How likely is it that Jane Tanner and the Smiths saw the 'same' man ?

[Benice]

So do most people believe Tanner actually saw someone ?

I definitely do Faithlilly.  JT had no reason whatsoever to lie, she was not a particular friend of the McCanns, and having read her rogatory statement and seen her video interviews she seems to be a perfectly normal, intelligent, decent sort of person to me.     I do not believe for a minute that she would agree to put herself and her children's lives at such horrendous risk by agreeing to become an Accessory to the death/disposal of someone else's child.    That makes no sense. IMO

[Benice]

There is some uncertainty about Jane's sighting  ...  Gerry thinks she wasn't even able to accurately recall which side of the street he and Jez were standing on, for instance,  which in itself casts doubt on her powers of  her recollection generally It would have made sense if the McCanns had considered whether or not Jane  may  have been mistaken,  and promoted,  at least as being equally possible,  the theory that the abduction might have occured later in the night   (  just before 10pm )  as the Smith familiy sighting would have, logically, suggested

Wasn't it Gerry's recollection of where they stood which differed from JT's and Jez Wilkins?

[AnneGuedes]

And both happened to be carring a little girl, of the same age,

No, Benice, JT saw no little girl, only feet, a poor indication for age and sex.

[DCI]

Only T (Peter Smith's wife's son) noticed bare feet.

Peter Smiths son

Adds further that his son TA*** was questioned in Ireland and said that the individual was dressed in a long-sleeved coat/jacket, black in colour, and that the child was barefoot.

[AnneGuedes]

Unless that WAS Madeleine and the Mccanns lied about what she was wearing that COLD night once Gerry, if he was the carrier, knew he had been spotted by them? Possible? Or too conspiratorial?

They simple could have swapped pyjamas to fit Jane's sighting which was so important for them as being the one and only possible evidence.
It was cold, all these people had jackets or fleece, nobody would carry a half naked child unless in an emergency.

[AnneGuedes]

There is some uncertainty about Jane's sighting  ...   Gerry thinks she wasn't even able to accurately recall which side of the street he and Jez were standing on, for instance,  which in itself casts doubt on her powers of  her recollection generally

It would have made sense if the McCanns had considered whether or not Jane  may  have been mistaken,  and promoted,  at least as being equally possible,  the theory that the abduction might have occured later in the night   (  just before 10pm )  as the Smith familiy sighting would have, logically, suggested

As JW and JT mentioned the same side of the street, GMC could doubt Jane, we can't.

[Redblossom]

They simple could have swapped pyjamas to fit Jane's sighting which was so important for them as being the one and only possible evidence.
It was cold, all these people had jackets or fleece, nobody would carry a half naked child unless in an emergency.

Yes, for some  reason HER sighting HAS  to be the one, why?

[AnneGuedes]

Peter Smiths son

Adds further that his son TA*** was questioned in Ireland and said that the individual was dressed in a long-sleeved coat/jacket, black in colour, and that the child was barefoot.

No, TA, a teenager, is Peter Smith's step son.

[Redblossom]

Wasn't it Gerry's recollection of where they stood which differed from JT's and Jez Wilkins?

Yes which makes gerry wrong statistically

Gnight

[DCI]

No, TA, a teenager, is Peter Smith's step son.

Well I didn't write the statements Anne, the PJ did 

[AnneGuedes]

Yes, for some  reason HER sighting HAS  to be the one, why?

Has to be the one ? Or had to be the one and remained the one for 2 years ?

[amaraltheofficeboy]

I don't believe that either sighting was the abductor, and I don't believe he two sightings were the same person.

[DCI]

I don't believe that either sighting was the abductor, and I don't believe he two sightings were the same person.

You could well be right there.
I haven't noticed anything in the files about the CCTV, that Amaral said could have captured the abductor, when he spoke to the Express. Nor is there any mention of the villa he said was searched.

[amaraltheofficeboy]

You could well be right there.
I haven't noticed anything in the files about the CCTV, that Amaral said could have captured the abductor, when he spoke to the Express. Nor is there any mention of the villa he said was searched.

two people saw two different people carrying a child at night in a holiday resort.

the only connection is what....??????

the time is different

the location is different

[DCI]

two people saw two different people carrying a child at night in a holiday resort.

the only connection is what....??????

the time is different

the location is different

Yes, only connected by the Smiths statement, because of the way Gerry held his son.