Author Topic: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata  (Read 294500 times)

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Offline Brietta

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #885 on: November 18, 2018, 09:11:29 AM »
The prosecutor says the McCanns  stayed at the Ocean Club all week and they had no contacts in Portugal. That information, in my opinion, came from the McCanns and their friends as I can see no evidence that the PJ investigated those matters.

Really???  Exactly just how incompetent do you believe the Policia Judiciaria to have been when conducting the investigation into Madeleine's case?
"All I'm going to say is that we've conducted a very serious investigation and there's no indication that Madeleine McCann's parents are connected to her disappearance. On the other hand, we have a lot of evidence pointing out that Christian killed her," Wolter told the "Friday at 9"....

Offline G-Unit

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #886 on: November 18, 2018, 09:30:52 AM »
Really???  Exactly just how incompetent do you believe the Policia Judiciaria to have been when conducting the investigation into Madeleine's case?

Did the prosecutor check or just assume?
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Offline G-Unit

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #887 on: November 18, 2018, 09:43:35 AM »
It says it's not necessarily indicative and cannot be extrapolated... I would add it cannot be ignored

Suggesting it raises questions about other dogs and handlers does not contradict either statement...

It raises, serious questions that need to be answered to understand the true reliability of the alerts


It says not necessarily indicative.... Not.... Not indicative

No matter what you say, this study has no relevance to any other dog trainer.handler.
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #888 on: November 18, 2018, 09:45:08 AM »
No matter what you say, this study has no relevance to any other dog trainer.handler.

That's your opinion and is totally wrong... It is absolutely relevant... Operator bias has already been discussed re the alerts... This, study proved it can be a major factor
« Last Edit: November 18, 2018, 09:47:25 AM by Davel »

Offline G-Unit

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #889 on: November 18, 2018, 10:55:02 AM »
That's your opinion and is totally wrong... It is absolutely relevant... Operator bias has already been discussed re the alerts... This, study proved it can be a major factor

As far as I know the experiment was never repeated, therefore it was never verified. In order to be scientifically reliable repeatability is required.  One study doesn't create data which can be used to generalise.
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #890 on: November 18, 2018, 11:20:25 AM »
As far as I know the experiment was never repeated, therefore it was never verified. In order to be scientifically reliable repeatability is required.  One study doesn't create data which can be used to generalise.

the study is enough to raise questions about the reliability of alerts. Without proper scientific tests its erroneous to claim the alerts have any reliability...they simply have not been properly tested...this study certainly does raise some issues re the reliability.

I have said before that just because a dog has  95% record in telling the difference between a contaminated article and a non contaminated article.... Does not mean that aletts given in the type of search carried out in Luz are 95% accurate
« Last Edit: November 18, 2018, 11:41:30 AM by Davel »

Offline Robittybob1

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #891 on: November 18, 2018, 04:22:16 PM »
No matter what you say, this study has no relevance to any other dog trainer.handler.
Why not?
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #892 on: November 18, 2018, 04:40:52 PM »
Why not?

its probably the most significant information re the alerts in the last 10 years
« Last Edit: November 18, 2018, 04:43:07 PM by Davel »

Offline Brietta

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #893 on: November 18, 2018, 04:46:03 PM »
Did the prosecutor check or just assume?

You mean the Policia Judiciaria didn't present a final report to the Prosecutors for their perusal?  Surely that was either terribly remiss of them or you just haven't read the files properly.
"All I'm going to say is that we've conducted a very serious investigation and there's no indication that Madeleine McCann's parents are connected to her disappearance. On the other hand, we have a lot of evidence pointing out that Christian killed her," Wolter told the "Friday at 9"....

Offline Robittybob1

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #894 on: November 18, 2018, 05:03:49 PM »
its probably the most significant information re the alerts in the last 10 years
The suggestion that the study needs to be repeated is sensible. 
Moderation
John has instructed all moderators to take a very strong line with posters who constantly breach the rules of this forum.  This sniping, goading, name calling and other various forms of disruption will cease.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #895 on: November 18, 2018, 05:15:51 PM »
The suggestion that the study needs to be repeated is sensible.

of course it is....the suggestion it has no relevance isnt...

the whole point is that there are not enough studies to make claims about reliability...there needs to be more if the alerts are tobe taken seriously

The question is why are dog handlers not organising more proper studies...   are they frightened at being caught out
« Last Edit: November 18, 2018, 05:24:20 PM by Davel »

Offline Brietta

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #896 on: November 18, 2018, 05:30:28 PM »
of course it is....the suggestion it has no relevance isnt...

the whole point is that there are not enough studies to make claims about reliability...there needs to be more if the alerts are tobe taken seriously

The question is why are dog handlers not organising more proper studies...   are they frightened at being caught out

Just started reading this so haven't formed an opinion yet ... but I thought this pertinent to the discussion.

Page 6
1.1.2 Effectiveness and Limitations
Cadaver dogs have been a forensic tool for over 50 years, but there is little scientific research into their effectiveness and limitations.
Unlike DNA analysis, cadaver dogs have not been scientifically validated and thus, their evidence in court is often viewed with caution
https://opus.lib.uts.edu.au/bitstream/10453/62158/2/02whole.pdf
"All I'm going to say is that we've conducted a very serious investigation and there's no indication that Madeleine McCann's parents are connected to her disappearance. On the other hand, we have a lot of evidence pointing out that Christian killed her," Wolter told the "Friday at 9"....

Offline Alice Purjorick

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #897 on: November 18, 2018, 06:39:51 PM »
Can you suggest any reason it would be different?  Basically the same breeds are used, same anatomy, similar training methods I'd imagine (dogs rewarded for successful find).

I do not know
The question was why do YOU think it will be the same or similar?



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Offline G-Unit

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #898 on: November 18, 2018, 06:47:36 PM »
Why not?

If another group of handlers and dogs took the same test the results could be completely different.
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Offline Mr Gray

Re: Cadaver dogs are unreliable - Eugene Zapata
« Reply #899 on: November 18, 2018, 06:51:33 PM »
If another group of handlers and dogs took the same test the results could be completely different.

The test has given an indication that handler bias plays a part in the alerts... Itis a significant result