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Author Topic: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?  (Read 144233 times)

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Offline pathfinder73

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #615 on: April 23, 2016, 12:55:57 AM »
Quote from: Brietta on April 23, 2016, 12:07:42 AM
Madeleine's father saw her in bed on his last check ... from thereon-in we do not know what may have happened to her.

Whether she was the child described by Jane Tanner or whether she was the child seen by the Smiths is a matter of conjecture.

It is possible she was the child seen by both.  We don't know.

They must know who Smithman is. Don't worry about that. He gave the time away. Stupid boy.
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Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.

Offline mercury

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #616 on: April 23, 2016, 12:58:11 AM »
Quote from: pathfinder73 on April 23, 2016, 12:55:57 AM
They know who Smithman is. Don't worry about that. -He gave the time away. Stupid boy.

LOL at that!!!
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Offline pegasus

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #617 on: April 23, 2016, 01:07:59 AM »
Quote from: mercury on April 23, 2016, 12:58:11 AM
LOL at that!!!
confucius say man who think enemy stupid lose chess game
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Offline mercury

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #618 on: April 23, 2016, 01:17:24 AM »
Quote from: pegasus on April 23, 2016, 01:07:59 AM
confucius say man who think enemy stupid lose chess game

If enemy is stupid he wll lose anyway lol
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Offline pathfinder73

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #619 on: April 23, 2016, 01:17:39 AM »
Quote from: pegasus on April 23, 2016, 01:07:59 AM
confucius say man who think enemy stupid lose chess game

Overconfident people think they're safe but overconfidence is the greatest enemy.
« Last Edit: April 23, 2016, 01:19:51 AM by pathfinder73 »
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Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.

Offline mercury

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #620 on: April 23, 2016, 01:20:19 AM »
Hubris
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Offline Brietta

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #621 on: April 23, 2016, 02:05:31 AM »
Quote from: mercury on April 23, 2016, 12:43:30 AM
Your first sentence is an assumption based on an arguidos statement.......fact remans no one KNOWS

It is a witness statement ... given to an investigation headed by an arguido.
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"All I'm going to say is that we've conducted a very serious investigation and there's no indication that Madeleine McCann's parents are connected to her disappearance. On the other hand, we have a lot of evidence pointing out that Christian killed her," Wolter told the "Friday at 9"....

Offline mercury

Re: Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
« Reply #622 on: April 23, 2016, 08:30:01 PM »
Quote from: Brietta on April 23, 2016, 02:05:31 AM
It is a witness statement ... given to an investigation headed by an arguido.

Cant find rhyme or reason in that reply

The point is is a statement true or not, not who headed up an investigation,not to worry though...in this case there is no way of knowing if it was or not
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