The big question is, had Gonçalo Amaral not been removed from his post as Coordinator of the Madeleine McCann investigation what would have happened?
Failure to elicit a confession from either parent certainly threw a spanner into the works. Is there one of the infamous 48 which would have lent one iota towards adding to the sum of knowledge of what might have happened to Madeleine.
I think not.
Is it possible he would have run with the dogs and Madeleine's DNA in the Renault? If he had is it possible the Portuguese prosecutors would have accepted that as grounds for prosecution?
Bearing in mind they were not idiots and they would have access to the final FSS information as well as being all too aware of the eyes of the world and the excellent legal representation enjoyed by the Drs McCann ... I think not.
That would have left him with Mr Smith's change of statement.
I think the prosecutors would have studied Mr McCluskey's statement and taken that into account.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/RI_Mc.htmOnly Mr Smith added to his statement with the other members of the Smith family whose statements we have seen in the files disagreeing with him.
It was decided that there had not been sufficient evidence to make the Drs McCann arguidos in the first instance. Had Goncalo Amaral waited a couple of days before doing so a change in Portuguese law would thus have ensured that they were not made arguidos in the first place.
There was no evidence which allowed it.
Therefore had he not been sacked and had he proceeded down the road of trying to bring Madeleine's parents to trial I think the proper implementation of Portuguese jurisprudence would have entailed him ending up with egg on his face. If there was no evidence ... and there was none ... there would have been no trial.
I think nothing exemplifies his professional inadequacies more than his pursuit of the Drs McCann, preferably Kate, and is a perfect illustration of why he should never have been allowed near a missing child case.
The pursuit of and the traducing of the chief investigator's preferred suspects right from the word go illustrates that the plight or fate of the missing child seemed to take a back seat to his need to prosecute (the mother?).
As far as I know police investigations pursue evidence which can lead to another - and another - and another - or perhaps a dead end when another avenue of investigation needs to be followed.
I think the outcome would have been much the same without his sacking and I think he would have been moved so far sideways he would have had no option but resignation.
The only difference I could see being that were he arrogant enough still to write and promote his theory in a book ... it would not have enjoyed the same kudos as it would have been plain to all that his theory did not stand the test of a Portuguese court as there was no evidence to get it there.