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Author Topic: Three Door Moves  (Read 34437 times)

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Offline slartibartfast

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2014, 09:13:00 PM »
Quote from: Alfred R Jones on October 13, 2014, 08:15:19 PM
And that means what, exactly?

It means that until hard evidence is found either way, then all we have is the probability of each discrepancy/question having an innocent versus implicating cause. The probability equation takes the combined probability of all the innocent causes and all the implicating causes to produce an overall innocent or implicating probability. Simple probability.
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“Reasoning will never make a Man correct an ill Opinion, which by Reasoning he never acquired”.

Offline Eleanor

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2014, 09:15:25 PM »
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Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2014, 09:22:59 PM »
Quote from: Eleanor on October 13, 2014, 09:15:25 PM
You are assuming that they all had tape measures, and took notes by inches when they had no idea what was going on at the time.

Matt had an unimpeded view of the cots, Gerry didn't leave the door in that position, he pulled it to, as shown on CW.
« Last Edit: October 13, 2014, 10:52:36 PM by Wonderfulspam »
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Offline pathfinder73

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2014, 09:25:46 PM »
Quote from: Eleanor on October 13, 2014, 09:15:25 PM
You are assuming that they all had tape measures, and took notes by inches when they had no idea what was going on at the time.

No idea what's going on? Gerry remembered two exact times. 9:04 and 10:03. Gerry knew what was going on.
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Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.

Offline Eleanor

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2014, 09:32:05 PM »

There is no precise definition from any of them of exactly how the door was positioned.
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Offline Brietta

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2014, 09:46:51 PM »
Quote from: Eleanor on October 13, 2014, 09:00:32 PM
He had plenty of time to do those things.  But he will have opened the window after Gerry left in case someone else came in and trapped him.

Definitely one of the possibilities for the open window and an obvious reason for doing so.
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"All I'm going to say is that we've conducted a very serious investigation and there's no indication that Madeleine McCann's parents are connected to her disappearance. On the other hand, we have a lot of evidence pointing out that Christian killed her," Wolter told the "Friday at 9"....

Offline pathfinder73

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2014, 09:47:29 PM »
Quote from: Eleanor on October 13, 2014, 09:32:05 PM
There is no precise definition from any of them of exactly how the door was positioned.

Two said half-open. One said wide/completely open.

"he noted that the children's bedroom door was not ajar as he had left it but half-way open" (GM)
« Last Edit: October 16, 2014, 09:41:30 AM by pathfinder73 »
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Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.

Alfred R Jones

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Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2014, 11:22:46 PM »
The Three Door Moves is so significant that Amaral, the Great Detective hot on the McCanns' trail, devotes a whole chapter in his book to it.  Oh, wait, no he doesn't. 
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Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2014, 11:26:11 PM »
Quote from: Alfred R Jones on October 13, 2014, 11:22:46 PM
The Three Door Moves is so significant that Amaral, the Great Detective hot on the McCanns' trail, devotes a whole chapter in his book to it.  Oh, wait, no he doesn't.

You can't make it all fit & it sound plausible, because she wasn't abducted.

That's the truth Alfred, as much as you like to pretend otherwise.
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Offline faithlilly

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2014, 11:33:42 PM »
The three door moves weren't important before the abduction timeframe was moved by SY therefore wouldn't gave been in Amaral's book.
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Brietta posted on 10/04/2022 “But whether or not that is the reason behind the delay I am certain that Brueckner's trial is going to take place.”

Let’s count the months, shall we?

Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #25 on: October 13, 2014, 11:43:27 PM »
Quote from: Faithlilly on October 13, 2014, 11:33:42 PM
The three door moves weren't important before the abduction timeframe was moved by SY therefore wouldn't gave been in Amaral's book.

You'll be told they aren't important, at all, even though neither parent would actually have looked in the room had it not, supposedly, have happened.
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Offline VIXTE

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #26 on: October 13, 2014, 11:49:24 PM »
Quote from: pathfinder73 on October 13, 2014, 08:21:47 PM
8:30 ajar

9 half-open (first move)

Moved back to ajar

9:30 half-open (second move)

9:52 wide open (third move)



I think someone was in all the time except for the time of Kate's arrival.
This was someone with the main door key who did not want to share the key.
The reasons for this cam be different:
-The person waited inside for the signal to open the window and pass Madeleine through the window.
- The person was afraid to exit. He-she killed Madeleine in an attempt to silence her.
- The person wasn't normal and his-her actions cannot be defined in a logical way.
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Offline faithlilly

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #27 on: October 14, 2014, 12:01:18 AM »
Quote from: VIXTE on October 13, 2014, 11:49:24 PM
I think someone was in all the time except for the time of Kate's arrival.
This was someone with the main door key who did not want to share the key.
The reasons for this cam be different:
-The person waited inside for the signal to open the window and pass Madeleine through the window.
- The person was afraid to exit. He-she killed Madeleine in an attempt to silence her.
- The person wasn't normal and his-her actions cannot be defined in a logical way.

Or
- the door didn't move at all.
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Brietta posted on 10/04/2022 “But whether or not that is the reason behind the delay I am certain that Brueckner's trial is going to take place.”

Let’s count the months, shall we?

Offline pegasus

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #28 on: October 14, 2014, 02:37:07 AM »
It doesn't make any difference whether the door is half-open or fully-open.
The view into the room is the same in both cases.
The only extra view you get by moving the door from half-open to fully-open is a useless view of the end of the wardrobe.
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Offline Eleanor

Re: Three Door Moves
« Reply #29 on: October 14, 2014, 02:43:02 AM »
Quote from: pegasus on October 14, 2014, 02:37:07 AM
It doesn't make any difference whether the door is half-open or fully-open.
The view into the room is the same in both cases.
The only extra view you get by moving the door from half-open to fully-open is a useless view of the end of the wardrobe.

And someone could have been hiding behind that door.
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