what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?

[Robittybob1]

The concept of path of least resistance is innate.
The patio door was open.

Nothing about this case is innate IMO.

[Eleanor]

Nothing about this case is innate IMO.

What does Innate mean, in this context?

[Wonderfulspam]

Could they have had a discussion with Cheeky Monkey?

The odds of a woke and wandered or even an abduction might be greater than life forming on planet Earth.  Truly amazing stuff.

Singing......"The chances of anything coming from Mars, are million to one, he said"

[Wonderfulspam]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6YwFvmnbj3E

[Robittybob1]

Does this mean Madeleine is the first British child to ever have been abducted by a stranger abroad? In that case it's every single child who has ever been abroad and never been abducted by a stranger/1.

See what I mean, whatever way you look at it, you're up the creek without a paddle. You're all in on the one.

Good luck! 

Every time a UK child goes abroad  is there a chance that it gets abducted.  I don't see any special protection being applied to UK children.
So sooner or later a UK will be abducted. What is stopping it?

[Robittybob1]

What does Innate mean, in this context?

"PHILOSOPHY
originating in the mind."  You won't find the solution simply by using your mind.

[Wonderfulspam]

That's exactly what he said. Well done.

Now I'm trying to decide if the known fact they waited for 41 minutes to report their daughter's abduction has any bearing on the calculable odds. Have you ever been burgled, found your daughter missing and waited 41 minutes to call the police.

Giving your daughter's abductor a 41 minute head start so to speak? You ever done that?

Singing......"The chances of any stranger abducting Madeleine, are fifty seven million to one, before you factor in the known facts in he said" 

[Parky41]

Singing......"The chances of any stranger abducting Madeleine, are fifty seven million to one, before you factor in the known facts in he said" 

[Parky41]

I cannot think of anything even remotely coherent to say.

[The General]

What does Innate mean, in this context?

No doubt Rob Googled the literal meaning.
Good luck with that.

It's a quite simple concept; MM would have known the patio door was open, so no need to find another exit.
Even for a 3 year old, the 'innate' nature of time-saving and path of least resistance is strong.
Jesus.

[Vertigo Swirl]

What Intelligent Life?

[Vertigo Swirl]

It would be even more interesting to know what the odds of Planet Earth being the only planet in the universe with intelligent life has to do with the odds of Madeleine McCann's abduction.

Well?

A massive statistical improbability does not mean it didn’t happen.  We are all proof of that fact.

[Eleanor]

That's exactly what he said. Well done.

Now I'm trying to decide if the known fact they waited for 41 minutes to report their daughter's abduction has any bearing on the calculable odds. Have you ever been burgled, found your daughter missing and waited 41 minutes to call the police.

Giving your daughter's abductor a 41 minute head start so to speak? You ever done that?

This is a distortion of the Facts.  You are at it again.  Stop this now.

[Eleanor]

"PHILOSOPHY
originating in the mind."  You won't find the solution simply by using your mind.

Oh Dear.  That's all I ever do.

[Mr Gray]

Madeleine being abducted by a stranger is the massive statistical improbability on this thread. There's no proof for that ONE. You still don't get it I see.

I doubt you, like some others are ever going to get the hang of the odds, but just as long as you keep coming back and proving it, I'll keep on plugging away.

Madeleine being abducted by a stranger is highly likely... You just won't listen to reason