Author Topic: Amaral and the dogs  (Read 844638 times)

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ferryman

  • Guest
Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1770 on: August 03, 2015, 11:06:37 AM »
If the alert was in any way meaningful, then, yes 'cross contamination' is a possibility.
There is no way of knowing the reason for the dogs alerts, or whether they were positive or false. We must therefore rely on MG's final assessment/words on the matter.

Why?

Offline Anna

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1771 on: August 03, 2015, 04:18:45 PM »
Why?

He knew the legal status of the dog alerts....... Who else's opinion could we rely on?

Therefore in this particular case, as no human remains were located, the only
alert indications that may become corroborated are those that the CSI dog
indicated by forensic laboratory analysis.

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant. This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm
“You should not honour men more than truth.”
― Plato

ferryman

  • Guest
Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1772 on: August 03, 2015, 04:36:24 PM »
He knew the legal status of the dog alerts....... Who else's opinion could we rely on?

Therefore in this particular case, as no human remains were located, the only
alert indications that may become corroborated are those that the CSI dog
indicated by forensic laboratory analysis.

My professional opinion as regards to the EVRD's alert indications is that it is
suggestive that this is 'cadaver scent' contaminant.
This does not however
suggest a motive or suspect as cross contamination could be as a result of a
number of given scenarios and in any event no evidential or intelligence
reliability can be made from these alerts unless they can be confirmed with
corroborating evidence.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_GRIMES.htm

Fair enough that you haven't taken what I underline out of context, but still, why should we rely on that?

Offline Jean-Pierre

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1773 on: August 03, 2015, 04:36:46 PM »
Forensic results can be admitted as evidence in a court in England and in Portugal.  Alerts by a dog cannot.

There are good reasons why this is so.

Offline Carana

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1774 on: August 03, 2015, 04:47:40 PM »
Forensic results can be admitted as evidence in a court in England and in Portugal.  Alerts by a dog cannot.

There are good reasons why this is so.

There has been no precedent, which doesn't mean that there will never be one. However, I'd be a lot more concerned about such "evidence" being admitted in court in PT than in the UK.

After all, the judges and the jury bowed to the superior knowledge of "we, experts" in the Cipriano case. No one questioned why a speck of unidentified blood in the fridge could not have been due to anyone's innocent knicked finger ... because it had been found at the back of a removable drawer weeks after the child had gone missing. And everyone seems to have nodded in agreement.

Work that one out... particularly when João had to remove the drawer to attempt to stuff the doll in.

It's surreal.
« Last Edit: August 03, 2015, 04:50:22 PM by Carana »

Offline Anna

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1775 on: August 03, 2015, 04:49:44 PM »
Fair enough that you haven't taken what I underline out of context, but still, why should we rely on that?

Do you have a suggestion , FM, as to who's professional opinion we should rely on, to give us the legal standing, on the dog alerts, other than MG?
“You should not honour men more than truth.”
― Plato

ferryman

  • Guest
Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1776 on: August 03, 2015, 04:53:58 PM »
Do you have a suggestion , FM, as to who's professional opinion we should rely on, to give us the legal standing, on the dog alerts, other than MG?

Mark Harrison:

However, it must be stated any such indications without any physical evidence to support them can not have any evidential value, being unconfirmed indications. Additionally I consider no inference can be drawn as to whether a human cadaver has previously been in any location without other supporting physical evidence.

That is a proper professional opinion.

Offline Anna

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1777 on: August 03, 2015, 04:59:40 PM »
Mark Harrison:

However, it must be stated any such indications without any physical evidence to support them can not have any evidential value, being unconfirmed indications. Additionally I consider no inference can be drawn as to whether a human cadaver has previously been in any location without other supporting physical evidence.

That is a proper professional opinion.

Of course you are absolutely correct, FM. It all boils down to........"No evidential value"
“You should not honour men more than truth.”
― Plato

Offline pegasus

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1778 on: August 03, 2015, 05:06:38 PM »
Re the alerts by Eddie in the villa and assumed by Amaral to be of the cat toy.
In the Panorama documentary you can see video at the villa earlier the same day before Eddie arrived.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zqoj-pfBUnY

For example you can see many clothing and other items on airing racks on patio.
Compare with dog video later same day.
By the time the Eddie arrives many of these aired items have been brought inside and placed in the dining area.
Aired pillows pillowcases and towels are put on dining table (where earllier were breakfast cereals and laptop).
And IMO aired clothing neatly folded and put on sideboard.


« Last Edit: August 03, 2015, 05:09:27 PM by pegasus »

Offline Jean-Pierre

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1779 on: August 03, 2015, 05:08:00 PM »
Of course you are absolutely correct, FM. It all boils down to........"No evidential value"

Quite interesting article here

http://www.hbslawfirm.com/articles_display.php?id=67

Offline Carana

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1780 on: August 03, 2015, 05:08:29 PM »
Of course you are absolutely correct, FM. It all boils down to........"No evidential value"

More than that: "no inference can be made".

There could be dozens of unrelated potential explanations to account for the alerts.

Offline Brietta

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1781 on: August 03, 2015, 05:31:52 PM »
Quite interesting article here

http://www.hbslawfirm.com/articles_display.php?id=67

Very good explanation of false and true negatives and positives.  Also of interest was ...

Quote
In the case mentioned at the outset of this article, police attempted to determine whether a human remains detection dog could detect residual odor from a decomposing body they suspected had been transported some time earlier in a rental car.

The rental car, a subcompact, was placed in a police parking garage that was filled with various police vehicles.

The rental car was the only non-police vehicle, the only subcompact, and had out of state license plates, facts which
the dog handler admitted to having noticed.

A film of the event showed the dog passing by the subject rental car without alert until the handler drew the attention of the dog to it again.
United States v. Anderson (E.D. Mich. Case No. 2003 CR 80602) Unquote.


The McCann rental vehicle was covered with Madeleine posters ... so hardly a 'blind' inspection.
"All I'm going to say is that we've conducted a very serious investigation and there's no indication that Madeleine McCann's parents are connected to her disappearance. On the other hand, we have a lot of evidence pointing out that Christian killed her," Wolter told the "Friday at 9"....

Offline Anna

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1782 on: August 03, 2015, 06:21:45 PM »
Quite interesting article here

http://www.hbslawfirm.com/articles_display.php?id=67

Thank you JB. It looks very interesting. I will finish reading it later.
“You should not honour men more than truth.”
― Plato

Offline Anna

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1783 on: August 03, 2015, 06:26:44 PM »
More than that: "no inference can be made".

There could be dozens of unrelated potential explanations to account for the alerts.

Sorry, Carana....Yes I should have included that bit.
“You should not honour men more than truth.”
― Plato

Offline pathfinder73

Re: Amaral and the dogs
« Reply #1784 on: August 03, 2015, 08:11:43 PM »
Very good explanation of false and true negatives and positives.  Also of interest was ...

Quote
In the case mentioned at the outset of this article, police attempted to determine whether a human remains detection dog could detect residual odor from a decomposing body they suspected had been transported some time earlier in a rental car.

The rental car, a subcompact, was placed in a police parking garage that was filled with various police vehicles.

The rental car was the only non-police vehicle, the only subcompact, and had out of state license plates, facts which
the dog handler admitted to having noticed.

A film of the event showed the dog passing by the subject rental car without alert until the handler drew the attention of the dog to it again.
United States v. Anderson (E.D. Mich. Case No. 2003 CR 80602) Unquote.


The McCann rental vehicle was covered with Madeleine posters ... so hardly a 'blind' inspection.

Eddie was correct in the Parker case with his garage alert and the house next door alert. Eddie's skill is remarkable for detecting cadaver scent as Adrian Prout discovered.

We also saw video played in the courtroom to demonstrate how another dog, Eddie, found a sample pair of pants hidden in the Walker County Jail that was perfumed with a cadaver scent. Eddie is an English Springer Spaniel belonging to Martin Grime, a world-renown forensic K-9 expert based in the United Kingdom.

Grime testified he was paid $450 a day, plus travel and living expenses, by the FBI to search some areas in Walker County in connection with Teresa Parker's disappearance.

During a visit to Parker's home back in September 2007 Grime said he and Eddie sniffed around their garage.

"He immediately gave a positive bark response within the garage between a truck parked to the left of the entrance and a boat parked to the right," Grime said.

Grime added Eddie did not seem interested in the vehicles but in a scent that was wafting in the air, based on the way the dog held his nose upward. Grime said Eddie then "hit" on an abandoned house next door. Testimony shows that house was never repaired after a fire gutted the inside and killed a child several years ago.

During lengthy cross-examination Grime said there is no evidence to show Eddie smelled anything incriminating against or linked to Mr. Parker. Like Higgins, Grime said cadaver dogs can only prove useful when there is other evidence that corroborates the dog's "hits."

http://www.scentevidence.com/2009/07/dog-debate-at-center-of-murder-case.html
Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.