what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?

[Robittybob1]

As have said... I've done it many times before..
Parents not suspects... No indication if any involvement and I think most will agree it's highly unlikely they are criminally involved.  Therefore odds 1 %

Woke and wandered.... According  to the archiving despatch by the  PJ... Who have more evidence than we do... Was deemed highly unlikely.    So 5%


That leaves abduction... Or removal of a body by a stranger... at 94%

You use the archiving report to justify the low score for Woke and wandered, what does the same report say about parental involvement or abduction?  Since they had more evidence than us we need to compare apples with apples.

[Mr Gray]

You use the archiving report to justify the low score for Woke and wandered, what does the same report say about parental involvement or abduction?  Since they had more evidence than us we need to compare apples with apples.

Have you not read it... It found no evidence against the McCann's and cited several reasons why they were not involved... I'm not basing anything just on the archiving report... We have much more

[Robittybob1]

Have you not read it... It found no evidence against the McCann's and cited several reasons why they were not involved... I'm not basing anything just on the archiving report... We have much more

Yes you based your estimation of 5% for Woke and Wandered basically on a line without evidence from the archiving report.
Unless you can show me the evidence it is wrong to boast that you have or even that they had more evidence.

[Mr Gray]

Yes you based your estimation of 5% for Woke and Wandered basically on a line without evidence from the archiving report.
Unless you can show me the evidence it is wrong to boast that you have or even that they had more evidence.

I'm stating a fact re the report...
They either based that on nothing.... Which I find hard to believe... Or they had evidence... Which is more likely

[Eleanor]

We will be waiting.

You might be.

[slartibartfast]

As have said... I've done it many times before..
Parents not suspects... No indication if any involvement and I think most will agree it's highly unlikely they are criminally involved.  Therefore odds 1 %

Woke and wandered.... According  to the archiving despatch by the  PJ... Who have more evidence than we do... Was deemed highly unlikely.    So 5%


That leaves abduction... Or removal of a body by a stranger... at 94%

Odds not probabilities.

[Mr Gray]

Odds not probabilities.

We are not talking about gambling odds... But statistical odds... So explain why

[Mr Gray]

Odds not probabilities.

Strictly speaking it's probability that's, expressed as a percentage... I think you are nitpicking

[Robittybob1]

I'm stating a fact re the report...
They either based that on nothing.... Which I find hard to believe... Or they had evidence... Which is more likely

A presumption on your part in other words.

[Mr Gray]

A presumption on your part in other words.

The archiving report said woke and wandered was highly unlikely... Not just unlikely but highly unlikely... That's a fact
No presumption

[Eleanor]

Please, Please, don't anyone ask for a Cite.

[Mr Gray]

Please, Please, don't anyone ask for a Cite.

I think most posters are, aware of the fact I've posted

[Robittybob1]

The archiving report said woke and wandered was highly unlikely... Not just unlikely but highly unlikely... That's a fact
No presumption

I'm saying that your presumption was they had undisclosed evidence backing up the fact they say woke and wandered was highly unlikely.

[Mr Gray]

I'm saying that your presumption was they had undisclosed evidence backing up the fact they say woke and wandered was highly unlikely.

Do you think they would have stated it was highly unlikely based on absolutely  nothing..

[Robittybob1]

I think most posters are, aware of the fact I've posted

I know what the archiving report says.  It does not present evidence backing its claim, therefore your statement is a presumption without the slightest evidence to back it up.

Do you think they would have stated it was highly unlikely based on absolutely  nothing..

I know both Gerry and Kate believe woke and wandered was unlikely.  Were the PJ now in a state of believing what the McCanns  believe?