Eddie's alert in the garden

[pathfinder73]

How do you equate 88% & the distance, as detailed in the statistics above, with the Smithman sighting?

If death happened and she was discovered close to the crime scene then time of death could be established. Maybe the perps didn't want that to happen because time of death can lead you straight to them.

[misty]

If death happened and she was discovered close to the crime scene then time of death could be established. Maybe the perps didn't want that to happen because time of death can lead you straight to them.

If that was the case, then the perp would have locked the apartment doors & carried out no checks, maintaining a consistent alibi at the bar.

[pegasus]

This is an interesting read - David Guilfoyle murder - start at page 60. http://library.college.police.uk/docs/J_Homicide_MII/J_Homicide_10.2.pdf

Despite knowing where the victim was buried, it took a tremendous amount of effort to locate his remains in a shallow grave & there was no alert  by the cadaver dogs.

Very interesting reading. The grave was hand-dug (no spade!) and covered by only about 6 inches of soil. It was discovered about 7 and a half years later.

[pathfinder73]

If that was the case, then the perp would have locked the apartment doors & carried out no checks, maintaining a consistent alibi at the bar.

If death happened it could have been established at a time before they left for the tapas bar.

[jassi]

I imagine you would want a day or two between death and discovery in order to obscure an accurate time of death.

[misty]

If death happened it could have been established at a time before they left for the tapas bar.

Death must have occurred before they left for the Tapas Bar if you accept Eddie's alerts are directly attributable to Madeleine, thus ruling out a woke & wandered scenario.
How do you therefore account for the DCS saying the police had a "much fuller understanding" of the circumstances surrounding Madeleine's disappearance AFTER interviewing POI in Portugal?

[pegasus]

Death must have occurred before they left for the Tapas Bar if you accept Eddie's alerts are directly attributable to Madeleine,... (snip)

IMO the correctness of that hypothesis depends on what basic assumptions one starts off from.

[pegasus]

Snip) ....thus ruling out a woke & wandered scenario (snip)

IMO if Eddie's alerts at that property are relevant then they rule out the wandered onto street scenario.

[mercury]

This is an interesting read - David Guilfoyle murder - start at page 60. http://library.college.police.uk/docs/J_Homicide_MII/J_Homicide_10.2.pdf

Despite knowing where the victim was buried, it took a tremendous amount of effort to locate his remains in a shallow grave & there was no alert  by the cadaver dogs.

Ive read it now, police and dogs were obviously taken to the wrong place. What is the relevance to this case?

[pegasus]

(snip) How do you therefore account for the DCS saying the police had a "much fuller understanding" of the circumstances surrounding Madeleine's disappearance AFTER interviewing POI in Portugal?

Misty do you mean this which was said by MR ?
"This work has enabled us to better understand events in Praia da Luz the night Madeleine McCann went missing ..."

[pegasus]

Ive read it now, police and dogs were obviously taken to the wrong place. What is the relevance to this case?

Yes the perp's initial directions given from jail were inadequate. And his directions later when taken to the area were IMO inaccurate because in the 7+ years since the crime the terrain had changed from thick woodland to fairly open.

[misty]

Misty do you mean this which was said by MR ?
"This work has enabled us to better understand events in Praia da Luz the night Madeleine McCann went missing ..."

Probably. I thought I'd read an updated version by MD a few days back but must be mistaken.

[pegasus]

Probably. I thought I'd read an updated version by MD a few days back but must be mistaken.

Quite possible you did Misty. This from the Sun recently quotes MD "The police chief admitted detectives did not have a 'full understanding' of what happened to Madeleine or why she was taken" maybe implies they think they have some understanding?
 

[misty]

Quite possible you did Misty. This from the Sun recently quotes MD "The police chief admitted detectives did not have a 'full understanding' of what happened to Madeleine or why she was taken" maybe implies they think they have some understanding?

That was probably the one (my NewsNow links are playing up).

We roughly know the "when", SY refer to the "what" & the "why" but there is a deafening silence on the "who".

[pathfinder73]

Death must have occurred before they left for the Tapas Bar if you accept Eddie's alerts are directly attributable to Madeleine, thus ruling out a woke & wandered scenario.
How do you therefore account for the DCS saying the police had a "much fuller understanding" of the circumstances surrounding Madeleine's disappearance AFTER interviewing POI in Portugal?

That would lead to a new arguido. Somebody who was saved or had great fortune because Goncalo Amaral didn't see a statement given in May 2007.