Author Topic: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?  (Read 129751 times)

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Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #765 on: April 11, 2020, 08:57:45 PM »
im not ...what are the odds of the three possibiliteis..

parental involvement...1% but probbaly less
woke and wandered....a generous 20% ...given the fact the archiving report said highly unlikely...
abduction...79% by default
OK.....let's try again. VS wanted the odds of it happening AFTER it happened.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #766 on: April 11, 2020, 09:01:59 PM »
im not ...what are the odds of the three possibiliteis..

parental involvement...1% but probbaly less
woke and wandered....a generous 20% ...given the fact the archiving report said highly unlikely...
abduction...79% by default
Besides, there are other possibilities.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #767 on: April 11, 2020, 09:03:04 PM »
OK.....let's try again. VS wanted the odds of it happening AFTER it happened.
The odds of Madeleine being abducted after she was abducted??  No, that’s not what I asked. 
"You can't reason with the unreasonable".

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #768 on: April 11, 2020, 09:06:31 PM »
The odds of Madeleine being abducted after she was abducted??  No, that’s not what I asked.
Yes you did, look:
After of course

We've established Gerry could have dramatically reduced those odds if he'd have locked the door as a minimum control measure. There are others that would reduce those odds down exponentially, having a much more significant impact.
The odds? Before or after?

After of course
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #769 on: April 11, 2020, 09:11:09 PM »
Besides, there are other possibilities.

you have to evade....so what other possibilities are there

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #770 on: April 11, 2020, 09:14:20 PM »
Besides, there are other possibilities.

cite...havent heard taht for a long time...cite for other possibilities

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #771 on: April 11, 2020, 09:19:22 PM »
you have to evade....so what other possibilities are there
- Decided to leave of her own volition, sick of Kate's shit.
- One of the party adopted her - parental involvement, admittedly
- Sold on the black market - also parental involvement
- She never existed
- She hid in an unknown cubby or compartment in the apartment and is still there

Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #772 on: April 11, 2020, 09:37:50 PM »
- Decided to leave of her own volition, sick of Kate's shit.
- One of the party adopted her - parental involvement, admittedly
- Sold on the black market - also parental involvement
- She never existed
- She hid in an unknown cubby or compartment in the apartment and is still there
they say it takes years to build a reputation and afew minutes to ruin it

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #773 on: April 11, 2020, 09:47:15 PM »
they say it takes years to build a reputation and afew minutes to ruin it
What reputation? My reputation was in tatters long before joining this obscure forum. A little matter of a limpet mine on the 'wrong' vessel in Aden in '93. They all look the same at night with full SCUBA on.

I mean, have they checked? For a cubby hole? Probably not. Is it a possibility, irrespective of how small? Yes.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #774 on: April 11, 2020, 09:49:19 PM »
What reputation? My reputation was in tatters long before joining this obscure forum. A little matter of a limpet mine on the 'wrong' vessel in Aden in '93. They all look the same at night with full SCUBA on.

I mean, have they checked? For a cubby hole? Probably not. Is it a possibility, irrespective of how small? Yes.
No.. Ptsd perchance

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #775 on: April 11, 2020, 09:58:37 PM »
No.. Ptsd perchance
Could be. They briefly ran out of tea at the mess at Brize Norton one morning. That was an ordeal let me tell you.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #776 on: April 11, 2020, 10:03:09 PM »
Could be. They briefly ran out of tea at the mess at Brize Norton one morning. That was an ordeal let me tell you.

I'm sorry.. Didn't realise things could get that bad... I think we just dont realise just how tough it gets for the forces sometime... Was there any coffee for back up

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #777 on: April 11, 2020, 10:14:41 PM »
I'm sorry.. Didn't realise things could get that bad... I think we just dont realise just how tough it gets for the forces sometime... Was there any coffee for back up
Apparently there was coffee. Any port in a storm and all that, but not for me.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Vertigo Swirl

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #778 on: April 11, 2020, 10:45:57 PM »
Yes you did, look:
We've established Gerry could have dramatically reduced those odds if he'd have locked the door as a minimum control measure. There are others that would reduce those odds down exponentially, having a much more significant impact.
The odds? Before or after?

After of course
*%87 After “it” (the disappearance) happened, not the odds of abduction happening after the abduction.  Jesus.  What parallel universe of nonsense have I stepped into?
"You can't reason with the unreasonable".

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #779 on: April 11, 2020, 10:55:47 PM »
*%87 After “it” (the disappearance) happened, not the odds of abduction happening after the abduction.  Jesus.  What parallel universe of nonsense have I stepped into?
'It' being one of a number of potential outcomes, one of which is still abduction. You specifically said 'after'. So, if you like, after 'it'.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.