A Good, Bad or Average Theory What's The Difference?

[barrier]

I don't see amarals theory as being possible.  How can a nearly four year old child fall off a sofa and die in the timeframe suggested... It simply is impossible.  Why can't anaral see this

Why does it matter,Amaral is history, the investigation as moved on,although as the anti christ in supporters eyes I can see why the need to drag him in when all else is quiet.

[barrier]

Was this before or after he made it clear the McCanns weren’t suspects?

 He said they had not been investigated by OG.

Two points to that, firstly the involvement of the parents, that was dealt with at the time by the
original investigation by the Portuguese. We had a look at all the material and we are happy that was
all dealt with and there is no reason whatsoever to reopen that or start rumours that was a line of
investigation.

[G-Unit]

I don't see amarals theory as being possible.  How can a nearly four year old child fall off a sofa and die in the timeframe suggested... It simply is impossible.  Why can't anaral see this

That was a hypothesis belonging to Encarnacao, not Amaral specifically. Death in the apartment is clearly possible.

[Mr Gray]

That was a hypothesis belonging to Encarnacao, not Amaral specifically. Death in the apartment is clearly possible.

Death from what cause.... I'm fairly sure it was amaral who described a fall due to the effects of calpol

[Brietta]

Death from what cause.... I'm fairly sure it was amaral who described a fall due to the effects of calpol

Gonçalo Amaral in El Mundo: Gerry McCann hid Madeleine corpse in the Beach

Q - So, what are we talking about?

A - About an accident. The child could have fallen from a sofa, could have had an accident with Calpol (a sleeping solution). We never had access to the girl’s medical history, so we don’t know whether she was healthy or not. We can only speculate. There are many very strange details.

_________________________________________________________________________

Q - What do you think that could have happened that night?

A - Both the British and Portuguese police, and even the prosecutor, who has already changed his mind, thought the same. We talked about death by others, not murder. In the room blood and cadaver odour was found just below a window where a sofa was. The father was talking to a friend just outside that window for a while. The girl did not have a a heavy sleep, that's what the parents said. Perhaps she heard her father and climbed to the sofa bellow the window. But the parents, for the girl not to go out,moved it away from the wall. Madeleine could have fallen.

Q - The girl falls from the sofa, dies with the blow and the parents find her.

A - The mother. It is the mother who finds the girl dead.

_________________________________________________________________________

I really don't think a "big boy dunnit" as some allege; if he did the direction in which he ran was to the nearest journalist or TV studio to keep on pushing his very failed hypothesis.

[G-Unit]

Death from what cause.... I'm fairly sure it was amaral who described a fall due to the effects of calpol

Arguing about the cause of death isn't useful. What is clear is that death is as likely as abduction. In fact it's more likely statistically. One hundred million to one for abduction, according to Gerry McCann.
https://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Nigel/id212.htm

[The General]

Arguing about the cause of death isn't useful. What is clear is that death is as likely as abduction. In fact it's more likely statistically. One hundred million to one for abduction, according to Gerry McCann.
https://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Nigel/id212.htm

Hoisted by your own calpol.
Good old Gonzo, top sleuth and top lad.

[Mr Gray]

Arguing about the cause of death isn't useful. What is clear is that death is as likely as abduction. In fact it's more likely statistically. One hundred million to one for abduction, according to Gerry McCann.
https://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Nigel/id212.htm

No it isn't.  For death to have occurred there has to be a reason.  Death from a head injury... Unless in a car crash or something  similar... Is due to a subdural haematoma which takes hours to develop.
After 12 years I don't see that parental involvement has the same likelihood as abduction.  Yet again you are, stating your opinion as fact... Perhaps you think it is... It isnt

[Mr Gray]

Arguing about the cause of death isn't useful. What is clear is that death is as likely as abduction. In fact it's more likely statistically. One hundred million to one for abduction, according to Gerry McCann.
https://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/Nigel/id212.htm

I thought you understood statistics.
Gerry was referring to the odds of Maddie being abducted..before she disappeared.  I think his odds are about right.  The odds of her having been abducted are odds on imo

[Eleanor]

Calpol in those days had no sleep inducing content.

[Brietta]

I thought you understood statistics.
Gerry was referring to the odds of Maddie being abducted..before she disappeared.  I think his odds are about right.  The odds of her having been abducted are odds on imo

It certainly is the proposition which both Scotland Yard and the Policia Judiciaria are pursuing.  I think it would take quite a stretch of the imagination to suppose they have arrived at that stage without thoroughly investigating all the alternatives before deciding on following that course of action.

They have all the intelligence and information which enables them to justify investigating Madeleine's abduction to their bosses.  The rest of us have to rely on working it out using common sense.

[G-Unit]

No it isn't.  For death to have occurred there has to be a reason.  Death from a head injury... Unless in a car crash or something  similar... Is due to a subdural haematoma which takes hours to develop.
After 12 years I don't see that parental involvement has the same likelihood as abduction.  Yet again you are, stating your opinion as fact... Perhaps you think it is... It isnt

So your only argument is still about the method of death. I'm discussing the likelihood of death compared to the likelihood of abduction. The prosecutor found it 'more likely' that the child was dead.

[The General]

I thought you understood statistics.
Gerry was referring to the odds of Maddie being abducted..before she disappeared.  I think his odds are about right.  The odds of her having been abducted are odds on imo

Depends on your viewpoint. The 'chances of anything coming from Mars, were a million to one, he said'. But to the aliens it was a certainty.

[The General]

It certainly is the proposition which both Scotland Yard and the Policia Judiciaria are pursuing.  I think it would take quite a stretch of the imagination to suppose they have arrived at that stage without thoroughly investigating all the alternatives before deciding on following that course of action.

They have all the intelligence and information which enables them to justify investigating Madeleine's abduction to their bosses.  The rest of us have to rely on working it out using common sense.

Well that's you knackered then.

[Mr Gray]

So your only argument is still about the method of death. I'm discussing the likelihood of death compared to the likelihood of abduction. The prosecutor found it 'more likely' that the child was dead.

I think you are, wrong yet again.. The prosecutor did not compare the likelihood of abduction compared to death... That's your third mistake this morning I think