Author Topic: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..  (Read 228822 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #165 on: December 31, 2013, 05:07:31 PM »
Still very remote...Whatever happened to Maddie was a very remote possibility...pre event of course

So hw does a possibility / probabilityof an abduction increase after the event and not before???


 8-)(--)

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #166 on: December 31, 2013, 05:08:22 PM »
The probability she walked out and was killed by a car is higher, unless you believe she was frightened by someone who was frightened by her because of all the trivial fuss over paedophilia (see Mr O'Brien's rog about the guy who didn't dare to videotape his daughter !)


On what do you base your assumption....I would say its almost certainly totally wrong

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #167 on: December 31, 2013, 05:09:19 PM »
That's because you don't understand it

Nope its codswallop....and no amount of you self preening yourself on here as some kind of genius amongst plebs will change anythng..well, least of all cos the opposite is true


 8((()*/

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #168 on: December 31, 2013, 05:10:08 PM »
So hw does a possibility / probabilityof an abduction increase after the event and not before???


 8-)(--)

Now you are asking proper questions rather than being silly...much better

Have a think about the lottery tickets

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #169 on: December 31, 2013, 05:12:12 PM »
Nope its codswallop....and no amount of you self preening yourself on here as some kind of genius amongst plebs will change anythng..well, least of all cos the opposite is true


 8((()*/

 Genius amongst plebs...what a strange statement...what would Freud have made of that

Offline jassi

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #170 on: December 31, 2013, 05:12:22 PM »
Now you are asking proper questions rather than being silly...much better

Have a think about the lottery tickets

I have already given you the example of the lottery ticket. There is a possibility of me winning, but the probability is low.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #171 on: December 31, 2013, 05:13:22 PM »
Now you are asking proper questions rather than being silly...much better

Have a think about the lottery tickets

I prefer straight talk and honesty....rather than game playing semantics and cryptics......not getting it from you though oh well, zzzzzz your credibility is shot to bits on this forum......youre  not a straight player....sad really

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #172 on: December 31, 2013, 05:16:02 PM »
Genius amongst plebs...what a strange statement...what would Freud have made of that

Freud was an idiot, thoroughly discredited now...pleas dont read his books for yur own sanity

 8((()*/

and yes, yu are not any kind of genius its obvious to those WITH a modocum of ntellect that that is true..... and the majority of the posters n this board are not mndless fools plebs unintelligent etc etc the way you have disgracefully called half of them for months now...an apology might be in order


 @)(++(*

And pigs WILL fly

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #173 on: December 31, 2013, 05:18:04 PM »
I have already given you the example of the lottery ticket. There is a possibility of me winning, but the probability is low.

the whole point is that improbable things happen all the time...if they didn't ...none of us would be here

Offline jassi

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #174 on: December 31, 2013, 05:19:52 PM »
the whole point is that improbable things happen all the time...if they didn't ...none of us would be here

Some things are more probable than others.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #175 on: December 31, 2013, 05:22:15 PM »
Freud was an idiot, thoroughly discredited now...pleas dont read his books for yur own sanity

 8((()*/

and yes, yu are not any kind of genius its obvious to those WITH a modocum of ntellect that that is true..... and the majority of the posters n this board are not mndless fools plebs unintelligent etc etc the way you have disgracefully called half of them for months now...an apology might be in order


 @)(++(*

And pigs WILL fly

 Freud was an idiot...I don't think so...you are getting hysterical as Freud would say...accepted we have moved on but I was thinking more of a Freudian type slip....

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #176 on: December 31, 2013, 05:27:14 PM »
Freud was an idiot...I don't think so...you are getting hysterical as Freud would say...accepted we have moved on but I was thinking more of a Freudian type slip....

Yes we know freud was a misogynist and there was no freudian slip...you are certainly no genius by any stretch of the imagnation, and half the posters or more on this board are certainly not less "intelligent" than YOU..the fact yu have had to carp n and on about how sub ntellectual people are day n day out certainly says more abut you and yur thorouly "brass neck"


 8((()*/


enjoy your nit picking callingblack whte obfuscating avoiding and spinning and  and whatever else you do daily to prove yourself "right" all the time LOL


bbl
 8((()*/

« Last Edit: December 31, 2013, 05:29:09 PM by Redblossom »

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #177 on: December 31, 2013, 05:31:15 PM »
So....
When maddie was out to bed that night...the odds of her being abducted were incredibly low..
Now she is missing...if we look at all the possibilities as to why she is missing...the possibility of abduction is relatively high... I would guess at 90%

Offline jassi

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #178 on: December 31, 2013, 05:34:11 PM »
You use percentages to measure probability, not possibility.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #179 on: December 31, 2013, 05:36:44 PM »
You use percentages to measure probability, not possibility.

 oh dear...perhaps you could enlighten us all...and explain the difference