Then perhaps Sadie, you can provide us with the percentage of missing children that have been abducted.
Of course I cant. None of us know just how many children have been abducted from their homes. We are just scratching the surface on this forum. There will be many more that we have never heard of.
But it is patently obvious with the few instances that I have mentioned that 0.0000017 is totally wrong. That figure is plainly rubbish.
Remember that Alice was quoting for the likelihood of Madeleine being missing from abduction, rather than from walking out or being murdered.
He is not quoting for any child that might be abducted from the worlds population of non-missing children. Even then I doubt he is right.
Where did your statistics go wrong, Alice?
I hate statistics, They can be made to falsely prove anything, just by slight alterations to the basic info fed in.
Oh, and they put me to sleep
To remind you of Alices statistical prediction,
which was following on from discussion about the likelihood of Madeleine having died in accident or the other possibilities for her being missing. He changed the basic data fed in or he guessed at a figure, cos it couldn't in his wildest dreams have come out at 0.0000017
Abduction by stranger probability 0.0000017.
I am sure someone can show it isn't with appropriate cites and calcs. etc if it isn't.
If Alice stands by this figure perhaps he can provide us with his calculations.
