Author Topic: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?  (Read 130053 times)

0 Members and 19 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #315 on: June 19, 2019, 09:06:08 PM »
Did the dog alert in any of the other apartments other than the McCanns? There is a factual answer to that question.

they were not given an equal opportunity to alert in the other apartments

Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #316 on: June 19, 2019, 09:06:35 PM »
I don't do theories, I do, do calculable odds based on hard statistical facts though. I'll let the figures do the talking in this case.
So you say.
But saying it is a "stranger abduction" is a theory. 
Moderation
John has instructed all moderators to take a very strong line with posters who constantly breach the rules of this forum.  This sniping, goading, name calling and other various forms of disruption will cease.

Offline Eleanor

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #317 on: June 19, 2019, 09:07:41 PM »
What's a fact?
Opinions come into Odds.

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #318 on: June 19, 2019, 09:10:02 PM »
Opinions come into Odds.
That's actually incorrect. You backed the wrong horse Eleanor.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #319 on: June 19, 2019, 09:10:49 PM »
This isn't a question about what they were alerting to, or the alerts authenticity. It's a simple one, did the dog handler say the dog alerted to property other than that of the McCanns? That's a yes or no question.

when you calculate statistics you have to workout the value of your evidence

Offline Eleanor

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #320 on: June 19, 2019, 09:11:11 PM »
That's actually incorrect. You backed the wrong horse Eleanor.

In Your Opinion.

Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #321 on: June 19, 2019, 09:12:02 PM »
This isn't a question about what they were alerting to, or the alerts authenticity. It's a simple one, did the dog handler say the dog alerted to property other than that of the McCanns? That's a yes or no question.
Have you ever heard the term "sting operation"?
Moderation
John has instructed all moderators to take a very strong line with posters who constantly breach the rules of this forum.  This sniping, goading, name calling and other various forms of disruption will cease.

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #322 on: June 19, 2019, 09:12:20 PM »
they were not given an equal opportunity to alert in the other apartments
That's mainly due to the rather pertinent fact that ONLY ONE OF THEM WAS WHERE SHE WENT MISSING FROM!
'Let's let the dogs search 5A'
'Nah, let's search the kitchens at the Tapas Bar with the dogs instead.'
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #323 on: June 19, 2019, 09:12:40 PM »
That's actually incorrect. You backed the wrong horse Eleanor.

of course opinions come into odds...opinions based on evidence but still opinion..

betfred gave odds on the name the new royal baby...what hard evidece were those odds based on

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #324 on: June 19, 2019, 09:13:31 PM »
In Your Opinion.
Nope. It's fact. Mathematical fact in fact. Davel's area of expertise.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Mr Gray

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #325 on: June 19, 2019, 09:14:00 PM »
That's mainly due to the rather pertinent fact that ONLY ONE OF THEM WAS WHERE SHE WENT MISSING FROM!
'Let's let the dogs search 5A'
'Nah, let's search the kitchens at the Tapas Bar with the dogs instead.'

four posters today suggesting the alerts may be meaningless

Offline Eleanor

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #326 on: June 19, 2019, 09:14:29 PM »
Nope. It's fact. Mathematical fact in fact. Davel's area of expertise.

What are you talking about now?

Offline Robittybob1

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #327 on: June 19, 2019, 09:15:36 PM »
That's mainly due to the rather pertinent fact that ONLY ONE OF THEM WAS WHERE SHE WENT MISSING FROM!
'Let's let the dogs search 5A'
'Nah, let's search the kitchens at the Tapas Bar with the dogs instead.'
That would be most interesting, and the freezers and chillers at the same time while you are at it.
Moderation
John has instructed all moderators to take a very strong line with posters who constantly breach the rules of this forum.  This sniping, goading, name calling and other various forms of disruption will cease.

Offline The General

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #328 on: June 19, 2019, 09:15:48 PM »
What are you talking about now?
Odds. They can be a simplistic representation of probability. For simple people to digest.
Subject Matter Expert - Hobos.

Offline Eleanor

Re: what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?
« Reply #329 on: June 19, 2019, 09:16:45 PM »
Odds. They can be a simplistic representation of probability. For simple people to digest.

But not much Fact.