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Author Topic: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?  (Read 129905 times)

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Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #525 on: June 21, 2019, 05:57:34 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 05:32:38 PM
Who is Ben please.
Ben Needham IIRC. He went missing in Cyprus IIRC.
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Offline barrier

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #526 on: June 21, 2019, 06:03:16 PM »
Quote from: Robittybob1 on June 21, 2019, 05:57:34 PM
Ben Needham IIRC. He went missing in Cyprus IIRC.

Professional police opinion is that he died in a accident, so no abduction. Greece actually Rob.
"It is my professional belief that Ben Needham died as a result of an accident near to the farmhouse in Iraklis where he was last seen playing.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/17/ben-needham-was-killed-in-accident-near-farmhouse-say-police/
« Last Edit: June 21, 2019, 06:06:01 PM by Robittybob1 »
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Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #527 on: June 21, 2019, 06:09:43 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:03:16 PM
Professional police opinion is that he died in a accident, so no abduction. Greece actually Rob.
"It is my professional belief that Ben Needham died as a result of an accident near to the farmhouse in Iraklis where he was last seen playing.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/17/ben-needham-was-killed-in-accident-near-farmhouse-say-police/
Fair enough, but it was Ben and Madeleine that were being used by Cheeky Monkey (CM) as a way of establishing a rate for abducted kids.  So was CM wrong to use Ben Needham?
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Offline Eleanor

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #528 on: June 21, 2019, 06:18:26 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:03:16 PM
Professional police opinion is that he died in a accident, so no abduction. Greece actually Rob.
"It is my professional belief that Ben Needham died as a result of an accident near to the farmhouse in Iraklis where he was last seen playing.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/17/ben-needham-was-killed-in-accident-near-farmhouse-say-police/

Professional Opinion.  They don't actually know.  No Body was found.
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Offline barrier

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #529 on: June 21, 2019, 06:19:45 PM »
Quote from: Eleanor on June 21, 2019, 06:18:26 PM
Professional Opinion.  They don't actually know.  No Body was found.

Well the search stopped.
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Offline barrier

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #530 on: June 21, 2019, 06:20:20 PM »
Quote from: Robittybob1 on June 21, 2019, 06:09:43 PM
Fair enough, but it was Ben and Madeleine that were being used by Cheeky Monkey (CM) as a way of establishing a rate for abducted kids.  So was CM wrong to use Ben Needham?

I couldn't possibly comment.
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Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #531 on: June 21, 2019, 06:23:38 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Well the search stopped.
So what are the odds of a toddler wandering off and never being seen again? 
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Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #532 on: June 21, 2019, 06:24:58 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:20:20 PM
I couldn't possibly comment.
It is a forum where you are allowed to comment.
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Offline barrier

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #533 on: June 21, 2019, 06:25:07 PM »
Quote from: Vertigo Swirl on June 21, 2019, 06:23:38 PM
So what are the odds of a toddler wandering off and never being seen again?

It clearly happens.
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Offline barrier

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #534 on: June 21, 2019, 06:26:37 PM »
Quote from: Robittybob1 on June 21, 2019, 06:24:58 PM
It is a forum where you are allowed to comment.

Not a fan of yes minister then.
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Offline jassi

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #535 on: June 21, 2019, 06:29:29 PM »
Quote from: Robittybob1 on June 21, 2019, 06:24:58 PM
It is a forum where you are allowed to comment.


Indeed. but only if you choose to.
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Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #536 on: June 21, 2019, 06:32:23 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:25:07 PM
It clearly happens.
It does, but it’s incredibly rare, therefore the odds must be billions to one. 
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Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #537 on: June 21, 2019, 06:33:33 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:25:07 PM
It clearly happens.
A wandering child is a vulnerable child.  There was a notable Australian case.  Forgot the name sorry.
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Offline barrier

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #538 on: June 21, 2019, 06:34:21 PM »
Quote from: Vertigo Swirl on June 21, 2019, 06:32:23 PM
It does, but it’s incredibly rare, therefore the odds must be billions to one.

It can't be ruled out, can it?
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Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #539 on: June 21, 2019, 06:35:41 PM »
Quote from: barrier on June 21, 2019, 06:34:21 PM
It can't be ruled out, can it?
No, and neither can stranger abduction, I’m sure you agree.
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