Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..

[sadie]

It's my opinion that since bundleman has been debunked & the current 'sighting' being investigated is of a man with a passing resemblence to Gerry McCann carrying an inert child through a dark street towards the ocean, that death & concealment is the more likely scenario.

[For what reason do you think a dead child would openly be carried thru the streets ?

Why not use a bag? ... or a roll of carpet? ... to conceal the body?

[jassi]

its my opinion that taking all the factors into account, statistically, abduction may well be the most probable cause of Maddies disappearance and this is why SY are following this route.

Probability should not be confused with possibility.
For example, it is possible that if I buy lottery tickets, I might become a multimillionaire, but it is not very probable.

[Mr Gray]

What is the success rate in solving crimes by the SY and PJ respectively ?

Meanwhile can you say with 100% certainty Madeleine did not die in the apartment  ?

 I think SY have a very good success rate compared to other police forces. Your second question has been asked and answered many times before...its called a celestial teapot argument as it is a bit silly....we cant say 100% that little green men from mars were not involved...

[jassi]

[For what reason do you think a dead child would openly be carried thru the streets ?

Why not use a bag? ... or a roll of carpet? ... to conceal the body?

Some things are best concealed by not trying to hide them.

Would an unsuspecting casual observer passing by notice the difference between a dead child and a sleeping one at nighttime.?

[sadie]

Possibly, if someone could give a feasible explanation of the abduction from bed via window scenario, a good reason why their memories of which doors they used etc changed over time & why a death dog alerted to objects & areas associated only with the McCanns and nowhere else.

I haven't seen any so far.

Seems no person, adult or child went thru that window WSpam.

There was a well publicised abduction of a child from her bath in the UK.  The paedo came in and grabbed her with some of her family in the house.  They wre not aware that she had been taken by this vile paedo.

A slick operation.  Poor kid.

[Wonderfulspam]

[For what reason do you think a dead child would openly be carried thru the streets ?

Why not use a bag? ... or a roll of carpet? ... to conceal the body?

Too obvious. There were often parents carrying children around the resort so we are told.
If someone was seen hurrying through the night with a rolled up carpet it would stick out like a sore thumb.
I used to fit carpets & we didn't work nightshifts.

[sadie]

Some things are best concealed by not trying to hide them.

Would an unsuspecting casual observer passing by notice the difference between a dead child and a sleeping one at nighttime.?

Awww come on jassi!  Be sensible purleeze.

[Mr Gray]

Probability should not be confused with possibility.
For example, it is possible that if I buy lottery tickets, I might become a multimillionaire, but it is not very probable.

 this is exactly the point I make...well done.
it was very, very unlikely that Maddie WOULD be abducted by a stranger....the fact that she is missing make the odds much more likely that she was

[sadie]

Too obvious. There were often parents carrying children around the resort so we are told.
If someone was seen hurrying through the night with a rolled up carpet it would stick out like a sore thumb.
I used to fit carpets & we didn't work nightshifts.

What about a bag then?  Bags at holiday resorts are very common.

Easy enough to replace one.

No-one, I repeat NO-ONE in their right mind would carry a dead child throught the streets like that.  Far too risky.

The Mccanns aren't idiots, you know.

[Wonderfulspam]

Some things are best concealed by not trying to hide them.

Would an unsuspecting casual observer passing by notice the difference between a dead child and a sleeping one at nighttime.?

Yep, spot on.
Although Mrs Smith wasn't absoloutely certain of Madeleines status. So much so that she felt the need to ask 'oh... is she asleep?'

[Wonderfulspam]

What about a bag then?  Bags at holiday resorts are very common.

Easy enough to replace one.

No-one, I repeat NO-ONE in their right mind would carry a dead child throught the streets like that.  Far too risky.

The Mccanns aren't idiots, you know.

Do you think Gerry would have been in his right mind having found his daughter 'gone'.

[sadie]

Yep, spot on.
Although Mrs Smith wasn't absoloutely certain of Madeleines status. So much so that she felt the need to ask 'oh... is she asleep?'

Almost certainly drugged in some way .... but not dead.  It would be crazy to openly carry a dead child thru the streets.

Think about it !

[Wonderfulspam]

Almost certainly drugged in some way .... but not dead.  It would be crazy to openly carry a dead child thru the streets.

Think about it !

How would anyone passing know she was dead?

[sadie]

How would anyone passing know she was dead?

You are acting simple minded, but I think that you are well intelligent enough to answer that yourself

[Wonderfulspam]