what do you think the odds are of abduction in this case?

[Vertigo Swirl]

You got it, TWO possibilities in the odds. 

1. That's what the odds are offered on.
2. When you PROVE that's what DID happen the odds have come up.


Praise the lord.   

That's not happened yet.

You have not answered my question.

[Mr Gray]

Read through the thread Davel, I have tried. I'm not responsible for your own and the other's failure to understand the concept of odds. All the other odds/One stranger abduction. Thats the odds, end of. Two possibilities, not three. Stick to head and tails I told you on more than one occasion but still you refuse to listen. 
The maths is the maths, I'm not responsible for creating it.

You are calling people thick now.... I think we've been very kind to you. 

[Mr Gray]

It's yourself you have failed to be kind to IMO. Even you admitted Madeleine McCann was the ONE in 45,000,000.

Remember?

She was the one... If the odds are ten million to one... And ten million children go on holiday... The chances of it happening to one are extremely  high... Madeleine unfortunately  was the one

[Eleanor]

I used to back Horses from time to time.  I always went for Greys because I like the look of them, and more often than not they did win.  But not always.  The Odds were irrelevant to me.  I caught a couple when the Odds were really good.

I once stated my preference in a Private Member's Box, in my hay days when I had access to such, and every idiot in the Box raced off to back The Grey.  Fortunately, it won, and I became a legend on Racing Form without the vaguest idea of what I was doing.

Now, Dog Racing is another thing altogether, being the bent of The Working Classes, of which I remain one, no matter how hard I try to pretend otherwise.  But I know Dogs, so I tended to win at that as well under entirely different opinions.  And No, I never bothered with The Odds then either.

Thank God there isn't a Dog Track around here.

[barrier]

The dog did only pick the ONE apartment of all those it searched.

There is a dog track in here. 6/1 actually.


My mate's old boy used to be a bookie and he has a thing for backing horses with TWO (a)s in their name. He's not a skint old bookie by any means.

My dad gave me one piece of advice,never go into a bookies,you'll come out poorer that you went in,to this day I never have and have never laid a bet.

[Eleanor]

The dog did only pick the ONE apartment of all those it searched.

There is a dog track in here. 6/1 actually.


My mate's old boy used to be a bookie and he has a thing for backing horses with TWO (a)s in their name. He's not a skint old bookie by any means.

Sadly, The Odds against Eddie were Odds On to fail.  He wasn't ever a proper Cadaver Dog.  Too many tricks already learned.

You might be able to teach an old dog new tricks, but you will never teach it to forget old tricks.  Which was the problem.

Now, my dog is a Badger Hunter, despite the fact that he has never so much a even sniffed one, but he could find a Badger if there ever is one.  You should see the state of my lovely Lawn.  O'Connor will be Down Under with Rob before much longer.

Can you watch out for him, Rob?  He's a rotten little swine, but such a sweet thing.

[Eleanor]

My dad gave me one piece of advice,never go into a bookies,you'll come out poorer that you went in,to this day I never have and have never laid a bet.

What fun you have missed.

[Eleanor]

As long as you keep it small it can be great fun, even if you lose. The abduction supporters should have taken your father's advice IMO. It's too late now, they've placed their bet and they're all in on the ONE.

This thread is not the bookie's odds, it's about the real ones. That's why they are up the creek without a paddle. They'll never get their odds back.

You think?  I wouldn't bet on that one.

[Mr Gray]

Both you and VS agreed that you both believe that Madeleine was the first UK child to be abducted by a stranger abroad since Ben Needham, giving you odds of Madeline being abducted by a stranger of:

(all the children who went abroad between 1989 and 2007 and weren't abducted/to the ONE child (Madeleine, who you both believe was). The chances of her being abducted are low very low indeed BUT there is always the ONE.

Madeleine being abducted has to be that one. I'm quite happy for you to view MATHEMATICALLY very LOW odds as extremely high. I'll let the maths do the talking.

Kindly refrain from not telling the truth. You do NOT know if she was the one or not. That is a FACT!

If you were as smart as you claim to be you would have seen I've said abduction is one if three possibilities.  ..not that it's, a certainty... You obviously don't understand  the facts if you think I have stated abduction is a certainty... That's a massive fail by you

[Eleanor]

We don't know if he failed and we don't know if the alerts were false.

We DO KNOW there were seven apartments searched in total and he ONLY alerted to ONE = 6/1. 

We don't know if The Alerts were False.  What odds on that?

My opinion of Grime is no longer acceptable on this Forum.

[Eleanor]

You understand the odds of abduction I'm slowly learning. I bet you wouldn't. 

I probably knew more about Odds before you were born.  It's a massive miracle that I wasn't bombed out of existence.  I just happened to be in the right place at the right time.  What Odds on that?

And then there was Glasgow.  What a joy that was.  And I never met anyone like you.

[Eleanor]

Because we can't prove they were false we can't put odds on that.

The dog DID search 7 properties and DID only alert to ONE of them. The odds are 6/1 that it would be the McCann's or any of the others. It could have searched seven and alerted to two. The odds in that case would be 5/2.

Of the seven properties, it only chose the family of the ONE missing child. FACT! 6/1!

You carry on with that delusion, and ignore anything that might suggest otherwise.  It matters not to me.

Bring me an Arrest and Charge of The McCanns.  Otherwise your Odds are nonsense.

[Eleanor]

If you're older than me the odds are that you did.

You'd have to know how many bombs and how many homes got hit? Get those figures and I'll tell you the odds?

My home was obliterated one week after my mother took me and moved in with her mother.  The only house in the street to have a direct hit.  What odds on that?

[Eleanor]

Then we have ONE week with ONE house being directly hit.

How many weeks were in the war and how many houses were in the street? Calculating those odds will be easy if you can give us the answers? I've got things to do now but I will give you the odds of just how lucky you were if you can give us those answers later on.

If you were staying in a house that was the only ONE to be obliterated ONE week after moving out, you are a very lucky lady whatever the odds.  It will only go to show, there's always the ONE. 

I don't have the time or patience to provide you with any further information.  And Yes, I do know that I was very lucky.  No Odds to that.

[John]

As another weekend approaches can I ask everyone to please follow the forum rules. The hard pressed moderators do an excellent job in keeping things moving so do consider them next time you feel you need to have a go at someone. 

Let's try and set a new record this weekend by drastically cutting the number of moderated posts. As an incentive, the prize for the member whose has the most posts moderated/deleted over Saturday and Sunday will be a two day ban.

Happy posting!