Author Topic: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?  (Read 110945 times)

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Offline Benice

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #105 on: May 26, 2014, 10:08:26 AM »
It is not at all surprising to me that the immediate thought of the father of a missing child was that paedophiles might well be involved.

I agree, especially in view of the fact that most abducted little girls have been the victims of a paedaphile in the past.    I also believe that most members of the public would have thought exactly the same on first hearing the news about Madeleine.     I know I did.
The notion that innocence prevails over guilt – when there is no evidence to the contrary – is what separates civilization from barbarism.    Unfortunately, there are remains of barbarism among us.    Until very recently, it headed the PJ in Portimão. I hope he was the last one.
                                               Henrique Monteiro, chief editor, Expresso, Portugal

Offline Eleanor

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #106 on: May 26, 2014, 10:12:54 AM »
I agree, especially in view of the fact that most abducted little girls have been the victims of a paedaphile in the past.    I also believe that most members of the public would have thought exactly the same on first hearing the news about Madeleine.     I know I did.

So did I.  I just hoped it wasn't true.

Offline slartibartfast

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #107 on: May 26, 2014, 10:15:18 AM »
I agree, especially in view of the fact that most abducted little girls have been the victims of a paedaphile in the past.    I also believe that most members of the public would have thought exactly the same on first hearing the news about Madeleine.     I know I did.

Wrong.
“Reasoning will never make a Man correct an ill Opinion, which by Reasoning he never acquired”.

Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #108 on: May 26, 2014, 10:26:17 AM »
So did I.  I just hoped it wasn't true.

Well you're alright there then, cos it aint true.
« Last Edit: May 26, 2014, 10:28:11 AM by Wonderfulspam »
Christian Brueckner Fan Club

Offline Eleanor

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #109 on: May 26, 2014, 10:36:42 AM »
Well you're alright there then, cos it aint true.

I still hope that Madeleine was taken to be adopted by a family.  But that's the difference between you and me.  I hope for the best while you hope for the worst.  In fact it is the major difference between the two sides.

Offline jassi

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #110 on: May 26, 2014, 10:41:00 AM »
I still hope that Madeleine was taken to be adopted by a family.  But that's the difference between you and me.  I hope for the best while you hope for the worst.  In fact it is the major difference between the two sides.

I would have thought those who pursue the idea of abduction by paedophile are the ones looking for the worst outcome.

Nothing good would come out of that scenario.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Offline Eleanor

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #111 on: May 26, 2014, 10:46:51 AM »
I would have thought those who pursue the idea of abduction by paedophile are the ones looking for the worst outcome.

Nothing good would come out of that scenario.

Nothing good will come out of wishing Madeleine dead.

Offline jassi

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #112 on: May 26, 2014, 10:51:30 AM »
Nothing good will come out of wishing Madeleine dead.

True, but only disappointment is likely to come out of hoping she is still alive.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Offline Eleanor

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #113 on: May 26, 2014, 10:57:51 AM »
True, but only disappointment is likely to come out of hoping she is still alive.

You simply do not know this.  And I would rather be disappointed than decide without proof that a small girl is dead.

Offline jassi

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #114 on: May 26, 2014, 11:02:34 AM »
You simply do not know this.  And I would rather be disappointed than decide without proof that a small girl is dead.

I would rather be realistic.

If I'm wrong, then there might be a happy outcome, whereas if you are wrong, there cannot be one.
I believe everything. And l believe nothing.
I suspect everyone. And l suspect no one.
I gather the facts, examine the clues... and before   you know it, the case is solved!"

Or maybe not -

OG have been pushed out by the Germans who have reserved all the deck chairs for the foreseeable future

Offline Wonderfulspam

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #115 on: May 26, 2014, 11:09:41 AM »
You simply do not know this.  And I would rather be disappointed than decide without proof that a small girl is dead.

I spose you still reckon it was Tannerman what took her n'all.

Christian Brueckner Fan Club

Offline Benice

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #116 on: May 26, 2014, 12:06:09 PM »
At which point and using what method was the McCann's word thoroughly tested by SY? You are just guessing.

The only reference I recall is a forensic examination of the timeline. What forensic examination? Using which method? A pen and paper? A high tech software program? Certainly not a real live actual reconstruction. After all that would have been far too risky for the McCann's chums.

Do you have any idea or will your answer just be another supposition?

If you really believe that SY did not thoroughly investigate the parents as their No. 1 priority, but just took their word for it that they did not dispose of their dead child's body then you are being very disingenuous IMO.

The family are always the first people to be investigated so that they can be ruled in or ruled out at the very beginning.    I thought everyone knew that.

If you can at tell me how a one off reconstruction could be carried out and how the PJ would deal with the problem that only approximate timelines were able to be given by 10 different people - I would be very glad to hear it. 

 





The notion that innocence prevails over guilt – when there is no evidence to the contrary – is what separates civilization from barbarism.    Unfortunately, there are remains of barbarism among us.    Until very recently, it headed the PJ in Portimão. I hope he was the last one.
                                               Henrique Monteiro, chief editor, Expresso, Portugal

Offline pathfinder73

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #117 on: May 26, 2014, 12:53:56 PM »
If you really believe that SY did not thoroughly investigate the parents as their No. 1 priority, but just took their word for it that they did not dispose of their dead child's body then you are being very disingenuous IMO.

The family are always the first people to be investigated so that they can be ruled in or ruled out at the very beginning.    I thought everyone knew that.

If you can at tell me how a one off reconstruction could be carried out and how the PJ would deal with the problem that only approximate timelines were able to be given by 10 different people - I would be very glad to hear it.

They'll be last to be thoroughly investigated in this high profile media driven case after all other possibilities are first ruled out. But I can conclude that Smithman is being tracked from the wasteland to the church vicinity in these new searches to hopefully find clues into the disappearance of Madeleine or Maddy as she presented herself to the nanny Charlotte Pennington.
Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #118 on: May 26, 2014, 02:02:17 PM »
Not completely, you still believe fairy tales.

I believe what is supported by evidence.  As the archiving report found no evidence to show that the mccanns were involved in any crime...as SY have declared that they are not suspects...as they have never been arrested or charged....I believe they are not criminally involved in Maddies disappearance..

What do you base your beliefs on

Offline pathfinder73

Re: Amaral's Hypothesis - credible or not?
« Reply #119 on: May 26, 2014, 02:40:50 PM »
They're tracking Smithman right now for evidence and Amaral was tracking him when he was removed from the case.
Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 10:03. Both are still unidentified 10 years later.