Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..

[jassi]

Im sure they wont be expecting the McCanns to "prove " their innocence

The police may have difficulty in proving anything.

[Angelo222]

As time goes on and Madeleine fails to appear people will begin to realise that she is deceased and then the questions will really start.

And the twins will be among those asking them.

[Victoria]

As time goes on and Madeleine fails to appear people will begin to realise that she is deceased and then the questions will really start.

As time goes on? It's been six years!

[Mr Gray]

As time goes on and Madeleine fails to appear people will begin to realise that she is deceased and then the questions will really start.

 I think everyone including the McCanns think that Maddie is almost certainly deceased but there is still a faint hope of finding her alive.

[jassi]

I think everyone including the McCanns think that Maddie is almost certainly deceased but there is still a faint hope of finding her alive.

Their conviction in her being alive seems far more than a faint hope

[Redblossom]

I think everyone including the McCanns think that Maddie is almost certainly deceased but there is still a faint hope of finding her alive.

very very faint.....no three yr old has ever been abducted and found yrs later....unless you have an example

[Angelo222]

As time goes on? It's been six years!

If Madeleine is still alive she is still far too young to contemplate anything except her immediate comfort zone. Give it a few more years and then we will see.

[Victoria]

I think everyone including the McCanns think that Maddie is almost certainly deceased but there is still a faint hope of finding her alive.

Absolutely agree. No parents will accept that their child is dead for sure without a body, but they will know it's the most likely scenario, as does everyone else.

[Mr Gray]

very very faint.....no three yr old has ever been abducted and found yrs later....unless you have an example

of course its a faint chance but I don't blame the McCanns for not giving up..in fact I admire them

[Angelo222]

very very faint.....no three yr old has ever been abducted and found yrs later....unless you have an example

It has happened Red.  Many white children were abducted by red Indians and were later rescued although some returned to the tribes as they were the only family they could remember. 

I can't think of a case in western Europe in the last 50 years though.

[Redblossom]

It has happened Red.  Many white children were abducted by red Indians and were later rescued although some later returned to the tribes.

I can't think of a case in western Europe in the last 50 years though.

Cheers for that....certainly different scenario though

[Angelo222]

To get back to Dave's opening post, I don't see how one can possibly quantify the statistics of abduction as such a thing is so rare.

I do however believe it was more likely that she just walked out the front door and was then abducted.

[Redblossom]

 Illogical deduction

Its entirely logical......sorry about that...your and others chinese whispers campaign has been blown out of the water ages ago.......

[Sherlock Holmes]

Imagine that Mr McCann found the perpetrator in the flat (in Tannerman time he himself admitted they were both there), with Madeleine in his arms and a knife near her neck.
The perpetrator -- I want this child, she's exactly like my dead daughter. Let me take her, and no harm will happen to her. Now go back to the tapas, at the first sign of launching the alarm I'll kill your daughter. You'll be like me, an orphan. Send your wife at 10, tell her to open the shutters and the window for the police know this was an abduction. I wouldn't like you to be accused of killing your own daughter and to conceal her body.
I'm not alone, you're spotted, so you better do as I said.
Would Mr McCann have had to be an excellent actor or just a loving father ?

If Madeleine could have been taken as a replacement for another child (is that such a wild suggestion? McCanns seem to hope she is with a family) then presumably police will have looked at records for deceased girls of Madeleine's age in the locality.

[Mr Gray]

To get back to Dave's opening post, I don't see how one can possibly quantify the statistics of abduction as such a thing is so rare.

I do however believe it was more likely that she just walked out the front door and was then abducted.

 to get back on topic...the chances of Maddie being abducted when she was put to bed were extremely rare...the chances of her BEING abducted now she is missing are relatively high