I think Mr Amaral's theory has more credence that the abduction- I am not saying I agree with it.
The thing lost in this is; the fact that Mr Amarla's Thesis does not say he believed the parents murdered their child.
He believed the child had an accident of some sort- and that should have been investigated-with out interference.
EXACTLY.
The thing is these things do happen all the time, and parents cry ABDUCTION all the time and hide bodies.
ITS FACT it HAPPENS, its not FICTION.
Why was it so abhorrent to even think the McCanns could have covered up a death?
Especially in light of the fact that they had lackadaisical care in place, which would put a child at risk of accident.
Children have fatal accidents even with the parent within yards of them in a another room for example, and a child gets into trouble and dies.
The Accident and Emergency departments are full of them and many sadly fatal.
Children strangled by blind cords comes to mind, falling out of windows, swallowing bleach and tablets eek when i had my kids I was paranoid about it.
We were taught NEVER leave your children for a minute without supervision.
Even then something would happen, child in bath, the phone or door bell goes, your mind switches off to danger and you go answer it and when you come back in minutes a child is found dead in the bath.
Or falling down stairs is another one.
Or running out of a door and into the path of a car is another one (my best friends sister died like that right in front of her mother one lapse one moment and she was gone).
Those most at risk from a home accident are the 0-4 years age group. Falls account for the majority of non-fatal accidents while the highest number of deaths are due to fire. Most of these accidents are preventable through increased awareness, improvements in the home environment and greater product safetyIF the McCanns did a risk assessment they would have seen that their children were exposed to many danger elements.
Windows/falling
Door/steep steps
Steep steps/road
Floors/hard no soft coverings (carpet)
Cooker/heat burning
Full glass window/falling
Settee/falling
Bed near window/falling
Wander out/road/swimming pool/traffic
So the odds really of leaving children alone under 4 was pretty high for an accident to occur even with the parents in situ.
The largest number of accidents happen in the living/dining room.
However, the most serious accidents happen in the kitchen and on the stairs.
Every year more than 67,000 children experience an accident in the kitchen - 43,000 of these are aged between 0-4 years; 58,000 children have accidents on the stairs.So the chances of one of them falling down the stairs was pretty high. The stair gate at the top even worse, as children are known to simply climb over them which makes the fall even more likely it could become fatal.
So with all that in mind is it so far fetched this theory that the child died in an accident and the family panicked and hid the body. NO.
It happens, it does happen, and it will happen again.