Author Topic: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?  (Read 130032 times)

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Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #210 on: June 16, 2019, 09:55:02 PM »
Not quite as SIL uses different words to describe the subgroups.  If he was to reply to your post then we might all agree on the descriptions of the 3 buckets, as we call them, to cover 100% of all likely eventualities.

could you show where sil has described the subgroups...sil has replied and confirmed he is giving 60% probbability to something he dosnt know about...that is plain daft

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #211 on: June 16, 2019, 09:57:23 PM »
You omitted to included alien abduction as a forth possibility so those three can't be 100%.

I havernt omitted anything...alien abduction is abduction

Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #212 on: June 16, 2019, 09:59:36 PM »
could you show where sil has described the subgroups...sil has replied and confirmed he is giving 60% probbability to something he dosnt know about...that is plain daft
Well until I see it in his own words I can't be sure but VS gave a partial description here http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=10798.msg536825#msg536825
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #213 on: June 16, 2019, 10:06:57 PM »
Well until I see it in his own words I can't be sure but VS gave a partial description here http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=10798.msg536825#msg536825

You wont see it in his own words ..hes had 6 hours to provide an expalnation...his support of his claim is
thats how science works
hes seen it on police tv programmes
he has  arazor sharp scientific mind

all ludicrous...hes been caught out and he knows it

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #214 on: June 16, 2019, 10:10:04 PM »
Quote from: Vertigo Swirl on Today at 06:26:27 PM
I wonder if anyone else supports SIL’s views that that sum of all possibilities does not have to add up to a 100% .  In fact doesn’t SIL have woke and wandered, abduction and parental involvement adding up to 30%?  *%87

sil replied

I believe in the absence of evidence, I actually made it around 40%,


confirmation that sil claims....  w and w ...abduction...parental involvement.....equalls 40%

Offline ShiningInLuz

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #215 on: June 16, 2019, 10:25:45 PM »
Quote from: Vertigo Swirl on Today at 06:26:27 PM
I wonder if anyone else supports SIL’s views that that sum of all possibilities does not have to add up to a 100% .  In fact doesn’t SIL have woke and wandered, abduction and parental involvement adding up to 30%?  *%87

sil replied

I believe in the absence of evidence, I actually made it around 40%,


confirmation that sil claims....  w and w ...abduction...parental involvement.....equalls 40%

Don't apply to Edinburgh University.    3 C's wont cut it.

You have to know what you don't know.

In your case, if you are so sure, inform OG.  It will cut a long story short, and save the taxpayers millions.
What's up, old man?

Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #216 on: June 16, 2019, 10:28:15 PM »
Don't apply to Edinburgh University.    3 C's wont cut it.

You have to know what you don't know.

In your case, if you are so sure, inform OG.  It will cut a long story short, and save the taxpayers millions.
I am looking forward to the day you make a post that actually makes sense and addresses the point in the post replied to.  Will I have to wait long do you think?
"You can't reason with the unreasonable".

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #217 on: June 16, 2019, 10:32:42 PM »
Don't apply to Edinburgh University.    3 C's wont cut it.

You have to know what you don't know.

In your case, if you are so sure, inform OG.  It will cut a long story short, and save the taxpayers millions.

I actually took 4 a levels  physics chemistry double maths and two s levels in physics and maths......I did far better tahtn 3 C's even thogh i took my A's and S's a yera ahead of schedule. This was so a small group of us could apply to Oxbridge having already gained our grades.....

dont assume others on this forum have not had a decent education

Offline ShiningInLuz

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #218 on: June 16, 2019, 10:34:35 PM »
I am looking forward to the day you make a post that actually makes sense and addresses the point in the post replied to.  Will I have to wait long do you think?

As I do it every time, when will you be less impertinent?
What's up, old man?

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #219 on: June 16, 2019, 10:37:07 PM »
As I do it every time, when will you be less impertinent?

you raised the hitch hikers guide today...did you know 42 is  a special number...if you add the inverse of its prime factors to the inverse of itself...the result is one

Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #220 on: June 16, 2019, 10:38:31 PM »
As I do it every time, when will you be less impertinent?
Another false statement.  You do not address posts, you do not supply cites, you do not explain yourself, you do post nonsense which you expect us to swallow unquestioningly, and you deliberately try to goad me with every post you make.  If thats not impertinent tell me what is!
"You can't reason with the unreasonable".

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #221 on: June 16, 2019, 10:39:47 PM »
As I do it every time, when will you be less impertinent?

you have failed to provide any suport to your 40% claim

Offline ShiningInLuz

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #222 on: June 16, 2019, 10:40:18 PM »
I actually took 4 a levels  physics chemistry double maths and two s levels in physics and maths......I did far better tahtn 3 C's even thogh i took my A's and S's a yera ahead of schedule. This was so a small group of us could apply to Oxbridge having already gained our grades.....

dont assume others on this forum have not had a decent education

Don't worry about it.

True colours are beautiful.  Like a rainbow.
What's up, old man?

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #223 on: June 16, 2019, 10:41:24 PM »
Don't apply to Edinburgh University.    3 C's wont cut it.

You have to know what you don't know.

In your case, if you are so sure, inform OG.  It will cut a long story short, and save the taxpayers millions.

why will informinf SY of  abasic statistical fact save millions...explain if you can...Im sure you cannot

Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #224 on: June 16, 2019, 10:42:46 PM »
Don't worry about it.

True colours are beautiful.  Like a rainbow.
Oh man, it’s Cyndi Lauper.
"You can't reason with the unreasonable".