What is likely, VS, is that United States would interfere in Ukranian politics. Sponsor an illegal coup against the government there. Arm Russo phobic militants & incite a civil war forcing Russia to respond with a further war with the intention of causing Russia to overextend & exhaust itself, leading Russia to collapse & be ripe for US pickings. That situation is likely VS, because that is what is happening in Ukraine. As I explained before. The US has a long history of interfering in sovereign states & overthrowing governments. It is 40 trillion in debt. In debt to over 100% of GDP. It's interest payments match it's military budget & has roughly 100 trillion in unfunded liabilities due to hit in the next 10 years. It has no way out but war. Add Venezuelan oil rights to Iranian oil rights to Russian oil rights & that should cover the debt. Alternatively it could just go quietly into the night as BRICS rises. But it doesn't appear they are going to do that.
Russia wasn?t forced into anything, they didn?t or don?t have to respond with war, there are other means of achieving a mutually acceptable outcome, through diplomacy, economic pressure, negotiations, etc. Nobody forces Russia to do anything they don?t want to do. Putin wanted a war to big himself up, to become the conquering hero who regained historically important parts of the Russian Empire, to bolster his already enormous ego and to demonstrate his power.
As for America wanting to get involved in another country?s protracted civil war at the cost of further hundreds of billions in the hopes of somehow getting their hands on Russian oil when they are already trillions in debt seems remarkably far fetched imo. How did that work for them in Iraq? They spent trillions on that particular war but did not seize control of Iraqi oil fields. Most post-war oil contracts in Iraq went to European, Asian and yes Russian companies. Your analysis is flawed.