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71
If you're allowed  to state other posters don't understand statistics then it's OK for me to say it's clear some posters don't understand the evidence

You frequently do.   &%%6

The difference with the statistics approach is you have got the statistics wrong on 2 or 3 occasions, depending on how you count them.

It's not 49 factorial.

It's not 49 factorial 6 iterations.

The answer has been provided.  Your assertions were wrong.  Kindly retreat to fight another day.
72
Not true, I believe in the possibility of EVERY other odd with the exception of the ONE stranger abduction.
That is a very odd statement.  I don't have a clue what it means TBH.
73
Is that your attempt at an innocent explanation for Gerry's failure to look for Smithman who was carrying his possibly abducted daughter during the time he was alleging he was looking for abductor?
No, I'm simply trying to understand your complaint.  You seem to be suggesting that Gerry is guilty of knowing of Smithman's existence and whereabouts prior to the alarm being raised and of not going looking for him.  It's a bit like an episode of the Twilight Zone on here sometimes. 
74
I explained that to you yesterday.. 49 factorial to six places
But that was still wrong.   49 factorial to six places divided by 6 factorial was my answer.  In NZ we have only 40 balls.

In other words 40 factorial to six places divided by 6 factorial is my best answer at the moment and I wonder if I can confirm that.
75
We are all on our own - each of us are the ONE, for you think differently to me and to others.  We are all individuals. 
Had Mr Smith reported the sighting the very next day, once he heard people were looking for a 3 year old, I would give him better odds, but to me, IMO, it is the Smiths who are the suspects.
Not true, I believe in the possibility of EVERY other odd with the exception of the ONE stranger abduction.
79
Presumably in NZ you select 6 numbers on your ticket?

If so you clearly have 6 chances of getting the first number correct.  So that's 49/6, not 49/1.

You then have 48 balls in the pot, and 5 remaining numbers on your slip.  So that's 48/5, not 48/1.

Then continue the (boring) iteration a further 4 cycles.

Do we care?  The only thing I'm learning here is which posters don't understand probabilities and statistics.

If you're allowed  to state other posters don't understand statistics then it's OK for me to say it's clear some posters don't understand the evidence
80
What's the odds that this one father would fail to look for this one man while he was conducting his search for his abducted daughter? See what I mean.

The odds simply do not favour the abducted child in this case, but there is always the ONE.
We are all on our own - each of us are the ONE, for you think differently to me and to others.  We are all individuals. 
Had Mr Smith reported the sighting the very next day, once he heard people were looking for a 3 year old, I would give him better odds, but to me, IMO, it is the Smiths who are the suspects.
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