Author Topic: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..  (Read 228890 times)

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Offline jassi

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #450 on: January 07, 2014, 05:50:06 PM »
The Algarve is awash with paedophiles. And if weren't them what did it then it must be drug addicted burglars, failing that it could be alcoholics, tax evaders or illegal street traders.

Or even a chronic acne suffer.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #451 on: January 07, 2014, 05:56:17 PM »
Or even a chronic acne suffer.

Thats right, spotty man also burst his spots in 5a, thats what the cadaver dog reacted to some said, decomposing fluids....seriously....dont ask me for a link, but some idiot did say that


 @)(++(*

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #452 on: January 07, 2014, 05:56:55 PM »
the chances of a fatal accident are probably similar to an abductor...then you have the added problem to explain...why the deception...theres no good reason for it. They would not have been struck off the GMC register for it...they would for faking an abduction...then they had to enlist the help of all their friends...who would also now face jail...this scenario is way way crazier than a stranger abduction

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #453 on: January 07, 2014, 05:57:55 PM »
Thats right, spotty man also burst his spots in 5a, thats what the cadaver dog reacted to some said, decomposing fluids....seriously....dont ask me for a link, but some idiot did say that


 @)(++(*

or as grime said the alerts had no evidential value

Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #454 on: January 07, 2014, 06:06:56 PM »
the chances of a fatal accident are probably similar to an abductor...then you have the added problem to explain...why the deception...theres no good reason for it. They would not have been struck off the GMC register for it...they would for faking an abduction...then they had to enlist the help of all their friends...who would also now face jail...this scenario is way way crazier than a stranger abduction


'why the deception...theres no good reason for it.'

Not wanting your own parents/family/ the rest of the world to know what shit parents you were.



'then they had to enlist the help of all their friends'

Not all there friends perhaps.



'this scenario is way way crazier than a stranger abduction'

Stranger abduction scenario requires the invention of a 'strange abductor'.
Death scenario does not require the invention of a third party.
Christian Brueckner Fan Club

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #455 on: January 07, 2014, 06:15:14 PM »

'why the deception...theres no good reason for it.'

Not wanting your own parents/family/ the rest of the world to know what shit parents you were.

They are criticised anyway for leaving the children...why not raise the alarm in the morning and claim Maddie wast taken from her bed






'then they had to enlist the help of all their friends'

Not all there friends perhaps.



'this scenario is way way crazier than a stranger abduction'

Stranger abduction scenario requires the invention of a 'strange abductor'.
Death scenario does not require the invention of a third party.

No but it requires the invention of a fatal accident...which is highly..highly unlikely

 Doesn't make any sense to me



Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #456 on: January 07, 2014, 06:19:16 PM »
posters want to dismiss the abduction because it is unlikely but will accept other scenarios that are far,far more unlikely

Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #457 on: January 07, 2014, 06:21:54 PM »
posters want to dismiss the abduction because it is unlikely but will accept other scenarios that are far,far more unlikely

Are stranger child abductions really more common than fatal accidents?
Christian Brueckner Fan Club

Redblossom

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #458 on: January 07, 2014, 06:23:36 PM »
Are stranger child abductions really more common than fatal accidents?

Absolutely NOT 100 per cent....its pathetic to the extreme to suggest so?.NO DATA whatsoever backs that up...anyone who argues otherwise is lying
« Last Edit: January 07, 2014, 06:33:03 PM by Redblossom »

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #459 on: January 07, 2014, 06:28:31 PM »
Absolutely NOT 100 per cent....its pathetic to the extreme to suggest so

certainly isn't pathetic...as I have posted before...the overwhelming majority of fatal accidents involve fires and stairs...blind cords  ...none of these in the appt .  have a look at the govt website..you  will learn something.. but live in ignorance if you want

Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #460 on: January 07, 2014, 06:37:01 PM »
Absolutely NOT 100 per cent....its pathetic to the extreme to suggest so?.NO DATA whatsoever backs that up...anyone who argues otherwise is lying


"You're far more likely to get clobbered by your uncle or your neighbour than some', you know, 'random stranger"

Christian Brueckner Fan Club

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #461 on: January 07, 2014, 06:37:39 PM »
Absolutely NOT 100 per cent....its pathetic to the extreme to suggest so?.NO DATA whatsoever backs that up...anyone who argues otherwise is lying

 No one is lying..what a very rude person you are
« Last Edit: January 07, 2014, 06:44:35 PM by davel »

stephen25000

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #462 on: January 07, 2014, 06:59:29 PM »
posters want to dismiss the abduction because it is unlikely but will accept other scenarios that are far,far more unlikely

Here's an easy one for you.

When is a fatal accident likely to result in the death of a child, namely when it is too late for help ?

1. When the parents are nearby ?

2. When there is no parent there ?

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #463 on: January 07, 2014, 07:05:55 PM »
Here's an easy one for you.

When is a fatal accident likely to result in the death of a child, namely when it is too late for help ?

1. When the parents are nearby ?

2. When there is no parent there ?

 Probably not as clear cut as you think...what do you think are the most common fatal accidents

stephen25000

  • Guest
Re: Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..
« Reply #464 on: January 07, 2014, 07:11:15 PM »
Probably not as clear cut as you think...what do you think are the most common fatal accidents

have a careful read davel  on the following link.


http://www.rospa.com/homesafety/adviceandinformation/childsafety/accidents-to-children.aspx


'When do accidents happen?

Most happen between late afternoon and early evening, in the summer, during school holidays and at weekends
Factors such as stress, death in the family, chronic illness, homelessness or moving home increase the likelihood of the child having an accident
Some happen when the usual routine is changed or when people are in a hurry
Distractions and inadequate supervision are often the cause of accidents
Poor housing and overcrowded conditions lead to increased numbers of accidents
Some accidents are caused by lack of familiarity with surroundings, for example, when visiting friends or relatives, or in holiday accommodation.'