what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?

[Mr Gray]

The ONE FACT I have to concede about odds, is that there's always the one.

But when that one turns out to be the most controversial abduction in human history, I think that's where The General's incalculable odds come in. Know what I mean. 

ive given you my verdict on your odds...nothings changed..nothing personal ..but bonkers

[Mr Gray]

Fair doos, I know, you know what I mean. 

See ya later buddy!

cheers ...no offence...some of the best poeple i know are bonkers

[Vertigo Swirl]

No they don't.  That is how science works.  Please feel free to get it wrong again.

 

Please tell us why they the options don’t have to add up to 100% in terms that a simpleton like me can understand.

[Vertigo Swirl]

The odds of being struck by lightning are one in 700, 000.  What are the odds of a corpse being found at the 18th hole in the middle of a thunderstorm , clutching a golf club and with singed hair and smoke coming out of their shoes having been struck by lightning?  1 in 700, 000 if you follow Monkey logic. 

[Vertigo Swirl]

I have had to concede, in the odds, there is always the one, and in this case you think it's the Madeleine McCann one. 

Fair doos. 

I have no idea what that means.  You clearly didn’t understand my post either.

[Robittybob1]

I have expalined it...briefly..parents not suspects or being investigated so parental involvement ...very low prob
woke and wandered highly unlikely according to the archiving report...low probability

that leves abduction only...therefore high probability

You seem stuck in your opinions.  The archiving report is just a guess, and now you make it Gospel.

[Mr Gray]

You seem stuck in your opinions.  The archiving report is just a guess, and now you make it Gospel.

the archiving report is just a guess...isnt that just your opinion again...I would say its based on evidence.....

[Robittybob1]

I did understand it, it appears to be you who doesn't know what it means. That's hardly my fault but your money is on the ONE stranger abduction and my odds are ALL the others.

Good luck, I hope you win!

I thought this would happen.  Everyone rating their opinion highly and giving a low probability to events they don't favour.  I'm not sure there is a way past this.

the archiving report is just a guess...isnt that just your opinion again...I would say its based on evidence.....

The bit I'm talking about was their low probability of woke and wandered.  Thery give it a rating but don't explain why they rated it low.  So to me that is a guess due to lack of evidence.

[Erngath]

You seem stuck in your opinions.  The archiving report is just a guess, and now you make it Gospel.

As some accept all that is in the files as Gospel

[Mr Gray]

I thought this would happen.  Everyone rating their opinion highly and giving a low probability to events they don't favour.  I'm not sure there is a way past this.
The bit I'm talking about was their low probability of woke and wandered.  Thery give it a rating but don't explain why they rated it low.  So to me that is a guess due to lack of evidence.

perhaps it is...we dont know..or perhaps they have more vidence than we do...im happy to acceot woke and wandered but think she would have been seen by someone if she was wandering about

[Mr Gray]

As some accept all that is in the files as Gospel

but is the Gospel Gospel

[Mr Gray]

Let's just give thanks to god we have it.

each to his own Monkey

[Robittybob1]

perhaps it is...we dont know..or perhaps they have more vidence than we do...im happy to acceot woke and wandered but think she would have been seen by someone if she was wandering about

Seen by someone who abducted her at least.  In my current thinking she may have been seen but that person doesn't want to admit it.

[Erngath]

Let's just give thanks to god we have i t.

As it's nearly Sunday, God should have a capital G.
And a very late acknowledgment to barrier who when rebuked by me for using the name of Jesus as an expletive, apologised when I expected to be told I was being over sensitive and possibly a boring and old fashioned ???

[Robittybob1]

each to his own Monkey

Is that each to his own monkey or each to his own Monkey?