.... So the court must therefore be wrong.... It clearly isn't proven... So once, again the court must be wrong... My opinion and your post needs a similar caveat...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 23, 2018, 08:25:39 AM
It clearly isn't.... So the court must therefore be wrong.... It clearly isn't proven... So once, again the court must be wrong... My opinion and your post needs a similar caveat...

Where is the court case disputing it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 08:36:52 AM
Where is the court case disputing it?
I thought the McCanns were taking the case to the ECHR?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 08:41:13 AM
Where is the court case disputing it?

Where is the court case proving the alerts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 08:48:14 AM
I thought the McCanns were taking the case to the ECHR?

Allegedly but no one knows for certain, nor what grounds they would make the appeal.
It's one of these wait and see things.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
How is that going ?


It might take some time a recent judgement at the echr started way back in 1978,Ireland v The United Kingdom for reference.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 08:54:54 AM
I thought the McCanns were taking the case to the ECHR?

A case v Portugal its not known just what they are contesting.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 08:58:07 AM
It clearly isn't.... So the court must therefore be wrong.... It clearly isn't proven... So once, again the court must be wrong... My opinion and your post needs a similar caveat...

Do you accept therefore that the judgement against Amaral was wrong then?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 09:04:13 AM
A case v Portugal its not known just what they are contesting.
the verdict of the Portuguese court I would have thought, but perhaps that's too obvious.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 09:07:49 AM
the verdict of the Portuguese court I would have thought, but perhaps that's too obvious.

Not agreeing with Portuguese Court verdict is unlikely to a suitable ground for bringing a case.
There will need to be something specific that breaches human rights.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:11:06 AM
Not agreeing with Portuguese Court verdict is unlikely to a suitable ground for bringing a case.
There will need to be something specific that breaches human rights.

Defamation
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 23, 2018, 09:12:14 AM
Defamation

Of which the truth is a defends.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:12:37 AM
Allegedly but no one knows for certain, nor what grounds they would make the appeal.
It's one of these wait and see things.

I would say the statement in the accounts shows the case is being taken to the, ECHR
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:13:54 AM
Of which the truth is a defends.

The mccanns have clearly been libelled in Portugal... Previous ECHR. case law, supports it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 09:16:31 AM
Of which the truth is a defends.
the truth is there is no proof regarding what the dogs alerted to, and that's just one tiny part of it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 09:19:57 AM
I would say the statement in the accounts shows the case is being taken to the, ECHR

It didn't say it had been accepted though.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:20:53 AM
It didn't say it had been accepted though.

I've done some research... Have you... And there are no grounds to reject it
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 09:22:12 AM
I've done some research... Have you... And there are no grounds to reject it
IYO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:23:34 AM
IYO

Then let's have your opinion.... On what grounds will it not be accepted...do you have any opinion at all
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 09:32:36 AM
Then let's have your opinion.... On what grounds will it not be accepted...do you have any opinion at all

My opinion counts for nothing along with yours,we have a knowledge that the McCanns have supposedly applied to the ECHR,its not known what they are contesting or even if its been accepted,end of.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 23, 2018, 09:33:47 AM
I would say the statement in the accounts shows the case is being taken to the, ECHR

IMO I think the McCanns are fully aware that their case will not get much further than their application  but what else could they do?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 23, 2018, 09:36:10 AM
Do you accept therefore that the judgement against Amaral was wrong then?

There is more than one judgement against Amaral on the books I believe ... to which one is it you refer?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 23, 2018, 09:44:12 AM

Even if the McCanns are successful at the ECHR,  the good book will have received yet more publicity from the process.
Supposing the good book is somehow banned again, that will just make more people want to read it to see what the problem is. They won't be able to remove all trace of it, it will still be available to read somewhere on the interweb.

The McCann's main issue is that they don't want their remaining children to read it. Eventually, I believe they will.

Something of a lose, lose situation for the Doctors McCann.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 09:48:30 AM
There is more than one judgement against Amaral on the books I believe ... to which one is it you refer?

The one I posted a link to previously.post no 1127 if memory serves.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:00:04 AM
Even if the McCanns are successful at the ECHR,  the good book will have received yet more publicity from the process.
Supposing the good book is somehow banned again, that will just make more people want to read it to see what the problem is. They won't be able to remove all trace of it, it will still be available to read somewhere on the interweb.

The McCann's main issue is that they don't want their remaining children to read it. Eventually, I believe they will.

Something of a lose, lose situation for the Doctors McCann.
Did the book surge to the top of the bestsellers list when the court found in favour of Amaral?  Did it get published here as was suggested in some quarters?  By now IMO it's not a question of how far and wide it is read, what is important for the McCanns IMO is that it is legally acknowledged to be defamatory and based on nothing more than half-truths and fictions.   Then people can read it forearmed with that knowledge.   And also, that the author of this defamatory tale never profits from it, would be a strong motivating factor IMO.   
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:04:24 AM
Even if the McCanns are successful at the ECHR,  the good book will have received yet more publicity from the process.
Supposing the good book is somehow banned again, that will just make more people want to read it to see what the problem is. They won't be able to remove all trace of it, it will still be available to read somewhere on the interweb.

The McCann's main issue is that they don't want their remaining children to read it. Eventually, I believe they will.

Something of a lose, lose situation for the Doctors McCann.

I doubt they would care if their children read the book...... The twins would recognise it for the rubbish it is... Imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:05:42 AM
My opinion counts for nothing along with yours,we have a knowledge that the McCanns have supposedly applied to the ECHR,its not known what they are contesting or even if its been accepted,end of.

You don't seem to have any knowledge or opinion... It's clear from the recent accounts they have taken the case to the ECHR IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 10:06:40 AM
Did the book surge to the top of the bestsellers list when the court found in favour of Amaral?  Did it get published here as was suggested in some quarters?  By now IMO it's not a question of how far and wide it is read, what is important for the McCanns IMO is that it is legally acknowledged to be defamatory and based on nothing more than half-truths and fictions.   Then people can read it forearmed with that knowledge.   And also, that the author of this defamatory tale never profits from it, would be a strong motivating factor IMO.

Bolded bit,by who please, certainly not in Portugal.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:06:48 AM
IMO I think the McCanns are fully aware that their case will not get much further than their application  but what else could they do?

On what do you base your opinion.... Have you looked at any libel cases dealt with by the ECHR
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:08:15 AM
Bolded bit,by who please, certainly not in Portugal.

It us deemed libel per se by definition...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 23, 2018, 10:08:44 AM
On what do you base your opinion.... Have you looked at any libel cases dealt with by the ECHR

Have you and what was the outcome ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:11:00 AM
I doubt they would care if their children read the book...... The twins would recognise it for the rubbish it is... Imo
There will be many people associated with the McCanns, friends, family, work colleagues etc, who will be only too well aware of the book, the allegations within it, and who may even have read it, who still are completely supportive of the couple.   If their children haven't already read it, if and when they do it's unlikely to turn them against their parents, but it may well make them angry and upset about the nonsense perpetrated by its author.  IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:12:23 AM
Bolded bit,by who please, certainly not in Portugal.
I don't understand your question, sorry.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 23, 2018, 10:13:08 AM
There will be many people associated with the McCanns, friends, family, work colleagues etc, who will be only too well aware of the book, the allegations within it, and who may even have read it, who still are completely supportive of the couple.   If their children haven't already read it, if and when they do it's unlikely to turn them against their parents, but it may well make them angry and upset about the nonsense perpetrated by its author.  IMO.

You seem to be arguing it has had no impact?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 10:15:24 AM
It us deemed libel per se by definition...

English definition? not Portuguese.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 10:16:01 AM
Did the book surge to the top of the bestsellers list when the court found in favour of Amaral?  Did it get published here as was suggested in some quarters?  By now IMO it's not a question of how far and wide it is read, what is important for the McCanns IMO is that it is legally acknowledged to be defamatory and based on nothing more than half-truths and fictions.   Then people can read it forearmed with that knowledge.   And also, that the author of this defamatory tale never profits from it, would be a strong motivating factor IMO.

Very much a niche market, I think, particularly as not published in English.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 10:18:13 AM
There will be many people associated with the McCanns, friends, family, work colleagues etc, who will be only too well aware of the book, the allegations within it, and who may even have read it, who still are completely supportive of the couple.   If their children haven't already read it, if and when they do it's unlikely to turn them against their parents, but it may well make them angry and upset about the nonsense perpetrated by its author.  IMO.

As you say, all in your opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:19:37 AM
English definition? not Portuguese.

It won't matter how it is considered in Portugal it's the opinion of ECHR law, that matters... And from previous cases I've seen.... Have you looked, at any... It is clearly libellous
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:20:54 AM
You seem to be arguing it has had no impact?
I don't believe it has changed the opinion of those nearest and dearest to the McCanns, there is no evidence that it has, however it has undoubtedly caused them distress, and hurt IMO. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:22:02 AM
As you say, all in your opinion.
Yes, that's why I used copious IMOs throughout my post - any reason why this was was especially noteworthy and needed repeating by yourself?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:22:51 AM
Very much a niche market, I think, particularly as not published in English.
Where would you say  (geographically speaking) there is the most interest in this case? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 10:23:17 AM
Yes, that's why I used copious IMOs throughout my post - any reason why this was was especially noteworthy and needed repeating by yourself?

I thought you might like the publicity  8(>((
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 10:24:49 AM
Where would you say  (geographically speaking) there is the most interest in this case?

Rothley , Skipton and Ullapool at a guess
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 10:27:41 AM
Do you now accept you are wrong rob
In the quote Carana gave it just mentioned blood not cadaver odour.  So no I'm not wrong yet.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:29:37 AM
Rothley , Skipton and Ullapool at a guess
Right, the UK, I would say that was the correct answer.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 10:30:08 AM
I thought you might like the publicity  8(>((
Not particularly, but thanks for your efforts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:31:06 AM
In the quote Carana gave it just mentioned blood not cadaver odour.  So no I'm not wrong yet.

It isn't ignorance  that is the enemy of knowledge it's the presumption of knowledge
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:34:20 AM
If I'm right about the McCann team accepting that there was cadaver odour found in the apartment and the car we have a new issue, as to why they accepted that as an undisputed fact.

You seem to be talking about cadaver odour here.... And in your other posts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 10:38:35 AM
There's no more questions and the Judge is about to dismiss the plaintiff when GMC claims that he has something to say.

The judge says that in a civil trial the parties aren't allowed to spontaneous depositions. But she allows him: please do speak!

GMC says that he wants to make a comment about the dogs; he wants to make it clear that it is not a fact that they detected blood...

The judge interrupts him – The issue here isn't not to elucidate what actually happened. The perspective, in this trial, is to determine whether the book and the documentary affected the plaintiffs.

GMC – But the book mentions facts that aren't true.


The judge – The point isn't to establish whether things are true or not, this is not the issue. We want to know whether we are in the juridical remit of offence to persons. For this it's not necessary to know what the truth is. As a judge I'm not supposed to stand in for a criminal investigation.

And so it ended
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Gerry_McCann_08_07_2014.htm
This argument only mentions blood.  Nothing about cadaver odour.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 10:40:46 AM
You seem to be talking about cadaver odour here.... And in your other posts
See Carana's post does it talk about cadaver odour?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 10:56:50 AM
See Carana's post does it talk about cadaver odour?

No, it doesn't. However:

"GMC says that he wants to make a comment about the dogs; he wants to make it clear that it is not a fact that they detected blood...

The judge interrupts him."

If that is an accurate rendering, he wasn't given time to finish his point.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 23, 2018, 10:57:21 AM
The one I posted a link to previously.post no 1127 if memory serves.

However in my opinion there is going to be a somewhat murky trail to get all the finances sorted out the least of which is historical in nature and well predates the McCann family setting foot on Portuguese soil.

One of the cases to which I referred earlier http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=7920.msg383692#msg383692 is pretty small beer in comparison to the accusation that you have fabricated your daughter's abduction and hidden her body:


Snip
However, according to the assessment made by the court, the estate of Gonçalo Amaral does not provide sufficient guarantees for payment in case of conviction. Olhão's house - which she bought with her wife in 2002 with a loan from the BIC but is registered only in her name - was arrested in 2005 due to a debt of around 130 thousand euros.

A year later, the National Treasury registered an attachment on the house as guarantee of payment of 16900 euros. Finally, two years ago, it was BES (to which BIC belongs now) to file an executive action against the couple to collect more than 300,000 euros - a new attachment.
The book "Maddie - The truth of the Lie" was released in July 2008 and in the following two months, until the end of September, it had 12 editions, or 120,000 copies. However, in September, also by court decision, its sale had already been banned.

Gonçalo Amaral retired from the Judicial Police in June last year, after 26 years of service. At the time, he said he was leaving to have "full freedom of expression" after being removed months earlier from the investigation into the disappearance of the English child due to statements made to the media. Currently, Amaral receives a pension for early retirement of 2039 euros.
http://expresso.sapo.pt/arquivo/tribunal-fica-com-jaguar-de-goncalo-amaral=f544234


Therefore in my opinion the sceptics have understood nothing as far as the evidence in this case goes with most of the inbuilt prejudices and misconceptions directed at the McCann family arising from a lack of knowledge.

The evidence is there that Goncalo Amaral was living way beyond his means prior to 2005 and the evidence is there that sceptics are of the belief that it was the McCanns who drove him into penury.

The evidence is there that Martin Grime has attested that dog indications have to be proven by forensic evidence; but the sceptics know better and instead prefer to follow other theories which do not have a shred of supporting evidence.

Have sceptics looked beyond what they have been assured is evidence ... or have they dug a bit deeper for more information to inform their opinion?
In my opinion they have not -  therefore their misunderstanding and misinterpretation of whatever evidence there is.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 11:13:34 AM
No, it doesn't. However:

"GMC says that he wants to make a comment about the dogs; he wants to make it clear that it is not a fact that they detected blood...

The judge interrupts him."

If that is an accurate rendering, he wasn't given time to finish his point.
We don't know then do we?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 11:25:23 AM
The evidence is there that Martin Grime has attested that dog indications have to be proven by forensic evidence; but the sceptics know better and instead prefer to follow other theories which do not have a shred of supporting evidence.

Have sceptics looked beyond what they have been assured is evidence ... or have they dug a bit deeper for more information to inform their opinion?
In my opinion they have not -  therefore their misunderstanding and misinterpretation of whatever evidence there is.

Much like Scotland Yard when it allowed its officers to be photographed scrambling around the Portuguese countryside in the hot sun in pursuit of nothing, all imo of course.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 11:28:03 AM
Much like Scotland Yard when it allowed its officers to be photographed scrambling around the Portuguese countryside in the hot sun in pursuit of nothing, all imo of course.
How can you possibly be in a position to make any judgement at all about what they may or may not have been looking for?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 23, 2018, 11:30:27 AM
How can you possibly be in a position to make any judgement at all about what they may or may not have been looking for?

Probably in a similar position to those who have a view on the original PJ investigation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 11:32:53 AM
Probably in a similar position to those who have a view on the original PJ investigation.
Incorrect.  We know far more about the original PJ investigation thanks to the copious case files released to the public.  We know next to nothing about the current investigation.  Big difference.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 11:33:48 AM
We don't know then do we?

We do because both Kate and Gerry have both publicly contested the alerts to cadaver... Trying to show they haven't is a tad ridiculous.... Imo
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 11:35:45 AM
Incorrect.  We know far more about the original PJ investigation thanks to the copious case files released to the public.  We know next to nothing about the current investigation.  Big difference.

And we know all the evidence used to declare the mccanns arguidos by yje original investigation was not confirmed. We know the original investigation  misunderstood  the forensic evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 23, 2018, 12:38:22 PM
How can you possibly be in a position to make any judgement at all about what they may or may not have been looking for?

It wasn't for a live and findable child I'd venture.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 12:43:34 PM
We don't know then do we?

No. What I'm trying to say is that it's not accurate to assert that they'd accepted that Eddie did in fact react to "cadaver odour".

Nor that not defending the point was somehow acceptance.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 01:00:43 PM
It wasn't for a live and findable child I'd venture.
So does that mean that the searches were "in pursuit of nothing" or is it possible that looking for a live and findable child was not the purpose of that particular search, but something else entirely which you know nothing about?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 23, 2018, 01:03:10 PM
You don't seem to have any knowledge or opinion... It's clear from the recent accounts they have taken the case to the ECHR IMO

Just another delaying tactic by the parents of a missing child who gave b....r all thought to her human rights when they left her alone with her twin toddler siblings night after night.  It's rather hypocritical of them now to attempt to seek human rights imo but then no real surprise if I'm honest. 😏
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Wonderfulspam on March 23, 2018, 01:05:43 PM
I doubt they would care if their children read the book...... The twins would recognise it for the rubbish it is... Imo

If they didn't care then the twins would be free to use the internet, instead their parents breathe down their necks while they surf.

I find that quite amusing.

They do care, according to Mother Hubbard, Emma Loach & Dave Trickey.

SO – What did they say about the book?

SH answers they were worried about what the people would think and, if they did nothing, the people would think the book was telling the truth. They spoke of the effect on the search for Madeleine, the public attention diverted. They didn't want to waste energy on this issue. They spoke about the way to protect the twins from what was in the book.


ID – What are the worries about the twins and what's done to protect them from the internet?

EL says the twins aren't allowed to surf on the Internet; there are no discussions about the book in front of them, though Madeleine issue is discussed a lot.

ID - says the issue here is the effect, on the twins, of the Amaral book and the documentary. In your professional opinion what do you have to say?
DT says he is a specialist in child trauma. He has worked with ten families in cases involving abduction. (note: unfortunately nobody asked what kind of abduction) He saw the twins some weeks after Madeleine disappeared. They were asking where she was. He helped to answer that question. He says it is fundamental for a child to believe the world is safe and secure. Thanks to their age, the twins were protected from the book.
 
He has two preoccupations: 1) anything affecting the parents will have an impact on the children and 2) the twins will have increasing access to books, etc. He adds that it is easy to monitor young children but not teenagers. He is afraid that when the twins eventually read the Amaral book they will question their parents. This could have an enormous impact on them.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 01:06:50 PM
Just another delaying tactic by the parents of a missing child who gave b....r all thought to her human rights when they left her alone with her twin toddler siblings night after night.  It's rather hypocritical of them now to attempt to seek human rights imo but then no real surprise if I'm honest. 😏
IMO, it's never too late to make try and make amends for past ill-judged actions, perhaps that is the driving force behind all of this for the last 11 years?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 23, 2018, 01:38:35 PM
IMO, it's never too late to make try and make amends for past ill-judged actions, perhaps that is the driving force behind all of this for the last 11 years?

Then again it could just be guilt.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 23, 2018, 01:50:57 PM
Then again it could just be guilt.
Of course, that's what I meant.  Making amends for past ill-judged actions, driving their actions would in large part be a sense of guilt.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 04:07:25 PM
We do because both Kate and Gerry have both publicly contested the alerts to cadaver... Trying to show they haven't is a tad ridiculous.... Imo
Can you actually find one and we will look at what they say please?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 04:11:41 PM
No. What I'm trying to say is that it's not accurate to assert that they'd accepted that Eddie did in fact react to "cadaver odour".

Nor that not defending the point was somehow acceptance.
"Nor that not defending the point was somehow acceptance"; acceptance by whom?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2018, 04:24:17 PM
"Nor that not defending the point was somehow acceptance"; acceptance by whom?

The process of law is adversarial whereby if you don't contest something, then by default you are accepting it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 04:35:08 PM
"Nor that not defending the point was somehow acceptance"; acceptance by whom?

It was in answer to a previous post of yours:

If I'm right about the McCann team accepting that there was cadaver odour found in the apartment and the car we have a new issue, as to why they accepted that as an undisputed fact.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?action=post;quote=452880;topic=9213.1170
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 04:41:22 PM
It was in answer to a previous post of yours:

If I'm right about the McCann team accepting that there was cadaver odour found in the apartment and the car we have a new issue, as to why they accepted that as an undisputed fact.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?action=post;quote=452880;topic=9213.1170
It was the judges who called it an accepted fact or whatever the term was.  "Undisputed fact". 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 04:48:45 PM
The process of law is adversarial whereby if you don't contest something, then by default you are accepting it.


General information
1.1 Structure of the legal system

Portugal’s legal system is a civil law system.
As per civil proceedings, the Portuguese legal system should not be qualified as adversarial
or inquisitorial. The civil procedure is based on the dispositive principle, which means that
the  parties  are  responsible  for  alleging  the  facts,  gathering  evidence  and  determining  the 
nature of the evidence they choose to provide.


The court’s role is primarily to conduct and oversee the proceedings to ensure that the evi-
dence given is within the rules. It then weighs the evidence, according to pre-existing rules,
to render its judgment.

The court may, however, on its own initiative, request any evidence that it deems necessary
to reach its decision, based on the facts lawfully acknowledged by it. Indeed, under Articles
411, 417, 452, 467 and 526 of the Civil Procedure Code (hereinafter “CPC”), the Court may
call the parties to testify, order expert witnesses, call witnesses to testify and ask the parties
or third parties to disclose documents or other evidence to support the facts. Witnesses’ tes-
timonies are taken by the parties’ lawyers, but the parties’ testimony is taken by the judge.

https://www.mlgts.pt/xms/files/Publicacoes/Artigos/2014/Chambers_Legal_Practice_Guides_Litigation_2014.pdf

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 04:51:19 PM
It was the judges who called it an accepted fact or whatever the term was.  "Undisputed fact".

And what happened when Gerry attempted to dispute it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2018, 04:52:01 PM
Just another delaying tactic by the parents of a missing child who gave b....r all thought to her human rights when they left her alone with her twin toddler siblings night after night. It's rather hypocritical of them now to attempt to seek human rights imo but then no real surprise if I'm honest. 😏

I do not think it was anymore complicated than an application to the ECtHR was the only card left to play and play it they must in order to preserve credibility.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 04:54:18 PM
And what happened when Gerry attempted to dispute it?
He was told this isn't the time to dispute it, so where did they get the notion it was an undisputed fact?  It had to be some prior case IMO.
My point was that Gerry never mentioned cadaver odour but he mentioned blood.

What did he say now - there was no blood found?    I was wondering what he really meant by that?

Was he saying he knows about Madeleine and she never bled on the night she died?  (In the sense there was no bleeding therefore no blood to find.)
Or was he saying the lab never found any blood?  (As the spots that Keela alerted too were too small to test for blood and DNA testing at the same time. That was my impression.)
What did you think he meant?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 23, 2018, 05:38:00 PM
I do not think it was anymore complicated than an application to the ECtHR was the only card left to play and play it they must in order to preserve credibility.

Exactly.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 06:14:45 PM
He was told this isn't the time to dispute it, so where did they get the notion it was an undisputed fact?  It had to be some prior case IMO.
My point was that Gerry never mentioned cadaver odour but he mentioned blood.

What did he say now - there was no blood found?    I was wondering what he really meant by that?

Was he saying he knows about Madeleine and she never bled on the night she died?  (In the sense there was no bleeding therefore no blood to find.)
Or was he saying the lab never found any blood?  (As the spots that Keela alerted too were too small to test for blood and DNA testing at the same time. That was my impression.)
What did you think he meant?

Bear in mind that these are notes taken by someone attending the trial, not an official transcript.

As he was interrupted, there's no way of knowing exactly what he wanted to say. IMO, he may well have wanted to point out that the forensic analysis didn't establish the presence of blood.
 


Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 23, 2018, 07:12:53 PM
GMC - I want to speak about the sniffer dogs. They never alerted to any blood in the car and they never alerted to cadaver odour...

Judge [interrupts] – We are not here to ascertain that, our perspective here in this court is to analyse your claim.

GMC – But the book mentions facts that aren't true.


Judge - We are not here to prove if the contents of the book are truthful or not.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=4746.0
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 07:15:40 PM
GMC - I want to speak about the sniffer dogs. They never alerted to any blood in the car and they never alerted to cadaver odour...

Judge [interrupts] – We are not here to ascertain that, our perspective here in this court is to analyse your claim.

GMC – But the book mentions facts that aren't true.


Judge - We are not here to prove if the contents of the book are truthful or not.
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=4746.0

Thanks. G-Unit. I did vaguely recollect that Gerry mentioned "cadaver odour", but that wasn't in the notes in the cite I'd found.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 08:50:20 PM
Thanks. G-Unit. I did vaguely recollect that Gerry mentioned "cadaver odour", but that wasn't in the notes in the cite I'd found.
There is also the disclaimer "Important Notice
Readers are warned that this court Report is not a verbatim account of events but is merely a summary. 
As the content is sourced via a third party and although checks are made, the forum cannot guarantee
its veracity.  All reports are made in good faith."

Even if I was to accept that Gerry said in court "GMC - I want to speak about the sniffer dogs. They never alerted to any blood in the car and they never alerted to cadaver odour..."  It is then clear that he is not talking about the apartment.  He is only disputing the undisputed facts about the hire car.

I think Gerry would be aware that cadaver odour can not be confirmed by scientific test so if a cadaver dog alerts you can never prove whether it was to cadaver odour other than in the case of a known training test.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 09:29:46 PM
The process of law is adversarial whereby if you don't contest something, then by default you are accepting it.
Different rules for civil and criminal cases.  Civil cases are not adversarial.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:30:53 PM
There is also the disclaimer "Important Notice
Readers are warned that this court Report is not a verbatim account of events but is merely a summary. 
As the content is sourced via a third party and although checks are made, the forum cannot guarantee
its veracity.  All reports are made in good faith."

Even if I was to accept that Gerry said in court "GMC - I want to speak about the sniffer dogs. They never alerted to any blood in the car and they never alerted to cadaver odour..."  It is then clear that he is not talking about the apartment.  He is only disputing the undisputed facts about the hire car.

I think Gerry would be aware that cadaver odour can not be confirmed by scientific test so if a cadaver dog alerts you can never prove whether it was to cadaver odour other than in the case of a known training test.

Then how can the court claim the cadaver odour, as a proven fact..... Although I now think I know the answer
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 09:37:26 PM
Are the defendants' documents online? If so, seeing what they wrote about the dogs might help. Was that assertion submitted, with simply Grime's report as an annexe? If so, I find it inaccurately worded as a factual statement, but on the other hand it was a major feature presented in GA's book / documentary / articles.

IMO, as there was no forensic evidence to invalidate or corroborate it, there was no direct omission of e.g., forensic evidence that could be disputed, although, for some reason, the caveats about needing corroboration didn't seem to have been taken into account. Maybe coffee spilled on them all.

A key point, IMO, is that it was a civil case, not a criminal one:

The judge – The point isn't to establish whether things are true or not, this is not the issue. We want to know whether we are in the juridical remit of offence to persons. For this it's not necessary to know what the truth is. As a judge I'm not supposed to stand in for a criminal investigation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 09:43:38 PM
Then how can the court claim the cadaver odour, as a proven fact..... Although I now think I know the answer

My best guess is that that is how it was presented in the defendants' documents, with Grime's reports as an annexe.

Judge glances at it, yes, one dog trained as a VRD, the other to detect blood... they alerted. Tick.

Next.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 09:44:29 PM
Then how can the court claim the cadaver odour, as a proven fact..... Although I now think I know the answer
That is an interesting question Davel, for it was never established in a court trial.  So who decided on the undisputed facts?  I have a feeling it must be some sort of pretrial decision.  Did the McCann lawyer get to check what facts were considered undisputed facts?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:52:09 PM
That is an interesting question Davel, for it was never established in a court trial.  So who decided on the undisputed facts?  I have a feeling it must be some sort of pretrial decision.  Did the McCann lawyer get to check what facts were considered undisputed facts?

Thinking  about it.. It may be that the police.. Prosecution... Put forward their claimed proven facts on which the case is based. In a criminal trial these facts can then be countered... Disputed.. By the defence.  As there never was, a, criminal trial these proven facts, remain on file and undisputed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 09:53:09 PM
Are the defendants' documents online? If so, seeing what they wrote about the dogs might help. Was that assertion submitted, with simply Grime's report as an annexe? If so, I find it inaccurately worded as a factual statement, but on the other hand it was a major feature presented in GA's book / documentary / articles.

IMO, as there was no forensic evidence to invalidate or corroborate it, there was no direct omission of e.g., forensic evidence that could be disputed, although, for some reason, the caveats about needing corroboration didn't seem to have been taken into account. Maybe coffee spilled on them all.

A key point, IMO, is that it was a civil case, not a criminal one:

The judge – The point isn't to establish whether things are true or not, this is not the issue. We want to know whether we are in the juridical remit of offence to persons. For this it's not necessary to know what the truth is. As a judge I'm not supposed to stand in for a criminal investigation.
It is an undisputed fact that the dogs (blood and cadaver) alerted to the hire car and in the apartment.
Whether that can be converted to findings of blood and cadaver odour (??), but none was attributed to Madeleine via corroboration, and expressed as such by any expert witnesses in the file (as no trial had happened).
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 09:57:22 PM
Thinking  about it.. It may be that the police.. Prosecution... Put forward their claimed proven facts on which the case is based. In a criminal trial these facts can then be countered... Disputed.. By the defence.  As there never was, a, criminal trial these proven facts, remain on file and undisputed
Could be but that would be rather rough justice, as there was never any case put forward against the McCanns (or if there was it never proceeded).
Where do undisputed facts come from in a trial in Portugal?  Does the prosecution just list a series of undisputed facts - like it and lump it?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 09:58:30 PM
Are the defendants' documents online? If so, seeing what they wrote about the dogs might help. Was that assertion submitted, with simply Grime's report as an annexe? If so, I find it inaccurately worded as a factual statement, but on the other hand it was a major feature presented in GA's book / documentary / articles.

IMO, as there was no forensic evidence to invalidate or corroborate it, there was no direct omission of e.g., forensic evidence that could be disputed, although, for some reason, the caveats about needing corroboration didn't seem to have been taken into account. Maybe coffee spilled on them all.

A key point, IMO, is that it was a civil case, not a criminal one:

The judge – The point isn't to establish whether things are true or not, this is not the issue. We want to know whether we are in the juridical remit of offence to persons. For this it's not necessary to know what the truth is. As a judge I'm not supposed to stand in for a criminal investigation.

Note the last line... Criminal investigation... That's, when the point would, have been answered...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:01:51 PM
Could be but that would be rather rough justice, as there was never any case put forward against the McCanns (or if there was it never proceeded).
Where do undisputed facts come from in a trial in Portugal?  Does the prosecution just list a series of undisputed facts - like it and lump it?

Its,what the prosecution  base it's, case, on... It's up to the defence to answer is... But there never was a trial
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 10:06:27 PM
Its,what the prosecution  base it's, case, on... It's up to the defence to answer is... But there never was a trial
Surely that would never be accepted as the undisputed facts!  If it was Portugal needs to be reprimanded in the ECHR court.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 23, 2018, 10:10:03 PM
Surely that would never be accepted as the undisputed facts!  If it was Portugal needs to be reprimanded in the ECHR court.

They are technically undisputed facts because the mccanns had no chance to dispute them...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 10:16:36 PM
They are technically undisputed facts because the mccanns had no chance to dispute them...
There must be a better definition somewhere.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 23, 2018, 10:39:47 PM
The judge allows Gerry to say something but it had conditions on it:  "MC  Can I make a statement?
Judge - The statements in the Portuguese court system, unlike in England where people can give extemporaneous statements [see VPS], are the declarations, which consist of a series of questions put by the lawyers and Judge and by the answers of the deponent, which you just gave. You can say something but it won't have any legal validity, nevertheless it will still be recorded.

Gerry was told this rebuttal of the undisputed facts "won't have any legal validity".

So can we now take it a give it some legal validity?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 23, 2018, 11:48:41 PM
Different rules for civil and criminal cases.  Civil cases are not adversarial.

Regulation

In Portugal, as in most European continental judicial systems, judges play a prominent and active role in the examination process and in imposing the rules of DNA evidence and court procedures. This inquisitorial orientation of the Portuguese criminal justice system is also reflected in the DNA database law, as the collection of samples for criminal investigation purposes and the inclusion of DNA profiles in the database requires a judge’s order.
http://dnapolicyinitiative.org/genewatch-forensic-dna/arguido-or-no-the-portuguese-dna-database/
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 12:05:01 AM
The judge allows Gerry to say something but it had conditions on it:  "MC  Can I make a statement?
Judge - The statements in the Portuguese court system, unlike in England where people can give extemporaneous statements [see VPS], are the declarations, which consist of a series of questions put by the lawyers and Judge and by the answers of the deponent, which you just gave. You can say something but it won't have any legal validity, nevertheless it will still be recorded.

Gerry was told this rebuttal of the undisputed facts "won't have any legal validity".

So can we now take it a give it some legal validity?
Gerry should have asked the Judge to clarify where the list of undisputed facts came from.  Had it been a question rather than a statement it might have maintained its legal validity.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 01:09:22 AM
Gerry should have asked the Judge to clarify where the list of undisputed facts came from.  Had it been a question rather than a statement it might have maintained its legal validity.

Some will have come from the plaintiffs' submissions and the others from the defendants' submissions.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 24, 2018, 01:57:24 AM
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/TAVARES_ALMEIDA.htm (10th September 2007)
snipped
Nevertheless, before the Media they kept (and keep) declaring their hope on finding their daughter alive: the first time that the hypothesis of the death of the little girl was raised it was, effectively, suggested by the McCann.

Although maintaining all the lines of the investigation opened it was, nevertheless, decided to advance in the direction of a new inspection to the local where the girl disappeared.
The inspection technique is frequently used in the United Kingdom and consists on the use of dogs especially trained.

As it's natural it is the dog's olfact the 'sense' used. In the case of this 'sense' the difference between the human and the dog is 5 million cells to 200 millions.

It must be highlighted that the resource to this kind of inspection is frequent in the UK and the success rate is 100%.

One of the dogs is trained to detect the odour of cadaver and the other to identify vestiges of human blood.

We refer now that the location of the cadaver odours signifies that physically the body (cadaver) is not on the place, marked by the dog, but certainly it has been there, as long as the dog signals it.

As it can be verified from the 'Autos', in the inquiry, the dogs inspected the locales and objects with the results described below.

All the inspections were recorded in sound and image and were directed by our British colleagues that accompanied the dogs.

Among the great number of objects and locales inspected, the dogs marked the following places:
1. Apartment 5 A, Ocean Club resort, the place from where the child disappeared
1.1. Cadaver odour
* Master bedroom, in a corner, by the wardrobe
* Living room, behind the sofa, by the side window
1.2. Blood dog:
* Living room behind the sofa, close to the lateral window (on the same spot signalled by the cadaver dog);
2. Front garden to the apartment 5A
2.1. Cadaver dog
* Flower bed (the dog handler commented on the 'lightness' of the odor)
3. Apartments where the rest of the group were staying
* NOTHING was detected by the dogs
4. Actual residence of the McCann
* NOTHING was detected on the house by any of the dogs
5. At Aldeia da Luz
* NOTHING was detected by any of the dogs
6. Clothes and belongings of McCann family
6.1. Cadaver dog:
* 2 pieces of clothing of Kate McCann
* One piece of Madeleine McCann
* Madeleine's soft toy
* The odour was detected when the toy was still in the interior of the actual residence of the McCann
* It was confirmed in out of the house conditions
7. Vehicle used by the McCann family
7.1. Cadaver dog:
* Marked the key of the car
* Marked the interior of the booth
7.2. Blood dog
* Marked the car key
* Marked the interior of the booth
8. Car used by a family friend that was staying in the same resort, in some of the same days
* Nothing was detected by any of the dogs
9. All the cars used by the arguido Robert Murat and the people that are close to him
* Nothing was detected by any of the dogs.

(In a total of 10 cars the cadaver dog and the blood dog only marked the car of the McCann family, rented at May 27th)

The places and the pieces marked and signaled by the blood dog are being subjected to forensic exams, part of which are already concluded.

Not less relevant is the refinement of the results that point towards Madeleine's DNA as being present at the apartment 5A behind the sofa, a place marked by the cadaver and the blood dog. In every place marked by the blood dog it was confirmed there was DNA.
================================================================

It is an undisputed fact that there is a record in the files from the original investigation, during Amaral's time in charge, stating that the dog alerted to cadaver. Rightly or wrongly, if the book is a reflection of the investigation, then the alert to cadaver is a fact within itself but not necessarily the truth of the matter.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 03:41:48 AM
Some will have come from the plaintiffs' submissions and the others from the defendants' submissions.
But who decides what is on the list.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 03:56:50 AM
But who decides what is on the list.
In this discussion, "Question of Fact"  it says the judge can decide the matters considered indisputable fact.
https://legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Finding+of+facts
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 07:53:32 AM
I think posters, are making the mistake of assuming they understand what the, Portuguese court mean by proven facts..... They certainly are not proven facts as, we understand the term... More like what the prosecution believe to be true and on what they base their case... It's then up yo the defense to dispute them but this, can only be done at a criminal trial.... That's why the judge would not let Gerry question them
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 08:01:57 AM
I think posters, are making the mistake of assuming they understand what the, Portuguese court mean by proven facts..... They certainly are not proven facts as, we understand the term... More like what the prosecution believe to be true and on what they base their case... It's then up yo the defense to dispute them but this, can only be done at a criminal trial.... That's why the judge would not let Gerry question them
well you can make that suggestion, but is it a indisputable fact?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 08:03:33 AM
well you can make that suggestion, but is it a indisputable fact?
It is an indisputable  fact that the cadaver alerts are not proven... 100%
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 08:06:27 AM
It is an indisputable  fact that the cadaver alertsvare not proven... 100%
Indisputable fact that there were cadaver dog alerts, by dogs who are trained to alert to cadaver odour.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 08:09:34 AM
Indisputable fact that there were cadaver dog alerts, by dogs who are trained to alert to cadaver odour.
No... One dog... Not dogs... And by a dog that alerts to their things apart from cadaver... Plus, the, alerts care not confirmed or proven
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 08:24:07 AM
No... One dog... Not dogs... And by a dog that alerts to their things apart from cadaver... Plus, the, alerts care not confirmed or Provence
Sorry 1 cadaver dog and 1 CSI dog. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 08:27:43 AM
Sorry 1 cadaver dog and 1 CSI dog.

2 cadaver dogs giving the same alert independently in the same spot would be a totally different  situation... Perhaps I could give grime some advice.. With different handlers
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 08:58:14 AM
2 cadaver dogs giving the same alert independently in the same spot would be a totally different  situation... Perhaps I could give grime some advice.. With different handlers
It would be a matter of expense,  they don't come cheap.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 24, 2018, 09:48:02 AM
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/TAVARES_ALMEIDA.htm (10th September 2007)
snipped
Nevertheless, before the Media they kept (and keep) declaring their hope on finding their daughter alive: the first time that the hypothesis of the death of the little girl was raised it was, effectively, suggested by the McCann.

Although maintaining all the lines of the investigation opened it was, nevertheless, decided to advance in the direction of a new inspection to the local where the girl disappeared.
The inspection technique is frequently used in the United Kingdom and consists on the use of dogs especially trained.

As it's natural it is the dog's olfact the 'sense' used. In the case of this 'sense' the difference between the human and the dog is 5 million cells to 200 millions.

It must be highlighted that the resource to this kind of inspection is frequent in the UK and the success rate is 100%.

One of the dogs is trained to detect the odour of cadaver and the other to identify vestiges of human blood.

We refer now that the location of the cadaver odours signifies that physically the body (cadaver) is not on the place, marked by the dog, but certainly it has been there, as long as the dog signals it.

As it can be verified from the 'Autos', in the inquiry, the dogs inspected the locales and objects with the results described below.

All the inspections were recorded in sound and image and were directed by our British colleagues that accompanied the dogs.

Among the great number of objects and locales inspected, the dogs marked the following places:
1. Apartment 5 A, Ocean Club resort, the place from where the child disappeared
1.1. Cadaver odour
* Master bedroom, in a corner, by the wardrobe
* Living room, behind the sofa, by the side window
1.2. Blood dog:
* Living room behind the sofa, close to the lateral window (on the same spot signalled by the cadaver dog);
2. Front garden to the apartment 5A
2.1. Cadaver dog
* Flower bed (the dog handler commented on the 'lightness' of the odor)
3. Apartments where the rest of the group were staying
* NOTHING was detected by the dogs
4. Actual residence of the McCann
* NOTHING was detected on the house by any of the dogs
5. At Aldeia da Luz
* NOTHING was detected by any of the dogs
6. Clothes and belongings of McCann family
6.1. Cadaver dog:
* 2 pieces of clothing of Kate McCann
* One piece of Madeleine McCann
* Madeleine's soft toy
* The odour was detected when the toy was still in the interior of the actual residence of the McCann
* It was confirmed in out of the house conditions
7. Vehicle used by the McCann family
7.1. Cadaver dog:
* Marked the key of the car
* Marked the interior of the booth
7.2. Blood dog
* Marked the car key
* Marked the interior of the booth
8. Car used by a family friend that was staying in the same resort, in some of the same days
* Nothing was detected by any of the dogs
9. All the cars used by the arguido Robert Murat and the people that are close to him
* Nothing was detected by any of the dogs.

(In a total of 10 cars the cadaver dog and the blood dog only marked the car of the McCann family, rented at May 27th)

The places and the pieces marked and signaled by the blood dog are being subjected to forensic exams, part of which are already concluded.

Not less relevant is the refinement of the results that point towards Madeleine's DNA as being present at the apartment 5A behind the sofa, a place marked by the cadaver and the blood dog. In every place marked by the blood dog it was confirmed there was DNA.
================================================================

It is an undisputed fact that there is a record in the files from the original investigation, during Amaral's time in charge, stating that the dog alerted to cadaver. Rightly or wrongly, if the book is a reflection of the investigation, then the alert to cadaver is a fact within itself but not necessarily the truth of the matter.

That's what I thought it was all about, that the book matched the files. Whether what the files and the book said was true was a different question to be decided by the criminal courts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 09:48:38 AM
@ Rob

Read Misty's post
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=9213.msg453083#msg453083

It's now ringing a bell that it was the TdeA report that was submitted to justify the assertion of what the dogs alerted to (not Grime documents).  That would make sense as it's quite clever: it avoids Lowe's email and Grime & Harrison's caveats.

Along the lines of what Misty pointed out, it is therefore an undisputed fact that there is a report in the investigation that makes that claim, and Amaral's defence was that he was only discussing the contents of the investigation up to when he left (in the book and documentary).

The McCanns could have complained that Amaral was going around claiming that the McCanns were Martians and that this was causing harm. Amaral's defence was that there is a report to that effect in the investigation, which is true. It doesn't matter if the reasoning was that e.g., someone had heard the McCannns had mentioned life on Mars, were therefore homesick and therefore Martians.

The judge's position was that it was true that there was a report to that effect (undisputable fact), and that therefore Amaral's claim was valid.

What I haven't worked out is whether the McCanns' lawyer could have counter-submitted Lowe's email or not (that at least had arrived prior to Amaral being booted). That would require wading through the Civil Procedural Code all over again, and I'm not sure I have the energy to do that, at least not today.

Anyway, the bottom line, IMO, is that it's not correct to state that a judge had ruled that the dogs had indisputably reacted to x or y, just that there was indeed a statement to that effect in the files.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 24, 2018, 09:49:02 AM
In my opinion it is an awesome thing to determine as sceptics do that the indications made by one animal at a supposed scene of crime set the marker as far as evidence is concerned.

Alfie found Zampo who prolifically assisted police in confirming many of Thomas Quirk's fantasy murders where it seems there was a suspension of disbelief in all concerned if the following quote is anything to go by ...
Snip: A breakthrough seemed to come when a bone splinter was found by a ‘cadaver dog’ called Zampo at one of Quick’s murder sites. Two scientific experts who looked at it were quite sure it came from a girl of about the right age; subjected to molecular analysis, however, it was found to be a piece of fibreboard. (In the meantime it was taken as the clinching piece of evidence in one of the cases.)
 https://www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2013/12/02/bernard-porter/the-thomas-quick-affair/

Of recent cases in Britain it is evident that more than one dog is used when searching for human remains; we've watched them being taken to possible scenes of crime in news reports and we know that more than one dog was used in the search for Susanne Pilley, Shannon Mathews and in the latter searches when cadaver dogs were deployed in the village of Luz by Operation Grange.

In cases where Eddie was deployed in Britain for example the search for Attracta Harron ... more than one dog was deployed.
In my opinion it would appear that it is standard procedure to have alerts confirmed by more than one search and recovery animal.

Just as it is in America where Martin Grime has been used as an expert witness in court cases ... but never with reliance on one animal ... there is always the back up of at least one other team consisting of dog and handler.

I think the unreliability of using one dog and one handler is something which escapes the understanding of sceptics despite the fact that despite not possessing cadaver dogs per se it was a factor well understood by the GNR handlers who employed it in Luz ... and in at least one instance the officer worked 'blind' preferring not to know the location of the McCann apartment so he did not (clever Hans) his dog.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 09:59:40 AM
It would be a matter of expense,  they don't come cheap.
They could do this on one or two occasions  and, see, what the, results, we're... They used, two dogs in the gilroy case, but both at the same time
If they  could show, two and independent handlers, with a, different dog... Alerted to the, same place
Without knowing  the other result... That would be, real evidence... And I don't see, a, good reason why they haven't done this
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 10:00:31 AM
That's what I thought it was all about, that the book matched the files. Whether what the files and the book said was true was a different question to be decided by the criminal courts.

More or less, yes, that's my understanding as well. There were a few things that I couldn't find in the files, but I can't remember offhand what they were, and they might well be OT anyway.

An issue, IMO, was that Amaral wasn't just using selected elements of the files (as opposed to the totality), but was then extrapolating that through his interpretation of the bits he chose to highlight.

An example is how he presented the DNA issue. How many casual readers would actually question whether he  understood the facts underlying his ruminations, or would simply assume that, as a seasoned member of the "we policemen, experts" brigade, his assessment must therefore be accurate?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 10:03:21 AM
@ Rob

Read Misty's post
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=9213.msg453083#msg453083

It's now ringing a bell that it was the TdeA report that was submitted to justify the assertion of what the dogs alerted to (not Grime documents).  That would make sense as it's quite clever: it avoids Lowe's email and Grime & Harrison's caveats.

Along the lines of what Misty pointed out, it is therefore an undisputed fact that there is a report in the investigation that makes that claim, and Amaral's defence was that he was only discussing the contents of the investigation up to when he left (in the book and documentary).

The McCanns could have complained that Amaral was going around claiming that the McCanns were Martians and that this was causing harm. Amaral's defence was that there is a report to that effect in the investigation, which is true. It doesn't matter if the reasoning was that e.g., someone had heard the McCannns had mentioned life on Mars, were therefore homesick and therefore Martians.

The judge's position was that it was true that there was a report to that effect (undisputable fact), and that therefore Amaral's claim was valid.

What I haven't worked out is whether the McCanns' lawyer could have counter-submitted Lowe's email or not (that at least had arrived prior to Amaral being booted). That would require wading through the Civil Procedural Code all over again, and I'm not sure I have the energy to do that, at least not today.

Anyway, the bottom line, IMO, is that it's not correct to state that a judge had ruled that the dogs had indisputably reacted to x or y, just that there was indeed a statement to that effect in the files.

Which is, exactly how I see it... And IMO another example of sceptics not understanding  the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:06:08 AM
They could do this on one or two occasions  and, see, what the, results, we're... They used, two dogs in the gilroy case, but both at the same time
If they  could show, two and independent handlers, with a, different dog... Alerted to the, same place
Without knowing  the other result... That would be, real evidence... And I don't see, a, good reason why they haven't done this
What if two dogs alerted at the same place you'd accept it as evidence - traitor!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 10:09:03 AM
What if two dogs alerted at the same place you'd accept it as evidence - traitor!

If two dogs, alerted at the, same place with a, different  handler... And each handler having no knowledge of the other, alert then that would have to be, strong evidence and highly suggestive... But could, still be as, a result of cross contamination and not necessarily  cadaver
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 24, 2018, 10:13:55 AM
In my opinion a lot of people simply misunderstand the evidence, not just those labelled 'sceptics'. In fact people have trouble identifying evidence, let alone understanding it.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 10:17:20 AM
In my opinion a lot of people simply misunderstand the evidence, not just those labelled 'sceptics'. In fact people have trouble identifying evidence, let alone understanding it.

imo its predominately the sceptics...you yourself has stated that it was Grimes opinion that cadaver odour triggered the alert...which is not what he stated...so thers an example of you not understanding the evidence...you also claimed the dogs were scientifically tested...again untrue
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 10:23:32 AM
If two dogs, alerted at the, same place with a, different  handler... And each handler having no knowledge of the other, alert then that would have to be, strong evidence and highly suggestive... But could, still be as, a result of cross contamination and not necessarily  cadaver

I'm not sure I agree with that, Davel.

IMO, it would still just be intelligence, albeit of a potentially higher value, depending on all the variables.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:26:16 AM
imo its predominately the sceptics...you yourself has stated that it was Grimes opinion that cadaver odour triggered the alert...which is not what he stated...so thers an example of you not understanding the evidence...you also claimed the dogs were scientifically tested...again untrue
Well it was something like that.  He said "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination."
He didn't say he was 100% certain that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. Just that it was possible.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 10:30:17 AM
Well it was something like that.  He said "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination."
He didn't say he was 100% certain that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. Just that it was possible.
It was not what he said... And if anyone thinks it is... They do not understand English never mind the evidence....
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:31:23 AM
I'm not sure I agree with that, Davel.

IMO, it would still just be intelligence, albeit of a potentially higher value, depending on all the variables.
They would still have to have some corroborating evidence to say who's body was the cause of the cadaver odour. IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:33:27 AM
It was not what he said... And if anyone thinks it is... They do not understand English never mind the evidence....
That was a copy and paste from the report.  "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. No evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from this alert unless it can be confirmed with corroborating evidence. "  http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 10:34:14 AM
Well it was something like that.  He said "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination."
He didn't say he was 100% certain that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. Just that it was possible.

Some people have a tendency to omit qualifiers as 'unnecessary', but thereby conveniently change the sense, or - on the contrary - sprinkle in a few to elicit an emotional reaction.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 24, 2018, 10:36:17 AM
That was a copy and paste from the report.  "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. No evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from this alert unless it can be confirmed with corroborating evidence. "  http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

It can be argued with the failure to find Madeleine either dead or alive then that corroborating evidence won't be confirmed to be either way.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 24, 2018, 10:37:26 AM
That was a copy and paste from the report.  "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. No evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from this alert unless it can be confirmed with corroborating evidence. "  http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Rob can you really not see the diference
Gun it said it was Grimes opinion that the, alerts we're triggered by cadaver odour he DIDNT.. He said it was possible... If posters cannot see the massive difference  between  the two.. It's no wonder their conclusions are, wring
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:38:48 AM
It can be argued with the failure to find Madeleine either dead or alive then that corroborating evidence won't be confirmed to be either way.
Well to be honest I have a feeling the evidence the PJ were hoping for was a confession.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 24, 2018, 10:40:29 AM
Well to be honest I have a feeling the evidence the PJ were hoping for was a confession.

I think that OG might now be of a similar minds
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:46:08 AM
I think that OG might now be of a similar minds
Do they have means of persuasion?  I can't see any pressure coming on anyone to confess at the moment. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 24, 2018, 10:49:06 AM
Do they have means of persuasion?  I can't see any pressure coming on anyone to confess at the moment.

All forces have ways and means.
Who know what those four part-timers abandoned in a broom cupboard somewhere in the bowels of New Scotland Yards are up to.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 10:49:11 AM
It can be argued with the failure to find Madeleine either dead or alive then that corroborating evidence won't be confirmed to be either way.

What "corroborating evidence"?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 24, 2018, 10:50:21 AM
Do they have means of persuasion?  I can't see any pressure coming on anyone to confess at the moment.

The only pressure will be a conscience.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 24, 2018, 10:52:13 AM
What "corroborating evidence"?

Ask Grime he was the one asking for it.

That was a copy and paste from the report.  "It is my view that it is possible that the EVRD is alerting to cadaver scent contamination. No evidential or intelligence reliability can be made from this alert unless it can be confirmed with corroborating evidence. "  http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 10:59:00 AM
The only pressure will be a conscience.

Quite possibly, or simply stumbling on something that might otherwise have been ignored, thrown in a bin without a reminder; or someone, e.g., Smithman, or a friend or family member, suddenly realising that Smithman might have been the person in question (whether as an innocent dad, brother, uncle, or as someone whose behaviour now appears odd in retrospect due to other situations)...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 10:59:53 AM
What "corroborating evidence"?
Short of a confession. even if they found Madeleine's body somewhere there is no linkage between the apartment and where it could be found.
If they found a blue bag with bones inside of it, then that could be significant if it matched the one in the photo.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 24, 2018, 11:03:21 AM
Short of a confession. even if they found Madeleine's body somewhere there is no linkage between the apartment and where it could be found.
If they found a blue bag with bones inside of it, then that could be significant if it matched the one in the photo.

Or contained identifying traces of the perpetrator.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 11:05:36 AM
Short of a confession. even if they found Madeleine's body somewhere there is no linkage between the apartment and where it could be found.
If they found a blue bag with bones inside of it, then that could be significant if it matched the one in the photo.

- Not necessarily, but possibly. Do you remember the Ozzy case of the girl in a suitcase?

- What "blue" bag in "the" photo?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 11:46:37 AM
- Not necessarily, but possibly. Do you remember the Ozzy case of the girl in a suitcase?

- What "blue" bag in "the" photo?
The one in the wardrobe.  I think the cadaver was in the apartment all the time. That is why there were questions about this directed at Kate.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/48_Questions_07_09_07.htm
02 --- If she looked inside the cupboard of the couple's bedroom, she said No in response.
03 --- Shown two photographs of the cupboard of her bedroom, and asked for a description of the contents, she did not respond.
--- The viewing ended and after signs of cadaver odour in her bedroom next to the cupboard and behind the sofa against the window of the living room, she said that she can not explain anything more than that already mentioned.

Interesting that she admitted to not looking in the wardrobe!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 24, 2018, 11:51:57 AM
The one in the wardrobe.  I think the cadaver was in the apartment all the time. That is why there were questions about this directed at Kate.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/48_Questions_07_09_07.htm
02 --- If she looked inside the cupboard of the couple's bedroom, she said No in response.
03 --- Shown two photographs of the cupboard of her bedroom, and asked for a description of the contents, she did not respond.
--- The viewing ended and after signs of cadaver odour in her bedroom next to the cupboard and behind the sofa against the window of the living room, she said that she can not explain anything more than that already mentioned.

    Welcome to the dark side of the fence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 12:00:54 PM
The one in the wardrobe.  I think the cadaver was in the apartment all the time. That is why there were questions about this directed at Kate.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/48_Questions_07_09_07.htm
02 --- If she looked inside the cupboard of the couple's bedroom, she said No in response.
03 --- Shown two photographs of the cupboard of her bedroom, and asked for a description of the contents, she did not respond.
--- The viewing ended and after signs of cadaver odour in her bedroom next to the cupboard and behind the sofa against the window of the living room, she said that she can not explain anything more than that already mentioned.

Interesting that she admitted to not looking in the wardrobe!

That's line 11, which says "... disse não responder."

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 24, 2018, 02:37:11 PM
The one in the wardrobe.  I think the cadaver was in the apartment all the time. That is why there were questions about this directed at Kate.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/48_Questions_07_09_07.htm
02 --- If she looked inside the cupboard of the couple's bedroom, she said No in response.
03 --- Shown two photographs of the cupboard of her bedroom, and asked for a description of the contents, she did not respond.
--- The viewing ended and after signs of cadaver odour in her bedroom next to the cupboard and behind the sofa against the window of the living room, she said that she can not explain anything more than that already mentioned.

Interesting that she admitted to not looking in the wardrobe!



Yes interesting indeed. Once Kate KNEW instantly that her daughter was abducted she searched the apartment- not looking in the wardrope?- she left the other children and ran to tell the others.
 of course we are told by the supporters  that it was not at the moment Kate knew her daughter had been abducted but when she was told about JT's sighting.. all very confusing ...key stone cops drama.

ok- to summarise Kate did not search the apartment. Yes she did, well....
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 03:00:56 PM


Yes interesting indeed. Once Kate KNEW instantly that her daughter was abducted she searched the apartment- not looking in the wardrope?- she left the other children and ran to tell the others.
 of course we are told by the supporters  that it was not at the moment Kate knew her daughter had been abducted but when she was told about JT's sighting.. all very confusing ...key stone cops drama.

ok- to summarise Kate did not search the apartment. Yes she did, well....

Except if you check the original, she didn't say that she hadn't checked...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 24, 2018, 03:10:06 PM
Except if you check the original, she didn't say that she hadn't checked...

Yes. Smoke and mirrors.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 04:44:21 PM
That's line 11, which says "... disse não responder."
Are you suggesting it is a translation error?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 04:46:21 PM
Except if you check the original, she didn't say that she hadn't checked...
Well what did she say in the original?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 04:48:18 PM
Well what did she say in the original?
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=9213.msg453209#msg453209
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 24, 2018, 04:50:06 PM
That's line 11, which says "... disse não responder."
Google Translate converts that to "said not responding"   "Not" rather than "No". Same difference.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 24, 2018, 05:32:52 PM
Google Translate converts that to "said not responding"   "Not" rather than "No". Same difference.

I would take Google Translate with a pinch of salt were I you.
OK for a rough pass but NBG for much else.

Try going into a German drugstore in Koln, yes that one at any cross roads opposite the Dr Mullers Sex Shop, to buy a razor using Google translate.

May I have a safety razor please?
translates to:
Darf ich bitte einen Rasierapparat haben
translates back to:
May I have a razor, please
Razor translates to ein rasierer
Safety razor to Sicherheitsrasierer
Rasierapparat translates to shaver apparatus.
But in the drug store:
Darf ich bitte einen Gillette [oder ein stelbar] haben, will deliver what you want.
Darf ich bitte einen Rasierapparat haben will probably be greeted by a blank stare, then laughter possibly followed by the waving of a cut throat.
Like I said use Google translate at your peril.
[Based on personal experience of asking for "einen rasierer" in Koln ca 1974. The young lady the store manager and I finished up like this when all  was explained..... (&^& ]


Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 24, 2018, 06:00:24 PM
I would take Google Translate with a pinch of salt were I you.
OK for a rough pass but NBG for much else.

Try going into a German drugstore in Koln, yes that one at any cross roads opposite the Dr Mullers Sex Shop, to buy a razor using Google translate.

May I have a safety razor please?
translates to:
Darf ich bitte einen Rasierapparat haben
translates back to:
May I have a razor, please
Razor translates to ein rasierer
Safety razor to Sicherheitsrasierer
Rasierapparat translates to shaver apparatus.
But in the drug store:
Darf ich bitte einen Gillette [oder ein stelbar] haben, will deliver what you want.
Darf ich bitte einen Rasierapparat haben will probably be greeted by a blank stare, then laughter possibly followed by the waving of a cut throat.
Like I said use Google translate at your peril.
[Based on personal experience of asking for "einen rasierer" in Koln ca 1974. The young lady the store manager and I finished up like this when all  was explained..... (&^& ]

https://www.lonelyplanet.com/blog/2011/11/24/lost-in-translation-our-top-20-photos/
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 24, 2018, 10:27:28 PM
I would take Google Translate with a pinch of salt were I you.
OK for a rough pass but NBG for much else.

Try going into a German drugstore in Koln, yes that one at any cross roads opposite the Dr Mullers Sex Shop, to buy a razor using Google translate.

May I have a safety razor please?
translates to:
Darf ich bitte einen Rasierapparat haben
translates back to:
May I have a razor, please
Razor translates to ein rasierer
Safety razor to Sicherheitsrasierer
Rasierapparat translates to shaver apparatus.
But in the drug store:
Darf ich bitte einen Gillette [oder ein stelbar] haben, will deliver what you want.
Darf ich bitte einen Rasierapparat haben will probably be greeted by a blank stare, then laughter possibly followed by the waving of a cut throat.
Like I said use Google translate at your peril.
[Based on personal experience of asking for "einen rasierer" in Koln ca 1974. The young lady the store manager and I finished up like this when all  was explained..... (&^& ]

I wasn't far away; 150k in Dülmen near Münster. Eating bratwurst and going to Schützenfests.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 24, 2018, 11:19:24 PM
Back on topic, please.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 25, 2018, 01:14:15 PM
The one in the wardrobe.  I think the cadaver was in the apartment all the time. That is why there were questions about this directed at Kate.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/48_Questions_07_09_07.htm
02 --- If she looked inside the cupboard of the couple's bedroom, she said No in response.
03 --- Shown two photographs of the cupboard of her bedroom, and asked for a description of the contents, she did not respond.
--- The viewing ended and after signs of cadaver odour in her bedroom next to the cupboard and behind the sofa against the window of the living room, she said that she can not explain anything more than that already mentioned.

Interesting that she admitted to not looking in the wardrobe!

and

    Welcome to the dark side of the fence.

IMO Rob has been 'on the dark side of the fence' for quite a long time, maybe since the time he joined the forum .... altho he hides it well.   

I have noticed that straight from the start, he is reluctant to accept that an abduction may have taken place; in fact I don't think that he has ever accepted the possibility ... except when trying to work out if the Tapas group are involved.   Please correct me if I am mistaken.


Rob is a thoroughly nice person to talk to and does look at most angles, which is good.    However, are you following a set agenda, Rob ? 

This is the first time that he has come straight out with the fact that he thinks that Madeleine died in the apartment and that the cadaver was in the apartment all the time.

This makes him a sceptic IMO



Bet this post doesn't last long  8(>((
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 25, 2018, 01:21:41 PM
and

IMO Rob has been 'on the dark side of the fence' for quite a long time, maybe since the time he joined the forum .... altho he hides it well.   

I have noticed that straight from the start, he is reluctant to accept that an abduction may have taken place; in fact I don't think that he has ever accepted the possibility ... except when trying to work out if the Tapas group are involved.   Please correct me if I am mistaken.


Rob is a thoroughly nice person to talk to and does look at most angles, which is good.    However, are you following a set agenda, Rob ? 

This is the first time that he has come straight out with the fact that he thinks that Madeleine died in the apartment and that the cadaver was in the apartment all the time.

This makes him a sceptic IMO



Bet this post doesn't last long  8(>((

To your last question, why?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 25, 2018, 01:38:29 PM
I haven't discarded the possibility that she may have died in the apartment, just as I haven't eliminated the possibility that she may have been alive when she disappeared from it.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 25, 2018, 01:42:50 PM
I haven't discarded the possibility that she may have died in the apartment, just as I haven't eliminated the possibility that she may have been alive when she disappeared from it.

A sensible position to take - IMO- exactly where OG seem to be.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 02:15:37 PM
and

IMO Rob has been 'on the dark side of the fence' for quite a long time, maybe since the time he joined the forum .... altho he hides it well.   

I have noticed that straight from the start, he is reluctant to accept that an abduction may have taken place; in fact I don't think that he has ever accepted the possibility ... except when trying to work out if the Tapas group are involved.   Please correct me if I am mistaken.


Rob is a thoroughly nice person to talk to and does look at most angles, which is good.    However, are you following a set agenda, Rob ? 

This is the first time that he has come straight out with the fact that he thinks that Madeleine died in the apartment and that the cadaver was in the apartment all the time.

This makes him a sceptic IMO



Bet this post doesn't last long  8(>((
Not so Sadie.  I believe in rather an unique situation of there being an abduction and a cadaver.
That is why I have found Blonk's posts so interesting as it times Smithman perfectly for an abduction at 21H42.
But a cadaver can still be in the suitcase.   The PJ must have had the same problem how can they ask Kate about the wardrobe and at the same time consider an abduction even if it was a getting rid of the body type abduction.

When I started here in July 2016 I had partially developed a theory and true I have been looking to see if I can disprove my theory so to answer your last question "However, are you following a set agenda, Rob ?"  Yes I have been following an agenda - that is to to find fault with my basic theory, but I'm sorry to say I have not faulted it yet with evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 25, 2018, 03:02:48 PM
Not so Sadie.  I believe in rather an unique situation of there being an abduction and a cadaver.
That is why I have found Blonk's posts so interesting as it times Smithman perfectly for an abduction at 21H42.
But a cadaver can still be in the suitcase.   The PJ must have had the same problem how can they ask Kate about the wardrobe and at the same time consider an abduction even if it was a getting rid of the body type abduction.

When I started here in July 2016 I had partially developed a theory and true I have been looking to see if I can disprove my theory so to answer your last question "However, are you following a set agenda, Rob ?"  Yes I have been following an agenda - that is to to find fault with my basic theory, but I'm sorry to say I have not faulted it yet with evidence.

Rob, are you suggesting that her body was in whatever that dark blob (sack / case, whatever) in the wardrobe despite both the GNR searches and, more importantly, the forensic PJ unit having beenn there that night?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 03:10:52 PM
Rob, are you suggesting that her body was in whatever that dark blob (sack / case, whatever) in the wardrobe despite both the GNR searches and, more importantly, the forensic PJ unit having beenn there that night?
I don't use the word "her body"  but yes there is a possibility there is a cadaver in that suitcase type object.

Yes unless someone admits to checking the content of it we don't know.  Next day same wardrobe shelf appears empty.  No one has admitted removing the suitcase type object.
But I now really think Smithman removed Madeleine at 21H42 or thereabouts so the cadaver is not Madeleine, for Smithman is not seen or behaves like he is carrying a deceased victim.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 25, 2018, 06:46:44 PM
I don't use the word "her body"  but yes there is a possibility there is a cadaver in that suitcase type object.

Yes unless someone admits to checking the content of it we don't know.  Next day same wardrobe shelf appears empty.  No one has admitted removing the suitcase type object.
But I now really think Smithman removed Madeleine at 21H42 or thereabouts so the cadaver is not Madeleine, for Smithman is not seen or behaves like he is carrying a deceased victim.

We all know that the forensic lady only had one glove... but are you seriously suggesting that they could have missed a body in a bag??
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 25, 2018, 07:15:52 PM
We all know that the forensic lady only had one glove... but are you seriously suggesting that they could have missed a body in a bag??

If they were as incompetent as some on here love to claim, then perhaps they did.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 25, 2018, 07:22:28 PM
I don't use the word "her body"  but yes there is a possibility there is a cadaver in that suitcase type object. 📸

Yes unless someone admits to checking the content of it we don't know.  Next day same wardrobe shelf appears empty.  No one has admitted removing the suitcase type object.
But I now really think Smithman removed Madeleine at 21H42 or thereabouts so the cadaver is not Madeleine, for Smithman is not seen or behaves like he is carrying a deceased victim.

I would say that's, probably the most ridiculous, ideas, we've, had, on the, forum including those, who were just joking
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 09:41:12 PM
We all know that the forensic lady only had one glove... but are you seriously suggesting that they could have missed a body in a bag??
Do you see Eddie putting his nose up near the shelf where the bag had been just prior to alerting in the bedroom?
Do you see the bag there on the night photo?
Do you see the wardrobe door moved and no sign of the bag in the day photo? 
Who moved the door between photo 1 and Photo 2?

What was in the bag?  Was there a dead piglet in it? (Remember Eddie can't distinguish between pig and human flesh.)   It had been left over night possibly so plenty of time for cadaver odour to develop?

I'm not saying the forensic lady missed the body in the bag next day, no because it was there one minute and gone the next, but when did that disappearance occur?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 25, 2018, 09:43:43 PM
Do you see Eddie putting his nose up near the shelf where the bag had been just prior to alerting in the bedroom?
Do you see the bag there on the night photo?
Do you see the wardrobe door moved and no sign of the bag in the day photo? 
Who moved the door between photo 1 and Photo 2?

What was in the bag?  Was there a dead piglet in it? (Remember Eddie can't distinguish between pig and human flesh.)   It had been left over night possibly so plenty of time for cadaver odour to develop?

I'm not saying the forensic lady missed the body in the bag next day, no because it was there one minute and gone the next, but when did that disappearance occur?

So Eddiebput his nose up but did not alert to a whole cadaver in a bag
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 09:47:21 PM
If they were as incompetent as some on here love to claim, then perhaps they did.
It is not incompetence.  I would think it is a matter of being several steps behind those that are committing the crime.

If it was an uncomplicated abduction (stranger abduction) the bag would not be moved between photo 1 and Photo 2.
IMO that has to be done by someone who had access to the apartment after photo 1 was taken.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 09:49:44 PM
So Eddiebput his nose up but did not alert to a whole cadaver in a bag
The dogs arrived months after the event.  The bag is long gone by August.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 10:30:36 PM
I would say that's, probably the most ridiculous, ideas, we've, had, on the, forum including those, who were just joking
You need to look at the list of events I outline again and refute it logically and not just emotionally by using emotive words like "that's, probably the most ridiculous, ideas, we've, had, on the, forum including those, who were just joking", that is not an argument that carries any weight.

The list:
"Do you see Eddie putting his nose up near the shelf where the bag had been just prior to alerting in the bedroom?
Do you see the bag there on the night photo?
Do you see the wardrobe door moved and no sign of the bag in the day photo? 
Who moved the door between photo 1 and Photo 2?

What was in the bag?  Was there a dead piglet in it? (Remember Eddie can't distinguish between pig and human flesh.)   It had been left over night possibly so plenty of time for cadaver odour to develop?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 25, 2018, 11:21:29 PM
So Madeleine was supposed to be in a bag in the cupboard, which the forensic people never noticed, hours after some believe that Gerry was supposed to have been carrying her down towards the beach?

How does that work?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 25, 2018, 11:44:17 PM
So Madeleine was supposed to be in a bag in the cupboard, which the forensic people never noticed, hours after some believe that Gerry was supposed to have been carrying her down towards the beach?

How does that work?
No.  That is what GA thought at times too (I'd say this from looking at the arguido questions), but it becomes too complicated because then the body was removed from the apartment under his watch.  No one can figure out that dilemma.  Dilemma: How can she be carried away by Smithman and be in the suitcase at the same time?

IMO that suggests it can't be Madeleine in the suitcase.  I'm more in favour of the replacement child theory, or some variant of that rare occurrence.
Whoever knew the body was in the suitcase just needs to remove it at some time before the PJ return the next morning.  Were there GNR guarding the apartment all night?  Was it possible to enter the apartment after the PJ call it a night?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 26, 2018, 08:26:57 AM
No.  That is what GA thought at times too (I'd say this from looking at the arguido questions), but it becomes too complicated because then the body was removed from the apartment under his watch.  No one can figure out that dilemma.  Dilemma: How can she be carried away by Smithman and be in the suitcase at the same time?

IMO that suggests it can't be Madeleine in the suitcase.  I'm more in favour of the replacement child theory, or some variant of that rare occurrence.
Whoever knew the body was in the suitcase just needs to remove it at some time before the PJ return the next morning.  Were there GNR guarding the apartment all night?  Was it possible to enter the apartment after the PJ call it a night?

Alternatively it could mean that it wasn't Madeleine being carried by Smithman
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 26, 2018, 08:28:34 AM
Alternatively it could mean that it wasn't Madeleine being carried by Smithman
True, but then I think Smithman would have come forward by now IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 26, 2018, 09:04:41 AM
True, but then I think Smithman would have come forward by now IMO.

Tannerman didn't come forward but was traced
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 26, 2018, 09:24:55 AM
Tannerman didn't come forward but was traced
I'm not sure about that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 26, 2018, 09:48:19 AM
I'm not sure about that?

I think he, was traced through the creche records
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Admin on March 26, 2018, 11:19:25 AM
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Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 26, 2018, 09:20:40 PM
I haven't discarded the possibility that she may have died in the apartment, just as I haven't eliminated the possibility that she may have been alive when she disappeared from it.

This is a very good post Carana.  It takes me to thinking why the parents feel offended at the thought their daughter may have died in the apartment - and dismiss the dogs scent. It just makes no sense at all.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 26, 2018, 10:59:54 PM
Rob, are you suggesting that her body was in whatever that dark blob (sack / case, whatever) in the wardrobe despite both the GNR searches and, more importantly, the forensic PJ unit having beenn there that night?
Please can someone clear up when the PJ forensic team turned up?  When do you think it happened Carana?  I know photos were taken of the scene on the night of the 3rd/4th.  I have this impression finger printing was delayed till the next day i.e on the 4th day time. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 26, 2018, 11:08:44 PM
This is a very good post Carana.  It takes me to thinking why the parents feel offended at the thought their daughter may have died in the apartment - and dismiss the dogs scent. It just makes no sense at all.
Logic would suggest if she died in the apartment she would be found in the apartment,  So who found her dead in your theory. Was it earlier or Gerry Matt or Kate?
Where was she put and how long had she been dead to allow for a trail of cadaver odour around the apartment?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 26, 2018, 11:19:07 PM
This is a very good post Carana.  It takes me to thinking why the parents feel offended at the thought their daughter may have died in the apartment - and dismiss the dogs scent. It just makes no sense at all.
I think if I was a parent of a missing child I would be offended by the thought that the child may have been murdered in the place where I last saw her.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 26, 2018, 11:42:05 PM
I think if I was a parent of a missing child I would be offended by the thought that the child may have been murdered in the place where I last saw her.

Worried yes, offended no.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 27, 2018, 12:19:12 AM
Worried yes, offended no.
Similar thing happened to me that I haven't yet forgotten, my son went to the doctors with a sore hip, the doctor made inquiries as to whether I had abused my son.  I was offended.  Tests were run and he has the same genetic condition I have - reactive arthritis.  I had not kicked him.
So yes it is worrying and offending and very hard to forget. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 27, 2018, 08:17:10 AM
Worried yes, offended no.
even if the implication was that you must have known?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2018, 08:27:03 AM
even if the implication was that you must have known?

I would know if I were innocent or not. Innocence is a great protection.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 27, 2018, 08:28:36 AM
I would know if I were innocent or not. Innocence is a great protection.
If it was there would be no miscarriages of justice
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2018, 08:46:57 AM
If it was there would be no miscarriages of justice

So you think in those miscarriages they should have lied or not cooperated?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 27, 2018, 08:55:57 AM
So you think in those miscarriages they should have lied or not cooperated?
I think they should have not been convicted...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2018, 09:30:30 AM
I think they should have not been convicted...

You are implying that the truth is not a good approach just because there are miscarriages of justice, though you haven’t shown that in those miscarriages of justice the convicted told the truth.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 27, 2018, 09:33:25 AM
You are implying that the truth is not a good approach just because there are miscarriages of justice, though you haven’t shown that in those miscarriages of justice the convicted told the truth.

I'm not implying that, at all... I'm saying as, a fact innocence is not a cast iron protection against a, miscarriage of justice...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2018, 09:36:45 AM
I'm not implying that, at all... I'm saying as, a fact innocence is not a cast iron protection against a, miscarriage of justice...

Given the small number of miscarriages of justice it has to be the best approach.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 09:43:21 AM
This is a very good post Carana.  It takes me to thinking why the parents feel offended at the thought their daughter may have died in the apartment - and dismiss the dogs scent. It just makes no sense at all.

Was it offensive that she may have died in the flat (however awful that idea must be), or that they were suspected of being involved?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 27, 2018, 09:50:44 AM
Given the small number of miscarriages of justice it has to be the best approach.

It certainly is better to be innocent.... Answering questions  in a, hostile environment  may not be
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 10:08:02 AM
A few possibilities:

1. She did die in that flat
1.a and Eddie correctly alerted to her cadaver odour.
1.b  She did die in the flat, and Eddie coincidentally alerted to some irrelevant human decomposition scent.

2. She left the flat alive, and Eddie's alerts were to some irrelevant human decomposition scent

The problem I have is that a) no evidence was found, b) quite apart from the forensics people, etc., the flat had been occupied by 4 lots of people, the last lot leaving just one week prior to the dog inspection, and AFAIK there aren't any witness statements from any of them in the PJ files, c) nowhere is it stated clearly exactly what "items he is trained to find" (cf the car video) actually includes or excludes.

Can it be excluded that he sniffed the scent of a bloody sock or plaster left lying around for a while by one of the post-disappearance occupants prior to removal? The PJ did organise interviews from pre-disappearance occupants, but apparently none of the post- ones? Wouldn't it have been logical to do so?

If scent tends to cling to porous materials... The flat was used for holiday rentals. Did anyone think to turn over the mattress?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 27, 2018, 10:17:33 AM
A few possibilities:

1. She did die in that flat
1.a and Eddie correctly alerted to her cadaver odour.
1.b  She did die in the flat, and Eddie coincidentally alerted to some irrelevant human decomposition scent.

2. She left the flat alive, and Eddie's alerts were to some irrelevant human decomposition scent

The problem I have is that a) no evidence was found, b) quite apart from the forensics people, etc., the flat had been occupied by 4 lots of people, the last lot leaving just one week prior to the dog inspection, and AFAIK there aren't any witness statements from any of them in the PJ files, c) nowhere is it stated clearly exactly what "items he is trained to find" (cf the car video) actually includes or excludes.

Can it be excluded that he sniffed the scent of a bloody sock or plaster left lying around for a while by one of the post-disappearance occupants prior to removal? The PJ did organise interviews from pre-disappearance occupants, but apparently none of the post- ones? Wouldn't it have been logical to do so?

If scent tends to cling to porous materials... The flat was used for holiday rentals. Did anyone think to turn over the mattress?

Are you suggesting that a bloody sock or plaster which was once in 5a would cause Eddie to alert ? That there was only ever someone with a plaster in 5a and no other apartment screened by Eddie ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 10:27:31 AM
Are you suggesting that a bloody sock or plaster which was once in 5a would cause Eddie to alert ? That there was only ever someone with a plaster in 5a and no other apartment screened by Eddie ?

If the post-disappearance occupants had been interviewed, we might have the answer to that.

If the other flats had been regularly occupied, they would presumably be cleaned and aired on a regular basis. 5A was presumably shut up for the week prior.

It may not have been a sock or a plaster, did anyone check the underside of the mattress?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 27, 2018, 10:41:57 AM
If the post-disappearance occupants had been interviewed, we might have the answer to that.

If the other flats had been regularly occupied, they would presumably be cleaned and aired on a regular basis. 5A was presumably shut up for the week prior.

It may not have been a sock or a plaster, did anyone check the underside of the mattress?

Apart from a very short period in time 5a was let, and cleaned, just like the other apartments and certainly before the dogs were brought in.

Doesn’t it stretch credibility for you that the only apartment in which Eddie alerted is the only apartment where someone ever left traces of blood and, coincidently, is the very apartment where a child has gone missing?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 27, 2018, 11:29:17 AM
Apart from a very short period in time 5a was let, and cleaned, just like the other apartments and certainly before the dogs were brought in.

Doesn’t it stretch credibility for you that the only apartment in which Eddie alerted is the only apartment where someone ever left traces of blood and, coincidently, is the very apartment where a child has gone missing?

I've never understood why people take the trouble to try to think of innocent reasons for Eddie's alerts. Who are they trying to convince?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 11:30:08 AM
Apart from a very short period in time 5a was let, and cleaned, just like the other apartments and certainly before the dogs were brought in.

Doesn’t it stretch credibility for you that the only apartment in which Eddie alerted is the only apartment where someone ever left traces of blood and, coincidently, is the very apartment where a child has gone missing?

I didn't say never, for a start.

It's unlikely that we'll ever know how much - if any - possibly unconscious stress / excitement Eddie could have picked up on (5a was his first inspection upon arrival).

Dog alerts by salaried police dog handlers have proven irrelevant at times, but they go back and continue to get paid their salary.

Grime was embarking on a solo career and I find it highly improbable that he wasn't aware of where she'd disappeared from, nor which car the McCanns had hired.

If the dogs hadn't alerted to anything, how would that have enhanced his career? He did use footage from the McCannn-related inspections to showcase his dogs for the Jersey contract.

I'm not saying that it was deliberate, but simply the dog could have picked up on unconscious signals. Is there any way of excluding that possibility?

On the other hand, the same could be said of Murat's place... but were the PJ as hot on that lead by that stage or not?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 11:32:06 AM
I've never understood why people take the trouble to try to think of innocent reasons for Eddie's alerts. Who are they trying to convince?

Don't most modern police investigations attempt to exclude innocent explanations? Lessons may have been learned since the "good ol' days" of the '70s.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 11:40:43 AM
Given the small number of miscarriages of justice it has to be the best approach.

In which countries?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 27, 2018, 11:43:03 AM
Apart from a very short period in time 5a was let, and cleaned, just like the other apartments and certainly before the dogs were brought in.

Doesn’t it stretch credibility for you that the only apartment in which Eddie alerted is the only apartment where someone ever left traces of blood and, coincidently, is the very apartment where a child has gone missing?

It has certainly bolstered credulity in some while others ponder why it is that there is no evidence that anyone anywhere at anytime in Luz lost as much as a drop of blood.  In my opinion that stretches credibility just a tad.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2018, 12:12:19 PM
It certainly is better to be innocent.... Answering questions  in a, hostile environment  may not be

So how many miscarriages have been caused because the defendant truthfully answered questions?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2018, 12:15:17 PM
I've never understood why people take the trouble to try to think of innocent reasons for Eddie's alerts. Who are they trying to convince?

I don’t have a problem with innocent reasons for the alerts and I would be fairly confident that the investigators would have identified those likely contaminants if they existed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 27, 2018, 12:42:54 PM
I don’t have a problem with innocent reasons for the alerts and I would be fairly confident that the investigators would have identified those likely contaminants if they existed.

If so, where is the evidence in the files?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 27, 2018, 01:44:37 PM
I didn't say never, for a start.

It's unlikely that we'll ever know how much - if any - possibly unconscious stress / excitement Eddie could have picked up on (5a was his first inspection upon arrival).

Dog alerts by salaried police dog handlers have proven irrelevant at times, but they go back and continue to get paid their salary.

Grime was embarking on a solo career and I find it highly improbable that he wasn't aware of where she'd disappeared from, nor which car the McCanns had hired.

If the dogs hadn't alerted to anything, how would that have enhanced his career? He did use footage from the McCannn-related inspections to showcase his dogs for the Jersey contract.

I'm not saying that it was deliberate, but simply the dog could have picked up on unconscious signals. Is there any way of excluding that possibility?

On the other hand, the same could be said of Murat's place... but were the PJ as hot on that lead by that stage or not?


I agree with your lost comment. By the time of the dog searches the McCanns had expensive legal support so wouldn't it have been simpler, if the dogs were being lead in a certain direction, for that direction to be Murat rather than the McCanns ? Why do you believe it had to be the McCanns you were targeted ?

Edit - moderation comment removed
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 27, 2018, 10:56:50 PM
I've never understood why people take the trouble to try to think of innocent reasons for Eddie's alerts. Who are they trying to convince?
accept nothing.  Believe no one (including dogs).  confirm everything.  A simple rule of thumb which doesn't just apply to one side of the argument.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 06:35:21 AM
accept nothing.  Believe no one (including dogs).  confirm everything.  A simple rule of thumb which doesn't just apply to one side of the argument.

A simple rule used by police officers, not an excuse for inventing scenarios without evidence.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 28, 2018, 08:07:54 AM
A simple rule used by police officers, not an excuse for inventing scenarios without evidence.
including inventing the scenario that the child died in the apartment and her body carried through PdL, or that the body was kept frozen and transported in the hire car 23 days later.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 09:15:10 AM
including inventing the scenario that the child died in the apartment and her body carried through PdL, or that the body was kept frozen and transported in the hire car 23 days later.

Those were attempts to explain evidence. Where is the evidence of bloody socks and plasters? There is none, they are figments of someone's imagination.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 09:18:09 AM
Those were attempts to explain evidence. Where is the evidence of bloody socks and plasters? There is none, they are figments of someone's imagination.

As is the claim you made are Grimes statement... Grime said the alerts, we're suggestive and possible.... He did not confirm any cadaver alerts

You can't really pontificate on evidence when you have misunderstood  Grimes evidence yourself
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 10:25:04 AM
As is the claim you made are Grimes statement... Grime said the alerts, we're suggestive and possible.... He did not confirm any cadaver alerts

You can't really pontificate on evidence when you have misunderstood  Grimes evidence yourself

Just because you have interpreted Grime's statement differently than me doesn't make your interpretation correct, so please stop pretending it is.

Interpreting existing evidence is one thing. Inventing evidence which doesn't exist is quite a different thing.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 10:31:45 AM
Just because you have interpreted Grime's statement differently than me doesn't make your interpretation correct, so please stop pretending it is.

Interpreting existing evidence is one thing. Inventing evidence which doesn't exist is quite a different thing.

I'm not pretending anything... I haven't interpreted Grimes, statement I've, stated it factually

He said the alerts were suggestive or possibly to cadaver odour.... He did not say in his opinion the, alerts we're triggered by cadaver odour... That is what you said and you are totally incorrect... You show you do not understand the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 28, 2018, 10:42:45 AM
I'm not pretending anything... I haven't interpreted Grimes, statement I've, stated it factually

He said the alerts were suggestive or possibly to cadaver odour.... He did not say in his opinion the, alerts we're triggered by cadaver odour... That is what you said and you are totally incorrect... You show you do not understand the evidence

All we know is what was in his statement, on the balance of probabilities Grime saying it was suggestive of cadaver odour is more likely to mean he thought it was rather than he thought it wasn’t.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 10:56:53 AM
All we know is what was in his statement, on the balance of probabilities Grime saying it was suggestive of cadaver odour is more likely to mean he thought it was rather than he thought it wasn’t.

That is not true... Grime never mentioned the balance of probabilities.. And he never said it was more likely than not... Which shows you don't understand  the evidence... You are now telling us as a fact what Grime thought... Best if we go by what he said not what some think he thought
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 11:16:57 AM
I'm not pretending anything... I haven't interpreted Grimes, statement I've, stated it factually

He said the alerts were suggestive or possibly to cadaver odour.... He did not say in his opinion the, alerts we're triggered by cadaver odour... That is what you said and you are totally incorrect... You show you do not understand the evidence

Arguing about meanings involves interpretation. How are you interpreting the word 'suggestive'?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 11:33:22 AM
Arguing about meanings involves interpretation. How are you interpreting the word 'suggestive'?

We can't interpret it... We don't know exactly what it means.... It certainly  means not certain... As you claimed... He also used the word possible... So that  gives us more information
How do you interpret suggestive
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 11:43:07 AM
We can't interpret it... We don't know exactly what it means.... It certainly  means not certain... As you claimed... He also used the word possible... So that  gives us more information
How do you interpret suggestive

I never said he was certain - unless you have a cite?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 28, 2018, 11:48:18 AM
We can't interpret it... We don't know exactly what it means.... It certainly  means not certain... As you claimed... He also used the word possible... So that  gives us more information
How do you interpret suggestive

We don’t know what Grime thinks, purely what he wrote in a legal document.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 11:54:30 AM
We don’t know what Grime thinks, purely what he wrote in a legal document.
Then look at your post again

He never talked of balance of probability and not of being suggestive of more likely  than not... As you have posted
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 28, 2018, 01:46:47 PM
We don’t know what Grime thinks, purely what he wrote in a legal document.

What do you think stands inspection in a legal setting such as a court ~ uncorroborated conjecture ~ or the content of a legal document contributed by a police officer who knew exactly what the rules of the game are?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: slartibartfast on March 28, 2018, 02:47:39 PM
Then look at your post again

He never talked of balance of probability and not of being suggestive of more likely  than not... As you have posted

He must have had some opinion of how suggestive of cadaver odour it was.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 02:53:31 PM
He must have had some opinion of how suggestive of cadaver odour it was.
Of course he did.... But no one here knows yet posters, are making assumptions
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 28, 2018, 06:35:18 PM
Those were attempts to explain evidence. Where is the evidence of bloody socks and plasters? There is none, they are figments of someone's imagination.
Where is the evidence of corpses in the apartment and frozen cadaver in the car, out of interest?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 06:37:11 PM
Where is the evidence of corpses in the apartment and frozen cadaver in the car, out of interest?

Figments of someones imagination
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 06:39:11 PM
I never said he was certain - unless you have a cite?

You posted that in his opinion the alerts were triggered by cadaver... That is not true
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 07:52:10 PM
You posted that in his opinion the alerts were triggered by cadaver... That is not true

I would be very surprised if Grime thought Eddie might be alerting to something else. He seemed to have every faith in his training methods and his dog's reliability.

Pavlov's theory is used in the case of the E.V.R.D. system of alert. He has been 'conditioned' to give a verbal alert when coming into contact with 'dead body scent'.

'False' positives are always a possibility; to date Eddie has not so indicated operationally or in training.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 07:55:21 PM
I would be very surprised if Grime thought Eddie might be alerting to something else. He seemed to have every faith in his training methods and his dog's reliability.

Pavlov's theory is used in the case of the E.V.R.D. system of alert. He has been 'conditioned' to give a verbal alert when coming into contact with 'dead body scent'.

'False' positives are always a possibility; to date Eddie has not so indicated operationally or in training.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

I think you need to read the files again...... The quote re false alerts relates to food as I understand.... Grime has no way of knowing if unconfirmed  alerts are false, or not


I would be very surprised if the alert to CC... Which grime confirms... Was, a, positive alert to cadaver... But grime felt it was suggestive and worth testing
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 08:49:00 PM
I think you need to read the files again...... The quote re false alerts relates to food as I understand.... Grime has no way of knowing if unconfirmed  alerts are false, or not


I would be very surprised if the alert to CC... Which grime confirms... Was, a, positive alert to cadaver... But grime felt it was suggestive and worth testing

Eddie was conditioned to alert to cadaver scent. He had done so many times. There's no reason for Grime to think he was alerting to anything else.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 08:57:20 PM
Eddie was conditioned to alert to cadaver scent. He had done so many times. There's no reason for Grime to think he was alerting to anything else.

Is that your opinion?...
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2018, 09:05:04 PM
Is that your opinion?...

It's my opinion that Grime's opinion was that Eddie alerted to cadaver scent. If he thought something else was possible he would have said so.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 09:07:41 PM
It's my opinion that Grime's opinion was that Eddie alerted to cadaver scent. If he thought something else was possible he would have said so.

That might be your opinion... But you stated it as fact....
He certainly didn't say that.... I prefer to stick to the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 09:12:17 PM
It's my opinion that Grime's opinion was that Eddie alerted to cadaver scent. If he thought something else was possible he would have said so.

Grime said it was his opinion that the alert was possibly to ...or suggestive...of cadaver odour....Thats the evidence from grime...you believe something different...so you dont understand the evidence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 28, 2018, 09:14:54 PM
Grime said it was his opinion that the alert was possibly to ...or suggestive...of cadaver odour....Thats the evidence from grime...you believe something different...so you dont understand the evidence
Was that ever translated into Portuguese?  The version in the file did that need to be re-translated?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 09:31:41 PM
Was that ever translated into Portuguese?  The version in the file did that need to be re-translated?

why do you say that
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 28, 2018, 09:40:06 PM
why do you say that
I asked the question in the search to see if the wording could be introduced by a translation error.  Like the rogatory interviews were never translated into Portuguese so did they miss the clues that were in them?  Did they totally miss what Crime said in his statement since it was possibly never translated into Portuguese?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 28, 2018, 09:42:55 PM
I asked the question in the search to see if the wording could be introduced by a translation error.  Like the rogatory interviews were never translated into Portuguese so did they miss the clues that were in them?  Did they totally miss what Crime said in his statement since it was possibly never translated into Portuguese?

grime made the statement in his witness statement and in his rogatory.....Harrison made a similar statement in his witness and rog statements...are you seriously suggesting what is probably 4 different translators made the exact same mistake
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 28, 2018, 09:54:31 PM
grime made the statement in his witness statement and in his rogatory.....Harrison made a similar statement in his witness and rog statements...are you seriously suggesting what is probably 4 different translators made the exact same mistake
I'm asking for a clarification.  Are you suggesting, by referring to "probably 4 different translators", that it was translated and re-translated?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: John on March 29, 2018, 09:38:33 AM
Warning to all posters:

As we approach the Easter weekend I want to make it very clear that continued disruptive behaviour will NOT be tolerated, sanctions will be applied where necessary. As a sign of goodwill however ahead of the holidays, I am revoking all warning points.

Moderators are expected to lead by example but should those moderating skills fall short of what is expected, permissions will be revoked.

Have a great Easter everyone but please keep the above in mind before commenting.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 29, 2018, 10:02:23 AM
Grime said it was his opinion that the alert was possibly to ...or suggestive...of cadaver odour....Thats the evidence from grime...you believe something different...so you dont understand the evidence

So he didn’t say ‘this is definitely not ‘ cadaver scent ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2018, 11:00:59 AM
So he didn’t say ‘this is definitely not ‘ cadaver scent ?

He also didn't say he didn't know, nor did he suggest any other substances which might have triggered Eddie's alerts.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 11:39:42 AM
He also didn't say he didn't know, nor did he suggest any other substances which might have triggered Eddie's alerts.

No one knew that Eddie could also react to blood from a living human being until he was specifically asked in his rogatory statement made a year later... As, unfortunately he wasn't asked about any other substances, perhaps we'll never know.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 29, 2018, 12:33:49 PM
No one knew that Eddie could also react to blood from a living human being until he was specifically asked in his rogatory statement made a year later... As, unfortunately he wasn't asked about any other substances, perhaps we'll never know.

The interesting thing about the cadaver dog inspections is that Eddie only reacted to places visited, a car hired by and stuff belonging to the missing girls parents. Does everyone really believe in coincidences??
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 29, 2018, 12:50:20 PM
The interesting thing about the cadaver dog inspections is that Eddie only reacted to places visited, a car hired by and stuff belonging to the missing girls parents. Does everyone really believe in coincidences??
On the first look at it it doesn't look good, but there could still be an alternative explanation.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 29, 2018, 01:18:36 PM
On the first look at it it doesn't look good, but there could still be an alternative explanation.

Such as?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 29, 2018, 01:59:07 PM
The interesting thing about the cadaver dog inspections is that Eddie only reacted to places visited, a car hired by and stuff belonging to the missing girls parents. Does everyone really believe in coincidences??

Too much of a coincidence if you ask me.   Lo and behold Kate's clothes also alerted to,  Kate who had been accused by the PJ.   Why not Gerry's clothes?   Kate was wearing those trousers a few days after Madeleine went missing,  does anyone believe she would have worn them with cadaver scent on them?  Really?   IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 01:59:26 PM
The interesting thing about the cadaver dog inspections is that Eddie only reacted to places visited, a car hired by and stuff belonging to the missing girls parents. Does everyone really believe in coincidences??

If you go into a game show and you know in advance that potential prizes are in the red boxes, and you choose them... is that coincidence?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 02:04:50 PM
Too much of a coincidence if you ask me.   Lo and behold Kate's clothes also alerted to,  Kate who had been accused by the PJ.   Why not Gerry's clothes?   Kate was wearing those trousers a few days after Madeleine went missing,  does anyone believe she would have worn them with cadaver scent on them?  Really?   IMO

No one else seems to find it odd that there was only one pair of underwear (one pair of Kate's knickers) in the whole lot.

Either, after 4 months, their only other underwear was what they were wearing that day, or underwear wasn't considered suitable for the sniffing exercise. Why should they be excluded unless there was a possibility of false alerts?

ETA: And where were these other pairs of underwear when the other clothes were taken? Had any been together prior to washing?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Lace on March 29, 2018, 02:20:00 PM
No one else seems to find it odd that there was only one pair of underwear (one pair of Kate's knickers) in the whole lot.

Either, after 4 months, their only other underwear was what they were wearing that day, or underwear wasn't considered suitable for the sniffing exercise. Why should they be excluded unless there was a possibility of false alerts?

ETA: And where were these other pairs of underwear when the other clothes were taken? Had any been together prior to washing?

A very strange exercise if you ask me.   Eddie in the end snatched up some of Kate's clothes in a playful way,  plus a t shirt which looked as though it belonged to Sean,  but was 'Madeleine's'   very strange IMO
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 02:57:35 PM
A very strange exercise if you ask me.   Eddie in the end snatched up some of Kate's clothes in a playful way,  plus a t shirt which looked as though it belonged to Sean,  but was 'Madeleine's'   very strange IMO

The first item was a tiny pair of blue shorts.

Grime didn't have a list of the items, and referred them to the PT police for one. Who was actually responsible for noting what was an alert or not?

Was this an established exercise used by him in other case searches, or was this an experiment?

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2018, 03:39:20 PM
The interesting thing about the cadaver dog inspections is that Eddie only reacted to places visited, a car hired by and stuff belonging to the missing girls parents. Does everyone really believe in coincidences??

It seems the only explanations people seem to be able to think of is;

a) suggest foul play
b) suggest incompetence
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 29, 2018, 04:01:25 PM
Such as?
Why I said "On the first look at it it doesn't look good, but there could still be an alternative explanation" was because I believe there are alternative explanations.  I was working on the idea in the thread ""both Kate and Gerry have both publicly contested the alerts to cadaver" T/F?" http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=9281.0, for IMO Kate and Gerry never say there were no cadaver alerts in those places, but they do say it wasn't Madeleine. 

If someone showed me a clear denial of the cadaver dog alerts by the McCanns I might have reconsidered, but the nearest we got to a denial was that "cadaver dogs are unreliable" by Gerry or Kate's "unconscious cuing" excuse.

So I looked for other reasons they could be aware of a cadaver odour source that wasn't Madeleine.
I don't go along with deceased piglets brought into the apartment.  To me no one has really eliminated the possibility that there had been another death of someone else, the body being held temporarily in the apartment.
Amaral tried to show no one else had died prior to the 3rd, but he did not show no one else died on the night of the 3rd.  Particularly the demise of another child, small enough to be hidden in the sports bag.

OK the question then becomes "when could they have first been aware of this"? 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 29, 2018, 04:05:20 PM
Why I said "On the first look at it it doesn't look good, but there could still be an alternative explanation" was because I believe there are alternative explanations.  I was working on the idea in the thread ""both Kate and Gerry have both publicly contested the alerts to cadaver" T/F?" http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=9281.0, for IMO Kate and Gerry never say there were no cadaver alerts in those places, but they do say it wasn't Madeleine. 

If someone showed me a clear denial of the cadaver dog alerts by the McCanns I might have reconsidered, but the nearest we got to a denial was that "cadaver dogs are unreliable" by Gerry or Kate's "unconscious cuing" excuse.

So I looked for other reasons they could be aware of a cadaver odour source that wasn't Madeleine.
I don't go along with deceased piglets brought into the apartment.  To me no one has really eliminated the possibility that there had been another death of someone else, the body being held temporarily in the apartment.
Amaral tried to show no one else had died prior to the 3rd, but he did not show no one else died on the night of the 3rd.  Particularly the demise of another child, small enough to be hidden in the sports bag.

OK the question then becomes "when could they have first been aware of this"?

What has that to do with the fact that the cadaver dog only reacted to McCann-related objects?  Noticeably, Eddie spent hours going through the Murat's property and not even a squeak... explain that if you can Robbo?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 29, 2018, 04:16:38 PM
What has that to do with the fact that the cadaver dog only reacted to McCann-related objects?  Noticeably, Eddie spent hours going through the Murat's property and not even a squeak... explain that if you can Robbo?
Could it be due to the McCanns or other people moving this other cadaver around the apartment.  Wherever GA says  Madeleine could have been placed the other cadaver could have been put in the same place.  The dogs don't differentiate between cadavers, they are only seeking cadaver odour not Madeleine's cadaver odour in particular.  Hence Grime saying "they needed corroborating evidence", why?; to determine the cadaver.   Also remember cadaver odour takes a couple of hour on average to develop, so there is a difference between handling a freshly deceased body and one that has been sitting for 7 hours or more.

If there was no cadaver odour in Murat's property, that is fine. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 04:30:51 PM
It seems the only explanations people seem to be able to think of is;

a) suggest foul play
b) suggest incompetence

It might turn out that Eddie was correct and did indeed alert to her brief post-mortem presence months later. At whose hands would still remain to be seen. An accident followed by an implausible cover-up by the parents, friends and half of the universe? A weirdo who got in, caused her death and removed her?

Even if that's potentially possible, after nearly 11 years of zilch physical or forensic evidence, what other options seem feasible?

"Incompetence" might not be be right term, but there all kinds of questions related to what has been ruled out as potential explanations - including interviewing post-disappearance occupants, what exactly Grime meant by "items he's trained to find" are... the questions go on.

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 29, 2018, 04:34:04 PM
What has that to do with the fact that the cadaver dog only reacted to McCann-related objects?  Noticeably, Eddie spent hours going through the Murat's property and not even a squeak... explain that if .....

Eddie did not get the opportunity to inspect Murat's hire car, the Hyundai Getz, despite the car being on the warrant list.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/P8/08_VOLUME_VIIIa_Page_2030.jpg
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2018, 06:18:22 PM
It might turn out that Eddie was correct and did indeed alert to her brief post-mortem presence months later. At whose hands would still remain to be seen. An accident followed by an implausible cover-up by the parents, friends and half of the universe? A weirdo who got in, caused her death and removed her?

Even if that's potentially possible, after nearly 11 years of zilch physical or forensic evidence, what other options seem feasible?

"Incompetence" might not be be right term, but there all kinds of questions related to what has been ruled out as potential explanations - including interviewing post-disappearance occupants, what exactly Grime meant by "items he's trained to find" are... the questions go on.

I acknowledge that it's difficult to explain what might have happened if Eddie was right. That's no excuse, in my opinion, for casting aspersions on the integrity or job skills of the investigators.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 06:43:01 PM
I acknowledge that it's difficult to explain what might have happened if Eddie was right. That's no excuse, in my opinion, for casting aspersions on the integrity or job skills of the investigators.

I haven't used the word "incompetence", AFAIK.

However, I'm not sure what other term could cover failing to explore a variety of potentially innocent / irrelevant explanations.

To be fair, they didn't have any experience with such dogs... whereas police forces with such experience would presumably have a better idea of limitations.

If ever there was a "misunderstanding" over their abilities, potential for error, substances within their training parameters, etc., then they wouln't necessarily feel the need to explore irrelevant alternative explanations.

At the same time, this was arguably Grime's first solo venture. There is also the pro-PJ build-up in the media, which must have been a double-edged sword, IMO.

According to the hype, the brilliant PJ team led by Amaral was about to close in... how could it then back down? The Portuguese social researcher Helena Machado has written some interesting papers on the subect.

And that's more or less my conclusion over the Jersey fiasco and a few others I can think of.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 29, 2018, 06:51:03 PM
I acknowledge that it's difficult to explain what might have happened if Eddie was right. That's no excuse, in my opinion, for casting aspersions on the integrity or job skills of the investigators.

The only other missing child case that Amaral & co had ever investigated (if one can call it that), to my knowledge was the one that musn't be named on here.... So I'm not sure which "job skills" may apply.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2018, 08:03:33 PM
The dogs were brought in on the advice of the NPIA's National Search Adviser. The dog's handler was the leading UK expert on training, handling and deploying search dogs. They organised, directed and carried out the searches, not the PJ. Any criticisms, therefore, are criticisms of the best the UK had to offer in my opinion.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 29, 2018, 09:00:23 PM
The dogs were brought in on the advice of the NPIA's National Search Adviser. The dog's handler was the leading UK expert on training, handling and deploying search dogs. They organised, directed and carried out the searches, not the PJ. Any criticisms, therefore, are criticisms of the best the UK had to offer in my opinion.

The NPIA serach adviser was Mark Harrison...who said...no inferences can be drawn from the alerts...what you miss is why the dogs are used...they are used to find evidence...its all there in grimes statements
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 29, 2018, 09:51:53 PM
The dogs were brought in on the advice of the NPIA's National Search Adviser. The dog's handler was the leading UK expert on training, handling and deploying search dogs. They organised, directed and carried out the searches, not the PJ. Any criticisms, therefore, are criticisms of the best the UK had to offer in my opinion.

Maybe the British cops sicced the dawgs and handler onto the PJ for their nuisance value ?
Think of the chaos had they not sent the best.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 29, 2018, 11:09:19 PM
I haven't used the word "incompetence", AFAIK.

However, I'm not sure what other term could cover failing to explore a variety of potentially innocent / irrelevant explanations.

To be fair, they didn't have any experience with such dogs... whereas police forces with such experience would presumably have a better idea of limitations.

If ever there was a "misunderstanding" over their abilities, potential for error, substances within their training parameters, etc., then they wouln't necessarily feel the need to explore irrelevant alternative explanations.

At the same time, this was arguably Grime's first solo venture. There is also the pro-PJ build-up in the media, which must have been a double-edged sword, IMO.

According to the hype, the brilliant PJ team led by Amaral was about to close in... how could it then back down? The Portuguese social researcher Helena Machado has written some interesting papers on the subect.

And that's more or less my conclusion over the Jersey fiasco and a few others I can think of.
I can see how they might have focused on what appears to be the most likely explanation of the cadaver odour, that it being due to Madeleine's death.

But if we accept Gerry's explanation that Madeleine was alive at 9:05 PM and laying on top of the covers who removed her from her bed?  If she had been lying there long enough why was there no cadaver alert to the bed covers?
If the PJ didn't believe Gerry at all, why were the arguido questions directed stronger at Kate rather than to Gerry?  OK maybe they thought Kate will crack first. (Both were arguidos but were the PJ playing "bad cop good cop" across the parents?)

Has anyone worked out a comprehensive theory that includes cadaver odour coming from a deceased Madeleine?  I struggle to remember one.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 29, 2018, 11:15:38 PM
I can see how they might have focused on what appears to be the most likely explanation of the cadaver odour, that it being due to Madeleine's death.

But if we accept Gerry's explanation that Madeleine was alive at 9:05 PM and laying on top of the covers who removed her from her bed?  If she had been lying there long enough why was there no cadaver alert to the bed covers?
If the PJ didn't believe Gerry at all, why were the arguido questions directed stronger at Kate rather than to Gerry?  OK maybe they thought Kate will crack first. (Both were arguidos but were the PJ playing "bad cop good cop" across the parents?)

Has anyone worked out a comprehensive theory that includes cadaver odour coming from a deceased Madeleine?  I struggle to remember one.
Well she would have had to have died at or before the time the McCanns left the appartment so any such theory would not be permitted to be discussed on this forum IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 29, 2018, 11:34:33 PM
Well she would have had to have died at or before the time the McCanns left the appartment so any such theory would not be permitted to be discussed on this forum IMO.
The whole point of the thread http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=9252.0 "Latest theory lands on Portuguese AG's desk"  is based on a theory of an earlier death. 
I seem to recall GA proposing that Madeleine fell off the sofa after hearing Gerry and Jez talking outside the apartment, so that is late in the day 9:10 or after if she died instantly. 
Gosh - what and who was first aware of that?  He seems to put up little partial theories with no real follow on.  I'd imagine if Madeleine fell and died the next person in the room would have noticed this.

Gruesome as it is, I've seen situations where animals have been concussed even with an approved captive bolt and they continued to breath at a slow rate.  I think you would be hard pressed to find a situation where someone actually dies instantly from a fall off a sofa, even onto a stone floor. You might be knocked out but it would be unusual to die immediately.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 29, 2018, 11:51:59 PM
This used to be a decent forum.....when you joined I thought you were actually winding people up with your ridiculous ideas...but it seems you are actually serious... I  think at one time you were quite intelligent  but now havw some severe mental problems and I have sympathy for you...but you have been made a moderator....Im sorry but the phrase...the lunatics have taken over the asylum springs to mind...you may wish to edit my post...feel free
I appreciate that everyone is allowed to have an opinion.  If you think what I say is so terrible, you being the high IQ one, should be able to muster a better argument rather than just resorting to ridicule.  Have a go, give me a reason why Madeleine's disappearance is not related to some variant of a replacement child theory. 

Kate's wish is that this is the case, where Madeleine has been taken to be looked after by another loving caring couple.  It is extremely rare but it is the best option of them all.
In fact it is the only humane option left really.  The thought of her being in some sex slave ring is beyond imagination.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 29, 2018, 11:56:27 PM
I appreciate that everyone is allowed to have an opinion.  If you think what I say is so terrible, you being the high IQ one, should be able to muster a better argument rather than just resorting to ridicule.  Have a go, give me a reason why Madeleine's disappearance is not related to some variant of a replacement child theory. 

Kate's wish is that this is the case, where Madeleine has been taken to be looked after by another loving caring couple.  It is extremely rare but it is the best option of them all.

im not saying what you are saying is terrible and I am not resorting to ridicule...Im stating the facts as I see them.....what about the other dead child you mention ...in the blue bag...the one taht isnt maddie..
maddie may well have been taken as a replacemnet child...but why all the accusations of multiple people giving maddie calpol...thats barmy

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 29, 2018, 11:57:09 PM
Here's an odd story of a replacement child, Rob.

https://www.theodysseyonline.com/the-mystery-of-nicholas-barclay
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 12:15:37 AM
im not saying what you are saying is terrible and I am not resorting to ridicule...Im stating the facts as I see them.....what about the other dead child you mention ...in the blue bag...the one taht isnt maddie..
maddie may well have been taken as a replacemnet child...but why all the accusations of multiple people giving maddie calpol...thats barmy
I am not actually accusing anyone if you read it carefully.  I'm saying how can you rule it out?  I know it has happened before when drugs are administered by different people and the combined dosage is what does the damage.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 30, 2018, 12:19:14 AM
I am not actually accusing anyone if you read it carefully.  I'm saying how can you rule it out?  I know it has happened before when drugs are administered by different people and the combined dosage is what does the damage.
you are absolutely right ..it cannot be ruled out...just as alien abduction cannot be ruled out..

overdosage of paracetamol takes days to kill...so if maddie was ok at 5.30.pm.   I think we can rule it out
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 12:22:48 AM
you are absolutely right ..it cannot be ruled out...just as alien abduction cannot be ruled out..

overdosage of paracetamol takes days to kill...so if maddie was ok at 5.30.pm.   I think we can rule it out
But what you can't rule out is that someone seeing Madeleine in a distressed state and taking her to get medical or palliative treatment.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 30, 2018, 01:11:07 AM
The dogs were brought in on the advice of the NPIA's National Search Adviser. The dog's handler was the leading UK expert on training, handling and deploying search dogs. They organised, directed and carried out the searches, not the PJ. Any criticisms, therefore, are criticisms of the best the UK had to offer in my opinion.

The leading UK expert? Perhaps he was, but according to whom?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 30, 2018, 01:28:04 AM
But what you can't rule out is that someone seeing Madeleine in a distressed state and taking her to get medical or palliative treatment.

If someone had sedated her up to the eyeballs prior to bedtime I don't see how she would have been wandering around, but anyway.

If she'd walked and wandered in a distressed state, as you suggest, and had taken her for medical care... assuming someone wouldn't have administered first aid while phoning for an ambulannce... then what? A doctor, medical clinic or hospital simply forgot that a young child had died and didn't bother to contact the police?

What do you mean by taking her for palliative care as opposed to emergency medical assistance?

I suppose there's a remote possibility that she woke and wandered and was the victim of a hit-and-run... who then came back to pick her up, but what evidence would one expect to find if that had been the case? And was any found to support that theory?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: misty on March 30, 2018, 01:29:44 AM
The leading UK expert? Perhaps he was, but according to whom?

I think Mick Swindells would have something to say about that, especially as he is still deploying dogs.

http://searchdogsuk.co.uk/photo-gallery/
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 30, 2018, 01:44:51 AM
I think Mick Swindells would have something to say about that, especially as he is still deploying dogs.

http://searchdogsuk.co.uk/photo-gallery/

Or John Ellis

http://www-old.hud.ac.uk/news/2014/august/forensicsresearchtomakecadaverdogsmoreefficient.php

They were still trying to identify what dogs actually react to in 2014.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 02:17:23 AM
If someone had sedated her up to the eyeballs prior to bedtime I don't see how she would have been wandering around, but anyway.

If she'd walked and wandered in a distressed state, as you suggest, and had taken her for medical care... assuming someone wouldn't have administered first aid while phoning for an ambulannce... then what? A doctor, medical clinic or hospital simply forgot that a young child had died and didn't bother to contact the police?

What do you mean by taking her for palliative care as opposed to emergency medical assistance?

I suppose there's a remote possibility that she woke and wandered and was the victim of a hit-and-run... who then came back to pick her up, but what evidence would one expect to find if that had been the case? And was any found to support that theory?
Smithman goes up to LuzDoc  (it was closed) and then somewhere else.  Palliative care is just like nursing her.  Looking after her in other words.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 30, 2018, 04:14:38 AM
I think Mick Swindells would have something to say about that, especially as he is still deploying dogs.

http://searchdogsuk.co.uk/photo-gallery/
If you have other links to how VR dogs are trained and tested, I would be most grateful if you would post them.

I want to train our new puppy, Gonçalo, as a VR dog.  Before anyone chucks in the usual insults, I don't expect ever to deploy Gonçalo as a VR dog.  I simply want to learn about the hands-on practical aspects of training and testing such a dog.

TY.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 04:27:28 AM
Or John Ellis

http://www-old.hud.ac.uk/news/2014/august/forensicsresearchtomakecadaverdogsmoreefficient.php

They were still trying to identify what dogs actually react to in 2014.
I think it will be like wine tasting - a finely tuned pallet.  The dogs will need a good memory for all the correct odour combinations that make up human cadaver odour.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 04:30:14 AM
If someone had sedated her up to the eyeballs prior to bedtime I don't see how she would have been wandering around, but anyway.

If she'd walked and wandered in a distressed state, as you suggest, and had taken her for medical care... assuming someone wouldn't have administered first aid while phoning for an ambulannce... then what? A doctor, medical clinic or hospital simply forgot that a young child had died and didn't bother to contact the police?

What do you mean by taking her for palliative care as opposed to emergency medical assistance?

I suppose there's a remote possibility that she woke and wandered and was the victim of a hit-and-run... who then came back to pick her up, but what evidence would one expect to find if that had been the case? And was any found to support that theory?
The only evidence was that cars had left from outside the secondary reception, around the time of Kate's alert.  (Arlindo's statement.)
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 30, 2018, 07:06:33 AM
I think Mick Swindells would have something to say about that, especially as he is still deploying dogs.

http://searchdogsuk.co.uk/photo-gallery/

His opinion wasn't required, Grime was recommended by the NPIA National Search Adviser.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on March 30, 2018, 08:57:03 AM
The leading UK expert? Perhaps he was, but according to whom?

By the very same people who suggest that the MET are using their "expertise" in not solving the mystery of the disappearance, perchance.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 09:26:24 AM
Smithman goes up to LuzDoc  (it was closed) and then somewhere else.  Palliative care is just like nursing her.  Looking after her in other words.
Palliative care is what is sometimes administered to those with a terminal illness, over a period of time usually.  Are you suggesting that Madeleine was secretly whisked away because she was terminally ill and taken somewhere unknown to be looked after by persons unknown in her dying days?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 30, 2018, 09:40:34 AM
Ooh look- a new conspiracy theory, just for Easter   8(*(
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 30, 2018, 09:52:38 AM
Smithman goes up to LuzDoc  (it was closed) and then somewhere else.  Palliative care is just like nursing her.  Looking after her in other words.
Nah, imo, he almost certainly didn't go to LuzDoc, Rob. 

Martin Smith and his group were standing right outside LuzDocs  .... and would have noticed.   The two other parts of the family were not far away either and looking in that general direction

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 30, 2018, 10:33:09 AM
If you have other links to how VR dogs are trained and tested, I would be most grateful if you would post them.

I want to train our new puppy, Gonçalo, as a VR dog.  Before anyone chucks in the usual insults, I don't expect ever to deploy Gonçalo as a VR dog.  I simply want to learn about the hands-on practical aspects of training and testing such a dog.

TY.

What are, you going  to train him with... Pork chops

Just google the topic... There is lots of information  online

If rob could train a blood dog you could meet in luz and solve the case
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 10:35:01 AM
What are, you going  to train him with... Pork chops
Hopefully not human remains!
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 30, 2018, 10:44:33 AM
What are, you going  to train him with... Pork chops

Just google the topic... There is lots of information  online
Pork chops sounds fine as I am struggling to think where I might get my hands on decomposing piglets.

And to VS, AFAIK human remains are illegal in Portugal, just as they are in the UK.

So it's pork chops until I can find the nearest pig farm for some piglets.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 10:49:49 AM
Pork chops sounds fine as I am struggling to think where I might get my hands on decomposing piglets.

And to VS, AFAIK human remains are illegal in Portugal, just as they are in the UK.

So it's pork chops until I can find the nearest pig farm for some piglets.
If you make friends with a local pig farmer he'll probably provide you with the odd dead piglet now and again.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 10:51:38 AM
Pork chops sounds fine as I am struggling to think where I might get my hands on decomposing piglets.

And to VS, AFAIK human remains are illegal in Portugal, just as they are in the UK.

So it's pork chops until I can find the nearest pig farm for some piglets.
You'll be making a mistake if you use pork chops IMO.  Any pig farm will have dead piglets. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 10:53:05 AM
Nah, imo, he almost certainly didn't go to LuzDoc, Rob. 

Martin Smith and his group were standing right outside LuzDocs  .... and would have noticed.   The two other parts of the family were not far away either and looking in that general direction
If it is closed it is closed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 30, 2018, 10:53:24 AM
Is this thread morphing into " Handy Hints for the Amateur Dog Trainer" ?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 10:56:39 AM
Palliative care is what is sometimes administered to those with a terminal illness, over a period of time usually.  Are you suggesting that Madeleine was secretly whisked away because she was terminally ill and taken somewhere unknown to be looked after by persons unknown in her dying days?
That would be a narrow meaning of the word.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palliative_care
 "Palliative care is provided by a team of physicians, nurses, physiotherapists, occupational therapists and other health professionals who work together with the primary care physician and referred specialists and other hospital or hospice staff to provide additional support. It is appropriate at any age and at any stage in a serious illness and can be provided as the main goal of care or along with curative treatment. Although it is an important part of end-of-life care, it is not limited to that stage. Palliative care can be provided across multiple settings including in hospitals, at home, as part of community palliative care programs, and in skilled nursing facilities. Interdisciplinary palliative care teams work with people and their families to clarify goals of care and provide symptom management, psycho-social, and spiritual support."
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 11:06:48 AM
That would be a narrow meaning of the word.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palliative_care
 "Palliative care is provided by a team of physicians, nurses, physiotherapists, occupational therapists and other health professionals who work together with the primary care physician and referred specialists and other hospital or hospice staff to provide additional support. It is appropriate at any age and at any stage in a serious illness and can be provided as the main goal of care or along with curative treatment. Although it is an important part of end-of-life care, it is not limited to that stage. Palliative care can be provided across multiple settings including in hospitals, at home, as part of community palliative care programs, and in skilled nursing facilities. Interdisciplinary palliative care teams work with people and their families to clarify goals of care and provide symptom management, psycho-social, and spiritual support."
So what exactly are you suggesting with regard to palliative care and Madeleine McCann?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 11:14:51 AM
So what exactly are you suggesting with regard to palliative care and Madeleine McCann?
If she was involved in an accident and someone rushed her down to LuzDoc but it was closed, where would they go after that. 
Everyone tends to think Smithman was heading to the beach but basically that just means going South, we don't actually know if he went to the beach or to someone's house.  Did he know someone who could offer help?  Someone with nursing skills.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on March 30, 2018, 11:24:13 AM
If she was involved in an accident and someone rushed her down to LuzDoc but it was closed, where would they go after that. 
Everyone tends to think Smithman was heading to the beach but basically that just means going South, we don't actually know if he went to the beach or to someone's house.  Did he know someone who could offer help?  Someone with nursing skills.

I seem to recall there were some doctors, staying at the ocean club.... Don't have a cite though
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 30, 2018, 11:31:10 AM
If it is closed it is closed.
"Emergency

This is a service that covers the times of the day and night when there are no booked general medicine consultations. A doctor is always available at Luzdoc during weekday afternoons, bank holidays, Saturdays and Sundays and on call every night."

There was a 24 hr service.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 11:32:36 AM
If she was involved in an accident and someone rushed her down to LuzDoc but it was closed, where would they go after that. 
Everyone tends to think Smithman was heading to the beach but basically that just means going South, we don't actually know if he went to the beach or to someone's house.  Did he know someone who could offer help?  Someone with nursing skills.
Rushing to find medical treatment in an emergency is hardly what I would describe as "palliative care". 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 11:34:25 AM
"Emergency

This is a service that covers the times of the day and night when there are no booked general medicine consultations. A doctor is always available at Luzdoc during weekday afternoons, bank holidays, Saturdays and Sundays and on call every night."

There was a 24 hr service.
So if you walked there is there a phone to use at the premises to call up the doctor, or do you have to go to somewhere where there is a phone to use?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 11:36:04 AM
Rushing to find medical treatment in an emergency is hardly what I would describe as "palliative care".
I agree.  The first step may have been to get medical help, it was shut, so what does he do next?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 12:00:07 PM
I agree.  The first step may have been to get medical help, it was shut, so what does he do next?
Book her into a top secret hospice?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 30, 2018, 12:04:10 PM
So if you walked there is there a phone to use at the premises to call up the doctor, or do you have to go to somewhere where there is a phone to use?
They had mobiles in 2007.  I assume the Smiths had mobiles.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 30, 2018, 12:05:33 PM
We seem to have progressed from misunderstanding evidence to speculating about something for which there is no evidence at all.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 12:08:08 PM
They had mobiles in 2007.  I assume the Smiths had mobiles.
You can't be sure what a person had with them. 
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 12:14:36 PM
We seem to have progressed from misunderstanding evidence to speculating about something for which there is no evidence at all.
That's progress?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 12:17:26 PM
We seem to have progressed from misunderstanding evidence to speculating about something for which there is no evidence at all.
Well how do you understand when you read a statement/report in which it says Smithman was heading towards the beach?

E.g. From the "PJ Final Report": "Further on this issue, the testimony of MARTIN SMITH was considered, pages 1606 and following, reporting the sighting of an individual carrying a child, in one of the streets that lead to the beach."
What does "lead to the beach"  mean to you? 
Looking at the Smith statements none of them mention anything about "in one of the streets that lead to the beach".  That seems to be a PJ interpretation to me.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 12:36:15 PM
Book her into a top secret hospice?
OK so we should check admissions and appointments at other medical facilities.  How many 3 or 4 year olds were treated in accident and emergency facilities on the night of the 3/4th within a 50 km area  around PdL?
If it was a replacement child situation the name given would not be Madeleine McCann.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 12:52:17 PM
OK so we should check admissions and appointments at other medical facilities.  How many 3 or 4 year olds were treated in accident and emergency facilities on the night of the 3/4th within a 50 km area  around PdL?
If it was a replacement child situation the name given would not be Madeleine McCann.
This was quite a high profile case in the area - do you not think any medical staff that might have treated a child fitting Madeleine's description (particularly with her distinctive eye mark) on the night she went missing may have come forward to let the authorities know?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 12:58:41 PM
This was quite a high profile case in the area - do you not think any medical staff that might have treated a child fitting Madeleine's description (particularly with her distinctive eye mark) on the night she went missing may have come forward to let the authorities know?
When was the fact about her eye known?  It wasn't on that night.  Next couple of days a busy clinic might have had some suspicion but not enough to raise the alarm, especially if the girl had come in with "her father".
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 01:10:39 PM
When was the fact about her eye known?  It wasn't on that night.  Next couple of days a busy clinic might have had some suspicion but not enough to raise the alarm, especially if the girl had come in with "her father".
If you say so Robbitybob, I however think this theory can be filed in the "highly implausible" drawer.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on March 30, 2018, 02:18:26 PM
Well how do you understand when you read a statement/report in which it says Smithman was heading towards the beach?

E.g. From the "PJ Final Report": "Further on this issue, the testimony of MARTIN SMITH was considered, pages 1606 and following, reporting the sighting of an individual carrying a child, in one of the streets that lead to the beach."
What does "lead to the beach"  mean to you? 
Looking at the Smith statements none of them mention anything about "in one of the streets that lead to the beach".  That seems to be a PJ interpretation to me.

I answered that around a week ago when you last raised it, Rob.

ETA: So did you, by posting the diagramme.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Angelo222 on March 30, 2018, 02:39:43 PM
But what you can't rule out is that someone seeing Madeleine in a distressed state and taking her to get medical or palliative treatment.

A remote possibility in my book.  If strangers did hear a child crying constantly in distress the correct action would be to inform reception immediately.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 30, 2018, 02:46:12 PM
Well how do you understand when you read a statement/report in which it says Smithman was heading towards the beach?

E.g. From the "PJ Final Report": "Further on this issue, the testimony of MARTIN SMITH was considered, pages 1606 and following, reporting the sighting of an individual carrying a child, in one of the streets that lead to the beach."
What does "lead to the beach"  mean to you? 
Looking at the Smith statements none of them mention anything about "in one of the streets that lead to the beach".  That seems to be a PJ interpretation to me.

The street he was seen on takes you to the church then to the beach.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 30, 2018, 05:47:34 PM
Smithman goes up to LuzDoc  (it was closed) and then somewhere else.  Palliative care is just like nursing her.  Looking after her in other words.

His progress was charted at various points by the Smith party one group of which included Peter Smith.
Mary and Martin Smith saw him at another point of his walk.
Aoife had the last sight of him.

Did any one of them suggest he either approached or showed the slightest interest in LuzDoc?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 30, 2018, 05:53:14 PM
Nah, imo, he almost certainly didn't go to LuzDoc, Rob. 

Martin Smith and his group were standing right outside LuzDocs  .... and would have noticed.   The two other parts of the family were not far away either and looking in that general direction

Great minds, Sadie?  I think so too ;)
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on March 30, 2018, 06:25:45 PM
Pork chops sounds fine as I am struggling to think where I might get my hands on decomposing piglets.

And to VS, AFAIK human remains are illegal in Portugal, just as they are in the UK.

So it's pork chops until I can find the nearest pig farm for some piglets.

Two legally obtainable training aids might not be too easy to easy to come by.

Snip
 She occasionally gets access to the surface, be it a piece of carpet or some dirt, for example, on which a body was found.

But the most common training aid is placenta, donated by new moms.

"I'm in the habit of congratulating family members and in the second sentence saying, 'So, what are you doing with your placenta?" said Cooper, who has a few placentas in her freezer at home.

She said a handler will train a dog with the same odour source for approximately six months so the dog learns the subtle changes that take place during decomposition.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/cadaver-dogs-science-training-1.3654993
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on March 30, 2018, 06:40:07 PM
The street he was seen on takes you to the church then to the beach.
The way that he was walking was generally in a southerly direction. 

If he immediately crossed the road Rua 25 Abril he came to the top of a steep flight of steps carrying on in southerly direction.   He could then come out at the little beach adjacent and immediately west of The Fortezela ... or as Heri pointed in a more general direction along the front towards odd accesses to the beach / sea in a westerly direction.


But, of course, he could have been walking towards a house or a parked vehicle, we just dont know.... do we?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 06:49:52 PM
If you say so Robbitybob, I however think this theory can be filed in the "highly implausible" drawer.
Thanks for conceding it is a possibility.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Vertigo Swirl on March 30, 2018, 06:51:32 PM
Thanks for conceding it is a possibility.
Anything's possible.  Have you checked whether the circus was in town that day?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 06:51:54 PM
I answered that around a week ago when you last raised it, Rob.

ETA: So did you, by posting the diagramme.
Got me there for I don't remember raising this issue previously.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 06:57:55 PM
A remote possibility in my book.  If strangers did hear a child crying constantly in distress the correct action would be to inform reception immediately.
John and I both support the woke and wandered theory (in the past for sure) so any distressed state I'm talking about is some considerable distance from the apartment.  It is not a crying in the apartment scenario that I was trying to portray.
Distressed on the road leading to the secondary reception is the hypothesis I'm proposing. It is from that exposed vulnerable location I propose she was abducted.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 06:59:20 PM
The street he was seen on takes you to the church then to the beach.
How direct is that?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 07:02:19 PM
His progress was charted at various points by the Smith party one group of which included Peter Smith.
Mary and Martin Smith saw him at another point of his walk.
Aoife had the last sight of him.

Did any one of them suggest he either approached or showed the slightest interest in LuzDoc?
The "PJ final report" emphasises the "leading to the beach" aspect whereas without a doubt Smithman walked past LuzDoc.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 30, 2018, 07:04:34 PM
Anything's possible.  Have you checked whether the circus was in town that day?
Have you heard of the expression "the McCann Circus".
(https://cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/dynamic/1/590x/secondary/McCann-283916.jpg)
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 30, 2018, 09:28:26 PM
If you have other links to how VR dogs are trained and tested, I would be most grateful if you would post them.

I want to train our new puppy, Gonçalo, as a VR dog.  Before anyone chucks in the usual insults, I don't expect ever to deploy Gonçalo as a VR dog.  I simply want to learn about the hands-on practical aspects of training and testing such a dog.

TY.

You are barking up the wrong tree asking folk on here.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 30, 2018, 11:23:20 PM
Two legally obtainable training aids might not be too easy to easy to come by.

Snip
 She occasionally gets access to the surface, be it a piece of carpet or some dirt, for example, on which a body was found.

But the most common training aid is placenta, donated by new moms.

"I'm in the habit of congratulating family members and in the second sentence saying, 'So, what are you doing with your placenta?" said Cooper, who has a few placentas in her freezer at home.

She said a handler will train a dog with the same odour source for approximately six months so the dog learns the subtle changes that take place during decomposition.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/cadaver-dogs-science-training-1.3654993
Thank you for this Brietta.

I have already given thought to how I might obtain human remains, and I think that problem is solvable.

Here's where the wheels come off the bus.

We have a very small freezer, so any human remains would be getting stored alongside my steak and kidney pies, pizza and frozen fish.  Commonly known as yuk!

My family already think I'm weird.  Starting up a human body farm in our back garden might convince them I should be committed to the loony bin.

But what I want is a victim recovery dog.  I would like the dog to be able to give two different alerts, one for dead and one for alive.

I don't want to train Gonçalo as a cadaver dog.  I want him to be able to tell me when a victim is still alive.  A victim recovery dog.  VRD.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 30, 2018, 11:30:31 PM
You are barking up the wrong tree asking folk on here.
Actually, at the moment I think I have got at least 4 documents to read up on thus far.  So I've got my starters for ten.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: faithlilly on March 30, 2018, 11:40:44 PM
Anything's possible.  Have you checked whether the circus was in town that day?

No but we know that there was one in Luz afterwards.

Edit: spelling correction.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 31, 2018, 12:20:30 AM
How direct is that?

Walking at a fast pace about 2-3 minutes away from the rocky part of the beach.

Report Aim
'This report solely considers the search scenario that Madeline McCann has been murdered and her body is concealed on the beach at PD Luz or has been put into the sea from the shore.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON.htm
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 31, 2018, 02:47:47 AM
Walking at a fast pace about 2-3 minutes away from the rocky part of the beach.

Report Aim
'This report solely considers the search scenario that Madeline McCann has been murdered and her body is concealed on the beach at PD Luz or has been put into the sea from the shore.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON.htm
Do you read more into the Harrison report than just instructions on how to conduct a search?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 31, 2018, 11:40:41 AM
The report correctly contained different search scenarios. The beach being so close to the sighting then of course they would assume that was his destination. If it was Madeleine - do you think he would stay on the streets with people about or head straight for the dark empty beach. The answer is obvious in that scenario. You do not stay on lit streets -  the reason Smithman took the darker quieter backstreet route when passing the Irish family.

"By now we were more than familiar with cases where evidence had been missed the first time round and discovered on further searches (in one instance the UK police had told us about, a wallet sitting in a bush)." (Madeleine by KM)

Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: jassi on March 31, 2018, 12:05:30 PM
So he's got to the beach. what is likely to happen next as i guess he's not planning on just taking a stroll?
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: G-Unit on March 31, 2018, 12:20:04 PM
Do you read more into the Harrison report than just instructions on how to conduct a search?

It was a lot more than that. He assessed the early searches, examined Krugel's claims and advised where a body may have been concealed.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on March 31, 2018, 07:58:54 PM
It was a lot more than that. He assessed the early searches, examined Krugel's claims and advised where a body may have been concealed.
Yes OK I wasn't really meaning his whole report, but the section of the beach search part that Pathfinder had referred to.
The fact that Harrison says how to search an area for a body doesn't imply that is where the body is IMO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on April 01, 2018, 12:51:28 PM
Thank you for this Brietta.

I have already given thought to how I might obtain human remains, and I think that problem is solvable.

Here's where the wheels come off the bus.

We have a very small freezer, so any human remains would be getting stored alongside my steak and kidney pies, pizza and frozen fish.  Commonly known as yuk!

My family already think I'm weird.  Starting up a human body farm in our back garden might convince them I should be committed to the loony bin.

But what I want is a victim recovery dog.  I would like the dog to be able to give two different alerts, one for dead and one for alive.

I don't want to train Gonçalo as a cadaver dog.  I want him to be able to tell me when a victim is still alive.  A victim recovery dog.  VRD.
If the victim is there you will know if it's dead or alive so you must be reffering to remnant scent...
So a cadaver dog and a live tracking dog...
Don't really see the use... We know there was a live maddie in that apartment for absolute sure... Some think there was, also a deceased one... What is your theoretical dog going to theoretically  tell us.... The dog can only tell us... If it's accurate.... If the victim was alive... Not if the victim is still alive
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on April 01, 2018, 01:17:15 PM
If the victim is there you will know if it's dead or alive so you must be reffering to remnant scent...
So a cadaver dog and a live tracking dog...
Don't really see the use... We know there was a live maddie in that apartment for absolute sure... Some think there was, also a deceased one... What is your theoretical dog going to theoretically  tell us.... The dog can only tell us... If it's accurate.... If the victim was alive... Not if the victim is still alive
You haven't got your starter for ten right.

I am not trying to train Eddie or Keela.

Nor am I interested in deploying Gonçalo in a crime scene a la Madeleine.

I am interested in what is involved in the training of a VR dog.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: barrier on April 01, 2018, 01:28:10 PM
You haven't got your starter for ten right.

I am not trying to train Eddie or Keela.

Nor am I interested in deploying Gonçalo in a crime scene a la Madeleine.

I am interested in what is involved in the training of a VR dog.

I somehow think JF is not the right platform.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on April 01, 2018, 02:18:03 PM
You haven't got your starter for ten right.

I am not trying to train Eddie or Keela.

Nor am I interested in deploying Gonçalo in a crime scene a la Madeleine.

I am interested in what is involved in the training of a VR dog.
A VR dog is a cadaver dog..
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on April 01, 2018, 06:26:57 PM
Thank you for this Brietta.

I have already given thought to how I might obtain human remains, and I think that problem is solvable.

Here's where the wheels come off the bus.

We have a very small freezer, so any human remains would be getting stored alongside my steak and kidney pies, pizza and frozen fish.  Commonly known as yuk!

My family already think I'm weird.  Starting up a human body farm in our back garden might convince them I should be committed to the loony bin.

But what I want is a victim recovery dog.  I would like the dog to be able to give two different alerts, one for dead and one for alive.

I don't want to train Gonçalo as a cadaver dog.  I want him to be able to tell me when a victim is still alive.  A victim recovery dog.  VRD.

I found a news report giving details of VRDs deployed to locate remains who discovered an Alzheimer sufferer who had wandered off and had succumbed to exposure, exhaustion etc. but who was still alive.
The report said that the dogs didn't quite know what to make of the situation; they kept their distance but they didn't ignore him and circled him until the handler investigated.  Can't find it now, of course

From that I took it that it was either or.  Apparently that is not the case if this is anything to go by ... https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=126167771

If you are training Goncalo to alert both to dead people and live ones how about two different alerts? 
A stationary, silent Keela type for one and a bark for a live find (the grandchildren will love it!).
Just watch where you store the dead scent stuff ... I'm with the family on scratching my head on that one.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on April 01, 2018, 06:42:56 PM
You haven't got your starter for ten right.

I am not trying to train Eddie or Keela.

Nor am I interested in deploying Gonçalo in a crime scene a la Madeleine.

I am interested in what is involved in the training of a VR dog.

I did have a link at one time to a blog specifically for VRD handlers/trainers as well as newbies which is interesting and very very informative.  They share experiences etc.  It is American based.
I've not read it for a while and don't have a link but it should be easy to locate in a search ... it does question and answer too and there is a generic mix of posts and posters ... that could cut a few corners for you if you can locate the blog.

I'll have a look too if you have no success.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on April 01, 2018, 07:32:38 PM
I did have a link at one time to a blog specifically for VRD handlers/trainers as well as newbies which is interesting and very very informative.  They share experiences etc.  It is American based.
I've not read it for a while and don't have a link but it should be easy to locate in a search ... it does question and answer too and there is a generic mix of posts and posters ... that could cut a few corners for you if you can locate the blog.

I'll have a look too if you have no success.

Ah... that rings a bell. K9Snoop on Websleuths? ... I'm not a member and my old link doesn't work any more.

Tried a different way.

https://www.websleuths.com/forums/showthread.php?227047-A-few-questions&styleid=21


ETA: A caveat is that training in the US may well be different (possibly primarily training on human cadaver material or different training techniques).
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Carana on April 01, 2018, 07:35:40 PM
I don't recall reading anything about dogs trained for both search and recovery (alive) and victim recovery (dead). In disasters, AFAIK, they send in S&Rs first, then when, sadly hope's run out, the VRDs.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Robittybob1 on April 01, 2018, 07:52:26 PM
I don't recall reading anything about dogs trained for both search and recovery (alive) and victim recovery (dead). In disasters, AFAIK, they send in S&Rs first, then when, sadly hope's run out, the VRDs.
I don't see why not, a dog in the natural state would attempt to track several different species.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on April 01, 2018, 08:08:29 PM
I don't recall reading anything about dogs trained for both search and recovery (alive) and victim recovery (dead). In disasters, AFAIK, they send in S&Rs first, then when, sadly hope's run out, the VRDs.

it seems they dont do both as SAr dogs become discouraged if they only find dead bodies...this might sound strange but it seeem they miss the euphoria and feed back when finding live persons
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Brietta on April 01, 2018, 09:19:07 PM
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-L17ifn0YVOs/UwDLzl7qQ4I/AAAAAAAABH0/VEL7KCbW8I8/s1600/Lost+Person+Child+1-3.png)


I didn't find the blog I used to visit.  While looking for it I came across this one which at first glance looks as if there are a few points of interest.
http://specopsblog.blogspot.co.uk/2014/01/sar-dog-distance-alerts-how-they-can.html
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: Mr Gray on April 02, 2018, 10:17:03 AM
You haven't got your starter for ten right.

I am not trying to train Eddie or Keela.

Nor am I interested in deploying Gonçalo in a crime scene a la Madeleine.

I am interested in what is involved in the training of a VR dog.

You don't seem sure you know, what you want to train this dog to do... Which is not a good place to start
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: ShiningInLuz on April 02, 2018, 12:27:18 PM
You don't seem sure you know, what you want to train this dog to do... Which is not a good place to start
All of the above IYO.
Title: Re: Do the sceptics simply misunderstand the evidence
Post by: sadie on April 02, 2018, 01:34:19 PM
All of the above IYO.

And in my opinion too.

But please enjoy the experience.  Have fun.