Statistically...what are the chances that Maddie was abducted..

[Mr Gray]

There remains a fundamental flaw in your presentation here.
See if you can spot it.

there is no flaw

[Alice Purjorick]

if you cannot understand that the probability of abduction is not one in several million......a fact which is patently clear...then any further discussion on the topic is futile

Who said it was ?
You are now joining the other sad old broke bookmaker who didn't understand the difference between odds and probability.

[Mr Gray]

looks like as only two posters have posted figures and mine are the only ones that add up to 100 then mine are the best posted so far

[stephen25000]

so you say 33 and a third for all three....at least that adds up to 100. so mccanns involvement 33.3%...yet they are not suspects....doesn't seem logical to me

Read again.

There is no evidence of any of the three possibilities that could result in a prosecution. So on that basis alone, they all 3 possibilities have an equal likelihood.

[stephen25000]

looks like as only two posters have posted figures and mine are the only ones that add up to 100 then mine are the best posted so far

Wrong yet again.

Try justifying your 'prediction'.

[Mr Gray]

Wrong yet again.

Try justifying your 'prediction'.

I have...try posting your prediction

[Mr Gray]

Read again.

There is no evidence of any of the three possibilities that could result in a prosecution. So on that basis alone, they all 3 possibilities have an equal likelihood.

of course they don't

[Alice Purjorick]

I am astounded too and it does tell us a lot...if sceptics cannot or refuse to accept a simple concept that is absolutely true and cannot be contested....what does that say for the rest of their judgements.....I rest my case

Thus far you have failed to make a case.

[Mr Gray]

Thus far you have failed to make a case.

in your opinion...i would say Alf and I have made very good points

[stephen25000]

Thus far you have failed to make a case.

He has no case and he certainly can't justify 95%.

[Mr Gray]

He has no case and he certainly can't justify 95%.

and you cannot justify 33

[stephen25000]

and you cannot justify 33

I have.

By the way it is 33.33 % reoccurring, with the 3 possible scenarios.

[Mr Gray]

I have.

By the way it is 33.33 % reoccurring, with the 3 possible scenarios.

never...what a surprise...what would it be if the parents had a long history of child abuse....drug abuse..children had been taken into care several times...still 33....

[jassi]

I have.

By the way it is 33.33 % reoccurring, with the 3 possible scenarios.

There could be a 4th - removal by 3rd party with consent

[Mr Gray]

There could be a 4th - removal by 3rd party with consent

that would be parental involvement