Author Topic: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?  (Read 73014 times)

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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #480 on: February 11, 2020, 09:16:45 AM »
That's a first Davel. An admission from you that there is a 20% chance that Kate and Gerry McCann were involved in their daughter's disappearance.

A 20% improvement is better than nothing I suppose.  8((()*/

Am outta here.

Catch you at the finishing line mate. You can show me your workings then.
That'll be a first.  %77*

Wrong again monkey... You've forgotten about woke and wandered

Offline G-Unit

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #481 on: February 11, 2020, 10:08:52 AM »
I've supplied them many times before.... In fact I'm the only person who has... What do you think the odds, are.
I find posters, want to criticise my opinions but are unable to come up with anything themselves .
There are three options... Of course there, are variations on each..

Parental involvement and cover up
Abduction
Woke and wandered followed by accident or abduction

So what, are, your odds

I think your percentages are just a random guess based on your opinions, not on facts.
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #482 on: February 11, 2020, 10:12:03 AM »
I think your percentages are just a random guess based on your opinions, not on facts.

No based on facts...
What are the odds of the parents being involved... Based on the facts.  I think you have a, problem understanding and accepting the relevance of the facts

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #483 on: February 11, 2020, 11:02:26 AM »
I think your percentages are just a random guess based on your opinions, not on facts.

Two children disappear from their homes
First parents are teachers who have no history of child abuse or criminality

Second. Partner is not the child's parent... Both have a long history of drug abuse and have history of child abuse.


Is the likelihood of parental involvement the same in each case

Let's see if you can answer the question.. I predict you will avoid the question... Not a guess but based on facts
« Last Edit: February 11, 2020, 11:25:05 AM by Davel »

Offline The General

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #484 on: February 11, 2020, 11:14:16 AM »
No based on facts...
What are the odds of the parents being involved... Based on the facts.  I think you have a, problem understanding and accepting the relevance of the facts
A guess based on facts is a guess.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #485 on: February 11, 2020, 11:16:33 AM »
A guess based on facts is a guess.

No is not... It's an estimate

Offline The General

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #486 on: February 11, 2020, 11:27:09 AM »
No is not... It's an estimate
A guess then.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline G-Unit

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #487 on: February 11, 2020, 11:31:55 AM »
Two children disappear from their homes
First parents are teachers who have no history of child abuse or criminality

Second. Partner is not the child's parent... Both have a long history of drug abuse and have history of child abuse.


Is the likelihood of parental involvement the same in each case

Let's see if you can answer the question

Generalisations can be useful, but not reliable. There have been cases where people have raised no suspicions but they have committed crimes.

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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #488 on: February 11, 2020, 11:50:21 AM »
Generalisations can be useful, but not reliable. There have been cases where people have raised no suspicions but they have committed crimes.

I predicted you would avoid the question asked... And you did. I asked if the odds, were the same in each case.  You know they are not... That's based on facts not guesswork.

Offline G-Unit

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #489 on: February 11, 2020, 01:11:39 PM »
I predicted you would avoid the question asked... And you did. I asked if the odds, were the same in each case.  You know they are not... That's based on facts not guesswork.

Perhaps those with a 'dodgy' past are more likely to be scrutinised than those who are perceived as respectable, so more likely to be found out.

There's 'give a dog a bad name' which influenced the police in the Jill Dando investigation in my opinion. Then there's Myles Bradbury who hid behind his 'cloak of respectability' to bend hospital rules and regulations and hoodwink parents.
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #490 on: February 11, 2020, 01:23:23 PM »
Perhaps those with a 'dodgy' past are more likely to be scrutinised than those who are perceived as respectable, so more likely to be found out.

There's 'give a dog a bad name' which influenced the police in the Jill Dando investigation in my opinion. Then there's Myles Bradbury who hid behind his 'cloak of respectability' to bend hospital rules and regulations and hoodwink parents.

You've still failed to answer the question... As I predicted... How clever of me.. I think we all know why you can't answer it

Offline G-Unit

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #491 on: February 11, 2020, 02:06:57 PM »
You've still failed to answer the question... As I predicted... How clever of me.. I think we all know why you can't answer it

I have answered your question by rejecting the premises on which it is based.
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #492 on: February 11, 2020, 02:23:10 PM »
I have answered your question by rejecting the premises on which it is based.
It's not based on any premise... It's a simple question with a simple answer.  You can't face up to the answer... That's your problem

Offline The General

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #493 on: February 11, 2020, 02:28:35 PM »
You've still failed to answer the question... As I predicted... How clever of me.. I think we all know why you can't answer it
Jesus, there it is, prowling an obscure, niche internet forum - clairvoyant one-upmanship. An unmistakable trait of the archetypal 20th century oddity - the 'intellectual'.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Visits to the play area after tea. What is the truth?
« Reply #494 on: February 11, 2020, 02:59:36 PM »
Jesus, there it is, prowling an obscure, niche internet forum - clairvoyant one-upmanship. An unmistakable trait of the archetypal 20th century oddity - the 'intellectual'.

show a little respect General...if gunit wants to refer to my estimate...based on evidence....as guesswork then I need to put her in her place. I knew she wouldnt want to answer the question because by doing so she would prove herself wrong.