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Disappeared and Abducted Children and Young Adults => Madeleine McCann (3) disappeared from her parent's holiday apartment at Ocean Club, Praia da Luz, Portugal on 3 May 2007. No trace of her has ever been found. => Topic started by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 12:20:22 PM

Title: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 12:20:22 PM
We have had claims on this forum, most recently from ferryman, that Martin Smith has latterly changed his opinion that the man he saw on the night of the 3rd was more than likely Gerry McCann. I have been unable to find any evidence for this other than the unattributed claim below which appeared in the now discredited Sunday Times Insights article.

"Smith has since stressed that he does not believe the man he saw was Gerry, and Scotland Yard do not consider this a possibility"

Is there any other evidence that Martin Smith has indeed changed his opinion and also if he has flip flopped so much in his identification why did SY use the efit constructed from his evidence as the centrepiece for their Crimewatch appeal ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 21, 2016, 01:21:27 PM
why did SY use the efit constructed from his evidence as the centrepiece for their Crimewatch appeal ?
At the moment I am struggling on this simple point, let alone whether Martin Smith flip-flopped.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 01:52:11 PM
At the moment I am struggling on this simple point, let alone whether Martin Smith flip-flopped.

Not sure why you struggling. Weren't the efits constructed by the Smith family, and almost certainly Martin's, recollections ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 01:59:48 PM
Then of course we have Brian Kennedy, who 'contacted' Mr. Smith.

That could be viewed as interfering with a key witness.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on February 21, 2016, 02:17:23 PM
Then of course we have Brian Kennedy, who 'contacted' Mr. Smith.

That could be viewed as interfering with a key witness.

One must hope that SY have quizzed Mr Kennedy over his deep interest in this case.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 21, 2016, 02:19:22 PM
Not sure why you struggling. Weren't the efits constructed by the Smith family, and almost certainly Martin's, recollections ?
I am not struggling as to the source of such e-fits.  I think it is an FOI that attributes them to two members of an Irish family (without actually naming that Irish family as the Smiths).

I am not questioning the motives of the Smith family.  I would be interested in the who, when and how of the process.  On when, we have it that it was 8 months or more, possibly a year later.

E-fits made very quickly after such an event are reputed to be useful in about 20% of cases.  E-fits made 2 days after such an event are reputed to be almost worthless.

So I am struggling to understand why OG would run with e-fits made 8 to 12 months after the event.  Given they had the statements saying those Smith members would not be able to recognise the man again, why place any reliance in e-fits?

The media in Portugal were left to their own devices when reporting Crimewatch and the e-fits - they were not managed.  I have not done a comprehensive survey of every media source.  Those I have seen simplify Smithman to being OG's new suspect.  They omitted the part Redwood noted, that Smithman may well have an entirely innocent explanation.

Basically, if Smithman is an innocent local or an innocent Portuguese man, he has been highly incentivised to NOT reveal who he is.

All in all, a bit of a disaster for the effort in Portugal.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on February 21, 2016, 02:27:48 PM
I am not struggling as to the source of such e-fits.  I think it is an FOI that attributes them to two members of an Irish family (without actually naming that Irish family as the Smiths).

I am not questioning the motives of the Smith family.  I would be interested in the who, when and how of the process.  On when, we have it that it was 8 months or more, possibly a year later.

E-fits made very quickly after such an event are reputed to be useful in about 20% of cases.  E-fits made 2 days after such an event are reputed to be almost worthless.

So I am struggling to understand why OG would run with e-fits made 8 to 12 months after the event.  Given they had the statements saying those Smith members would not be able to recognise the man again, why place any reliance in e-fits?


The media in Portugal were left to their own devices when reporting Crimewatch and the e-fits - they were not managed.  I have not done a comprehensive survey of every media source.  Those I have seen simplify Smithman to being OG's new suspect.  They omitted the part Redwood noted, that Smithman may well have an entirely innocent explanation.

Basically, if Smithman is an innocent local or an innocent Portuguese man, he has been highly incentivised to NOT reveal who he is.

All in all, a bit of a disaster for the effort in Portugal.


Simple - they were produced for display on a television programme and television requires something, well, visual.  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 02:47:02 PM
According to this direct quote from Martin Smith at the time of the Crimewatch appeal it would seem to he has certainly not change his mind with regard to his sighting.


"Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 02:50:02 PM
If Smith was so sure the guy he saw was Gerry McCann then why didn't he hand a copy of Gerry's photo to the police and say "here - copy this for your e-fit"?  Or perhaps he did, and the guy who operates the e-fit was only partially sighted.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 04:03:14 PM
Redwood unveiled the e-fits on Crimewatch. He gave the impression they were produced by two of the Smiths.

Then the Oakley people spoke to the Sunday Times. The gist of what they said was that they had produced the e-fits and a report, which they gave to the McCanns in November 2008. Obviously they kept a copy which, Exton said, they were  told to keep confidential and threatened by lawyers if they didn't do that. His direct quote was;

“A letter came from their lawyers binding us to the confidentiality of the report.” The article went on to say 'He claimed the legal threat had prevented him from handing over the report to Scotland Yard’s fresh investigation, until detectives had obtained written permission from the fund'.

The Sunday Times claimed to have seen the report which said there were serious inconsistencies in Jane Tanners evidence and “anomalies” in the statements given by the McCanns and their friends. It concluded that “The Smith sighting is credible evidence of a sighting of Maddie and more credible than Jane Tanner’s sighting”.

As well as questioning parts of the McCanns’ evidence, it contained sensitive information about Madeleine’s sleeping patterns and raised the highly sensitive possibility that she could have died in an accident after leaving the apartment herself from one of two unsecured doors.

So what did the McCanns deny and ask for the Sunday Times to correct? They denied that they kept the e-fits secret, saying they passed them to LP and the PJ by October 2009. They also said they passed the report and the e-fits to the Met in August 2011.

What did the McCanns not deny? They didn't deny what the report contained, they didn't deny the legal threats made and they didn't deny giving SY written permission to get the information from the PI's.

So if SY got written permission to get the report and e-fits from the Oakley investigators, why did they need to do that if they already had the e-fits which had been given to LP, and the report and the e-fits which the McCanns gave them in August 2011?

Why did the PI's decide to speak out? Did the legal threats no longer apply? Although the e-fits had now emerged into the public sphere, they also chose to give the report to the Times, with all it's ramifications.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on February 21, 2016, 04:10:00 PM
Redwood unveiled the e-fits on Crimewatch. He gave the impression they were produced by two of the Smiths.

Then the Oakley people spoke to the Sunday Times. The gist of what they said was that they had produced the e-fits and a report, which they gave to the McCanns in November 2008. Obviously they kept a copy which, Exton said, they were  told to keep confidential and threatened by lawyers if they didn't do that. His direct quote was;

“A letter came from their lawyers binding us to the confidentiality of the report.” The article went on to say 'He claimed the legal threat had prevented him from handing over the report to Scotland Yard’s fresh investigation, until detectives had obtained written permission from the fund'.

The Sunday Times claimed to have seen the report which said there were serious inconsistencies in Jane Tanners evidence and “anomalies” in the statements given by the McCanns and their friends. It concluded that “The Smith sighting is credible evidence of a sighting of Maddie and more credible than Jane Tanner’s sighting”.

As well as questioning parts of the McCanns’ evidence, it contained sensitive information about Madeleine’s sleeping patterns and raised the highly sensitive possibility that she could have died in an accident after leaving the apartment herself from one of two unsecured doors.

So what did the McCanns deny and ask for the Sunday Times to correct? They denied that they kept the e-fits secret, saying they passed them to LP and the PJ by October 2009. They also said they passed the report and the e-fits to the Met in August 2011.

What did the McCanns not deny? They didn't deny what the report contained, they didn't deny the legal threats made and they didn't deny giving SY written permission to get the information from the PI's.

So if SY got written permission to get the report and e-fits from the Oakley investigators, why did they need to do that if they already had the e-fits which had been given to LP, and the report and the e-fits which the McCanns gave them in August 2011?

Why did the PI's decide to speak out? Did the legal threats no longer apply? Although the e-fits had now emerged into the public sphere, they also chose to give the report to the Times, with all it's ramifications.

the legal restraint is absolutely commonplace...my employees are legally forbidden to discuss anything that takes place in the workplace,,,it's a confidentiality clause
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 04:34:18 PM
It's clear as the light of day.

Martin Smith changed his mind.

In his original statement (to the Irish Gardia Police at the end of January 2008) Mr Smith was careful to reflect the opinions of all his family with him, as well as his own, and ALL his children disagreed with their father that the man was Gerry, including his daughter Aofe, along with her father, the most observant witness of what the Smiths all saw that night.

What possible (other) reason (than that he changed his mind) would Mr Smith have for originally refusing to produce an efit (end of January 2008), then agreeing to produce one?

It is self-evident that Mr Smith would not produce an e-fit of a man he thought was Gerry ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 04:42:30 PM
the legal restraint is absolutely commonplace...my employees are legally forbidden to discuss anything that takes place in the workplace,,,it's a confidentiality clause

ASAIK they were employed (or subcontracted) by Oakley, not by the McCanns or Kennedy. Any confidentiality clause in the Oakley contract would have been signed by Halligen. They decided to ignore the threat, too, after the Crimewatch programme. Explain that.

Now tell me why SY had to ask for the info if they already had it?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 04:55:32 PM
What does that any of that have to do with the fact that Martin Smith changed his mind (about producing an e-fit, after initially declining to do so)?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on February 21, 2016, 04:58:48 PM
ASAIK they were employed (or subcontracted) by Oakley, not by the McCanns or Kennedy. Any confidentiality clause in the Oakley contract would have been signed by Halligen. They decided to ignore the threat, too, after the Crimewatch programme. Explain that.

Now tell me why SY had to ask for the info if they already had it?

Unless you have a copy of the confidentiality agreement you have no idea of its contents
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 05:13:40 PM
It's clear as the light of day.

Martin Smith changed his mind.

In his original statement (to the Irish Gardia Police at the end of January 2008) Mr Smith was careful to reflect the opinions of all his family with him, as well as his own, and ALL his children disagreed with their father that the man was Gerry, including his daughter Aofe, along with her father, the most observant witness of what the Smiths all saw that night.

What possible (other) reason (than that he changed his mind) would Mr Smith have for originally refusing to produce an efit (end of January 2008), then agreeing to produce one?

It is self-evident that Mr Smith would not produce an e-fit of a man he thought was Gerry ....

So where is the signed and witnessed statement , to this effect ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 05:17:45 PM
What does that any of that have to do with the fact that Martin Smith changed his mind (about producing an e-fit, after initially declining to do so)?

Perhaps it was the way Oakley approached him ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 05:52:52 PM
Perhaps it was the way Oakley approached him ?

It?

Oakley?

Brian Kennedy asked Martin Smith to produce an e-fit (at the end of January 2008) and he refused.

Then he changed his mind and agreed to produce an efit.

That can only be because he also changed his mind about the identity of the man he and his family saw that night ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 06:08:22 PM
It?

Oakley?

Brian Kennedy asked Martin Smith to produce an e-fit (at the end of January 2008) and he refused.

Then he changed his mind and agreed to produce an efit.

That can only be because he also changed his mind about the identity of the man he and his family saw that night ....

Supposition.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 06:12:55 PM
Supposition.

No, fact.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 06:18:50 PM
No, fact.

NOPE.

Just your biased belief as always.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 06:20:07 PM
NOPE.

Just your biased belief as always.

Give the logical and reasoned rationale that refutes what I have stated.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 06:24:50 PM
Give the logical and reasoned rationale that refutes what I have stated.

You haven't provided any rational argument.

Kennedy had no business going near the Smith family.

He was interfering in a criminal case, following his own agenda.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 06:26:02 PM
It's clear as the light of day.

Martin Smith changed his mind.

In his original statement (to the Irish Gardia Police at the end of January 2008) Mr Smith was careful to reflect the opinions of all his family with him, as well as his own, and ALL his children disagreed with their father that the man was Gerry, including his daughter Aofe, along with her father, the most observant witness of what the Smiths all saw that night.

What possible (other) reason (than that he changed his mind) would Mr Smith have for originally refusing to produce an efit (end of January 2008), then agreeing to produce one?

It is self-evident that Mr Smith would not produce an e-fit of a man he thought was Gerry ....

Direct quote by Martin Smith on 16th October 2013 in which he stands by his original police statements;

“The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 06:28:12 PM
You haven't provided any rational argument.

Kennedy had no business going near the Smith family.

He was interfering in a criminal case, following his own agenda.

In case you hadn't noticed, the title of this thread invites us to discuss whether Martin Smith changed his mind (about producing an e-fit).

But to address your (off-topic) point, is there any evidence Brian Kennedy approached Martin Smith in Portugal?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 06:34:17 PM
Direct quote by Martin Smith on 16th October 2013 in which he stands by his original police statements;

“The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

Martin Smith saw no reason to amend the efit.

And has said (in a separate statement) that he no longer believes he saw Gerry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 06:34:52 PM
In case you hadn't noticed, the title of this thread invites us to discuss whether Martin Smith changed his mind (about producing an e-fit).

But to address your (off-topic) point, is there any evidence Brian Kennedy approached Martin Smith in Portugal?

In case you hadn't noticed the thread is about whether Mr Smith changed his mind about his 60-80% certainty of the identity of the man he saw.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 06:36:43 PM
Martin Smith saw no reason to amend the efit.

And has said (in a separate statement) that he no longer believes he saw Gerry.

Could you tell me where I can see that, please?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 06:37:02 PM
In case you hadn't noticed the thread is about whether Mr Smith changed his mind about his 60-80% certainty of the identity of the man he saw.

Clear as light of day.

Martin Smith did ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 06:38:20 PM
So - Martin Smith hasn't changed his opinion.  He's still 60-80% certain that the man he saw was Gerry McCann.  Why doesn't he tell the e-fit compiler to simply do an e-fit of Gerry's face? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 06:40:28 PM
Martin Smith saw no reason to amend the efit.

And has said (in a separate statement) that he no longer believes he saw Gerry.

He was reported as having said that.

Me, I would prefer to hear that from Mr. Smith himself.

Wouldn't you  ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 06:41:56 PM
It?

Oakley?

Brian Kennedy asked Martin Smith to produce an e-fit (at the end of January 2008) and he refused.

Then he changed his mind and agreed to produce an efit.

That can only be because he also changed his mind about the identity of the man he and his family saw that night ....

He refused to produce an efit for Kennedy. He did however produce one for Oakley/Exton, the efit featured on the Crimewatch appeal. We know from the report produced by Exton that his investigators had found some serious anomalies in the McCann's and their friend's evidence. Perhaps the fact that Exton was not taking the McCann's story at face value encouraged the Smiths to produce the efits ? One thing is for sure though, we have not one scintilla of proof that Martin Smith changed his mind about his identification. In fact, if you believe the direct quote from Smith in the Mirror article above, quite the opposite.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 06:59:08 PM
He refused to produce an efit for Kennedy. He did however produce one for Oakley/Exton, the efit featured on the Crimewatch appeal. We know from the report produced by Exton that his investigators had found some serious anomalies in the McCann's and their friend's evidence. Perhaps the fact that Exton was not taking the McCann's story at face value encouraged the Smiths to produce the efits ? One thing is for sure though, we have not one scintilla of proof that Martin Smith changed his mind about his identification. In fact, if you believe the direct quote from Smith in the Mirror article above, quite the opposite.
What were the "serious anomalies" and why didn't Smith just ask the e-fit compiler to simply reproduce Gerry McCann's face exactly?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 07:05:28 PM
He refused to produce an efit for Kennedy. He did however produce one for Oakley/Exton, the efit featured on the Crimewatch appeal. We know from the report produced by Exton that his investigators had found some serious anomalies in the McCann's and their friend's evidence. Perhaps the fact that Exton was not taking the McCann's story at face value encouraged the Smiths to produce the efits ? One thing is for sure though, we have not one scintilla of proof that Martin Smith changed his mind about his identification. In fact, if you believe the direct quote from Smith in the Mirror article above, quite the opposite.

You seem to have identified a reason why the Smiths agreed to produce the e-fits with Oakley after refusing Kennedy's request. Well done. It seems Redwood also had the report produced by the Oakley investigators which didn't follow the 'official line'. With all this information in his possession he decides to go public with the e-fits. I wonder what he hoped to achieve, and what he did achieve?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 07:11:01 PM
What were the "serious anomalies" and why didn't Smith just ask the e-fit compiler to simply reproduce Gerry McCann's face exactly?

I have no idea what the 'serious anomalies' were, simply that Exton said that several had been identified in Oakley's report and no idea about your second question either.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 07:18:16 PM
I have no idea what the 'serious anomalies' were, simply that Exton said that several had been identified in Oakley's report and no idea about your second question either.
Has Exton hinted that he believed the parents were involved?  If so please provide a cite.  As for my second point, don't you think it would have been logical if, when asked to provide an e-fit of someone whose picture you had readily to hand you simply said "here - copy that" rather than try and describe the face verbally?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 07:28:39 PM
Has Exton hinted that he believed the parents were involved?  If so please provide a cite.  As for my second point, don't you think it would have been logical if, when asked to provide an e-fit of someone whose picture you had readily to hand you simply said "here - copy that" rather than try and describe the face verbally?

I think Exton is professional, and canny, enough not suggest anything that he could no comprehensively prove and to your second question I have already given you my answer.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 07:34:01 PM
I think Exton is professional, and canny, enough not suggest anything that he could no comprehensively prove and to your second question I have already given you my answer.
So you are unable to say what would be logical to do given the situation where you are asked for the description of the person you thought you saw, knowing that the internet was already bulging with pictures of the person you thought you saw?  OK.  I understand. 8((()*/
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on February 21, 2016, 07:42:06 PM
So you are unable to say what would be logical to do given the situation where you are asked for the description of the person you thought you saw, knowing that the internet was already bulging with pictures of the person you thought you saw?  OK.  I understand. 8((()*/

It is always possible the he was repeatedly pressed to produce an e-fit of the person he had already identified to a significant extent as Gerry and to get rid of the pressure produced an e-fit accordingly.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 08:37:52 PM
You haven't provided any rational argument.

Kennedy had no business going near the Smith family.

He was interfering in a criminal case, following his own agenda.

We're discussing whether Martin Smith changed his opinion (about whether he believed he had seen Gerry).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 08:41:00 PM
We're discussing whether Martin Smith changed his opinion (about whether he believed he had seen Gerry).

You have provided no evidence that Mr. Smith changed his mind.

SECOND HAND COMMENTS DON'T COUNT.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on February 21, 2016, 08:41:11 PM
We're discussing whether Martin Smith changed his opinion (about whether he believed he had seen Gerry).

...and no one has produced a quote from him.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 08:41:44 PM
He refused to produce an efit for Kennedy. He did however produce one for Oakley/Exton, the efit featured on the Crimewatch appeal. We know from the report produced by Exton that his investigators had found some serious anomalies in the McCann's and their friend's evidence. Perhaps the fact that Exton was not taking the McCann's story at face value encouraged the Smiths to produce the efits ? One thing is for sure though, we have not one scintilla of proof that Martin Smith changed his mind about his identification. In fact, if you believe the direct quote from Smith in the Mirror article above, quite the opposite.

Answers on a post card.

Why would Martin Smith, or, (we now know) his wife, Mary, have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on February 21, 2016, 08:42:31 PM
Answers on a post card.

Why would Martin Smith, or, (we now know) his wife, Mary, have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry?

See #38
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 08:45:27 PM
It is always possible the he was repeatedly pressed to produce an e-fit of the person he had already identified to a significant extent as Gerry and to get rid of the pressure produced an e-fit accordingly.

Crap (at most charitable).

Idle speculation (based on what)?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on February 21, 2016, 08:46:32 PM
Crap (at most charitable).

Idle speculation (based on what)?

Good to see a considered rebuttal.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 08:53:25 PM
The police use a software programme called  Efit-V and then they use Adobe Photoshop to add features such as ageing lines etc. They begin by choosing a face shape from nine possibles, then a hairstyle. Other features follow. I don't know if Oakley would have had access to such a computer system.
http://www.examiner.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/west-yorkshire-police-e-fit-9064751
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 08:56:23 PM
Good to see a considered rebuttal.

You need to produce something to rebut.

So far, you have failed ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 09:01:26 PM
You need to produce something to rebut.

So far, you have failed ...

No, you made the claim, that Smith had changed his mind.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on February 21, 2016, 09:03:09 PM
The police use a software programme called  Efit-V and then they use Adobe Photoshop to add features such as ageing lines etc. They begin by choosing a face shape from nine possibles, then a hairstyle. Other features follow. I don't know if Oakley would have had access to such a computer system.
http://www.examiner.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/west-yorkshire-police-e-fit-9064751

so he doesnt see the mans face clearly but thinks its gerry based on the way he held the child...then he sees gerry's face plastered all over the press...then lo and behold he produces an efit that looks like gerry
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 09:14:02 PM
No, you made the claim, that Smith had changed his mind.

I have stated a fact.

That you seem not to like very much ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 09:21:13 PM
I have stated a fact.

That you seem not to like very much ....

You have given a second hand statement.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 09:26:48 PM
So still no rational explanation of why either Martin Smith or his wife would have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 09:28:01 PM
It is always possible the he was repeatedly pressed to produce an e-fit of the person he had already identified to a significant extent as Gerry and to get rid of the pressure produced an e-fit accordingly.
wot?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 09:28:19 PM
So still no rational explanation of why either Martin Smith or his wife would have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry?

You're going around in circles ferryman.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 09:29:14 PM
The police use a software programme called  Efit-V and then they use Adobe Photoshop to add features such as ageing lines etc. They begin by choosing a face shape from nine possibles, then a hairstyle. Other features follow. I don't know if Oakley would have had access to such a computer system.
http://www.examiner.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/west-yorkshire-police-e-fit-9064751
Smith would have had access to hundreds of photos of Gerry though...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 09:44:41 PM
wot?

For some curious reason, idle speculation (that denigrates the McCanns or anyone who supports them) is allowed.

Meanwhile, hard facts (about a certain dog-handler) tend to incur sin-bin points, and posts (of hard fact) removed.

All by the same moderator.

Curious way to run a board ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 10:39:02 PM
For some curious reason, idle speculation (that denigrates the McCanns or anyone who supports them) is allowed.

Meanwhile, hard facts (about a certain dog-handler) tend to incur sin-bin points, and posts (of hard fact) removed.

All by the same moderator.

Curious way to run a board ....
We're all equal on this forum, it's just that some are more equal than others.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on February 21, 2016, 10:45:04 PM
We're all equal on this forum, it's just that some are more equal than others.

...and so the ad Homs keep coming.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 10:45:49 PM
so he doesnt see the mans face clearly but thinks its gerry based on the way he held the child...then he sees gerry's face plastered all over the press...then lo and behold he produces an efit that looks like gerry

Does it? I was told it looked like Piers Morgan.  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 10:46:00 PM
For some curious reason, idle speculation (that denigrates the McCanns or anyone who supports them) is allowed.

Meanwhile, hard facts (about a certain dog-handler) tend to incur sin-bin points, and posts (of hard fact) removed.

All by the same moderator.

Curious way to run a board ....

Rubbish.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 10:48:23 PM
Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry McCann.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 21, 2016, 10:48:49 PM
I have stated a fact.

That you seem not to like very much ....

You stated something from a newspaper. Not a fact, no source quoted. Newspapers don't always get it right, did you know that?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 21, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
The police use a software programme called  Efit-V and then they use Adobe Photoshop to add features such as ageing lines etc. They begin by choosing a face shape from nine possibles, then a hairstyle. Other features follow. I don't know if Oakley would have had access to such a computer system.
http://www.examiner.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/west-yorkshire-police-e-fit-9064751
Do you have any thoughts on why the two e-fits appear to have been constructed by two entirely different methods (one like a diagram/carton, the other like a photo composite)?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 10:52:23 PM
You stated something from a newspaper. Not a fact, no source quoted. Newspapers don't always get it right, did you know that?

Do you prefer idle speculation that Martin Smith was coerced into producing the efit?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 21, 2016, 10:53:53 PM
Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry McCann.

Where is your proof ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on February 21, 2016, 10:54:18 PM
Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry McCann.

Cite or withdraw.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 11:15:31 PM
Cite or withdraw.

Provide something more solid than idle (indeed defamatory) speculation about why Martin Smith might have produced an e-fit of a man he believed was Gerry (or, for that matter, why his wife would have done the same)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on February 21, 2016, 11:20:08 PM
Cite or withdraw.

just made a screenshot of that
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 11:26:45 PM
Provide something more solid than idle (indeed defamatory) speculation about why Martin Smith might have produced an e-fit of a man he believed was Gerry (or, for that matter, why his wife would have done the same)

It would appear Martin Smith was one of the individuals who participated in the construction of the Oakley efits. Martin Smith claimed that he was 60-80% sure that the man he saw that night was Gerry and he has never publicly wavered from that opinion, in fact in a direct quote from the Mirror he actually said that nothing had changed from the time he had first talked to the police. Now we can speculate as much as we like as to why he constructed the efits if he believed them to be Gerry McCann but that's all it will ever be, speculation.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 21, 2016, 11:29:00 PM
It would appear Martin Smith was one of the individuals who participated in the construction of the Oakley efits. Martin Smith claimed that he was 60-80% sure that the man he saw that night was Gerry and he has never publicly wavered from that opinion, in fact in a direct quote from the Mirror he actually said that nothing had changed from the time he had first talked to the police. Now we can speculate as much as we like as to why he constructed the efits if he believed them to be Gerry McCann but that's all it will ever be, speculation.
How come a direct quote in the Mirror is to be believed, but direct quotes and photos of documents from the police files  in the Telegraph are to be doubted?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 11:30:15 PM
It would appear Martin Smith was one of the individuals who participated in the construction of the Oakley efits. Martin Smith claimed that he was 60-80% sure that the man he saw that night was Gerry and he has never publicly wavered from that opinion, in fact in a direct quote from the Mirror he actually said that nothing had changed from the time he had first talked to the police. Now we can speculate as much as we like as to why he constructed the efits if he believed them to be Gerry McCann but that's all it will ever be, speculation.

Wrong again.

Martin Smith no longer believes he saw Gerry, as is self-evident from the fact that he produced an efit of the man he saw ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 11:35:02 PM
That Martin Smith might have been coerced into producing an efit is idle  (indeed defamatory!) speculation.

That he changed his mind (about the man being Gerry) and acknowledged that he had been mistaken (in that belief) following publication of the files is opinion based on both fact and common sense.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 21, 2016, 11:39:02 PM
That Martin Smith might have been coerced into producing an efit is idle speculation.

That he changed his mind (about the man being Gerry) and acknowledged that he had been mistaken (in that belief) following publication of the files is opinion based on both fact and common sense.

Probably read Mr McCluskey's addition to his statement as a result of watching a news programme showing the McCann family disembarking from a plane ... and thought ... hmmm??
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 11:53:24 PM
Wrong again.

Martin Smith no longer believes he saw Gerry, as is self-evident from the fact that he produced an efit of the man he saw ...

No ferryman that is simply what you're reading into a set of actions.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 21, 2016, 11:54:18 PM
No ferryman that is simply what you're reading into a set of actions.

Try again.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 21, 2016, 11:56:29 PM

Who on earth came up with the idea that the e-fit looks like Gerry?  It isn't in the least bit like him.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 21, 2016, 11:59:39 PM
Try again.

No need to try again.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 12:00:56 AM
No need to try again.

Agreed.

The argument (that Martin Smith changed his mind) has been won, hook, line and sinker.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 22, 2016, 12:06:33 AM
Do you have any thoughts on why the two e-fits appear to have been constructed by two entirely different methods (one like a diagram/carton, the other like a photo composite)?
Because the 2 efits were done on two different computers, using different software, with two unrelated witnesses from different countries IMO.

Probably one efit is by one of the Irish group, possibly one of the children? It was children in the group who (unlike the adults) observed the girl's long sleeves, and her bare feet, and the man's black jacket/coat.

And one efit is probably is by the english female tourist, who reportedly saw a man walking along carrying a child and at the same time speaking on his mobile phone in english language, with a british (not foreign) accent. Source is a paper edition of Correio da Manha in July 2014.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 12:08:21 AM
Agreed.

The argument (that Martin Smith changed his mind) has been won, hook, line and sinker.

Martin Smith did not change his mind with regard to his identification in fact quite the opposite :

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 22, 2016, 12:10:07 AM
Why would MS choose to make an efit for a firm of PI's yet conceal this fact from Leics police & the PJ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 12:11:44 AM
Why would MS choose to make an efit for a firm of PI's yet conceal this fact from Leics police & the PJ?

Where's the evidence that anything was concealed?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 12:12:23 AM
Why would MS choose to make an efit for a firm of PI's yet conceal this fact from Leics police & the PJ?

Why would the McCanns for almost a year and a half ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 12:14:18 AM
Martin Smith did not change his mind with regard to his identification in fact quite the opposite :

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

Martin Smith (and his family) each gave one statement. 

No one altered the details of those statements.

And your point is?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 22, 2016, 12:14:39 AM
Where's the evidence that anything was concealed?

Neither LP nor the PJ knew anything about them within the duration of the PJ investigation?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 12:21:24 AM
Neither LP nor the PJ knew anything about them within the duration of the PJ investigation?

Martin Smith changed his mind (about the man being Gerry) and agreed to produce them after the files were released.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 12:22:00 AM
Martin Smith (and his family) each gave one statement. 

No one altered the details of those statements.

And your point is?

Martin Smith made two statements. He gave a statement to the Garda that he was 60-80% sure the man he saw on the night of the 3rd was Gerry McCann. He has never publicly wavered from that belief.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 22, 2016, 12:24:26 AM
Probably read Mr McCluskey's addition to his statement as a result of watching a news programme showing the McCann family disembarking from a plane ... and thought ... hmmm??
IMO the McCluskey sighting, the Smith sighting, and the JT sighting, are all irrelevant.
All open carrying sightings are irrelevant IMO - it would be contrary to all the instincts of a perpetrator.
The Hatton Garden crooks were low IQ but even they didn't carry armfuls of gold openly along the streets of London did they?
Yet the whole of this PDL investigation is focussed on that farcical assumption.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 12:24:37 AM
Martin Smith made two statements. He gave a statement to the Garda that he was 60-80% sure the man he saw on the night of the 3rd was Gerry McCann. He has never publicly wavered from that belief.

Yes he has.

John provided the quote.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 12:26:42 AM
Yes he has.

John provided the quote.

Then you'll be able to provide it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 22, 2016, 12:45:23 AM
Because the 2 efits were done on two different computers, using different software, with two unrelated witnesses from different countries IMO.

Probably one efit is by one of the Irish group, possibly one of the children? It was children in the group who (unlike the adults) observed the girl's long sleeves, and her bare feet, and the man's black jacket/coat.

And one efit is probably is by the english female tourist, who reportedly saw a man walking along carrying a child and at the same time speaking on his mobile phone in english language, with a british (not foreign) accent. Source is a paper edition of Correio da Manha in July 2014.
There has been an FOI (I think) that both e-fits were produced by 'the Irish family'.

Can you give me any clue as to the English female tourist to narrow that one down a bit?  If that is for 3 May 2014, it is a new one on me.  Plus we have Gerry's phone records for that night.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 22, 2016, 12:51:02 AM
IMO the McCluskey sighting, the Smith sighting, and the JT sighting, are all irrelevant.
All open carrying sightings are irrelevant IMO - it would be contrary to all the instincts of a perpetrator.
The Hatton Garden crooks were low IQ but even they didn't carry armfuls of gold openly along the streets of London did they?
Yet the whole of this PDL investigation is focussed on that farcical assumption.

The McCluskey sighting was investigated and the incident and the people involved checked ... therefore it may indeed have been irrelevant.

The interest in it lies in the fact that people who witnessed a child being carried would as a result probably pay a great deal more attention to how the case developed than most. 

After months of negative press reports and after months of viewing the McCann family these witnesses became reluctantly convinced when viewing exactly the same news clip that the man they had witnessed carrying the child was the child's father, the man whose image they had been exposed to for months.
The wording of what they made of that in additions to their original statements is remarkably similar.

Whether you think it farcical or not, witnesses saw what they saw in three separate sightings, only one of which was effectively ruled out at the time.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 12:52:52 AM
Then you'll be able to provide it.

Looks as if John has removed his post.

I have a subscription to the Telegraph site.  I'll dig it out another time.

In the meanwhile, Martin Smith has replaced opinion (that he and his family saw Gerry) with fact (that they did not) ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 22, 2016, 01:03:13 AM
The McCluskey sighting was investigated and the incident and the people involved checked ... therefore it may indeed have been irrelevant.

The interest in it lies in the fact that people who witnessed a child being carried would as a result probably pay a great deal more attention to how the case developed than most. 

After months of negative press reports and after months of viewing the McCann family these witnesses became reluctantly convinced when viewing exactly the same news clip that the man they had witnessed carrying the child was the child's father, the man whose image they had been exposed to for months.
The wording of what they made of that in additions to their original statements is remarkably similar.

Whether you think it farcical or not, witnesses saw what they saw in three separate sightings, only one of which was effectively ruled out at the time.
Yes the sleeping girl and the man who was carrying her, who were seen and reported by the McClusky's, were later both identified by the PJ.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 01:13:37 AM
Looks as if John has removed his post.

I have a subscription to the Telegraph site.  I'll dig it out another time.

In the meanwhile, Martin Smith has replaced opinion (that he and his family saw Gerry) with fact (that they did not) ...

No he did not and simply repeating it ad finitum does not make it so.

Not sure why John would remove an honest quote, do you ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 22, 2016, 01:22:46 AM
Yes the sleeping girl and the man who was carrying her, who were seen and reported by the McClusky's, were later both identified by the PJ.

The man existed.  He was ruled out of the inquiry, but Mr McCluskey did not know that.  His misidentification of Dr McCann was bona fide.

The Man in the Smith sighting has not been traced and has therefore not been ruled in or out.
The identical phrases used and the similarity of Mr Smith's misidentification suggest that exactly the triggers which stimulated Mr McCluskey's false recall had the same effect on Mr Smith.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 01:25:02 AM


In the meanwhile, Martin Smith has replaced opinion (that he and his family saw Gerry) with fact (that they did not) ...

Both those statements are false...MS never said his family saw Gerry or said that he changed his mind as to his personal thoughts on what he saw..let alone his family who never said it in the first place...in fact....that whole sentence of yours is very twisted?..unless you meant something else

Why make things up /twist things if it's a fact as you say  that Gerry was in the Tapas bar at 10?

Point being discussed remains, there is no evidence MS himself changed his mind as to his 60-80% surety that it was Gerry he saw (whether he was right or wrong)


As an aside what dyou reckon it was that changed smiths mind then? As alleged but not evidenced
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 22, 2016, 01:34:10 AM
Looks as if John has removed his post.

I have a subscription to the Telegraph site.  I'll dig it out another time.

In the meanwhile, Martin Smith has replaced opinion (that he and his family saw Gerry) with fact (that they did not) ...

Months after the disappearance and after seeing Gerry McCann on TV, Mr Smith told police that he thought the man he saw carrying a girl around Madeleine’s age at the very time she went missing reminded him of Gerry McCann himself.

Mr Smith has reportedly since withdrawn that claim – just as Portuguese police have officially told the McCanns they are no longer suspects for their daughter’s disappearance.

The couple have also won libel damages for false suggestions that they were in any way involved.
Numerous witnesses have also given statements making clear that Mr McCann was at his holiday complex at the moment the sighting occurred – which was at the very time when he and his wife started calling for help looking for Maddie.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2478087/Why-Madeleine-McCann-suspect-E-fits-kept-secret-5-years.html#ixzz40r8h5x8Q
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 01:37:03 AM
Months after the disappearance and after seeing Gerry McCann on TV, Mr Smith told police that he thought the man he saw carrying a girl around Madeleine’s age at the very time she went missing reminded him of Gerry McCann himself.

Mr Smith has reportedly since withdrawn that claim – just as Portuguese police have officially told the McCanns they are no longer suspects for their daughter’s disappearance.

The couple have also won libel damages for false suggestions that they were in any way involved.
Numerous witnesses have also given statements making clear that Mr McCann was at his holiday complex at the moment the sighting occurred – which was at the very time when he and his wife started calling for help looking for Maddie.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2478087/Why-Madeleine-McCann-suspect-E-fits-kept-secret-5-years.html#ixzz40r8h5x8Q

We are still waiting for credible proof that Smith withdrew the claim.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 22, 2016, 01:41:40 AM
We are still waiting for credible proof that Smith withdrew the claim.

In what way did the Rebelo investigation progress Mr Smith's addition to his statement?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 22, 2016, 02:17:38 AM
In what way did the Rebelo investigation progress Mr Smith's addition to his statement?
I don't know, but one thing the Rebelo investigation certainly didn't do is fly the witness to Portugal to make a formal identification.
The witness had already agreed to go to Portugal, in a phonecall with the PJ on Sept 27th.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 11:19:32 AM
Months after the disappearance and after seeing Gerry McCann on TV, Mr Smith told police that he thought the man he saw carrying a girl around Madeleine’s age at the very time she went missing reminded him of Gerry McCann himself.

Mr Smith has reportedly since withdrawn that claim – just as Portuguese police have officially told the McCanns they are no longer suspects for their daughter’s disappearance.

The couple have also won libel damages for false suggestions that they were in any way involved.
Numerous witnesses have also given statements making clear that Mr McCann was at his holiday complex at the moment the sighting occurred – which was at the very time when he and his wife started calling for help looking for Maddie.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2478087/Why-Madeleine-McCann-suspect-E-fits-kept-secret-5-years.html#ixzz40r8h5x8Q

So the Mail repeating the unattributed claim in the Times.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on February 22, 2016, 02:40:42 PM
Looks as if John has removed his post.

I have a subscription to the Telegraph site.  I'll dig it out another time.

In the meanwhile, Martin Smith has replaced opinion (that he and his family saw Gerry) with fact (that they did not) ...
Yep, I  saw the "quote" from Martin Smith that he did not believe that Smithman was Gerry.  I think it was in The Times, ferryman

How strange that John has removed it ... and Faith seemed to know ... or am I imagining that?


Please John, can we have it back.  Thanks
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 02:58:36 PM
We are still waiting for credible proof that Smith withdrew the claim.

The efits (one produced by Martin Smith) is credible proof.

No one would seriously believe Mr Smith would produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry, for obvious reasons.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 03:51:34 PM
The efits (one produced by Martin Smith) is credible proof.

No one would seriously believe Mr Smith would produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry, for obvious reasons.

Why not ? If a second witness also recognised the efit as Gerry that would be corroborative evidence that Martin Smith was correct.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 22, 2016, 03:57:53 PM
Why not ? If a second witness also recognised the efit as Gerry that would be corroborate evidence that Martin Smith was correct.

It doesn't even look like Gerry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 05:34:15 PM
Why not ? If a second witness also recognised the efit as Gerry that would be corroborative evidence that Martin Smith was correct.

The purpose (of an efit) is to try to identify someone unknown.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 06:03:58 PM
Why not ? If a second witness also recognised the efit as Gerry that would be corroborative evidence that Martin Smith was correct.
Can you explain to me why someone would need to produce an e-fit on someone who is internationally famous, with pictures all over the internet?  If I was 60-80% certain I saw Ant and Dec shoplifting from Morrisons would I have to create an e-fit that looked a bit like them, or simply tell the police who I think I saw and let them get on with it?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 22, 2016, 06:35:52 PM
Can you explain to me why someone would need to produce an e-fit on someone who is internationally famous, with pictures all over the internet?  If I was 60-80% certain I saw Ant and Dec shoplifting from Morrisons would I have to create an e-fit that looked a bit like them, or simply tell the police who I think I saw and let them get on with it?

Whatever you think Redwood went with it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 08:03:39 PM
Whatever you think Redwood went with it.
Only if you have convinced yourself that Redwood and the police believe that Martin Smith was describing Gerry McCann to them!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 22, 2016, 08:15:46 PM
It doesn't even look like Gerry.

Much better than this one.

(http://i1316.photobucket.com/albums/t609/shelleygarcia2222/sfl-sketch-criminal-set-bundy_zps423a6460.jpg)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 22, 2016, 08:48:59 PM
Only if you have convinced yourself that Redwood and the police believe that Martin Smith was describing Gerry McCann to them!

As he was 80-80% certain it was Gerry McCann he saw it shouldn't have been a surprise to anyone that the e-fits were similar.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 08:50:52 PM
As he was 80-80% certain it was Gerry McCann he saw it shouldn't have been a surprise to anyone that the e-fits were similar.
the e-fits should have been virtually identical, not vaguely similar.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 22, 2016, 08:58:43 PM
the e-fits should have been virtually identical, not vaguely similar.

Depends how they do them, full face or feature by feature. They're near enough for lots of people to have recognised someone. Particularly two people who never bothered to book a press conference to publicise the exciting new e-fits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on February 22, 2016, 09:38:32 PM
As he was 80-80% certain it was Gerry McCann he saw it shouldn't have been a surprise to anyone that the e-fits were similar.

IIRC It was the way Gerry was holding Sean and walking down the steps of the airplane which reminded Mr Smith of the man he'd  seen.    It was nothing to do with Gerry's face - which he would have seen loads of times before - but which never sparked any memory of the man he'd seen on any of those occasions. 

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 09:57:59 PM
Depends how they do them, full face or feature by feature. They're near enough for lots of people to have recognised someone. Particularly two people who never bothered to book a press conference to publicise the exciting new e-fits.
you've missed the point, repeatedly.  Smith tells the police "the man I saw was Gerry McCann" the e-fit guys have a million pics of Gerry McCann on the internet to refer to when doing the e-fit.  But actually when you think about it, the premise is completely absurd: you tell the police you're 60-80% sure the men you saw shoplifting were Ant and Dec and they ask you for a decription for an e-fit?!  What rubbish.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 10:02:44 PM
The efits (one produced by Martin Smith) is credible proof.

No one would seriously believe Mr Smith would produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry, for obvious reasons.

What you call proof or even evidence is just your take on things, so not the same.

Proof (as far as is mostly acceptable from newspapers)  is a statement in quotes, which you and others have alluded to but not produced.....I'm not worried, just wanting to make sure what are claimed as facts, actually are.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 22, 2016, 10:06:43 PM
you've missed the point, repeatedly.  Smith tells the police "the man I saw was Gerry McCann" the e-fit guys have a million pics of Gerry McCann on the internet to refer to when doing the e-fit.  But actually when you think about it, the premise is completely absurd: you tell the police you're 60-80% sure the men you saw shoplifting were Ant and Dec and they ask you for a decription for an e-fit?!  What rubbish.

Why the e-fits in the first place then? (not done by the police by the way). What were Oakley's men trying to achieve?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 10:10:24 PM
you've missed the point, repeatedly.  Smith tells the police "the man I saw was Gerry McCann" the e-fit guys have a million pics of Gerry McCann on the internet to refer to when doing the e-fit.  But actually when you think about it, the premise is completely absurd: you tell the police you're 60-80% sure the men you saw shoplifting were Ant and Dec and they ask you for a decription for an e-fit?!  What rubbish.

Smith did not say the man he saw WAS Gerry McCann, let alone repeatedly! Steady on.

Being roughly 60-80% sure, means exactly that, he was not totally sure and all that uncertainty entails, ergo, an efit of what he thought he saw was in the bounds of responsible detective work. No stone unturned etc etc? If an abductor was found via these efits you wouldn't be so derogatory and sarcastic would you?



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 10:23:18 PM
Why the e-fits in the first place then? (not done by the police by the way). What were Oakley's men trying to achieve?
doing the e-fits in the first place ONLY makes sense if The Smiths changed their minds about it being Gerry.  It's glaringly obvious, surely?!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:30:21 PM
doing the e-fits in the first place ONLY makes sense if The Smiths changed their minds about it being Gerry.  It's glaringly obvious, surely?!

There was always at least a 20% doubt in Matin Smith's identification. I assume it was this small doubt that made the efits necessary.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 10:35:50 PM
There was always at least a 20% doubt in Matin Smith's identification. I assume it was this small doubt that made the efits necessary.
LOL, so he really wasn't certain about it right from the get-go, is that what you're saying?  That coupled with the fact that he never saw the guy's face anyway and that none of the rest of his family thought it was Gerry, and yet people like you consider his claim of utmost importance and have built your wobbly theories around it -
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:43:06 PM
LOL, so he really wasn't certain about it right from the get-go, is that what you're saying?  That coupled with the fact that he never saw the guy's face anyway and that none of the rest of his family thought it was Gerry, and yet people like you consider his claim of utmost importance and have built your wobbly theories around it -


Where have I ever said Martin Smith was any more than 80% sure that the nan he saw was Gerry and BTW I know you supporters don't like it but Martin's wife Mary also agreed with his feeling that the man they had seen was Madeleine's father. It is interesting that you are willing to endorse a theory that hangs on an individual who has been ruled out of the case yet scoff at a theory involves the almost certainty of two eyewitness's identification.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 10:43:23 PM
Washup of 9 pages.

Answer to the opening post:

                              YES!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:45:14 PM
Washup of 9 pages.

Answer to the opening post:

                              YES!

Has John got back to you yet with that quote ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 10:47:30 PM
Has John got back to you yet with that quote ?

I found it myself.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:48:06 PM
I found it myself.

Care to share ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 22, 2016, 10:49:35 PM
Care to share ?

No point.

It was posted (and removed) once by the owner of the board.

I'm sure he had his reasons for removing it ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:50:16 PM
No point.

It was posted (and removed) once by the owner of the board.

I'm sure he had his reasons for removing it ....

Then PM me it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 10:50:25 PM

Where have I ever said Martin Smith was any more than 80% sure that the nan he saw was Gerry and BTW I know you supporters don't like it but Martin's wife Mary also agreed with his feeling that the man they had seen was Madeleine's father. It is interesting that you are willing to endorse a theory that hangs on an individual who has been ruled out of the case yet scoff at a theory involves the almost certainty of two eyewitness's identification.
If they were "almost certain" then e-fits were unnecessary.  The end.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 10:53:56 PM
Washup of 9 pages.

Answer to the opening post:

                              YES!

NOPE

Thinking or wishing never makes it so

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:54:25 PM
If they were "almost certain" then e-fits were unnecessary.  The end.

Of course they weren't. There was still a small chance they were wrong.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 10:55:57 PM
NOPE

Thinking or wishing never makes it so

Not to worry Mercury I'm sure ferryman will prove us all wrong in a moment by furnishing us with that direct quote from Martin Smith.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 10:56:17 PM
Of course they weren't. There was still a small chance they were wrong.
It's like trying to reason with mud.  I give up.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 11:00:20 PM
It's like trying to reason with mud.  I give up.

I like a man who knows when he's beaten !  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 22, 2016, 11:02:01 PM
I like a man who knows when he's beaten !  8(0(*
unreasonable people always win in an online argument.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 11:08:17 PM
unreasonable people always win in an online argument.

People who have been defeated during an online debate always say their opponent was unreasonable.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 11:10:39 PM
Not to worry Mercury I'm sure ferryman will prove us all wrong in a moment by furnishing us with that direct quote from Martin Smith.

I hope so as its been trumpeted over two threads..I have pmd John to reproduce it and settle this ....after all this is a fact based forum admin tells us all the time, we want facts not utterances to be taken in faith as facts!!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 22, 2016, 11:13:25 PM
I hope so as its been trumpeted over two threads..I have pmd John to reproduce it and settle this ....after all this is a fact based forum admin tells us all the time, we want facts not utterances to be taken in faith as facts!!

Indeed Mercury. I'm sure ferryman will produce the quote rather than face the igmony of being thought a fool.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 22, 2016, 11:21:00 PM
LOL, so he really wasn't certain about it right from the get-go, is that what you're saying?  That coupled with the fact that he never saw the guy's face anyway and that none of the rest of his family thought it was Gerry, and yet people like you consider his claim of utmost importance and have built your wobbly theories around it - bonkers mate!

Of course he saw his face but it was dark.

"He had an average build, a bit on the thin side. His hair was short, in a basic male cut, brown in colour. He cannot state if it was dark or lighter in tone. He did not wear glasses and had no beard or moustache. He did not notice any other relevant details partly due to the fact that the lighting was not very good." MS
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 22, 2016, 11:23:09 PM
Indeed Mercury. I'm sure ferryman will produce the quote rather than face the igmony of being thought a fool.

Ferryman believes what he does, like many others, which is fine, where it goes wrong is when it's twisted and not substantiated and worse, so that others can say, ok, you're right, simple as.....no need for pages and pages of threads talking about the same bleeding issues 24/7.....

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on February 23, 2016, 09:31:04 AM
I haven't found a direct quote from Martin Smith.

ST:

Smith has since stressed that he does not believe the man he saw was Gerry, and Scotland Yard do not consider this a possibility. Last week the McCanns were told officially by the Portuguese authorities that they are not suspects.


http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=2794.0

However, there is this from Mary Smith (MoS):
This weekend, Mr Smith's wife Mary told the Mail on Sunday her husband had no regrets about coming forward.

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

http://www.mccannfiles.com/id162.html


There is also a tweet exchange between Xklamation and Jason Farrell from Sky:

Joana Morais
‏@JoanaAMorais
@JasonFarrellSky «I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerald McCann that I met that night carrying a child» Mr.Smith http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm …

Jason Farrell ‏@JasonFarrellSky 14 Oct 2013
@xklamation it was Peter Smith who I spoke to, who was in the group. That wasn't his take on it.
0 retweets 0 likes

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 09:33:50 AM
Of course he saw his face but it was dark.

"He had an average build, a bit on the thin side. His hair was short, in a basic male cut, brown in colour. He cannot state if it was dark or lighter in tone. He did not wear glasses and had no beard or moustache. He did not notice any other relevant details partly due to the fact that the lighting was not very good." MS
No recall of any relevant facial details apart from the lack of glasses and facial hair.  Well that certainly narrows it down then.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on February 23, 2016, 09:50:21 AM
I haven't found a direct quote from Martin Smith.

ST:

Smith has since stressed that he does not believe the man he saw was Gerry, and Scotland Yard do not consider this a possibility. Last week the McCanns were told officially by the Portuguese authorities that they are not suspects.


http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=2794.0

However, there is this from Mary Smith (MoS):
This weekend, Mr Smith's wife Mary told the Mail on Sunday her husband had no regrets about coming forward.

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

http://www.mccannfiles.com/id162.html


There is also a tweet exchange between Xklamation and Jason Farrell from Sky:

Joana Morais
‏@JoanaAMorais
@JasonFarrellSky «I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerald McCann that I met that night carrying a child» Mr.Smith http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm …

Jason Farrell ‏@JasonFarrellSky 14 Oct 2013
@xklamation it was Peter Smith who I spoke to, who was in the group. That wasn't his take on it.
0 retweets 0 likes

If those comments (in bold) don't make it crystal clear that the Smiths don't think it was Gerry they saw - then I don't know what will.   Anyone who thinks Mrs Smith meant something different is deluding themselves that black is white IMO.



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 09:52:41 AM
If those comments (in bold) don't make it crystal clear that the Smiths don't think it was Gerry they saw - then I don't know what will.   Anyone who thinks Mrs Smith meant something different is deluding themselves that black is white IMO.
The "Sceptic" defensive position will be - it's in the Mail on Sunday so they must've made it up.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 23, 2016, 10:03:43 AM
The "Sceptic" defensive position will be - it's in the Mail on Sunday so they must've made it up.

The actual position is, wanting a signed and witnessed statement from Mr. Smith himself.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 10:07:14 AM
I haven't found a direct quote from Martin Smith.

ST:

Smith has since stressed that he does not believe the man he saw was Gerry, and Scotland Yard do not consider this a possibility. Last week the McCanns were told officially by the Portuguese authorities that they are not suspects.


http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=2794.0

However, there is this from Mary Smith (MoS):
This weekend, Mr Smith's wife Mary told the Mail on Sunday her husband had no regrets about coming forward.

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

http://www.mccannfiles.com/id162.html


There is also a tweet exchange between Xklamation and Jason Farrell from Sky:

Joana Morais
‏@JoanaAMorais
@JasonFarrellSky «I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerald McCann that I met that night carrying a child» Mr.Smith http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm …

Jason Farrell ‏@JasonFarrellSky 14 Oct 2013
@xklamation it was Peter Smith who I spoke to, who was in the group. That wasn't his take on it.
0 retweets 0 likes

This is the whole article the quotes were taken from :

Drogheda businessman told police he saw Gerry McCann carrying a child towards the beach the day Maddie disappeared The Irish Mail on Sunday (no online link, appears in paper edition)
 
10 August 2008
 
Father-of-six gave garda a signed statement saying he and his wife were ''60 to 80% sure'' that the man they saw holding the child was Maddie's father.

The claim, which was taken seriously by the Portuguese police, was made almost four months after Maddie disappeared on May 3rd this year.

Since then the McCanns have been totally exonerated of any involvement.

Mr. Smith had initally told police he had seen a man carrying a child that night, but that he couldn't identify him because he had not been wearing his glasses. The following September, however, the businessman saw clips of the McCanns returning from their holidays and said the footage of Mr McCann carrying his younger child had instantly reminded him of the mystery man.

''I would be 60 to 80% sure that it was Gerry McCann that I met that night carrying a child," Mr Smith said in his statement. ''It was the way Mr. McCann turned his head down that was similar... It may have been the way he was carrying his child.

''I am basing this on his mannerism, in the way he carried the child off the plane.''

Mr Smith's claim was passed to the Portuguese police who took it as more evidence in support of their mistaken belief that the McCanns had something to do with their daughter's disappearence.

Friends of the McCann family said last night that the decision of the Portuguese police to pursue Mr Smith's claims prove that they were determined to pin the blame on Maddie's parents come what may.

One said ''Look at the facts. This man sees an individual carrying a child on the night Madeleine vanished. He waits 13 days to report this to the police, going back to Ireland.

"The McCanns returning to England - It was this image that alerted Mr Smith in the meantime. At this stage he admits he has no idea who the man is, other than a basic description. A further three, almost four months go by before, after seeing him on television, he feels it could be Gerry.

''By now the police have dozens of statements putting Gerry back at the apartment complex at that time. Yet the Portuguese ask a combination of the Leicestershire police and the Garda to re-interview this witness. About what??

''And why? The truth is that this is part of the victimisation of Gerry and Kate which has gone on from the very beginning by the Portuguese,who were clearly desperate to get something against them."

The extraordinary saga began on the night of May 3rd 2007, as Martin and his wife, Mary, walked back from a local pub in Praia da Luz to their apartment with members of his family. They had decided to return to their apartment within an hour of dining out becasue their son, Peter, was catching an early morning flight the next day.

As they made their way back, they crossed paths with a slim man with a full head of chestnut coloured hair and dressed in beige trousers coming in the opposite direction.

It was 9.55 pm and the man was carrying a sleeping little blonde girl of about 4-years of age. The child's head was was resting on the man's left shoulder.

At this stage Maddie had already disappeared but the Smiths were unaware that a child had gone missing from PDL.

It was not until the following morning that a family member living in Ireland told them of Madeleine's disappearence. Mr Smith returned to Ireland six days after the litle girl went missing and it was another 2 weeks before he travelled back to Portugal to make a statement about what he saw that night.

In the statement to Portuguese police on May 26th, the grandfather -who wears glasses but was not wearing them at the night in question - said he would not be able to identify the man he saw.

Significantly though he was able to tell Police that the man was not Robert Murat, as he had met him on a number of previous occasions.

After making his statement, Mr Smtih returned to Drogheda and it was not until four months later that that he made contact with the police again.

This weekend, Mr Smith's wife Mary told the Mail on Sunday her husband had no regrets about coming forward.

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''


No word of either Martin Smith or his wife changing their minds. In fact it could be argued that if Mary or her husband felt that they had made a mistake identifying Gerry then she had the perfect platform to tell the world about it. She was not hog tied by judicial secrecy any more so what was stopping her ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 10:11:39 AM
"Our hearts are breaking for her parents (despite the fact that we're quite convinced they've engaged in a massive cover-up and fraud involving the death of their little girl)" - yeah right.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on February 23, 2016, 10:13:25 AM
This is the whole article the quotes were taken from :

Drogheda businessman told police he saw Gerry McCann carrying a child towards the beach the day Maddie disappeared The Irish Mail on Sunday (no online link, appears in paper edition)
 
10 August 2008
 
Father-of-six gave garda a signed statement saying he and his wife were ''60 to 80% sure'' that the man they saw holding the child was Maddie's father.

The claim, which was taken seriously by the Portuguese police, was made almost four months after Maddie disappeared on May 3rd this year.

Since then the McCanns have been totally exonerated of any involvement.

Mr. Smith had initally told police he had seen a man carrying a child that night, but that he couldn't identify him because he had not been wearing his glasses. The following September, however, the businessman saw clips of the McCanns returning from their holidays and said the footage of Mr McCann carrying his younger child had instantly reminded him of the mystery man.

''I would be 60 to 80% sure that it was Gerry McCann that I met that night carrying a child," Mr Smith said in his statement. ''It was the way Mr. McCann turned his head down that was similar... It may have been the way he was carrying his child.

''I am basing this on his mannerism, in the way he carried the child off the plane.''

Mr Smith's claim was passed to the Portuguese police who took it as more evidence in support of their mistaken belief that the McCanns had something to do with their daughter's disappearence.

Friends of the McCann family said last night that the decision of the Portuguese police to pursue Mr Smith's claims prove that they were determined to pin the blame on Maddie's parents come what may.

One said ''Look at the facts. This man sees an individual carrying a child on the night Madeleine vanished. He waits 13 days to report this to the police, going back to Ireland.

"The McCanns returning to England - It was this image that alerted Mr Smith in the meantime. At this stage he admits he has no idea who the man is, other than a basic description. A further three, almost four months go by before, after seeing him on television, he feels it could be Gerry.

''By now the police have dozens of statements putting Gerry back at the apartment complex at that time. Yet the Portuguese ask a combination of the Leicestershire police and the Garda to re-interview this witness. About what??

''And why? The truth is that this is part of the victimisation of Gerry and Kate which has gone on from the very beginning by the Portuguese,who were clearly desperate to get something against them."

The extraordinary saga began on the night of May 3rd 2007, as Martin and his wife, Mary, walked back from a local pub in Praia da Luz to their apartment with members of his family. They had decided to return to their apartment within an hour of dining out becasue their son, Peter, was catching an early morning flight the next day.

As they made their way back, they crossed paths with a slim man with a full head of chestnut coloured hair and dressed in beige trousers coming in the opposite direction.

It was 9.55 pm and the man was carrying a sleeping little blonde girl of about 4-years of age. The child's head was was resting on the man's left shoulder.

At this stage Maddie had already disappeared but the Smiths were unaware that a child had gone missing from PDL.

It was not until the following morning that a family member living in Ireland told them of Madeleine's disappearence. Mr Smith returned to Ireland six days after the litle girl went missing and it was another 2 weeks before he travelled back to Portugal to make a statement about what he saw that night.

In the statement to Portuguese police on May 26th, the grandfather -who wears glasses but was not wearing them at the night in question - said he would not be able to identify the man he saw.

Significantly though he was able to tell Police that the man was not Robert Murat, as he had met him on a number of previous occasions.

After making his statement, Mr Smtih returned to Drogheda and it was not until four months later that that he made contact with the police again.

This weekend, Mr Smith's wife Mary told the Mail on Sunday her husband had no regrets about coming forward.

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''


No word of either Martin Smith or his wife changing their minds. In fact it could be argued that if Mary or her husband felt that they had made a mistake identifying Gerry then she had the perfect platform to tell the world about it. She was not hog tied by judicial secrecy any more so what was stopping her ?

Like I said - anyone who thinks Mrs Smith didn't make it crystal clear from those comments that they don't think it was Gerry they saw - is deluding themselves.

The ability of some sceptics to convince themselves that black is white never ceases to amaze me.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 23, 2016, 10:15:16 AM
Like I said - anyone who thinks Mrs Smith didn't make it crystal clear from those comments that they don't think it was Gerry they saw - is deluding themselves.

The ability of some sceptics to convince themselves that black is white never ceases to amaze me.

I would prefer to see signed statements from the Smiths.

How about you ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 10:20:53 AM
Like I said - anyone who thinks Mrs Smith didn't make it crystal clear from those comments that they don't think it was Gerry they saw - is deluding themselves.

The ability of some sceptics to convince themselves that black is white never ceases to amaze me.

She could have made it crystal clear by admitting that they made a mistake. Why do you think she didn't ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on February 23, 2016, 10:27:53 AM
She could have made it crystal clear by admitting that they made a mistake. Why do you think she didn't ?

Why would she think she had to spell it out as if she was addressing the feeble minded who had to have every syllable explained to them.   It's perfectly clear to anyone with reasonable intelligence that she would not have made those comments if she and her husband believed the McCanns were complicit in the disappearance of their  daughter..

If you want to believe she meant the opposite of what she said - then that's your problem.

(Have to go out now)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 10:39:15 AM
Why would she think she had to spell it out as if she was addressing the feeble minded who had to have every syllable explained to them.   It's perfectly clear to anyone with reasonable intelligence that she would not have made those comments if she and her husband believed the McCanns were complicit in the disappearance of their  daughter..

If you want to believe she meant the opposite of what she said - then that's your problem.

(Have to go out now)
8@??)(
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on February 23, 2016, 10:42:53 AM
Why would she think she had to spell it out as if she was addressing the feeble minded who had to have every syllable explained to them.   It's perfectly clear to anyone with reasonable intelligence that she would not have made those comments if she and her husband believed the McCanns were complicit in the disappearance of their  daughter..

If you want to believe she meant the opposite of what she said - then that's your problem.

(Have to go out now)

Now did she actually make those comments ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 10:52:33 AM

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/ ... 97648.html

In the body of the article we have these lines :

'Evidence provided at the time by members of the Smith family, from Maple Drive, Drogheda, Co Louth, was considered credible by the review officers.

'Martin Smith and his wife Mary revealed to investigators how they saw a man carrying a young child through the streets of Praia da Luz in Portugal on the night Madeleine went missing.'

Would the review officers have found the Smith's evidence credible if they'd flip-flopped between Gerry probably being the carrier and then not ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 11:14:19 AM
Grasping. At. Straws.  The Smiths obviously saw a man carrying a child.  There were 9 individuals that confirm this fact.  That two of the group once upon a time thought it might be Gerry then changed their minds does not invalidate the sighting or its possible significance.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on February 23, 2016, 11:16:48 AM
This is the whole article the quotes were taken from :

Drogheda businessman told police he saw Gerry McCann carrying a child towards the beach the day Maddie disappeared The Irish Mail on Sunday (no online link, appears in paper edition)
 
10 August 2008
 
Father-of-six gave garda a signed statement saying he and his wife were ''60 to 80% sure'' that the man they saw holding the child was Maddie's father.

The claim, which was taken seriously by the Portuguese police, was made almost four months after Maddie disappeared on May 3rd this year.

Since then the McCanns have been totally exonerated of any involvement.

Mr. Smith had initally told police he had seen a man carrying a child that night, but that he couldn't identify him because he had not been wearing his glasses. The following September, however, the businessman saw clips of the McCanns returning from their holidays and said the footage of Mr McCann carrying his younger child had instantly reminded him of the mystery man.

''I would be 60 to 80% sure that it was Gerry McCann that I met that night carrying a child," Mr Smith said in his statement. ''It was the way Mr. McCann turned his head down that was similar... It may have been the way he was carrying his child.

''I am basing this on his mannerism, in the way he carried the child off the plane.''

Mr Smith's claim was passed to the Portuguese police who took it as more evidence in support of their mistaken belief that the McCanns had something to do with their daughter's disappearence.

Friends of the McCann family said last night that the decision of the Portuguese police to pursue Mr Smith's claims prove that they were determined to pin the blame on Maddie's parents come what may.

One said ''Look at the facts. This man sees an individual carrying a child on the night Madeleine vanished. He waits 13 days to report this to the police, going back to Ireland.

"The McCanns returning to England - It was this image that alerted Mr Smith in the meantime. At this stage he admits he has no idea who the man is, other than a basic description. A further three, almost four months go by before, after seeing him on television, he feels it could be Gerry.

''By now the police have dozens of statements putting Gerry back at the apartment complex at that time. Yet the Portuguese ask a combination of the Leicestershire police and the Garda to re-interview this witness. About what??

''And why? The truth is that this is part of the victimisation of Gerry and Kate which has gone on from the very beginning by the Portuguese,who were clearly desperate to get something against them."

The extraordinary saga began on the night of May 3rd 2007, as Martin and his wife, Mary, walked back from a local pub in Praia da Luz to their apartment with members of his family. They had decided to return to their apartment within an hour of dining out becasue their son, Peter, was catching an early morning flight the next day.

As they made their way back, they crossed paths with a slim man with a full head of chestnut coloured hair and dressed in beige trousers coming in the opposite direction.

It was 9.55 pm and the man was carrying a sleeping little blonde girl of about 4-years of age. The child's head was was resting on the man's left shoulder.

At this stage Maddie had already disappeared but the Smiths were unaware that a child had gone missing from PDL.

It was not until the following morning that a family member living in Ireland told them of Madeleine's disappearence. Mr Smith returned to Ireland six days after the litle girl went missing and it was another 2 weeks before he travelled back to Portugal to make a statement about what he saw that night.

In the statement to Portuguese police on May 26th, the grandfather -who wears glasses but was not wearing them at the night in question - said he would not be able to identify the man he saw.

Significantly though he was able to tell Police that the man was not Robert Murat, as he had met him on a number of previous occasions.

After making his statement, Mr Smtih returned to Drogheda and it was not until four months later that that he made contact with the police again.

This weekend, Mr Smith's wife Mary told the Mail on Sunday her husband had no regrets about coming forward.

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''


No word of either Martin Smith or his wife changing their minds. In fact it could be argued that if Mary or her husband felt that they had made a mistake identifying Gerry then she had the perfect platform to tell the world about it. She was not hog tied by judicial secrecy any more so what was stopping her ?

What would you have expected her to say?

His wife seems to have agreed that whoever they saw had the same "stature". Was that the point of agreement between them? If it was more than that, why did the apparent correspondence between Team Amaral only concern Martin?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 11:18:07 AM
Grasping. At. Straws.  The Smiths obviously saw a man carrying a child.  There were 9 individuals that confirm this fact.  That two of the group once upon a time thought it might be Gerry then changed their minds does not invalidate the sighting or its possible significance.

The two of the group who provided the efits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 11:28:33 AM
doing the e-fits in the first place ONLY makes sense if The Smiths changed their minds about it being Gerry.  It's glaringly obvious, surely?!

You are forgetting that the e-fits were allegedly connected to a report which was 'hypercritical' of Jane Tanner and the parents. We don't know when or why it was done, but it wasn't handed over during the life of the contract, which finished in September 2008.   

Kate's book;

The termination of the contract, in September 2008, was quite acrimonious, and unfortunately, that was not the end of it. Several months later, one of the investigators subcontracted by Oakley contacted us to demand payment for his services. We had already settled Oakley’s bill for this work months before, but apparently the company had not paid him. He was not the only one. Over time several more unpaid subcontractors came to light.

Kate doesn't say if they acceded to the investigator's demand, but as his problem was with Oakley the Fund was under no obligation at all to reimburse him. (Demand is a very strong word by the way, much stronger than ask or request).

What it is claimed happened was that the hypercritical report and the e-fits were handed over in mid-November 2008 and the investigators at some point received a legal threat re confidentiality.

Three questions arise.

1. Why were the report and e-fits produced?

2. Why were they handed over after the investigators were sacked?

3. Why did Redwood publicise the e-fits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 23, 2016, 12:06:23 PM
Grasping. At. Straws.  The Smiths obviously saw a man carrying a child.  There were 9 individuals that confirm this fact.  That two of the group once upon a time thought it might be Gerry then changed their minds does not invalidate the sighting or its possible significance.
Nonsense.  3 of the group gave statements.  It looks like some stuff has been attributed to Mary in various media reports.

That means we are missing 5 of 9.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 12:31:20 PM
The two of the group who provided the efits.
Oh hello!  I thought I was on ignore...?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 12:32:42 PM
Nonsense.  3 of the group gave statements.  It looks like some stuff has been attributed to Mary in various media reports.

That means we are missing 5 of 9.
What is nonsense exactly?  That nine individuals saw a man carrying a child that night?  Can you please explain to me how that is nonsense?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 12:35:56 PM
You are forgetting that the e-fits were allegedly connected to a report which was 'hypercritical' of Jane Tanner and the parents. We don't know when or why it was done, but it wasn't handed over during the life of the contract, which finished in September 2008.   

Kate's book;

The termination of the contract, in September 2008, was quite acrimonious, and unfortunately, that was not the end of it. Several months later, one of the investigators subcontracted by Oakley contacted us to demand payment for his services. We had already settled Oakley’s bill for this work months before, but apparently the company had not paid him. He was not the only one. Over time several more unpaid subcontractors came to light.

Kate doesn't say if they acceded to the investigator's demand, but as his problem was with Oakley the Fund was under no obligation at all to reimburse him. (Demand is a very strong word by the way, much stronger than ask or request).

What it is claimed happened was that the hypercritical report and the e-fits were handed over in mid-November 2008 and the investigators at some point received a legal threat re confidentiality.

Three questions arise.

1. Why were the report and e-fits produced?
Because they were commissioned by the McCanns..?

2. Why were they handed over after the investigators were sacked?
Why wouldn't they have been?

3. Why did Redwood publicise the e-fits.
Why wouldn't he?  They may or may not be relevant, he cannot be sure either way at this time, so better to put the info in the public domain I would have thought...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on February 23, 2016, 12:36:10 PM
You are forgetting that the e-fits were allegedly connected to a report which was 'hypercritical' of Jane Tanner and the parents. We don't know when or why it was done, but it wasn't handed over during the life of the contract, which finished in September 2008.   

Kate's book;

The termination of the contract, in September 2008, was quite acrimonious, and unfortunately, that was not the end of it. Several months later, one of the investigators subcontracted by Oakley contacted us to demand payment for his services. We had already settled Oakley’s bill for this work months before, but apparently the company had not paid him. He was not the only one. Over time several more unpaid subcontractors came to light.

Kate doesn't say if they acceded to the investigator's demand, but as his problem was with Oakley the Fund was under no obligation at all to reimburse him. (Demand is a very strong word by the way, much stronger than ask or request).

What it is claimed happened was that the hypercritical report and the e-fits were handed over in mid-November 2008 and the investigators at some point received a legal threat re confidentiality.

Three questions arise.

1. Why were the report and e-fits produced?

2. Why were they handed over after the investigators were sacked?

3. Why did Redwood publicise the e-fits.


I can understand that investigators / others under an Oakley contract who had not been paid would be disgruntled (who wouldn't be?). However, if the agreed fees had been paid to Oakley / Halligen, then they should have taken the issue up with Halligen... except that he was elusive / on the run / wanted and eventually found for more serious charges.

If the Fund had paid out prior to the discontinuation of the contract, should the Fund have paid out over and above the agreed fee to Oakley?

if there was a legal issue about using the efits (assuming that they had indeed been produced at that time), a threat of legal action as to copyright could have prevented the McCanns from using them.



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 23, 2016, 12:55:16 PM
What is nonsense exactly?  That nine individuals saw a man carrying a child that night?  Can you please explain to me how that is nonsense?
I gave you the quote of your claim the first time.  Here it is again.

"There were 9 individuals that confirm this fact."

You stated that.  I said it's nonsense.  Because it's nonsense.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 23, 2016, 01:10:10 PM
Why would she think she had to spell it out as if she was addressing the feeble minded who had to have every syllable explained to them.   It's perfectly clear to anyone with reasonable intelligence that she would not have made those comments if she and her husband believed the McCanns were complicit in the disappearance of their  daughter..

If you want to believe she meant the opposite of what she said - then that's your problem.

(Have to go out now)

clutching at straws?

comments allegedly made to a journalist do not prove very much, notwithstanding the fact that at the time the smiths would have had no idea their statements were about to be put out over the Internet .....meanwhile, still awaiting ferrymans proof/smith's verbatim confirmation that he went from 60-80% sure he saw Gerry McCann to zero %


Signed....feeble minded
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 01:15:38 PM
@Alfred
Oakley International, which boasts former British security service and FBI contacts, was hired to monitor the Madeleine Hotline, carry out detective work and review CCTV footage of possible sightings of the missing girl around the world.

Why would the McCanns ask Oakley to investigate and report on their own part in the case? If they did specifically ask them to do it, why not ask for the report before sacking Oakley?

What did the investigators stand to gain by handing over a report which was hypercritical of the parents and their friends and two e-fits which had a look of the father? They were chasing payment at the time, and the report was unlikely to persuade the parents to pay them, quite the reverse really. The McCanns were not keen on being investigated, as the PJ discovered.

DCI Redwood publicised the e-fits, knowing they were connected to a report criticising the parents and Jane Tanner's sighting. At the same time he largely got rid of the Tanner sighting.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 01:55:36 PM
I gave you the quote of your claim the first time.  Here it is again.

"There were 9 individuals that confirm this fact."

You stated that.  I said it's nonsense.  Because it's nonsense.
I think you're being unduly pedantic.  There were 9 individuals.  4 (?) of the group said that a man carrying a child passed the group.  Is there any question that 5 others of the group also saw the man, or do you think it's possible that these 5 did not see and would not be able to confirm that a man passed them that night?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 02:01:36 PM
@Alfred
Oakley International, which boasts former British security service and FBI contacts, was hired to monitor the Madeleine Hotline, carry out detective work and review CCTV footage of possible sightings of the missing girl around the world.

Why would the McCanns ask Oakley to investigate and report on their own part in the case? If they did specifically ask them to do it, why not ask for the report before sacking Oakley?

What did the investigators stand to gain by handing over a report which was hypercritical of the parents and their friends and two e-fits which had a look of the father? They were chasing payment at the time, and the report was unlikely to persuade the parents to pay them, quite the reverse really. The McCanns were not keen on being investigated, as the PJ discovered.

DCI Redwood publicised the e-fits, knowing they were connected to a report criticising the parents and Jane Tanner's sighting. At the same time he largely got rid of the Tanner sighting.
I don't get this.  Why would Oakley undertake an investigation into anything that was not part of their remit and which they were not paid to investigate?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 03:05:39 PM
I don't get this.  Why would Oakley undertake an investigation into anything that was not part of their remit and which they were not paid to investigate?

Now you're getting there. Concentrating on the e-fits tells us nothing. Add a report hypercritical of the group to the e- fits with a look of the father and you have a package which the McCanns are unlikely to have asked for and didn't want in the public domain. In fact they were said to have suppressed the report;

Critical new evidence at the centre of the reinvigorated hunt for Madeleine McCann came from a suppressed report by ex-MI5 investigators.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/madeleinemccann/10407664/Madeleine-McCann-critical-new-evidence-is-from-five-year-old-suppressed-report.html

The report and associated e-fits didn't surface while Oakley were still working for the parents, they surfaced in November 2008 around the time when unpaid investigators were 'demanding' payment from the McCanns.


 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 23, 2016, 03:08:02 PM
I think you're being unduly pedantic.  There were 9 individuals.  4 (?) of the group said that a man carrying a child passed the group.  Is there any question that 5 others of the group also saw the man, or do you think it's possible that these 5 did not see and would not be able to confirm that a man passed them that night?
There is a big difference between '9 confirmed it' and '5 or 6 didn't but would be able to'.

If you believe a child of 4 and a child of 6 would be able to confirm it, your understanding of how memory works is quite different to my understanding.

The other members fall into the debateable category, other than the fact that they did not give statements.  9 down to 3 is hardly pedantic.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 03:21:04 PM
There is a big difference between '9 confirmed it' and '5 or 6 didn't but would be able to'.

If you believe a child of 4 and a child of 6 would be able to confirm it, your understanding of how memory works is quite different to my understanding.

The other members fall into the debateable category, other than the fact that they did not give statements.  9 down to 3 is hardly pedantic.
You've concentrated on a debateable detail which does not alter in any way the thrust of my original point, but thanks for taking us on the detour.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 03:29:02 PM
Oh hello!  I thought I was on ignore...?

Only when mocking and deriding  ?{)(**
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 03:29:41 PM
Now you're getting there. Concentrating on the e-fits tells us nothing. Add a report hypercritical of the group to the e- fits with a look of the father and you have a package which the McCanns are unlikely to have asked for and didn't want in the public domain. In fact they were said to have suppressed the report;

Critical new evidence at the centre of the reinvigorated hunt for Madeleine McCann came from a suppressed report by ex-MI5 investigators.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/madeleinemccann/10407664/Madeleine-McCann-critical-new-evidence-is-from-five-year-old-suppressed-report.html

The report and associated e-fits didn't surface while Oakley were still working for the parents, they surfaced in November 2008 around the time when unpaid investigators were 'demanding' payment from the McCanns.
I don't see what any of this has got to do with the subject of this thread.  Has Martin Smith changed his opinion?  All the evidence seems to point to the fact that he has.  Next.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 03:30:19 PM
Only when mocking and deriding  ?{)(**
I was mocking you then but you responded.  Ooops!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 03:43:40 PM
I don't see what any of this has got to do with the subject of this thread.  Has Martin Smith changed his opinion?  All the evidence seems to point to the fact that he has.  Next.

Indubitably ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 03:57:39 PM
I don't see what any of this has got to do with the subject of this thread.  Has Martin Smith changed his opinion?  All the evidence seems to point to the fact that he has.  Next.

No, there is no evidence that he changed his mind. It's immaterial anyway because they still look like Gerry McCann. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 23, 2016, 04:05:09 PM
No, there is no evidence that he changed his mind. It's immaterial anyway because they still look like Gerry McCann.

No they don't.  Although one of them looks remarkably like Cristovao.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 04:06:11 PM
I was mocking you then but you responded.  Ooops!

Then I can only assume that you're very bad at it because i didn't even notice.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 04:08:13 PM
Aside from xenophobic cheap shots about the Irish, there is no other reason that could be offered why Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he believed was Gerry ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 23, 2016, 04:15:15 PM
Aside from xenophobic cheap shots about the Irish, there is no other reason that could be offered why Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he believed was Gerry ....

IMO it was an excellent way to get the McCann PI's to stop pestering the Smith family.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 04:25:17 PM
IMO it was an excellent way to get the McCann PI's to stop pestering the Smith family.

Why not that he changed his mind about the man being Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 04:29:06 PM
Aside from xenophobic cheap shots about the Irish, there is no other reason that could be offered why Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he believed was Gerry ....

He refused to produce one when approached by Brian Kennedy, but he agreed when approached by Oakley's investigators. I don't know what Kennedy hoped to achieve but I have some idea what Oakley were up to.

They kept the e-fits in or with a report they produced. The report was hypercritical of the McCanns and their friends and it didn't think the Tanner sighting was credible. Can you see the direction they were taking? A clue; it wasn't an attempt to demonstrate the innocence and honesty of the T9.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 04:40:31 PM
He refused to produce one when approached by Brian Kennedy, but he agreed when approached by Oakley's investigators. I don't know what Kennedy hoped to achieve but I have some idea what Oakley were up to.

They kept the e-fits in or with a report they produced. The report was hypercritical of the McCanns and their friends and it didn't think the Tanner sighting was credible. Can you see the direction they were taking? A clue; it wasn't an attempt to demonstrate the innocence and honesty of the T9.

Forget the crap about Oakley's quibbles with the (estimable) Jane Tanner; a red-herring.

For the moment, forget, also, the thoughts of the PJ.  At least, at that juncture, efits was foreign territory for them.  They never used them in their own investigations and didn't really understand their purpose or the rationale of their use.

Think about the English police and English rationale for the use and purpose of efits.

Efits are used to highlight (most commonly) likely suspects in crime and to aid identification of criminals.

It is conceivable that the Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abduction and Madeleine's abductor.

Therefore, that efit could only, ever, be released into the public domain in the context of a live and on-going police enquiry. 

Scotland Yard, themselves, kept hold of the efits for a considerable period (after taking custody of them) before releasing them into the public domain during the Crimewatch programme.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquires.

They long have.

Nothing new about the Madeleine enquiry (at least in that respect).

Not rocket-science ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 23, 2016, 04:49:09 PM
He refused to produce one when approached by Brian Kennedy, but he agreed when approached by Oakley's investigators. I don't know what Kennedy hoped to achieve but I have some idea what Oakley were up to.

They kept the e-fits in or with a report they produced. The report was hypercritical of the McCanns and their friends and it didn't think the Tanner sighting was credible. Can you see the direction they were taking? A clue; it wasn't an attempt to demonstrate the innocence and honesty of the T9.

There was a live & ongoing PJ inquiry at the time the Smiths were approached by Kennedy. They could be accused of attempting to pervert the course of justice in light of their statements.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 23, 2016, 04:57:03 PM
Forget the crap about Oakley's quibbles with the (estimable) Jane Tanner; a red-herring.

For the moment, forget, also, the thoughts of the PJ.  At least, at that juncture, efits was foreign territory for them.  They never used them in their own investigations and didn't really understand their purpose or the rationale of their use.

Think about the English police and English rationale for the use and purpose of efits.

Efits are used to highlight (most commonly) likely suspects in crime and to aid identification of criminals.

It is conceivable that the Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abduction and Madeleine's abductor.

Therefore, that efit could only, ever, be released into the public domain in the context of a live and on-going police enquiry. 

Scotland Yard, themselves, kept hold of the efits for a considerable period (after taking custody of them) before releasing them into the public domain during the Crimewatch programme.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquires.

They long have.

Nothing new about the Madeleine enquiry (at least in that respect).

Not rocket-science ....

And why Scotland Yard approached the abduction as if it had happened in UK.

An abduction is still an abduction no matter where it happens.  The details are still the same.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 05:02:54 PM
There was a live & ongoing PJ inquiry at the time the Smiths were approached by Kennedy. They could be accused of attempting to pervert the course of justice in light of their statements.

There was.

Although at the time, Mr Smith (and his wife, who produced the second efit) were both inclined to the view (though not convinced) that they had seen Gerry ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 05:36:51 PM
Forget the crap about Oakley's quibbles with the (estimable) Jane Tanner; a red-herring.

For the moment, forget, also, the thoughts of the PJ.  At least, at that juncture, efits was foreign territory for them.  They never used them in their own investigations and didn't really understand their purpose or the rationale of their use.

Think about the English police and English rationale for the use and purpose of efits.

Efits are used to highlight (most commonly) likely suspects in crime and to aid identification of criminals.

It is conceivable that the Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abduction and Madeleine's abductor.

Therefore, that efit could only, ever, be released into the public domain in the context of a live and on-going police enquiry. 

Scotland Yard, themselves, kept hold of the efits for a considerable period (after taking custody of them) before releasing them into the public domain during the Crimewatch programme.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquires.

They long have.

Nothing new about the Madeleine enquiry (at least in that respect).

Not rocket-science ....

Oakley's investigators have claimed they produced the e-fits and have not been contradicted.

The Oakley investigator's report is not crap or a red herring, it's linked to the e-fits. The investigator's said so and no-one has denied that either.

As the UK police didn't produce the e-fits I don't see the relevance of bringing them into the debate?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 06:17:57 PM
Oakley's investigators have claimed they produced the e-fits and have not been contradicted.

The Oakley investigator's report is not crap or a red herring, it's linked to the e-fits. The investigator's said so and no-one has denied that either.

As the UK police didn't produce the e-fits I don't see the relevance of bringing them into the debate?

Why obfuscate the salient fact with red-herrings?

ETA

And strawman 'arguments'.

Oakley produced the efits.

Not in dispute.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 06:24:15 PM
Then I can only assume that you're very bad at it because i didn't even notice.
You know what they say about ASSuming don't you...?  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 06:26:21 PM
Why obfuscate the salient fact with red-herrings?

I don't know what your salient fact is or your red herrings. The fact you think you have (that Martin Smith changed his mind) has not been demonstrated. The e-fits and the report cannot be separated because they are two parts of a whole, not isolated events.   
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 06:26:50 PM
No, there is no evidence that he changed his mind. It's immaterial anyway because they still look like Gerry McCann.
Would you say your hearts were breaking for the McCanns, whilst simultaneously suspecting them of all sorts of heinous deeds?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on February 23, 2016, 09:31:54 PM
Would you say your hearts were breaking for the McCanns, whilst simultaneously suspecting them of all sorts of heinous deeds?

G Unit's heart is breaking while suspecting them of heniuos crimes? wow, really, do share. Or are you implying that is the conflicting status of Mr Smith? in that case a wee cite would be great.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 23, 2016, 09:40:25 PM
G Unit's heart is breaking while suspecting them of heniuos crimes? wow, really, do share. Or are you implying that is the conflicting status of Mr Smith? in that case a wee cite would be great.

 @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 23, 2016, 10:20:51 PM
G Unit's heart is breaking while suspecting them of heniuos crimes? wow, really, do share. Or are you implying that is the conflicting status of Mr Smith? in that case a wee cite would be great.
read back.  Mrs Smith said that their hearts were breaking for Madeleine's parents, is this the kind of comment you would make if you suspected the self-same parents were guilty of covering up the death of a child and perpetuating a huge fraud? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 23, 2016, 10:48:53 PM

One wonders why there are two threads on Martin Smith.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 23, 2016, 10:57:28 PM
One wonders why there are two threads on Martin Smith.

  • Was Martin Smith mistaken about his 60% - 80% certainty after all?
  • Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?

Yes I wondered too but wasn't worth a post, best pm forum owners and mods if worried
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 23, 2016, 11:54:39 PM
In all events, the one-word answer to both title-threads is yes.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 23, 2016, 11:59:47 PM
In all events, the one-word answer to both title-threads is yes.

No he hasn't ferryman. SY found him and his wife credible witnesses, not a description I would have thought they'd have used if he'd flip-flopped about his identification.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 24, 2016, 12:09:02 AM
Mr. McCluskey states the thought had never crossed his mind that a child's parents could be implicated in such a matter. Media coverage over the past week or so has cased him to take a renewed interest in the case. The only thing which prevents Mr. McCluskey from stating he in 100% certain in his "identification" is the fact that he would , in his words, " hate to incriminate and innocent person."

Mr McCluskey appears to be a credible person and is not recorded on local intelligence systems.
137 Handwritten Richard McCluskey statement
I do not believe that Martin Smith is courting the press and my view his is a genuine person. He is known locally and is a very decent person.

    :: :: ::    :: :: ::    :: :: ::    :: :: ::
 

Another thing which has played on my mind is the coverage of Mr McCann walking off the aeroplane holding one of his young children. The way he was holding the child over his left shoulder reminded me of the man carrying the child from the white van in Portugal.
 ... something struck me that it could have been the same person. It was the way Gerard McCann turned his head down which was similar to what the individual did on 3rd May 2007 when we met him. It may have been the way he was carrying the child either. I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerard McCann that I met that night carrying a child. I am basing that on his mannerism in the way he carried the child off the plane.

Although I could not describe the male I'd seen in Portugal because he had his back to me, it was the particular way Mr. McCann held the child that made me think. He held the child over his left shoulder with his left arm supporting the child?s weight.
— States that it is not possible for him to recognise the individual in person or by photograph.

                               Mr Smith's statement in blue.


Two credible witnesses.
Two witness statements in which it is stated that neither witness is able to identify the man seen carrying a child.
Two additions to witness statements months after the event ... both as a result of exposure to the media.
Two changed statements ... but the other witnesses present at the events have not changed theirs.

Mr Smith was only 60 to 80% sure that he recognised the carrier.
Mr McCluskey was in effect 100% sure that he too recognised the carrier.

The difference lies in the fact the PJ had ruled out one sighting and not the other:  otherwise think what powerful 'evidence' that would have been for sceptics ... not only a 60 to 80% but a 100% surety with which to make mischief.

The perception which caused Mr McCluskey to erroneously make an additional statement must be measured against Mr Smith's statement. 
The Rebelo investigation which had access to both the Smith and McCluskey statements chose not to follow up on the Smith changes and I very much doubt they were in ignorance particularly as Ricardo Paiva was involved.

In my opinion it is perfectly obvious why not ... and why we discuss Mr Smith ad nauseam is one of life's mysteries.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/RI_Mc.htm

 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 24, 2016, 12:17:48 AM
Mr. McCluskey states the thought had never crossed his mind that a child's parents could be implicated in such a matter. Media coverage over the past week or so has cased him to take a renewed interest in the case. The only thing which prevents Mr. McCluskey from stating he in 100% certain in his "identification" is the fact that he would , in his words, " hate to incriminate and innocent person."

Mr McCluskey appears to be a credible person and is not recorded on local intelligence systems.
137 Handwritten Richard McCluskey statement
I do not believe that Martin Smith is courting the press and my view his is a genuine person. He is known locally and is a very decent person.

    :: :: ::    :: :: ::    :: :: ::    :: :: ::
 

Another thing which has played on my mind is the coverage of Mr McCann walking off the aeroplane holding one of his young children. The way he was holding the child over his left shoulder reminded me of the man carrying the child from the white van in Portugal.
 ... something struck me that it could have been the same person. It was the way Gerard McCann turned his head down which was similar to what the individual did on 3rd May 2007 when we met him. It may have been the way he was carrying the child either. I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerard McCann that I met that night carrying a child. I am basing that on his mannerism in the way he carried the child off the plane.

Although I could not describe the male I'd seen in Portugal because he had his back to me, it was the particular way Mr. McCann held the child that made me think. He held the child over his left shoulder with his left arm supporting the child?s weight.
— States that it is not possible for him to recognise the individual in person or by photograph.

                               Mr Smith's statement in blue.


Two credible witnesses.
Two witness statements in which it is stated that neither witness is able to identify the man seen carrying a child.
Two additions to witness statements months after the event ... both as a result of exposure to the media.
Two changed statements ... but the other witnesses present at the events have not changed theirs.

Mr Smith was only 60 to 80% sure that he recognised the carrier.
Mr McCluskey was in effect 100% sure that he too recognised the carrier.

The difference lies in the fact the PJ had ruled out one sighting and not the other:  otherwise think what powerful 'evidence' that would have been for sceptics ... not only a 60 to 80% but a 100% surety with which to make mischief.

The perception which caused Mr McCluskey to erroneously make an additional statement must be measured against Mr Smith's statement. 
The Rebelo investigation which had access to both the Smith and McCluskey statements chose not to follow up on the Smith changes and I very much doubt they were in ignorance particularly as Ricardo Paiva was involved.

In my opinion it is perfectly obvious why not ... and why we discuss Mr Smith ad nauseam is one of life's mysteries.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/RI_Mc.htm

Yet SY still find Martin Smith and his wife credible witnesses. Not, you'd think, an accolade they'd bestow if they thought the couple had changed their minds at least once.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 24, 2016, 12:19:49 AM
(snip) ...The Rebelo investigation which had access to both the Smith and McCluskey statements chose not to follow up on the Smith changes and I very much doubt they were in ignorance particularly as Ricardo Paiva was involved. ...(snip)
It was Paiva who made the Sept 27th international phonecall to Mr Smith in Ireland and asked him if he would be willing to return to Portugal.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Vicky on February 26, 2016, 04:46:40 PM
The Smith sighting always perplexes me. I do not understand how he can decide 4 months on, and simply because of the way the child was being held, that it was likely to be Gerry,

I also don't believe (if Gerry was hiding a dead child) he would parade through the streets carrying said child.

Same as I have never believed Tannerman could be the abductor. As it would have been preplanned, and as such, there would have been some other means of getting the child away than boldly marching through the streets at (what I assume would be) a busy time of night.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on February 26, 2016, 04:50:40 PM
It could have been a spur of the moment thing. Local child-stealer comes across small child wandering in street, snatches her and disappears off into the darkness, only to be spotted close up  by pesky tourists.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Vicky on February 26, 2016, 04:53:32 PM
It could have been a spur of the moment thing. Local child-stealer comes across small child wandering in street, snatches her and disappears off into the darkness, only to be spotted close up  by pesky tourists.
Yeah that would make a lot of sense I guess. But we are continually told there is absolutely no possibility Madeleine could have left the apartment herself...which kind of diminishes the chance of this considerably.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on February 26, 2016, 05:18:10 PM
The Smith sighting always perplexes me. I do not understand how he can decide 4 months on, and simply because of the way the child was being held, that it was likely to be Gerry,

I also don't believe (if Gerry was hiding a dead child) he would parade through the streets carrying said child.

Same as I have never believed Tannerman could be the abductor. As it would have been preplanned, and as such, there would have been some other means of getting the child away than boldly marching through the streets at (what I assume would be) a busy time of night.
Hi and welcome.

If you ever make it out to Luz, I'll be happy to show you the Tannerman scene at that time of the evening.  It is an area of Luz that has no bars or restaurants, except for what was then the Tapas restaurant.  Take out the Tapas 9 traffic, and what you have is a very quiet area. 

There were other people, according to reports, but not a lot.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on February 26, 2016, 07:39:58 PM
The Smith sighting always perplexes me. I do not understand how he can decide 4 months on, and simply because of the way the child was being held, that it was likely to be Gerry.
At last! - A voice of sheer common sense on the alleged Smith sighting. It is just astonishing how gullible people can be to swallow Martin Smith's nonsense - and when he made his statement on 20 September 2007 it was nearer 5 months on than 4. The fact that he has very clearly co-operated with the McCann Team since around January 2008 also fatally undermines the extraordinary claim he made to the Irish police on 20 September.

Someone up the thread said that Scotland Yard had certified Martin Smith as a 'credible witness'.

Sorry, don't buy it.

Watch the Panorama programme on BBC on Monday and see how widespread police corruption in the U.K. is these days     
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 26, 2016, 07:47:46 PM
It was Paiva who made the Sept 27th international phonecall to Mr Smith in Ireland and asked him if he would be willing to return to Portugal.

As I said ... the Rebelo investigation chose not to follow up on the Smith statement changes.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Vicky on February 26, 2016, 08:39:43 PM
Hi and welcome.

If you ever make it out to Luz, I'll be happy to show you the Tannerman scene at that time of the evening. It is an area of Luz that has no bars or restaurants, except for what was then the Tapas restaurant.  Take out the Tapas 9 traffic, and what you have is a very quiet area. 

There were other people, according to reports, but not a lot.
Heh, I may actually take you up on that someday. Portugal is somewhere I have wanted to go for a while.


At last! - A voice of sheer common sense on the alleged Smith sighting. It is just astonishing how gullible people can be to swallow Martin Smith's nonsense - and when he made his statement on 20 September 2007 it was nearer 5 months on than 4. The fact that he has very clearly co-operated with the McCann Team since around January 2008 also fatally undermines the extraordinary claim he made to the Irish police on 20 September.

Someone up the thread said that Scotland Yard had certified Martin Smith as a 'credible witness'.

Sorry, don't buy it.

Watch the Panorama programme on BBC on Monday and see how widespread police corruption in the U.K. is these days   
Thank you. I haven't read the whole thread or anything but I would have thought I was not the only person to point out how ridiculous the Smith signing was. Not the sighting in itself, but the identification of Gerry some months on. You cannot identify someone by the way they carry a child, as if each way of holding is unique to each person...its crazy

Not to smear Smith or anything, but my gut feeling was that  Gerry was fingered purely to get the blame off Murat (who I also think is innocent, weird, but innocent) given part of his statement was that the person he saw was definitely NOT Murat...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 26, 2016, 10:53:45 PM
Heh, I may actually take you up on that someday. Portugal is somewhere I have wanted to go for a while.

Thank you. I haven't read the whole thread or anything but I would have thought I was not the only person to point out how ridiculous the Smith signing was. Not the sighting in itself, but the identification of Gerry some months on. You cannot identify someone by the way they carry a child, as if each way of holding is unique to each person...its crazy

Not to smear Smith or anything, but my gut feeling was that  Gerry was fingered purely to get the blame off Murat (who I also think is innocent, weird, but innocent) given part of his statement was that the person he saw was definitely NOT Murat...

I don't think Smith had to finger anyone to just state it wasn't Murat and IIRC (I could be wrong) he said it wasn't Murat before he said the man reminded him of Gerry

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on February 26, 2016, 11:01:44 PM
I think that the doubts which suddenly beset Mr Smith classically illustrate why, in England, we have sub judice laws; precisely to avoid the type of bias that can arise from intense publicity and speculation about the facts surrounding a criminal enquiry ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Vicky on February 26, 2016, 11:12:33 PM
I don't think Smith had to finger anyone to just state it wasn't Murat and IIRC (I could be wrong) he said it wasn't Murat before he said the man reminded him of Gerry
Yeah I guess thats true. I just always found the Smith thing weird because he said he was so sure it was Gerry then went on to say it was the way the child was being held. Which is...strange. I could not identify someone I saw months ago by the way they held something, I don't think  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 26, 2016, 11:15:37 PM
Yeah I guess thats true. I just always found the Smith thing weird because he said he was so sure it was Gerry then went on to say it was the way the child was being held. Which is...strange. I could not identify someone I saw months ago by the way they held something, I don't think  @)(++(*

I can't get past the fact MS didn't sleep for 2 weeks before he finally got around to speaking to the police again regarding his revelation moment.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 26, 2016, 11:17:12 PM
Yeah I guess thats true. I just always found the Smith thing weird because he said he was so sure it was Gerry then went on to say it was the way the child was being held. Which is...strange. I could not identify someone I saw months ago by the way they held something, I don't think  @)(++(*

I see what you mean, but sometimes a small thing that is especially standing out might trigger a memory

Thepolice said he was shaken when he made the phone call....I don't doubt his honesty! no one knows if it was Gerry or not, apart from Gerry and the abductor if he exists

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:22:42 PM
I see what you mean, but sometimes a small thing that is especially standing out might trigger a memory

Thepolice said he was shaken when he made the phone call....I don't doubt his honesty! no one knows if it was Gerry or not, apart from Gerry and the abductor if he exists
and all the people who were with Gerry at the time of the sighting.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 26, 2016, 11:25:42 PM
and all the people who were with Gerry at the time of the sighting.

None of who were independent witnesses.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:28:05 PM
None of who were independent witnesses.
independent of what?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 26, 2016, 11:29:00 PM
and all the people who were with Gerry at the time of the sighting.

a bunch of probBly half drunk people? Who couldn't remember what day it was half the time in their statements, yea, ok
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:31:14 PM
a bunch of probBly half drunk people? Who couldn't remember what day it was half the time in their statements, yea, ok
How drunk were the Smiths then?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 26, 2016, 11:32:18 PM
How drunk were the Smiths then?

Irrelevant isn't it and changing goalposts again?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 26, 2016, 11:33:08 PM
How drunk were the Smiths then?

Oh, very drunk, I would say.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:35:30 PM
Irrelevant isn't it and changing goalposts again?
No it's not irrelevant.  You have made an unsubstantiated claim that the Tapas Group were "half-drunk" and therefore their witness testimony that Gerry was with them at the time of the Smith sighting cannot be relied on.  My question is: how reliable is the Smiths testimony if they had been drinking too?  After all, they seemed to have very severe short term memory problems in the aftermath of the disappearance!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 26, 2016, 11:36:33 PM
independent of what?

The McCanns of course.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:36:40 PM
Oh, very drunk, I would say.
yeah, at least half-drunk, maybe three-quarters even!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:37:24 PM
The McCanns of course.
so now it's a conspiracy involving seven accomplices.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 26, 2016, 11:39:14 PM
yeah, at least half-drunk, maybe three-quarters even!

Wasn't Aofie under the legal drinking age and another member of the group pregnant ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:40:06 PM
Wasn't Aofie under the legal drinking age and another member of the group pregnant ?
Who cares, let's smear them anyway!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 26, 2016, 11:42:23 PM
Who cares, let's smear them anyway!

So at least half the group, children and pregnant women, hadn't touched a drop. Is the correct ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 26, 2016, 11:44:05 PM
so now it's a conspiracy involving seven accomplices.

I said the McCann's friends weren't independent witnesses. I said nothing about them being involved.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 26, 2016, 11:44:24 PM
yeah, at least half-drunk, maybe three-quarters even!

At least as drunk as The McCanns, who were nearly legless, according to popular opinion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 26, 2016, 11:45:29 PM
At least as drunk as The McCanns, who were nearly legless, according to popular opinion.

Not legless but certainly over the drink drive limit.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 26, 2016, 11:46:37 PM
No it's not irrelevant.  You have made an unsubstantiated claim that the Tapas Group were "half-drunk" and therefore their witness testimony that Gerry was with them at the time of the Smith sighting cannot be relied on.  My question is: how reliable is the Smiths testimony if they had been drinking too?  After all, they seemed to have very severe short term memory problems in the aftermath of the disappearance!

You seen the smith family bar statements...hardly a drunken bawl! The tapas group are on record from waiter statements of having 8 bottles of wine a night...that's before they had anything at home before going out...to call them half drunk is not wild speculation when trying at the end of the fight to remember who was where and what was happening
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 26, 2016, 11:48:17 PM
So at least half the group, children and pregnant women, hadn't touched a drop. Is the correct ?

Who knows?  The children could have been drinking, just for fun.  But most of them weren't interviewed.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 26, 2016, 11:50:06 PM
Not legless but certainly over the drink drive limit.

They weren't driving, were they.  But then nor were The Smiths.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 26, 2016, 11:52:02 PM
You seen the smith family bar statements...hardly a drunken bawl! The tapas group are on record from waiter statements of having 8 bottles of wine a night...that's before they had anything at home before going out...to call them half drunk is not wild speculation when trying at the end of the fight to remember who was where and what was happening

How much did The Smiths drink while they were eating?  Tell me that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:52:29 PM
So at least half the group, children and pregnant women, hadn't touched a drop. Is the correct ?
Who knows?  In any case who were the ones who pointed the finger at Gerry?  The tee-totallers, or the ones who'd been on the sauce?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:53:09 PM
I said the McCann's friends weren't independent witnesses. I said nothing about them being involved.
If there werent' "involved" then they're testimony is independent and valid. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:54:47 PM
You seen the smith family bar statements...hardly a drunken bawl! The tapas group are on record from waiter statements of having 8 bottles of wine a night...that's before they had anything at home before going out...to call them half drunk is not wild speculation when trying at the end of the fight to remember who was where and what was happening
Fine they were all pissed as newts and that explains all the inconsistencies in the statements -will that do you then?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 26, 2016, 11:55:38 PM
How much did The Smiths drink while they were eating?  Tell me that.
How much had they had before eating, they might have been drinking all day long! 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 12:02:08 AM
Who knows?  The children could have been drinking, just for fun.  But most of them weren't interviewed.

I think you have been drinking Eleanor. One of the children was 4.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 27, 2016, 12:02:34 AM
How much did The Smiths drink while they were eating?  Tell me that.

no, look it up

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 12:05:30 AM
Who knows?  In any case who were the ones who pointed the finger at Gerry?  The tee-totallers, or the ones who'd been on the sauce?

We have no idea how many of the adults drank.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 12:07:09 AM
If there werent' "involved" then they're testimony is independent and valid.

No it isn't. A wife may not be involved in her husband's nefarious activities but wouldn't be considered independent.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 27, 2016, 12:09:45 AM
How much had they had before eating, they might have been drinking all day long!

Well, they must have had a couple or ten before they went out.  This is what the Irish do.  And I am half Irish, by the way.  The other half of me is Welsh, but The Welsh call it medicinal.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 12:11:58 AM
Well, they must have had a couple or ten before they went out.  This is what the Irish do.  And I am half Irish, by the way.  The other half of me is Welsh, but The Welsh call it medicinal.

I'm half Irish and half Scottish and I don't drink at all so that knocks that stereotype on the head !
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 27, 2016, 12:14:09 AM
I think you have been drinking Eleanor. One of the children was 4.

As old as that?

Me drinking?  I never touch a drop.  Other than medicinal, occasionally, but not very often.  How about you?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on February 27, 2016, 12:16:07 AM
I'm half Irish and half Scottish and I don't drink at all so that knocks that stereotype on the head !

no it doesn't...and it is no stereotype...its based on average consumption per head
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 27, 2016, 12:16:41 AM
I'm half Irish and half Scottish and I don't drink at all so that knocks that stereotype on the head !

Oh God.  You aren't an alcoholic are you?  But well done if you are.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 12:17:00 AM
As old as that?

Me drinking?  I never touch a drop.  Other than medicinal, occasionally, but not very often.  How about you?

Well that's another theory for your unusual behaviour hit on the head. Back to the drawing board !! 8(8-))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on February 27, 2016, 01:24:21 AM
Yeah I guess thats true. I just always found the Smith thing weird because he said he was so sure it was Gerry then went on to say it was the way the child was being held. Which is...strange. I could not identify someone I saw months ago by the way they held something, I don't think  @)(++(*
Well, I have never seen a statement where he said that he was sure that it was Gerry.

I have only seen others saying that he said that.



All I remember was that he was supposed to have said that the way that Gerry held S*** reminded him of the way that Smithman held the little girl.

 ... and that is very different



Welcome back BTW
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on February 27, 2016, 01:32:58 AM
a bunch of probBly half drunk people? Who couldn't remember what day it was half the time in their statements, yea, ok
Half drunk on what little they consumed?   Dont exagerate mercury.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 27, 2016, 01:34:40 AM
How much did The Smiths drink while they were eating?  Tell me that.
I'd guess something like 2 rosé 5 cokes and a sprite Eleanor
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on February 27, 2016, 01:53:33 AM
You seen the smith family bar statements...hardly a drunken bawl! The tapas group are on record from waiter statements of having 8 bottles of wine a night...that's before they had anything at home before going out...to call them half drunk is not wild speculation when trying at the end of the fight to remember who was where and what was happening
At the time that Madeleine was found missing, just four bottles of wine had been opened.  They were not finished and judging by the way they rushed off, the glasses were not all  empty either


https://www.quora.com/How-many-glasses-of-wine-are-in-a-bottle

There were nine of them.  No new bottles had been opened so assuming that they were 4 different wines then it is pretty obvious that the drinking was very slow.... sipping rather than gulping..  Not one bottle had been finished!

Over an hour and a half with a meal that is a pretty low intake of alcohol .

The wine was free and judging by the free wine that we have been served in much better hotels, it was probably pretty unpalatable.
We actually prefer no wine to vinegar.  They probably were not enjoying it at all.



No they weren't half drunk.  It is unfair to say that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 27, 2016, 01:55:40 AM
I'd guess something like 2 rosé 5 cokes and a sprite Eleanor

I was being facetious, Pegasus.  I am so tired of hearing of how much the McCanns and friends drank.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on February 27, 2016, 02:00:25 AM
I was being facetious, Pegasus.  I am so tired of hearing of how much the McCanns and friends drank.

And the accusations are all myths , made up stuff.

No evidence of heavy drinking at all.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 27, 2016, 02:33:24 AM
And the accusations are all myths , made up stuff.

No evidence of heavy drinking at all.

No, there isn't.  Never was.  It is all so silly.  An hour and a half and absolutely no chance of being drunk on four bottles of wine between nine of them.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 27, 2016, 03:08:52 AM
(snip) assuming that they were 4 different wines ... Not one bottle had been finished! (snip)
There were only two choices of free wine "tinto" and "branco"
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 27, 2016, 03:23:59 AM
There were only two choices of free wine "tinto" and "branco"

Wot?  No Rose?  Good heavens.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 27, 2016, 08:31:53 AM
No it isn't. A wife may not be involved in her husband's nefarious activities but wouldn't be considered independent.
were all seven married to Gerry also? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on February 27, 2016, 08:45:21 AM
Wot?  No Rose?  Good heavens.

I thought you just mixed half and half if you wanted that level of sophistication.  ?{)(**
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 11:14:07 AM
were all seven married to Gerry also?

From spencerssolicitors.com :

"What does 'Independent Witness' mean?
A witness is a term used to refer to someone who is not directly involved in a situation, but who sees with their own eyes what happened or is currently happening.

An independent witness means that the person seeing the situation does not know any of the parties involved.

If there is a dispute over the facts of an accident or assault, independent witness evidence can be crucial to the parties and the court to help them to get to the bottom of what actually happened. Often the people directly involved cannot remember all of the detail as they were wrapped up in dealing with the incident itself.

An independent witness can give clarity and an unbiased viewpoint"
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on February 27, 2016, 12:41:15 PM
From spencerssolicitors.com :

"What does 'Independent Witness' mean?
A witness is a term used to refer to someone who is not directly involved in a situation, but who sees with their own eyes what happened or is currently happening.

An independent witness means that the person seeing the situation does not know any of the parties involved.

If there is a dispute over the facts of an accident or assault, independent witness evidence can be crucial to the parties and the court to help them to get to the bottom of what actually happened. Often the people directly involved cannot remember all of the detail as they were wrapped up in dealing with the incident itself.

An independent witness can give clarity and an unbiased viewpoint"

Who would be "independent witnesses" in this case, if the criterion is someone who "didn't know any of the parties involved"?

Does that apply to the Tapas staff? The nannies? Anyone who'd taken part in sports activities? Anyone who'd chatted to any of the T9 at some point? Jez?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 27, 2016, 12:49:36 PM
Who would be "independent witnesses" in this case, if the criterion is someone who "didn't know any of the parties involved"?

Does that apply to the Tapas staff? The nannies? Anyone who'd taken part in sports activities? Anyone who'd chatted to any of the T9 at some point? Jez?

Who 'independent witnesses' wouldn't be is close friends of the McCanns and it would seem that no one else actually puts Gerry in the Tapas bar at the time of the Smith sighting.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 27, 2016, 12:59:51 PM
Who would be "independent witnesses" in this case, if the criterion is someone who "didn't know any of the parties involved"?

Does that apply to the Tapas staff? The nannies? Anyone who'd taken part in sports activities? Anyone who'd chatted to any of the T9 at some point? Jez?

Mr Smith?  who knew Mr Murat not well, but well enough to dismiss him as the person he saw.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on February 27, 2016, 01:14:11 PM
Probably, unless it could be demonstrated that in fact they were bosom pals
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 27, 2016, 01:44:21 PM
From spencerssolicitors.com :

"What does 'Independent Witness' mean?
A witness is a term used to refer to someone who is not directly involved in a situation, but who sees with their own eyes what happened or is currently happening.

An independent witness means that the person seeing the situation does not know any of the parties involved.

If there is a dispute over the facts of an accident or assault, independent witness evidence can be crucial to the parties and the court to help them to get to the bottom of what actually happened. Often the people directly involved cannot remember all of the detail as they were wrapped up in dealing with the incident itself.

An independent witness can give clarity and an unbiased viewpoint"
On that basis kindly list all the independent witnesses from that evening.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 27, 2016, 02:14:11 PM
Wot?  No Rose?  Good heavens.
At tapas evening 3rd May only two types of free wine were served and they were tinto (red) and branco (white).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on February 27, 2016, 02:27:02 PM
Who 'independent witnesses' wouldn't be is close friends of the McCanns and it would seem that no one else actually puts Gerry in the Tapas bar at the time of the Smith sighting.

Not according to the definition that you cited:

"An independent witness means that the person seeing the situation does not know any of the parties involved."

Hence my question.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 27, 2016, 03:09:00 PM
On that basis kindly list all the independent witnesses from that evening.

I have previously given you six independent witnesses who put the whole group away from the Tapas at the time of the Smith sighting.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 27, 2016, 03:14:17 PM
I have previously given you six independent witnesses who put the whole group away from the Tapas at the time of the Smith sighting.
Yes, what if the rush from the table is 4 minutes before the smith sighting?



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 27, 2016, 05:11:50 PM
I have previously given you six independent witnesses who put the whole group away from the Tapas at the time of the Smith sighting.
so the alarm was raised how much earlier than the Smith sighting according to these independent witnesses?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on February 27, 2016, 06:20:00 PM
If smithman was carrying missing child and came straight from apartment, he left apartment only 3 minutes before passing the irish group. It's only 375 metres. For example if smith sighting was at 10, man leaves apartment at 9.57.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on February 27, 2016, 07:22:21 PM

Answering the OP again

- a newspaper printed that he had
- Smith was not quoted so we don't know how the newspaper knew that he had stressed he didn't think it could have been GM he saw (if indeed he did)
- if he did there is no way of knowing if he did really change his mind - perhaps he didn't want the hassle and told x y z what they wanted to hear
- its not impossible what the newspaper printed was a fabrication, history proves this and indeed, Smith has received apologies in the past for exactly this

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on February 27, 2016, 07:44:32 PM
Answering the OP again

- a newspaper printed that he had
- Smith was not quoted so we don't know how the newspaper knew that he had stressed he didn't think it could have been GM he saw (if indeed he did)
- if he did there is no way of knowing if he did really change his mind - perhaps he didn't want the hassle and told x y z what they wanted to hear
- its not impossible what the newspaper printed was a fabrication, history proves this and indeed, Smith has received apologies in the past for exactly this


who cares...he didn't see the mans face anyway...and SY have ruled the mccanns out
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 28, 2016, 10:08:06 AM
If smithman was carrying missing child and came straight from apartment, he left apartment only 3 minutes before passing the irish group. It's only 375 metres. For example if smith sighting was at 10, man leaves apartment at 9.57.
What time wasthe Smith sighting?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 28, 2016, 10:10:56 AM
Yes, what if the rush from the table is 4 minutes before the smith sighting?
So they all rush to the apartment, one of them picks up a dead body and rushes away to the site of the Smith sighting with it...? &%+((£
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 28, 2016, 11:40:09 AM
So they all rush to the apartment, one of them picks up a dead body and rushes away to the site of the Smith sighting with it...? &%+((£

It would have to be hidden somewhere else away from the crime scene before being moved a second time and seen by the Smiths.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on February 28, 2016, 11:25:55 PM
It would have to be hidden somewhere else away from the crime scene before being moved a second time and seen by the Smiths.

He did not notice her eyes as she was asleep and her eyelids were closed.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm


It was ritually important to close the eyes quickly, being that they are the first to rigidify in rigor mortis, and it was thought that a corpse with open eyes posed a threat to its kin. As has long been the case in many cultures, they used coins to keep the corpse's eyes closed. The practice of using coins endures, representing a feeling that money, so important in life, may also be important in death.
http://www.deathreference.com/Py-Se/Rigor-Mortis-and-Other-Postmortem-Changes.html#ixzz41VWOzQxg


Nothing unusual about the pale child being carried was noticed by any of the three whose statements we have read.
Suggesting that there was nothing unusual and that she was not dead as you imagine, but sleeping.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on February 28, 2016, 11:28:40 PM
He did not notice her eyes as she was asleep and her eyelids were closed.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm


It was ritually important to close the eyes quickly, being that they are the first to rigidify in rigor mortis, and it was thought that a corpse with open eyes posed a threat to its kin. As has long been the case in many cultures, they used coins to keep the corpse's eyes closed. The practice of using coins endures, representing a feeling that money, so important in life, may also be important in death.
http://www.deathreference.com/Py-Se/Rigor-Mortis-and-Other-Postmortem-Changes.html#ixzz41VWOzQxg


Nothing unusual about the pale child being carried was noticed by any of the three whose statements we have read.
Suggesting that there was nothing unusual and that she was not dead as you imagine, but sleeping.

Tell me Brietta how you would know the difference ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 28, 2016, 11:59:44 PM
He did not notice her eyes as she was asleep and her eyelids were closed.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm


It was ritually important to close the eyes quickly, being that they are the first to rigidify in rigor mortis, and it was thought that a corpse with open eyes posed a threat to its kin. As has long been the case in many cultures, they used coins to keep the corpse's eyes closed. The practice of using coins endures, representing a feeling that money, so important in life, may also be important in death.
http://www.deathreference.com/Py-Se/Rigor-Mortis-and-Other-Postmortem-Changes.html#ixzz41VWOzQxg


Nothing unusual about the pale child being carried was noticed by any of the three whose statements we have read.
Suggesting that there was nothing unusual and that she was not dead as you imagine, but sleeping.

Common sense dear. If they couldn't see his face clearly in the dark then they wouldn't notice her tiny eyelids.  The child's eyes would be facing down on his shoulder and in the opposite direction when he was heading towards them.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 29, 2016, 12:25:36 AM
Common sense dear. If they couldn't see his face clearly in the dark then they wouldn't notice her tiny eyelids.  The child's eyes would be facing down on his shoulder and in the opposite direction when he was heading towards them.

One wonders how any of them saw her eyes at all, as her hair had probably flopped forward, covering most of the side of her face.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 29, 2016, 12:32:03 AM
One wonders how any of them saw her eyes at all, as her hair had probably flopped forward, covering most of the side of her face.

They didn't need to see her eyes to know she was out for the count.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on February 29, 2016, 12:36:57 AM
They didn't need to see her eyes to know she was out for the count.

Two of them said they saw her eyelids closed. Why say that if they were merely making an assumption from the child's body position?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 29, 2016, 07:28:35 AM
Two of them said they saw her eyelids closed. Why say that if they were merely making an assumption from the child's body position?

That would have to be confirmed but it's obvious to know the difference.

"She appeared to be sleeping. Her arms were suspended along her body and were not around the individual's neck. She did not see the child's face because she was lying against the individual's left shoulder in a vertical position against the individual." AS
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on February 29, 2016, 08:20:44 AM
It would have to be hidden somewhere else away from the crime scene before being moved a second time and seen by the Smiths.
so they all rush back. to the apartment when the alarm is raised, except for one (the most important one) who instead rushes off "somewhere else"?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on February 29, 2016, 08:42:54 AM
so they all rush back. to the apartment when the alarm is raised, except for one (the most important one) who instead rushes off "somewhere else"?

But only after changing his clothes.   I wonder when he did that.    Or when he changed back into the clothes he was wearing at the restaurant after he'd done the deed.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 29, 2016, 09:14:12 AM
But only after changing his clothes.   I wonder when he did that.    Or when he changed back into the clothes he was wearing at the restaurant after he'd done the deed.

What was he wearing at the restaurant then?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on February 29, 2016, 09:18:24 AM
so they all rush back. to the apartment when the alarm is raised, except for one (the most important one) who instead rushes off "somewhere else"?

Russ told you what then happened.

"Gerry, just said ‘Look, let’s just’, erm, ‘let’s just split up and find’, erm, you know, ‘see if we can find her, see if she’s just wandered out’."
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 29, 2016, 09:25:24 AM

Wandering Off Topic.  Can we get back, please.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on February 29, 2016, 09:47:16 AM
What was he wearing at the restaurant then?

From memory -  Blue jeans, trainers, and a polar top.     No dark jacket, gold trousers or ordinary shoes.

Anyway - we're off topic so I'll leave it at that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on February 29, 2016, 11:18:02 AM
From memory -  Blue jeans, trainers, and a polar top.     No dark jacket, gold trousers or ordinary shoes.

Anyway - we're off topic so I'll leave it at that.

Memory? I didn't realise you were there. If he was wearing completely different clothes the question arises as to why he didn't publicise the e-fits which Martin Smith was 60-80% sure were Gerry McCann. All he had to do was demonstrate that he wore the same clothes all evening on 3rd May. His PI's should have been able to find witnesses to that effect.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on February 29, 2016, 11:28:43 AM
Memory? I didn't realise you were there. If he was wearing completely different clothes the question arises as to why he didn't publicise the e-fits which Martin Smith was 60-80% sure were Gerry McCann. All he had to do was demonstrate that he wore the same clothes all evening on 3rd May. His PI's should have been able to find witnesses to that effect.

No.  Martin Smith did not think that the E-fits were 60 to 80% Gerry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 02, 2016, 04:04:09 AM
Common sense dear. If they couldn't see his face clearly in the dark then they wouldn't notice her tiny eyelids.  The child's eyes would be facing down on his shoulder and in the opposite direction when he was heading towards them.
@ Pathfinder. The witness states he saw the eyes were closed.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 02, 2016, 08:14:46 AM
Peter was attending to his pregnant wife and not paying close attention so for him to notice closed tiny eyes and not his face is fascinating and unbelievable.

"He does not remember if he wore glasses, or had a beard or a moustache. He did not notice any other relevant details as the lighting was bad."
"He did not notice her eyes as she was asleep, having closed eyelids." PS

Aoife's statement is more believable.

"She did not see the child's face because she was lying against the individual's left shoulder in a vertical position against the individual. She appeared to be sleeping. Her arms were suspended along her body and were not around the individual's neck."
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 02, 2016, 04:35:20 PM
Aoife's statement is more believable.

I am not at all sure that it is, actually.

She first saw the bloke when he was about two metres in front of her.

If so, they would have crossed, at normal walking pace, about 1.0 to 1.5 seconds later.

It was dark. The lighting was described by the Smiths as 'weak'.

I question whether in the space of a maximum of 1.5 seconds in the dark she could have recalled all that she claimed to have recalled.

Relevant parts of her statement bolded:

--------------------

— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left because her father and her brother decided to leave early that night. There were two reasons for this: one was the fact that her sister-in-law was not feeling very well and the other was because her brother, sister-in-law, nephew and son of her sister-in-law finished their holiday the next day and had to catch the morning flight returning to Ireland.
— Upon leaving the bar, they turned right and headed along the road for 40/50 metres. At this point, they again turned to the right and ascended a small street with stairs that give access to Rua 25 de Abril. As they were a large group (four adults and five children) they travelled apart from each other along the street with some more to the front and the others more behind. She does not remember how they were divided [who was where].
— The deponent remembers that upon reaching the top of the stairs, she looked to her left and saw a man (1) with a female child (2) in his arms, walking along the pavement of Rua 25 de Abril. He was walking in her direction at a distance of, give or take, two metres.
— The deponent crossed to the other side of Rua 25 de Abril and began walking up Rua da Escola Primária in the direction of the Estrela da Luz apartment complex.
— She did not see if the referenced individual with the child descended Rua das Escadinhas or if he continued along Rua 25 de Abril.
— It was the first time she saw that man. She does not remember seeing him at any time in any location.
— She has seen photographs of Madeleine McCann and thinks that it could have been her. Asked, she said she was 60% certain.
— The description below made about the man and the female child that the witness saw was made at around 22H00, when the lighting was weak.
— Questioned, states that probably she would not be able to recognise either the individual or the child.
Personal Description:
— (1) the individual was male, Caucasian, light-skinned, between 20/30 years of age, of normal physical build, around 1,70/1,75 metres in height. At the time she saw his face but now cannot remember it. She thinks that he had a clean-shaven face. She does not remember seeing tattoos, scars or earrings. She did not notice his ears. His hair was thick-ish, light brown in colour, short at the back (normal) and a bit longer on the top.
— His trousers were smooth "rights" along the legs, beige in colour, cotton fabric, thicker than linen, possibly with buttons, and without any other decoration.
— She did not see what he was wearing above his trousers as the child covered him almost completely at the top.
— She did not see what shoes he was wearing.
— The individual's gait was normal, between a fast walk and a run. He did not look tired, moving in a manner usual when one carries a child.
— (2) the child was female because she had straight long hair to the neck. The colour was fair/light brown.
— She is certain that the child was about four years old because her niece (who was in the group) is of the same age and they were the same size.
She did not see the child's face because she was lying against the individual's left shoulder in a vertical position against the individual. She appeared to be sleeping. Her arms were suspended along her body and were not around the individual's neck. She did not look at the child's hands and cannot state the colour of her skin. She believes she was white.
— There was nothing covering the child, a comforter/blanket or any other piece of clothing but she only saw her back.
— She was wearing light trousers, white or light pink, that may have been pyjamas. She does not remember if they were patterned as it was dark. The material was lightweight/thin and could have been cotton.
— She also had a light top, with long sleeves. She did not see it well because the individual had his arms around the child. She is not sure if the child's top was the same colour as her trousers, saying only that it was very light. The fabric was the same as the trousers.

To have deduced the fabrics of both the man's trousers and the girl's pyjamas from seeing the man and child for 1.0 to 1.5 seconds is an amazing feat of observation, if true.

As for Aoife Smith saying of the man, on 26th May in Portimao, "she saw his face but now cannot remember it", that is exactly what one would expect after encountering a strange bloke in the dark for about one to one-and-a-half seconds.

Quite why anyone at all should believe that any of the Smith family could conjure up an e-fit one whole year later (well, two e-fits, actually), utterly defeats me   
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 02, 2016, 04:50:33 PM
I am not at all sure that it is, actually.

She first saw the bloke when he was about two metres in front of her.

If so, they would have crossed, at normal walking pace, about 1.0 to 1.5 seconds later.

It was dark. The lighting was described by the Smiths as 'weak'.

I question whether in the space of a maximum of 1.5 seconds in the dark she could have recalled all that she claimed to have recalled.

Relevant parts of her statement bolded:

--------------------

— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left because her father and her brother decided to leave early that night. There were two reasons for this: one was the fact that her sister-in-law was not feeling very well and the other was because her brother, sister-in-law, nephew and son of her sister-in-law finished their holiday the next day and had to catch the morning flight returning to Ireland.
— Upon leaving the bar, they turned right and headed along the road for 40/50 metres. At this point, they again turned to the right and ascended a small street with stairs that give access to Rua 25 de Abril. As they were a large group (four adults and five children) they travelled apart from each other along the street with some more to the front and the others more behind. She does not remember how they were divided [who was where].
— The deponent remembers that upon reaching the top of the stairs, she looked to her left and saw a man (1) with a female child (2) in his arms, walking along the pavement of Rua 25 de Abril. He was walking in her direction at a distance of, give or take, two metres.
— The deponent crossed to the other side of Rua 25 de Abril and began walking up Rua da Escola Primária in the direction of the Estrela da Luz apartment complex.
— She did not see if the referenced individual with the child descended Rua das Escadinhas or if he continued along Rua 25 de Abril.
— It was the first time she saw that man. She does not remember seeing him at any time in any location.
— She has seen photographs of Madeleine McCann and thinks that it could have been her. Asked, she said she was 60% certain.
— The description below made about the man and the female child that the witness saw was made at around 22H00, when the lighting was weak.
— Questioned, states that probably she would not be able to recognise either the individual or the child.
Personal Description:
— (1) the individual was male, Caucasian, light-skinned, between 20/30 years of age, of normal physical build, around 1,70/1,75 metres in height. At the time she saw his face but now cannot remember it. She thinks that he had a clean-shaven face. She does not remember seeing tattoos, scars or earrings. She did not notice his ears. His hair was thick-ish, light brown in colour, short at the back (normal) and a bit longer on the top.
— His trousers were smooth "rights" along the legs, beige in colour, cotton fabric, thicker than linen, possibly with buttons, and without any other decoration.
— She did not see what he was wearing above his trousers as the child covered him almost completely at the top.
— She did not see what shoes he was wearing.
— The individual's gait was normal, between a fast walk and a run. He did not look tired, moving in a manner usual when one carries a child.
— (2) the child was female because she had straight long hair to the neck. The colour was fair/light brown.
— She is certain that the child was about four years old because her niece (who was in the group) is of the same age and they were the same size.
She did not see the child's face because she was lying against the individual's left shoulder in a vertical position against the individual. She appeared to be sleeping. Her arms were suspended along her body and were not around the individual's neck. She did not look at the child's hands and cannot state the colour of her skin. She believes she was white.
— There was nothing covering the child, a comforter/blanket or any other piece of clothing but she only saw her back.
— She was wearing light trousers, white or light pink, that may have been pyjamas. She does not remember if they were patterned as it was dark. The material was lightweight/thin and could have been cotton.
— She also had a light top, with long sleeves. She did not see it well because the individual had his arms around the child. She is not sure if the child's top was the same colour as her trousers, saying only that it was very light. The fabric was the same as the trousers.

To have deduced the fabrics of both the man's trousers and the girl's pyjamas from seeing the man and child for 1.0 to 1.5 seconds is an amazing feat of observation, if true.

As for Aoife Smith saying of the man, on 26th May in Portimao, "she saw his face but now cannot remember it", that is exactly what one would expect after encountering a strange bloke in the dark for about one to one-and-a-half seconds.

Quite why anyone at all should believe that any of the Smith family could conjure up an e-fit one whole year later (well, two e-fits, actually), utterly defeats me

Totally agree with blink on this occasion
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 02, 2016, 05:31:48 PM
Totally agree with blink on this occasion

What was DCI Redwood playing at then I wonder?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 02, 2016, 05:37:51 PM
I am not at all sure that it is, actually.

She first saw the bloke when he was about two metres in front of her.

If so, they would have crossed, at normal walking pace, about 1.0 to 1.5 seconds later.

It was dark. The lighting was described by the Smiths as 'weak'.

I question whether in the space of a maximum of 1.5 seconds in the dark she could have recalled all that she claimed to have recalled.

Relevant parts of her statement bolded:

--------------------

— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left because her father and her brother decided to leave early that night. There were two reasons for this: one was the fact that her sister-in-law was not feeling very well and the other was because her brother, sister-in-law, nephew and son of her sister-in-law finished their holiday the next day and had to catch the morning flight returning to Ireland.
— Upon leaving the bar, they turned right and headed along the road for 40/50 metres. At this point, they again turned to the right and ascended a small street with stairs that give access to Rua 25 de Abril. As they were a large group (four adults and five children) they travelled apart from each other along the street with some more to the front and the others more behind. She does not remember how they were divided [who was where].
— The deponent remembers that upon reaching the top of the stairs, she looked to her left and saw a man (1) with a female child (2) in his arms, walking along the pavement of Rua 25 de Abril. He was walking in her direction at a distance of, give or take, two metres.
— The deponent crossed to the other side of Rua 25 de Abril and began walking up Rua da Escola Primária in the direction of the Estrela da Luz apartment complex.
— She did not see if the referenced individual with the child descended Rua das Escadinhas or if he continued along Rua 25 de Abril.
— It was the first time she saw that man. She does not remember seeing him at any time in any location.
— She has seen photographs of Madeleine McCann and thinks that it could have been her. Asked, she said she was 60% certain.
— The description below made about the man and the female child that the witness saw was made at around 22H00, when the lighting was weak.
— Questioned, states that probably she would not be able to recognise either the individual or the child.
Personal Description:
— (1) the individual was male, Caucasian, light-skinned, between 20/30 years of age, of normal physical build, around 1,70/1,75 metres in height. At the time she saw his face but now cannot remember it. She thinks that he had a clean-shaven face. She does not remember seeing tattoos, scars or earrings. She did not notice his ears. His hair was thick-ish, light brown in colour, short at the back (normal) and a bit longer on the top.
— His trousers were smooth "rights" along the legs, beige in colour, cotton fabric, thicker than linen, possibly with buttons, and without any other decoration.
— She did not see what he was wearing above his trousers as the child covered him almost completely at the top.
— She did not see what shoes he was wearing.
— The individual's gait was normal, between a fast walk and a run. He did not look tired, moving in a manner usual when one carries a child.
— (2) the child was female because she had straight long hair to the neck. The colour was fair/light brown.
— She is certain that the child was about four years old because her niece (who was in the group) is of the same age and they were the same size.
She did not see the child's face because she was lying against the individual's left shoulder in a vertical position against the individual. She appeared to be sleeping. Her arms were suspended along her body and were not around the individual's neck. She did not look at the child's hands and cannot state the colour of her skin. She believes she was white.
— There was nothing covering the child, a comforter/blanket or any other piece of clothing but she only saw her back.
— She was wearing light trousers, white or light pink, that may have been pyjamas. She does not remember if they were patterned as it was dark. The material was lightweight/thin and could have been cotton.
— She also had a light top, with long sleeves. She did not see it well because the individual had his arms around the child. She is not sure if the child's top was the same colour as her trousers, saying only that it was very light. The fabric was the same as the trousers.

To have deduced the fabrics of both the man's trousers and the girl's pyjamas from seeing the man and child for 1.0 to 1.5 seconds is an amazing feat of observation, if true.

As for Aoife Smith saying of the man, on 26th May in Portimao, "she saw his face but now cannot remember it", that is exactly what one would expect after encountering a strange bloke in the dark for about one to one-and-a-half seconds.

Quite why anyone at all should believe that any of the Smith family could conjure up an e-fit one whole year later (well, two e-fits, actually), utterly defeats me

It was lighter where Aoife saw the man so she would have the best view of him. You can see the light above where she was in the photo below. There was no light when he passed Peter and Martin on the side street. Aoife was on the main lit road (probably weak lighting but enough to see more) which is the crucial point. Aoife saw his face but couldn't remember it.

(http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_Dt3aEQy4rKc/TEdItMwzcEI/AAAAAAAABTU/l2rl7dn7v3k/s1600/003+videocap+1.JPG)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 02, 2016, 05:43:15 PM
Totally agree with blink on this occasion

I think it was an impossibility for the Smith family to have given more information than they already had.  If they were unable to input a physical description to enable an efit or recognise the person from photographs in the fortnight after remembering passing him in the street ... I doubt the passage of further time would have helped them to remember what they stated they didn't actually see.

How many ways are there to carry a sleeping child?
How would the comparison of a carrier walking at normal gait on a slight slope measure up to a carrier carefully watching his footing while coming down a flight of steps.
One seen while passing almost shoulder to shoulder ... the other viewed on a television screen.

I think it is obvious that Martin Smith's worry that the man he saw might have been Madeleine's father was wrong.
The rest of his family obviously thought he was wrong.
If it had got as far as being introduced into evidence in a court (even a Portuguese one) it would have been proved to be wrong.

I think it is indicative that the Rebelo investigation did not bother to attempt to progress that particular line of inquiry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 02, 2016, 06:10:44 PM
I find it strange that those who have praised and supported the Metropolitan Police, Operation Grange and DCI Redwood are so reluctant to accept what he said on the Crimewatch Programme in 2013.

Was Redwood being economical with the truth about the e-fits which, he said, were now 'the centre of his focus'? the e-fits of a man seen 'walking towards the sea' which 'have never been in the public domain before' and which were produced by two of the witnesses who saw that man?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 02, 2016, 06:40:00 PM
Totally agree with blink on this occasion
I've been 'blank', 'bonk' and 'bonkers' on this forum so far.

Now 'blink'.

I'm bunking off now.

Name's 'blonk' by the way
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 02, 2016, 06:47:13 PM
I've been 'blank', 'bonk' and 'bonkers' on this forum so far.

Now 'blink'.

I'm bunking off now.

Name's 'blonk' by the way
James Blonk?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 02, 2016, 06:53:38 PM
Yes, the name's Blonk, James Blonk.
 Has a certain style, don't you think?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 02, 2016, 06:59:07 PM

Okay.  Enough of that.  Please be respectful to other Posters.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 02, 2016, 07:05:24 PM
If Scotland Yard wished to review the Smith family evidence in my opinion it would be to dot the i's and cross the t's of exactly what they had witnessed.
I doubt very much if they would have requested any further facial identification details ... unless they have been reading different files than those to which we have access.

I think any notion that the Smith family had any input to efits is a red herring. 
Despite months of exposure to seeing Dr Gerry McCann's face from all angles in photographs and moving pictures it was not the features he thought he recognised, but the way he was holding his son.

There is no information of a meeting with Scotland Yard and the Smith family.  Just as there is no written or video statement recording the realisation of his mistaken identification of Madeleine's father.
However I am sure he is not a stupid man and his and his wife's supportive statements for Madeleine and her family would tend to indicate his opinion has indeed changed.

The Smith family may have been unable to assist with efits ... but other witnesses were not and had already provided contemporaneous examples.

Reading of James Murray's article gives a slightly different 'take' on the one which cost the Sunday Times a substantial contribution to Madeleine's fund.




New photo clue to Madeleine McCann case

DETECTIVES are using the latest computer technology to try to create a new image of a “prime suspect” who might have been involved in the disappearance of Madeleine McCann.

By JAMES MURRAY
PUBLISHED: 00:00, Sun, Mar 11, 2012

They are also working on a “computerised reconstruction” of the night she disappeared by putting thousands of pieces of information into the police Holmes computer.

The developments come at a ­significant time with the Policia Judiciaria in Portugal announcing it has a cold case team working on the investigation in Porto, north Portugal.

The Portuguese officers will work closely with the Scotland Yard detectives and will have “primacy” in the investigation.

The Sunday Express understands the Yard team have been examining all photofits, e-fits and drawings of people suspected of being involved in the disappearance of three-year-old Madeleine from an apartment in the Algarve resort of Praia da Luz on May 3, 2007.
One of the best known drawings was based on a description given by a friend of Madeleine’s parents, Gerry and Kate.
Jane Tanner claimed she saw a man carrying a child in his arms but did not get a good look at his face.

Other images were created from witnesses who saw people acting suspiciously in the vicinity around the time of the crime.

Irishman Martin Smith and members of his family saw a man carrying a child in his arms at about 10pm, about 45 minutes after the Tanner sighting.

However, he was not asked to help produce a photofit.

The Met refuses to discuss the details but it is expected that officers will approach Mr Smith and his family for help.

Yard experts are looking at ways of improving the images to end with one pristine likeness of the “suspect”.

Officers are using the Home Office Large Major Enquiry System for computer logging of all relevant information and have tailored it to help create what is described as a “computer reconstruction” of the key events of the night of May 3.

It is hoped that eventually there will be an almost minute by minute account, which will assist officers.

The Yard launched its review last year after Kate and Gerry McCann appealed directly to David Cameron.
Officers have visited Portugal several times and are said to have a good relationship with their Portuguese counterparts.
PJ deputy chief Pedro do Carmo said: ‘‘The Porto team is very experienced in these cases.”

Kate and Gerry, of Rothley, Leicestershire, hope the review will lead to a full scale reopening of the case.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/307369/New-photo-clue-to-Madeleine-McCann-case
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 02, 2016, 07:15:12 PM
If Scotland Yard wished to review the Smith family evidence in my opinion it would be to dot the i's and cross the t's of exactly what they had witnessed.
I doubt very much if they would have requested any further facial identification details ... unless they have been reading different files than those to which we have access.

I think any notion that the Smith family had any input to efits is a red herring. 
Despite months of exposure to seeing Dr Gerry McCann's face from all angles in photographs and moving pictures it was not the features he thought he recognised, but the way he was holding his son.

There is no information of a meeting with Scotland Yard and the Smith family.  Just as there is no written or video statement recording the realisation of his mistaken identification of Madeleine's father.
However I am sure he is not a stupid man and his and his wife's supportive statements for Madeleine and her family would tend to indicate his opinion has indeed changed.

The Smith family may have been unable to assist with efits ... but other witnesses were not and had already provided contemporaneous examples.

Reading of James Murray's article gives a slightly different 'take' on the one which cost the Sunday Times a substantial contribution to Madeleine's fund.




New photo clue to Madeleine McCann case

DETECTIVES are using the latest computer technology to try to create a new image of a “prime suspect” who might have been involved in the disappearance of Madeleine McCann.

By JAMES MURRAY
PUBLISHED: 00:00, Sun, Mar 11, 2012

They are also working on a “computerised reconstruction” of the night she disappeared by putting thousands of pieces of information into the police Holmes computer.

The developments come at a ­significant time with the Policia Judiciaria in Portugal announcing it has a cold case team working on the investigation in Porto, north Portugal.

The Portuguese officers will work closely with the Scotland Yard detectives and will have “primacy” in the investigation.

The Sunday Express understands the Yard team have been examining all photofits, e-fits and drawings of people suspected of being involved in the disappearance of three-year-old Madeleine from an apartment in the Algarve resort of Praia da Luz on May 3, 2007.
One of the best known drawings was based on a description given by a friend of Madeleine’s parents, Gerry and Kate.
Jane Tanner claimed she saw a man carrying a child in his arms but did not get a good look at his face.

Other images were created from witnesses who saw people acting suspiciously in the vicinity around the time of the crime.

Irishman Martin Smith and members of his family saw a man carrying a child in his arms at about 10pm, about 45 minutes after the Tanner sighting.

However, he was not asked to help produce a photofit.

The Met refuses to discuss the details but it is expected that officers will approach Mr Smith and his family for help.

Yard experts are looking at ways of improving the images to end with one pristine likeness of the “suspect”.

Officers are using the Home Office Large Major Enquiry System for computer logging of all relevant information and have tailored it to help create what is described as a “computer reconstruction” of the key events of the night of May 3.

It is hoped that eventually there will be an almost minute by minute account, which will assist officers.

The Yard launched its review last year after Kate and Gerry McCann appealed directly to David Cameron.
Officers have visited Portugal several times and are said to have a good relationship with their Portuguese counterparts.
PJ deputy chief Pedro do Carmo said: ‘‘The Porto team is very experienced in these cases.”

Kate and Gerry, of Rothley, Leicestershire, hope the review will lead to a full scale reopening of the case.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/307369/New-photo-clue-to-Madeleine-McCann-case

Disagree.

I don't think you can really take anything (much) as 'read' from statements taken in reported rather than verbatim form.

I think the efits were produced, one by Martin, the other by his wife, Mary ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 02, 2016, 07:17:42 PM
Disagree.

I don't think you can really take anything (much) as 'read' from statements taken in reported rather than verbatim form.

I think the efits were produced, one by Martin, the other by his wife, Mary ....

I'm not sure who produced those efits. All a bit vague, IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 02, 2016, 07:37:51 PM
Disagree.

I don't think you can really take anything (much) as 'read' from statements taken in reported rather than verbatim form.

I think the efits were produced, one by Martin, the other by his wife, Mary ....

Well, according to the 'professionals';

It was here at 10pm that an Irish family witnessed another man carrying a child. They saw him come down the hill from the direction of the Ocean Club heading that way towards the beach.

Two of the witnesses helped create e-fits of the man they saw.

The e-fits are clear and I’d ask the public to look very carefully at them. If they know who this person is, please come forward.

Well at 10pm, we can see a man walking down towards the sea. A white man in his thirties with brown hair, and in his arms is a child three to four years of age, blonde hair, wearing pyjamas very close description to that of Madeleine McCann.

Two e-fits that have never been in the public domain of this one individual. Really important for us to understand who he is.

Crimewatch 2013
Transcript by
https://shininginluz.wordpress.com/2015/09/30/madeleine-crimewatch-2013-english-transcript-pt-44/
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 02, 2016, 07:40:00 PM
Well, according to the 'professionals';

It was here at 10pm that an Irish family witnessed another man carrying a child. They saw him come down the hill from the direction of the Ocean Club heading that way towards the beach.

Two of the witnesses helped create e-fits of the man they saw.

The e-fits are clear and I’d ask the public to look very carefully at them. If they know who this person is, please come forward.

Well at 10pm, we can see a man walking down towards the sea. A white man in his thirties with brown hair, and in his arms is a child three to four years of age, blonde hair, wearing pyjamas very close description to that of Madeleine McCann.

Two e-fits that have never been in the public domain of this one individual. Really important for us to understand who he is.

Crimewatch 2013
Transcript by
https://shininginluz.wordpress.com/2015/09/30/madeleine-crimewatch-2013-english-transcript-pt-44/

Unsure why you have put the word professionals in speechmarks?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 02, 2016, 08:23:40 PM
Unsure why you have put the word professionals in speechmarks?

it's not my opinion. It has been used repeatedly by others on the forum to describe the Met police. That's why I'm surprised that they are now choosing to cast doubt on the veracity of what DCI Redwood said.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 02, 2016, 08:42:28 PM
it's not my opinion. It has been used repeatedly by others on the forum to describe the Met police. That's why I'm surprised that they are now choosing to cast doubt on the veracity of what DCI Redwood said.

What's not your opinion?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 02, 2016, 09:06:32 PM
nevertheless
What's not your opinion?

That the Met are 'the professionals', particularly as the word has often been used as an attempt to highlight the perceived failings of the PJ. Some on here have persistently praised the Met and now are refusing to believe what Redwood has told them.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 02, 2016, 09:25:32 PM
nevertheless
That the Met are 'the professionals', particularly as the word has often been used as an attempt to highlight the perceived failings of the PJ. Some on here have persistently praised the Met and now are refusing to believe what Redwood has told them.

Maybe SY were actually requesting help at the behest of the lead investigation team? Positively identifying Smithman would certainly add weight to the evidence they already have.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 02, 2016, 09:48:50 PM
Was Redwood being economical with the truth about the e-fits which, he said, were now 'the centre of his focus'? the e-fits of a man seen 'walking towards the sea' which 'have never been in the public domain before' and which were produced by two of the witnesses who saw that man?
@ G-Unit    One point we have to weigh up in our minds here is whether this (Operation Grange) was ever a genuine investigation to seek the truth to begin with. It certainly had a strictly limited remit.

A few weeks ago I expressed the view on this forum that Grange was NOT a genuine search for the truth. I was then pressed by several people to explain why. I did so. I gave 10 specific reasons. Or may be it was 12. There were a lot.

I mentioned last week that there would be a Panorama programme on Metropolitan Police corruption on Monday. Here is the link to it, I think it is available on BBC i-player for another 28 days: 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b072s2r5/panorama-cops-criminals-corruption-the-inside-story

It has to be watched to see how dirty and corrupt the Met Police is capable of being, and at a very senior level. One example was the fate of Det Chief Insp Dave McKelvie. When he stumbled on a ring of scrap metal thieves in Newham, connected to one of Britain's most notorious drugs lords, and successfully charged three of the ringleaders, senior Met officers hounded him out of the force by trumped-up charges that He was corrupt. The depth to which senior Met Officers can sink to in order to defend their corrupt relationships with major criminals is exposed in the programme. Knowing the capabilities of these corrupt police officers, some of them would do almost anything for money and promotion.       
   
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 02, 2016, 09:56:42 PM
IF there is a cover up, thats quite a wall someone will have to drill through to expose it, media, govt, police and all the "top knobs" involved.....blimey

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 02, 2016, 10:10:04 PM
IF there is a cover up, that's quite a wall someone will have to drill through to expose it, media, govt, police and all the "top knobs" involved...blimey
AMEN.

I have three books on my shelves:

BENT COPPERS, The Inside Story of Scotland Yard's battle against Police Corruption (2004), Graeme McLagan

SUPERGRASSES & INFORMERS AND BENT COPPERS: OMNIBUS (764 pages)(2002 ed), James Morton

and

THE UNTOUCHABLES, Dirty cops, bent justice and racism in Scotland Yard (2012), Michael Gillard & Laurie Flynn.

And quite a few others along the same lines.

If you read them, you would see how right you are that a 'wall' of career criminals and corrupt senior police officers is almost impossible to break down.

One of the criminals named in the film, Dave Hunt, was said by the Sunday Times back in 2010 to be 'too powerful for the Met to deal with'.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 02, 2016, 10:29:37 PM
AMEN.

I have three books on my shelves:

BENT COPPERS, The Inside Story of Scotland Yard's battle against Police Corruption (2004), Graeme McLagan

SUPERGRASSES & INFORMERS AND BENT COPPERS: OMNIBUS (764 pages)(2002 ed), James Morton

and

THE UNTOUCHABLES, Dirty cops, bent justice and racism in Scotland Yard (2012), Michael Gillard & Laurie Flynn.

And quite a few others along the same lines.

If you read them, you would see how right you are that a 'wall' of career criminals and corrupt senior police officers is almost impossible to break down.

One of the criminals named in the film, Dave Hunt, was said by the Sunday Times back in 2010 to be 'too powerful for the Met to deal with'.

I watched the Inside Out programme on corruption in the Met concerning organised crime / gangster activity and the work of the secret team combatting it. There are rotten apples in every police force.

But what has this got to do with the Madeleine case?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 02, 2016, 10:32:45 PM
AMEN.

I have three books on my shelves:

BENT COPPERS, The Inside Story of Scotland Yard's battle against Police Corruption (2004), Graeme McLagan

SUPERGRASSES & INFORMERS AND BENT COPPERS: OMNIBUS (764 pages)(2002 ed), James Morton

and

THE UNTOUCHABLES, Dirty cops, bent justice and racism in Scotland Yard (2012), Michael Gillard & Laurie Flynn.

And quite a few others along the same lines.

If you read them, you would see how right you are that a 'wall' of career criminals and corrupt senior police officers is almost impossible to break down.

One of the criminals named in the film, Dave Hunt, was said by the Sunday Times back in 2010 to be 'too powerful for the Met to deal with'.

Police corruption and cover ups (not always the same thng as non corrupted have their hands tied) are no secret at all, I was referring to if it has happened in ths case where the govt/media/police and some other characters have all been involved....wouldnt surprise me one iota
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 02, 2016, 10:35:15 PM
...as a quick aside, does anyone know the difference between ex-police officers and retired police officers?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 02, 2016, 10:40:02 PM
...as a quick aside, does anyone know the difference between ex-police officers and retired police officers?
Retired is sort of "not out".
Ex is left the force for whatever reason before the expiry of allotted time span.
(I believe)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 02, 2016, 10:40:20 PM
@ G-Unit    One point we have to weigh up in our minds here is whether this (Operation Grange) was ever a genuine investigation to seek the truth to begin with. It certainly had a strictly limited remit.

A few weeks ago I expressed the view on this forum that Grange was NOT a genuine search for the truth. I was then pressed by several people to explain why. I did so. I gave 10 specific reasons. Or may be it was 12. There were a lot.

I mentioned last week that there would be a Panorama programme on Metropolitan Police corruption on Monday. Here is the link to it, I think it is available on BBC i-player for another 28 days: 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b072s2r5/panorama-cops-criminals-corruption-the-inside-story

It has to be watched to see how dirty and corrupt the Met Police is capable of being, and at a very senior level. One example was the fate of Det Chief Insp Dave McKelvie. When he stumbled on a ring of scrap metal thieves in Newham, connected to one of Britain's most notorious drugs lords, and successfully charged three of the ringleaders, senior Met officers hounded him out of the force by trumped-up charges that He was corrupt. The depth to which senior Met Officers can sink to in order to defend their corrupt relationships with major criminals is exposed in the programme. Knowing the capabilities of these corrupt police officers, some of them would do almost anything for money and promotion.       
 

I know your opinions on the Met, so I don't expect you to accept what Redwood said. I am addressing people on here who have insisted loud and long that the Met are the best and that they are carrying out a full, unbiased and professional investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine McCann. Then they discard what Redwood said and agree with you about the Smith e-fits. I agree with you about the remit (which some on here have also disputed). If the OG starting point was 'the abduction' then the investigation didn't start at the beginning.

I do think it's interesting that the e-fits didn't exist in a vacuum, though. They came with a report which was, allegedly, hypercritical of the McCanns and their friends' testimony.Taking the two things together, Redwood may have been influenced by the report, which urged that Tannerman be ditched and Smithman investigated.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 02, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
...as a quick aside, does anyone know the difference between ex-police officers and retired police officers?

In which country?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 02, 2016, 10:45:23 PM
...as a quick aside, does anyone know the difference between ex-police officers and retired police officers?

Ex police could mean sacked/pushed out or left of own accord to do somethng else
"Retired"could also mean sacked unofficially or retired properly at a retirable age with or without a new career outside the police

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 02, 2016, 10:54:31 PM
Ex police could mean sacked/pushed out or left of own accord to do somethng else
"Retired"could also mean sacked unofficially or retired properly at a retirable age with or without a new career outside the police

...just don't call a retired police officer an ex-police officer, they get upset,
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 02, 2016, 10:59:27 PM
...just don't call a retired police officer an ex-police officer, they get upset,

Wot?  Like Peter Mac you mean?  And what ever did happen to him?  He very suddenly disappeared.  Was he retired?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 02, 2016, 11:03:10 PM
...just don't call a retired police officer an ex-police officer, they get upset,

Okey dokey

 8)--))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 01:08:05 PM
I know your opinions on the Met, so I don't expect you to accept what Redwood said. I am addressing people on here who have insisted loud and long that the Met are the best and that they are carrying out a full, unbiased and professional investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine McCann. Then they discard what Redwood said and agree with you about the Smith e-fits. I agree with you about the remit (which some on here have also disputed). If the OG starting point was 'the abduction' then the investigation didn't start at the beginning.

I do think it's interesting that the e-fits didn't exist in a vacuum, though. They came with a report which was, allegedly, hypercritical of the McCanns and their friends' testimony.Taking the two things together, Redwood may have been influenced by the report, which urged that Tannerman be ditched and Smithman investigated.

The incompetent part of the report (which cast aspersions on the integrity of the wholly honest Jane Tanner) was ignored.

Why do you have a problem with that?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 03, 2016, 01:42:47 PM
...

She first saw the bloke when he was about two metres in front of her.

If so, they would have crossed, at normal walking pace, about 1.0 to 1.5 seconds later.

It was dark. The lighting was described by the Smiths as 'weak'.

I question whether in the space of a maximum of 1.5 seconds in the dark she could have recalled all that she claimed to have recalled.

Relevant parts of her statement bolded:

--------------------

...
— The deponent remembers that upon reaching the top of the stairs, she looked to her left and saw a man (1) with a female child (2) in his arms, walking along the pavement of Rua 25 de Abril. He was walking in her direction at a distance of, give or take, two metres.
— The deponent crossed to the other side of Rua 25 de Abril and began walking up Rua da Escola Primária in the direction of the Estrela da Luz apartment complex.
— She did not see if the referenced individual with the child descended Rua das Escadinhas or if he continued along Rua 25 de Abril.
— It was the first time she saw that man. She does not remember seeing him at any time in any location.
...
— The description below made about the man and the female child that the witness saw was made at around 22H00, when the lighting was weak.

...

To have deduced the fabrics of both the man's trousers and the girl's pyjamas from seeing the man and child for 1.0 to 1.5 seconds is an amazing feat of observation, if true.

As for Aoife Smith saying of the man, on 26th May in Portimao, "she saw his face but now cannot remember it", that is exactly what one would expect after encountering a strange bloke in the dark for about one to one-and-a-half seconds.

Quite why anyone at all should believe that any of the Smith family could conjure up an e-fit one whole year later (well, two e-fits, actually), utterly defeats me
"She first saw the bloke when he was about two metres in front of her."

No, she didn't.  She looked to her left and the man was heading towards her about 2m away.  That fact is critical in understanding the Smith sighting.

The relevant parts of the rest of your post I have left in, given that your gist is Aoife reported a fair bit of detail for a very brief sighting.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 03, 2016, 02:05:49 PM
I do think it's interesting that the e-fits didn't exist in a vacuum, though. They came with a report which was, allegedly, hypercritical of the McCanns and their friends' testimony. Taking the two things together, Redwood may have been influenced by the report, which urged that Tannerman be ditched and Smithman investigated.

We are probably not too far apart on this.

However, dealing with your point above, bolded, you used the word 'allegedly' and I think that was a wise choice of word.

This allegedly hypercritical report was from Henri Exton.

We know this about him. He was the former Head of the Covert Intelligence for MI5. He also shoplifted a bottle of expensive perfume from Manchester Airport, was convicted after pleading guilty, but then had his conviction set aside. From what we have been told many times, Exton was recruited to the McCann Investigation Team by the corrupt fraudster, con-man and crook Kevin Halligen. Therefore to take ANYTHING which emerges from Exton's mouth as gospel would be very unwise.

Moreover, again from what we learn in dribs and drabs (see, e.g. the 2014 Channel 5 film featuring Halligen and Exton), Halligen didn't pay Exton for his work. Possibly the McCanns didn't pay him properly either. In which case, he would have a very sharp axe to grind and a motive for 'dropping Halligen and Exton right in it'.

To summarise my position on the efits in 8 words:  'They are not what they purport to me'. To which I would add these 5:  'Redwood and Wall know this'.

@ Carana asked (I paraphrase): "What has evidence of widespread senior level corruption in the Met got to do with Operation Grange?"

REPLY: Everything. If people right at the top of the Met are capable of the wicked things shown in the Panorama programme, and much, much more than that, then they are also, prima facie, well capable of conducting a hoax investigation into Madeleine McCann's disappearance.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 03, 2016, 02:14:15 PM

We are probably not too far apart on this.

However, dealing with your point above, bolded, you used the word 'allegedly' and I think that was a wise choice of word.

This allegedly hypercritical report was from Henri Exton.

We know this about him. He was the former Head of the Covert Intelligence for MI5. He also shoplifted a bottle of expensive perfume from Manchester Airport, was convicted after pleading guilty, but then had his conviction set aside. From what we have been told many times, Exton was recruited to the McCann Investigation Team by the corrupt fraudster, con-man and crook Kevin Halligen. Therefore to take ANYTHING which emerges from Exton's mouth as gospel would be very unwise.

Moreover, again from what we learn in dribs and drabs (see, e.g. the 2014 Channel 5 film featuring Halligen and Exton), Halligen didn't pay Exton for his work. Possibly the McCanns didn't pay him properly either. In which case, he would have a very sharp axe to grind and a motive for 'dropping Halligen and Exton right in it'.

To summarise my position on the efits in 8 words:  'They are not what they purport to me'. To which I would add these 5:  'Redwood and Wall know this'.

@ Carana asked (I paraphrase): "What has evidence of widespread senior level corruption in the Met got to do with Operation Grange?"

REPLY: Everything. If people right at the top of the Met are capable of the wicked things shown in the Panorama programme, and much, much more than that, then they are also, prima facie, well capable of conducting a hoax investigation into Madeleine McCann's disappearance.

Are the Policia Judicairia in on it too ... or are they being taken for mugs like the rest of us along with the Home Secretary and the PM?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 02:40:40 PM

We are probably not too far apart on this.

However, dealing with your point above, bolded, you used the word 'allegedly' and I think that was a wise choice of word.

This allegedly hypercritical report was from Henri Exton.

We know this about him. He was the former Head of the Covert Intelligence for MI5. He also shoplifted a bottle of expensive perfume from Manchester Airport, was convicted after pleading guilty, but then had his conviction set aside. From what we have been told many times, Exton was recruited to the McCann Investigation Team by the corrupt fraudster, con-man and crook Kevin Halligen. Therefore to take ANYTHING which emerges from Exton's mouth as gospel would be very unwise.

Moreover, again from what we learn in dribs and drabs (see, e.g. the 2014 Channel 5 film featuring Halligen and Exton), Halligen didn't pay Exton for his work. Possibly the McCanns didn't pay him properly either. In which case, he would have a very sharp axe to grind and a motive for 'dropping Halligen and Exton right in it'.

To summarise my position on the efits in 8 words:  'They are not what they purport to me'. To which I would add these 5:  'Redwood and Wall know this'.

@ Carana asked (I paraphrase): "What has evidence of widespread senior level corruption in the Met got to do with Operation Grange?"

REPLY: Everything. If people right at the top of the Met are capable of the wicked things shown in the Panorama programme, and much, much more than that, then they are also, prima facie, well capable of conducting a hoax investigation into Madeleine McCann's disappearance.

If I were to say that acknowledged thugs (*formerly of the PJ) such as Cristovia (sp), Amaral or convicted torturer Ameidas (so far as I am aware, still serving with the PJ) should be likened in the same bracket as PJ Inspector Dias, or Inspector Ferraria (who justly dismissed the testimony of English social worker Yvonne Martin), I could/would (justly) be accused of xenophobia.

To be clear, I make no such allegation or comparison.

I do say that certain elements of the PJ (from the shelved enquiry) made a total pig's-ear of the forensic results, with little or no excuse (they were surrounded by people, including representatives of their own ,Portuguese, forensic laboratory, who understood the forensic results, and would have been only too willing to explain them, if asked, but they never were).

I think sensible Portuguese citizens who post on this board see it much the same.

There is corruption in the English police force.

There is corruption in the police forces of Britain.

Police forces in countries throughout the world (including Portugal!) have corrupt police officers.

None of that is xenophobic.

It is just plain statement of fact.

It is, itself, xenophobic, to accuse those (of us!) who point out that fact of xenophobia

*Edited to amend formally with formerly.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 02:41:49 PM

We are probably not too far apart on this.

However, dealing with your point above, bolded, you used the word 'allegedly' and I think that was a wise choice of word.

This allegedly hypercritical report was from Henri Exton.

We know this about him. He was the former Head of the Covert Intelligence for MI5. He also shoplifted a bottle of expensive perfume from Manchester Airport, was convicted after pleading guilty, but then had his conviction set aside. From what we have been told many times, Exton was recruited to the McCann Investigation Team by the corrupt fraudster, con-man and crook Kevin Halligen. Therefore to take ANYTHING which emerges from Exton's mouth as gospel would be very unwise.

Moreover, again from what we learn in dribs and drabs (see, e.g. the 2014 Channel 5 film featuring Halligen and Exton), Halligen didn't pay Exton for his work. Possibly the McCanns didn't pay him properly either. In which case, he would have a very sharp axe to grind and a motive for 'dropping Halligen and Exton right in it'.

To summarise my position on the efits in 8 words:  'They are not what they purport to me'. To which I would add these 5:  'Redwood and Wall know this'.

@ Carana asked (I paraphrase): "What has evidence of widespread senior level corruption in the Met got to do with Operation Grange?"

REPLY: Everything. If people right at the top of the Met are capable of the wicked things shown in the Panorama programme, and much, much more than that, then they are also, prima facie, well capable of conducting a hoax investigation into Madeleine McCann's disappearance.


The report was seen by the Sunday Times. They said;

The report, seen by the Sunday Times, called for the E-Fits to be released immediately and said "anomalies" in statements by the McCanns and their friends must be resolved......

Their report, seen by The Sunday Times, focused on a sighting by an Irish family of a man carrying a child at about 10pm on May 3, 2007, when Madeleine went missing.

An earlier sighting by one of the McCanns’ friends was dismissed as less credible after “serious inconsistencies” were found in her evidence. The report also raised questions about “anomalies” in the statements given by the McCanns and their friends.....

they [the Oakley team] focused on the Smith sighting, travelling to Ireland to interview the family and produce E-Fits of the man they saw. Their report said the Smiths were “helpful and sincere” and concluded: “The Smith sighting is credible evidence of a sighting of Maddie and more credible than Jane Tanner’s sighting”. The evidence had been “neglected for too long” and an “overemphasis placed on Tanner”.

The new focus shifted the believed timeline of the abduction back by 45 minutes. The report, delivered to the McCanns in November 2008, recommended that the revised timeline should be the basis for future investigations and that the Smith E-Fits should be released without delay......

As well as questioning parts of the McCanns’ evidence, it contained sensitive information about Madeleine’s sleeping patterns and raised the highly sensitive possibility that she could have died in an accident after leaving the apartment herself from one of two unsecured doors.
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/78oct13/Times_27_10_2013.htm


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 02:48:07 PM


The report was seen by the Sunday Times. They said;

The report, seen by the Sunday Times, called for the E-Fits to be released immediately and said "anomalies" in statements by the McCanns and their friends must be resolved......

Their report, seen by The Sunday Times, focused on a sighting by an Irish family of a man carrying a child at about 10pm on May 3, 2007, when Madeleine went missing.

An earlier sighting by one of the McCanns’ friends was dismissed as less credible after “serious inconsistencies” were found in her evidence. The report also raised questions about “anomalies” in the statements given by the McCanns and their friends.....

they [the Oakley team] focused on the Smith sighting, travelling to Ireland to interview the family and produce E-Fits of the man they saw. Their report said the Smiths were “helpful and sincere” and concluded: “The Smith sighting is credible evidence of a sighting of Maddie and more credible than Jane Tanner’s sighting”. The evidence had been “neglected for too long” and an “overemphasis placed on Tanner”.

The new focus shifted the believed timeline of the abduction back by 45 minutes. The report, delivered to the McCanns in November 2008, recommended that the revised timeline should be the basis for future investigations and that the Smith E-Fits should be released without delay......

As well as questioning parts of the McCanns’ evidence, it contained sensitive information about Madeleine’s sleeping patterns and raised the highly sensitive possibility that she could have died in an accident after leaving the apartment herself from one of two unsecured doors.
http://www.gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/78oct13/Times_27_10_2013.htm

The reason why the e-fits could not see light of day in public until there was a live and on-going police enquiry has been explained, over and over ....

The facts don't change just because some people choose not to accept them.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 02:59:48 PM
The reason why the e-fits could not see light of day in public until there was a live and on-going police enquiry has been explained, over and over ....

The facts don't change just because some people choose not to accept them.

There was nothing stopping the McCanns from releasing the e-fits when they got them. That's a fact for you.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 03:01:18 PM
There was nothing stopping the McCanns from releasing the e-fits when they got them. That's a fact for you.

No it's not.

It's a poorly formulated opinion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 03:06:57 PM
A challenge (to anyone who would choose to accept it).

Obviously there won't be any examples in Portuguese police investigations, because the Portuguese do not use e-fits in their criminal enquiries.

But from English police investigations, find an example of where an efit was released of a suspect before an official police enquiry was launched.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 03:43:10 PM
A challenge (to anyone who would choose to accept it).

Obviously there won't be any examples in Portuguese police investigations, because the Portuguese do not use e-fits in their criminal enquiries.

But from English police investigations, find an example of where an efit was released of a suspect before an official police enquiry was launched.
Your challenge is extremely easy Ferryman
http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/46164000/jpg/_46164325_007755180-1.jpg
That efit was released by a PR man before the official SY investigation was launched
Please try to set a more challenging challenge next time
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 03:45:18 PM
A challenge (to anyone who would choose to accept it).

Obviously there won't be any examples in Portuguese police investigations, because the Portuguese do not use e-fits in their criminal enquiries.

But from English police investigations, find an example of where an efit was released of a suspect before an official police enquiry was launched.

We have examples of this couple and their PI's by-passing existing police inquiries and releasing e-fits to the press. Why you think they couldn't do exactly the same thing when there was no existing police inquiry is beyond me.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 03:46:10 PM
We have examples of this couple and their PI's by-passing existing police inquiries and releasing e-fits to the press. Why you think they couldn't do exactly the same thing when there was no existing police inquiry is beyond me.

There are no examples of the sort you imagine ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 03, 2016, 03:51:50 PM
AMEN.

I have three books on my shelves:

BENT COPPERS, The Inside Story of Scotland Yard's battle against Police Corruption (2004), Graeme McLagan

SUPERGRASSES & INFORMERS AND BENT COPPERS: OMNIBUS (764 pages)(2002 ed), James Morton

and

THE UNTOUCHABLES, Dirty cops, bent justice and racism in Scotland Yard (2012), Michael Gillard & Laurie Flynn.

And quite a few others along the same lines.

If you read them, you would see how right you are that a 'wall' of career criminals and corrupt senior police officers is almost impossible to break down.

One of the criminals named in the film, Dave Hunt, was said by the Sunday Times back in 2010 to be 'too powerful for the Met to deal with'.
Would it be fair to say that we can rule out racism as a motivating factor in the huge Establishment cover up in the McCann case?  What are the other key motivating factors in the corruption described on the books you list above?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 03:57:54 PM
There are no examples of the sort you imagine ....

You made a statement and have offered nothing to support it. I made a statement which I can support. When you can demonstrate the truth of what you say i'll be happy to discuss it further.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 05:13:55 PM
There are no examples of the sort you imagine ....
Yes there are. I posted one example - the BarcelonaBeckhamLookalike efit released by Mitchell at a time when there was no active police investigation. I have beaten your challenge Ferryman and claim my prize.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 05:24:24 PM
Yes there are. I posted one example - the BarcelonaBeckhamLookalike efit released by Mitchell at a time when there was no active police investigation. I have beaten your challenge Ferryman and claim my prize.

That's been dealt with ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 05:34:18 PM
That's been dealt with ....
... do you mean you've dispatched my prize already?
The BarcelonaChildVendor efit beats your challenge so please pay up.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 05:42:57 PM
... do you mean you've dispatched my prize already?
The BarcelonaChildVendor efit beats your challenge so please pay up.

No it doesn't
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 06:02:30 PM
No it doesn't
But Ferryman here is photographic proof that an efit was released in Aug 2009 when there was NO active police investigation. Read your challenge - I have beaten it and expect you to pay up with a prize.
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2009/08/09/article-0-05F939CB000005DC-75_468x286.jpg

BTW hadn't the 2 smithman efits already been made by this date?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 06:11:53 PM
But Ferryman here is photographic proof that an efit was released in Aug 2009 when there was NO active police investigation. Read your challenge - I have beaten it and expect you to pay up with a prize.
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2009/08/09/article-0-05F939CB000005DC-75_468x286.jpg

BTW hadn't the 2 smithman efits already been made by this date?

Three key points:

1.  Spain is not Portugal.

2. The witness of that sighting did not witness Madeleine's abduction.

3  The efit was released by private detectives, not English police.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 03, 2016, 06:14:53 PM
I think somebody has been moving the goalposts  ?{)(**
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 06:16:12 PM
I think somebody has been moving the goalposts  ?{)(**

Those wishing to make an erroneous case that (something or another!) was 'withheld', maybe ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 06:27:46 PM
Gerry and Dave Edgar could even have done another video had they wished. They could have filmed the spot where Smithman was seen, explored where he may have gone after the sighting, unveiled the e-fits. I'm sure Channel 4 would have been interested.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 03, 2016, 06:28:30 PM
Would it be fair to say that we can rule out racism as a motivating factor in the huge Establishment cover up in the McCann case?  What are the other key motivating factors in the corruption described on the books you list above?

Would it be fair to say that we can rule out racism as a motivating factor in the huge Establishment cover up in the McCann case? 

Yes

What are the other key motivating factors in the corruption described on the books you list above?

Greed. Money. Sexual favours. Drugs. Power. Perks. Swifter promotion prospects. A higher pension when you retire.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 06:32:11 PM
Three key points:

1.  Spain is not Portugal.

2. The witness of that sighting did not witness Madeleine's abduction.

3  The efit was released by private detectives, not English police.


Please explain why each of those points are relevant?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 06:37:27 PM
I think somebody has been moving the goalposts  ?{)(**
Goalposts with wheels on?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 03, 2016, 06:40:49 PM
Would it be fair to say that we can rule out racism as a motivating factor in the huge Establishment cover up in the McCann case? 

Yes

What are the other key motivating factors in the corruption described on the books you list above?

Greed. Money. Sexual favours. Drugs. Power. Perks. Swifter promotion prospects. A higher pension when you retire.

A recent article which i can no longer find put the level of alleged corruption in the met at under 1%...as you are accusing the met of corruption...do you have  a figure of the actual level...otherwise bonk your claims are meaningless
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 06:42:39 PM

Please explain why each of those points are relevant?

If it isn't self-evident, then well ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 03, 2016, 06:45:57 PM
Would it be fair to say that we can rule out racism as a motivating factor in the huge Establishment cover up in the McCann case? 

Yes

What are the other key motivating factors in the corruption described on the books you list above?

Greed. Money. Sexual favours. Drugs. Power. Perks. Swifter promotion prospects. A higher pension when you retire.
  OK - so which of the above do you think pertain to this case then?  Two doctors from Rothley lose a child on holiday, the UK Establishment goes to huge lengths to cover up the real reason for the disappearance because of:
a) Greed
b) money
c) sexual favours
d) drugs
e) power
f) perks
g) swifter promotion prospects
h) better pension deal.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 06:51:47 PM
If it isn't self-evident, then well ....

It's clear that the sightings were not in the same country, not of the same thing, and were released by PI's. It's not clear any of that allows one e-fit to be released by PI's and not the others.
 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 06:52:37 PM
(snip) ... the e-fits could not see light of day in public until there was a live and on-going police enquiry ... (snip)
So are you making an exception for the the Barcelona efit?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 06:55:40 PM
So are you making an exception for the the Barcelona efit?

Private detectives (not the English police) released them.

English police (who, themselves, had the efits in their possession for a considerable time before releasing them) chose the moment of the Crimewatch programme to release the Smith efits (Martin and Mary) publicly.

That's how English police work.

They always have.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 07:39:35 PM
Private detectives (not the English police) released them.

English police (who, themselves, had the efits in their possession for a considerable time before releasing them) chose the moment of the Crimewatch programme to release the Smith efits (Martin and Mary) publicly.

That's how English police work.

They always have.
In March 2010 (when there was no active police investigation) Mr Mitchell put a lot of work into circulating amongst the press the images of dozens of potential suspects, which were obtained from a police file. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 07:45:28 PM
In March 2010 (when there was no active police investigation) Mr Mitchell put a lot of work into circulating amongst the press the images of dozens of potential suspects, which were obtained from a police file.

But not the English police ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 07:49:50 PM
But not the English police ....

Forget the English Police. The McCanns had the e-fits in November 2008. No police force had them. No police force was investigating the case. Why didn't the McCanns release the e-fits themselves????
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 07:53:17 PM
Forget the English Police. The McCanns had the e-fits in November 2008. No police force had them. No police force was investigating the case. Why didn't the McCanns release the e-fits themselves????

Why do you want to forget the only fact that matters?

The efits were passed on to Scotland Yard (English police) who, themselves, hung on to the efits for a considerable period before releasing them into the public domain.

Why?

Because that's how English police work.

ETA: there are (potentially) innocent reasons why, after an abduction, a parent or a couple might take (adoptive) custody of an abducted child.

There is no innocent explanation of an abduction.

The Smith efits (potentially) accuse someone named of an abduction.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 08:04:22 PM
Why do you want to forget the only fact that matters?

The efits were passed on to Scotland Yard (English police) who, themselves, hung on to the efits for a considerable period before releasing them into the public domain.

Why?

Because that's how English police work.

ETA: there are (potentially) innocent reasons why, after an abduction, a parent or a couple might take (adoptive) custody of an abducted child.

There is no innocent explanation of an abduction.

The Smith efits (potentially) accuse someone named of an abduction.

The Barcelona e-fits (potentially) accused someone of paying others to abduct a child for them. In both cases the people concerned could have innocent reasons for what they were doing. You are clutching at straws in your attempts to excuse the McCanns for not releasing the e-fits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 08:06:29 PM
The Barcelona e-fits (potentially) accused someone of paying others to abduct a child for them. In both cases the people concerned could have innocent reasons for what they were doing. You are clutching at straws in your attempts to excuse the McCanns for not releasing the e-fits.

Explain the innocent explanation for being caught red-handed abducting a child?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 03, 2016, 08:26:55 PM
Explain the innocent explanation for being caught red-handed abducting a child?

So you believe smithman is the abductor?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 08:27:52 PM
So you believe smithman is the abductor?

It seems highly plausible.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 03, 2016, 08:33:29 PM
Explain the innocent explanation for being caught red-handed abducting a child?


Is this the Barcelona episode involving the 'Victoria Beckham lookalike and who was in fact never investigated (Hall got that right in his first set of videos).

Revealing blatant incompetence by Mitchell, Edgar and Co., or of course a badly organised attempt to divert attention away from the mccanns.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 08:36:58 PM

Is this the Barcelona episode involving the 'Victoria Beckham lookalike and who was in fact never investigated (Hall got that right in his first set of videos).

Revealing blatant incompetence by Mitchell, Edgar and Co., or of course a badly organised attempt to divert attention away from the mccanns.

Think you might be off-topic.

Has Martin Smith changed his opinion?

Yes.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 03, 2016, 08:43:13 PM
Think you might be off-topic.

Has Martin Smith changed his opinion?

Yes.

So ferryman, very briefly, could Mitchell, Edgar, Cowley and Co., organize a pi## up in a brewery, or even a real professional investigation into a missing child, or was it an exercise in deflection from the mccanns ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 08:43:39 PM
Explain the innocent explanation for being caught red-handed abducting a child?

You give me an innocent explanation for not immediately publicising two new e-fits of the potential abductor of your child.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 03, 2016, 08:45:07 PM
You give me an innocent explanation for not immediately publicising two new e-fits of the potential abductor of your child.

There isn't any.


Not for finding their beloved daughter.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 08:45:39 PM
Think you might be off-topic.

Has Martin Smith changed his opinion?

Yes.

There is no evidence supporting your assertion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 03, 2016, 08:46:01 PM
You give me an innocent explanation for not immediately publicising two new e-fits of the potential abductor of your child.

Have done so.

Ad nauseam.

Your turn.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 03, 2016, 08:55:13 PM
Have done so.

Ad nauseam.

Your turn.

Ad nauseam  yes.

Logically explained, NO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 03, 2016, 09:19:20 PM
Ad nauseam  yes.

Logically explained, NO.

Oh well, it kept us amused for a while. It's clear the McCanns just didn't want to publicise the e-fits. It's also clear that Mr Smith didn't change his mind. Saying he did is just guesswork.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 09:41:24 PM
Oh well, it kept us amused for a while. It's clear the McCanns just didn't want to publicise the e-fits. It's also clear that Mr Smith didn't change his mind. Saying he did is just guesswork.
All of Ferryman's conditions are now satisfied (there is an active UK police investigation, which approves publicising the 2 efits). And if you look at the official fund site do you not see the 2 efits prominently displayed on the front page?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 03, 2016, 09:56:37 PM
All of Ferryman's conditions are now satisfied (there is an active UK police investigation, which approves publicising the 2 efits). And if you look at the official fund site do you not see the 2 efits prominently displayed on the front page?

If only we all had the same visual abilities as the Smith family.................
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 03, 2016, 10:07:57 PM
Oh well, it kept us amused for a while. It's clear the McCanns just didn't want to publicise the e-fits. It's also clear that Mr Smith didn't change his mind. Saying he did is just guesswork.
guesswork supported by the fact that he has been reported as having changed his mind by various newspapers, with no word subsequently from Smith contradicting the reports.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 03, 2016, 10:25:33 PM
Here's a challenge
Find the 2 smithman efits on the portuguese pages of the MF site.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 04, 2016, 12:51:23 AM
guesswork supported by the fact that he has been reported as having changed his mind by various newspapers, with no word subsequently from Smith contradicting the reports.

How true.   Mr Smith's practice to threaten legal action against newspapers who misrepresented him is a proven fact  - and the evidence to show that to be true has been posted here before.    But not a word from him on this occasion even though the statement made in the Sunday Times was huge as it claimed Mr Smith no longer believed it was Gerry he saw.

Add to that the following comments from Mrs Smith and it's clear (to anyone who isn't completely blinkered)  that the Smiths do not believe that Gerry McCann was complicit in the disappearance of his daughter.

Quote
We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''
End quote

Anyone who can read that and still claim that it's clear that Martin Smith did not change his mind is suspending all common sense and logic and is  taking 'wishful thinking' to a whole new level IMO.


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 04, 2016, 01:29:36 AM
  OK - so which of the above do you think pertain to this case then?  Two doctors from Rothley lose a child on holiday, the UK Establishment goes to huge lengths to cover up the real reason for the disappearance because of:
a) Greed
b) money
c) sexual favours
d) drugs
e) power
f) perks
g) swifter promotion prospects
h) better pension deal.

Judging  by the massive conspiracy which has taken place according to some - surely the McCanns must be secretly ruling the country - if not the whole world?

Too barmy for words imo.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 04, 2016, 01:30:29 AM
Here's a challenge
Find the 2 smithman efits on the portuguese pages of the MF site.

if Ferryman is correct and the only thng stopping them publicising the efits since 2008 was that there was no official "live" police investigation, then why did they not publicise them in any meaningful form after Crimewatch 2013.....I see now the two efits are included at last i
(How many months or years after Crimewatch was this?) in the persons of interest page "Important, Who are these People"(uk version only) within a batch of efits from the files, not differentiated in any way, and not referenced as Smithman or by time and place but Tannerman, Spottyman and Aussiewoman have their own special sections

In the three foreign versions of their site Smithman is absent from that particular page (though in the main front page mentions "crimewatch"...?? I havent looked through it all to find him hidden away anywhere else.

All very higgledy-piggledy IMO
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 04, 2016, 01:34:31 AM
This challenge is easy.
Which of these 5 efits are on the official search website's home page?
Smithman efit1, Smithman efit2, BarcelonaChildSellerWoman, VerySpottyMan, RuledOutBySYCrecheMan.



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 04, 2016, 01:38:59 AM
This challenge is easy.
Which of these 5 efits are on the official search website's home page?
Smithman efit1, Smithman efit2, BarcelonaChildSellerWoman, VerySpottyMan, RuledOutBySYCrecheMan.

Last three retain primacy...I'll take the coconut and in the meantme await the logical explanations from the apologists
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 04, 2016, 01:42:12 AM
How true.   Mr Smith's practice to threaten legal action against newspapers who misrepresented him is a proven fact  - and the evidence to show that to be true has been posted here before.    But not a word from him on this occasion even though the statement made in the Sunday Times was huge as it claimed Mr Smith no longer believed it was Gerry he saw

Add to that the following comments from Mrs Smith and it's clear (to anyone who isn't completely blinkered)  that the Smiths do not believe that Gerry McCann was complicit in the disappearance of his daughter.

Quote
We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''
End quote

Anyone who can read that and still claim that it's clear that Martin Smith did not change his mind is suspending all common sense and logic and is  taking 'wishful thinking' to a whole new level IMO.

Perhaps he did not want to get dragged into all the crap again...after all he has a life......
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 04, 2016, 01:51:50 AM
Last three retain primacy...I'll take the coconut and in the meantme await the logical explanations from the apologists
Yes you correctly identified the 3 efits on the home page of the official search site Merc.
I posted your coconut by airmail.
Next challenge - is there any poster here who will stand up and say they believe that barcelonachildvendorwoman (featured on that home page) is of any relevance to this case?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 04, 2016, 01:57:16 AM
Last three retain primacy...I'll take the coconut and in the meantme await the logical explanations from the apologists

SY & the PJ are not pursuing Smithman as a significant line of inquiry IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 04, 2016, 02:00:07 AM
SY & the PJ are not pursuing Smithman as a significant line of inquiry IMO.

If that is true doesnt the same apply to all the other three? mentioned? Especially the highly tenuous if not ridiculous aussiewoman "overheard conversation" which the really concerned witness kept under his belt for two years!

Ps SY appealed for info on smithman NOT aussiewoman or tannerman
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 04, 2016, 02:03:20 AM
Perhaps he did not want to get dragged into all the crap again...after all he has a life......

IMO Martin Smith was determined that his family would not be dragged into 'all that crap again' and that is the main reason why he very quickly jumped on anyone who misrepresented him in the press.   It's obvious that he did not make any complaints to the Sunday Times about their claim that he had since changed his mind about GM - and IMO if that was an incorrect claim he would have contacted them and demanded a retraction - in the same way as he did on previous occasions.   The fact that he didn't do that speaks for itself imo.


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 04, 2016, 02:14:11 AM
SY & the PJ are not pursuing Smithman as a significant line of inquiry IMO.
I never understood why they focussed on the unlikely method of open uncontained carrying.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 04, 2016, 02:33:56 AM
IMO Martin Smith was determined that his family would not be dragged into 'all that crap again' and that is the main reason why he very quickly jumped on anyone who misrepresented him in the press.   It's obvious that he did not make any complaints to the Sunday Times about their claim that he had since changed his mind about GM - and IMO if that was an incorrect claim he would have contacted them and demanded a retraction - in the same way as he did on previous occasions.   The fact that he didn't do that speaks for itself imo.

No, its not the same as previous occasions, not the crap he did have ,in 2007 our illustrious media en masse were practically doorstepping him, misquoting him, he was being contacted by Kennedy/PIs....none of that is happening now, just a single reference to what he has alledgedly said (with no quotes btw) and IMO he probably is just keeping out of it, cant be arsed and right too
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 04, 2016, 02:51:17 AM
I never understood why they focussed on the unlikely method of open uncontained carrying.

Its not as if its really unusual
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 04, 2016, 06:44:13 AM
IMO Martin Smith was determined that his family would not be dragged into 'all that crap again' and that is the main reason why he very quickly jumped on anyone who misrepresented him in the press.   It's obvious that he did not make any complaints to the Sunday Times about their claim that he had since changed his mind about GM - and IMO if that was an incorrect claim he would have contacted them and demanded a retraction - in the same way as he did on previous occasions.   The fact that he didn't do that speaks for itself imo.

If he had corrected it that would have been tantamount to accusing Gerry McCann of being Smithman. The media would have had a field day with that. Much wiser to let it pass imo.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2016, 07:25:39 AM
I can see a very obvious reason why an innocent smithman would not come forward, particularly if he was portuguese. He would fear he might be persuaded to confess
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 04, 2016, 07:52:58 AM
I can see a very obvious reason why an innocent smithman would not come forward, particularly if he was portuguese. He would fear he might be persuaded to confess

You mean he has also managed to mislay the little girl he was carrying that night?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2016, 08:01:18 AM
You mean he has also managed to mislay the little girl he was carrying that night?

nope...as sl has pointed out...and she lives in portugal...he would be required to prove his innocencve...read her post
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 04, 2016, 08:14:51 AM
nope...as sl has pointed out...and she lives in portugal...he would be required to prove his innocencve...read her post

They all said the girl looked British white not Portuguese. Actually a Madeleine clone.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2016, 08:24:38 AM
They all said the girl looked British white not Portuguese. Actually a Madeleine clone.

aren't there lots of blonde portuguese girls, and it was dark...they never mentioned  a madeleine clone
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 04, 2016, 08:39:22 AM
aren't there lots of blonde portuguese girls, and it was dark...they never mentioned  a madeleine clone

He cannot state this as fact but is convinced that it could have been MADELEINE, also the opinion shared by his family.

She had blonde hair, of medium shade, not very light. Her skin was white, typically British.

The child has blonde medium-hued hair, without being very light. Her skin was very white, typical of a Brit.

The child was female because she had straight long hair to the neck. The colour was fair/light brown. 

She is certain that the child was about four years old because her niece (who was in the group) is of the same age and they were the same size.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm

(http://i4.loughboroughecho.net/news/article6183284.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/Madeleine-McCann.jpg)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 04, 2016, 08:43:35 AM
If he had corrected it that would have been tantamount to accusing Gerry McCann of being Smithman. The media would have had a field day with that. Much wiser to let it pass imo.

Anyone who thinks Mrs Smith would say the following if she and her husband still thought the McCanns may be complicit in their daughter's disappearance is being completely illogical IMO.   

Why would they be expressing such heartfelt sympathy for the couple who they still believed may have disposed of their own daughter's body in such a callous manner?   That simply makes no sense at all imo.

 Quote
We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''
End quote


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 04, 2016, 09:05:32 AM
Anyone who thinks Mrs Smith would say the following if she and her husband still thought the McCanns may be complicit in their daughter's disappearance is being completely illogical IMO.   

Why would they be expressing such heartfelt sympathy for the couple who they still believed may have disposed of their own daughter's body in such a callous manner?   That simply makes no sense at all imo.

 Quote
We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''
End quote

I presume you can provide a cite to show Mrs. Smith actually said this. 8)-)))

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 04, 2016, 11:14:14 AM
IMO Martin Smith was determined that his family would not be dragged into 'all that crap again' and that is the main reason why he very quickly jumped on anyone who misrepresented him in the press.   It's obvious that he did not make any complaints to the Sunday Times about their claim that he had since changed his mind about GM - and IMO if that was an incorrect claim he would have contacted them and demanded a retraction - in the same way as he did on previous occasions.   The fact that he didn't do that speaks for itself imo.

Even more so, the statement of his wife, after release of the files, that they will do all they can to support the McCanns, and their heart goes out to the McCanns.

Very odd things to say if she (or her husband) countenance (still!) that the man the family all saw that night is Gerry.

Entirely explicable if they have changed their minds (all of them).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 04, 2016, 11:40:51 AM
Anyone who thinks Mrs Smith would say the following if she and her husband still thought the McCanns may be complicit in their daughter's disappearance is being completely illogical IMO.   

Why would they be expressing such heartfelt sympathy for the couple who they still believed may have disposed of their own daughter's body in such a callous manner?   That simply makes no sense at all imo.

 Quote
We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''
End quote

It wouldn't be sensible for any of the Smiths to accuse the child's father of anything when speaking to the newspapers, now would it? Especially as they couldn't make a definite identification. Mr Smith based his statement purely on the mannerisms of the man he saw and he could easily have been wrong. His wife said;

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann.
http://www.mccannfiles.com/id162.html

So we have a man with the same build, with a similar hairstyle and colour, carrying a child of the right age, hairstyle and colour. Just a coincidence, I'm sure.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 04, 2016, 02:09:53 PM
If he had corrected it that would have been tantamount to accusing Gerry McCann of being Smithman. The media would have had a field day with that. Much wiser to let it pass imo.
Why do you think the Smiths' hearts are breaking for the McCanns if they also believe they are guilty of covering up the death of their child?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 04, 2016, 02:36:56 PM
Why do you think the Smiths' hearts are breaking for the McCanns if they also believe they are guilty of covering up the death of their child?

You are referring to one Smith - the Mrs. The Mr declined to comment.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 04, 2016, 03:04:18 PM
Obviously witnesses are often told to keep secret their communications with police.
And that is exactly what this witness correctly did.

Proof see Mail Jan 2008 witness quote
"We ... have had no contact with the investigating police since May 26 last year".

In fact the witness was correctly keeping secret the various important communications with Gardai, with Leics Police, and a phonecall with the PJ, in Sept 2007.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 04, 2016, 04:19:16 PM
You are referring to one Smith - the Mrs. The Mr declined to comment.
She appeared to be speaking for both of them.  But OK, let's rephrase the question: given that Mrs Smith's heart is breaking for the McCanns do you think she still agrees with her husband that the man walking through PdL that night was Gerry carrying off his little daughter?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 04, 2016, 04:34:03 PM
Obviously witnesses are often told to keep secret their communications with police.
And that is exactly what this witness correctly did.

Proof see Mail Jan 2008 witness quote
"We ... have had no contact with the investigating police since May 26 last year".

In fact the witness was correctly keeping secret the various important communications with Gardai, with Leics Police, and a phonecall with the PJ, in Sept 2007.

The Policia Judiciaria under Amaral paid scant attention to the sighting by the Smith family between May and September of 2007.

Appropriately, when Mr Smith made an addendum to his original statement, in the September, they were interested particularly as he declared that the manner in which their prime suspect carried his child reminded him etc etc etc.

Subsequently the PJ under Rebelo showed as much interest as the PJ under Amaral had in the previous five months in anything Mr Smith and his family had to say.

That suggests something to me if not to you.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 04, 2016, 04:51:05 PM
The Policia Judiciaria under Amaral paid scant attention to the sighting by the Smith family between May and September of 2007.

Appropriately, when Mr Smith made an addendum to his original statement, in the September, they were interested particularly as he declared that the manner in which their prime suspect carried his child reminded him etc etc etc.

Subsequently the PJ under Rebelo showed as much interest as the PJ under Amaral had in the previous five months in anything Mr Smith and his family had to say.

That suggests something to me if not to you.
I'm actually on your side on this Brietta.
IMO it's obvious the smith sighting was not of GM and was not of MM.
Very obvious because the man they saw was wearing white or cream trousers, and the girl they saw was wearing long sleeved top.
The sighting has nothing to do with the case IMO.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 04, 2016, 04:59:53 PM
I'm actually on your side on this Brietta.
IMO it's obvious the smith sighting was not of GM and was not of MM.
Very obvious because the man they saw was wearing white or cream trousers, and the girl they saw was wearing long sleeved top.
The sighting has nothing to do with the case IMO.


If this is true,(and I don't dispute it), have OG any credible leads left to pursue?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 04, 2016, 05:44:55 PM
She appeared to be speaking for both of them.  But OK, let's rephrase the question: given that Mrs Smith's heart is breaking for the McCanns do you think she still agrees with her husband that the man walking through PdL that night was Gerry carrying off his little daughter?

I've no idea what Mrs Smith ever thought nor do I care. It's Mr Smith's opinion we're discussing isn't it? He made no comment.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 04, 2016, 05:47:28 PM
I've no idea what Mrs Smith ever thought nor do I care. It's Mr Smith's opinion we're discussing isn't it? He made no comment.
Was she not in agreement with her husband originally?  Why is her opinion of no value to you?  When she talks about "our hearts" do you think she is using the Royal We?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 04, 2016, 06:38:18 PM
I've no idea what Mrs Smith ever thought nor do I care. It's Mr Smith's opinion we're discussing isn't it? He made no comment.

This is what she said:

quote

We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.
End quote

She clearly is not speaking just for herself.

What possible other interpretation can be put on the words..... ''as it would be if it were one of ours''...... other than..... ''as it would be if it were one of our children''?

It's as clear as crystal that Mrs Smith is speaking for her husband as well as herself imo.


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 04, 2016, 07:56:38 PM
Only Martin Smith knows what martin Smith believes.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 04, 2016, 08:00:08 PM
Only Martin Smith knows what martin Smith believes.

his wife would have a good idea
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 04, 2016, 08:04:18 PM
his wife would have a good idea

Yes, but she can't know for sure, can she?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 04, 2016, 08:08:40 PM

If this is true,(and I don't dispute it), have OG any credible leads left to pursue?
IMO everyone (including all the SIOs) have been tricked into the "open carrying of visible child" mantra, to the complete exclusion of all realistic theories. Time to look at some realistic leads instead IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 04, 2016, 08:10:40 PM
Different circumstances. No car. He had to walk away with the child.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 04, 2016, 11:19:06 PM
So the point established that Martin Smith has changed his mind, we morph back to (yet more) theMcCannsdunit conspiracy theory.

Most odd ....

Nothing has been established. Martin Smith was directly quoted as saying that nothing had changed since he first gave his statements to the police.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 04, 2016, 11:36:59 PM
I'm actually on your side on this Brietta.
IMO it's obvious the smith sighting was not of GM and was not of MM.
Very obvious because the man they saw was wearing white or cream trousers, and the girl they saw was wearing long sleeved top.
The sighting has nothing to do with the case IMO.

It would be interesting to know if the files held by the police precisely match what we read on line.

I don't take it for granted that they do ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 09:00:39 AM
I suppose one person's great is another person's depressing ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2016, 09:25:05 AM
I'm actually on your side on this Brietta.
IMO it's obvious the smith sighting was not of GM and was not of MM.
Very obvious because the man they saw was wearing white or cream trousers, and the girl they saw was wearing long sleeved top.
The sighting has nothing to do with the case IMO.

The Smith sighting has gained the notoriety it has because of a very nebulous connection made to Madeleine's father.

The Amaral investigation gave it little weight or attention as far as the missing child herself was concerned; the Rebelo investigation gave it no weight as far as the investigation into the 'prime suspect' was concerned.
Just another coincidence of this sighting is that Murat, who had just been made an arguido was definitely 'ruled out' by Mr Smith; while McCann, who had just been made an arguido was nebulously 'ruled in'.

Both statements were made while Amaral was co-ordinator of the case ... which raises interesting speculation as to what might have been made of Mr Smith and the event which "triggered" the addition to his statement and "showing his full availability to travel to Portugal with the aim of making statements and collaborating with this police in all the diligences that could be considered necessary concerning these events." Paiva if Amaral had not been sacked and someone who could see further than the end of his nose appointed in his stead.

Whether or not Martin Smith has changed his opinion is a total irrelevance.

The people who matter have concentrated on the original alleged sighting by a family of nine;  three of whom have statements in the public domain.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2016, 09:45:30 AM
The Smith sighting has gained the notoriety it has because of a very nebulous connection made to Madeleine's father.

The Amaral investigation gave it little weight or attention as far as the missing child herself was concerned; the Rebelo investigation gave it no weight as far as the investigation into the 'prime suspect' was concerned.
Just another coincidence of this sighting is that Murat, who had just been made an arguido was definitely 'ruled out' by Mr Smith; while McCann, who had just been made an arguido was nebulously 'ruled in'.

Both statements were made while Amaral was co-ordinator of the case ... which raises interesting speculation as to what might have been made of Mr Smith and the event which "triggered" the addition to his statement and "showing his full availability to travel to Portugal with the aim of making statements and collaborating with this police in all the diligences that could be considered necessary concerning these events." Paiva
I would have classed it as a non-event.

Whether or not Martin Smith has changed his opinion is a total irrelevance.

The people who matter have concentrated on the original alleged sighting by a family of nine;  three of whom have statements in the public domain.

If 'the people who matter' had concentrated on the 'original alleged sighting' no e-fits would have been released.

The e-fits were created after the original statements were made; between April and November 2008. The investigation into the Smith sighting has moved on from where it was when the PJ investigation was archived.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2016, 10:42:19 AM
What CCTV footage? The one the PJ missed wouldn't have got his face. Smithman kept his head down.

" It was the way Gerard McCann turned his head down which was similar to what the individual did on 3rd May 2007 when we met him." MS

You have misunderstood my point.

You know there was no CCTV coverage ... I know there was no CCTV coverage ... and latterly Mr Amaral discovered at a later date that there was no CCTV coverage.

That was something that anyone wishing to provide an alibi for themselves by dashing here there and everywhere could not know.

***    ***

As far as identifying a human being carrying a burden by making comparison with another human being carrying a burden looking down goes ... I think is an absolute non-starter.
You are clutching at straws here.
It is possible to identify a well known gait ... the head inclination thing???  Doesn't work for me.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 10:54:34 AM
Nothing has been established. Martin Smith was directly quoted as saying that nothing had changed since he first gave his statements to the police.

Nothing has been established. Martin Smith was directly quoted as saying that nothing had changed since he first gave his statements to the police.

You actually think Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry?

You probably do.

You actually think that Martin Smith's wife, Mary, on record as stating (long after the files were released) that they stand ready to help the McCanns in any way they can, is (now) at loggerheads with her husband, who persists in believing that the man he and his family saw that night was Gerry?

You probably do.

You actually dismiss the inference of plain common sense that in giving voice to the disagreement (of all his children) in his statement to the Irish Gardia police at the end of January 2008, Mr Smith was prepared to entertain contrary opinion (to his own, held then!) that the man might not be Gerry?

You probably do.

....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 05, 2016, 11:08:40 AM
You actually think Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry?

You probably do.

You actually think that Martin Smith's wife, Mary, on record as stating (long after the files were released) that they stand ready to help the McCanns in any way they can, is (now) at loggerheads with her husband, who persists in believing that the man he and his family saw that night was Gerry?

You probably do.

You actually dismiss the inference of plain common sense that in giving voice to the disagreement (of all his children) in his statement to the Irish Gardia police at the end of January 2008, Mr Smith was prepared to entertain contrary opinion (to his own, held then!) that the man might not be Gerry?

You probably do.

....

..........and in common sense terms, if Mr. Smith's sighting has no value, why do you and your fellow supporters seem so concerned about it ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 05, 2016, 11:30:28 AM
..........and in common sense terms, if Mr. Smith's sighting has no value, why do you and your fellow supporters seem so concerned about it ?

I was about to post something in a similar vein.
"Probably the finest professional police force in the world" remain, I believe, interested in eliminating him from their enquiries. Well they were in October 2013..............have they publicised any change in that position do we know?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 05, 2016, 12:23:50 PM
Let's face it, there is no evidence MS changed his mind apart from a repeated (Discredited according to the supports) article in a news paper. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Angelo222 on March 05, 2016, 12:27:25 PM
Let's face it, there is no evidence MS changed his mind apart from a repeated (Discredited according to the supports) article in a news paper.

I must say, I have always thought it strange that he never came out publicly and said so. As far as it goes officially then he HASN'T CHANGED HIS MIND.

ps  sorry Slarti. Posted in your post by mistake.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 05, 2016, 12:54:31 PM
..........and in common sense terms, if Mr. Smith's sighting has no value, why do you and your fellow supporters seem so concerned about it ?

total jumbled reasoning....no one is concerned about the smith sighting because it wasn't Gerry......
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 12:58:01 PM
Let's face it, there is no evidence MS changed his mind apart from a repeated (Discredited according to the supports) article in a news paper.

The only thing discredited is the report of The Times insight team (Heidi and Blake).

The McCanns took the paper to the cleaners for that article.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 01:21:22 PM
..........and in common sense terms, if Mr. Smith's sighting has no value, why do you and your fellow supporters seem so concerned about it ?

No value?

The Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abductor.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 05, 2016, 01:24:52 PM
No value?

The Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abductor.

The mantra yet again

...................... ad infinitum.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 05, 2016, 03:58:24 PM
Look at the hundreds of real cases these Met officers have solved in London. How many involved carrying a victim unenclosed through the streets? None. For example the case near a sports ground in Hendon. No vehicle, no unenclosed carrying. http://lbc.co.uk/mm/image/27584.jpg Solved.
BTW wouldn't it be great to have one of those experts put in charge of the PDL case?  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 05, 2016, 06:14:53 PM
If Martin Smith hasn't changed his opinion, then he is the only one of a group of nine who thinks the man they passed that evening *might* have been Gerry McCann.  Why should this be of any concern whatsoever to Gerry McCann or any McCann supporter?  As has been agreed on this threadby sceptic and supporter alike he is almost certainly wrong anyway.  Time to move on. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 05, 2016, 06:17:38 PM
If Martin Smith hasn't changed his opinion, then he is the only one of a group of nine who thinks the man they passed that evening *might* have been Gerry McCann.  Why should this be of any concern whatsoever to Gerry McCann or any McCann supporter?  As has been agreed on this threadby sceptic and supporter alike he is almost certainly wrong anyway.  Time to move on.

If only.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
If Martin Smith hasn't changed his opinion, then he is the only one of a group of nine who thinks the man they passed that evening *might* have been Gerry McCann.  Why should this be of any concern whatsoever to Gerry McCann or any McCann supporter?  As has been agreed on this threadby sceptic and supporter alike he is almost certainly wrong anyway.  Time to move on.

Are you forgetting Mary Smith ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2016, 06:37:59 PM
That answers the question. They are left with that one credible lead. The other leads investigated with the full team came to nowt.

There was a huge team in place to plough through all the loose ends and sort the wheat from the chaff.  As well as the files we have seen some of ... there was the continuation of evidence from the case archiving in 2008 till the start of the review in 2011.

One supposes that having caught up on all of that, they are now free to follow current relevant leads.  No need for a cast of thousands to do that, but if reinforcements are required to suit developments, I am sure proper provision will be made.

None of that I am sure rides on whether Mr Smith has changed his mind or whether he has not, it all depends on the relevance in the first instance. The PJ didn't move on it - so probably no relevance at all out with the blogosphere.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 05, 2016, 06:39:10 PM
Are you forgetting Mary Smith ?
You mean the woman who said "our hearts are breaking for the McCanns"?  No, haven't forgotten her. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 06:43:04 PM
Are you forgetting Mary Smith ?

Mary Smith?

Who is on record that she supports the McCanns, hook, line and sinker, in their quest to find out what happened to their abducted daughter?

Why would we forget her?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 06:44:05 PM
You mean the woman who said "our hearts are breaking for the McCanns"?  No, haven't forgotten her.

You beat me to the punch, Alfred ....

Either Mary Smith and her husband are (now!) at loggerheads, or the Smith family (as a unit) are firmly of the conviction that Madeleine was abducted by a stranger ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2016, 06:44:28 PM
There was a huge team in place to plough through all the loose ends and sort the wheat from the chaff.  As well as the files we have seen some of ... there was the continuation of evidence from the case archiving in 2008 till the start of the review in 2011.

One supposes that having caught up on all of that, they are now free to follow current relevant leads.  No need for a cast of thousands to do that, but if reinforcements are required to suit developments, I am sure proper provision will be made.

None of that I am sure rides on whether Mr Smith has changed his mind or whether he has not, it all depends on the relevance in the first instance. The PJ didn't move on it - so probably no relevance at all out with the blogosphere.

As far as we are aware the only solid piece of evidence SY have decided is  possibly relevant are the Smith efits. How you can say that the sighting's only relevance is within the blogosphere beggars belief.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2016, 07:05:14 PM
Mary Smith?

Who is on record that she supports the McCanns, hook, line and sinker, in their quest to find out what happened to their abducted daughter?

Why would we forget her?

The only credible record we have of the Smith's opinion is their police statements.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 07:14:16 PM
The only credible record we have of the Smith's opinion is their police statements.

During that time I spoke to all my family members who were with me on the night of 3rd May 2007 about this and the only one who felt the same way as me was my wife.

Martin Smith (end of January 2008).

Of course, we know what Mary Smith now thinks ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 05, 2016, 07:18:17 PM
During that time I spoke to all my family members who were with me on the night of 3rd May 2007 about this and the only one who felt the same way as me was my wife.

Martin Smith (end of January 2008).

Of course, we know what Mary Smith now thinks ....

and there is a signed quote from Mary Smith ?

I can remember someone not that long ago claiming that that Smith's daughter could see better than her father.

Now who was that ?  &%+((£
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2016, 07:20:02 PM
During that time I spoke to all my family members who were with me on the night of 3rd May 2007 about this and the only one who felt the same way as me was my wife.

Martin Smith (end of January 2008).

Of course, we know what Mary Smith now thinks ....

So has she made another police statement then ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 07:24:01 PM
and there is a signed quote from Mary Smith ?

I can remember someone not that long ago claiming that that Smith's daughter could see better than her father.

Now who was that ?  &%+((£

I said, from reading all the Smith Statements, that the most observant witness (so far as it is possible to judge these things from reports taken in verbatim, rather than reported, form) was Aofe (and her father).

That seemed (and seems still) a fair assessment .....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 07:25:13 PM
So has she made another police statement then ?

She has been quoted verbatim ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 05, 2016, 07:26:57 PM
So has she made another police statement then ?
I thought verbatim quotes in newspapers were allowed, or is that only when it suits you?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 05, 2016, 07:32:50 PM
The only credible record we have of the Smith's opinion is their police statements.

Why let that truth obstruct anything ?
It's rather good seeing things reduced to cites similar to, "Well it said so in The Bucks Free Press so it must be right"
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2016, 07:37:21 PM
I thought verbatim quotes in newspapers were allowed, or is that only when it suits you?

They certainly have more veracity than a non-direct quote but I'm afraid a police statement trumps both.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 05, 2016, 07:39:29 PM
They certainly have more veracity than a non-direct quote but I'm afraid a police statement trumps both.
LOL, once again we're reduced to a game of Top Trumps.  Never mind common sense, "my police statement trumps your verbatim quote in the Irish Times, I win!!"
Pathetic.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 05, 2016, 07:42:57 PM
I said, from reading all the Smith Statements, that the most observant witness (so far as it is possible to judge these things from reports taken in verbatim, rather than reported, form) was Aofe (and her father).

That seemed (and seems still) a fair assessment .....

Why ?

Oh I know, it suits you sir. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2016, 07:46:43 PM
The PJ no doubt took Mr Smiths addition to his statement on board ... that the relatively leak free Rebelo investigation took it no further suggests they were as convinced as his family had been by it.

Whatever other witnesses had imparted should also have been looked at by those trained to do so ... what other way is there to solve a case?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 07:47:05 PM
From the statements we read on-line who, aside from Aofe or her father, was a more observant witness witness of what the Smiths saw?

My guess would be Mr Smith's wife but, of course, we don't see her statement.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 05, 2016, 08:00:07 PM
From the statements we read on-line who, aside from Aofe or her father, was a more observant witness witness of what the Smiths saw?

My guess would be Mr Smith's wife but, of course, we don't see her statement.

I'm not even sure such a statement exists.

There is no record of Mrs Smith making a statement in Portugal, nor I think would she have since no-one remembered what they had seen until a fortnight later when they were no longer in Portugal. 
Nor is there a record of a statement given to the Guards subsequently being passed to the PJ for it to be placed in the files nor is there any reference to her statement in the files or a formal request from the PJ for one.
The only reference is that she was stated to be unwilling to change her statement.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 08:09:19 PM
I'm not even sure such a statement exists.

There is no record of Mrs Smith making a statement in Portugal, nor I think would she have since no-one remembered what they had seen until a fortnight later when they were no longer in Portugal. 
Nor is there a record of a statement given to the Guards subsequently being passed to the PJ for it to be placed in the files nor is there any reference to her statement in the files or a formal request from the PJ for one.
The only reference is that she was stated to be unwilling to change her statement.

Somewhere there is an index of all statements made (including statements that don't appear on line) and that may include a record of a statement given by Mrs Smith.

I don't know, though ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 05, 2016, 08:22:30 PM
[/b]

It's common to use the word 'THEY' when you don't know a person's name or sex. 

For example:

Child:  Mum there's someone at the door for you.
Mum:   Who is it?
Child:   I don't know.
Mum:  Well tell them THEY will have to come back later - I'm busy now.
--------------
It's something everyone does - we just don't notice it.

Or they do mean 'they';


During the conversation the mother told her that she did not understand why a couple had abducted her daughter.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/YVONNE-WARREN-MARTIN.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 05, 2016, 09:25:46 PM
Somewhere there is an index of all statements made (including statements that don't appear on line) and that may include a record of a statement given by Mrs Smith.

I don't know, though ....

May ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 10:40:06 PM
We can be sure that the Smiths never phoned the police (on May 3rd)!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 06, 2016, 12:23:32 AM
May ?

Id like to see this list which isnt in the files also...how did I miss this post

Quote from: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 08:09:19 PM
Somewhere there is an index of all statements made (including statements that don't appear on line) and that may include a record of a statement given by Mrs Smith.

I don't know, though ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 06, 2016, 07:46:31 AM
Or they do mean 'they';


During the conversation the mother told her that she did not understand why a couple had abducted her daughter.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/YVONNE-WARREN-MARTIN.htm

I don't see any connection between what Kate said in a state of panic a few minutes after finding Madeleine had disappeared - and her ensuing thoughts when Madeleine wasn't found -  on what could have happened to her and why  - the following day.

Two completely separate and unconnected events IMO.



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2016, 09:17:55 AM
Id like to see this list which isnt in the files also...how did I miss this post

Quote from: ferryman on March 05, 2016, 08:09:19 PM
Somewhere there is an index of all statements made (including statements that don't appear on line) and that may include a record of a statement given by Mrs Smith.

I don't know, though ....

The only reason to think Mrs Smith made any statement is the comment by the Irish policeman that she didn't wish to make another one. She didn't attend when the other three made their first statements so it's unlikely she ever made one. Perhaps he just assumed she had.

Here is the link to the missing pages lists;

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MISSING_PAGES.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2016, 09:32:45 AM
I don't see any connection between what Kate said in a state of panic a few minutes after finding Madeleine had disappeared - and her ensuing thoughts when Madeleine wasn't found -  on what could have happened to her and why  - the following day.

Two completely separate and unconnected events IMO.

Of course she denies saying it. 'Someone' she said, not 'they'; easy to mistake the two words in the excitement I guess.

I wonder why her friends forgot to mention how they ran back and forth to the Tapas begging people to phone the police? I wonder why none of those at the Tapas mentioned this flow of desperately begging people? I wonder why they ignored them? So many things to wonder about in this case.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 10:18:15 AM
Of course she denies saying it. 'Someone' she said, not 'they'; easy to mistake the two words in the excitement I guess.

I wonder why her friends forgot to mention how they ran back and forth to the Tapas begging people to phone the police? I wonder why none of those at the Tapas mentioned this flow of desperately begging people? I wonder why they ignored them? So many things to wonder about in this case.
I wonder what Kate would stand to gain from deliberately lying about such a thing?  Perhaps she is guilty of hyperbole, perhaps she thought that's what her friends were doing when in reality they were simply mooching around outside gazing at the stars, maybe some random people actually were asked to call the police but being Portuguese speakers didn't understand what they were being asked.  Or maybe they understood but did nothing, and felt too guilty to admit doing nothing, etc etc etc.  Not that any of this matters a tiny jot but carry on worrying about it if you've nothing better to do.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2016, 10:25:07 AM
I wonder what Kate would stand to gain from deliberately lying about such a thing?  Perhaps she is guilty of hyperbole, perhaps she thought that's what her friends were doing when in reality they were simply mooching around outside gazing at the stars, maybe some random people actually were asked to call the police but being Portuguese speakers didn't understand what they were being asked.  Or maybe they understood but did nothing, and felt too guilty to admit doing nothing, etc etc etc.  Not that any of this matters a tiny jot but carry on worrying about it if you've nothing better to do.

What would Kate stand to gain from the alleged deception ? Perhaps to mitigate the impression that while a small child was missing the tapas bunch were more interested in saving their own backsides by writing timelines etc rather than actually doing anything proactive to find her ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2016, 10:31:39 AM
I wonder what Kate would stand to gain from deliberately lying about such a thing?  Perhaps she is guilty of hyperbole, perhaps she thought that's what her friends were doing when in reality they were simply mooching around outside gazing at the stars, maybe some random people actually were asked to call the police but being Portuguese speakers didn't understand what they were being asked.  Or maybe they understood but did nothing, and felt too guilty to admit doing nothing, etc etc etc.  Not that any of this matters a tiny jot but carry on worrying about it if you've nothing better to do.

Morning Alfred! There's nothing wrong with literary exaggeration, it makes a better story. The book isn't supposed to be a story though, it's meant to be an account of the truth.

It seems strange how interested some people are in discussing Martin Smith's alleged change of opinion but are completely disinterested when others in the case are shown to be departing from a true account of what was said and done.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 10:32:28 AM
What would Kate stand to gain from the alleged deception ? Perhaps to mitigate the impression that while a small child was missing the tapas bunch were more interested in saving their own backsides by writing timelines etc rather than actually doing anything proactive to find her ?
So is it your belief that when they all got back to the apartment 5a they all sat down and started writing a timeline?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 10:34:06 AM
Morning Alfred! There's nothing wrong with literary exaggeration, it makes a better story. The book isn't supposed to be a story though, it's meant to be an account of the truth.

It seems strange how interested some people are in discussing Martin Smith's alleged change of opinion but are completely disinterested when others in the case are shown to be departing from a true account of what was said and done.
I note you gave no time to consider any of the options I proffered apart from hyperbole, any reason for that?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 10:35:55 AM
Morning Alfred! There's nothing wrong with literary exaggeration, it makes a better story. The book isn't supposed to be a story though, it's meant to be an account of the truth.

It seems strange how interested some people are in discussing Martin Smith's alleged change of opinion but are completely disinterested when others in the case are shown to be departing from a true account of what was said and done.
Is it true to say that none of the McCann friends asked anyone outwith the group to call the police and if so how would you prove it?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2016, 10:57:14 AM
Is it true to say that none of the McCann friends asked anyone outwith the group to call the police and if so how would you prove it?

I'm sure you'll be able to prove they did by posting the numerous statements from waiters, nannies etc who mention the requests.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 11:27:10 AM
I'm sure you'll be able to prove they did by posting the numerous statements from waiters, nannies etc who mention the requests.
I'm not the one making a claim either way.  G-Unit (and you) are claiming that Kate McCann made this up, so over to you to prove it is a fiction. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 11:30:56 AM
Question 1) were there any other holidaymakers staying at the OC that evening who were out and about on the evening of 3rd May, either dining in the restaurant or sitting on their patios, or generally present in one way or another?
Question 2) if so can someone please direct me to their statements?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2016, 11:36:48 AM
I'm not the one making a claim either way.  G-Unit (and you) are claiming that Kate McCann made this up, so over to you to prove it is a fiction.

The fact that no one that was around at that time mentions this frantic activity by the McCanns and their friends kind of proves the point. A bit like Kate claiming she voiced her concerns about the twins unresponsive state to several police officers on the night of the third yet not one witness mentions it. Either the eye witnesses were all very absent-minded or all spoke a foreign language or Kate has simply 'misremembered'. What do you think the most likely reason is ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 12:06:41 PM
The fact that no one that was around at that time mentions this frantic activity by the McCanns and their friends kind of proves the point. A bit like Kate claiming she voiced her concerns about the twins unresponsive state to several police officers on the night of the third yet not one witness mentions it. Either the eye witnesses were all very absent-minded or all spoke a foreign language or Kate has simply 'misremembered'. What do you think the most likely reason is ?
I have no idea, and neither do you, though you might like to think you do.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 06, 2016, 12:07:35 PM
Question 1) were there any other holidaymakers staying at the OC that evening who were out and about on the evening of 3rd May, either dining in the restaurant or sitting on their patios, or generally present in one way or another?
Question 2) if so can someone please direct me to their statements?

IMO it's a mistake to assume that every single word spoken and that every move people made that night has been recorded in the witness statements or that if it hasn't been recorded then it didn't happen.   

IIRC Gerry was interviewed for around 10 or 11 hours but you can read his summarised statement in around 4/5 mins.   If it was a verbatim statement it would be pages and pages long.     It seems quite obvious to me that not  every word spoken during interviews was included in the summarised version. 

It's also a mistake to assume that everyone remembered in precise detail not only what THEY said and did that night but also what other people said and did.   

The whole idea is totally unrealistic IMO.

AIMO




Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 12:10:28 PM
I have started a new thread entitled "There was no frantic activity by the Tapas Group after the alarm was raised" - pending authorisation, it can hopefully be discussed there.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 12:10:33 PM
Is it true to say that none of the McCann friends asked anyone outwith the group to call the police and if so how would you prove it?

Mrs Fenn offered her phone to call the police but Gerry said they had been when they hadn't. This was at 10:30. Police call was 10:41.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 06, 2016, 12:13:31 PM
Mrs Fenn offered her phone to call the police but Gerry said they had been when they hadn't. This was at 10:30. Police call was 10:41.

Gerry was under the impression that the police had already been called at that stage - and was getting anxious because they hadn't arrived.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 12:20:29 PM
Gerry was under the impression that the police had already been called at that stage - and was getting anxious because they hadn't arrived.

The McCanns should have called instead of presuming it. They said we knew she had been abducted straight away but it takes 45 minutes to call the police. That doesn't add up. Deleting phone call history by the 4th doesn't either. You must think detectives are born yesterday to believe Carry On Madeleine. They should be able to rip that timeline apart by the time this case is over.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2016, 12:23:26 PM
Gerry was under the impression that the police had already been called at that stage - and was getting anxious because they hadn't arrived.

Then surely any help to get things moving would have been appreciated ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 06, 2016, 12:25:30 PM
The McCanns should have called instead of presuming it. They said we knew she had been abducted straight away but it takes 45 minutes to call the police. That doesn't add up. Deleting phone call history by the 4th doesn't either. You must think detectives are born yesterday to believe Carry On Madeleine. They should be able to rip that timeline apart by the time this case is over.

Any particular reason you think Mrs Fenn waited 45 mins before venturing onto her balcony to investigate the mass hysteria going on underneath her apartment?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 12:27:27 PM
Any particular reason you think Mrs Fenn waited 45 mins before venturing onto her balcony to investigate the mass hysteria going on underneath her apartment?
Because there was no mass hysteria apparently.  They all got back to the apartment and started planning the timeline according to Faithlilly.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 12:32:08 PM
Any particular reason you think Mrs Fenn waited 45 mins before venturing onto her balcony to investigate the mass hysteria going on underneath her apartment?

Mrs Fenn heard nothing until the end of News at 10 - Kate wailing outside. She came out and asked what is all this noise and Kate and Fiona told her to get lost. She then talked to Gerry and he said a little girl had been abducted. She offered her phone to call the police and he said it was done.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 06, 2016, 12:33:47 PM
Because there was no mass hysteria apparently.  They all got back to the apartment and started planning the timeline according to Faithlilly.

What - no fighting over the crayons?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 06, 2016, 12:35:59 PM
removed
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2016, 12:47:18 PM
Because there was no mass hysteria apparently.  They all got back to the apartment and started planning the timeline according to Faithlilly.

Or running about like headless chickens asking for the police to be called, a claim there is no evidence for. Perhaps if you concentrated on finding evidence for Kate's claims rather than picking holes in mine you may actually get somewhere.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 12:52:13 PM
Or running about like headless chickens asking for the police to be called, a claim there is no evidence for. Perhaps if you concentrated on finding evidence for Kate's claims rather than picking holes in mine you may actually get somewhere.
I'm not interested in getting anywhere in particular, picking holes in your daft statements is sufficient diversion for me today thanks. 8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2016, 12:59:50 PM
Mrs Fenn heard nothing until the end of News at 10 - Kate wailing outside. She came out and asked what is all this noise and Kate and Fiona told her to get lost. She then talked to Gerry and he said a little girl had been abducted. She offered her phone to call the police and he said it was done.

Are you saying that she didn't hear a rumpus outside until she'd finished watching the News at 10?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 06, 2016, 01:04:32 PM
The McCanns should have called instead of presuming it. They said we knew she had been abducted straight away but it takes 45 minutes to call the police. That doesn't add up. Deleting phone call history by the 4th doesn't either. You must think detectives are born yesterday to believe Carry On Madeleine. They should be able to rip that timeline apart by the time this case is over.

Isn't hindsight a wonderful thing?   

The very detectives whom you yourself state weren't born yesterday don't have a problem with the timelines.   That should tell you something.   Unless of course you believe there is a huge conspiratorial  bluff in progress and the PJ/ SY are suddenly going to pounce on the McCanns and arrest them.   If so - don't hold your breath.

   
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 01:07:02 PM
The McCanns should have called instead of presuming it. They said we knew she had been abducted straight away but it takes 45 minutes to call the police. That doesn't add up. Deleting phone call history by the 4th doesn't either. You must think detectives are born yesterday to believe Carry On Madeleine. They should be able to rip that timeline apart by the time this case is over.
What are they waiting for then?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 06, 2016, 01:17:32 PM
I'm not interested in getting anywhere in particular, picking holes in your daft statements is sufficient diversion for me today thanks. 8(0(*

So when do you start ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 01:35:44 PM
So when do you start ?
According to your last post I had already started.  I have also started a whole new thread to pick holes in your daft statement, and so far not a peep from you to defend your claim that there was no frantic activity from the Tapas group after the alarm was raised as they were all huddled together writing out the timeline. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 01:44:24 PM
Are you saying that she didn't hear a rumpus outside until she'd finished watching the News at 10?

That's what her statement says.

"During the day nothing unusual happened, until almost 22.30 when, being alone again, she heard the hysterical shouts from a female person, calling out "we have let her down" which she repeated several times, quite upset. Mrs Fenn then saw that it was the mother of little Madeleine who was shouting furiously. Upon leaning over the terrace, after having seen the mother, Mrs Fenn asked the father, Gerry, what was happening to which he replied that a small girl had been abducted. When asked, she replied that she did not leave her apartment, just spoke to Gerry from her balcony, which had a view over the terrace of the floor below. She found it strange that Gerry when said that a girl had been abducted, he did not mention that it was his daughter and that he did not mention any other scenarios. At that moment she offered Gerry help, saying that he could use her phone to contact the authorities, to which he replied that this had already been done. It was just after 22.30."
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 01:48:01 PM
Isn't hindsight a wonderful thing?   

The very detectives whom you yourself state weren't born yesterday don't have a problem with the timelines.   That should tell you something.   Unless of course you believe there is a huge conspiratorial  bluff in progress and the PJ/ SY are suddenly going to pounce on the McCanns and arrest them.   If so - don't hold your breath.

 

I can rip it apart so they will. SY have told you the timeline is crucial. If you don't know that by now that's your problem.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2016, 02:06:50 PM
That's what her statement says.

"During the day nothing unusual happened, until almost 22.30 when, being alone again, she heard the hysterical shouts from a female person, calling out "we have let her down" which she repeated several times, quite upset. Mrs Fenn then saw that it was the mother of little Madeleine who was shouting furiously. Upon leaning over the terrace, after having seen the mother, Mrs Fenn asked the father, Gerry, what was happening to which he replied that a small girl had been abducted. When asked, she replied that she did not leave her apartment, just spoke to Gerry from her balcony, which had a view over the terrace of the floor below. She found it strange that Gerry when said that a girl had been abducted, he did not mention that it was his daughter and that he did not mention any other scenarios. At that moment she offered Gerry help, saying that he could use her phone to contact the authorities, to which he replied that this had already been done. It was just after 22.30."

I don't see any mention of having watched the news in that statement.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 02:17:14 PM
"When asked, she replied that on 3rd May she did not hear any noise from the McCann apartment, not even the opening of doors. She also said that before hearing the shouts she was watching television, as she often stays up late."

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/PAMELA_FENN.htm

A friend of Mrs Fenn told The Daily Express last night:

"She remembers the times because she was talking to a friend back home on the phone and she was watching the news at 10.30pm.

"On the night Madeleine disappeared the first she knew of it was when there was a commotion downstairs.

"She looked over the balcony and saw the child's mother. She was in a state of panic. She was repeatedly saying 'We've let her down. We've let her down.'

"All the people in their group were running in and out of the apartment. She asked someone if she should call the police and was told it had already been done."

Widow with vital clues was never questioned Daily Express (no longer available online)

BRAVERY: Mrs Fenn challenged intruder

By David Pilditch in Praia da Luz
Saturday August 18,2007

http://www.mccannfiles.com/id331.html
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2016, 02:37:16 PM
"When asked, she replied that on 3rd May she did not hear any noise from the McCann apartment, not even the opening of doors. She also said that before hearing the shouts she was watching television, as she often stays up late."

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/PAMELA_FENN.htm

A friend of Mrs Fenn told The Daily Express last night:

"She remembers the times because she was talking to a friend back home on the phone and she was watching the news at 10.30pm.

"On the night Madeleine disappeared the first she knew of it was when there was a commotion downstairs.

"She looked over the balcony and saw the child's mother. She was in a state of panic. She was repeatedly saying 'We've let her down. We've let her down.'

"All the people in their group were running in and out of the apartment. She asked someone if she should call the police and was told it had already been done."

Widow with vital clues was never questioned Daily Express (no longer available online)

BRAVERY: Mrs Fenn challenged intruder

By David Pilditch in Praia da Luz
Saturday August 18,2007

http://www.mccannfiles.com/id331.html

She strenuously denied having talked to journalists.

Who was this "friend back home"?

Or was this the cousin of her hairdresser's shop assistant?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 06, 2016, 02:53:28 PM
She didn't talk to any journalists. It was a friend but the facts are correct.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 06, 2016, 03:22:04 PM
I wonder what Kate would stand to gain from deliberately lying about such a thing?  Perhaps she is guilty of hyperbole, perhaps she thought that's what her friends were doing when in reality they were simply mooching around outside gazing at the stars, maybe some random people actually were asked to call the police but being Portuguese speakers didn't understand what they were being asked.  Or maybe they understood but did nothing, and felt too guilty to admit doing nothing, etc etc etc. Not that any of this matters a tiny jot but carry on worrying about it if you've nothing better to do.

I quoted Kate McCann's account of what her friends did. There's not one person who agreed with her. You have made some suggestions as to why, but they're just excuses which you have made up as per usual. How do you expect me to answer excuses which you have made up? Make some up of my own? Try giving me some facts and I will be able to answer you.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2016, 03:41:54 PM
She didn't talk to any journalists. It was a friend but the facts are correct.

Which friend?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 06, 2016, 04:03:18 PM
She [Mrs Fenn] strenuously denied having talked to journalists.

Who was this "friend back home"?

Or was this the cousin of her hairdresser's shop assistant?

I think it's important to link in the hairdresser's shop assistant.

The sequence of event:

Mrs Fenn blabs to hairdresser.

Hairdresser blabs to the rest of the world.

Rest of the world descends on Mrs Fenn (eager for the follow-up story).

Mrs Fenn, aghast, and realising the (potential) implications of breaching Portuguese secrecy laws, clams up and denies saying anything.

No doubt stern words between and Mrs Fenn and said hairdresser (and Mrs Fenn probably took her custom elsewhere).

Something I hadn't realised until quite late on is that Mrs Fenn was interviewed by Joao Carlos, whom I've long regarded as one of the more honest PJ officers engaged in the shelved enquiry.   
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 06, 2016, 04:05:57 PM
She didn't talk to any journalists. It was a friend but the facts are correct.

For once, I agree with Pathfinder.

I think the facts (of Mrs Fenn's statement) probably are correct.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 06, 2016, 06:19:07 PM
I quoted Kate McCann's account of what her friends did. There's not one person who agreed with her. You have made some suggestions as to why, but they're just excuses which you have made up as per usual. How do you expect me to answer excuses which you have made up? Make some up of my own? Try giving me some facts and I will be able to answer you.
They were not excuses, they were suggestions including the suggestion that she had been given to hyperbole.  You seemed only to consider this option, how strange.

Anyway, Who disagreed with Kate then?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 06, 2016, 06:33:00 PM
I think it's important to link in the hairdresser's shop assistant.

The sequence of event:

Mrs Fenn blabs to hairdresser.

Hairdresser blabs to the rest of the world.

Rest of the world descends on Mrs Fenn (eager for the follow-up story).

Mrs Fenn, aghast, and realising the (potential) implications of breaching Portuguese secrecy laws, clams up and denies saying anything.

No doubt stern words between and Mrs Fenn and said hairdresser (and Mrs Fenn probably took her custom elsewhere).

Something I hadn't realised until quite late on is that Mrs Fenn was interviewed by Joao Carlos, whom I've long regarded as one of the more honest PJ officers engaged in the shelved enquiry.

I have no problem with João Carlos as such.

I do find it odd that no one in the PJ appears to have interviewed Mrs Fenn until late ish August, after she'd appeared in the media.

I have no reason to think that she blabbed personally to the media, but her hairdresser appears to have done (cf Chile TV programme).

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 06, 2016, 11:16:53 PM
The only reason to think Mrs Smith made any statement is the comment by the Irish policeman that she didn't wish to make another one. She didn't attend when the other three made their first statements so it's unlikely she ever made one. Perhaps he just assumed she had.

Here is the link to the missing pages lists;

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MISSING_PAGES.htm

Oh I see. I was aware of this , I just didnt link it to FMs post...which I wrongly thought was sme hdden list on the internet! My bad.

Well, alot of statements are not in the files that were taken by the Leicester Police, There were only the Smith statements in Ireland and you would  have thought all of them would be included...as only Mrs Smiths seems to be missing....who knows
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 03:59:06 AM
It's ridiculous to base an investigation on unenclosed carrying sightings.
Sit down for 10 minutes with a coffee, and ask yourself seriously - would any perp even mega low IQ be so utterly stupid?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2016, 07:32:54 AM
It's ridiculous to base an investigation on unenclosed carrying sightings.
Sit down for 10 minutes with a coffee, and ask yourself seriously - would any perp even mega low IQ be so utterly stupid?

Since you appear to be saying that an open carry is obviously innocent then it is the perfect way to do it when not innocent.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 08:10:33 AM
Since you appear to be saying that an open carry is obviously innocent then it is the perfect way to do it when not innocent.
It is far from perfect, especially if you're the father of the child to whom the body belongs, considering you will be plastered on international news bulletins within 24 hours.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 09:50:43 AM
It is far from perfect, especially if you're the father of the child to whom the body belongs, considering you will be plastered on international news bulletins within 24 hours.

So there was TWO innocent fathers, all most identical in appearance, carrying a child around PDL who looked very similar to Madeleine that night. Is that what you think ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:16:38 AM
A father who looked similar to Madeleine?  Now there's a novelty .....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 07, 2016, 10:19:37 AM
So there was TWO innocent fathers, all most identical in appearance, carrying a child around PDL who looked very similar to Madeleine that night. Is that what you think ?

Oh no! not Whicker Island again.


Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he [Mr Smith] added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”


http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 10:28:52 AM
So there was TWO innocent fathers, all most identical in appearance, carrying a child around PDL who looked very similar to Madeleine that night. Is that what you think ?
There was a night crèche wasn't there?  How many kids were in the night crèche that night?  Say there were 6 (you probably know the exact number, I don't not having yet sat my McCann A-Level).  Say half of the 6 were girls.  That's 3 young girls asleep in a night crèche.  Given that their parents are likely to be holiday makers staying in PdL without cars, then that's 3 girls that need to be collected and taken back to their holiday apartments.  This would mean carrying them.  Dads rather than mums tend to do the carrying in such circumstances.  That means there would have been not 2 but 3 young girls being carried home that evening by their dads potentially, maybe more if there were more girls sleeping in the night crèche that night.  PJs for young girls tend to be pink.  What more can I say?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:31:54 AM
From the article:

He [Martin Smith] helped compile e-fits a year later

That would be May 2008.

After (originally) refusing to produce an efit at the end of January 2008.

So Martin Smith became convinced of his error (in assuming the man was Gerry) and agreed to produce the efit sooner than I thought.

Anyone who thinks differently (about Martin Smith changing his mind) still has to answer the question.

Why would Martin Smith produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 10:36:27 AM
Oh no! not Whicker Island again.


Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he [Mr Smith] added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”


http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

I posted this some time back Alice. Kind of knocks the 'Smith changed his opinion' school of thought on the head.......or should do !
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:39:03 AM
I posted this some time back Alice. Kind of knocks the 'Smith changed his opinion' school of thought on the head.......or should do !

Dream on.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 10:42:35 AM
There was a night crèche wasn't there?  How many kids were in the night crèche that night?  Say there were 6 (you probably know the exact number, I don't not having yet sat my McCann A-Level).  Say half of the 6 were girls.  That's 3 young girls asleep in a night crèche.  Given that their parents are likely to be holiday makers staying in PdL without cars, then that's 3 girls that need to be collected and taken back to their holiday apartments.  This would mean carrying them.  Dads rather than mums tend to do the carrying in such circumstances.  That means there would have been not 2 but 3 young girls being carried home that evening by their dads potentially, maybe more if there were more girls sleeping in the night crèche that night.  PJs for young girls tend to be pink.  What more can I say?

So two almost identically dressed fathers were carrying two almost identical looking young girls, both with their feet uncovered, around PDL that night. Two fathers without a buggy. Do you really believe that ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 07, 2016, 10:46:03 AM
There was a night crèche wasn't there?  How many kids were in the night crèche that night?  Say there were 6 (you probably know the exact number, I don't not having yet sat my McCann A-Level).  Say half of the 6 were girls.  That's 3 young girls asleep in a night crèche.  Given that their parents are likely to be holiday makers staying in PdL without cars, then that's 3 girls that need to be collected and taken back to their holiday apartments.  This would mean carrying them.  Dads rather than mums tend to do the carrying in such circumstances.  That means there would have been not 2 but 3 young girls being carried home that evening by their dads potentially, maybe more if there were more girls sleeping in the night crèche that night.  PJs for young girls tend to be pink.  What more can I say?

SY would have investigated every parent at the creche. Not one matches to Smithman.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 10:48:17 AM
Dream on.

Not sure why you have responded in that way. Alice has posted a direct quote, which you like, stating that Martin Smith stands behind the evidence he gave in 2007. Surely that puts the thread to bed ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 07, 2016, 10:54:36 AM
Oh no! not Whicker Island again.


Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he [Mr Smith] added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”


http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

"...Everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time."

He never told the media about his Gerry-doubt, did he? If not, when is "at the time"? Has he spoken to the media since the not-Murat episode?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:55:55 AM
Not sure why you have responded in that way. Alice has posted a direct quote, which you like, stating that Martin Smith stands behind the evidence he gave in 2007. Surely that puts the thread to bed ?

You don't think Martin Smith would be mindful of how his change of mind might be mangled and misrepresented if he publicly owned (that he had changed his mind)?

And sharp, Carana.  Thank you.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:59:45 AM
The further point is that if we assume Martin Smith is still of the same view (that the man he and his family was Gerry) then Martin Smith and his wife are now at loggerheads, as are Martin Smith and his children, none of whom believed the man was Gerry ....

All that seems highly implausible (to me) ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 07, 2016, 11:04:41 AM
"...Everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time."

He never told the media about his Gerry-doubt, did he? If not, when is "at the time"? Has he spoken to the media since the not-Murat episode?

Who knows?
If however you and ferryman wish to believe Mr Smith changed his mind then so be it. The accent on the "believe" with no real evidence on which to hang your beliefs.............unless of course you have had sight of a revised statement to the police in which case do please share.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 07, 2016, 11:06:07 AM
"...Everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time."

He never told the media about his Gerry-doubt, did he? If not, when is "at the time"? Has he spoken to the media since the not-Murat episode?

Here are a couple of quotes regarding Mrs Smith in the media:

Mary, 59, said: "We saw a man carrying a blonde child. It was just such a normal thing to see in a holiday resort — we didn't think anything of it at the time."

Martin said: "The one thing we noted afterwards was that he gave us no greeting.
 
"My wife Mary remembered afterwards that she asked him, 'Oh, is she asleep?' But he never acknowledged her one way or another.
 
"He just put his head down and averted his eyes. This is very unusual in a tourist town at such a quiet time of the year."
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 11:11:44 AM
"...Everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time."

He never told the media about his Gerry-doubt, did he? If not, when is "at the time"? Has he spoken to the media since the not-Murat episode?

I think the 'said to the police' may be more pertinent, don't you ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:13:50 AM
I think the 'said to the police' may be more pertinent, don't you ?

Martin Smith evidently doesn't.

What does it matter what anyone else thinks?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 11:15:52 AM
Martin Smith evidently doesn't.

What does it matter what anyone else thinks?

Doesn't he ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 07, 2016, 11:19:36 AM
"Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add." "
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 11:21:39 AM
"Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add." "

Notice the 'we'.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 07, 2016, 11:23:01 AM
Notice the 'we'.

Indeed. A point some would rather ignore, or alter.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 11:37:35 AM
So two almost identically dressed fathers were carrying two almost identical looking young girls, both with their feet uncovered, around PDL that night. Two fathers without a buggy. Do you really believe that ?
As one of these fathers has been positively ID'ed and eliminated then the answer must be either that there was another similar looking father, or that the same father decided to take his child for an evening walk 45 minute later or the Smiths had a mass hallucination.  What explanation do you have? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 11:38:37 AM
SY would have investigated every parent at the creche. Not one matches to Smithman.
You know for a fact that they have investigated every parent at the crèche and been able to eliminate them all do you?  Did they inform you of this fact?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:45:03 AM
Doesn't he ?

If Martin Smith is loosely interpreting private investigators as the police (highly plausible), then what he told them (that he no longer believes he saw Gerry) hasn't changed.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 07, 2016, 11:46:25 AM
You know for a fact that they have investigated every parent at the crèche and been able to eliminate them all do you?  Did they inform you of this fact?

It's a no brainer. CW even said how many parents were there that night. That came from SY.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 11:51:03 AM
As one of these fathers has been positively ID'ed and eliminated then the answer must be either that there was another similar looking father, or that the same father decided to take his child for an evening walk 45 minute later or the Smiths had a mass hallucination.  What explanation do you have?

Similar looking father. Really ?
Same father who didn't then eliminate himself again from the enquiry. Really ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 11:53:40 AM
If Martin Smith is loosely interpreting private investigators as the police (highly plausible), then what he told them (that he no longer believes he saw Gerry) hasn't changed.

I think you're now clutching at straws ferryman.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 12:06:08 PM
Similar looking father. Really ?
Same father who didn't then eliminate himself again from the enquiry. Really ?
Again, what explanation do you have?  You seem to think it's highly plausible that a father should carry the uncovered corpse of his dead child through a holiday town past holidaymakers in order to find a suitable bin to throw it in, so clearly your threshold of credibility is quite high. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 12:10:54 PM
I think you're now clutching at straws ferryman.

The straw-clutching is by those who think Martin Smith (or, for that matter, his wife, Mary) would have produced efits of a man either thought was Gerry (and Mrs Smith is on record, since publication of the files) as saying that they stand ready to help the McCanns in any way they can.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 12:27:14 PM
Again, what explanation do you have?  You seem to think it's highly plausible that a father should carry the uncovered corpse of his dead child through a holiday town past holidaymakers in order to find a suitable bin to throw it in, so clearly your threshold of credibility is quite high.

This is not about me. You have stated two scenarios which are implausible by any stretch of the imagination.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 12:28:03 PM
This is not about me. You have stated two scenarios which are implausible by any stretch of the imagination.
So give me a black mark and sit me in the corner. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 12:32:12 PM
The straw-clutching is by those who think Martin Smith (or, for that matter, his wife, Mary) would have produced efits of a man either thought was Gerry (and Mrs Smith is on record, since publication of the files) as saying that they stand ready to help the McCanns in any way they can.

And Martin Smith is on record as saying the evidence given to the police in 2007 still stands. Sooooo where do we go from here ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 12:40:20 PM
Faithlilly's explanation.

The Met think it was Gerry wot dunnit.  They think JT lied about her sighting.  They think Gerry got her to say she saw a man carrying a child whilst at the same time as she saw Gerry talking to Jez Wilkins, a man that was dressed similar to him, reason being Gerry knew he'd been spotted by the Smiths carrying the uncovered corpse of his daughter through the streets of PdL and just prior to the alarm being raised re her disappearance and moments before he dumped the child's body in a bin, hoping it would soon be discovered and the sedatives in it blamed on an abductor.  Sadly for Gerry it all went horribly wrong when the bin collectors took the body away and dumped it in landfill never to be found again.  No one knows why JT would agree to take part in such an awful lie but hey ho, perhaps she had a crush on Gerry.  He later dobbed her right in it by claiming he never saw her walking past, but then that had something to do with possibly being observed by someone else on a balcony.  You never can be too sure who's watching and far better to dob your only alibi in it than risk being rumbled by an eagle eyed holiday maker who may or may not exist.

So anyway, in order to completely freak out JT and the McCanns, the Met invented Crecheman and intreoduced him to the nation on the Crimewatch programme.  Unfortunately it didn't freak them out enough and neither has cracked so far.  Never mind, the Met want us to look for Smithman (them knowing all along it's Gerry) and that's why they issued a couple of not-very-good e-fits of Gerry McCann, so the next time you see Gerry at the supermarket or at the hospital be sure to call Operation Grange and report that you have found Smithman. 

It all makes perfect sense dunnit?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 12:58:17 PM
And Martin Smith is on record as saying the evidence given to the police in 2007 still stands. Sooooo where do we go from here ?

Educate yourself on what Martin Smith is on record as saying, and what he is not:

Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he [Martin Smith] added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”


At the time covers the period 2008.

ETA: We know that at the end of January 2008 he hadn't produced an efit, because he said (in his statement to Gardia police at that date) that he hadn't ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 01:11:57 PM
Educate yourself on what Martin Smith is on record as saying, and what he is not:

Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he [Martin Smith] added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”


At the time covers the period 2008.

ETA: We know that at the end of January 2008 he hadn't produced an efit, because he said (in his statement to Gardia police at that date) that he hadn't ....

Martin Smith didn't speak to the police after his statement to the Irish police.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 01:36:45 PM
Martin Smith didn't speak to the police after his statement to the Irish police.

So he was interpreting private investigators as police.

And your point is? ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 01:41:22 PM
So he was interpreting private investigators as police.

And your point is? ....

Was he ? Perhaps you can supply an example where he has used the word police when actually talking about the McCann's PIs ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 01:49:49 PM
Was he ? Perhaps you can supply an example where he has used the word police when actually talking about the McCann's PIs ?

Perhaps you can provide an example of where he talks about the McCanns' PIs?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 07, 2016, 01:55:01 PM
Perhaps you can provide an example of where he talks about the McCanns' PIs?

What about Kennedy ? 

He was interfering with possibly a key witness. 8)-)))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 01:57:47 PM
Perhaps you can provide an example of where he talks about the McCanns' PIs?

I'm no making the claim. You claimed the Smiths had used the word 'police' to describe the McCann's PIs. To know that you'd have to have an example of them doing it previously. So on you go.......!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 07, 2016, 02:00:51 PM
"...Everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time."

He never told the media about his Gerry-doubt, did he? If not, when is "at the time"? Has he spoken to the media since the not-Murat episode?

Not only did he not speak to the media ... he took legal action against newspaper intrusion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 02:01:41 PM
I'm no making the claim. You claimed the Smiths had used the word 'police' to describe the McCann's PIs. To know that you'd have to have an example of them doing it previously. So on you go.......!

The time covers the period 2008.

At the end of January 2008 Martin Smith still hadn't produced an efit.

What changed (after the end of January 2008) to prompt him to do so?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 02:06:11 PM
The time covers the period 2008.

At the end of January 2008 Martin Smith still hadn't produced an efit.

What changed (after the end of January 2008) to prompt him to do so?

Do you have an example of the Smiths using the word 'police' to mean the McCann's PIs ferryman ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 02:07:19 PM
Do you have an example of the Smiths using the word 'police' to mean the McCann's PIs ferryman ?

Do you have an example of Mr Smith referring to PIs?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 02:18:45 PM
Do you have an example of Mr Smith referring to PIs?

I am not claiming he did. You are making the claim that he used the word police instead of private investigator. Now unless you are Mr Smith the only way you could know he did that was by seeing him do it in the past. Now do you have such an example ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 02:23:06 PM
I am not claiming he did. You are making the claim that he used the word police instead of private investigator. Now unless you are Mr Smith the only way you could know he did that was by seeing him do it in the past. Now do you have such an example ?

So you agree with me that Martin Smith might well have loosely referred to private investigators as 'police'.  That's good.

Why would Martin Smith have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 02:25:30 PM
So you agree with me that Martin Smith might well have loosely referred to private investigators as 'police'.  That's good.

Why would Martin Smith have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry.

No I don't. I have never read an article where he has used the word police instead of PI so have no basis to make that claim. You, it seems, have so let's be having it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 02:29:01 PM
No I don't. I have never read an article where he has used the word police instead of PI so have no basis to make that claim. You, it seems, have so let's be having it.

So you still can't provide a plausible explanation of why (after the end of January 2008, when was asked to provide an efit, but refused) he changed his mind and decided, after all, to produce an efit?

Or why he would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 02:36:11 PM
Since you appear to be saying that an open carry is obviously innocent then it is the perfect way to do it when not innocent.
Do any solved Met cases support your perfect way theory Slarti?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 03:47:41 PM
So you still can't provide a plausible explanation of why (after the end of January 2008, when was asked to provide an efit, but refused) he changed his mind and decided, after all, to produce an efit?

Or why he would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry?

You made a claim ferryman, a claim you have yet to provide one scintilla of proof for. Can you provide proof ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: John on March 07, 2016, 03:55:10 PM
I don't believe Martin Smith has changed his mind in respect of what he may or may not have seen the night Madeleine disappeared.  My own view is the poor man has been criticised and castigated so much he's afraid to say anything anymore.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 04:00:49 PM
I don't believe Martin Smith has changed his mind in respect of what he may or may not have seen the night Madeleine disappeared.  My own view is the poor man has been criticised and castigated so much he's afraid to say anything anymore.
Bless him.  If he's afraid to speak, just imagine how courageous the McCanns must be for continuing to keep their daughter's disappearance in the spotlight despite having being constantly and viciously lambasted for it for the last 9 years.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2016, 04:02:06 PM
Do any solved Met cases support your perfect way theory Slarti?

No idea. It's called hidden in plain sight.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: John on March 07, 2016, 04:04:57 PM
Bless him.  If he's afraid to speak, just imagine how courageous the McCanns must be for continuing to keep their daughter's disappearance in the spotlight despite having being constantly and viciously lambasted for it for the last 9 years.

The big difference being he was never a suspect?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 04:06:08 PM
The big difference being he was never a suspect?
so what?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
No idea. It's called hidden in plain sight.
So if you needed to dispose of your own child's body in order to save your skin you think the best course of action would be to walk through town carrying it uncovered, that way no one would know it was you who dunnit?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 04:13:55 PM
The big difference being he was never a suspect?

And I believe the fact that they went out as a family means they still have all their children.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 04:23:53 PM
And I believe the fact that they went out as a family means they still have all their children.
Going out together as a family doesn't guarantee that one of your children won't come to harm in some way.  Just saying like, but don't let me stop you from using yet another golden opportunity to twist the knife. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 07, 2016, 04:51:25 PM
The distinct impression given over the years is that representatives of the mccanns have been harassing the Smith family.

Now if they have nothing to fear, why did they bother ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 04:53:58 PM
Going out together as a family doesn't guarantee that one of your children won't come to harm in some way.  Just saying like, but don't let me stop you from using yet another golden opportunity to twist the knife.

It doesn't guarantee it but it certainly makes it less likely.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 05:18:37 PM
No idea. It's called hidden in plain sight.
The Met have solved many transportations by pedestrians Slarti and 0% of them used that method.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: John on March 07, 2016, 05:27:33 PM
The distinct impression given over the years is that representatives of the mccanns have been harassing the Smith family.

Now if they have nothing to fear, why did they bother ?

I have no doubt that Martin Smith came forward and said what he did out of a moral duty.  He did what he thought was the right thing at the time.  In hindsight however and armed with the facts of the case as now exist in the public domain he would be entitled to revoke his original comments should he now choose to do so.  The strange thing though is, why doesn't he?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 05:31:15 PM
I have no doubt that Martin Smith came forward and said what he did out of a moral duty.  He did what he thought was the right thing at the time.  In hindsight however and armed with the facts of the case as now exist in the public domain he would be entitled to revoke his original comments should he now choose to do so.  The strange thing though is, why doesn't he?
What do you suggest he does?  Hold a press conference to say he changed his mind?  Why would he do that?  It just makes him look foolish. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 05:49:49 PM
1) It was an unfortunate fluke that Gerry was spotted by the Smiths. As he said himself he had not seen anyone while checking any other evening. Any plan to negate the sighting was constructed between the sighting and the arrival of the police.
2) Gerry's alibi was that he was in the same place as Tanner's sighting ( who of course he relentlessly pushed as being the abductor). Link, as the McCanns attempted to do, the Tanner and Smith sighting and Gerry couldn't be the man seen by the Smiths.
3) Until we know exactly what happened that night we can't know how much Tanner knew before she gave details of her 'sighting' or why she did it.
4) We have no idea whether Tanner has 'cracked'.
1) why would you describe the Smithman sighting as "a fluke"?  If you're walking through a holiday resort whilst all the bars and restaurants are still open then it can hardly be called a fluke if you pass at least one person in the street, more like a cast-iron certainty.  I'd be interested in why you think Gerry asked Jane Tanner to lie for him, and not someone he was closer to - any ideas?  What opportunity did the two of them have to be alone together that evening in order to hatch the cunning plan?
2)  Gerry's relentless pushing of his alibi is somewhat negated by his claim not to have seen JT as she walked by, thus throwing into complete doubt the veracity of her alibi in the first place.  Hardly sensible is it?
3) Meh
4) So you think it's possible JT has "cracked"?  I would have thought that would have resulted in an arrest of Gerry McCann by now wouldn't you? Why do you think this hasn't happened?  Are they tick-tocking and catching the monkey softly as usual?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 07, 2016, 06:12:17 PM
1) why would you describe the Smithman sighting as "a fluke"?  If you're walking through a holiday resort whilst all the bars and restaurants are still open then it can hardly be called a fluke if you pass at least one person in the street, more like a cast-iron certainty.  I'd be interested in why you think Gerry asked Jane Tanner to lie for him, and not someone he was closer to - any ideas?  What opportunity did the two of them have to be alone together that evening in order to hatch the cunning plan?
2)  Gerry's relentless pushing of his alibi is somewhat negated by his claim not to have seen JT as she walked by, thus throwing into complete doubt the veracity of her alibi in the first place.  Hardly sensible is it?
3) Meh
4) So you think it's possible JT has "cracked"?  I would have thought that would have resulted in an arrest of Gerry McCann by now wouldn't you? Why do you think this hasn't happened?  Are they tick-tocking and catching the monkey softly as usual?


If they'd wanted their friends to collude with them in this heinous crime - then surely it would have been sensible to ask one or more of them to say they saw the window and shutters open.    That scenario being the vital part of their cunning plan to convince the PJ that an intruder had broken into that bedroom.

I can't believe they were all so thick they could only come up with 'plans' which the average 10 year old would have pulled to pieces in an instant.

AIMO
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 06:18:53 PM
Come to think of it, if JT had cracked and confessed to inventing the man she claimed to have seen I would have thought she would be facing prosecution for wasting police time at the very least. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 07, 2016, 06:29:09 PM
Come to think of it, if JT had cracked and confessed to inventing the man she claimed to have seen I would have thought she would be facing prosecution for wasting police time at the very least.

But only if the Portuguese judiciary decided to press charges.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 06:33:05 PM
But only if the Portuguese judiciary decided to press charges.
Well d'uh.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 07, 2016, 06:33:55 PM
The Met have solved many transportations by pedestrians Slarti and 0% of them used that method.

How many in seaside resorts?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 07, 2016, 07:04:27 PM
The Met have solved many transportations by pedestrians Slarti and 0% of them used that method.

How many included abductions by family away on holiday with no transport?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 07:12:53 PM
Does anyone know when the Smith sighting was first reported in the media?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 07, 2016, 07:23:29 PM
Does anyone know when the Smith sighting was first reported in the media?

http://www.mccannfiles.com/id162.html
Local family may have seen missing Maddy, 06 June 2007
    
Local family may have seen missing Maddy Drogheda Independent

By Angela McCormick
Wednesday June 06 2007
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 07, 2016, 07:26:59 PM
The family declined to give any details to the Drogheda Independent.

6 June 2007
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 07, 2016, 07:33:37 PM
Well d'uh.

I'll leave you to work that out for yourself Homer or are you the one with the little yellow head like a paper bag?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 08:54:51 PM
You made a claim ferryman, a claim you have yet to provide one scintilla of proof for. Can you provide proof ?

Your inability (or, more likely, refusal) to accept the obvious and logical conclusion that Martin Smith would not produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry (and neither his wife) is your problem, not mine.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 09:00:42 PM
I'll leave you to work that out for yourself Homer or are you the one with the little yellow head like a paper bag?
If I were Homer I would have written d'oh! but as I'm not I didn't, and I have worked it out, thanks.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 09:09:48 PM
http://www.mccannfiles.com/id162.html
Local family may have seen missing Maddy, 06 June 2007
    
Local family may have seen missing Maddy Drogheda Independent

By Angela McCormick
Wednesday June 06 2007

Not a PJ leak for a change then.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 07, 2016, 09:21:02 PM
Not a PJ leak for a change then.

I wouldn't bank on it.
How did the reporter know the Smiths had given statements to the Portuguese police? According to Amaral. the 3 family members  were secretly flown over.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 09:45:26 PM
Your inability (or, more likely, refusal) to accept the obvious and logical conclusion that Martin Smith would not produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry (and neither his wife) is your problem, not mine.

Do you understand the process of producing an e-fit? The features are chosen (eyes, hair, ears, nose, mouth) from templates and then assembled into a complete face. So the witness may not see the whole face until the end of the process.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 09:48:47 PM
Do you understand the process of producing an e-fit? The features are chosen (eyes, hair, ears, nose, mouth) from templates and then assembled into a complete face. So the witness may not see the whole face until the end of the process.

What does that have to do with the question of whether Martin Smith has changed his opinion?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 10:03:17 PM
What does that have to do with the question of whether Martin Smith has changed his opinion?

You said he wouldn't produce an e-fit of Gerry McCann, but it may not have looked like that until it was finished. Think of it as a jigsaw without a picture to work from, you see the complete picture only at the end.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 10:04:57 PM
How many in seaside resorts?

The Met solved a case of illicit transportation by a pedestrian in Brighton is that a seaside resort?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 07, 2016, 10:11:59 PM
If I were Homer I would have written d'oh! but as I'm not I didn't, and I have worked it out, thanks.

Well I did have you down being more sort of I.R.  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 10:15:30 PM
Your inability (or, more likely, refusal) to accept the obvious and logical conclusion that Martin Smith would not produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry (and neither his wife) is your problem, not mine.
I agree with Ferryman, the 2 efits are not by M and M Smith
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:18:35 PM
You said he wouldn't produce an e-fit of Gerry McCann, but it may not have looked like that until it was finished. Think of it as a jigsaw without a picture to work from, you see the complete picture only at the end.

Martin Smith (initially) formed an impression that he may have seen Gerry long before efits were even entertained.

Then he was approached by Brian Kennedy (and invited to produce an efit) but refused (because he believed he had seen Gerry).

The only, conceivable, reason why he (then) changed his mind (and agreed to produce an efit) is because events (and the course of the enquiry, which he no doubt followed closely) persuaded him he was mistaken.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 07, 2016, 10:20:36 PM
Well I did have you down being more sort of I.R.  8(0(*
if that 's meant to be a put down I'm afraid I'm too dumb to get it, soz la!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:22:02 PM
I agree with Ferryman, the 2 efits are not by M and M Smith

We are not quite in agreement, because I think they did produce the efits after (both) being persuaded that they were mistaken (in their initial impressions!) that the man might be Gerry; and with the intention of assisting efforts to establish the identity of the man the Smiths all saw ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 10:24:46 PM
We are not quite in agreement, because I think they did produce the efits after (both) being persuaded that they were mistaken (in their initial impressions!) that the man might be Gerry; and with the intention of assisting efforts to establish the identity of the man the Smiths all saw ....
Ok Ferryman I understand now.
Do you think both efits are of the same man?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 10:26:31 PM
We are not quite in agreement, because I think they did produce the efits after (both) being persuaded that they were mistaken (in their initial impressions!) that the man might be Gerry; and with the intention of assisting efforts to establish the identity of the man the Smiths all saw ....

Who 'persuaded' them?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 07, 2016, 10:29:23 PM
Ok Ferryman I understand now.
Do you think both efits are of the same man?



(http://img.terra.com.br/i/2007/09/09/591486-2065-it2.jpg)


            Just a thought.

Martin Smith categorically  exonerated Robert Murat as the carrier of the child he and his family had passed in the street and was able to do so despite having only a slight acquaintance.

**snip
— States that it is not possible for him to recognise the individual in person or by photograph.
— Adds that in May and August of 2006, he saw ROBERT MURAT in Praia da Luz bars. On one of these occasions, the first, he was inebriated and spoke to everyone. He did not wear glasses at that time. He also states that the individual who carried the child was not ROBERT. He would have recognised him immediately.

PJ Files

From May to September of 2007 he was exposed to blanket coverage of the McCann family in video footage and still images in print media.

Then Shock Horror! Madeleine's parents are made arguidos.

Is there any wonder that on seeing Madeleine's father carrying Sean his subconscious went into overdrive.  Exactly the same phenomenon happened with Mr McCluskey, who no doubt discovered his error when the files were released. 

Perhaps it just took Mr Smith a little longer to work it out.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:33:47 PM
Ok Ferryman I understand now.
Do you think both efits are of the same man?

I think they are of the same man, but produced from human recollection of a face, and human recollections and perceptions, one person from another, of identical events or identical images, will always be markedly different (the necessary limitation of human recollection of anything, from an image to a sequence of events).

That is why (for example) accounts (of the identical sequence of events) of evening May 3rd will differ from person to another.

It has nothing to do with deceit; all to do with fallible memory-recall.

I think the fundamental point remains that Martin Smith would not have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 07, 2016, 10:34:57 PM
If MS knew he didn't have a beard, moustache or glasses then of course he saw his face in the dark.

"Regarding the description of the individual who carried the child he states that: he was Caucasian, around 175 to 180m in height. He appeared to be about 35/40 years old. He had an average build, a bit on the thin side. His hair was short, in a basic male cut, brown in colour. He cannot state if it was dark or lighter in tone. He did not wear glasses and had no beard or moustache. He did not notice any other relevant details partly due to the fact that the lighting was not very good."
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:35:47 PM
Who 'persuaded' them?

Who?

Revelation of the facts of the case, and the utter absurdity of assumption of McCann-guilt (especially based on the reactions of the dogs).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 10:46:46 PM
Who?

Revelation of the facts of the case, and the utter absurdity of assumption of McCann-guilt (especially based on the reactions of the dogs).

When were the e -fits produced and by whom?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:48:41 PM
When were the e -fits produced and by whom?

By the Smiths

After the end of January 2008.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 10:54:57 PM
By the Smiths

After the end of January 2008.

The Smiths and who else? Who produced the e-fits from their descriptions?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 10:55:53 PM
The Smiths and who else? Who produced the e-fits from their descriptions?

The private investigators.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 10:56:48 PM
By the Smiths

After the end of January 2008.
Why were the 2 efits produced by 2 different technologies?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:02:11 PM
Why were the 2 efits produced by 2 different technologies?

Where do you get the information about technologies from?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 07, 2016, 11:07:21 PM
Why were the 2 efits produced by 2 different technologies?

Maybe the PI's used EvoFIT to produce one - it was a new technology being introduced in 2008.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:09:20 PM
Where does information come about what technology was used?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 11:12:18 PM
Where does information come about what technology was used?
From looking closely at the 2 efits
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:19:56 PM
From looking closely at the 2 efits

Why does the technology used have a bearing on whether Martin Smith changed his mind (about the man being Gerry, or not being Gerry)?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 07, 2016, 11:26:16 PM
Why does the technology used have a bearing on whether Martin Smith changed his mind (about the man being Gerry, or not being Gerry)?
2 diferent efit technologies means 2 efits done at different times probably by different PI subcontractors so it is unlikely they done by M and M Smith because then they would be same technology
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:29:13 PM
So you agree, then, that Martin Smith almost certainly no longer believes he saw Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 07, 2016, 11:39:50 PM
So you agree, then, that Martin Smith almost certainly no longer believes he saw Gerry?

You have still to provide a previous example of where Martin Smith has used the term police to mean PIs.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:40:49 PM
You have still to provide a previous example of where Martin Smith has used the term police to mean PIs.

Don't need to.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 07, 2016, 11:46:15 PM
In January 2008 he was 60-80% certain that he saw Gerry McCann. In late 2013 he said nothing had changed except the Tanner sighting had been eliminated. The e-fits were produced with the help of a team of investigators who were not convinced by the Tanner sighting and who thought there were inconsistencies in the group's statements. That may be why Mr Smith cooperated with them but not with Brian Kennedy. The McCanns threatened those investigators with legal action if they disclosed the e-fits and their report. There is no proof he changed his mind about who he saw, just wishful thinking by some people.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 07, 2016, 11:53:44 PM
In January 2008 he was 60-80% certain that he saw Gerry McCann. In late 2013 he said nothing had changed except the Tanner sighting had been eliminated. The e-fits were produced with the help of a team of investigators who were not convinced by the Tanner sighting and who thought there were inconsistencies in the group's statements. That may be why Mr Smith cooperated with them but not with Brian Kennedy. The McCanns threatened those investigators with legal action if they disclosed the e-fits and their report. There is no proof he changed his mind about who he saw, just wishful thinking by some people.

A simple question.

Why would Martin Smith (or his wife, on record verbatim as saying she no longer believes the man the family saw that night was Gerry) produce efits (by whatever technology) of a man they believed was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 08, 2016, 01:24:46 AM
A simple question.

Why would Martin Smith (or his wife, on record verbatim as saying she no longer believes the man the family saw that night was Gerry) produce efits (by whatever technology) of a man they believed was Gerry?
MS said in press early 2008 he had no contact with investigating police since May 2007. But in the files is proof that he had contacted Gardai and LP in Sept 2007 and the PJ phoned him in late Sept 2007 and he agreed to fly to Portugal. This is proof that witnesses keep secret their real communications with police Ferryman.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 08, 2016, 01:45:30 AM
MS said in press early 2008 he had no contact with investigating police since May 2007. But in the files is proof that he had contacted Gardai and LP in Sept 2007 and the PJ phoned him in late Sept 2007 and he agreed to fly to Portugal. This is proof that witnesses keep secret their real communications with police Ferryman.

What Ferryman is trying to say is - why would you need to draw an efit of a man you say is THE man in the video clip?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 08, 2016, 01:58:48 AM
What Ferryman is trying to say is - why would you need to draw an efit of a man you say is THE man in the video clip?
A agree and I don't think he did either of the efits. For example the 2 efits could be by the eldest two children.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 08, 2016, 02:28:39 AM
A agree and I don't think he did either of the efits. For example the 2 efits could be by the eldest two children.

I'm not so sure about that. MS was the one who was pressing to identify the man as GM....and MS was the only one Amaral wanted to recall to Portugal.
My gut feeling is, had Amaral remained in charge, MS would have altered the time of his sighting to well past 10pm.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/article-2034661/EvoFIT-technology-revolutionising-way-police-catch-criminals.html
I scored a sad 0/10 on the famous faces.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 08, 2016, 02:52:38 AM
I'm not so sure about that. MS was the one who was pressing to identify the man as GM....and MS was the only one Amaral wanted to recall to Portugal.
My gut feeling is, had Amaral remained in charge, MS would have altered the time of his sighting to well past 10pm.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/article-2034661/EvoFIT-technology-revolutionising-way-police-catch-criminals.html
I scored a sad 0/10 on the famous faces.
That link was excellent on so many counts.  Many thanks!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 08, 2016, 07:35:36 AM
A simple question.

Why would Martin Smith (or his wife, on record verbatim as saying she no longer believes the man the family saw that night was Gerry) produce efits (by whatever technology) of a man they believed was Gerry?

Why do you perpetuate the lie that Mr. Smith has changed his mind, when there is no verified statement from him that he has ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2016, 07:46:45 AM
Why do you perpetuate the lie that Mr. Smith has changed his mind, when there is no verified statement from him that he has ?

smith was never sure in the first place and didn't see the mans face.....the important thing is it wasn't Gerry he saw
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 08, 2016, 08:01:24 AM
Why do you perpetuate the lie that Mr. Smith has changed his mind, when there is no verified statement from him that he has ?
The answer is quite clear, as 'ferryman' has clearly set out in post after post after post.

Namely: Actions speak louder than words.

He has actively co-operated with the McCann Team since January 2008 and that is clear evidence, by his actions, that he does not think he saw Gerry McCann on 3 May 2007.

Moreover he has publicly called for the police and public to 'find the abductor'.

Not that I believe for one moment that he ever seriously believed he had seen Gerry McCann.

I totally fail to understand why some put so much weight on a man who...

* over four months later
* was just 60% to 80% sure he had seen Gerry McCann
* based only on 'the way he was carrying Sean'
* who took 11 days to say so [9 to 20 September]
* took 13 days to report his sighting,
* together with the rest of his family, gave FOUR wholly contradictory reasons for this inexplicable 13-day delay. and
* then began wholehearted co-operation with the McCann Team just three months later.


As someone else said up the thread, his shaky evidence would be torn to shreds within minutes if he ever took  the witness stand   
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 08, 2016, 08:06:05 AM
In January 2008 he was 60-80% certain that he saw Gerry McCann. In late 2013 he said nothing had changed except the Tanner sighting had been eliminated. The e-fits were produced with the help of a team of investigators who were not convinced by the Tanner sighting and who thought there were inconsistencies in the group's statements. That may be why Mr Smith cooperated with them but not with Brian Kennedy. The McCanns threatened those investigators with legal action if they disclosed the e-fits and their report. There is no proof he changed his mind about who he saw, just wishful thinking by some people.
His wife has stated explicitly that they are hugely sympathetic to the McCanns, a sentiment she's highly unlikely to utter IMO if her husband (who she once agreed with) was adamant that he is still 60-80% certain he saw Gerry.  Anyone ignoring this fact is trying hard to avoid the elephant in the room.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Lace on March 08, 2016, 08:26:43 AM
I found this on the wiki pages -


Exton questioned the significance of the Tanner sighting of a man carrying a child at 21:15 near apartment 5A, and focused instead on the Smith sighting at 22:00. The Oakley team produced e-fits based on the Smiths' description. This was a sensitive issue, because in September 2007 Martin Smith had watched footage of the McCanns arriving in the UK from Portugal, and believed he recognized Gerry McCann as the man he had seen with the child at 22:00. Smith came to accept that he was mistaken: at 22:00 witnesses placed Gerry McCann in the tapas restaurant. Nevertheless, the publication of the Smith e-fits, which bore some resemblance to Gerry, would have fed the conspiracy theories about the McCanns.[41]
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 08, 2016, 08:28:57 AM
' Additional statement by Martin Smith, 30 January 2008

Cover note

Detective Branch
Drogheda
County Lough

Re – Investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine McCann

I took an additional statement from Mr Smith as requested. His wife does not want to make another statement. I showed him the video clip and he stated that it was not the clip that alerted him but the BBC news at 10 PM on 9th September 2007.

He has been contacted by numerous tabloid press looking for stories. He has been contacted by Mr Brian Kennedy who is supporting the McCann family to take part in a photo fit exercise. He has given no stories or helped in any photo fits. He sent a solicitor’s letter to six papers in relation material that was printed that was misquoted. The Evening Herald paid his solicitor's fees and all papers printed an apology. His photograph appeared in another tabloid paper and this matter is being pursued at the moment.

I do not believe that Martin Smith is courting the press and my view his is a genuine person. He is known locally and is a very decent person.

Forwarded please

Sergeant

L*** H****

Additional statement by Martin Smith, 30 January 2008

I hereby declare that this statement is true to the best of my knowledge and belief and that I make it knowing that if it is tendered in evidence I will be liable to prosecution if I state in it anything which I know to be false or do not believe to be true.

I would like to state that the statement I made on 26th May 2007 in Portugal is correct. The description of the individual that I saw on 3rd May 2007 carrying a child is as follows. He was average build, 5 foot 10” in height, brown hair cut short, aged 40 years approximately. Wearing beige trousers and darkish top maybe a jacket or blazer. He had a full head of hair with a tight cut. This individual was alone. I saw Gerard McCann (sic) going down the plane stairs carrying one of his children on 9th September 2007 BBC news at 10 PM, I have been shown the video clip by Sergeant Hogan which I recognise. A clip I have seen before on the Internet. In relation to the video clips of Gerard McCann and the person I saw on 3rd May 2007 when I saw the BBC news at 10 PM on 9th September 2007 something struck me that it could have been the same person. It was the way Gerard McCann turned his head down which was similar to what the individual did on 3rd May 2007 when we met him. It may have been the way he was carrying the child either. I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerard McCann that I met that night carrying a child. I am basing that on his mannerism in the way he carried the child off the plane. After seeing the BBC news at 10 PM, footage on the 9th September 2007 I contacted Leicestershire police with this information. During that time I spoke to all my family members who were with me on the night of 3rd May 2007 about this and the only one who felt the same way as me was my wife. She had seen the video clip of Gerard McCann walking down the stairs of the plane earlier that day. We did not discuss this until some days later. This statement has been read over to me and is correct. '

http://joana-morais.blogspot.com/2013/10/missing-information.html

Now where is any signed and verified statement by Mr. Smith showing any change to the above ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2016, 08:44:04 AM
His wife has stated explicitly that they are hugely sympathetic to the McCanns, a sentiment she's highly unlikely to utter IMO if her husband (who she once agreed with) was adamant that he is still 60-80% certain he saw Gerry.  Anyone ignoring this fact is trying hard to avoid the elephant in the room.

Did you expect her to tell the press that she and her husband were pretty sure it was Gerry McCann they saw? Now that would have been foolish. Imagine the reaction in the press and from the litigious McCanns.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 08, 2016, 09:08:02 AM
' Additional statement by Martin Smith, 30 January 2008

Cover note

Detective Branch
Drogheda
County Lough

Re – Investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine McCann

I took an additional statement from Mr Smith as requested. His wife does not want to make another statement. I showed him the video clip and he stated that it was not the clip that alerted him but the BBC news at 10 PM on 9th September 2007.

He has been contacted by numerous tabloid press looking for stories. He has been contacted by Mr Brian Kennedy who is supporting the McCann family to take part in a photo fit exercise. He has given no stories or helped in any photo fits. He sent a solicitor’s letter to six papers in relation material that was printed that was misquoted. The Evening Herald paid his solicitor's fees and all papers printed an apology. His photograph appeared in another tabloid paper and this matter is being pursued at the moment.

I do not believe that Martin Smith is courting the press and my view his is a genuine person. He is known locally and is a very decent person.

Forwarded please

Sergeant

L*** H****


Snipped

That is clear evidence imo that Martin Smith did not allow newspapers to get away with misquoting him. 

The fact that he apparently made no complaint - or request for the the momentous claim made in the Sunday Times that he no longer believed it was Gerry he saw - to be retracted or an apology issued - is at complete odds with his proven track record  towards newspapers who misquoted him.     If that claim in the ST was indeed a complete lie - then it was a massive one and no way IMO would MS have let it remain unchallenged.   

Common sense dictates that the only logical reason for his lack of action is because  the claim made about him was correct.


Quote from Sunday Times
There was also an uncomfortable complication with Smith’s account. He had originally told the police that he had “recognised something” about the way Gerry McCann carried one of his children which reminded him of the man he had seen in Praia da Luz.

Smith has since stressed that he does not believe the man he saw was Gerry, and Scotland Yard do not consider this a possibility. Last week the McCanns were told officially by the Portuguese authorities that they are not suspects.
Unquote



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 08, 2016, 09:17:12 AM
Did you expect her to tell the press that she and her husband were pretty sure it was Gerry McCann they saw? Now that would have been foolish. Imagine the reaction in the press and from the litigious McCanns.
Was she forced at gunpoint to give a comment to the press?  I doubt it.  She didn't have to say anything, or could have been a lot less effusive in her sympathy gush.  You know it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 08, 2016, 09:18:34 AM
Did you expect her to tell the press that she and her husband were pretty sure it was Gerry McCann they saw? Now that would have been foolish. Imagine the reaction in the press and from the litigious McCanns.

She didn't have to say anything at all to the Press if she didn't want to - and yet she expressed their heartfelt sympathy for Kate and Gerry.    That was her own choice.

How can anyone have any sympathy - let alone heartfelt sympathy for someone they believed had disposed of the body of their own child as if it was no more important than a bag of rubbish?     Anyone who can't see how nonsensical that would be - has suspended all logic and common sense IMO.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 08, 2016, 09:21:14 AM
She didn't have to say anything at all to the Press if she didn't want to - and yet she expressed their heartfelt sympathy for Kate and Gerry.    That was her own choice.

How can anyone have any sympathy - let alone heartfelt sympathy for someone they believed had disposed of the body of their own child as if it was no more important than a bag of rubbish?     Anyone who can't see how nonsensical that would be - has suspended all logic and common sense IMO.
yup, I'm surprised at G-Unit to be honest.  Thought she at least had the intellectual honesty to admit this fact, instead of desperately trying to avoid it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 08, 2016, 09:48:07 AM
So where is Mr. Smith's sworn statement recanting his original statement.

As to what Kennedy did, that is called, interfering with a witness in a criminal case.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 08, 2016, 09:52:51 AM
So where is Mr. Smith's sworn statement recanting his original statement.

As to what Kennedy did, that is called, interfering with a witness in a criminal case.
As far as I know witnesses aren't obliged to provide sworn statements recanting their original statements, but it is clear from reports in the press including from Mrs Smith's own mouth that she and her husband no longer believe they saw Gerry that night, and no amount of "sceptic" foot-stamping can alter that fact.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 08, 2016, 10:08:12 AM
As far as I know witnesses aren't obliged to provide sworn statements recanting their original statements, but it is clear from reports in the press including from Mrs Smith's own mouth that he and his wife no longer believe they saw Gerry that night, and no amount of "sceptic" foot-stamping can alter that fact.

So Mrs. Smith is a he. 8)--))

So where are these signed statements to the contrary from the Smiths ?

...and if you think I am angry, that reveals how little you know of what you perceive as an emotional reaction.

Just the facts mam, just the facts.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 08, 2016, 10:16:49 AM

Stay On Topic, Please.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2016, 10:20:42 AM
yup, I'm surprised at G-Unit to be honest.  Thought she at least had the intellectual honesty to admit this fact, instead of desperately trying to avoid it.

I'm surprised given the amount of media coverage, misinformation and sensationalism attached to the case that people swallow media stories without any critical thought at all.

It's unlikely that Mrs Smith approached the Mail on Sunday to speak about the case. Her husband was determined not to speak to the press and was prepared to act against them if they wrote about his involvement. I assume, therefore, that a reporter from the Mail somehow contacted Mrs Smith. Having done so I would expect him to ask questions. The first question was probably asking to speak to Mr Smith, judging by the answer;

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

A guess at the next question. Something like 'Do you think it was Gerry McCann that he saw?' Mrs Smith becomes defensive;

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

The next question probably became emotive; 'How do you think the McCanns felt when your husband said it was Gerry he saw?'

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

Mrs Smith clearly didn't want to go on record saying she and her husband saw Gerry McCann, and I for one don't blame her. If she went a little bit further the other way who can blame her. Until you've been cornered by the press yourself you don't know what you might say to get rid of them.

I'm not saying that's what she did, but it wouldn't surprise me. Given the ways of the press I'm not prepared to accept anything they print as the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 08, 2016, 10:26:49 AM
I'm surprised given the amount of media coverage, misinformation and sensationalism attached to the case that people swallow media stories without any critical thought at all.

It's unlikely that Mrs Smith approached the Mail on Sunday to speak about the case. Her husband was determined not to speak to the press and was prepared to act against them if they wrote about his involvement. I assume, therefore, that a reporter from the Mail somehow contacted Mrs Smith. Having done so I would expect him to ask questions. The first question was probably asking to speak to Mr Smith, judging by the answer;

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

A guess at the next question. Something like 'Do you think it was Gerry McCann that he saw?' Mrs Smith becomes defensive;

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

The next question probably became emotive; 'How do you think the McCanns felt when your husband said it was Gerry he saw?'

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

Mrs Smith clearly didn't want to go on record saying she and her husband saw Gerry McCann, and I for one don't blame her. If she went a little bit further the other way who can blame her. Until you've been cornered by the press yourself you don't know what you might say to get rid of them.

I'm not saying that's what she did, but it wouldn't surprise me. Given the ways of the press I'm not prepared to accept anything they print as the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth.

I think many on here treat what we read in the press with a degree of scepticism....most of your post is speculation. If there was any real evidence gerry was seen carrying maddie  he would have been arrested by now
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 08, 2016, 10:32:14 AM
I'm not so sure about that. MS was the one who was pressing to identify the man as GM....and MS was the only one Amaral wanted to recall to Portugal.
My gut feeling is, had Amaral remained in charge, MS would have altered the time of his sighting to well past 10pm.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/article-2034661/EvoFIT-technology-revolutionising-way-police-catch-criminals.html
I scored a sad 0/10 on the famous faces.

I 'got' David Cameron ... but I must confess I think it looks nothing like him.  The famous faces are ones to which we are exposed constantly ... how difficult must it be to describe a face seen fleetingly in circumstances which at the time were of no consequence.

I agree that had Amaral not been sacked from the case it is highly likely that a lot more would have been made of the misidentification made by Martin Smith.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 08, 2016, 10:39:09 AM
I'm surprised given the amount of media coverage, misinformation and sensationalism attached to the case that people swallow media stories without any critical thought at all.

It's unlikely that Mrs Smith approached the Mail on Sunday to speak about the case. Her husband was determined not to speak to the press and was prepared to act against them if they wrote about his involvement. I assume, therefore, that a reporter from the Mail somehow contacted Mrs Smith. Having done so I would expect him to ask questions. The first question was probably asking to speak to Mr Smith, judging by the answer;

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

A guess at the next question. Something like 'Do you think it was Gerry McCann that he saw?' Mrs Smith becomes defensive;

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

The next question probably became emotive; 'How do you think the McCanns felt when your husband said it was Gerry he saw?'

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

Mrs Smith clearly didn't want to go on record saying she and her husband saw Gerry McCann, and I for one don't blame her. If she went a little bit further the other way who can blame her. Until you've been cornered by the press yourself you don't know what you might say to get rid of them.

I'm not saying that's what she did, but it wouldn't surprise me. Given the ways of the press I'm not prepared to accept anything they print as the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth.
This is called "putting it through the "sceptic" spin machine" in order to make it more palatable for the sceptic audience.  Why should anyone pay any heed whatsoever to your highly speculative interpretation of this article?  Let Mrs Smith's words speak for themselves and it's clear she and her husband only have utmost sympathy for the McCanns.  The end.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 08, 2016, 10:47:08 AM
' Additional statement by Martin Smith, 30 January 2008

Cover note

Detective Branch
Drogheda
County Lough

Re – Investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine McCann

I took an additional statement from Mr Smith as requested. His wife does not want to make another statement. I showed him the video clip and he stated that it was not the clip that alerted him but the BBC news at 10 PM on 9th September 2007.

He has been contacted by numerous tabloid press looking for stories. He has been contacted by Mr Brian Kennedy who is supporting the McCann family to take part in a photo fit exercise. He has given no stories or helped in any photo fits. He sent a solicitor’s letter to six papers in relation material that was printed that was misquoted. The Evening Herald paid his solicitor's fees and all papers printed an apology. His photograph appeared in another tabloid paper and this matter is being pursued at the moment.

I do not believe that Martin Smith is courting the press and my view his is a genuine person. He is known locally and is a very decent person.

Forwarded please

Sergeant

L*** H****

Additional statement by Martin Smith, 30 January 2008

I hereby declare that this statement is true to the best of my knowledge and belief and that I make it knowing that if it is tendered in evidence I will be liable to prosecution if I state in it anything which I know to be false or do not believe to be true.

I would like to state that the statement I made on 26th May 2007 in Portugal is correct. The description of the individual that I saw on 3rd May 2007 carrying a child is as follows. He was average build, 5 foot 10” in height, brown hair cut short, aged 40 years approximately. Wearing beige trousers and darkish top maybe a jacket or blazer. He had a full head of hair with a tight cut. This individual was alone. I saw Gerard McCann (sic) going down the plane stairs carrying one of his children on 9th September 2007 BBC news at 10 PM, I have been shown the video clip by Sergeant Hogan which I recognise. A clip I have seen before on the Internet. In relation to the video clips of Gerard McCann and the person I saw on 3rd May 2007 when I saw the BBC news at 10 PM on 9th September 2007 something struck me that it could have been the same person. It was the way Gerard McCann turned his head down which was similar to what the individual did on 3rd May 2007 when we met him. It may have been the way he was carrying the child either. I would be 60-80% sure that it was Gerard McCann that I met that night carrying a child. I am basing that on his mannerism in the way he carried the child off the plane. After seeing the BBC news at 10 PM, footage on the 9th September 2007 I contacted Leicestershire police with this information. During that time I spoke to all my family members who were with me on the night of 3rd May 2007 about this and the only one who felt the same way as me was my wife. She had seen the video clip of Gerard McCann walking down the stairs of the plane earlier that day. We did not discuss this until some days later. This statement has been read over to me and is correct. '

http://joana-morais.blogspot.com/2013/10/missing-information.html

Now where is any signed and verified statement by Mr. Smith showing any change to the above ?

We are aware of the content of the Smith family statements only because Madeleine's case was archived and the files containing them posted illegally on the internet.

By the looks of it had Mr Smith had anything to do with it we would have heard nothing about it at all otherwise.

We have seen nothing of statements made either to SY or the PJ in the current investigations ... which is exactly as it should be.  But as has been pointed out, Mr Smith appears to be perfectly content with newspaper content to the effect that he has 'changed his mind' else there would have been litigation or at the least a printed apology made to him.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 08, 2016, 12:23:25 PM
We are aware of the content of the Smith family statements only because Madeleine's case was archived and the files containing them posted illegally on the internet.

By the looks of it had Mr Smith had anything to do with it we would have heard nothing about it at all otherwise.

We have seen nothing of statements made either to SY or the PJ in the current investigations ... which is exactly as it should be.  But as has been pointed out, Mr Smith appears to be perfectly content with newspaper content to the effect that he has 'changed his mind' else there would have been litigation or at the least a printed apology made to him.

Ah! the old "it must be true because no one has sued" ploy.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 08, 2016, 12:27:12 PM
We are aware of the content of the Smith family statements only because Madeleine's case was archived and the files containing them posted illegally on the internet.

By the looks of it had Mr Smith had anything to do with it we would have heard nothing about it at all otherwise.

We have seen nothing of statements made either to SY or the PJ in the current investigations ... which is exactly as it should be.  But as has been pointed out, Mr Smith appears to be perfectly content with newspaper content to the effect that he has 'changed his mind' else there would have been litigation or at the least a printed apology made to him.

If Martin Smith's evidence is front and centre of an ongoing investigation could that perhaps be the reason he has not made any comment ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 08, 2016, 02:00:29 PM
If Martin Smith's evidence is front and centre of an ongoing investigation could that perhaps be the reason he has not made any comment ?

Sorry, it is laughable to think that Martin Smith's evidence could be the 'front and centre' of an ongoing investigation.

What would his evidence actually amount to? What facts can he contribute?

Plainly DCI Redwood and Operation Grange didn't make the Smithman sighting 'the centre of our focus' because of his tentative identification of Gerry McCann, 4 months later, as the man he saw - based on seeing a bloke carrying a child in exactly the same way as most other parents carry an infant.

So why was that sighting the centre of Operation Grange's focus? - always remembering that DCI Redwood had those two efits (of different-looking men) in his hands as far back as mid 2011, well over two years before the BBC Crimewatch McCann Special was aired in October 2013?

It can surely only have been for the specific purpose of influencing public perception of what happened to Madeleine.

Only when his 'Crechemen' brainwave hit him, in that wondrous 'revelation moment', was he able to proceed to co-operate with the BBC in producing a £2 million publicity stunt, aired to 7 million people 

           
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2016, 03:16:43 PM
Sorry, it is laughable to think that Martin Smith's evidence could be the 'front and centre' of an ongoing investigation.

What would his evidence actually amount to? What facts can he contribute?

Plainly DCI Redwood and Operation Grange didn't make the Smithman sighting 'the centre of our focus' because of his tentative identification of Gerry McCann, 4 months later, as the man he saw - based on seeing a bloke carrying a child in exactly the same way as most other parents carry an infant.

So why was that sighting the centre of Operation Grange's focus? - always remembering that DCI Redwood had those two efits (of different-looking men) in his hands as far back as mid 2011, well over two years before the BBC Crimewatch McCann Special was aired in October 2013?

It can surely only have been for the specific purpose of influencing public perception of what happened to Madeleine.

Only when his 'Crechemen' brainwave hit him, in that wondrous 'revelation moment', was he able to proceed to co-operate with the BBC in producing a £2 million publicity stunt, aired to 7 million people 

         

That programme did have an air of desperation about it. The 'I think it might have been me and here's the clothes to prove it' was quite embarrassing I thought.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 08, 2016, 03:29:25 PM
Did DCI Redwood actually say that Crecheman was walking in the same direction as Tannerman was seen heading?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2016, 04:00:46 PM
Did DCI Redwood actually say that Crecheman was walking in the same direction as Tannerman was seen heading?

Did DCI Redwood actually know which way Crecheman was going? Did he actually know where he was supposed to have come from? If he did he underestimated the knowledge of some of the UK public and made himself look extremely silly.

If DCI Redwood did know what he was saying made no was he trying to deceive the UK public?

Either way he did himself and the Metropolitan Police no favours.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 08, 2016, 04:03:27 PM
Did DCI Redwood actually say that Crecheman was walking in the same direction as Tannerman was seen heading?
No he didn't.

It was in fact presenter Matthew Amroliwala who spoke these words on the broadcast:

"The British father had collected his two-year-old daughter from the crèche. He had been walking near the McCanns’ apartment".

However, Jane Tanner was crystal clear about which directjon Tannerman was walking in - i.e. AWAY from the front door entrance to the McCanns' apartment.

Since DCI Redwood said Crecheman = Tannerman, we are bound to assume that Crecheman was walking in exactly the same direction as Tannerman.

If he had been walking in the opposite direction, then TWO blokes, of similar age and appearance, both without the child's mother, both with no buggy or pushchair, both carrying a blond child in white/pink pyjamas, with no covering around the child on a cold night (13C), might well have bumped into each other.

And if Martin Smith and his family are being truthful, Smithman would make THREE lookalikes, all men carrying  a barefoot infant in pyjamas from, well, somewhere to somewhere.

That might be stretching things too far, even for the most gullible   

         
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 08, 2016, 04:11:13 PM
Did DCI Redwood actually know which way Crecheman was going? Did he actually know where he was supposed to have come from? If he did he underestimated the knowledge of some of the UK public and made himself look extremely silly.

If DCI Redwood did know what he was saying made no was he trying to deceive the UK public?

Either way he did himself and the Metropolitan Police no favours.

Maybe it was what Redwood didn't say that is more important. He didn't say where the wife was. He didn't say what the family saw when they were in the vicinity of 5a. By publicly placing a self-confessed Tannerman at the scene, maybe he was letting someone else know they had been seen without giving anything else away. That is the reason the timeline could be moved on, imo, and not remain focussed on 5a from 8.30pm onwards.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 08, 2016, 04:56:20 PM
Let's re-cast that with different emphasis, shall we?

I'm surprised given the amount of media coverage, misinformation and sensationalism attached to the case that people swallow media stories without any critical thought at all.

It's unlikely that Mrs Smith approached the Mail on Sunday to speak about the case. Her husband was determined not to speak to the press and was prepared to act against them if they wrote about his involvement. I assume, therefore, that a reporter from the Mail somehow contacted Mrs Smith. Having done so I would expect him to ask questions. The first question was probably asking to speak to Mr Smith, judging by the answer;

He [Martin] doesn't want to talk, said Mrs Smith. He said what he had to say. I was with him [that night]. We saw a man carrying a child and that's all we know. We told them all that and that's it.

A guess at the next question. Something like 'Do you think it was Gerry McCann that he saw?' Mrs Smith becomes defensive;

''The man he saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. We felt we had to help. We're happy we did. We reported exactly what we saw.

The next question probably became emotive; 'How do you think the McCanns felt when your husband said it was Gerry he saw?'

"We only did what we thought was right for a missing girl and our hearts are breaking for her parents, as it would be if it were one of ours.

''I feel very much for them [the McCanns]. I have six grandchildren of my own and six children of my own.

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''

Mrs Smith clearly didn't want to go on record saying she and her husband saw Gerry McCann, and I for one don't blame her. If she went a little bit further the other way who can blame her. Until you've been cornered by the press yourself you don't know what you might say to get rid of them.

I'm not saying that's what she did, but it wouldn't surprise me. Given the ways of the press I'm not prepared to accept anything they print as the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth.

It is quite clear that Mrs Smith no longer believes she and her husband saw Gerry.

And the only inference why she and her husband agreed to produce efits is that neither (now) do.

We know none of their children ever did (Mr Smith was honest enough to acknowledge back in 2008)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 08, 2016, 04:58:15 PM
Let's re-cast that with different emphasis, shall we?

It is quite clear that Mrs Smith no longer believes she and her husband saw Gerry.

And the only inference why she and her husband agreed to produce efits is that neither (now) do.

We know none of their children ever did (Mr Smith was honest enough to acknowledge back in 2008)

You seem very keen on stating your opinion as fact?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 08, 2016, 05:00:08 PM
You seem very keen on stating your opinion as fact?

What opinion?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 08, 2016, 05:49:29 PM
Ah! the old "it must be true because no one has sued" ploy.

Quote
He has given no stories or helped in any photo fits. He sent a solicitor’s letter to six papers in relation material that was printed that was misquoted. The Evening Herald paid his solicitor's fees and all papers printed an apology. His photograph appeared in another tabloid paper and this matter is being pursued at the moment.
End Quote

It would appear that Martin Smith having form for taking successful legal action to being misquoted confirms "the old "it must be true because no one has sued" ploy."
If he hadn't said it ... he would have insisted it was withdrawn just as he did formerly.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2016, 07:55:43 PM
Let's re-cast that with different emphasis, shall we?

It is quite clear that Mrs Smith no longer believes she and her husband saw Gerry.

And the only inference why she and her husband agreed to produce efits is that neither (now) do.

We know none of their children ever did (Mr Smith was honest enough to acknowledge back in 2008)

You know the e-fits were produced by Mr and Mrs Smith and not by other members of the Irish family do you? Or is that another one of your guesses being posted as fact?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 08, 2016, 08:02:44 PM
You know the e-fits were produced by Mr and Mrs Smith and not by other members of the Irish family do you? Or is that another one of your guesses being posted as fact?

Of those whose statements read on line, the two most observant witnesses were Martin Smith and his daughter Aofe.

For a long time, on that basis, I took it that the second e-fit was produced on Aofe.

The press credits his wife (whose statement we don't read on line) with the second e-fit.

Andy Redwood said the efits were produced by two witnesses (whom he didn't name).

I see absolutely no reason not to credit Martin and Mary Smith with the efits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 08, 2016, 08:57:50 PM
Of those whose statements read on line, the two most observant witnesses were Martin Smith and his daughter Aofe.

For a long time, on that basis, I took it that the second e-fit was produced on Aofe.

The press credits his wife (whose statement we don't read on line) with the second e-fit.

Andy Redwood said the efits were produced by two witnesses (whom he didn't name).

I see absolutely no reason not to credit Martin and Mary Smith with the efits.

You are saying you don't know, but you see nothing wrong with guessing? Neither do I, but an imo would let others know you didn't have some secret source.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 08, 2016, 09:02:53 PM
You are saying you don't know, but you see nothing wrong with guessing? Neither do I, but an imo would let others know you didn't have some secret source.

There is a difference between guesswork and sound inference from available information ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 08, 2016, 09:19:07 PM
Quote
He has given no stories or helped in any photo fits. He sent a solicitor’s letter to six papers in relation material that was printed that was misquoted. The Evening Herald paid his solicitor's fees and all papers printed an apology. His photograph appeared in another tabloid paper and this matter is being pursued at the moment.
End Quote

It would appear that Martin Smith having form for taking successful legal action to being misquoted confirms "the old "it must be true because no one has sued" ploy."
If he hadn't said it ... he would have insisted it was withdrawn just as he did formerly.

In your opinion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 09, 2016, 02:04:27 AM
The fact that this witness made a proposed identification in Sept 2007 was documented by Irish, English, and Portuguese police.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2016, 09:06:38 AM
There is a difference between guesswork and sound inference from available information ....

If only your inferences were sound. Unfortunately your reasons for believing Martin Smith changed his mind are very weak.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 09, 2016, 09:28:22 AM
If only your inferences were sound. Unfortunately your reasons for believing Martin Smith changed his mind are very weak.
And your reasons for believing he hasn't changed his mind are weaker still, supported by NOTHING. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 09, 2016, 09:33:55 AM
The fact that this witness made a proposed identification in Sept 2007 was documented by Irish, English, and Portuguese police.
But his proposed identification is absolutely worthless. It would be ripped apart in seconds by questions such as:

* you were only '60% to 80%' certain?

* what was your opinion based on - the way he was carrying Sean?

* don't parents usually carry their infant children the same way?

* why did it take you 13 days to report your sighting?

* did you report it only because your son Peter 'phoned you up and said: 'Am I dreaming...?'

* which of the four separate reasons you have given for delaying reporting your sighting is the true one?

* or are none of them true?

* you have co-operated with the McCann Team since early 2008, haven't you?

* you have called for people to help find 'the abductor', haven't you?

* you drew up one of the-fits, didn't you?

* but another member of your family has drawn up a totally different-looking man? 

* you co-operated with the McCann Team by changing the age of the man you saw twice, from '35 to 40' to '40', then down to '34 to 35'. Why did you do that?

* when you saw DCI Redwood twice, in 2012 and 2013, did you tell him that you still thought the man you said you saw was Gerry McCann?       


Really, there are people on this forum who doubt that Madeleine was abducted. There is a significant majority that believe that she WAS abducted. Given the many reasons for doubting the abduction claim, I cannot for the life of me understand why anyone who doubts the abduction claim should spend one further second thinking that any of the Smiths can contribute to those doubts. To persist in thinking that the Smiths have valuable evidence that it was Gerry McCann carrying his dead child through the streets of Praia da Luz - at the very time his wife was raising the alarm - is one of the clearest examples I can remember of 'flogging a dead horse'.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 09, 2016, 09:58:13 AM
And your reasons for believing he hasn't changed his mind are weaker still, supported by NOTHING.

Supported by a direct quote from the man himself.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 09, 2016, 10:00:36 AM
Supported by a direct quote from the man himself.
So, you have a quote from Martin Smith saying "I haven't changed my opinion - I'm still 60-80% sure it was Gerry I saw" have you?  Let's see it then.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 09, 2016, 10:24:14 AM
So, you have a quote from Martin Smith saying "I haven't changed my opinion - I'm still 60-80% sure it was Gerry I saw" have you?  Let's see it then.

So what do you think he meant by this direct quote ?


''Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he added: "The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner's sighting.

"Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add."
"
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 09, 2016, 10:31:13 AM
So what do you think he meant by this direct quote ?


''Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he added: "The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner's sighting.

"Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add."
"
Which police?  Which media?  Which time?  Details please.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 03:28:05 PM
So what do you think he meant by this direct quote ?


''Commenting on the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he added: "The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner's sighting.

"Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add."
"

The sighting of the man the Smiths think might be Madeleine's abductor is not new.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 09, 2016, 07:12:02 PM
But his proposed identification is absolutely worthless. It would be ripped apart in seconds by questions such as:

* you were only '60% to 80%' certain?

* what was your opinion based on - the way he was carrying Sean?

* don't parents usually carry their infant children the same way?

* why did it take you 13 days to report your sighting?

* did you report it only because your son Peter 'phoned you up and said: 'Am I dreaming...?'

* which of the four separate reasons you have given for delaying reporting your sighting is the true one?

* or are none of them true?

* you have co-operated with the McCann Team since early 2008, haven't you?

* you have called for people to help find 'the abductor', haven't you?

* you drew up one of the-fits, didn't you?

* but another member of your family has drawn up a totally different-looking man? 

* you co-operated with the McCann Team by changing the age of the man you saw twice, from '35 to 40' to '40', then down to '34 to 35'. Why did you do that?

* when you saw DCI Redwood twice, in 2012 and 2013, did you tell him that you still thought the man you said you saw was Gerry McCann?       


Really, there are people on this forum who doubt that Madeleine was abducted. There is a significant majority that believe that she WAS abducted. Given the many reasons for doubting the abduction claim, I cannot for the life of me understand why anyone who doubts the abduction claim should spend one further second thinking that any of the Smiths can contribute to those doubts. To persist in thinking that the Smiths have valuable evidence that it was Gerry McCann carrying his dead child through the streets of Praia da Luz - at the very time his wife was raising the alarm - is one of the clearest examples I can remember of 'flogging a dead horse'.

You need more than identifying him to close the case and he wasn't seen at the same time Kate was raising the alarm.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 08:26:39 PM
Two key facts remain:

Martin Smith Smith and his wife both produced efits (of a man neither, any longer, believed/ believes, is Gerry).

Mrs Smith is on record, very recently, (way after public release of the files) as expressing great sympathy with the McCanns .....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2016, 08:40:00 PM
Two key facts remain:

Martin Smith Smith and his wife both produced efits (of a man neither, any longer, believed/ believes, is Gerry).

Mrs Smith is on record, very recently, (way after public release of the files) as expressing great sympathy with the McCanns .....

Facts?

We don't know who produced the e-fits.

Mrs Smith spoke to the press in August 2008.

In 2013 Mr Smith said nothing had changed except the Tanner sighting.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 09, 2016, 08:54:50 PM
Two key facts remain:

Martin Smith Smith and his wife both produced efits (of a man neither, any longer, believed/ believes, is Gerry).

Mrs Smith is on record, very recently, (way after public release of the files) as expressing great sympathy with the McCanns .....

Neither are facts, and your post is quite unfathomable. August 2008 was neither "way after public release of the files" ...it was the same month and year. And her being quoted in a newspaper in the same month /year is not "very recently" unless you think 8 years ago  is a very recent time...is there any point in expecting you not to embroider? the facts in this case and call your embroidering "facts"?

By all means make your case, but make sure its truthful!!

Eta GU beat me to it

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 08:57:01 PM
Neither are facts, and your post is quite unfathomable. August 2008 was neither "way after public release of the files" ...it was the same month ..... And her being quoted in a newspaper in the same month /year is not "very recently" unless you think 8 years ago  is a very recent time...is there any point in expecting you not to embroider? the facts in this case and call your embroidering "facts"?

By all means make your case, but make sure its truthful!!

Eta GU beat me to it

Hyperbole does not for an untruthful case make.

After release of the files (remains true).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 09, 2016, 09:01:56 PM
Hyperbole does not for an untruthful case make.

After release of the files (remains true).

If you have truth why the constant and gargantuan use of hyperbole, sprinkled with libellous speculation on other occasions, plus a refusal to accept facts given to you on other occasions, it is not required, in fact it weakens your case ....so I rest mine
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 09:04:42 PM
Use of hyperbole (to accentuate valid points) is an acceptable writing style, I would argue.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 09, 2016, 09:14:21 PM
Use of hyperbole (to accentuate valid points) is an acceptable writing style, I would argue.

Go argue ahead, you must hold the record for extreme use of said hyperbole...i cant thnk of a single person who calls 8 years "very recently" , and i personally would class your use of the facts as distorted on purpose (as you seem to actually know the real undistorted elements of the facts) ...take your pick

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 09:29:30 PM
Go argue ahead, you must hold the record for extreme use of said hyperbole...i cant thnk of a single person who calls 8 years "very recently" , and i personally would class your use of the facts as distorted on purpose (as you seem to actually know the real undistorted elements of the facts) ...take your pick

"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''


Would you not agree that these are very odd words for Mary Smith to have uttered if she thought Kate and Gerry to be culpable? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2016, 09:31:20 PM
Hyperbole does not for an untruthful case make.

After release of the files (remains true).

Hyperboles are comparisons, like similes and metaphors, but are extravagant and even ridiculous
Read more at http://examples.yourdictionary.com/examples-of-hyperboles.html#YTPpfyhPhQlcAd7W.99
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 09:35:59 PM
Do you dispute that after release the files Mrs Smith is on record as expressing sympathy with the McCanns?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 09, 2016, 09:41:33 PM
"The poor McCann family must be heartbroken.''


Would you not agree that these are very odd words for Mary Smith to have uttered if she thought Kate and Gerry to be culpable?

No
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2016, 09:51:49 PM
Do you dispute that after release the files Mrs Smith is on record as expressing sympathy with the McCanns?

She also said in the same quote that the man they saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. Perhaps in answer to the reporter asking her why her husband said he was 60-80% certain the man was Gerry McCann.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 09, 2016, 09:57:54 PM
She also said in the same quote that the man they saw had the same stature as Gerry McCann. Perhaps in answer to the reporter asking her why her husband said he was 60-80% certain the man was Gerry McCann.

Madeleine's abductor had the same stature as Gerry.

Lots of men do.

Almost certainly the cause of the confusion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2016, 10:04:14 PM
Madeleine's abductor had the same stature as Gerry.

Lots of men do.

Almost certainly the cause of the confusion.

Lots of men have the same stature as Gerry McCann but it was his name which was mentioned. The only person confused is you. Martin Smith was quite clear about his opinion and why he held it. Mannerisms, not stature. 'Like an action replay' of his sighting.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 09, 2016, 10:24:34 PM
Lots of men have the same stature as Gerry McCann but it was his name which was mentioned. The only person confused is you. Martin Smith was quite clear about his opinion and why he held it. Mannerisms, not stature. 'Like an action replay' of his sighting.


Smith can think what he likes ...it is of no importance,,,as evidence his opinion is worthless
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 09, 2016, 10:47:38 PM
Madeleine's abductor had the same stature as Gerry.

Lots of men do.

Almost certainly the cause of the confusion.

 ... and confusion it most certainly was ... "Although I could not describe the male I'd seen in Portugal because he had his back to me, it was the particular way Mr. McCann held the child that made me think. He held the child over his left shoulder with his left arm supporting the child?s weight." R.McCluskey  12th September 2007
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/RI_Mc.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 09, 2016, 11:11:22 PM
The climate of the time contributed to the mistaken identification of Madeleine's father on two separate occasions as two different men (Mr McCluskey's man was identified by the PJ).

The fact that Madeleine's parents had been made arguidos on September 7 probably had everything to do with it and made what had been unthinkable thinkable.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 09, 2016, 11:32:27 PM

Smith can think what he likes ...it is of no importance,,,as evidence his opinion is worthless

So your view is that a witness identifying someone with a high degree of certainty is worthless.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 09, 2016, 11:36:12 PM
So your view is that a witness identifying someone with a high degree of certainty is worthless.

Redwood liked the irish family's sighting enough to publicise it, so he obviously didn't agree with davel.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 09, 2016, 11:40:10 PM
So your view is that a witness identifying someone with a high degree of certainty is worthless.
Since when has 60-80% EVER been considered "a high degree of certainty"?!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 12:54:45 AM
Redwood liked the irish family's sighting enough to publicise it, so he obviously didn't agree with davel.

Or the Mccanns who only paid lip service to it on one or two occasions ver 9 years
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 10, 2016, 01:00:22 AM
Redwood liked the irish family's sighting enough to publicise it, so he obviously didn't agree with davel.
I don't remember Davel ever disputing that the motionless child the Irish group saw was possibly the missing child?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 09:11:15 AM
Lots of men have the same stature as Gerry McCann but it was his name which was mentioned. The only person confused is you. Martin Smith was quite clear about his opinion and why he held it. Mannerisms, not stature. 'Like an action replay' of his sighting.

The whole Smith TV thingy was not about WHO the man was, but the way the man carried the little girl ... and it happened to be Gerry who carried his little son in a similar manner that triggered the memory.  Could have been anyone. 

Leading questions would have been asked, probably twisting the scenario in Mr Smiths mind.  We have all witnessed twisting techniques used on here!   My bet is that a fair bit of pressure was put on Smith by Amaral to get that 60-80% figure


BTW,
Gerry is NOT 5'9 - 5'11" tall.  He is a damned sight taller.  I have stood right next to him, talking to him.  I remember him as being well over 6ft tall. 

? 6'1"
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 10, 2016, 09:20:58 AM
Does Clarence play basketball Sadie?  Gerry is definitely the shortest here and looks under 6ft.

(http://www2.pictures.gi.zimbio.com/Gerry+McCann+Clarence+Mitchell+Max+Moseley+3vesxQFLKS0l.jpg)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 10, 2016, 09:26:15 AM
The whole Smith TV thingy was not about WHO the man was, but the way the man carried the little girl ... and it happened to be Gerry who carried his little son in a similar manner that triggered the memory.  Could have been anyone. 

Leading questions would have been asked, probably twisting the scenario in Mr Smiths mind.  We have all witnessed twisting techniques used on here!   My bet is that a fair bit of pressure was put on Smith by Amaral to get that 60-80% figure


BTW,
Gerry is NOT 5'9 - 5'11" tall.  He is a damned sight taller.  I have stood right next to him, talking to him.  I remember him as being well over 6ft tall. 

? 6'1"

Last time you mentioned this Sadie , you mentioned 6' 2''.

Is he shrinking or just coming up short  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 09:33:58 AM
The whole Smith TV thingy was not about WHO the man was, but the way the man carried the little girl ... and it happened to be Gerry who carried his little son in a similar manner that triggered the memory.  Could have been anyone. 

Leading questions would have been asked, probably twisting the scenario in Mr Smiths mind.  We have all witnessed twisting techniques used on here!   My bet is that a fair bit of pressure was put on Smith by Amaral to get that 60-80% figure


BTW,
Gerry is NOT 5'9 - 5'11" tall.  He is a damned sight taller.  I have stood right next to him, talking to him.  I remember him as being well over 6ft tall. 

? 6'1"

I thought Amaral was long gone by the time Mr Smith gave his 60-80% statement.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 10, 2016, 09:48:33 AM
I thought Amaral was long gone by the time Mr Smith gave his 60-80% statement.

Yes Amaral was gone. MS made his statement 60-80% on 23 January 2008. Amaral left the case on 2 October 2007.

From Lindsay Long to John Hughes

20th September 2007

Is asking a member of OP task ring him back. He was with group of 9 family and friends the night he saw the male in Portugal. He sounded quite worried and shaken whilst speaking to me.

Lindsay Long - Braunstone Police Station
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 10, 2016, 10:34:45 AM
Last time you mentioned this Sadie , you mentioned 6' 2''.

Is he shrinking or just coming up short  @)(++(*

Maybe sometimes wears high heels  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2016, 10:38:58 AM
So your view is that a witness identifying someone with a high degree of certainty is worthless.

he didn't see his face...would you call 60% a high degree of certainty.....he isn't sure,...that is not a high degree of certainty
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2016, 10:45:39 AM
Redwood liked the irish family's sighting enough to publicise it, so he obviously didn't agree with davel.

Rewdwood didn't think it was Gerry
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 10, 2016, 10:52:54 AM
That doesn't make the  Smith sighting any less important.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 10:53:26 AM
Last time you mentioned this Sadie , you mentioned 6' 2''.

Is he shrinking or just coming up short  @)(++(*
from memory, I would have an educated guess at over 6' 1" ... so 6'2" fits the bill ... cos it is just an educated guess.

Shall we say, 6' 1 - 6'2 ?  imo
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 10, 2016, 10:59:14 AM
That doesn't make the  Smith sighting any less important.

I didn't say it wasn't ...his opinion that it was Gerry isnt
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 11:31:07 AM
from memory, I would have an educated guess at over 6' 1" ... so 6'2" fits the bill ... cos it is just an educated guess.

Shall we say, 6' 1 - 6'2 ?  imo

The man on the right and the woman on the left are tall.

(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/12/17/article-2249350-04FD7FE6000005DC-653_634x690.jpg)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 10, 2016, 12:10:20 PM
Maybe sometimes wears high heels  8(0(*

It would explain a great deal. *&*%£
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 12:51:17 PM
The man on the right and the woman on the left are tall.

(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/12/17/article-2249350-04FD7FE6000005DC-653_634x690.jpg)
The man at the back is very tall. 
At least two of the women are wearing heels.
The woman on the left is in the fioreground, so she will look bigger

Also the photograph is taken from an unusually low position (knee/thigh level), looking up.  This means that people in the foreground will appear taller than people in the background...especially so if the photographer was close rather than far away.

Anyway, I have told you what I noticed when I met Gerry.  I was NOT there to JUDGE his height, but I was very surprised what an impressive TALL, well built man he was.  I think he was most likely 6'1 - 6'2" tall. 

Take it or leave it.   

Have you stood right by Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 10, 2016, 12:55:01 PM
The man on the right and the woman on the left are tall.

(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/12/17/article-2249350-04FD7FE6000005DC-653_634x690.jpg)

The man in yellow jacket certainly is tall and appears to be about 4 inches taller than Gerry.
The woman in red shoes is wearing highish heels so is probably no taller than Kate.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2016, 01:10:17 PM
The man in yellow jacket certainly is tall and appears to be about 4 inches taller than Gerry.
The woman in red shoes is wearing highish heels so is probably no taller than Kate.

The centreline of the top rail of the balustrade will be 1000mm above walkway level.
Anyone have dividers and a calculator ?  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 02:45:48 PM
Jeremy Wilkins described Gerry McCann as between 5'10" and 6'.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/JEREMY-WILKINS.htm

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 10, 2016, 02:52:13 PM
Jeremy Wilkins described Gerry McCann as between 5'10" and 6'.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/JEREMY-WILKINS.htm

So, take note Sadie.

Gerry Mccann is several inches shorter. 8)--))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 10, 2016, 03:01:45 PM

Anymore snide remarks and I will be deleting.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 03:17:38 PM


I don't know how tall Sadie is, but I'm short so most people look tall to me. I think Jez was tall himself so was probably better able to judge. I have noticed that Kate and Fiona are fairly close in height and their husbands are about the same amount taller compared to them. David Payne is around 5'10".
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 10, 2016, 03:42:48 PM
he didn't see his face...would you call 60% a high degree of certainty.....he isn't sure,...that is not a high degree of certainty

Going from being unable either to describe the man or pick him out from photographs to a few months later when usually memory has faded even more to being able to identify a particular individual is something indeed.

For a start when first encountered it was after darkness on an ill lit street.

The misidentification took place in daylight in very good lighting conditions.

Almost identical circumstances to the McCluskey misidentification.

The common factor was in my opinion the fact that both of Madeleine's parents had been made arguidos in her disappearance and both men would have been exposed to the propaganda being put about against them in the Portuguese press and picked up by the world's press.

I think they were simply brainwashed and when they witnessed a man carrying a child down steps it was sufficient to trigger a false memory turning the man both already believed to have been carrying Madeleine into her father.

There is provenance in Mr McCluskey's case that he actually saw a man and child - reported his suspicions to the police - who investigated - and who without Mr McCluskey's knowledge was exonerated - subsequently saw Madeleine's father carrying a twin - and recalled the event he had witnessed but this time transposing and misidentifying the innocent man he had seen as someone else.

The man seen and subsequently misidentified by Mr Smith has not been similarly eliminated from the inquiry ... but I would assume that Martin Smith will have changed his mind about his identity, given that he hasn't taken time out to rectify the Sunday Times definitive statement that he has done just that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 03:43:51 PM
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/12/17/article-2249350-04FD7FE6000005DC-653_634x690.jpg
The man in yellow jacket certainly is tall and appears to be about 4 inches taller than Gerry.
The woman in red shoes is wearing highish heels so is probably no taller than Kate.

the woman in the foreground is decidedly shorter than Kate

1)  She is wearing high heels and Kate rarely does,.  This is probably because she is consciious of her height.  My sister was very tall like Kate (5'10 ish) but she bucked the trend of tall women whom tend to wear flatties.  She wore high heels and Damn it.  Mind you, she trained on the catwalk to be a model and models were all tall in those days.

2)  She is closest to the camera and perspective comes into the picture here.  She will look bigger and taller because of that

3)  It looks as though they are in a confined space, on a balcony? The camera is held very low down.  Roughly in line with the thighs or maybe upper knee?  A photograph taken from a close position and in an upwards direction will make the person/s nearest the camera look biggeer than they should do. 

You are being taken in by an optical illusion Jassi.   The woman in the forground is much smaller than Kate.


Now Gerry and the very tall man.
The floor boarding tends to give another optical illusionn as to how far back Gerry and the man are standing.  Had they run parallel to the frame of the picture then we could have used them as guidance, but they run away at an angle.  Therefore we cannot.

The part that takes the weight and therefore the part that is likely to be most directly below the head is the front of the heel.  The front of the foot merely mainly helps with balance imo.    In order to measure how far back Gerry and the man are relative to each other, may i suggest that you use the frame of your computer screen as a horizontal guide.   

Gently roll the picture down until the fronts of the heels of the two men are sitting on or near the frame of your screen;then you can judge who is closer to the camera.   Same with height, gently roll the image up until the taller mans head just touches the upper frame of your screen.  With both the foot positions and the head positions clearly defined relative to each other, now you are in a position to judge.


Well I made it that they are each almost the same distance from the camera.  Gerry is possibly just a wee bit further back, but it is so slight that i think we can ignore that.  I make the taller man 2-2.5 inches taller than Gerry.

What do you make it now that you will presumably be using the correct method?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 03:54:06 PM
The centreline of the top rail of the balustrade will be 1000mm above walkway level.
Anyone have dividers and a calculator ?  8(0(*
As we all know, inn the UK there has to be a minimum height for railings, so that people cannot accidentally topple over or accidentally be pushed over.  I have forgotten the minimum height and do we know this photo was taken in the UK?  And when.

The same with railings, the uprights have to be within certain boundaries a prescribed distance apart these days.   so that children can neither fall thru nor can they get their heads stuck between them.   The railings to the balcony on 5A look too far apart tio me.  Maybe they were pre any rulings or maybe PT has no such regulations?

Sorry Alice, but without actually measuring them you cannot blandly state that they are a metre high.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 04:05:17 PM

I don't know how tall Sadie is, but I'm short so most people look tall to me. I think Jez was tall himself so was probably better able to judge. I have noticed that Kate and Fiona are fairly close in height and their husbands are about the same amount taller compared to them. David Payne is around 5'10".

Was that Jez?

When I was younger, I was a tall for my generation at 5'8". 

However I have shrunk considerably, especially in the past two years as my spine has collapsed.  But at the time in question I would have been well over 5'-6".


I think that I am probably better at judging height, shape and size than most people.


Figure drawing and portaiture from life were my speciality.   I loved the challenge of drawing from unusual  and more difficult angles.    The angles that most atists shied away from .    I also taught perspective for art at secondary level
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2016, 04:15:53 PM
As we all know, inn the UK there has to be a minimum height for railings, so that people cannot accidentally topple over or accidentally be pushed over.  I have forgotten the minimum height and do we know this photo was taken in the UK?  And when.

The same with railings, the uprights have to be within certain boundaries a prescribed distance apart these days.   so that children can neither fall thru nor can they get their heads stuck between them.   The railings to the balcony on 5A look too far apart tio me.  Maybe they were pre any rulings or maybe PT has no such regulations?

Sorry Alice, but without actually measuring them you cannot blandly state that they are a metre high.

So you are suggesting the balustrades are not in accordance with regulations which have been kicking around for about 30 years ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 04:26:39 PM
So you are suggesting the balustrades are not in accordance with regulations which have been kicking around for about 30 years ?



I am not 'suggesting' anything, just commenting.   

They may have been taller than a metre high; we dont know, do we? 
Where was the photo taken ?
How old are the railings ... over 30 Y.O.?
How far in front of the railings are they standing, for this photograph taken from a low level?


Not enough definite information there to make anything other than a guess.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 10, 2016, 05:04:33 PM
I am not 'suggesting' anything, just commenting.   

They may have been taller than a metre high; we dont know, do we? 
Where was the photo taken ?
How old are the railings ... over 30 Y.O.?
How far in front of the railings are they standing, for this photograph taken from a low level?


Not enough definite information there to make anything other than a guess.


If the photo had been taken from below the height of the railing, it would have appeared to point downwards from front to back. As it appears to point upwards from front to back the photo must have been taken from above railing height. Assuming they are not in front of a trompe l'oeil.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2016, 05:21:15 PM
I am not 'suggesting' anything, just commenting.   

They may have been taller than a metre high; we dont know, do we?  Eurocodes  0,1 & 3 will apply
Where was the photo taken ? Doesn't matter see above
How old are the railings ... over 30 Y.O.? No look at the construction
How far in front of the railings are they standing, for this photograph taken from a low level? Doesn't matter


Not enough definite information there to make anything other than a guess. I'll stick with 1000 datum to centre line of top rail as a fairly accurate sense check. You could use 150mm width of treads as a sense check too. Or of course you can use anthropometry norms to assess the height of the big guys dactylion above datum to give a sense check. Plenty of stuff there to do better than guess
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 10, 2016, 06:27:08 PM
...You could use 150mm width of treads as a sense check ...
Would it be possible to work out people's shoe sizes by comparing with the stair tread width?

It's absurd to base the investigation on a sighting of a child being carried visibly. When the Met solve cases in London involving transportation by a pedestrian, they never even consider such a ludicrously visible method.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 10, 2016, 07:20:16 PM
Would it be possible to work out people's shoe sizes by comparing with the stair tread width?

It's absurd to base the investigation on a sighting of a child being carried visibly. When the Met solve cases in London involving transportation by a pedestrian, they never even consider such a ludicrously visible method.

I doubt you would do it with any degree of accuracy. Shoe sizes seem to advance in small units per half size.
I was only suggesting there are enough clues in the pic to get a sense check on whether Gerry is 5'9"/5'10" or 6'1/6'2".
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 07:22:32 PM
Would it be possible to work out people's shoe sizes by comparing with the stair tread width?

It's absurd to base the investigation on a sighting of a child being carried visibly. When the Met solve cases in London involving transportation by a pedestrian, they never even consider such a ludicrously visible method.

So what is the difference between the hiding in plain sight carrying a child home from creche, where it was a normal sight in PDL at night, and hiding in plain sight when someone abducts a baby from hospital?Why is it ludicrous?

As for GMs height, he tells us Jez Wilkins was 6 ' 3" and he had to look up at him, when he crossed the road to chat, so he cant be 6'1 -6'2 can he?
I suppose one can take the pavement height and add it on to 6'3" and then, well, speculate on how much one tilts their head upwards lol

Have a looky here at just before 2 mins in




Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 08:24:13 PM
So what is the difference between the hiding in plain sight carrying a child home from creche, where it was a normal sight in PDL at night, and hiding in plain sight when someone abducts a baby from hospital?Why is it ludicrous?

As for GMs height, he tells us Jez Wilkins was 6 ' 3" and he had to look up at him, when he crossed the road to chat, so he cant be 6'1 -6'2 can he?
I suppose one can take the pavement height and add it on to 6'3" and then, well, speculate on how much one tilts their head upwards lol

Have a looky here at just before 2 mins in

why is it ludicrous?  I'll tell you why it's ludicrous.  Some would have us believe that the father of the missing child carried her DEAD BODY uncovered, with no disguise to himself, through a holiday town during opening hours to find a hiding place for the body, whilst simultaneously his wife was screaming "abduction".  The same father, the next day after having supposedly been seen by NINE individuals carrying his child's DEAD BODY then goes on TV to be broadcast to the 4 corners of the earth to highlight her disappearance, and subsequently becomes one of the most recognisable men in the world at the time.  Is that ludicrous enough for you, or not so much?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 10, 2016, 08:28:26 PM
He is definitely under 6 ft.

(http://i843.photobucket.com/albums/zz357/JillyCL/gerrymccann.png)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 08:41:48 PM
why is it ludicrous?  I'll tell you why it's ludicrous.  Some would have us believe that the father of the missing child carried her DEAD BODY uncovered, with no disguise to himself, through a holiday town during opening hours to find a hiding place for the body, whilst simultaneously his wife was screaming "abduction".  The same father, the next day after having supposedly been seen by NINE individuals carrying his child's DEAD BODY then goes on TV to be broadcast to the 4 corners of the earth to highlight her disappearance, and subsequently becomes one of the most recognisable men in the world at the time.  Is that ludicrous enough for you, or not so much?

I rather thnk you missed the point, it was the how, not the who, never mind though
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 08:58:48 PM
Going from being unable either to describe the man or pick him out from photographs to a few months later when usually memory has faded even more to being able to identify a particular individual is something indeed.

For a start when first encountered it was after darkness on an ill lit street.

The misidentification took place in daylight in very good lighting conditions.

Almost identical circumstances to the McCluskey misidentification.

The common factor was in my opinion the fact that both of Madeleine's parents had been made arguidos in her disappearance and both men would have been exposed to the propaganda being put about against them in the Portuguese press and picked up by the world's press.

I think they were simply brainwashed and when they witnessed a man carrying a child down steps it was sufficient to trigger a false memory turning the man both already believed to have been carrying Madeleine into her father.

There is provenance in Mr McCluskey's case that he actually saw a man and child - reported his suspicions to the police - who investigated - and who without Mr McCluskey's knowledge was exonerated - subsequently saw Madeleine's father carrying a twin - and recalled the event he had witnessed but this time transposing and misidentifying the innocent man he had seen as someone else.

The man seen and subsequently misidentified by Mr Smith has not been similarly eliminated from the inquiry ... but I would assume that Martin Smith will have changed his mind about his identity, given that he hasn't taken time out to rectify the Sunday Times definitive statement that he has done just that.

It is not a fact Smith misidentified GM, it is likely, possible, arguable but NOT probable or definite...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 10, 2016, 09:00:43 PM
It is not a fact Smith misidentified GM, it is likely, possible, arguable but NOT probable or definite...

Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of the Smith sighting.

Isn't that the clincher?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 10, 2016, 09:05:34 PM
why is it ludicrous?  I'll tell you why it's ludicrous.  Some would have us believe that the father of the missing child carried her DEAD BODY uncovered, with no disguise to himself, through a holiday town during opening hours to find a hiding place for the body, whilst simultaneously his wife was screaming "abduction".  The same father, the next day after having supposedly been seen by NINE individuals carrying his child's DEAD BODY then goes on TV to be broadcast to the 4 corners of the earth to highlight her disappearance, and subsequently becomes one of the most recognisable men in the world at the time.  Is that ludicrous enough for you, or not so much?

He had eight people who would swear he was in the tapas bar or at the least wouldn't contradict his claim and a friend who was willing to put him and the abductor in the same street at the same time. Certainly seems to have worked as the doubt surrounding the sighting testifies to.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 09:06:09 PM
Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of the Smith sighting.

Isn't that the clincher?

It might be if it were possible to prove it
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 09:11:28 PM
It might be if it were possible to prove it
Eight other rersponsible people witnessed him there and almost certainly they would all be prepared to confirm.

Most people would think that proof enough !!!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 09:12:26 PM
Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of the Smith sighting.

Isn't that the clincher?

Not proven, as they say.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 10, 2016, 09:14:52 PM
Not proven, as they say.

Who says?

Not Joao Carlos.

He wrote the final PJ report.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 09:28:02 PM
Eight other rersponsible people witnessed him there and almost certainly they would all be prepared to confirm.

Most people would think that proof enough !!!

No they didnt, at least they never said so...and all we have to go on is statements, not what you or others might think
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 09:34:53 PM


If the photo had been taken from below the height of the railing, it would have appeared to point downwards from front to back. As it appears to point upwards from front to back the photo must have been taken from above railing height. Assuming they are not in front of a trompe l'oeil.

You are right Slarti.  I am wrong on that one.  I was looking at the figures too much and not noticing the way the side railings ran.  Seems the camera was at tummy button height, or just above.

This means that my comments several posts back must be modified in some ways, but not most ways.

The basics are correct but the height differences between Kate and the lady at the front will not be so noticeable.  It hardly affects the height differences between Gerry and Jez (he is a tall guy!) because they were vitually each standing more or less the same distance back from the camera.

I still maintain that Gerry is about 2"-2.65 " shorter than Jez ... NOT 4" as someone said.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 09:46:28 PM
No they didnt, at least they never said so...and all we have to go on is statements, not what you or others might think
They were 8 responsible people.  It is my understanding that Doctors can be struck off if they contravene the Law.

There was no need at the point that the statements were being made to confirm or disagree with the fact that Gerry was there at 10pm.   No public disbelief had been expressed at that stage, so it would never occur to them to make the statement "Gerry was here at that time",   Although some of them might have said "Gerry wasn't there", if he wasn't, as that would have been against the norm.

All the propaganda that was put about really made life impossible for The Mccanns ... and on top of everything else !!.  So many people believed the rubbish.

So sad.

Although I am fairly sure that in one of the statements it said that they all got up when Kate came back distressed and shouting ... and that Gerry led the Tapas group as they ran back to 5A
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 09:56:04 PM
They were 8 responsible people.  It is my understanding that Doctors can be struck off if they contravene the Law.

There was no need at the point that the statements were being made to confirm or disagree with the fact that Gerry was there at 10pm.   No public disbelief had been expressed at that stage, so it would never occur to them to make the statement "Gerry was here at that time",   Although some of them might have said "Gerry wasn't there", if he wasn't, as that would have been against the norm.

All the propaganda that was put about really made life impossible for The Mccanns ... and on top of everything else !!.  So many people believed the rubbish.

So sad.

Although I am fairly sure that in one of the statements it said that they all got up when Kate came back distressed and shouting ... and that Gerry led the Tapas group as they ran back to 5A

It was not an issue until september  2007 when the Smiths said they were 60-80 per cent sure it was GM they saw so wouldnt have been in questions asked/answered by the PJ

Ps re your earlier post that you bet Amaral pressured Smith to say he was 60-80 per cent sure it was GM, I hope you didnt bet alot of money as you wuld have lost...Amaral was not involved one iota..... Smith rang the IRISH police, who later relayed ths statement to the PJ
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 10:09:58 PM
He had eight people who would swear he was in the tapas bar or at the least wouldn't contradict his claim and a friend who was willing to put him and the abductor in the same street at the same time. Certainly seems to have worked as the doubt surrounding the sighting testifies to.
How could he know in advance that he could rely on any one of them to cover for him for 9+ years?  Come on Faithlilly, be honest, you're not stupid - what you're expecting us to accept happened is utterly ludicrous!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 10, 2016, 10:11:12 PM
How could he know in advance that he could rely on any one of them to cover for him for 9+ years?  Come on Faithlilly, be honest, you're not stupid - what you're expecting us to accept happened is utterly ludicrous!

The truth is he couldn't but that chance was better than the alternative.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 10:14:13 PM
The truth is he couldn't but that chance was better than the alternative.
Why do you cling so doggedly to such an idiotic theory?  Surely there are others you can come up with that don't rely on such a deeply improbable series of events?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 10:17:06 PM
Eight other rersponsible people witnessed him there and almost certainly they would all be prepared to confirm.

Most people would think that proof enough !!!

Five of the group said the alarm was raised at 10pm (six if you include the man himself). It's a fact that they collaborated on times also. I have six people who didn't collaborate and who suggest it wasn't 10pm.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARIA_ROSA.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ARLINDO-PELEGA.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/BAREND_WEIJDOM.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/RICARDO-A-D-L-OLIVEIRA.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/JERONIMO-SALCEDAS.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/EMMA_WILDING.htm

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 10:20:15 PM
Five of the group said the alarm was raised at 10pm (six if you include the man himself). It's a fact that they collaborated on times also. I have six people who didn't collaborate and who suggest it wasn't 10pm.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARIA_ROSA.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/ARLINDO-PELEGA.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/BAREND_WEIJDOM.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/RICARDO-A-D-L-OLIVEIRA.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/JERONIMO-SALCEDAS.htm

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/EMMA_WILDING.htm
But you don't think the man seen by the Smiths was carrying Madeleine so...?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 10, 2016, 10:23:20 PM
Why do you cling so doggedly to such an idiotic theory?  Surely there are others you can come up with that don't rely on such a deeply improbable series of events?

I'm sure it's not hard to get friends to say almost anything when scared that they will be charged with neglecting their children. They don't necessarily need to be aware of what exactly has happened.

So what else is impossible ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 10:36:50 PM
I'm sure it's not hard to get friends to say almost anything when scared that they will be charged with neglecting their children. They don't necessarily need to be aware of what exactly has happened.

So what else is impossible ?
Read my sig line,  it's not impossible, just deeply improbable additionally so when you add in the need for a cover-up involving additional people.  deep down I'm sure you realise this.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 10:41:42 PM
Why do you cling so doggedly to such an idiotic theory?  Surely there are others you can come up with that don't rely on such a deeply improbable series of events?

You think that's improbable? Some find the idea of a successful abduction being achieved in the circumstances described as close to impossible.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 10, 2016, 10:44:36 PM
Read my sig line,  it's not impossible, just deeply improbable additionally so when you add in the need for a cover-up involving additional people.  deep down I'm sure you realise this.

What additional people would you need for a cover-up ?

A young child being abducted from her bed while on holiday is deeply improbable. In fact so deeply improbable that supporters have yet to give this forum one example of this happening before, yet still you believe it. So what's the difference ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 10:45:34 PM
Gerry could have said hes popping to the loo....who times it?

none of the t7 had to be " in on it"

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 11:01:04 PM
You think that's improbable? Some find the idea of a successful abduction being achieved in the circumstances described as close to impossible.
but we've established that there were a total of 15 minutes over two time slots during which an abduction could have taken place, and the Met have verified that there WAS an opportunity in the timeline for an abduction, so far from impossible.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 10, 2016, 11:05:27 PM
but we've established that there were a total of 15 minutes over two time slots during which an abduction could have taken place, and the Met have verified that there WAS an opportunity in the timeline for an abduction, so far from impossible.

  ... and it would only have taken a very few minutes of either of those fifteen minute gaps for an intruder to enter the premises and leave carrying Madeleine.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 11:06:48 PM
What additional people would you need for a cover-up ?

A young child being abducted from her bed while on holiday is deeply improbable. In fact so deeply improbable that supporters have yet to give this forum one example of this happening before, yet still you believe it. So what's the difference ?
the "on holiday" bit has no bearing on the likelihood or otherwise of an abduction from a house or home.  It has happened before and examples have been posted on this forum.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 11:10:04 PM
Gerry could have said hes popping to the loo....who times it?

none of the t7 had to be " in on it"
Faithlilly has JT in on it at the very least, and has just claimed that a number of the Tapas group were prepared to vouch for Gerry's wherabouts at the time of the alarm, and G-Unit concluded that they had colluded to set the alarm at 10pm.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 10, 2016, 11:16:14 PM
There is no logic to Faithlilly's theory, yet there is cruel plausibility and precedent to the concept of a child being stolen from an unlocked dwelling by an abuser.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 11:18:32 PM
He is definitely under 6 ft.

(http://i843.photobucket.com/albums/zz357/JillyCL/gerrymccann.png)

Deleted, because I cant be sure, but I dont think that is Gerry.

Gerry has a broadish chest and good shoulders.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 10, 2016, 11:25:14 PM
why is it ludicrous?  I'll tell you why it's ludicrous.  Some would have us believe that the father of the missing child carried her DEAD BODY uncovered, with no disguise to himself, through a holiday town during opening hours to find a hiding place for the body, whilst simultaneously his wife was screaming "abduction".  The same father, the next day after having supposedly been seen by NINE individuals carrying his child's DEAD BODY then goes on TV to be broadcast to the 4 corners of the earth to highlight her disappearance, and subsequently becomes one of the most recognisable men in the world at the time.  Is that ludicrous enough for you, or not so much?

Good post Alfie   8@??)(
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 11:29:15 PM
Faithlilly has JT in on it at the very least, and has just claimed that a number of the Tapas group were prepared to vouch for Gerry's wherabouts at the time of the alarm, and G-Unit concluded that they had colluded to set the alarm at 10pm.

Faith and others have their own theories, theres no crime in that, what we are discussing is who definitely places GM at the Tapas Bar at exactly the tme the alarm was raised...not much if anythng at all there
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 11:32:27 PM
Bwhahah

which one is supposed to be Gerry?  The narrow shoulderd and narrow chested one?  LOL


Come on PFinder, you can't expect us to fall for that one !!!

Its so obviously number *89 but my apologies as youve said your eyesight is not too good
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 10, 2016, 11:35:20 PM
... which one ...?
As Merc says, it's Number **9 Sadie.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 10, 2016, 11:38:02 PM
Bwhahah

which one is supposed to be Gerry?  The narrow shoulderd and narrow chested one?  LOL


Come on PFinder, you can't expect us to fall for that one !!!

I spotted him immediately and I haven't met him. Second from left! I thought you were the expert at recognising people (well Madeleine anyway).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 10, 2016, 11:48:16 PM
Behind car wearing a fake George V beard?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 10, 2016, 11:52:02 PM
Behind car wearing a fake George V beard?

No car wears a fake beard, but yeah that bloke..dead ringer for george v
And the bloke in thr front with anorexic arms is from some 70s disco group


 *&*%£


Oh my days, my bed time
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 10, 2016, 11:56:42 PM
No car wears a fake beard, but yeah that bloke..dead ringed


 *&*%£


Oh my days
Yes I meant the man not the car Merc please try to be serious.
Here's another recognition test - off topic so moved to
http://miscarriageofjustice.co/index.php?topic=7060.msg314031#msg314031
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 12:54:44 AM
Faithlilly has JT in on it at the very least, and has just claimed that a number of the Tapas group were prepared to vouch for Gerry's wherabouts at the time of the alarm, and G-Unit concluded that they had colluded to set the alarm at 10pm.

No collusion was necessary. From each rog except Jane who wasn't there.

"Gerry said or Kate said, it's about thirty minutes since the last check, we ought to go, so that's why I think it's thirty minutes."

"Because you see within seconds it was, you know, everybody split up and did a quick, quick search in a different direction'.

"Again I wasn’t looking at the time but just thinking to what happened is that err Russell came back to table and err they’d actually cooked him a fresh steak and he was just starting to tuck into it when err Kate had obviously gone back to check on the children, came running in you know, as far as I can recollect she said you know she’s gone, Gerry, Madeleine’s gone, screaming you know.” i.e. doesn't know the time!

"‘I think it would have been about ten o’clock’, I didn’t have a watch." i.e. doesn't know the time!

"he was eating his dinner and Kate said that she you know was, must have been about five to ten then or ten o'clock, so Kate said you know, she'd go up and check, do her check and within a couple of minutes later she came back and shouting Madeleines gone." i.e. doesn't know the time!

"Kate left, I hadn't realised that she'd, you know, left the table again just busy chatting, then Kate came back just after ten o' clock, you know absolutely distraught err you know just, you know her face I'll never forget. It was a face of someone's child who had been taken and you know and very clearly said she's gone, she's you know, she's gone, you know and there was a disbelief on our face you know ah you know you must be mistaken, what, and then you know just looking at her we just all err left the table, rushed over to her and as we were walking up towards the flat she said err you know they've taken her and it was, you know, and I know there's been a controversy about what was actually said but you know that is very accurately what had been said." Claims to know the time. Guess who  &%+((£
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 11, 2016, 01:29:15 AM
I spotted him immediately and I haven't met him. Second from left! I thought you were the expert at recognising people (well Madeleine anyway).
Yep, made the same mistake as I did before.  I honed in on the center of the picture and took no notice of the outer part.  Maybe that is because of my eyesight problems, periferal vision weak?  Dunno

I see who you all mean.  When was that taken? ... and what event was that?


And now i am off to bed

Nigh night.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 11, 2016, 01:38:27 AM
Yep, made the same mistake as I did before.  I honed in on the center of the picture and took no notice of the outer part.  Maybe that is because of my eyesight problems, periferal vision weak?  Dunno

I see who you all mean.  When was that taken? ... and what event was that?


And now i am off to bed

Nigh night.

http://themaddiecasefiles.com/topic19399.html
THE HARES AND HOUNDS CLUB - 1986-1987 - page 112

Even with the name underneath ... I think it looks nothing like him.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 11, 2016, 01:48:55 AM
http://themaddiecasefiles.com/topic19399.html
THE HARES AND HOUNDS CLUB - 1986-1987 - page 112

Even with the name underneath ... I think it looks nothing like him.

I can definitely see it's GM. Strange how one person sees an image in a totally different way to another person.
Number 786 resembles a young Edward Norton.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 08:11:49 AM
No collusion was necessary. From each rog except Jane who wasn't there.

"Gerry said or Kate said, it's about thirty minutes since the last check, we ought to go, so that's why I think it's thirty minutes."

"Because you see within seconds it was, you know, everybody split up and did a quick, quick search in a different direction'.

"Again I wasn’t looking at the time but just thinking to what happened is that err Russell came back to table and err they’d actually cooked him a fresh steak and he was just starting to tuck into it when err Kate had obviously gone back to check on the children, came running in you know, as far as I can recollect she said you know she’s gone, Gerry, Madeleine’s gone, screaming you know.” i.e. doesn't know the time!

"‘I think it would have been about ten o’clock’, I didn’t have a watch." i.e. doesn't know the time!

"he was eating his dinner and Kate said that she you know was, must have been about five to ten then or ten o'clock, so Kate said you know, she'd go up and check, do her check and within a couple of minutes later she came back and shouting Madeleines gone." i.e. doesn't know the time!

"Kate left, I hadn't realised that she'd, you know, left the table again just busy chatting, then Kate came back just after ten o' clock, you know absolutely distraught err you know just, you know her face I'll never forget. It was a face of someone's child who had been taken and you know and very clearly said she's gone, she's you know, she's gone, you know and there was a disbelief on our face you know ah you know you must be mistaken, what, and then you know just looking at her we just all err left the table, rushed over to her and as we were walking up towards the flat she said err you know they've taken her and it was, you know, and I know there's been a controversy about what was actually said but you know that is very accurately what had been said." Claims to know the time. Guess who  &%+((£
but you believe DP is in on it!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 08:13:29 AM
Faith and others have their own theories, theres no crime in that, what we are discussing is who definitely places GM at the Tapas Bar at exactly the tme the alarm was raised...not much if anythng at all there
I never said Faithlilly's theory was a crime (though come to think of it, it is a crime against logic and sense).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 08:19:54 AM
but you believe .... ...... is in on it!
Absurd that I'm not even allowed to write the initials.  This forum is already chokkablock of explicit accusations and insinuations, so why remove the initials from my post?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 10:29:57 AM
but you believe .... ...... is in on it!

He has to be investigated and is not ruled out. The others didn't know the time except for the one who had a watch and gave an earlier time.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 11, 2016, 01:09:37 PM
Witness M Smith's description of the man
"He was wearing cream or beige-coloured cloth trousers in a classic cut"
This means that anyone who was wearing blue jeans is certainly not the man M Smith saw.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 01:41:49 PM
He has to be investigated and is not ruled out. The others didn't know the time except for the one who had a watch and gave an earlier time.
your theory is just as barmy as Faithlilly's, no offence like.  It involves paedophilia,  a violent death, one parent willing to overlook the crimes of the other parent and a friend, and who willingly covers up their crimes AND it involves the ludicrous notion of said parent parading through town with a corpse.  Puh-lease.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 02:43:00 PM
your theory is just as barmy as Faithlilly's, no offence like.  It involves paedophilia,  a violent death, one parent willing to overlook the crimes of the other parent and a friend, and who willingly covers up their crimes AND it involves the ludicrous notion of said parent parading through town with a corpse.  Puh-lease.

Eddie indicated a corpse was inside the apartment. If death happened it leads to the night of 3 May and yes the many inconsistencies of that visit only hours before she disappeared could suggest a cover-up. If there was a corpse then it was removed that night and the unidentified man who the eye-witnesses think was with Madeleine is the prime and only credible suspect in this case.

p.s. I know what normally happened at 6:30. It's in their statements.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 11, 2016, 03:10:42 PM
Eddie indicated a corpse was inside the apartment. If death happened it leads to the night of 3 May and yes the many inconsistencies of that visit only hours before she disappeared could suggest a cover-up. If there was a corpse then it was removed that night and the unidentified man who the eye-witnesses think was with Madeleine is the prime and only credible suspect in this case.

p.s. I know what normally happened at 6:30. It's in their statements.


Maddie was abducted
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 11, 2016, 03:22:17 PM
Eddie indicated a corpse was inside the apartment. If death happened it leads to the night of 3 May and yes the many inconsistencies of that visit only hours before she disappeared could suggest a cover-up. If there was a corpse then it was removed that night and the unidentified man who the eye-witnesses think was with Madeleine is the prime and only credible suspect in this case.

p.s. I know what normally happened at 6:30. It's in their statements.

Eddie 'indicated' in the garage ... there was no corpse there.
Eddie 'indicated' in the villa ... there was no corpse there.
Eddie 'indicated' all over the place in the apartment ... there was no corpse there.
Eddie 'indicated' all over the place in Haute de la Garenne ... there was no corpse there.

Eddie's indications were no doubt of interest to investigators, until they were checked out ... Eddie's documented proven alerts when a body was present did just that ... his unproven alerts could have been to anything and nothing.

As far as being evidential goes that is exactly what they are ... nothing.  Unfortunately the PJ of the time were a bit disoriented by the PR and didn't bother with the warning in the small print.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 03:51:15 PM
Eddie 'indicated' in the garage ... there was no corpse there.
Eddie 'indicated' in the villa ... there was no corpse there.
Eddie 'indicated' all over the place in the apartment ... there was no corpse there.
Eddie 'indicated' all over the place in Haute de la Garenne ... there was no corpse there.

Eddie's indications were no doubt of interest to investigators, until they were checked out ... Eddie's documented proven alerts when a body was present did just that ... his unproven alerts could have been to anything and nothing.

As far as being evidential goes that is exactly what they are ... nothing.  Unfortunately the PJ of the time were a bit disoriented by the PR and didn't bother with the warning in the small print.

There doesn't have to be a corpse present for Eddie to alert to the scent. Eddie alerted to the car not the garage. Eddie alerted to the toy not the villa. Eddie alerted to clothes not the gym. Eddie alerted to the apartment not Murat's property or vehicles.

"The apartment in which the McCann's had stayed may present further opportunities to search. The use of a specialist EVRD (Enhanced Victim Recovery Dog) and CSI dog (human blood detecting dog) could potentially indicate on whether Madeline's blood is in the property or the scent of a dead body is present. In relation to the dead body scent if such a scent is indicated by the EVRD and no body is located it may suggest that a body has been in the property but removed. This search process could be repeated in all the apartments that were occupied by the friends holidaying with the McCann's."

Mark Harrison MBE
National Search Adviser

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 04:12:41 PM
Eddie indicated a corpse was inside the apartment. If death happened it leads to the night of 3 May and yes the many inconsistencies of that visit only hours before she disappeared could suggest a cover-up. If there was a corpse then it was removed that night and the unidentified man who the eye-witnesses think was with Madeleine is the prime and only credible suspect in this case.

p.s. I know what normally happened at 6:30. It's in their statements.
Perhaps you can explain why Eddie did not alert to ANY of Gerry McCann's clothes, despite the fact that you believe this individual moved a corpse at least twice, possibly 3 times?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 05:40:39 PM
The dogs only examined the clothes that were present 3 months after the fact.

“At the time we had not established exactly which clothes Gerry was wearing on the night of the disappearance nor which clothes were handed in to be washed on 5th May”, says Gonçalo Amaral

“Last Saturday (05/05/2007) I received a bag of clothes brought in by Mark Warner staff, and was told expressly that these belonged to Madeleine’s family – there was adult clothing (male and female) and children’s clothing… “, states one of the laundry workers.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 11, 2016, 05:49:09 PM
The dogs only examined the clothes that were present 3 months after the fact.

“At the time we had not established exactly which clothes Gerry was wearing on the night of the disappearance nor which clothes were handed in to be washed on 5th May”, says Gonçalo Amaral

“Last Saturday (05/05/2007) I received a bag of clothes brought in by Mark Warner staff, and was told expressly that these belonged to Madeleine’s family – there was adult clothing (male and female) and children’s clothing… “, states one of the laundry workers.

IIRC - according to Martin Grime - washing clothes - even in a washing machine doesn't remove cadaverscent.


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 05:57:51 PM
IIRC - according to Martin Grime - washing clothes - even in a washing machine doesn't remove cadaverscent.

That's not the point. Would they know it? He wanted to identify the clothes that were washed.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 05:58:38 PM
The dogs only examined the clothes that were present 3 months after the fact.

“At the time we had not established exactly which clothes Gerry was wearing on the night of the disappearance nor which clothes were handed in to be washed on 5th May”, says Gonçalo Amaral

“Last Saturday (05/05/2007) I received a bag of clothes brought in by Mark Warner staff, and was told expressly that these belonged to Madeleine’s family – there was adult clothing (male and female) and children’s clothing… “, states one of the laundry workers.
How do you explain the fact that the dog DID alert to clothes belonging to Kate and the children then?  How do you account for the fact that Gerry's jacket which was photographed on the back of the sofa, the one you claim he wore when carrying out his wicked deed, and against which a corpse would have been held tight, did not leave cadaver scent on the sofa itself?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 05:59:31 PM
That's not the point. Would they know it? He wanted to identify the clothes that were washed.
Yes it IS the point.  CLothes worn by the body carrier = no cadaver scent.  Explain it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 11, 2016, 06:10:23 PM
Yes it IS the point.  CLothes worn by the body carrier = no cadaver scent.  Explain it.

The forensic testing, did not confirm anything, one way or the other.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:15:58 PM
The forensic testing, did not confirm anything, one way or the other.
Explain why the dog did not alert to any item of Gerry's clothing, which would have been contaminated with cadaver scent, which cannot be removed by washing but which can be transferred from one item of clothing to another, or to fabric on a sofa?  Can you explain it?  No you cannot.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 11, 2016, 06:17:41 PM
Explain why the dog did not alert to any item of Gerry's clothing, which would have been contaminated with cadaver scent, which cannot be removed by washing but which can be transferred from one item of clothing to another, or to fabric on a sofa?  Can you explain it?  No you cannot.

It would depend on several factors Alfred.

What kind of training have you had in Science ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:20:24 PM
It would depend on several factors Alfred.

What kind of training have you had in Science ?
None, so tell me what it would depend on then, off you go...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 11, 2016, 06:21:16 PM
None, so tell me what it would depend on then, off you go...

Again, I have given you a few examples of variables before.

You need to pay attention and learn.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:23:45 PM
Again, I have given you a few examples of variables before.

You need to pay attention and learn.
Stop patronizing me and just tell me now. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 11, 2016, 06:26:14 PM
Stop patronizing me and just tell me now.

Are you incapable of working it out for yourself.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:30:52 PM
Are you incapable of working it out for yourself.
Yes I am incapable of working it out so please tell me why the dogs did not alert to the back of the sofa, nor to any of Gerry's clothes, whilst alerting to items of clothing belonging to other family members.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 11, 2016, 06:32:02 PM
Yes I am incapable of working it out so please tell me why the dogs did not alert to the back of the sofa, nor to any of Gerry's clothes, whilst alerting to items of clothing belonging to other family members.

Look it up Alfred.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:33:39 PM
Look it up Alfred.
Where would I look?  Why are you incapable of simply telling me now?  Here's a perfect opportunity for you to shine and put me in my place, to demonstrate your superior scientific and logic skills - over to you.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 11, 2016, 06:37:39 PM
Where would I look?  Why are you incapable of simply telling me now?  Here's a perfect opportunity for you to shine and put me in my place, to demonstrate your superior scientific and logic skills - over to you.

I gave you a few points the other day.

It is not my responsibility if you are incapable of looking them up and apply logic to the situation.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:40:06 PM
I gave you a few points the other day.

It is not my responsibility if you are incapable of looking them up and apply logic to the situation.
Cite please.

I'm beginning to think you can't actually come up with any reasonable explanation for why the dogs did not alert to Gerry's clothes.  Not one single reason.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 11, 2016, 06:48:44 PM
That's not the point. Would they know it? He wanted to identify the clothes that were washed.
[/b]

So why didn't he give instructions that nothing was to be disturbed or removed - unless it was with prior permission?   No good blaming the parents for his own shortcomings. 

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 11, 2016, 06:52:40 PM

I can see that I am going to be busy deleting shortly.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 11, 2016, 06:54:44 PM
I have started a thread to examine the scientific reasons why the dog did not alert to Gerry's clothes (despite the fact that they would have been reeking with cadaver scent if the "sceptics" are right) but did alert to Kate and the kid's clothes instead. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 11, 2016, 07:51:18 PM
[/b]

So why didn't he give instructions that nothing was to be disturbed or removed - unless it was with prior permission?   No good blaming the parents for his own shortcomings.

The McCanns do what they want like showing an innocent man cleared by SY as the prime suspect on their website. Any normal person wouldn't be deleting phone call history before meeting the police  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 12, 2016, 12:10:05 AM
The McCanns do what they want like showing an innocent man cleared by SY as the prime suspect on their website. Any normal person wouldn't be deleting phone call history before meeting the police  @)(++(*

I know nothing about mobile phones but I've had my (very basic) mobile for some years.    A while back  I had a message to say I couldn't receive any more messages because my message box was full.   This had never happened before.    As soon as I deleted one of my old messages - a new message which was waiting to be delivered - was delivered.       In 2007 that may have been the case with the mobiles in use by the McCanns and they were deleting old calls so that new calls could get through. 

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 12:14:42 AM
I know nothing about mobile phones but I've had my (very basic) mobile for some years.    A while back  I had a message to say I couldn't receive any more messages because my message box was full.   This had never happened before.    As soon as I deleted one of my old messages - a new message which was waiting to be delivered - was delivered.       In 2007 that may have been the case with the mobiles in use by the McCanns and they were deleting old calls so that new calls could get through.

Yeah right Benice. This is wiping your call history logs like perps wipe their internet browser history before meeting the police.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 12, 2016, 12:17:53 AM
I know nothing about mobile phones but I've had my (very basic) mobile for some years.    A while back  I had a message to say I couldn't receive any more messages because my message box was full.   This had never happened before.    As soon as I deleted one of my old messages - a new message which was waiting to be delivered - was delivered.       In 2007 that may have been the case with the mobiles in use by the McCanns and they were deleting old calls so that new calls could get through.

My mobile is an antique but more up to date than circa 2007 ... I need to keep deleting so that I can receive new messages.

I have never thought there is anything suspicious about it.

Also in particular circumstances when I expect more traffic than usual I make sure all unnecessary messages are deleted ... I would imagine that a couple whose child had just been kidnapped in a foreign land would be especially anxious to ensure all lines of communication were open.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 12, 2016, 12:26:31 AM
My mobile is an antique but more up to date than circa 2007 ... I need to keep deleting so that I can receive new messages.

I have never thought there is anything suspicious about it.

Also in particular circumstances when I expect more traffic than usual I make sure all unnecessary messages are deleted ... I would imagine that a couple whose child had just been kidnapped in a foreign land would be especially anxious to ensure all lines of communication were open.

I totally agree Brietta.   The expectation by some that the McCanns should have been thinking like policemen and regarding their phone traffic as 'evidence'  - instead of thinking and behaving like the distraught terrified parents they were - is ludicrous IMO.   

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 12, 2016, 12:27:57 AM
Yeah right Benice. This is wiping your call history logs like perps wipe their internet browser history before meeting the police.

But it doesn't work like that does it?  The police only have to check with the provider to find out who has been calling who ... and nobody had a smart phone to browse the internet with in those days anyway, so why mention it?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 12:55:30 AM
But it doesn't work like that does it?  The police only have to check with the provider to find out who has been calling who ... and nobody had a smart phone to browse the internet with in those days anyway, so why mention it?

Why mention it? When they looked at their phones it showed neither had used their phone in Portugal until after 11pm on 3 May. Whoosh!

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BoumUz8CQAA-D5t.png)(http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_p305OiLZRCU/TQhjmFJKlDI/AAAAAAAAIpk/qHDZ_kC1CiE/s400/mccanns.jpg)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 12, 2016, 01:01:31 AM
But it doesn't work like that does it?  The police only have to check with the provider to find out who has been calling who ... and nobody had a smart phone to browse the internet with in those days anyway, so why mention it?
Yes deleting call history on phone is pointless because call history is also stored in provider data files.
BTW there was dial-up internet connection from OC landline system that night.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 12, 2016, 01:12:03 AM
Why mention it? When they looked at their phones it showed neither had used their phone in Portugal until after 11pm on 3 May. Whoosh!

The phrase you used was ~  " ... like perps wipe their internet browser history before meeting the police."

As I said, there were no smart phones in 2007 ... so why mention something which could not be done ... a subliminal suggestion perhaps?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 01:28:12 AM
It suggests trying to hide evidence from the police, tampering with the crime scene before they arrived, statements changing, timelines changing, confusion is good for some......I don't need to go over old ground.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 12, 2016, 01:41:22 AM
It suggests trying to hide evidence from the police, tampering with the crime scene before they arrived, statements changing, timelines changing, confusion is good for some......I don't need to go over old ground.

But you have done just that ... and the confusions you mention appears to affect only those posting on fora populated by amateur detectives. 
Fortunately for justice the real detectives of the PJ and SY have investigated and moved way beyond ground hog day and are continuing their investigation into what may have happened to Madeleine.

Martin Smith is behind them in that 100% and Mary has no reservations about it either.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 12, 2016, 09:22:10 AM
But you have done just that ... and the confusions you mention appears to affect only those posting on fora populated by amateur detectives. 
Fortunately for justice the real detectives of the PJ and SY have investigated and moved way beyond ground hog day and are continuing their investigation into what may have happened to Madeleine.

Martin Smith is behind them in that 100% and Mary has no reservations about it either.

Try citing evidence for that last line, direct and verified from the Smiths.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 12, 2016, 09:40:51 AM
Try citing evidence for that last line, direct and verified from the Smiths.

My eldest son, Peter, my youngest daughter, Aoife, and I then flew to Luz to make a statement. They didn't seem to be the most efficient police you ever came across - and that was the last time we had any contact with the investigation.

"I don't know if this information will help the McCanns, but anything we can do to help try to solve it, we will.

from the sky news site

http://news.sky.com/story/593646/missing-madeleine-mccann-irish-witness-clears-murat
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 10:18:38 AM
My eldest son, Peter, my youngest daughter, Aoife, and I then flew to Luz to make a statement. They didn't seem to be the most efficient police you ever came across - and that was the last time we had any contact with the investigation.

"I don't know if this information will help the McCanns, but anything we can do to help try to solve it, we will.

from the sky news site

http://news.sky.com/story/593646/missing-madeleine-mccann-irish-witness-clears-murat

"He was wearing beige trousers and a darker top. We all put him in his early 40s and I didn't think he was Portuguese."

Not from reading their statements.

He appeared to be about 35/40 years old. MS

About 35 years, or older. PS

20/30 years of age. AS (witness 12 years old - age 30 seems ancient to a child)

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 12, 2016, 10:23:35 AM
How do you explain the fact that the dog DID alert to clothes belonging to Kate and the children then?  How do you account for the fact that Gerry's jacket which was photographed on the back of the sofa, the one you claim he wore when carrying out his wicked deed, and against which a corpse would have been held tight, did not leave cadaver scent on the sofa itself?

Could it be that the clothes worn by Gerry on the night had been taken home on one of his visits back ? After all the clothes he had worn on a less than sweltering May are certainly not the clothes he would be wearing in August, certainly not a heavy jacket/shirt and long trousers.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 10:39:38 AM
Could it be that the clothes worn by Gerry on the night had been taken home on one of his visits back ? After all the clothes he had worn on a less than sweltering May are certainly not the clothes he would be wearing in August, certainly not a heavy jacket/shirt and long trousers.
What you are suggesting is that by Summer 2007 NONE of Gerry's clothes were ones he'd had with him in May 2007, seems highly implausible to me. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 12, 2016, 10:44:29 AM
What you are suggesting is that by Summer 2007 NONE of Gerry's clothes were ones he'd had with him in May 2007, seems highly implausible to me.

Not none just the heavier ones which he would have been wearing in, we are told, a rather changeable May.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 12, 2016, 10:45:41 AM
Could it be that the clothes worn by Gerry on the night had been taken home on one of his visits back ? After all the clothes he had worn on a less than sweltering May are certainly not the clothes he would be wearing in August, certainly not a heavy jacket/shirt and long trousers.

Whether he did that or not - doesn't explain why the settee which - if it had been in contact with a heavily contaminated jacket  - maybe for hours - was not alerted to by Eddie.     Cross contamination is instant according to M. Grime.

IMO the logical answer can only be that the jacket was not contaminated - because it had not been in contact with a corpse and therefore cross-contamination was not a possibility when it came to the settee.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 12, 2016, 10:49:09 AM
Whether he did that or not - doesn't explain why the settee which - if it had been in contact with a heavily contaminated jacket  - maybe for hours - was not alerted to by Eddie.     Cross contamination is instant according to M. Grime.

IMO the logical answer can only be that the jacket was not contaminated - because it had not been in contact with a corpse and therefore cross-contamination was not a possibility when it came to the settee.

Grime explained that scent pools. Perhaps it pooled behind the sofa.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 10:52:13 AM
Whether he did that or not - doesn't explain why the settee which - if it had been in contact with a heavily contaminated jacket  - maybe for hours - was not alerted to by Eddie.     Cross contamination is instant according to M. Grime.

IMO the logical answer can only be that the jacket was not contaminated - because it had not been in contact with a corpse and therefore cross-contamination was not a possibility when it came to the settee.

Poor logic. Eddie finds the strongest scent source. He wasn't barking all over the underground car park when he had found the scent. MG said his behaviour changed as soon as he got to the apartment. Scent was in the apartment so his job was to find the strongest source and he alerted in two areas.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 10:55:38 AM
Not none just the heavier ones which he would have been wearing in, we are told, a rather changeable May.
So why no transferral between those clothes and all the other clothes that he had in his wardrobe / cupboard?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 12, 2016, 11:12:33 AM

We've already got a Thread concerning Gerry's Uncontaminated Clothes.  Could we use it, please.

I will be deleting Off Topic Posts.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 12, 2016, 11:43:37 AM
It is obvious to most that the body location would produce the strongest scent being the source.

We're off topic PF.  Can you post on the appropriate thread - and I will reply.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 12, 2016, 11:46:16 AM
I totally agree Brietta.   The expectation by some that the McCanns should have been thinking like policemen and regarding their phone traffic as 'evidence'  - instead of thinking and behaving like the distraught terrified parents they were - is ludicrous IMO.   

Deleting messages is necessary so new ones can be received or sent. Deleting the history of numbers called and of those who have called you is unnecessary because leaving the list there doesn't stop the phone from working. The only reason to do that is so people can't see who you have been calling or who has called you. Why 'distraught and terrified parents' would take the trouble in the first hour after their child disappeared to do that is therefore  a valid question.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 12, 2016, 11:48:02 AM
We're off topic PF.  Can you post on the appropriate thread - and I will reply.

Thank You, Benice.  I don't actually enjoy deleting Posts that are often of some use.  But I will if I must.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 12, 2016, 01:14:36 PM
Deleting messages is necessary so new ones can be received or sent. Deleting the history of numbers called and of those who have called you is unnecessary because leaving the list there doesn't stop the phone from working. The only reason to do that is so people can't see who you have been calling or who has called you. Why 'distraught and terrified parents' would take the trouble in the first hour after their child disappeared to do that is therefore  a valid question.

I really don't know enough about how mobiles work to comment G,

However, what sort of a plan was it that involved having incriminatory 'evidence' on their phones  - which was apparently still there after they'd raised the alarm when as far as they knew the police could arrive within minutes.   

Surely it would be a major part of their cunning plan to make sure there was no incriminatory 'evidence' on their phones in the first place?     


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 01:18:07 PM
You child has died accidentally one evening and you and your wife decide to cover up the death.  What incriminating phone messages do you suppose they sent each other that evening, and when? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 01:20:47 PM
I really don't know enough about how mobiles work to comment G,

However, what sort of a plan was it that involved having incriminatory 'evidence' on their phones  - which was apparently still there after they'd raised the alarm when as far as they knew the police could arrive within minutes.   

Surely it would be a major part of their cunning plan to make sure there was no incriminatory 'evidence' on their phones in the first place?   

Police arrive within minutes. You need to call them for that to happen. It took Fiona to get the ball moving. It's not hard to work out why when everything connects.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 12, 2016, 01:30:43 PM
Police arrive within minutes. You need to call them for that to happen. It took Fiona to get the ball moving. It's not hard to work out why when everything connects.


Once the alarm had been raised any number of people unconnected to the McCanns could have immediately phoned the police.   Restaurant staff, other holidaymakers etc.   The McCanns would have no way of knowing whether that would happen or not.  Neither would they know whether the police were an hour away or just round the corner when they got the call.

Once again PF you use hindsight which the McCanns did not have at that time.

IMO



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 01:59:25 PM
They found her missing and knew she was abducted so they call them and they were the only ones out of the group to see an open window. Go figure.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 12, 2016, 03:31:02 PM
IMO the only calls of any interest that night are
23:14 G calls K (8 seconds)
23:17 G calls K (31 seconds)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 12, 2016, 04:34:41 PM
You child has died accidentally one evening and you and your wife decide to cover up the death.  What incriminating phone messages do you suppose they sent each other that evening, and when?

They deleted the whole week's call records. As to the evening in question, who knows? I've never been able to work out whether the PJ got the complete records from the phone companies or whether they identified all the numbers. With regard to Kate McCann she left numbers she called or who called her before 28th April, but deleted all calls except two from 28th April to 23.17 on 3rd May.

Her mobile memory held details of 39 calls from 18.28 on Wednesday 25th April to 16.35 on 27th April 2007. After her arrival in Portugal on 28th April 2007, with the exception of one incoming call on Wednesday 2nd May 2007 at 11.21 (which, very interestingly, was the Swansea 'wrong number'), and one call from her husband at 23.17 on Thursday 3rd May 2007, everything else has been 'whoosh-clunked' from memory.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/DELETED_CALLS.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 05:03:36 PM
They deleted the whole week's call records. As to the evening in question, who knows? I've never been able to work out whether the PJ got the complete records from the phone companies or whether they identified all the numbers. With regard to Kate McCann she left numbers she called or who called her before 28th April, but deleted all calls except two from 28th April to 23.17 on 3rd May.

Her mobile memory held details of 39 calls from 18.28 on Wednesday 25th April to 16.35 on 27th April 2007. After her arrival in Portugal on 28th April 2007, with the exception of one incoming call on Wednesday 2nd May 2007 at 11.21 (which, very interestingly, was the Swansea 'wrong number'), and one call from her husband at 23.17 on Thursday 3rd May 2007, everything else has been 'whoosh-clunked' from memory.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/DELETED_CALLS.htm
There can be no logical reason I can think of for deleting phone records in the event of your child's unforeseen and accidental death, unless it has been done in order to free up space on the phone or in the belief that it would be necessary to do so, anticipating a hig volume of incoming messages.  Or unless the McCanns had been subjecting Madeleine to all sorts of grim activities prior to her death, the sort of activities  which contributed to her death, and which they felt compelled to message other people about - do you think that's very likely?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 05:45:39 PM
IMO the only calls of any interest that night are
23:14 G calls K (8 seconds)
23:17 G calls K (31 seconds)
Why would those be particularly interesting to you? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 12, 2016, 05:59:39 PM
There can be no logical reason I can think of for deleting phone records in the event of your child's unforeseen and accidental death, unless it has been done in order to free up space on the phone or in the belief that it would be necessary to do so, anticipating a hig volume of incoming messages.  Or unless the McCanns had been subjecting Madeleine to all sorts of grim activities prior to her death, the sort of activities  which contributed to her death, and which they felt compelled to message other people about - do you think that's very likely?

if you were sitting around waiting trying to kill time...deleting phone records is exactly the type of pointless things people might do
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 06:01:41 PM
Did the police ask the McCanns about these deleted phone calls in either their arguido interviews or their rogatory interviews?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 12, 2016, 06:04:57 PM
There can be no logical reason I can think of for deleting phone records in the event of your child's unforeseen and accidental death, unless it has been done in order to free up space on the phone or in the belief that it would be necessary to do so, anticipating a hig volume of incoming messages.  Or unless the McCanns had been subjecting Madeleine to all sorts of grim activities prior to her death, the sort of activities  which contributed to her death, and which they felt compelled to message other people about - do you think that's very likely?

Logs don't take up any memory to be effective. It's only a list of calls. Funny how the older logs before Portugal weren't cleared. It suggests that they knew what they were clearing.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 12, 2016, 06:09:09 PM
Logs don't take up any memory to be effective. It's only a list of calls. Funny how the older logs before Portugal weren't cleared. It suggests that they knew what they were clearing.
Perhaps they only cleared stuff that they knew they wouldn't need to refer to again?  And perhaps you can give one good example of the kind of incriminating message you believe they would have needed to delete from days prior to Madeleine's disappearance, that wouldhave any bearing on her disappearance.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 12, 2016, 06:14:08 PM
Didn't Lord Justice Tugendhat make it very clear, in his ruling in the matter of Tony Bennett's breaches to the High Court, that mobile telephone traffic in PdL on May 3rd had been meticulously analysed during the course of the shelved enquiry and found to be blameless?

In the meantime (lest there be doubt) Martin Smith has changed his mind.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 12, 2016, 06:27:56 PM
The dogs only examined the clothes that were present 3 months after the fact.

“At the time we had not established exactly which clothes Gerry was wearing on the night of the disappearance nor which clothes were handed in to be washed on 5th May”, says Gonçalo Amaral

“Last Saturday (05/05/2007) I received a bag of clothes brought in by Mark Warner staff, and was told expressly that these belonged to Madeleine’s family – there was adult clothing (male and female) and children’s clothing… “, states one of the laundry workers.

M's immediate family or anyone hosted by OC with a global accounting reference to be charged to the "McCann account"? OC / MW did appear to have provided free accommodation for those who had to stay on or who who had come out to support the family.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 12, 2016, 08:25:41 PM
if you were sitting around waiting trying to kill time...deleting phone records is exactly the type of pointless things people might do

Are you suggesting they got so bored waiting for the police to arrive that they sat around deleting their call records for something to do?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Admin on March 12, 2016, 10:24:40 PM
I know it's Saturday night guys but please stop the squabbling.

ps further disruption will attract sanctions.

Admin
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 12:38:53 AM
There is no evidence at all that MS has changed his mind.
It is obvious that he was very serious when he spoke with Garda, LP and Paiva in Sept 2007.
And he was willing to fly back to Portugal to make a formal identification.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Carana on March 13, 2016, 12:42:45 AM
There is no evidence at all that MS has changed his mind.
It is obvious that he was very serious when he spoke with Garda, LP and Paiva in Sept 2007.
And he was willing to fly back to Portugal to make a formal identification.

He was ready to fly back, yes. But a formal identification of... what?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alfred R Jones on March 13, 2016, 12:43:03 AM
 8(>((
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 13, 2016, 12:48:57 AM
There is no evidence at all that MS has changed his mind.
It is obvious that he was very serious when he spoke with Garda, LP and Paiva in Sept 2007.
And he was willing to fly back to Portugal to make a formal identification.

He was willing to fly back to Portugal but Rebelo who was aware of the McCluskey misidentification among other things, didn't ask him to ... 

Martin Smith would read the files on their release - and don't tell me he didn't - and realised that he shared in almost each detail his misidentification with Mr McCluskey.  That would give him food for thought and he would work it out from there.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 12:58:24 AM
He was willing to fly back to Portugal but Rebelo who was aware of the McCluskey misidentification among other things, didn't ask him to ... 

Martin Smith would read the files on their release - and don't tell me he didn't - and realised that he shared in almost each detail his misidentification with Mr McCluskey.  That would give him food for thought and he would work it out from there.
MS would certainly have been flown back to Portugal in early October 2007 to make a formal identification had someone not engineered to stop it by discarding Mr Amaral. MS was asked to fly back and expressed his willingness to fly back in a phone conversation with Amaral's PJ on about Sept 27th 2007, this is documented in the files, I can post it if you want. The idea that MS later studied the PJ files and miraculously reversed his Sept 2007 identification is pure conjecture IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 13, 2016, 01:04:34 AM
MS would certainly have been flown back to Portugal in early October 2007 to make a formal identification had someone not engineered to stop it by discarding Mr Amaral. MS was asked to fly back and expressed his willingness to fly back in a phone conversation with Amaral's PJ on about Sept 27th 2007, this is documented in the files, I can post it if you want. The idea that MS later studied the PJ files and miraculously reversed his Sept 2007 identification is pure conjecture IMO.

Unless MS (& the other members of his family) also altered the reported time of the sighting, the formal identification would have been worthless.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 01:11:50 AM
Unless MS (& the other members of his family) also altered the reported time of the sighting, the formal identification would have been worthless.
None of the Irish group gave an exact time from a clock. The exact time we do know is the card transaction at Dolphin, which makes it likely the sighting was some time after 10pm.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 13, 2016, 01:16:23 AM
None of the Irish group gave an exact time from a clock. The exact time we do know is the card transaction at Dolphin, which makes it likely the sighting was some time after 10pm.

AS had the time of departure from the Dolphin spot on. How do you think she did that?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 01:30:23 AM
AS had the time of departure from the Dolphin spot on. How do you think she did that?
The point is, the time of the sighting is known only very approximately, it depends whose estimate you chose to read.
For example PS said that they left Kellys 50 to 60 minutes after they left Dolphin, and we know they left Dolphin after 21:27, therefore the sighting was after 22:17, at earliest. So purely hypothetically you could have table alarm 22:00, rush arrives back at apartment gate 22:01, leave apartment 22:14, sighted 22:17.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 13, 2016, 01:40:01 AM
The point is, the time of the sighting is known only very approximately, it depends whose estimate you chose to read.
For example PS said that they left Kellys 50 to 60 minutes after they left Dolphin, and we know they left Dolphin after 21:27, therefore the sighting was after 22:17, at earliest. So purely hypothetically you could have table alarm 22:00, rushers arrive back at apartment 22:01, leave apartment 22:14, sighted 22:17.

Hypothetical timing does not stand up in a court of law. The witness with the only accurate time for departure from the Dolphin begs to differ with the witness who changed his mind about not being able to recognise the man he allegedly saw at a different stated time.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 13, 2016, 01:54:26 AM
MS would certainly have been flown back to Portugal in early October 2007 to make a formal identification had someone not engineered to stop it by discarding Mr Amaral. MS was asked to fly back and expressed his willingness to fly back in a phone conversation with Amaral's PJ on about Sept 27th 2007, this is documented in the files, I can post it if you want. The idea that MS later studied the PJ files and miraculously reversed his Sept 2007 identification is pure conjecture IMO.

I don't know where you are coming from thinking that Mr Amaral's removal from the case was "engineered" he managed to do it all by himself by becoming an embarrassment and nearly causing a diplomatic incident with his loose talk.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 02:46:46 AM
I don't know where you are coming from thinking that Mr Amaral's removal from the case was "engineered" he managed to do it all by himself by becoming an embarrassment and nearly causing a diplomatic incident with his loose talk.
Do you really believe that one phone call with a journo on evening 1st October, in which he commented on UK police, was the real reason he was disposed of on 2nd October? Nothing with someoneelse's post-arguido phone chats with high up people then?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 11:24:17 AM
None of the Irish group gave an exact time from a clock. The exact time we do know is the card transaction at Dolphin, which makes it likely the sighting was some time after 10pm.

Yes one revealed an exact time and another exact time minutes later aka hook, line and sinker.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 11:34:18 AM
Hypothetical timing does not stand up in a court of law. The witness with the only accurate time for departure from the Dolphin begs to differ with the witness who changed his mind about not being able to recognise the man he allegedly saw at a different stated time.

Two exact times.

"Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left."

Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 22H03. Both are still unidentified 8 years later.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 13, 2016, 03:17:40 PM
Do you really believe that one phone call with a journo on evening 1st October, in which he commented on UK police, was the real reason he was disposed of on 2nd October? Nothing with someoneelse's post-arguido phone chats with high up people then?

I believe it was the instrument used to sort out a loose cannon ... in his book he says as much.

Part and parcel of that was probably the embarrassing mumbo jumbo of dream interpretations and total misunderstanding of forensics which precipitated the premature rush to have Madeleine's parents constituted arguidos ... particularly as eight days later a change in the law would not have allowed it.

I think flying Martin Smith in to explain how a man he could not identify carried a child would have been the final straw for him if his indiscreet phone call hadn't already done it ... Rebelo didn't do it, probably after he had investigated what Martin Smith had to say ...

Interesting you mention high powered phone calls ... from whom to whom??
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 06:31:28 PM
I believe it was the instrument used to sort out a loose cannon ... in his book he says as much.

Part and parcel of that was probably the embarrassing mumbo jumbo of dream interpretations and total misunderstanding of forensics which precipitated the premature rush to have Madeleine's parents constituted arguidos ... particularly as eight days later a change in the law would not have allowed it.

I think flying Martin Smith in to explain how a man he could not identify carried a child would have been the final straw for him if his indiscreet phone call hadn't already done it ... Rebelo didn't do it, probably after he had investigated what Martin Smith had to say ...

Interesting you mention high powered phone calls ... from whom to whom??
(answered re phones on "wandering off topic" thread)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 13, 2016, 06:40:26 PM
N.B. complaints about Moderators are to be addressed to the Forum owner and not posted on the boards.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Angelo222 on March 13, 2016, 07:24:12 PM
N.B. complaints about Moderators are to be addressed to the Forum owner and not posted on the boards.

I will add, continued posting of off topic comment on this thread will attract penalties.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 07:51:14 PM
Smith saw a man carrying a child
That much we know for sure
His opinion of who it was seems very unreliable
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 07:57:15 PM
Until the man is identified mr smiths 60-80% sure stands...and thats the end of it..no evidence or proof that he ever changed hs mind
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 13, 2016, 07:57:30 PM
Indeed, it might not have been Madeleine.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:01:31 PM
Indeed, it might not have been Madeleine.

Indeed, thats probably why the mccanns never made any big deal of it or the efits...oh hang on...theymade a big deal of other "ridiculous sightings"

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 08:02:34 PM
Until the man is identified mr smiths 60-80% sure stands...and thats the end of it..no evidence or proof that he ever changed hs mind

It can stand... Who cares ... It is of no significance
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 13, 2016, 08:04:10 PM
Indeed, it might not have been Madeleine.

Very true but there  are those who prefer to argue Smithman is "the man who wasn't there" rather than another variant of "crecheman" .............................?!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:04:32 PM
It can stand... Who cares ... It is of no significance

Bit like the dogs and anythng else which doesnt suit, lol, who cares? Mccanns certainly didnt cardpe about a very important sightng or a cadaver dog alerting

 &%+((£
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 13, 2016, 08:07:20 PM
Bit like the dogs and anythng else which doesnt suit, lol, who cares? Mccanns certainly didnt cardpe about a very important sightng or a cadaver dog alerting

 &%+((£

I think they did, actually, but tried to pass it all off as rubbish.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:09:11 PM
I think they did, actually, but tried to pass it all off as rubbish.

Yes, Kate Mccann was particularly scathing in her book too....interesting that they have never stated that Smith was wrong
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 13, 2016, 08:29:34 PM
Two exact times.

"Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left."

Smithman carrying a child in his arms checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 22H03. Both are still unidentified 8 years later.

My dear Pfinder, you keep repeating that Smithman checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 22H03.  How do you know if Smithman checked his watch or not?   You weren't there ... and nobody saw him after he passed the Smith Family..

Please can you tell us where you got this "information" from.

It's not disinformation, is it?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 08:30:16 PM
I think they did, actually, but tried to pass it all off as rubbish.

as I have said many times...sceptics simply do not understand the evidence
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:34:02 PM
as I have said many times...sceptics simply do not understand the evidence

What a curious phenomenon, do extrapolate on this theory of yours
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 08:39:22 PM
What a curious phenomenon, do extrapolate on this theory of yours

you are a prime example.....recently you referred to the alerts as not being evidential evidence...where did you get that from....the alerts are evidence of nothing....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:39:39 PM
Its akin to sayng all labour supporters as opposed to tory or lib dem supporters are uneducated, have low iqs, are ignorant etc etc, ie total and utter  nonsense
Feel free to interchange parties, just an example
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:40:20 PM
you are a prime example.....recently you referred to the alerts as not being evidential evidence...where did you get that from....the alerts are evidence of nothing....

Lol at prime example

Your sentence makes no sense btw
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 08:46:59 PM
Lol at prime example

Your sentence makes no sense btw

my sentence makes perfect sense...it is your comprehension that is at fault
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:51:20 PM
my sentence makes perfect sense...it is your comprehension that is at fault

There you go again nsulting others, go reread your post
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 08:53:37 PM
There you go again nsulting others, go reread your post

my post makes perfect sense...the problem is with you and you comprehension
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 08:56:49 PM
my post makes perfect sense...the problem is with you and you comprehension

If you say so

>>>>>>>> your post

you are a prime example.....recently you referred to the alerts as not being evidential evidence...where did you get that from....the alerts are evidence of nothing....


Anyway we dont  really want to do the 301st dog thread do we? So best leave it there
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 08:59:02 PM
If you say so

>>>>>>>> your post

you are a prime example.....recently you referred to the alerts as not being evidential evidence...where did you get that from....the alerts are evidence of nothing....


Anyway we dont  really want to do the 301st dog thread do we? So best leave it there


I say so
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:01:49 PM

I say so

Whch usually means unadulterated biased childish abusive rubbish, oh well, nothng to see here folks, move on >>>>
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:03:12 PM
Whch usually means unadulterated biased childish abusive rubbish, oh well, nothng to see here folks, move on >>>>

which would describe your comment that my sentence made no sense
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:08:43 PM
which would describe your comment that my sentence made no sense

Pathetic

The dog alerts are at least evidence of a cadaver dog alerting to what he has been trained  to alert to, ie scent of decomposing bodies,  do I have to hone it down more for you to understand? No? Good.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:11:46 PM
Pathetic

The dog alerts are at least evidence of a cadaver dog alerting to what he has been trained  to alert to, ie scent of decomposing bodies,  do I have to hone it down more for you to understand? No? Good.
#
which part of no evidential reliability do you not understand...as I have said you are a prime example of a sceptic who does not understand the evidence..the dog alerts to blood too by the way
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:15:18 PM
as I was saying before being distracted...smiths supposed ID of Gerry is extremely weak due to the lighting and the fact he did not see the mans face...it is not important if he has changed his mind or not
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:15:24 PM
#
which part of no evidential reliability do you not understand...as I have said you are a prime example of a sceptic who does not understand the evidence..the dog alerts to blood too by the way

Reread your original post to me on evidential reliability and evidence
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 09:15:53 PM
Until the man is identified mr smiths 60-80% sure stands...and thats the end of it..no evidence or proof that he ever changed hs mind

No, it doesn't.

Unless you think Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he was 60 to 80% sure was Gerry.

Which is absurd ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:16:38 PM
Reread your original post to me on evidential reliability and evidence

I haven't made an original post on evidential  reliability...the thread is re smith man...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:17:30 PM
No, it doesn't.

Unless you think Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he was 60 to 80% sure was Gerry.

Which is absurd ....

shall we not do groundhog day again and again and again? It must be  weary for the soul lol
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 09:18:58 PM
shall we not do groundhog day again and again and again? It must be  weary for the soul lol

Would he?

And if so, why?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:19:41 PM
Would he?

And if so, why?

how can you produce an e fit of a face you admit you did not see
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:19:58 PM
I haven't made an original post on evidential  reliability...the thread is re smith man...

Are you slow or playing dumb? Your post 871 as i said about evidential reliablity, made to ME!

actually dont worry, im bored of you already


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:20:52 PM
Would he?

And if so, why?

So you enjoy groundhog day, have fun
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 09:29:59 PM
how can you produce an e fit of a face you admit you did not see

I don't place much store on the PJ reports, not because I have disrespect for the officers who took them, but because they were taken in reported form, delivered in one language, translated into another, then re-translated back into English and in the form we (finally) read on line.

I believe 'Watcher' on Amazon has the low-down on the technology that can be used for the production of efits as detailed as those produced by the Smiths.

How good it is (at enabling eye-witnesses to produce images that lead to identification of their subjects) I have no idea.

But Watcher suggests that's what they used.

She may be right.

I've no idea.

Perhaps the efits are, ultimately, not very useful (in helping to identify anyone named).

But they are the best shots, of an honest couple, both desperate to assist efforts to identify and nail the abductors of Madeleine, the best way they can.

We should applaud their efforts (I think) .....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:31:08 PM
Are you slow or playing dumb? Your post 871 as i said about evidential reliablity, made to ME!

actually dont worry, im bored of you already

871 doesn't mention evidential reliability.......someone is certainly dumb and slow
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:35:30 PM
871 doesn't mention evidential reliability.......someone is certainly dumb and slow

Ah yes it mentioned "evidential evidence"

 @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:37:14 PM
Ah yes it mentioned "evidential evidence"

 @)(++(*

dumb and slow were the words you used
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:38:19 PM
dumb and slow were the words you used

I asked you if you were slow or playng dumb in answer to a post whch was clear, that is not the same as calling you dumb and slow, pls dont twist, its dishonest

And evidential evidence is the oxymoron you used
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:41:48 PM
And evidential evidence is the oxymoron you used

I was quoting you from one of your now removed posts
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 09:42:20 PM
I don't place much store on the PJ reports, not because I have disrespect for the officers who took them, but because they were taken in reported form, delivered in one language, translated into another, then re-translated back into English and in the form we (finally) read on line.

I believe 'Watcher' on Amazon has the low-down on the technology that can be used for the production of efits as detailed as those produced by the Smiths.

How good it is (at enabling eye-witnesses to produce images that lead to identification of their subjects) I have no idea.

But Watcher suggests that's what they used.

She may be right.

I've no idea.

Perhaps the efits are, ultimately, not very useful (in helping to identify anyone named).

But they are the best shots, of an honest couple, both desperate to assist efforts to identify and nail the abductors of Madeleine, the best way they can.

We should applaud their efforts (I think) .....

The McCanns spent 100K to get the files translated. If that was paid by the fund they should be released.

"Gonçalo Amaral went on air on CMTV to say Gerry McCann had also been seen on the beach on the night Madeleine went missing - but that the witness who placed him there (a British tourist) had her testimony wiped from police records."
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:44:25 PM
I was quoting you from one of your now removed posts

Oh really, nice try, as pathetic as your squirming and avoiding, par for the course
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 09:45:44 PM
The McCanns spent 100K to get the files translated. If that was paid by the fund they should be released.

"Gonçalo Amaral went on air on CMTV to say Gerry McCann had also been seen on the beach on the night Madeleine went missing - but that the witness who placed him there (a British tourist) had her testimony wiped from police records."

No clue what you are driving at.

.....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:46:44 PM
The McCanns spent 100K to get the files translated. If that was paid by the fund they should be released.

"Gonçalo Amaral went on air on CMTV to say Gerry McCann had also been seen on the beach on the night Madeleine went missing - but that the witness who placed him there (a British tourist) had her testimony wiped from police records."

Of course it was...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 09:47:52 PM
No clue what you are driving at.

.....

You're not very perceptive. Somebody unidentified was seen heading towards the beach.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:47:59 PM
Oh really, nice try, as pathetic as your squirming and avoiding, par for the course

seeing as it took you 40 mins to read the post correctly you should consider you words of dumb and slow are self inflicted
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:50:58 PM
seeing as it took you 40 mins to read the post correctly you should consider you words of dumb and slow are self inflicted

Do explain to the forum what "evidential evidence " means
Ta
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 13, 2016, 09:52:08 PM
You're not very perceptive. Somebody unidentified was seen heading towards the beach.


How did Amaral know about that sighting?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:52:39 PM
Do explain to the forum what "evidential evidence " means
Ta

as you coined the phrase you should
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 09:54:24 PM
as you coined the phrase you should

Prove it or shut up hey?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 09:59:20 PM
Prove it or shut up hey?

why should I bother...you have proved you cannot read a post properly
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:00:12 PM
You're not very perceptive. Somebody unidentified was seen heading towards the beach.

Gerry has alibis placing him at the Tapas Restaurant at the time of the Smith sighting, recorded in the final PJ report.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:01:45 PM
why should I bother...you have proved you cannot read a post properly

To prove your not telling  little porkies whch WILL be the assumption wthout proof
You are also unable to read documents properly as proven on an older thread but lets forget about that


 8((()*/

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:03:36 PM
To prove your not telling  little porkies whch WILL be the assumption wthout proof
You are also unable to read documents properly as proven on an older thread but lets forget about that


 8((()*/

who cares what you think
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:05:30 PM
who cares what you think

dont know, but suredly hardly anyone cares what you thnk as youre a terrible debater and that turns people OFF

 8((()*/

Now go play elsewhere if anyone will have u, moral of the story, dont dish it out, u wont then get it slung back, simple lesson to learn really
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 10:08:56 PM
you are a prime example.....recently you referred to the alerts as not being evidential evidence...where did you get that from....the alerts are evidence of nothing....

Whereas there may be no retrievable evidence for court purposes this may well assist intelligence gathering in Major Crime investigations. Forensic testing may not produce evidence but any alert may provide intelligence to support other factors in the investigation of a crime. MG

These dogs, which had already been used on multiple occasions by the Scotland Yard and by the FBI with positive results.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/LEGAL_SUMMARY.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:09:46 PM
The wash-up is that Martin Smith has changed his mind, as has wife, on record as saying so.

Both now believe they (and their family) may have seen Madeleine's abductor ....
if true
Maybe someone threatened them, highly plausible
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:10:26 PM
dont know, but suredly hardly anyone cares what you thnk as youre a terrible debater and that turns people OFF

 8((()*/

Now go play elsewhere if anyone will have u, moral of the story, dont dish it out, u wont then get it slung back, simple lesson to learn really

perhaps it could turn you off as you have been spouting rubbish for the past hour
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:11:21 PM
Whereas there may be no retrievable evidence for court purposes this may well assist intelligence gathering in Major Crime investigations. Forensic testing may not produce evidence but any alert may provide intelligence to support other factors in the investigation of a crime. MG

These dogs, which had already been used on multiple occasions by the Scotland Yard and by the FBI with positive results.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/LEGAL_SUMMARY.htm

Correct, and all those that say the dog alert is meangless have no basis for sayng so, so slam dunk
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:12:14 PM
if true
Maybe someone threatened them, highly plausible

Why?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:14:37 PM
Correct, and all those that say the dog alert is meangless have no basis for sayng so, so slam dunk

my basis for saying the alerts are meaningless is the statement by Martin Grime who you may have heard of
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 10:17:12 PM
my basis for saying the alerts are meaningless is the statement by Martin Grime who you may have heard of

Betcha like the fact that Scotland Yard used the dogs before the McCann case with positive results. That's an eye-opener for ya  8(>((
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:19:44 PM
Betcha like the fact that Scotland Yard used the dogs before the McCann case with positive results. That's an eye-opener for ya  8(>((


could you provide independent scientific evidence for the alerts...if you cannot then you can make no claims about them
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 13, 2016, 10:23:36 PM
Smith saw a man carrying a child
That much we know for sure
His opinion of who it was seems very unreliable
But Davel his testimony about the colour of the man's trousers is not unreliable at all.
Actually it completely rules out the man being GM, and I'm surprised you don't make use of this in your posts.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:24:45 PM
Whereas there may be no retrievable evidence for court purposes this may well assist intelligence gathering in Major Crime investigations. Forensic testing may not produce evidence but any alert may provide intelligence to support other factors in the investigation of a crime. MG

These dogs, which had already been used on multiple occasions by the Scotland Yard and by the FBI with positive results.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/LEGAL_SUMMARY.htm

A classic example, and one that highlights the difference between evidence and intelligence, is the Kate Prout murder case.

The evidence against (Adrian) Prout was that Kate had not used her credit cards and her bank accounts were untouched, for the whole period she was reported missing (and she would have needed money to live).

But a cadaver dog (Eddie, as it happens) alerted in the lounge of the matrimonial home, leading detectives to hypothesise that Prout had strangled Kate in the lounge of the matrimonial home.

An erroneous detail.

In a safe conviction.

And (the essential point) an illustration of the difference between intelligence and evidence.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 10:31:21 PM
A classic example, and one that highlights the difference between evidence and intelligence, is the Kate Prout murder case.

The evidence against (Adrian) Prout was that Kate had not used her credit cards and her bank accounts were untouched, for the whole period she was reported missing (and she would have needed money to live).

But a cadaver dog (Eddie, as it happens) alerted in the lounge of the matrimonial home, leading detectives to hypothesise that Prout had strangled Kate in the lounge of the matrimonial home.

An erroneous detail.

In a safe conviction.

And (the essential point) an illustration of the difference between intelligence and evidence.

Eddie's alert provided no forensic evidence in the Prout case but it gave the police the intelligence to know who was the murderer.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:32:38 PM
Whereas there may be no retrievable evidence for court purposes this may well assist intelligence gathering in Major Crime investigations. Forensic testing may not produce evidence but any alert may provide intelligence to support other factors in the investigation of a crime. MG

These dogs, which had already been used on multiple occasions by the Scotland Yard and by the FBI with positive results.

http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/LEGAL_SUMMARY.htm

#from your link...

1 - The tracking dog named "Eddie" (dog that signals cadaver odour) "marked" (signalled) inside the couple's bedroom, in apartment 5A, in an area next to the wardrobe (cf. page 2054 and/or annex 88);


did they not understand eddie alerts to blood too
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 13, 2016, 10:34:02 PM
#from your link...

1 - The tracking dog named "Eddie" (dog that signals cadaver odour) "marked" (signalled) inside the couple's bedroom, in apartment 5A, in an area next to the wardrobe (cf. page 2054 and/or annex 88);


did they not understand eddie alerts to blood too

Probably why they used a blood dog that didn't alert.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:34:47 PM
#from your link...

1 - The tracking dog named "Eddie" (dog that signals cadaver odour) "marked" (signalled) inside the couple's bedroom, in apartment 5A, in an area next to the wardrobe (cf. page 2054 and/or annex 88);


did they not understand eddie alerts to blood too

Groundhg day? Keela the blood dog searched the bedroom and found no blood ergo eddie was not reacting to blood, sigh, its you who doesnt understand the actual facts lol

Eta oops cross posted with slarti
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 10:35:38 PM
#from your link...

1 - The tracking dog named "Eddie" (dog that signals cadaver odour) "marked" (signalled) inside the couple's bedroom, in apartment 5A, in an area next to the wardrobe (cf. page 2054 and/or annex 88);


did they not understand eddie alerts to blood too

There was no blood found at his first alert at the wardrobe. Unseen human blood is harder to detect than if a death happened inside the apartment. Eddie finds cadaver scent quickly so goes in first.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:36:14 PM
Probably why they used a blood dog that didn't alert.

"probably " isn't good enough when you are accusing people of serious crime...eddie alerts to cadaver and blood
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:36:43 PM
Eddie's alert provided no forensic evidence in the Prout case but it gave the police the intelligence to know who was the murderer.

No, it didn't.  The police would have brought the prosecution with, or without, the dog's alert, which was never produced in court to the jury (uncorroborated dog-alerts are excluded as evidence in English courts).

But the police used the dog-alert as their (untested and unpresented, to the jury) assumption that Prout had murdered his wife in the lounge of the matrimonial home.

He murdered Kate several hundred yards away, in an outhouse.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 10:38:16 PM
No, it didn't.  The police would have brought the prosecution with, or without, the dog's alert, which was never produced in court to the jury (uncorroborated dog-alerts are excluded as evidence in English courts).

But the police used the dog-alert as their (untested and unpresented, to the jury, assumption that Prout had murdered his wife in the lounge of the matrimonial home.

He murdered Kate several hundred yards away, in an outhouse.

Eddie's cadaver alert was correct. You believe what a serial liar tells you which figures. Maybe he hates dogs like you  @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:40:58 PM
Eddie's cadaver alert was correct. You believe what a serial liar tells you which figures. Maybe he hates dogs like you  @)(++(*

What?

Whose 'serial lies' am I believing?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:44:06 PM
No, it didn't.  The police would have brought the prosecution with, or without, the dog's alert, which was never produced in court to the jury (uncorroborated dog-alerts are excluded as evidence in English courts).

But the police used the dog-alert as their (untested and unpresented, to the jury) assumption that Prout had murdered his wife in the lounge of the matrimonial home.

He murdered Kate several hundred yards away, in an outhouse.

You dont know what happened when and where, before durng and after, ergo, pointless trying to diss eddie
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:46:40 PM
You dont know what happened when and where, before durng and after, ergo, pointless trying to diss eddie

It so happens I don't.

I don't dismiss the possibility that the dog alerted to residual scent from Prout's clothes, cross-transferred to the matrimonial home, after he had buried Kate.

But I don't take that for granted .....

And if that's wrong, then dog alerted falsely ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:47:58 PM
It so happens I don't.

I don't dismiss the possibility that the dog alerted to residual scent from Prout's clothes, cross-transferred to the matrimonial home, after he had buried Kate.

But I don't take that for granted .....

And if that's wrong, then dog alerted falsely ....

So u have no reason to promote the idea that the dig alerted falsely, thats fine and sorted then
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 13, 2016, 10:48:20 PM
You dont know what happened when and where, before durng and after, ergo, pointless trying to diss eddie

in order for the alerts to be of any value they need independent scientific verification...even Grime does not confirm them
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 13, 2016, 10:53:39 PM
eddie finds cadaver scent quickly.....so why did he have to be repeatedly brought back to areas he had previously ignored...the alerts are a complete joke

SY used them in this case recently so it's no joke to them. If there's no body then it's harder for a dog to find the source.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:53:51 PM
in order for the alerts to be of any value they need independent scientific verification...even Grime does not confirm them

How many times do u have to be told that there is no such thing as scientific confrmation for a cadaver scent alert?

There is for blood and as we know the forensics were inconclusive

Even if conclusive, blood forensics on their own dont prove a thing, its a matter of cumulative intelligence/Evidence
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 13, 2016, 10:58:15 PM
How many times do u have to be told that there is no such thing as scientific confrmation for a cadaver scent alert?

There is for blood and as we know the forensics were inconclusive

Even if conclusive, blood forensics on their own dont prove a thing, its a matter of cumulative intelligence/Evidence

In order for the alerts to be of value there needs to be forensic verification.

Note, carefully, that in the above sentence there is no reference to cadaver alert ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 13, 2016, 10:59:45 PM
In order for the alerts to be of value there needs to be forensic verification.

Note, carefully, that in the above sentence there is no reference to cadaver alert ...

Well exactly, as there is none, do i have to repeat my previous post?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 14, 2016, 12:22:52 PM
BUMPED
My dear Pfinder, you keep repeating that Smithman checked his watch after passing the Smith family and the time was 22H03.  How do you know if Smithman checked his watch or not?   You weren't there ... and nobody saw him after he passed the Smith Family..

Please can you tell us where you got this "information" from.

It's not disinformation, is it?

You even have this ?disinformation? as your avatar  8)-)))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 14, 2016, 12:44:24 PM
In order for the alerts to be of value there needs to be forensic verification.

Note, carefully, that in the above sentence there is no reference to cadaver alert ...

During a police investigation all sorts of material is amassed. Statements, CCTV images. photographs,forensics, and, in some cases, dog alerts. Detectives analyse the material as they go along. Some of it leads in one direction, some in another. Some of it requires confirmation such as appeals for further witnesses. Not all of it will be used as evidence in any subsequent court case, but all of it is potentially important until eventually detectives decide to follow one particular line of inquiry. Until then all the material remains possibly important. Anyone who thinks multiple dog alerts would be completely discounted because no definitive forensic evidence was found to support them is fooling themselves imo. They remain a part of the picture until evidence is found proving that they were wrong.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 14, 2016, 02:05:21 PM
During a police investigation all sorts of material is amassed. Statements, CCTV images. photographs,forensics, and, in some cases, dog alerts. Detectives analyse the material as they go along. Some of it leads in one direction, some in another. Some of it requires confirmation such as appeals for further witnesses. Not all of it will be used as evidence in any subsequent court case, but all of it is potentially important until eventually detectives decide to follow one particular line of inquiry. Until then all the material remains possibly important. Anyone who thinks multiple dog alerts would be completely discounted because no definitive forensic evidence was found to support them is fooling themselves imo. They remain a part of the picture until evidence is found proving that they were wrong.

Good post.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 14, 2016, 02:23:29 PM
During a police investigation all sorts of material is amassed. Statements, CCTV images. photographs,forensics, and, in some cases, dog alerts. Detectives analyse the material as they go along. Some of it leads in one direction, some in another. Some of it requires confirmation such as appeals for further witnesses. Not all of it will be used as evidence in any subsequent court case, but all of it is potentially important until eventually detectives decide to follow one particular line of inquiry. Until then all the material remains possibly important. Anyone who thinks multiple dog alerts would be completely discounted because no definitive forensic evidence was found to support them is fooling themselves imo. They remain a part of the picture until evidence is found proving that they were wrong.

Presactly.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 17, 2016, 09:29:38 PM
During a police investigation all sorts of material is amassed. Statements, CCTV images. photographs,forensics, and, in some cases, dog alerts. Detectives analyse the material as they go along. Some of it leads in one direction, some in another. Some of it requires confirmation such as appeals for further witnesses. Not all of it will be used as evidence in any subsequent court case, but all of it is potentially important until eventually detectives decide to follow one particular line of inquiry. Until then all the material remains possibly important. Anyone who thinks multiple dog alerts would be completely discounted because no definitive forensic evidence was found to support them is fooling themselves imo. They remain a part of the picture until evidence is found proving that they were wrong.

Grime himself acknowledges that handler-bias can influence a dog's reactions, and I know Alfred has found a study (nothing to do with Grime) where precisely that phenomenon accounted for all a dog's reactions.

Handler-bias: the findMadeleine stickers on the back of the Renault Scenic.

The disproportionate time spent in apartment 5a compared with any other apartment.

The re-examination of clothing (in the gym) present during the inspection in the villa, but not evincing any interest from Eddie.

The interest in the toy, only after it had been hidden, not while he could see it, sniff it and play with it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 17, 2016, 10:00:52 PM
Grime himself acknowledges that handler-bias can influence a dog's reactions, and I know Alfred has found a study (nothing to do with Grime) where precisely that phenomenon accounted for all a dog's reactions.

Handler-bias: the findMadeleine stickers on the back of the Renault Scenic. Proves nothing

The disproportionate time spent in apartment 5a compared with any other apartment. Not disproportionate as explained umpteen times, eddie alerted in 5a wihin 4 minutes, iirc, not forgetting his "immediate" interest on entering the flat, absent otherwise elsewhere, that is why the flat was more thoroughly searched, as opposed to other places not alerted to in 5 mins


The re-examination of clothing (in the gym) present during the inspection in the villa, but not evincing any interest from Eddie. There was no re-examination, if an item is stuffed somewhere it might not elicit a response, seeing as it would be at least secondary if not more  contamination

The interest in the toy, only after it had been hidden, not while he could see it, sniff it and play with it.

Answers in bold

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 17, 2016, 11:28:02 PM
Grime himself acknowledges that handler-bias can influence a dog's reactions, and I know Alfred has found a study (nothing to do with Grime) where precisely that phenomenon accounted for all a dog's reactions.

Handler-bias: the findMadeleine stickers on the back of the Renault Scenic.

The disproportionate time spent in apartment 5a compared with any other apartment.

The re-examination of clothing (in the gym) present during the inspection in the villa, but not evincing any interest from Eddie.

The interest in the toy, only after it had been hidden, not while he could see it, sniff it and play with it.

Thomas Quick: the Swedish serial killer who never was
It reads like a real-life Scandinavian crime novel. In the 1990s, Thomas Quick confessed to more than 30 murders, making him Sweden's most notorious serial killer. Then, he changed his name and revealed his confessions were all faked

**Snip
Even the same sniffer dog, Zampo, was used to trawl each "murder" site.

"During the course of the investigation, Quick mentioned at least 24 different places in Sweden and Norway where he had committed murders, handled dead bodies or left body parts," says Leyla Belle Drake, who was Hannes Råstam's literary agent. "Zampo marked for human remains 45 times at those 24 locations.  ..."

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/oct/20/thomas-quick-bergwall-sweden-murder
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 17, 2016, 11:36:43 PM
Were talking about THIS case and EDDIE not every tom dick and harry case and dog worldwide as Im sure you wouldnt want every mssng chld worldwide case to be compared as relevant

Im off now to watch my recorded question time programme (hoping osborne and supporters  are crucified therein)so you wont be bugged by me tonght anymore  but i DO look forward to you stoppng being shy posting on the new mod thread sleep well

 8)-)))

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 18, 2016, 07:48:35 AM
Grime himself acknowledges that handler-bias can influence a dog's reactions, and I know Alfred has found a study (nothing to do with Grime) where precisely that phenomenon accounted for all a dog's reactions.

Handler-bias: the findMadeleine stickers on the back of the Renault Scenic.

The disproportionate time spent in apartment 5a compared with any other apartment.

The re-examination of clothing (in the gym) present during the inspection in the villa, but not evincing any interest from Eddie.

The interest in the toy, only after it had been hidden, not while he could see it, sniff it and play with it.

I would imagine that the police know more about dog handling and how they work than you do. They use dogs for all sorts of reasons and treat them with respect. No matter how much you criticise the dogs and their handler you really have no idea what value the police place on their conclusions.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2016, 08:18:14 AM
I would imagine that the police know more about dog handling and how they work than you do. They use dogs for all sorts of reasons and treat them with respect. No matter how much you criticise the dogs and their handler you really have no idea what value the police place on their conclusions.

We know that SY believe Maddie may still be alive which confirms that they do not accept that the alerts signify maddies death
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2016, 08:26:16 AM
I would say a fair description of the alerts are that they were inconclusive
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 18, 2016, 09:00:13 AM
BHH and other sources such as the FOI show this case to be a murder investigation.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 18, 2016, 09:31:04 AM
We know that SY believe Maddie may still be alive which confirms that they do not accept that the alerts signify maddies death

The team [Redwood's] is also pursuing the line of inquiry that after five years Madeleine might be dead.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/apr/25/madeleine-mccann-yard-case
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 18, 2016, 10:37:54 AM
The team [Redwood's] is also pursuing the line of inquiry that after five years Madeleine might be dead.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/apr/25/madeleine-mccann-yard-case

Given what (tragically) all too often happens to abducted children, it stands to reason that the second joint enquiry will be simultaneously pursuing the line of enquiry that Madeleine might be dead ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2016, 12:33:39 PM
The team [Redwood's] is also pursuing the line of inquiry that after five years Madeleine might be dead.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/apr/25/madeleine-mccann-yard-case

so what have the alerts told us...maddie might be dead...I had worked that one out myself and my sense of smell is quite average
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 18, 2016, 02:59:43 PM
(snip) ... I had worked that one out myself ...  (*snip)
can you narrow that down geographically a little?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2016, 04:04:58 PM
can you narrow that down geographically a little?
QUE
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 18, 2016, 07:07:08 PM
Given what (tragically) all too often happens to abducted children, it stands to reason that the second joint enquiry will be simultaneously pursuing the line of enquiry that Madeleine might be dead ....

The team [Redwood's] is also pursuing the line of inquiry that after five years Madeleine might be dead.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/apr/25/madeleine-mccann-yard-case

He also said she may not have been alive when removed from the apartment. Now, IF the dogs figure into that line of thnking,  then it follows that his comment has zero to do with a burglary gone wrong simply for the timing element involved vis a vis cadaver scent formation
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 18, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
He also said she may not have been alive when removed from the apartment. Now, IF the dogs figure into that line of thnking,  then it follows that his comment has zero to do with a burglary gone wrong simply for the timing element involved vis a vis cadaver scent formation

a very big IF.......where do the dogs figure when he says Maddie may be alive
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Angelo222 on March 19, 2016, 02:28:59 PM
We know that SY believe Maddie may still be alive which confirms that they do not accept that the alerts signify maddies death

Lets face it, SY believe many things but have nothing to substantiate any of it.  They haven't even ruled out Tannerman and as for Smithman... pah

Its like searching for a needle in a haystack but someone has hidden the haystack.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 19, 2016, 02:31:31 PM
Lets face it, SY believe many things but have nothing to substantiate any of it.  They haven't even ruled out Tannerman and as for Smithman... pah

you simply dismiss anything that doesn't fit your belief
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 19, 2016, 05:22:52 PM
Lest anyone be in doubt, Martin Smith has changed his opinion ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 19, 2016, 05:25:15 PM
Lest anyone be in doubt, Martin Smith has changed his opinion ....

65 pages in and you have yet to provide definite proof of your claim.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 19, 2016, 05:43:07 PM
65 pages in and you have yet to provide definite proof of your claim.

Par for the course. 8**8:/:
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: John on March 20, 2016, 12:54:05 PM
Lest anyone be in doubt, Martin Smith has changed his opinion ....

Could it be that events which have occurred post 2007 have influenced his perception?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 20, 2016, 01:13:40 PM
Could it be that events which have occurred post 2007 have influenced his perception?

I don't know why he said 60 to 80% sure.  It's not exactly sure, is it.  But surely, everyone carries small children in the same way.
The only thing I can think of is that he was trying to be helpful, never realising that his statement would later be released.  But then a lot of them didn't.
Would he have been a bit more careful if he had known?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: John on March 20, 2016, 02:05:27 PM
I don't know why he said 60 to 80% sure.  It's not exactly sure, is it.  But surely, everyone carries small children in the same way.
The only thing I can think of is that he was trying to be helpful, never realising that his statement would later be released.  But then a lot of them didn't.
Would he have been a bit more careful if he had known?

I would say there would be many events which occurred which would not have cccurred had the witnesses and arguidos known that further down the line their every word and actions would be disseminated infinitum.

Off topic I know but isn't the quietness a welcome relief ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 20, 2016, 02:16:10 PM
I would say there would be many events which occurred which would not have cccurred had the witnesses and arguidos known that further down the line their every word and actions would be disseminated infinitum.

Off topic I know but isn't the quietness a welcome relief ?

The usual Saturday night bundle did not take place. Word must have got around there are two new bouncers on the door.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 20, 2016, 02:31:00 PM
I would say there would be many events which occurred which would not have cccurred had the witnesses and arguidos known that further down the line their every word and actions would be disseminated infinitum.

Off topic I know but isn't the quietness a welcome relief ?

Not really.  As long as no one is being nasty, I am truly impressed by the amount of research that has been accumulated on the is Forum.
Nothing pleases me more than genuine debate and efforts to understand.  And when I am not needed.

Anyone who genuinely wanted to help has had their efforts torn to shreds by one side or the other.  Who would ever do that again in the light of hindsight.

I don't know if Martin Smith changed his mind.  But that isn't in The Files.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 20, 2016, 02:37:47 PM
The usual Saturday night bundle did not take place. Word must have got around there are two new bouncers on the door.

Give them half a chance, please.  I spend most of my time hoping I won't have to delete or edit anything.  There is no reason to suppose that Brietta and Shining will be any different.

Or to suppose that someone will come up with positive proof that Martin Smith totally changed his already dubious mind.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Admin on March 20, 2016, 03:04:42 PM
The usual Saturday night bundle did not take place. Word must have got around there are two new bouncers on the door.

The after hours slanging match is something which we have always tried to curtail as it only generates work for the mods and editors. Onward and upward...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 20, 2016, 03:25:12 PM
The after hours slanging match is something which we have always tried to curtail as it only generates work for the mods and editors. Onward and upward...

Certain mods were at the root of it
Imo
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 20, 2016, 03:27:27 PM
What a dreadful thing to say. Surely our mods are all sweetness and light and complete beyond reproach   @)(++(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 20, 2016, 04:10:14 PM
What a dreadful thing to say. Surely our mods are all sweetness and light and complete beyond reproach   @)(++(*

Winding up again, I see.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 20, 2016, 07:58:43 PM
Give them half a chance, please.  I spend most of my time hoping I won't have to delete or edit anything.  There is no reason to suppose that Brietta and Shining will be any different.

Or to suppose that someone will come up with positive proof that Martin Smith totally changed his already dubious mind.

Positive proof?

He produced an e-fit.

It is the height of absurdity to suppose he would have done so of a man he thought was Gerry.

And I can quite understand, in context, why he might have (initially!) formed the view he did.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 20, 2016, 08:25:21 PM
Positive proof?

He produced an e-fit.

It is the height of absurdity to suppose he would have done so of a man he thought was Gerry.

And I can quite understand, in context, why he might have (initially!) formed the view he did.

I don't actually disagree with you.  You are right about the E-Fit.  But short of a Court Case which we ain't going to get, then no one will ever know what went through his mind.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 21, 2016, 12:33:05 AM
(snip) He produced an e-fit (snip).
Where do SY ever state that Mr M Smith produced an efit Ferryman?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 21, 2016, 11:15:47 AM
Certain mods were at the root of it
Imo

Stirring again?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 21, 2016, 12:24:48 PM
Where do SY ever state that Mr M Smith produced an efit Ferryman?

Andy Redwood said the efits were produced by two tourists (whom he did not name).

Martin and Mary Smith.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 21, 2016, 04:19:29 PM
Andy Redwood said the efits were produced by two tourists (whom he did not name) ...
Thanks Ferryman for confirming that Mr Redwood did not name the two people who did those two efits.
... Martin and Mary Smith.
So, to clarify, these two names you post are just your conjecture?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 01:20:57 PM
Thanks Ferryman for confirming that Mr Redwood did not name the two people who did those two efits.So, to clarify, these two names you post are just your conjecture?

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

(sic)

Quote
Retired businessman Martin Smith, 64, provided details for an e-fit of the prime suspect after spotting the mystery man carrying a child at 10pm close to where the three-year-old vanished more than six years ago.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2016, 01:38:37 PM
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

(sic)

Do you believe the newspapers tell the whole truth? You can see what he actually said, it's enclosed by quotation marks;

 “It looked as if they put 90% credence on the Jane Tanner sighting, maybe that wrong-footed them and they didn’t take our sighting as seriously. I was surprised it took six years to rule out the other sighting.”

 “We‘d all love to see the police get to the bottom of what happened.”

“We think about Madeleine a lot and we would love to see a conclusion to this case.

 “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 01:41:11 PM
We're discussing who produced the efits: Martin and Mary Smith.

It is the height of absurdity to suppose either would produce efits of a man either thought was Gerry ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 22, 2016, 01:43:46 PM
Do you believe the newspapers tell the whole truth? You can see what he actually said, it's enclosed by quotation marks;

 “It looked as if they put 90% credence on the Jane Tanner sighting, maybe that wrong-footed them and they didn’t take our sighting as seriously. I was surprised it took six years to rule out the other sighting.”

 “We‘d all love to see the police get to the bottom of what happened.”

“We think about Madeleine a lot and we would love to see a conclusion to this case.

 “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

You beat me to it  ?{)(**
It does narrow it down a bit though. If Martin Smith changed his mind it was after October 16th 2013. "That shouldn't be too difficult to track even for a bear of very little brain" said Pooh.
The article has some interesting slants.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 22, 2016, 01:45:12 PM
We're discussing who produced the efits: Martin and Mary Smith.

It is the height of absurdity to suppose either would produce efits of a man either thought was Gerry ....

For whom were they producing them one year after the event?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 01:47:11 PM
Martin Smith once believed he might have seen Gerry.

He no longer does.

His wife Mary, also, once believed she might have seen Gerry.

She no longer does.

That's why both produced efits.

In answer to AP

The investigation.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 22, 2016, 01:53:59 PM
Martin Smith once believed he might have seen Gerry.

He no longer does.

His wife Mary, also, once believed she might have seen Gerry.

She no longer does.

That's why both produced efits.

In answer to AP

The investigation.

I'm afraid I don't follow the logic, could you explain please?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 01:55:07 PM
I'm afraid I don't follow the logic, could you explain please?

Is Gerry in need of identification?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 22, 2016, 02:03:33 PM
Is Gerry in need of identification?


Is that supposed to be an explanation?  How about being a little less cryptic?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 02:05:08 PM

Is that supposed to be an explanation?  How about being a little less cryptic?

Is it not self-evident that no one would produce an efit of a someone they thought was Gerry?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 22, 2016, 02:11:19 PM
Is it not self-evident that no one would produce an efit of a someone they thought was Gerry?

Not to me, I'm afraid.


If you can't/won't explain your thoughts clearly, how do you expect me to understand?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 02:13:42 PM
Ah well ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2016, 02:45:23 PM
Martin Smith once believed he might have seen Gerry.

He no longer does.

His wife Mary, also, once believed she might have seen Gerry.

She no longer does.

That's why both produced efits.

In answer to AP

The investigation.

I think you should stop making unverified assertions ferryman. You are unable to produce any evidence that Martin Smith changed his opinion and you are unable to produce any evidence as to who produced the e-fits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 02:51:32 PM
I think you should stop making unverified assertions ferryman. You are unable to produce any evidence that Martin Smith changed his opinion and you are unable to produce any evidence as to who produced the e-fits.

The efit is evidence.

In fact, it's more than that.

It's irrefutable proof.

Martin Smith has changed his mind.

So has his wife, Mary.

The Smiths' children have not changed their minds.

None ever believed they had seen Gerry.

They still don't.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 22, 2016, 03:03:36 PM
Martin Smith once believed he might have seen Gerry.

He no longer does.

His wife Mary, also, once believed she might have seen Gerry.

She no longer does.

That's why both produced efits.

In answer to AP

The investigation.


Presumably  by "the investigation" you mean the efits were produced for the Portuguese police? there being no other official investigation.
Did the Smiths return to Portugal to produce the efits? or did the Portuguese police visit Ireland? or did the Portuguese police use a proxy agency? if the latter which agency?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 03:06:28 PM
Presumably  by "the investigation" you mean the efits were produced for the Portuguese police? there being no other official investigation.
Did the Smiths return to Portugal to produce the efits? or did the Portuguese police visit Ireland? or did the Portuguese police use a proxy agency? if the latter which agency?

The efits were produced by the McCanns' private investigators.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 22, 2016, 03:08:21 PM
The efits were produced by the McCanns' private investigators.

Ah I see; so naff all to do with the kosher investigation then.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2016, 03:10:01 PM
The efit is evidence.

In fact, it's more than that.

It's irrefutable proof.

Martin Smith has changed his mind.

So has his wife, Mary.

The Smiths' children have not changed their minds.

None ever believed they had seen Gerry.

They still don't.

As you don't know who was involved in producing the e-fits your conclusions are false. For all you know it wasn't Martin and Mary Smith who helped produce them, it could have been two of the other family members.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 03:12:02 PM
From the statements that we read on line, the two most observant witnesses of what the family saw were Martin and his daughter Aofe.

We don't see Mary Smith's statement.

The press confirms the efits to have been Martin and Mary.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 22, 2016, 03:16:53 PM
Isn't there an FOI response, or similar, that the e-fits were produced by two members of the "Irish family"?  Which narrows it to the Smiths, but no further.

Then there is the Daily Telegraph, which ascribes the e-fits to Martin and Mary.  Trouble is the DT also asserts that there is only one fact in the case that we can be sure of.  And that is the alarm was raised at 10.14pm.

The records show the first call to the GNR was 10.41pm.  And the records are stuffed with many more facts, no matter what the DT asserts.

Trust 'Martin and Mary', source DT, at your peril.  Might be, might not.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 22, 2016, 03:36:34 PM
Isn't there an FOI response, or similar, that the e-fits were produced by two members of the "Irish family"?  Which narrows it to the Smiths, but no further.

Then there is the Daily Telegraph, which ascribes the e-fits to Martin and Mary.  Trouble is the DT also asserts that there is only one fact in the case that we can be sure of.  And that is the alarm was raised at 10.14pm.

The records show the first call to the GNR was 10.41pm.  And the records are stuffed with many more facts, no matter what the DT asserts.

Trust 'Martin and Mary', source DT, at your peril.  Might be, might not.


Thanks for that, Shining.

However it remains a valid source.  Particularly as there has been no demand for it to be rescinded, and as we know Martin Smith does not take kindly to being misrepresented in the press.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2016, 03:39:51 PM
From the statements that we read on line, the two most observant witnesses of what the family saw were Martin and his daughter Aofe.

We don't see Mary Smith's statement.

The press confirms the efits to have been Martin and Mary.

Still nothing convincing, sorry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 03:42:20 PM
Still nothing convincing, sorry.

Ah well ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 22, 2016, 04:16:40 PM
The efit is evidence.

In fact, it's more than that.

It's irrefutable proof.

Martin Smith has changed his mind.

So has his wife, Mary.

The Smiths' children have not changed their minds.

None ever believed they had seen Gerry.

They still don't.

Not so. He wasn't 100% it was Gerry because it was dark when he saw the man.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 05:38:10 PM
Not so. He wasn't 100% it was Gerry because it was dark when he saw the man.

Martin Smith was never completely certain he'd seen Gerry.

That point is not in dispute (so far as I'm aware).

Unsure what you are driving at?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 22, 2016, 07:00:23 PM
Martin Smith was never completely certain he'd seen Gerry.

That point is not in dispute (so far as I'm aware).

Unsure what you are driving at?

Have you read his signed statement?

This is the start of it and it hasn't changed to our knowledge.

"I hereby declare that this statement is true to the best of my knowledge and belief and that I make it knowing that if it is tendered in evidence I will be liable to prosecution if i state in it anything which I know to be false or do not believe to be true." MS
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 22, 2016, 07:46:33 PM
Have you read his signed statement?

This is the start of it and it hasn't changed to our knowledge.

"I hereby declare that this statement is true to the best of my knowledge and belief and that I make it knowing that if it is tendered in evidence I will be liable to prosecution if i state in it anything which I know to be false or do not believe to be true." MS

We know he never had the slightest clue what he told police in confidence would be plastered all over the internet.

We know his wife is on record, since release of the files, as saying she has upmost sympathy with the McCanns.

Common sense decrees neither Martin nor his wife would have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry.

Martin Smith, clearly, has changed his mind.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 22, 2016, 08:37:07 PM
We know he never had the slightest clue what he told police in confidence would be plastered all over the internet.

We know his wife is on record, since release of the files, as saying she has upmost sympathy with the McCanns.

Common sense decrees neither Martin nor his wife would have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry.

Martin Smith, clearly, has changed his mind.

Or neither him or his wife had anything to do with them.  8**8:/:
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion
Post by: mercury on March 22, 2016, 09:55:52 PM
We know he never had the slightest clue what he told police in confidence would be plastered all over the internet.

We know his wife is on record, since release of the files, as saying she has upmost sympathy with the McCanns.

Common sense decrees neither Martin nor his wife would have produced e-fits of a man either thought was Gerry.

Martin Smith, clearly, has changed his mind.

It might be clear in your mind and logic, but not in everybody's, infact, I would surmise the majority of people are not agreeing with you,so why you keep going on making claims about it is a mystery

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 22, 2016, 10:12:43 PM
You are relying on a journalist's incorrect text Ferryman, not on an actual quote in "" by the withess.
Here's another example of how absolutely wrong a journalist can be - look at the map in this article, it shows the supposed body remover approaching the sighting from exactly the opposite direction to what the witnesses said. http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-crimewatch-appeal-suspected-2436903
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 23, 2016, 12:37:17 AM
You are relying on a journalist's incorrect text Ferryman, not on an actual quote in "" by the withess.
Here's another example of how absolutely wrong a journalist can be - look at the map in this article, it shows the supposed body remover approaching the sighting from exactly the opposite direction to what the witnesses said. http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-crimewatch-appeal-suspected-2436903

It's a real shame no-one thought to take  photograph of GM carrying a child of similar physical characteristics to Madeleine & showing that to MS. The body position of Madeleine would have been rather different to that of S, given their relative heights.
IMO MS was sure he'd seen GM but not sure enough to put his name to a positive identification (something which had already been discounted by the PJ because of the time of the sighting).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 01:12:32 AM
It's a real shame no-one thought to take  photograph of GM carrying a child of similar physical characteristics to Madeleine & showing that to MS. The body position of Madeleine would have been rather different to that of S, given their relative heights.
IMO MS was sure he'd seen GM but not sure enough to put his name to a positive identification (something which had already been discounted by the PJ because of the time of the sighting).
I wonder why he
MS on 27 Sept stated his full availablity to travel to Portugal to make statements etc re his identification of 20 Sept.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 23, 2016, 01:28:43 AM
I wonder why he
MS on 27 Sept stated his full availablity to travel to Portugal to make statements etc re his identification of 20 Sept.

MS would not have known at that stage GM had been placed elsewhere by various witnesses for the time of the Smithman sighting (unless someone from within the investigation had told him, which would not make any real sense).
IMO there would have been an alteration to the time of the sighting had MS returned to Portugal rather than making an additional statement via the Gardai.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 01:54:07 AM
MS would not have known at that stage GM had been placed elsewhere by various witnesses for the time of the Smithman sighting (unless someone from within the investigation had told him, which would not make any real sense).
IMO there would have been an alteration to the time of the sighting had MS returned to Portugal rather than making an additional statement via the Gardai.
It is a witness's duty to state what and who he saw, not to analyse other people's alibis.

If Amaral had been permitted to bring MS back to Portugal in mid October, the PJ would have shown MS the Kelly bar till records (which PJ obtained on 10 Oct), and asked him to identify the relevant transactions, and this IMO would have resulted in the time of the sighting being determined exactly (and probably later than 10pm IMO). 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 23, 2016, 03:05:46 AM
It is a witness's duty to state what and who he saw, not to analyse other people's alibis.

If Amaral had been permitted to bring MS back to Portugal in mid October, the PJ would have shown MS the Kelly bar till records (which PJ obtained on 10 Oct), and asked him to identify the relevant transactions, and this IMO would have resulted in the time of the sighting being determined exactly (and probably later than 10pm IMO).

We know what time they left the Dolphin - 2128hrs.
Both MS & PS said they had "a few" drinks at Kelly's. ie, more than one round.
Any sighting 10pm or after was not GM.
So what did Amaral hope to achieve if those facts remained constant?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 23, 2016, 04:31:43 AM
You are relying on a journalist's incorrect text Ferryman, not on an actual quote in "" by the withess.
Here's another example of how absolutely wrong a journalist can be - look at the map in this article, it shows the supposed body remover approaching the sighting from exactly the opposite direction to what the witnesses said. http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-crimewatch-appeal-suspected-2436903
It is the graphic that is totally mangled, rather than the description.

He comes out the rear onto Martins and heads down the hill past the Tapas entrance.  He turns R to go round the south of Tapas and tennis courts.  He pops down the side of the block onto the W end of Teixeira.  He turn S onto Primeira and goes down as far as what is now Spar.  He crosses Primeira and heads W on Alvernaz.  Presumably it is down the steps onto Escola Primaria.  He passes Peter, then Martin, then Aoife, as per the Smith sighting.

Rather oddly, he does not have Smithman head E on 25 de Abril.  I wonder if he thought that was a bit strange.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 07:13:52 AM
It is the graphic that is totally mangled, rather than the description.

He comes out the rear onto Martins and heads down the hill past the Tapas entrance.  He turns R to go round the south of Tapas and tennis courts.  He pops down the side of the block onto the W end of Teixeira.  He turn S onto Primeira and goes down as far as what is now Spar.  He crosses Primeira and heads W on Alvernaz.  Presumably it is down the steps onto Escola Primaria.  He passes Peter, then Martin, then Aoife, as per the Smith sighting.

Rather oddly, he does not have Smithman head E on 25 de Abril.  I wonder if he thought that was a bit strange.
Thanks Shining. Yes your look at the textual description of route is reasonable. Where are the 11 steps the journalist goes down (before reaching Teixeira)? Or does he mean up?
As for the map it has no resemblance to the textual route and I suspect it was probably draughted by someone else, possibly in the slug and lettuce cartography department over the road.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 23, 2016, 08:01:43 AM
Thanks Shining. Yes your look at the textual description of route is reasonable. Where are the 11 steps the journalist goes down (before reaching Teixeira)? Or does he mean up?
As for the map it bears no resemblance to the textual route and I suspect it was probably drawn by someone else, possibly in the slug and lettuce cartography institute over the road.
I've been thinking about that a bit.  Isn't it one that got trotted out very early on and is simply a stock graphic they plonk on many a story?  I'm sure I've seen this from a report dating well before Crimewatch 2013.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 08:06:01 AM
I've been thinking about that a bit.  Isn't it one that got trotted out very early on and is simply a stock graphic they plonk on many a story?  I'm sure I've seen this from a report dating well before Crimewatch 2013.
Yes probably an earlier stock graphic plonked into the reasonable text (but it was a good opportunity to make a Canary Wharf cartography joke)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 08:14:25 AM
We know what time they left the Dolphin - 2128hrs.
Both MS & PS said they had "a few" drinks at Kelly's. ie, more than one round.
Any sighting 10pm or after was not GM.
So what did Amaral hope to achieve if those facts remained constant?
Yes IMO sighting was probably about 22:15. But isn't it obvious from the child's long sleeves that this sighting was nothing to do with the missing child?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ShiningInLuz on March 23, 2016, 08:36:01 AM
Thanks Shining. Yes your look at the textual description of route is reasonable. Where are the 11 steps the journalist goes down (before reaching Teixeira)? Or does he mean up?
As for the map it has no resemblance to the textual route and I suspect it was probably draughted by someone else, possibly in the slug and lettuce cartography department over the road.
Steps down are from the rear of the tennis courts beside Primeira into the set of shops in front of Baptista.  In Google StreetView, go to the W end of Teixeira and look N.  I'd stick a screen cap in but I need to press FN and PRTSC at the same time, and for the moment I am still one-handed.

Then it is up a few steps onto Teixeira, or to be more accurate, onto Primeira.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 09:12:50 AM
We know what time they left the Dolphin - 2128hrs.
Both MS & PS said they had "a few" drinks at Kelly's. ie, more than one round.
Any sighting 10pm or after was not GM.
So what did Amaral hope to achieve if those facts remained constant?

On the 10 May 2007 when Matt Oldfield was accused of being involved by the PJ, Matt came out with an important time that Kate left at 9:50 not 10 which corroborates with the waiter's statement. The others didn't know the time. It is clearly stated in their rogs as I've shown in a previous post. 10pm is presumed by many and is a fundamental error. A forensic analysis of the timeline will reveal all.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 09:21:48 AM
On the 10 May 2007 when Matt Oldfield was accused of being involved by the PJ, Matt came out with an important time that Kate left at 9:50 not 10 which corroborates with the waiter's statement. The others didn't know the time. It is clearly stated in their rogs as I've shown in a previous post. 10pm is presumed by many and is a fundamental error. A forensic analysis of the timeline will reveal all.

Why did no one comment on Gerry's absence from the table at the time of Kate's alert?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 09:24:28 AM
Why did no one comment on Gerry's absence from the table at the time of Kate's alert?

Gerry wasn't absent when Kate raised the alarm. Many inconsistencies. Here's the big one on Kate's check.

"I ran into the kitchen, throwing open all the cupboard doors, into our bedroom, searching the wardrobes, in and out of the bathroom, all within about fifteen seconds, before hurtling out through the patio doors and down towards Gerry and our friends." KM

"He turned to alert KATE that it was time for her to go to see the children. She immediately made her way to the apartment by the usual path, she having entered by the rear door. About 10 minutes later, he started to worry about her lateness and, at the moment he prepared to stand and to go to see the reason for her lateness, KATE appeared running, completely distraught and crying, saying that MADELEINE had disappeared and that she was sure because she had looked throughout the house." GM

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 09:33:11 AM
I repeat my question.

Why did no one comment on Gerry's absence from the table at the time of Kate's alert?

He is Madeleine's father.

You wouldn't just expect comment on his absence.

You would expect extensive  commentary in the files on efforts to find him to tell him what had happened (as Madeleine's father), including where he was when found and who found him.

No trace.

Why?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 09:41:03 AM
I repeat my question.

Why did no one comment on Gerry's absence from the table at the time of Kate's alert?

He is Madeleine's father.

You wouldn't just expect comment on his absence.

You would expect extensive  commentary in the files on efforts to find him to tell him what had happened (as Madeleine's father), including where he was when found and who found him.

No trace.

Why?

Gerry wasn't absent from the table when Kate raised the alarm by 9:55. They were all present except Jane Tanner. Smithman was seen after the alarm time. 

"Regarding the 3rd of May, 2007, she went, with all her family, to eat at the Dolphin restaurant, which is close to Kelly's Bar. When they left the restaurant, around 21H30, they headed toward Kelly's Bar. They stayed there for about 30 minutes.
— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left." AS
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 09:48:20 AM
Gerry wasn't absent from the table when Kate raised the alarm by 9:55. They were all present except Jane Tanner. Smithman was seen after the alarm time. 

"Regarding the 3rd of May, 2007, she went, with all her family, to eat at the Dolphin restaurant, which is close to Kelly's Bar. When they left the restaurant, around 21H30, they headed toward Kelly's Bar. They stayed there for about 30 minutes.
— Around 22H00, they left Kelly's Bar. The group headed, on foot, for their apartment.
— Questioned, she responds that she knows the time that they left." AS

So Kate alerted at the Tapas Restaurant at around 2200.

The sighting of the Smiths was around 2200.

Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of the Smith sighting.

So who did the Smiths see?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 09:55:43 AM
So Kate alerted at the Tapas Restaurant at around 2200.

The sighting of the Smiths was around 2200.

Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of the Smith sighting.

So who did the Smiths see?

You presume Kate raised the alarm at 10 but after analysing statements I put it at 9:54/55. A sighting near by is easily achievable within that time discrepancy.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 09:57:58 AM
You presume Kate raised the alarm at 10 but after analysing statements I put it at 9:54/55. A sighting near by is easily achievable within that time discrepancy.

At what point were Kate and Gerry simultaneously absent from the restaurant.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 10:00:02 AM
At what point were Kate and Gerry simultaneously absent from the restaurant.

What are you going on about? Kate left alone. Gerry was at the table. No sighting happened until they were out searching after the alarm was raised.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 10:12:56 AM
What are you going on about? Kate left alone. Gerry was at the table. No sighting happened until they were out searching after the alarm was raised.

(By Amaral's theory) Kate finds the body (of her loved and cherished daughter). 

Gerry is oblivious and unaware in the restaurant.

Kate pulls it together, waltzes back to the restaurant, communicates devastating news to Gerry.

No one (else!) notices.

They (Kate and Gerry) hatch a plan.

Gerry leaves the restaurant.

He scoops up the body (of his loved and cherished daughter), waltzes it past the noses of the Smiths, and conceals it somewhere on the beach.

Meanwhile, Kate returns to the restaurant, simulates an alert (and no one notices Gerry's absence).

We haven't even got the bit of what the McCanns are supposed to have done with 'the body' in the 3 weeks after those events before hiring a car to drive 'the body' to Huelva, Spain.

Far the most plausible explanation is PJ Inspector Carlos'.

At the time of the Smith sighting (and Kate's alert) Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant.

That's what Inspector Carlos wrote.

Every reason to suppose he knew what he was talking about (Inspector Carlos) .....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 10:37:23 AM
I don't agree with Amaral's theory and this was probably done before he knew about the KG statement.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 10:41:15 AM
I don't agree with Amaral's theory and this was probably done before he knew about the KG statement.

Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of Kate's alert and also the time of the Smith sighting.

Odds are that the Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abductor.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 10:42:37 AM
Steps down are from the rear of the tennis courts beside Primeira into the set of shops in front of Baptista.  In Google StreetView, go to the W end of Teixeira and look N.  I'd stick a screen cap in but I need to press FN and PRTSC at the same time, and for the moment I am still one-handed.

Then it is up a few steps onto Teixeira, or to be more accurate, onto Primeira.
Thanks Shining for locating these 11 steps leading down from the back of the tennis courts.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 10:54:55 AM
The route proposed by the Mirror journalist is down those 11 steps from the back of the tennis courts, then later down these 6 steps to Rua Escola Primeira (the Mirror article says "up" six steps but that is a typo it should say "down")
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 10:56:15 AM
Gerry was in the Tapas Restaurant at the time of Kate's alert and also the time of the Smith sighting.

Odds are that the Smiths might have seen Madeleine's abductor.

The Smiths definitely saw the abductor  8(0(*
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:05:10 AM
Which is why the Smith sighting is so important (potentially) ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2016, 11:10:10 AM
Shame that the McCanns didn't think so and concentrated on Tannerman.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 11:11:37 AM
Which is why the Smith sighting is so important (potentially) ....

Do you get irony ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:13:32 AM
I can see through (weak) attempts at irony, yes ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 11:20:24 AM
Which is why the Smith sighting is so important (potentially) ....
But Ferryman both parents clearly state that the missing child was wearing a very short sleeved top.
The girl seen by the 9 irish witness had full-length sleeves. How do you explain that?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:24:30 AM
But Ferryman both parents clearly state that the missing child was wearing a very short sleeved top.
The girl seen by the 9 irish witness had full-length sleeves. How do you explain that?

It would not surprise me in the slightest if the files held by police differ from those we read on-line ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:26:55 AM
Shame that the McCanns didn't think so and concentrated on Tannerman.

The McCanns handed the efits to the Metropolitan police and let them decide the best time to release them (the efits).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 11:28:59 AM
The McCanns handed the efits to the Metropolitan police and let them decide the best time to release them (the efits).


and what stopped the mccanns doing that ?

After all, they were supposed to be searching for their beloved child.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:29:40 AM
In summary, Martin Smith has most certainly changed his mind ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 11:31:35 AM
(By Amaral's theory) ....(snip)
I'm impressed that you understand his theory Ferryman.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 11:35:37 AM
In summary, Martin Smith has most certainly changed his mind ....

Then prove it.

Meanwhile what we do know is, people acting on behalf of the mccanns interfered with a possibly key witness.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 11:36:06 AM
The McCanns handed the efits to the Metropolitan police and let them decide the best time to release them (the efits).
I thought the Met were not involved in the case at the date in 2008 when the privately contracted investigators did those 2 efits?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:45:55 AM
I thought the Met were not involved in the case at the date in 2008 when the privately contracted investigators did those 2 efits?

Martin Smith produced the efit after the end of January 2008.  In his statement to the Irish Gardia police, at that date, he said he had been approached by Brian Kennedy to produce an efit, but had refused.

It is clear that at some point later, he changed his mind and decided, after all, to produce an efit (because he realised he had been mistaken to suppose he had seen Gerry).

When isn't exactly clear, but it would have been pretty much at the point that the first, joint, enquiry was winding down.

Very obviously, as the Smiths might well have witnessed Madeleine's abduction, that efit could only be released in the context of a live and on-going enquiry, and the Met (clearly in possession of the efits well before their release) chose the moment of the Crimewatch programme to release them ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:49:36 AM
Then prove it.

Meanwhile what we do know is, people acting on behalf of the mccanns interfered with a possibly key witness.

No we don't.

All the proof has been provided.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 23, 2016, 11:53:07 AM
It's a real shame no-one thought to take  photograph of GM carrying a child of similar physical characteristics to Madeleine & showing that to MS. The body position of Madeleine would have been rather different to that of S, given their relative heights.
IMO MS was sure he'd seen GM but not sure enough to put his name to a positive identification (something which had already been discounted by the PJ because of the time of the sighting).

I think the clincher in discounting Martin Smith's observation for those who knew about it at the time was the almost identical change to statements made by Martin Smith and Mr and Mrs McCluskey.

The McCluskeys went one better and identified Kate McCann as the woman they had seen in a distressed state on the 3rd May.

The change in the McCluskey statement and the change in the Smith statement came about after both parties were exposed to the media coverage of the case ... a fact which both included in their ammendments.

When Martin Smith had access to the files and what Mr McCluskey had to say ... I would be of the opinion he would have given it a lot of serious thought which would surprise me greatly if it didn't lead to him reconsidering his opinion.

At sixty to eighty percent certainty it was tremendously shaky in any case.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 11:55:48 AM
Route suggested by a Mirror journalist. From garden gate. Past tapas reception. Behind tennis courts then down alleyway of 11 steps. Later down 6 steps to Rua Escola. Across Rua 21 Abril.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 23, 2016, 12:08:58 PM
The McCanns handed the efits to the Metropolitan police and let them decide the best time to release them (the efits).

The report and the e-fits were given to Operation Grange in 2011. The McCanns never said they handed them over.

In fact it was Henri Exton who claimed he handed them over;

Former MI5 undercover operations chief Henri Exton, 62, who led the Oakley probe, said the fund took legal action to stop his team divulging its findings.

He said: “A letter came from their lawyers binding us to confidentiality.”

It stopped him handing the report to Scotland Yard’s Operation Grange team until detectives had written permission from the fund, he added.
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/347672/Maddie-Crimewatch-pictures-kept-secret-for-five-years
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 12:14:21 PM
The report and the e-fits were given to Operation Grange in 2011. The McCanns never said they handed them over.

In fact it was Henri Exton who claimed he handed them over;

Former MI5 undercover operations chief Henri Exton, 62, who led the Oakley probe, said the fund took legal action to stop his team divulging its findings.

He said: “A letter came from their lawyers binding us to confidentiality.”

It stopped him handing the report to Scotland Yard’s Operation Grange team until detectives had written permission from the fund, he added.
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/347672/Maddie-Crimewatch-pictures-kept-secret-for-five-years

That's a re-hash of the story for which The Times was sued.

Scotland Yard chose the the timing of the release of the efits (the Crimewatch programme) because they wanted its release coordinated with a live and on-going police enquiry.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquiries.

They long have.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 12:48:01 PM
That's a re-hash of the story for which The Times was sued.

Scotland Yard chose the the timing of the release of the efits (the Crimewatch programme) because they wanted its release coordinated with a live and on-going police enquiry.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquiries.

They long have.
This efit was released with great fanfare by Mitchell in Aug 2009.
http://img.thesun.co.uk/aidemitlum/archive/00862/SNN0807D--380_862815a.jpg
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 12:50:50 PM
Spain.

Not Portugal.

Not at just about the time Madeleine is known to have been abducted.

There are (potentially) innocent reasons why someone might come into custody of a child they don't know has been abducted.

The Smiths might, actually, have witnessed Madeleine's abduction.

That's the difference ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 01:08:47 PM
Spain.

Not Portugal.

Not at just about the time Madeleine is known to have been abducted.

There are (potentially) innocent reasons why someone might come into custody of a child they don't know has been abducted.

The Smiths might, actually, have witnessed Madeleine's abduction.

That's the difference ....
Here is Mitchell releasing two efits of a man seen in Portugal, in PDL, who the PIs regarded as the most important person to be identified
http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/mccann-family-spokesman-clarence-mitchell-holds-two-artists-of-the-picture-id79130105

And here is a document which indicates that the efit press release was done without approval from Leics Police and without approval from the PJ?

"From: Stuart Prior
Sent: Friday, 18th January 2008 18:57
To: Dic Portimao, Ricardo Paiva
... I was informed that it was probable that the photo fit made by Gail Cooper would reach the press during the weekend. I will inform you of the consequences of this next week in spite of the fact that we are not in any way involved in this."
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/POWERPOINT.htm#p15p4072

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 01:14:17 PM
18 January 2008, about 7 months before the first enquiry was shelved, and while it was in full swing.

That's why it was released.

And (in part) why the Smith efits, produced much later, were not released until the Crimewatch programme (by Scotland Yard, who had the efits in their possession for some considerable time before they released them).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 23, 2016, 01:26:09 PM
That's a re-hash of the story for which The Times was sued.

Scotland Yard chose the the timing of the release of the efits (the Crimewatch programme) because they wanted its release coordinated with a live and on-going police enquiry.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquiries.

They long have.

The apology published by the Times, written for them by Carter Ruck;

In articles dated October 27 ("Madeleine clues hidden for 5 years" and "Investigators had E-Fits five years ago", News) we referred to efits which were included in a report prepared by private investigators for the McCanns and the Fund in 2008. We accept that the articles may have been understood to suggest that the McCanns had withheld information from the authorities. This was not the case. We now understand and accept that the efits had been provided to the Portuguese and Leicestershire police by October 2009. We also understand that a copy of the final report including the efits was passed to the Metropolitan police in August 2011, shortly after it commenced its review. We apologise for the distress caused."
http://www.pressgazette.co.uk/sunday-times-sued-mccanns-over-story-which-wrongly-claimed-evidence-was-withheld-police

The careful wording suggests that the report was not passed to the PJ and LP in 2009, just the e-fits. There is no mention of who gave both of them to the Met.
 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 01:32:21 PM
No we don't.

All the proof has been provided.

Get real ferryman.

Provide the proof.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 01:32:47 PM
18 January 2008, about 7 months before the first enquiry was shelved, and while it was in full swing.

That's why it was released.

And (in part) why the Smith efits, produced much later, were not released until the Crimewatch programme (by Scotland Yard, who had the efits in their possession for some considerable time before they released them).
Yes the investigation was in full swing Ferryman so why didn't Mitchell & Co ask the Polícia Judiciária and Leics Police whether or not they wanted the cooperman photofit released?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 01:34:38 PM
Spain.

Not Portugal.

Not at just about the time Madeleine is known to have been abducted.

There are (potentially) innocent reasons why someone might come into custody of a child they don't know has been abducted.

The Smiths might, actually, have witnessed Madeleine's abduction.

That's the difference ....

Do you really think by the repetition of 'abduction', people will believe it ?


and I get criticizing for  repeating. 8)-)))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 01:35:53 PM
Yes the investigation was in full swing Ferryman so why didn't Mitchell & Co ask the Polícia Judiciária and Leics Police whether or not they wanted the cooperman photofit released?

We're discussing the Smith sightings.

The met released the efits during the Crimewatch programme (October 2013).

The met were in receipt of the efits well before then and (themselves) chose the moment of their release ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 23, 2016, 02:13:08 PM
We're discussing the Smith sightings.

The met released the efits during the Crimewatch programme (October 2013).

The met were in receipt of the efits well before then and (themselves) chose the moment of their release ....

They could have been released in 2008 like posh spice in 2009.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 02:26:28 PM


So you actually think that Mary Smith (on record as saying that they want to help the McCanns in any way they can) and her husband, Martin, are at loggerheads, with Martin Smith steadfast in belief that he saw Gerry (whom he produced an efit of)?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 02:33:40 PM
So you actually think that Mary Smith (on record as saying that they want to help the McCanns in any way they can) and her husband, Martin, are at loggerheads, with Martin Smith steadfast in belief that he saw Gerry (whom he produced an efit of)?


How would the Smiths help the mccanns ferryman  ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 02:37:18 PM
How would the Smiths help the mccanns ferryman  ?

Moral support?

Helping to try to identify the man the Smiths saw (potentially) Madeleine's abductor ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 02:43:00 PM
Moral support?

Helping to try to identify the man the Smiths saw (potentially) Madeleine's abductor ....

Moral support  ?
Remember it's a murder inquiry.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 02:49:57 PM
Yes a highly paid lawyer would have dictated to the Times the wording of the apology and of course "by October 2009" actually means in honest ordinary non-lawyer peeps language "in October 2009" and not a day earlier IMO
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 03:44:37 PM
That's a re-hash of the story for which The Times was sued.

Scotland Yard chose the the timing of the release of the efits (the Crimewatch programme) because they wanted its release coordinated with a live and on-going police enquiry.

That's how English police conduct criminal enquiries.

They long have.
Talking about co-ordinating with a live and ongoing police enquiry Ferryman, what's this phone number on these two sketches?   
http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/mccann-family-spokesman-clarence-mitchell-holds-two-artists-of-the-picture-id79130105
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2016, 04:15:48 PM
Talking about co-ordinating with a live and ongoing police enquiry Ferryman, what's this phone number on these two sketches?   
http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/mccann-family-spokesman-clarence-mitchell-holds-two-artists-of-the-picture-id79130105

Metodo3? Whatever it is a Spanish number.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 04:19:51 PM
Talking about co-ordinating with a live and ongoing police enquiry Ferryman, what's this phone number on these two sketches?   
http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/mccann-family-spokesman-clarence-mitchell-holds-two-artists-of-the-picture-id79130105

Those look like efits released during the course of the first enquiry, while it was still being conducted, and not by British police.

The discussion (in respect of the Smith efits) is what the normal protocol is for British police.

British police do not release efits other than in the context of live and ongoing criminal enquiries, to assist with attempts to identify people of interest to that enquiry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2016, 04:25:20 PM
Was mustachio guy ever identified, or is he still on the at large list?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2016, 04:43:30 PM
Martin Smith produced the efit after the end of January 2008.  In his statement to the Irish Gardia police, at that date, he said he had been approached by Brian Kennedy to produce an efit, but had refused.

It is clear that at some point later, he changed his mind and decided, after all, to produce an efit (because he realised he had been mistaken to suppose he had seen Gerry).

When isn't exactly clear, but it would have been pretty much at the point that the first, joint, enquiry was winding down.

Very obviously, as the Smiths might well have witnessed Madeleine's abduction, that efit could only be released in the context of a live and on-going enquiry, and the Met (clearly in possession of the efits well before their release) chose the moment of the Crimewatch programme to release them ....

We can do better that surely?
The case was not archived until July 2008. Oakley were given elbow (allegedly) in August 2008.
It's reasonable to assume that if Mr Smith changed his mind while the kosher investigation remained live he would have advised the PJ one way or another and it would be recorded somewhere. So if he changed his mind it likely would have between the archiving and Oakley being given the elbow. If Mr & Mrs Smith worked on efits for Oakley it was between the archiving of the kosher investigation and the termination of Oakley's contract. At that time according to press reports it was becoming very messy between Brian Kennedy/Oakley and "The Fund".
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2016, 04:49:07 PM
Was mustachio guy ever identified, or is he still on the at large list?

Still at large along with the Julie Driscoll and Eric Paice lookylikies I think. Was the spotty bloke with the Gene Vincent haircut ever accounted for?.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 04:51:07 PM
We can do better that surely?
The case was not archived until July 2008. Oakley were given elbow (allegedly) in August 2008.
It's reasonable to assume that if Mr Smith changed his mind while the kosher investigation remained live he would have advised the PJ one way or another and it would be recorded somewhere. So if he changed his mind it likely would have between the archiving and Oakley being given the elbow. If Mr & Mrs Smith worked on efits for Oakley it was between the archiving of the kosher investigation and the termination of Oakley's contract. At that time according to press reports it was becoming very messy between Brian Kennedy/Oakley and "The Fund".

We don't know the sequence of events between the deterioration of relations between the McCanns and the contractors, the production of the efits and the transfer of the efits from the private investigators (who produced them) to the McCanns.

We do know that Scotland Yard had the efits in their possession before the Crimewatch programme (how else would they have been able to produce them on the programme)? and that they chose the moment of the programme to release the efits. 

It's clear that they (Scotland Yard) regarded the efits as (potentially) useful in the quest to track down Madeleine's abductor ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 23, 2016, 04:56:47 PM
Have SY ever mentioned them again since that Crimewatch programme?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 05:11:06 PM
Have SY ever mentioned them again since that Crimewatch programme?

Under Nicola Wall, the British side of the enquiry has been taciturn.

The PJ have not said much, either.

Exactly as the shelved enquiry ought to have been conducted. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2016, 05:57:50 PM
We don't know the sequence of events between the deterioration of relations between the McCanns and the contractors, the production of the efits and the transfer of the efits from the private investigators (who produced them) to the McCanns.

We do know that Scotland Yard had the efits in their possession before the Crimewatch programme (how else would they have been able to produce them on the programme)? and that they chose the moment of the programme to release the efits. 

It's clear that they (Scotland Yard) regarded the efits as (potentially) useful in the quest to track down Madeleine's abductor ....

That has no bearing on what I posted.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 06:40:19 PM
That has no bearing on what I posted.

What you posted seems to have no bearing on either question of when the efits were handed to Scotland Yard or why Scotland Yard chose the moment they did (the Crimewatch programme) to release the efits into the public domain.

And the answer (to the opening post) is that it is the height of absurdity to suppose he would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry; the height of implausibility to suppose that (now) Martin Smith still thinks he saw Gerry while his wife, Mary, publicly declares her support for the McCanns ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 06:50:39 PM
Metodo3? Whatever it is a Spanish number.
Yes that number was possibly M3 (but is this the number that was diverted to Maryland??? This was during a very serious and active police investigation by PJ with Leics Police and SOCA also involved. So why are these efits, which neither PJ nor LP wanted releasing, being presented at a non-police press conference, with the PJ and LP phone numbers conspicuously missing from the efits, and a Spanish phone number in its place? So much for the claim that this was "co-ordination" with an active police investigation! http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/mccann-family-spokesman-clarence-mitchell-holds-two-artists-of-the-picture-id79130105
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 23, 2016, 06:59:12 PM
Under Nicola Wall, the British side of the enquiry has been taciturn.


The PJ have not said much, either.

Exactly as the shelved enquiry ought to have been conducted.

Which will be shelved again.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 23, 2016, 07:08:17 PM
Under Nicola Wall, the British side of the enquiry has been taciturn.

The PJ have not said much, either.

Exactly as the shelved enquiry ought to have been conducted.
Yes very taciturn. All we have is a few photos of an initial visit to Portugal, and an FOI response. But IMO this boss might solve it - with all that excellent experience in the London area, for example a case where the police got exit time completely wrong, and a case of transportation by pedestrian. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2016, 07:37:16 PM
What you posted seems to have no bearing on either question of when the efits were handed to Scotland Yard or why Scotland Yard chose the moment they did (the Crimewatch programme) to release the efits into the public domain.

And the answer (to the opening post) is that it is the height of absurdity to suppose he would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry; the height of implausibility to suppose that (now) Martin Smith still thinks he saw Gerry while his wife, Mary, publicly declares her support for the McCanns ....

I'll make it easy for you.
Your proposition is that Martin Smith changed his mind. So we can put three stakes in the ground.
You concur it was not before Jan 2008 ................stake 1
The process was live until July 2008 so it is unlikely to be before that otherwise he would have
notified the cops and it would be on file  ................................................. stake 2
Oakley were elbowed in Aug 2008 ....................... stake 3.

Now if the Smiths took part in efits that were at the behest of Oakley it would have been between stakes 2 and 3 ie July/August 2008 which likely would also be when he changed his mind if your proposition is correct. Quite why he changed his mind (if indeed he did) is open to speculation.
So the efits were  produced by end August 2008 (if by Oakley) and "were in the possession of the police" about September 2009, if we are to believe the Times apology. The force dealing with the case at that time was Leicestershire Constabulary, O.G not being in existence. Presumably The Met released the efits when O.G ceased to be a review and became an investigation which was roughly Q4 2013.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 08:35:13 PM
I'll make it easy for you.
Your proposition is that Martin Smith changed his mind. So we can put three stakes in the ground.
You concur it was not before Jan 2008 ................stake 1
The process was live until July 2008 so it is unlikely to be before that otherwise he would have
notified the cops and it would be on file  ................................................. stake 2
Oakley were elbowed in Aug 2008 ....................... stake 3.

Now if the Smiths took part in efits that were at the behest of Oakley it would have been between stakes 2 and 3 ie July/August 2008 which likely would also be when he changed his mind if your proposition is correct. Quite why he changed his mind (if indeed he did) is open to speculation.
So the efits were  produced by end August 2008 (if by Oakley) and "were in the possession of the police" about September 2009, if we are to believe the Times apology. The force dealing with the case at that time was Leicestershire Constabulary, O.G not being in existence. Presumably The Met released the efits when O.G ceased to be a review and became an investigation which was roughly Q4 2013.

Make it easy?

Not so sure about that.

The facts:

At the end of January 2008, Mr Smith still believed he might have seen Gerry. 

Mr Smith's wife (then!) also believed she might have seen Gerry.

None of Mr Smith's children (then as now) believed the same.  (Mr Smith was honest enough to acknowledge the last point in his statement to Irish Gardia police at the end of January).

At the end of January, Mr Smith was approached by Brian Kennedy, representing the McCanns, invited to produce an efit, but refused.

It is plain common sense that all the time Mr Smith believed he might have seen Gerry, he would refuse (to produce an efit).

At some point between the end of January and the Crimewatch programme, Mr Smith changed his mind and agreed to produce an e-fit, as did his wife who (we now know) produced the second efit.

Why did Martin Smith change his mind?

It can only have been because he no longer believes the man he and his family all saw that night was Gerry.

So the answer to the opening post (of this thread) is yes!
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 23, 2016, 08:52:29 PM
Make it easy?

Not so sure about that.

The facts:

At the end of January 2008, Mr Smith still believed he might have seen Gerry. 

Mr Smith's wife (then!) also believed she might have seen Gerry.

None of Mr Smith's children (then as now) believed the same.  (Mr Smith was honest enough to acknowledge the last point in his statement to Irish Gardia police at the end of January).

At the end of January, Mr Smith was approached by Brian Kennedy, representing the McCanns, invited to produce an efit, but refused.

It is plain common sense that all the time Mr Smith believed he might have seen Gerry, he would refuse (to produce an efit).

At some point between the end of January and the Crimewatch programme, Mr Smith changed his mind and agreed to produce an e-fit, as did his wife who (we now know) produced the second efit.

Why did Martin Smith change his mind?

It can only have been because he no longer believes the man he and his family all saw that night was Gerry.

So the answer to the opening post (of this thread) is yes!

Saying something over and over and over and over again still doesn't make it true. There is no verification that Smith changed his mind or that he and his wife helped to produce e-fits.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 08:54:05 PM
Saying something over and over and over and over again still doesn't make it true. There is no verification that Smith changed his mind or that he and his wife helped to produce e-fits.

Provide a logical explanation of why Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry ...

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

Retired businessman Martin Smith, 64, provided details for an e-fit of the prime suspect after spotting the mystery man carrying a child at 10pm close to where the three-year-old vanished more than six years ago.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 23, 2016, 09:01:39 PM
Provide a logical explanation of why Martin Smith would have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry ...

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

Retired businessman Martin Smith, 64, provided details for an e-fit of the prime suspect after spotting the mystery man carrying a child at 10pm close to where the three-year-old vanished more than six years ago.

It doesnt matter as he never got a good look in the dark anyway...what matters is that the mccanns kept it quiet for a year from the police...imo that is odd
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 09:06:53 PM
It doesnt matter as he never got a good look in the dark anyway...what matters is that the mccanns kept it quiet for a year from the police...imo that is odd

You really can't gauge statements taken in reported form, especially given in one in language, translated into another, then re-translated into the (English!) form we read on line ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 23, 2016, 09:10:05 PM
Same reason the arguidos and their "spokesman"  thought they ran the investigation imo, as they did from almost day one...i remember gerrys brother sayng in some interview the police are welcome to join them in their intiatives

height of arrogance or funny way glaswegians express themselves....


not forgetting he foresaw the need for private investigators if the police case was closed as early as the fund launch mid may!!! Must have had a crystal ball
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 09:23:10 PM
You're bound to concede, almost anyone might have run an investigation better than Amaral ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 23, 2016, 09:26:09 PM
You're bound to concede, almost anyone might have run an investigation better than Amaral ....
Extremely poor apologist remark, wonder how you would do lol
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 23, 2016, 10:21:25 PM
Make it easy?

Not so sure about that.

The facts:

At the end of January 2008, Mr Smith still believed he might have seen Gerry. 

Mr Smith's wife (then!) also believed she might have seen Gerry.

None of Mr Smith's children (then as now) believed the same.  (Mr Smith was honest enough to acknowledge the last point in his statement to Irish Gardia police at the end of January).

At the end of January, Mr Smith was approached by Brian Kennedy, representing the McCanns, invited to produce an efit, but refused.

It is plain common sense that all the time Mr Smith believed he might have seen Gerry, he would refuse (to produce an efit).


At some point between the end of January and the Crimewatch programme, Mr Smith changed his mind and agreed to produce an e-fit, as did his wife who (we now know) produced the second efit.

Why did Martin Smith change his mind?

It can only have been because he no longer believes the man he and his family all saw that night was Gerry.

So the answer to the opening post (of this thread) is yes!

One can only speak for oneself of course but my reaction under those circumstances when a police investigation was ongoing would be F.O. and sit on a sharp stick or I'll call a real policeman.
Your proposition is based on a gross assumption.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 10:27:48 PM
So you agree that Martin Smith has changed his mind?

That's good ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 23, 2016, 10:45:12 PM
One can only speak for oneself of course but my reaction under those circumstances when a police investigation was ongoing would be F.O. and sit on a sharp stick or I'll call a real policeman.
Your proposition is based on a gross assumption.

Me too, some heavies called PIs come to your door, with no authority, the poor man might also havebeen threatened, wouldnt put it past these types
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 10:54:08 PM
So you don't think Martin Smith (or his wife) might have spoken out since if that had happened?

And (assuming that speculation to be right) you don't find it odd that Mrs Smith is on record (since release of the files) as saying that they are full-square behind the McCanns?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 23, 2016, 11:00:45 PM
So you don't think Martin Smith (or his wife) might have spoken out since if that had happened?

And (assuming that speculation to be right) you don't find it odd that Mrs Smith is on record (since release of the files) as saying that they are full-square behind the McCanns?

Who are you addressing?
And stop misquoting witnesses in this case
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 23, 2016, 11:02:52 PM
Who are you addressing?
And stop misquoting witnesses in this case

I misquote no one ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 23, 2016, 11:58:27 PM
I misquote no one ...

The smiths have never said they are full square behnd the mccanns....you just chose to nterpret the odd  sound bite as somethng convenient imo
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 24, 2016, 12:08:33 AM
So you agree that Martin Smith has changed his mind?

That's good ....

If that post is addressed to me then your assumption is incorrect.
 
My opinion is that your analysis of the situation is incorrect and founded on an erroneous  assumption.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Miss Taken Identity on March 26, 2016, 02:42:05 PM
If that post is addressed to me then your assumption is incorrect.
 
My opinion is that your analysis of the situation is incorrect and founded on an erroneous  assumption.

He wants it to be true- he believes it to be true-therefore it must be true! 8**8:/: Follow that yellow brick road cos you aint in Kansas any mo wer...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 02:48:21 PM
I misquote no one ...

So let's have once and for all a direct statement from Mr. Smith's last one , clear cut, undeniable and VERIFIED.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 03:21:40 PM
Some folk may wish to cling tenaciously to the opinion that Martin Smith and his wife (on record since the first enquiry was shelved as saying that the Smiths stand solidly set to support the McCanns in their quest to establish the truth of what happened to Madeleine) are now at loggerheads (with Mary of the view that they did not see Madeleine; her husband -- still -- of the view that they did).

But that, frankly, is plain silly.

As is the notion that Martin Smith (or his wife, Mary) would (either) have produced efits of a man they thought was Gerry.

There can be no doubt.

Martin has changed his opinion ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 26, 2016, 04:53:14 PM
Martin Smiths latest word on the subject, October 2013;

 “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 04:57:41 PM
Martin Smiths latest word on the subject, October 2013;

 “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.

“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/madeleine-mccann-key-witness-accuses-2433328

If Martin Smith (and his wife) produced the efits before commencement of the second investigation, then the efits are not new; and neither (to the second investigation) Martin Smith's change of mind (that he did not, after all, see Gerry).

Martin Smith had (by then) already formulated his (revised) opinion.

So it was not new.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 05:07:07 PM
Some folk may wish to cling tenaciously to the opinion that Martin Smith and his wife (on record since the first enquiry was shelved as saying that the Smiths stand solidly set to support the McCanns in their quest to establish the truth of what happened to Madeleine) are now at loggerheads (with Mary of the view that they did not see Madeleine; her husband -- still -- of the view that they did).

But that, frankly, is plain silly.

As is the notion that Martin Smith (or his wife, Mary) would (either) have produced efits of a man they thought was Gerry.

There can be no doubt.

Martin has changed his opinion ...

Yet you cannot produce any proof at all.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 05:09:28 PM
Yet you cannot produce any proof at all.

Martin Smith produced an efit of a man he clearly no longer believed was Gerry.

What more proof do you need?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 05:10:20 PM
Martin Smith produced an efit of a man he clearly no longer believed was Gerry.

What more proof do you need?

How do you know what he thinks ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 05:12:13 PM
How do you know what he thinks ?

Plain common sense decrees that Martin Smith would not produce an efit of a man he thought was Gerry; neither his wife, Mary ....
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 05:14:47 PM
How do you know what he thinks ?

The efit.

He produced one.

Simple as that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 05:17:36 PM
The efit.

He produced one.

Simple as that.

Now where has he stated he changed his mind ?

Let's not remember either, people working on behalf of the mccanns interred with a possible witness to a crime.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 05:30:09 PM
Now where has he stated he changed his mind ?

Let's not remember either, people working on behalf of the mccanns interred with a possible witness to a crime.

You just need to apply common sense to the fact that he produced an efit (along with his wife, who stands ready to support the McCanns in any way she can; ditto, the entire family (including Martin).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 06:29:19 PM
You just need to apply common sense to the fact that he produced an efit (along with his wife, who stands ready to support the McCanns in any way she can; ditto, the entire family (including Martin).

I know what Mr. Smith said originally.

He  did not see the man's face clearly.

Having seen mccann holding a child, the same way the man he observed holding a child,  then came the 60 to 80 %.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 06:32:08 PM
I know what Mr. Smith said originally.

He  did not see the man's face clearly.

Having seen mccann holding a child, the same way the man he observed holding a child,  then came the 60 to 80 %.

History.

Martin Smith has moved on since then.

He is now persuaded that his children (who disagreed with their father that the man might be Gerry) were/are right ...
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 06:40:22 PM
History.

Martin Smith has moved on since then.

He is now persuaded that his children (who disagreed with their father that the man might be Gerry) were/are right ...

Prove it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 06:42:37 PM
Prove it.

Common sense.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 06:56:15 PM
Common sense.

Yet there is no signed and verified statement to that effect from Mr. Smith.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 06:57:00 PM
Yet there is no signed and verified statement to that effect from Mr. Smith.

His efit will do.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 07:25:17 PM
His efit will do.

Yet no other person has been identified. £4%4%
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 26, 2016, 07:33:19 PM
What a spiffingly scintillating thread:
There a hole in my bucket dear Liza dear Liza........................
Tune in next week same time same place on the dial........
 *&*%£
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Mr Gray on March 26, 2016, 07:35:06 PM
What a spiffingly scintillating thread:
There a hole in my bucket dear Liza dear Liza........................
Tune in next week same time same place on the dial........
 *&*%£

it seems the forum is becoming something of a laughing stock....good news is there is little on here I would wish to post about
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 26, 2016, 07:58:46 PM
What a spiffingly scintillating thread:
There a hole in my bucket dear Liza dear Liza........................
Tune in next week same time same place on the dial........
 *&*%£

Yup, somehow repeating a shaky "argument" enough will make people accept it. The only fact here is no one knows if MS changed his mind, and no one cares, the only imprtant thng is what he told police not what some paper claimed and didnt back up
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on March 26, 2016, 08:04:42 PM
Yup, somehow repeating a shaky "argument" enough will make people accept it. The only fact here is no one knows if MS changed his mind, and no one cares, the only imprtant thng is what he told police not what some paper claimed and didnt back up

Well, somebody must care, or the thread wouldn't have lasted so long  8)--))
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 08:11:49 PM
it seems the forum is becoming something of a laughing stock....good news is there is little on here I would wish to post about

Repeated truths do start to get boring for some, who are determined to deny/mock/pillory/deride (take your pick) the truth.

All makes the truth no less true.

Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 26, 2016, 08:14:36 PM
Repeated truths do start to get boring for some, who are determined to deny/mock/pillory/deride (take your pick) the truth.

All makes the truth no less true.

Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry.

He did not see the man's face clearly.

He saw a man who held a child in exactly the same way as mccann.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 26, 2016, 08:26:57 PM
Repeated truths do start to get boring for some, who are determined to deny/mock/pillory/deride (take your pick) the truth.

All makes the truth no less true.

Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry.

If they were truths, demonstrably, in an official way, no ne would have a problem, but you have posted a summation of why you personally thnk x y z, its not the same
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 26, 2016, 08:46:27 PM
Repeated truths do start to get boring for some, who are determined to deny/mock/pillory/deride (take your pick) the truth.

All makes the truth no less true.

Martin Smith has changed his opinion.

He no longer believes he saw Gerry.

You have repeated your own opinion ad infinitum and have convinced...............no-one.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 08:47:06 PM
If they were truths, demonstrably, in an official way, no ne would have a problem, but you have posted a summation of why you personally thnk x y z, its not the same

Objective fact:

Martin Smith would not have produced an efit of a man he thought was Gerry.

Objective fact

Martin Smith did refuse to produce an efit of a man he thought (at the time) was Gerry (he said so in his statement to the Irish police).

Objective fact.

Martin Smith (later) changed his mind (about producing the efit).

Factually based opinion: Martin Smith changed his mind (about producing an efit) because he no longer believes he saw Gerry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 26, 2016, 08:59:50 PM
No ferryman, all subjective opinion..Im out of this thread
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 26, 2016, 09:59:22 PM
IMO this is a classic case of arguing about a completely irrelevant event.
Here is one fact which shows that the Smith sighting is irrelevant:

The child which all nine irish witnesses saw being carried was wearing a long-sleeved top.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 26, 2016, 10:03:37 PM
IMO this is a classic case of arguing about a completely irrelevant event.
Here is one fact which shows that the Smith sighting is irrelevant:

The child which all nine irish witnesses saw being carried was wearing a long-sleeved top.

I'm quite certain Scotland yard will have read the files, and haven't dismissed the Smith sightings so readily.

I think the mistake is to suppose that what we read on line is word-for-word the same (as the files held by the McCanns and the police).
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: blonk on March 26, 2016, 10:38:59 PM
IMO this is a classic case of arguing about a completely irrelevant event.
Here is one fact which shows that the Smith sighting is irrelevant:

The child which all nine irish witnesses saw being carried was wearing a long-sleeved top.
Makes you wonder, then, why one of the Met's top crack detectives, Andy Redwood, made the Smith sighting 'the centre of our focus'?

Whilst on this issue I have to agree with ferryman that it really is obvious that Martin Smith is batting FOR the McCanns and not against them, and has been doing since January 2008, over eight years ago, I can't accept the Smith sighting as entirely irrelevant.

Highly relevant is the fact that in so many respects (I counted 17) the Smiths' descriptions exactly matched the ones given by Nuno Lourenco in his statement to the PJ of Wojcheich Krokowski allegedly trying to kidnap his daughter...which in turn matched the descriptions given hours earlier by Jane Tanner of 'Tannerman'.

Unusual, cloth clothes, beige/creamy coloured trousers, classic shoes, similar height, age, build etc. and also all using that silly phrase they used which really gives the game away that they were all working to a common script: "Didn't look like a tourist".

As if people can tell what tourists and non-tourists look like, walking about in the dark!

All these three sightings are a complete nonsense. I'm with that prominent former prosecutor and now child abuse expert Wendy Murphy, who said to a startled Fox News interviewer two years ago, on Scotland Yard's claims that Smithman might be the abductor, not Tannerman:

"I'M NOT BUYING IT'.

       
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 26, 2016, 10:58:07 PM
How wrong you are. Smithman has given himself away. SY surely know it but need more.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 26, 2016, 11:27:07 PM
Makes you wonder, then, why one of the Met's top crack detectives, Andy Redwood, made the Smith sighting 'the centre of our focus'?

Whilst on this issue I have to agree with ferryman that it really is obvious that Martin Smith is batting FOR the McCanns and not against them, and has been doing since January 2008, over eight years ago, I can't accept the Smith sighting as entirely irrelevant.

Highly relevant is the fact that in so many respects (I counted 17) the Smiths' descriptions exactly matched the ones given by Nuno Lourenco in his patently obvious fabrication of Wojcheich Krokowski allegedly trying to kidnap his daughter...which in turn matched the descriptions given hours earlier by Jane Tanner of 'Tannerman'.

Unusual, cloth clothes, beige/creamy coloured trousers, classic shoes, similar height, age, build etc. and also all using that silly phrase they used which really gives the game away that they were all working to a common script: "Didn't look like a tourist".

As if people can tell what tourists and non-tourists look like, walking about in the dark!

All these three sightings are a complete nonsense. I'm with that prominent former prosecutor and now child abuse expert Wendy Murphy, who said to a startled Fox News interviewer two years ago, on Scotland Yard's claims that Smithman might be the abductor, not Tannerman:

"I'M NOT BUYING IT'.

     
Yes just because something is currently SY's "centre of our focus" doesn't mean it's anything to do with the solution Blonk. Before the "revelation" SY's centre of focus was the JT sighting, and how much relevance did that have? None.  IMO the Smith sighting will possibly turn out to have exactly the same non-relevance.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 26, 2016, 11:45:27 PM
(snip)..All these three sightings are a complete nonsense ... (snip)   
It would be a ridiculous method (for abductor or concealor) to transport all the way from apartment for 400 metres without any attempt to conceal what they were carrying.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 27, 2016, 12:38:29 AM
It would be a ridiculous method (for abductor or concealor) to transport all the way from apartment for 400 metres without any attempt to conceal what they were carrying.

Agreed better to be concealed away from the crime scene and because that happened much earlier than the actual sighting there's your answer.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 27, 2016, 12:43:51 AM
Makes you wonder, then, why one of the Met's top crack detectives, Andy Redwood, made the Smith sighting 'the centre of our focus'?

Whilst on this issue I have to agree with ferryman that it really is obvious that Martin Smith is batting FOR the McCanns and not against them, and has been doing since January 2008, over eight years ago, I can't accept the Smith sighting as entirely irrelevant.

Highly relevant is the fact that in so many respects (I counted 17) the Smiths' descriptions exactly matched the ones given by Nuno Lourenco in his statement to the PJ of Wojcheich Krokowski allegedly trying to kidnap his daughter...which in turn matched the descriptions given hours earlier by Jane Tanner of 'Tannerman'.

Unusual, cloth clothes, beige/creamy coloured trousers, classic shoes, similar height, age, build etc. and also all using that silly phrase they used which really gives the game away that they were all working to a common script: "Didn't look like a tourist".

As if people can tell what tourists and non-tourists look like, walking about in the dark!

All these three sightings are a complete nonsense. I'm with that prominent former prosecutor and now child abuse expert Wendy Murphy, who said to a startled Fox News interviewer two years ago, on Scotland Yard's claims that Smithman might be the abductor, not Tannerman:

"I'M NOT BUYING IT'.

     
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/NUNO_LOURENCO.htm
*snipped*

In so far as the suspect is concerned, he describes him as masculine, Caucasian with Latin colouring, curly dark brown hair that ran to his neck and in a pony tail. He was between 35/40 years of age, of medium complexion, and around 170 to 175 cm in height. He did not have any particular marks or signals and did not wear rings or other jewellery. He wore a cream coloured beach hat. He also wore dark glasses.

He wore cloth trousers and a coat/jacket of the same material which was cream coloured. Almost the same colour to the hat he had worn previously. His shoes were dark brown: the type that need to be shined or polished.

=====================================================================

I see precious little in that statement which is identical to the Tannerman or Smithman sighting - certainly no mention of Krokowski not appearing like a tourist. Curly dark hair tied in a pony-tail? Or had he paid a visit to the Kutting Room during his holiday?
With reference to MS being on board with Team McCann - would you still hold that opinion if your "mistaken" identification was actually true?

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 27, 2016, 12:57:41 AM
Agreed better to be concealed away from the crime scene and because that happened much earlier than the actual sighting there's your answer.
There are hundreds of cases involving a bag or suitcase Pathfinder, but oddly none of them then switch to open carrying.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 27, 2016, 02:03:48 AM
Misty a mantion of sagresman not looking like a tourist is truth of lie chapter 3
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 27, 2016, 02:13:17 AM
Misty a mantion of sagresman not looking like a tourist is truth of lie chapter 3

Please direct me to the quote in the files saying same.
Sagresman was a tourist, though, wasn't he?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 27, 2016, 02:23:35 AM
Yes a tourist. Blonk's point I think is that whether someone looks like a tourist or not, is a vague subjective thing.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 27, 2016, 06:50:13 AM
IMO this is a classic case of arguing about a completely irrelevant event.
Here is one fact which shows that the Smith sighting is irrelevant:

The child which all nine irish witnesses saw being carried was wearing a long-sleeved top.

Who said Madeleine was wearing a short-sleeved top? The last people to see her.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 27, 2016, 11:58:02 AM
Who said Madeleine was wearing a short-sleeved top? The last people to see her.
Yes the 2 sources are father and mother and IMO they are both telling the truth that she was wearing a very short-sleeved top. What are you proposing instead GUnit- are you claiming a long-sleeved top at bedtime?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 27, 2016, 01:35:18 PM
it seems the forum is becoming something of a laughing stock....good news is there is little on here I would wish to post about

Some sites have been laughing at it for years.
It's a question of whether one feels there is any weight to it and should one be concerned. No and no in my book.
Das ist gut, c'est fantastique, it's nice to be a lunatic
Hit me with your rhythm stick



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 27, 2016, 02:53:43 PM
There are hundreds of cases involving a bag or suitcase Pathfinder, but oddly none of them then switch to open carrying.

Yeah hundreds of cases concealed and quickly disposed of and found. Bodies have been moved again in many cases to further away not to be found. Circumstances dictate the means.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 27, 2016, 03:07:53 PM
I'm quite certain Scotland yard will have read the files, and haven't dismissed the Smith sightings so readily.

I think the mistake is to suppose that what we read on line is word-for-word the same (as the files held by the McCanns and the police).

Perchance they are thinking, as I am thinking, that Tannerman stopped off en route, quite possibly at the Staff Quarters just a few metres up the road from the forward Smith, (was it Peter?).  Madeleine was very cold and a cardy, or cotton long sleeved top, was found to keep their precious, money making little one warm.

To remind you, A scream was heard coming from the Staff quarters according to the 3 A's



I originally thought that Tannerman might have stopped off there because he had been abandoned by his get-away driver and had nowhere to go, but there is another possibility.

Maybe he was to go there to send out a signal to sea thta the mission, part 1 was completed ....and await a return signal from a boat at sea that a "pick-up" boat was coming in. ... and he was to leave to "connect" with that boat?   

This may be completely incorrect but the staff quarters are high and I would have thought from the roof there would have been good visability of the ocean.   

This is just an alternative idea to my original one, both are possibilities.


And once again, to remind you, it seems that
A scream was heard coming from the Staff Quarters
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 27, 2016, 03:14:11 PM
You don't bring an abducted child to staff quarters where she could be seen. A ridiculous notion.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 27, 2016, 03:30:27 PM
You don't bring an abducted child to staff quarters where she could be seen. A ridiculous notion.

You think so?

Better than letting the very money making abducted child get bitterly cold ?  (and start howling?)

Better than risk hanging around outside with nowhere to go ?

Better than not be able to signal the pick up boat and receive a signal back for the go-ahead?

Better than not being able to top up her sleeping draft.  Is that the correct name?




BTW, PFinder are you still touting a signature line that Smithman looked at his watch at 10.03 ?

Please tell me how you could possibly know this.   Were you there?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 27, 2016, 03:30:39 PM
Perchance they are thinking, as I am thinking, that Tannerman stopped off en route, quite possibly at the Staff Quarters just a few metres up the road from the forward Smith, (was it Peter?).  Madeleine was very cold and a cardy, or cotton long sleeved top, was found to keep their precious, money making little one warm.

To remind you, A scream was heard coming from the Staff quarters according to the 3 A's



I originally thought that Tannerman might have stopped off there because he had been abandoned by his get-away driver and had nowhere to go, but there is another possibility.

Maybe he was to go there to send out a signal to sea thta the mission, part 1 was completed ....and await a return signal from a boat at sea that a "pick-up" boat was coming in. ... and he was to leave to "connect" with that boat?   

This may be completely incorrect but the staff quarters are high and I would have thought from the roof there would have been good visability of the ocean.   

This is just an alternative idea to my original one, both are possibilities.


And once again, to remind you, it seems that
A scream was heard coming from the Staff Quarters

I agree about Tannerman and the boat, Sadie.  Not so sure about the Staff Quarters.  There are other places he could have hid while waiting for a signal
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 27, 2016, 03:53:34 PM
I agree about Tannerman and the boat, Sadie.  Not so sure about the Staff Quarters.  There are other places he could have hid while waiting for a signal
Of all people, you Eleanor with your naval background, would kinow about signals from ships, boats at sea.

The question is,
What buildings presumable north of the Smith sightings, would be tall enough to have ocean views?


The only two that I am aware of are Estrela da luz and the Staff Quarters.  However if Estrela were used, then it was in good visibility of the staff quarters and other apartments.  The signals might have been seen and comments made about flashing lights on the Estrela buikldings.

Conversely, it appears to me, that the Staff Quarters were a good deal higher than adjoining properties and pretty close to the nearest Buildings.  Someone standing a wee bit back could signal in total safety, unseen by anyone other than boats at sea .... or so it seems to me


But altho I have been past the staff quarters, I have never been inside to test out my idea.


Further more it could be that there is a fire escape set of steps, externally, right to the roof top ... but I am only speculating
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 27, 2016, 04:14:19 PM
Of all people, you Eleanor with your naval background, would kinow about signals from ships, boats at sea.

The question is,
What buildings presumable north of the Smith sightings, would be tall enough to have ocean views?


The only two that I am aware of are Estrela da luz and the Staff Quarters.  However if Estrela were used, then it was in good visibility of the staff quarters and other apartments.  The signals might have been seen and comments made about flashing lights on the Estrela buikldings.

Conversely, it appears to me, that the Staff Quarters were a good deal higher than adjoining properties and pretty close to the nearest Buildings.  Someone standing a wee bit back could signal in total safety, unseen by anyone other than boats at sea .... or so it seems to me


But altho I have been past the staff quarters, I have never been inside to test out my idea.


Further more it could be that there is a fire escape set of steps, externally, right to the roof top ... but I am only speculating

I think it is more likely to have been done by Cell Phone, Sadie, hence the interest in phone pings.  And people were very ignorant of those in 2007, still are to some extent.

The recipient of the child would not have known if the abduction was successful until after it was accomplished, so there would have been a need for some communication.  No one would have wanted to hang around on a beach while they were waiting for a pick up, hence the need to hide somewhere.

I still think Tannerman was Smithman.  And taken off by boat the most likely.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 27, 2016, 05:07:41 PM
I think it is more likely to have been done by Cell Phone, Sadie, hence the interest in phone pings.  And people were very ignorant of those in 2007, still are to some extent.

The recipient of the child would not have known if the abduction was successful until after it was accomplished, so there would have been a need for some communication.  No one would have wanted to hang around on a beach while they were waiting for a pick up, hence the need to hide somewhere.

I still think Tannerman was Smithman.  And taken off by boat the most likely.

Mainly agreed Ellie.   
But if it had been by cell phone, would we not have heard about it?  Weren't all the cell phone records investigated?  I haven't followed the cell phone records, but I thought that the Police had triangulated and identified the sources of calls along with times.  Perhaps I am wrong?

Taken from that little rocky beach, just after the tide had changed out to a larger vessel and whisked up to Sines imo.    arriving at dawn ready to be loaded into a white van and up to Porto/ Vila Nova de Gaia (VNG).  Stopping at the Carlos Moreira Snack Bar on the main trunk route North just about 10, or so, miles east of Lisboa. .. and just a few miles short of the bridge crossing the River Tagus 

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 27, 2016, 05:19:14 PM
Mainly agreed Ellie.   
But if it had been by cell phone, would we not have heard about it?  Weren't all the cell phone records investigated?  I haven't followed the cell phone records, but I thought that the Police had triangulated and identified the sources of calls along with times.  Perhaps I am wrong?

Taken from that little rocky beach, just after the tide had changed out to a larger vessel and whisked up to Sines imo.    arriving at dawn ready to be loaded into a white van and up to Porto/ Vila Nova de Gaia (VNG).  Stopping at the Carlos Moreira Snack Bar on the main trunk route North just about 10, or so, miles east of Lisboa. .. and just a few miles short of the bridge crossing the River Tagus

We wouldn't necessarily have heard about where the phone pings actually were, Sadie.  At least not of the three men who are currently arguidos.  Only that they were active in talking to each other by cell phone somewhere in Praia da Luz.
The PJ and Scotland Yard aren't talking about that.

The rest of your theory is more than plausible.

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 27, 2016, 05:39:27 PM
I think it is more likely to have been done by Cell Phone, Sadie, hence the interest in phone pings.  And people were very ignorant of those in 2007, still are to some extent.

The recipient of the child would not have known if the abduction was successful until after it was accomplished, so there would have been a need for some communication.  No one would have wanted to hang around on a beach while they were waiting for a pick up, hence the need to hide somewhere.

I still think Tannerman was Smithman.  And taken off by boat the most likely.

Really?
I rather think the criminal fraternity had it well sorted in the late 1990s.

 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on March 27, 2016, 05:53:52 PM
Really?
I rather think the criminal fraternity had it well sorted in the late 1990s.

Did they have Cell Phones in those days?

But then I'm not talking about the same criminal fraternity that you are

PS.  You don't half know some very strange people.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 27, 2016, 06:37:48 PM
Yes the 2 sources are father and mother and IMO they are both telling the truth that she was wearing a very short-sleeved top. What are you proposing instead GUnit- are you claiming a long-sleeved top at bedtime?

I don't know if they are telling the truth or not. What makes you so sure they are?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 27, 2016, 07:23:58 PM
Did they have Cell Phones in those days?

But then I'm not talking about the same criminal fraternity that you are

PS.  You don't half know some very strange people.

1. Surely did. I first had a cellphone in 1994.
2. Surely do.


Technically, a burner phone is a prepaid device. However, burners are different from prepaid phones in that they are used specifically for one purpose and then disposed. We certainly hope you don’t get rid of your phone after a few weeks of using it!

Burner phones came to fame with the television show “The Wire,”[first broadcast 2002] when drug dealers used the phones to communicate. However, these devices have been criminals’ go-to long before HBO made them famous.

Since prepaid phones can be bought with cash (and without a contract), they’re much harder to track. So it’s easy for people to use them for certain (illegal) activities and then simply dump the phone—and more importantly, the phone number—when it’s considered “burned,” or too risky to use. Then, these users simply buy another pay as you go device.

You can see how these devices would be incredibly appealing to criminals. But burners have other uses too…


https://www.puretalkusa.com/blog/what-is-a-burner-phone/
http://worldwide.espacenet.com/publicationDetails/biblio?CC=US&NR=5519760&KC=&FT=E&locale=en_EP
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 27, 2016, 07:52:20 PM
Perchance they are thinking, as I am thinking, that Tannerman stopped off en route, quite possibly at the Staff Quarters just a few metres up the road from the forward Smith, (was it Peter?).  Madeleine was very cold and a cardy, or cotton long sleeved top, was found to keep their precious, money making little one warm.

To remind you, A scream was heard coming from the Staff quarters according to the 3 A's



I originally thought that Tannerman might have stopped off there because he had been abandoned by his get-away driver and had nowhere to go, but there is another possibility.

Maybe he was to go there to send out a signal to sea thta the mission, part 1 was completed ....and await a return signal from a boat at sea that a "pick-up" boat was coming in. ... and he was to leave to "connect" with that boat?   

This may be completely incorrect but the staff quarters are high and I would have thought from the roof there would have been good visability of the ocean.   

This is just an alternative idea to my original one, both are possibilities.


And once again, to remind you, it seems that
A scream was heard coming from the Staff Quarters

How were they going to make money out of Madeleine?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Alice Purjorick on March 27, 2016, 10:12:51 PM
How were they going to make money out of Madeleine?

Clearly not by ransom.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 27, 2016, 10:16:02 PM
How were they going to make money out of Madeleine?
Slarti

As you will know if you have bothered to read any of my posts, I believe that Madeleine was selected for some reason ... and ordered by an elite.  They were paid by the elite.

In other words it was a paid abduction by others for the purchaser, an elite.  Bet the actual lifters and carry her off people didn't even know who they were working for.  My bet is that each stage of the abduction was isolated from the next stage and no-one apart from  the purchaser/master planner knew anyone other than within their stage and one adjacent stage.  That way, nobody could grass the elite purchaser up.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 27, 2016, 10:17:26 PM
Clearly not by ransom.
No, not by ransom

See my last post.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 28, 2016, 01:30:15 AM
I don't know if they are telling the truth or not. What makes you so sure they are?
In the entire history of the Met, including the many cases our current SIO worked on, can you quote me a single case that involved a directly visible (not enclosed) transportation by a pedestrian? There isn't not even one case in many decades.  And there is a reason for that - no perp (abductor or concealor) would be that stupid.

So there is no reason to question the veracity of the short sleeved pyjama top.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 28, 2016, 01:41:33 AM
(snip) a scream (snip)
Sadie that was in Sol article . Very odd because it was Saturday night (not Thursday). That is the blue and white building.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: slartibartfast on March 28, 2016, 09:48:19 AM
Slarti

As you will know if you have bothered to read any of my posts, I believe that Madeleine was selected for some reason ... and ordered by an elite.  They were paid by the elite.

In other words it was a paid abduction by others for the purchaser, an elite.  Bet the actual lifters and carry her off people didn't even know who they were working for.  My bet is that each stage of the abduction was isolated from the next stage and no-one apart from  the purchaser/master planner knew anyone other than within their stage and one adjacent stage.  That way, nobody could grass the elite purchaser up.

But what reason to choose such a risky target?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: stephen25000 on March 28, 2016, 10:16:03 AM
Slarti

As you will know if you have bothered to read any of my posts, I believe that Madeleine was selected for some reason ... and ordered by an elite.  They were paid by the elite.

In other words it was a paid abduction by others for the purchaser, an elite.  Bet the actual lifters and carry her off people didn't even know who they were working for.  My bet is that each stage of the abduction was isolated from the next stage and no-one apart from  the purchaser/master planner knew anyone other than within their stage and one adjacent stage.  That way, nobody could grass the elite purchaser up.



You have as much evidence for that as David Icke has for reptilian aliens ruling the human race.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2016, 11:54:50 AM
In the entire history of the Met, including the many cases our current SIO worked on, can you quote me a single case that involved a directly visible (not enclosed) transportation by a pedestrian? There isn't not even one case in many decades.  And there is a reason for that - no perp (abductor or concealor) would be that stupid.

So there is no reason to question the veracity of the short sleeved pyjama top.

I don't know what happened that night, but I can see one reason why someone might do that in this particular place; it was a common to see sleeping children being carried home at night. If DCI Redwood is telling the truth at least 8 children were carried home from the night creche on 3rd May. Steve Carpenter carried his sleeping daughter home between 9.15 and 9.30pm also. I wonder if the Balu's carried their child back from the Berry's? There's 10 sleeping children for you being carried through the streets that night. That's why the Smiths didn't see it as odd.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 28, 2016, 12:13:58 PM
But what reason to choose such a risky target?

If Madeleine was targeted it wasn't realised she might be a 'risky' target.

She was just an ordinary little girl from a professional family whose kidnapping would have been newsworthy at the time but would soon fade from public perception as most 'sensational' cases eventually do.

The only reason that wasn't the outcome is entirely due to the efforts of her parents to make sure that did not happen;  if those who perpetrated and participated in the crime had had a crystal ball, I think it entirely possible they would have by passed Madeleine and sooner or later the opportunity would have arisen for a different child to be taken.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 28, 2016, 12:29:48 PM
If Madeleine was targeted it wasn't realised she might be a 'risky' target.

She was just an ordinary little girl from a professional family whose kidnapping would have been newsworthy at the time but would soon fade from public perception as most 'sensational' cases eventually do.

The only reason that wasn't the outcome is entirely due to the efforts of her parents to make sure that did not happen;  if those who perpetrated and participated in the crime had had a crystal ball, I think it entirely possible they would have by passed Madeleine and sooner or later the opportunity would have arisen for a different child to be taken.

The fact that she would have been newsworthy at all would have made her a risky target.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: sadie on March 28, 2016, 01:12:39 PM
Sadie that was in Sol article . Very odd because it was Saturday night (not Thursday). That is the blue and white building.
I read it on the 3A's ... and I preferred that (believe it or not!) to a ?newspaper article.  Especially in a paper with the name "SOL".  I dont intend to explain that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 28, 2016, 01:14:11 PM
The fact that she would have been newsworthy at all would have made her a risky target.

Not to mention the difficulties presented by the incessant checkers and the presence of two others in the same room.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 28, 2016, 11:08:59 PM
I read it on the 3A's ... and I preferred that (believe it or not!) to a ?newspaper article.  Especially in a paper with the name "SOL".  I dont intend to explain that.
'... On the days right after the disappearance of Madeleine, a muffled cry that came from that location raised suspicions. "On Saturday, around half past midnight, two inspectors from the Judiciaria asked to enter my home" ...' (Source: Sol 15 Sept 2007)

So that search was on Sat 5th May.
And it resulted presumably from someone hearing a muffled cry somewhere in that building and reporting it to police.
Was it heard on Sat 5th?
Or was it heard on the night of Thu 3rd but not reported until Sat 5th?
This is on witnesses' route close to sighting
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 28, 2016, 11:12:53 PM
'... On the days right after the disappearance of Madeleine, a muffled cry that came from that location raised suspicions. "On Saturday, around half past midnight, two inspectors from the Judiciaria asked to enter my home" ...' (Source: Sol 15 Sept 2007)

So that search was on Sat 5th May.
And it resulted presumably from someone hearing a muffled cry somewhere in that building and reporting it to police.
Was it heard on Sat 5th?
Or was it heard on the night of Thu 3rd but not reported until Sat 5th?
Irish witnesses walked straight past here.

I think the answer to that is in the quote ' on the days right after ' ie not on the 3rd.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 28, 2016, 11:15:33 PM
I think the answer to that is in the quote ' on the days right after ' ie not on the 3rd.
How might a muffled cry on Sat 5th be relevant to a disappearance on Thu 3rd?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 28, 2016, 11:17:46 PM
How might a muffled cry on Sat 5th be relevant to a disappearance on Thu 3rd?

It wouldn't.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 28, 2016, 11:34:10 PM
I think the answer to that is in the quote ' on the days right after ' ie not on the 3rd.
"on the days right after" is Sol's text, not a direct quote of what the lady said, therefore IMO it's possible the muffled cry was heard on night of 3rd but not reported until 5th. 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 28, 2016, 11:36:39 PM
Was it a childs muffled cry? As opposed to say an adult being abused?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 28, 2016, 11:51:18 PM
Was it a childs muffled cry? As opposed to say an adult being abused?
It just says muffled cry, not whether child or adult Merc
http://www.mccannfiles.com/id117.html
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 29, 2016, 12:00:40 AM
It just says muffled cry, not whether child or adult Merc
http://www.mccannfiles.com/id117.html

So, no reason to think it was Madeleine I suppose and three days later in the staff quarters being muffled!! In private I presume because by then half the world had heard about her and would be a pretty dumb abductor to have her there etc etc..without any verification of this story and any half tenuous link I thnk its a no..and the tracker dogs went nowhere near there..time I went and caught up with real life





Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 12:04:24 AM
"on the days right after" is Sol's text, not a direct quote of what the lady said, therefore IMO it's possible the muffled cry was heard on night of 3rd but not reported until 5th.

Or it's just another one of those misunderstandings. The PJ went to the address, but not because of any cries, muffled or otherwise;

Diligence carried out on couple in Edificio Pedras Brancas, Luz, Lagos 2007.05.09

EXTERNAL INQUIRY REPORT

Date: 2007/05/09
Place: Edificio Pedras Brancas, no. *** - Luz - Lagos

Responsible Officers: Reis Santos, Inspector Chief, Helder Carmo and Tony Almeida

Description and result:
---At 08H30, it came to the attention of the PJ, from an individual who chose not to identify himself, that the day before yesterday (08/05/07), a couple resident at number *** Edificio Pedras Brancas ' Luz ' Lagos, had conversed, and in the middle of the conversation it appeared to him that they were discussing a child and the possibility of the Police finding her in that place;
---We immediately left for that residence indicated above;
---Upon approaching the residence in question, we were greeted by the owner identified as K*** P***** K*****, born 12/04/1968, in Scarborough ' U.K., holder of a British passport no. ******, and to whom we explained the reason for our visit. He immediately invited the PJ inspectors to enter and to carry out all necessary checks;
---In conversation with K*** K******, he confirmed having had a discussion with his wife and referred to the situation of the missing child and that she had to be found by the police in the Luz area;
---K*** ***** also informed the officers that on 02/05/2007, he was hospitalised due to a right foot fracture;
---He also identified his wife, S****** D***** R*****, - Germany, holder of a German passport, no. **********;
---We looked through the home, and nothing was found.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/EXTERNAL.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pathfinder73 on March 29, 2016, 12:17:07 AM
If you plan to abduct a child you take her far away not 200 metres down the road. That staff quarters is a non-starter. One had no choice in the matter and went to the nearest deserted safest dark place. That gamble paid off but he was seen.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 12:31:22 AM
@GUnit the report you posted is about a search on Wed 9th May due to a conversation overheard on Tue 8th May. 

The Sol report is about an earlier search on Sat 5th May in same building due to an overheard muffled cry.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 01:21:02 AM
@GUnit the report you posted is about a search on Wed 9th May due to a conversation overheard on Tue 8th May. 

The Sol report is about an earlier search on Sat 5th May in same building due to an overheard muffled cry.

Of which there is no record in the official files, so did Sol make a mistake? Their report was 15th May I believe. It wouldn't be the first time a newspaper got it wrong in this case.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 02:04:17 AM
Of which there is no record in the official files, so did Sol make a mistake? Their report was 15th May I believe. It wouldn't be the first time a newspaper got it wrong in this case.
This Sol report was Sept 15th. It states IMO that there was a search in that building on Sat 5th May due to a report of a muffled cry. Why would journalist MM invent that SS had told her this? IMO it is true.

 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 09:28:52 AM
This Sol report was Sept 15th. It states IMO that there was a search in that building on Sat 5th May due to a report of a muffled cry. Why would journalist MM invent that SS had told her this? IMO it is true.

There was a lot of misinformation in the media. The UK newspapers paid out a lot of money to the McCanns, in part for repeating untrue stories copied from the Portuguese press, allegedly. The PJ have no record of a muffled scream or of a visit to that building on 5th May. Why would they not record that particular diligence when they recorded the one on the 9th?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Benice on March 29, 2016, 09:45:26 AM
The fact that she would have been newsworthy at all would have made her a risky target.

But maybe not so much in Portugal Faith - as IIRC correctly the PJ policy was 'No Press'?   Quite an advantage to have IMO from the point of view of any would-be abductor(s).

 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 10:47:41 AM
There was a lot of misinformation in the media. The UK newspapers paid out a lot of money to the McCanns, in part for repeating untrue stories copied from the Portuguese press, allegedly. The PJ have no record of a muffled scream or of a visit to that building on 5th May. Why would they not record that particular diligence when they recorded the one on the 9th?
There are many diligences and details not in the published files GUnit. For example the 9th May search is in the published files (although omitting the fact that british police were included), but another search at same building 2 weeks later is not in the published files.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 11:00:07 AM
There are many diligences and details not in the published files GUnit. For example the 9th May search is in the published files (although omitting the fact that british police were included), but another search at same building 2 weeks later is not in the published files.

Do you have cites for what you say about the British police and the later visit please?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 29, 2016, 12:09:06 PM
"on the days right after" is Sol's text, not a direct quote of what the lady said, therefore IMO it's possible the muffled cry was heard on night of 3rd but not reported until 5th.

It's possible that muffled cries were heard all over Luz every night but that's not what the report says.

Anything is possible and it is perfectly acceptable to offer an interpretation of evidence already in the public domain but to second guess that evidence just to suit your particular theory is not.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 07:04:24 PM
Do you have cites for what you say about the British police and the later visit please?
"entraram na minha casa seis polícias, alguns dos quais ingleses"
= 6 police officers, some of them british, entered my home
"na quarta-feira voltou a ser visitada pelos inspectores da PJ"
= on wednesday PJ officers visited again
Diário de Notícias 02 Jun 2007
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 07:12:42 PM
"entraram na minha casa seis polícias, alguns dos quais ingleses"
= 6 police officers, some of them british, entered my home
"na quarta-feira voltou a ser visitada pelos inspectores da PJ"
= on wednesday PJ officers visited again
Diário de Notícias 02 Jun 2007

That's a bit sparse with no link to anything.

Who said it, who to, what was the reason for the visits, what were the dates of the visits?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 07:25:10 PM
It's possible that muffled cries were heard all over Luz every night but that's not what the report says.

Anything is possible and it is perfectly acceptable to offer an interpretation of evidence already in the public domain but to second guess that evidence just to suit your particular theory is not.
There was a 5th May search due to a report of a muffled cry, that's what a lady told the Sol journalist, it's not part of any theory Faithliily.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 07:37:46 PM
That's a bit sparse with no link to anything.

Who said it, who to, what was the reason for the visits, what were the dates of the visits?
Female occupant. DN journalist. Anon phonecall. 9 and 30 May IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 09:59:33 PM
Female occupant. DN journalist. Anon phonecall. 9 and 30 May IMO.

Unverifiable rumour IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 10:06:02 PM
Unverifiable rumour IMO.
The 9 May search and the reason for it are in the files G-unit.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on March 29, 2016, 10:14:40 PM
The 9 May search and the reason for it are in the files G-unit.

I know pegasus. I posted it and provided a link also. It had nothing to do with muffled cries. Two PJ people attended and that's all.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 29, 2016, 10:34:24 PM
I know pegasus. I posted it and provided a link also. It had nothing to do with muffled cries. Two PJ people attended and that's all.
You asked for cite for UK police at the 9 May search and I posted it.

The search on 5 May was same building different apartment 2 PJ officers no UK.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 29, 2016, 11:23:17 PM
You asked for cite for UK police at the 9 May search and I posted it.

The search on 5 May was same building different apartment 2 PJ officers no UK.

Why are people posting the cries/screams came from ocean club staff quarters? Are they in same building?

Sol article for anyone interested
Snip
Silvia lives at the apartment block 'Pedras Brancas', which was inspected by the Policia Judiciaria (PJ). On the days right after the disappearance of Madeleine, a muffled cry that came from that location raised suspicions.

"On Saturday, around half past midnight, two inspectors from the Judiciaria asked to enter my home. My daughter was four months old back then. They looked at her often, they walked around the bathroom, the kitchen, they even peeked into the laundry basket", she recalls. The reports follow one another on the same subject, because on that night the PJ visited other homes, leaving the inhabitants restless and disturbed. "We didn't want to risk someone watching us talking to the PJ, like it happened with Luis, Robert Murat's friend. After the police talked to him, he never got himself another pool to clean", Silvia remembers.
Snip

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 30, 2016, 01:28:22 PM
There was a 5th May search due to a report of a muffled cry, that's what a lady told the Sol journalist, it's not part of any theory Faithliily.

But you have no evidence a cry was heard on the 3rd do you ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 31, 2016, 02:48:37 AM
But you have no evidence a cry was heard on the 3rd do you ?
What that lady told Sol indicates IMO that there was a muffled cry probably on the 5th, latest.
The lady refers to a search on saturday and from the context the way I read it that means the 5th IMO.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on March 31, 2016, 03:15:56 AM
What that lady told Sol indicates IMO that there was a muffled cry probably on the 5th, latest.
The lady refers to a search on saturday and from the context the way I read it that means the 5th IMO.

She also refers to Luis Antonio, who wasn't even on the PJ radar on the 5th May. Maybe the dates were incorrect or it was another piece of duff information being leaked to Sol by the source close to the investigation.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on March 31, 2016, 08:35:32 AM
She also refers to Luis Antonio, who wasn't even on the PJ radar on the 5th May. Maybe the dates were incorrect or it was another piece of duff information being leaked to Sol by the source close to the investigation.


It seems that Sol were heavily involved in shaping the direction of public perception about the events of 3 May, the perception of fellow journalists being that they had an impeccable source for their information.


**snip
The first public indication of police thinking came at the end of June when the magazine Sol published a story about the McCann group, casting doubts on their evidence and claiming they had undertaken a pact of silence. It was the first time the McCanns’ friends had been named in public, but Sol’s journalist Felicia Cabrita had their names and phone numbers and details from their witness statements. She had called them all, and at least one other witness, Jes Wilkins.

The information had been handed to Cabrita by the police – she says she acquired the material through good journalism, which in a sense it was – and her source is widely believed by her colleagues to have been the former head of the inquiry, Goncalo Amaral.
http://gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/9dec7/TIMES_16_12_07.htm
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on March 31, 2016, 10:58:59 AM
What that lady told Sol indicates IMO that there was a muffled cry probably on the 5th, latest.
The lady refers to a search on saturday and from the context the way I read it that means the 5th IMO.

So we're agreed. There is no evidence a cry was heard on the 3rd.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 31, 2016, 06:10:19 PM
So we're agreed. There is no evidence a cry was heard on the 3rd.
There's no evidence released anywhere of a muffled cry. All there is is this unofficial indication in a press article. The date is open to interpretation and IMO the most probable interpretation is 5th, but there is not enough information to be sure of that.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 31, 2016, 09:40:12 PM
There's no evidence released anywhere of a muffled cry. All there is is this unofficial indication in a press article. The date is open to interpretation and IMO the most probable interpretation is 5th, but there is not enough information to be sure of that.

We don't see the statement of Stephen Carpenter's wife.

But didn't Stephen Carpenter comment that she heard a cry of some sort?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 31, 2016, 09:54:18 PM
We don't see the statement of Stephen Carpenter's wife.

But didn't Stephen Carpenter comment that she heard a cry of some sort?

No,he said his wife vaguely remembered someone callng "Madeleine, Madeleine" on their way home from Tapas between 9.30-9.45 pm on 3rd May

@Misty, that SOL article was written in sept 07 (re pool cleaner)
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on March 31, 2016, 10:03:07 PM
No,he said his wife vaguely remembered someone callng "Madeleine, Madeleine" on their way home from Tapas between 9.30-9.45 pm on 3rd May

@Misty, that SOL article was written in sept 07 (re pool cleaner)

OK, thank you.

Yes, you're right.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on March 31, 2016, 10:07:02 PM
OK, thank you.

Yes, you're right.

No worries.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on March 31, 2016, 11:04:46 PM
We don't see the statement of Stephen Carpenter's wife.

But didn't Stephen Carpenter comment that she heard a cry of some sort?
Yes SC states that his wife, on way home from Tapas restaurant to their apartment, thought she heard someone shouting the girls name.

The C family left Tapas very soon after the T7 arrived at Tapas http://youtu.be/Zqoj-pfBUnY?t=7m14s
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 01, 2016, 01:09:38 AM
Yes SC states that his wife, on way home from Tapas restaurant to their apartment, thought she heard someone shouting the girls name.

The C family left Tapas very soon after the T7 arrived at Tapas http://youtu.be/Zqoj-pfBUnY?t=7m14s


?? And?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 01, 2016, 02:28:42 AM

?? And?
GM says CC left tapas soon after at least some of T7 arrived at tapas.
Therefore if CC on way home did hear someone searching, it would mean someone discovered child missing long before KM did.
 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on April 01, 2016, 10:20:33 AM
GM says CC left tapas soon after at least some of T7 arrived at tapas.
Therefore if CC on way home did hear someone searching, it would mean someone discovered child missing long before KM did.

According to Carpenter the T9 were all seated a while before 9pm;

At approximately half past eight, Gerry and Kate and their group of approximately ten people were already seated at their table, which was so close to ours that it was possible to converse with them
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/STEPHEN-CARPENTER.htm



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on April 01, 2016, 11:01:26 AM
GM says CC left tapas soon after at least some of T7 arrived at tapas.
Therefore if CC on way home did hear someone searching, it would mean someone discovered child missing long before KM did.

It certainly could Pegasus.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 02, 2016, 01:29:23 AM
GM says CC left tapas soon after at least some of T7 arrived at tapas.
Therefore if CC on way home did hear someone searching, it would mean someone discovered child missing long before KM did.

MO?

But no, why wouldnt he say anything..or perhaps he didnt discover she was missing, just didnt LOOK in her room but LOOKED for her in her parents bedroom...why did he do that?

Fact remains if CC was correct in her recollection someone was calling Madeleine at 9,15-9.30 pm whch needs explaining...

Source, his and his wifes rogatory interviews
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 02, 2016, 10:59:20 AM
MO?

But no, why wouldnt he say anything..or perhaps he didnt discover she was missing, just didnt LOOK in her room but LOOKED for her in her parents bedroom...why did he do that?

Fact remains if CC was correct in her recollection someone was calling Madeleine at 9,15-9.30 pm whch needs explaining...

Source, his and his wifes rogatory interviews

We haven't seen Carolyn Carter's interviews therefore we have no idea what she may have said in them.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on April 02, 2016, 11:06:47 AM

I don't suppose we could have a bit more of Full Names, could we?

This is not a criticism, but I am occasionally lost for knowing who we are talking about.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on April 02, 2016, 12:04:59 PM
We haven't seen Carolyn Carter's interviews therefore we have no idea what she may have said in them.

We have her husband's statement about what she told him she heard. I would say we have a  more reliable basis for  judging what Mrs Carpenter heard than we have for suggesting that Martin Smith changed his mind.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on April 02, 2016, 12:08:42 PM
We have her husband's statement about what she told him she heard. I would say we have a  more reliable basis for  judging what Mrs Carpenter heard than we have for suggesting that Martin Smith changed his mind.

Hearsay.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on April 02, 2016, 12:59:02 PM
Hearsay.

Direct witness testimony.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: ferryman on April 02, 2016, 01:31:46 PM
We have her husband's statement about what she told him she heard. I would say we have a  more reliable basis for  judging what Mrs Carpenter heard than we have for suggesting that Martin Smith changed his mind.

Seeing as it's pretty much rock-solid that Martin Smith has changed his mind, perhaps you should exchange your bases-receptors? 
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on April 02, 2016, 01:33:47 PM
Direct witness testimony.

He said his wife said.  This is Hearsay.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 02, 2016, 01:41:54 PM
He said his wife said.  This is Hearsay.
It may be legally defined as hearsay, but it is very probably correct, that his wife on their way home heard someone shouting the girl's name. Does he remember the time they walked home as about 21:30?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on April 02, 2016, 01:51:39 PM
It may be legally defined as hearsay, but it is very probably correct, that his wife on their way home heard someone shouting the girl's name. Does he remember the time they walked home as about 21:30?

But she would have to say that herself.  No Court would accept his word.  She might even have a different time concept under rightful questioning.  Like, was she wearing her hearing aid at the time?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: G-Unit on April 02, 2016, 01:53:42 PM
He said his wife said.  This is Hearsay.

I doubt he would have mentioned it if she hadn't said it, so it's likely to be in her statement.

There are now (since 2003) provisions for allowing hearsay evidence in court.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Eleanor on April 02, 2016, 02:15:08 PM
I doubt he would have mentioned it if she hadn't said it, so it's likely to be in her statement.

There are now (since 2003) provisions for allowing hearsay evidence in court.

Oh, Great.  So anyone cans say what someone else said.  God help the Justice System.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on April 02, 2016, 11:17:27 PM
He said his wife said.  This is Hearsay.

Gerry claimed Kate told him the window and shutters were open when she arrived. Is that statement to be treated with suspicion too ?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 02, 2016, 11:45:46 PM
Gerry claimed Kate told him the window and shutters were open when she arrived. Is that statement to be treated with suspicion too ?

He witnessed it.

We also have heard a first hand account of the situation from the person who experienced it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on April 02, 2016, 11:55:38 PM
He witnessed it.

We also have heard a first hand account of the situation from the person who experienced it.

He wasn't there when she arrived at the apartment. As far as he knew she could have opened them herself.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on April 03, 2016, 12:10:53 AM
He wasn't there when she arrived at the apartment. As far as he knew she could have opened them herself.

Are you questioning the truthfulness of what Kate said or whether she actually said it?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on April 03, 2016, 12:30:56 AM
Are you questioning the truthfulness of what Kate said or whether she actually said it?

I'm doing neither. I'm simply pointing out that Gerry's statement is hearsay.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on April 03, 2016, 12:44:34 AM
I'm doing neither. I'm simply pointing out that Gerry's statement is hearsay.

But that hearsay is confirmed by KM's own statement. It is not GM's statement which should be deemed suspicious.
 


Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 12:52:03 AM
there is no reason to assume that the mccanns statemets or their book is true
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 01:06:12 AM
We haven't seen Carolyn Carter's interviews therefore we have no idea what she may have said in them.
It will have been close to the truth.ie of her hearing someone calling madeleine...thats all

I wonder why so many of the british witnesses statements are not in the files



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 03, 2016, 01:09:30 AM
He wasn't there when she arrived at the apartment. As far as he knew she could have opened them herself.

You said ... "Gerry claimed Kate told him the window and shutters were open when she arrived. Is that statement to be treated with suspicion too ?" ... which is hearsay.

He saw the open window and the raised shutter therefore not hearsay.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 01:17:16 AM
He witnessed it.

We also have heard a first hand account of the situation from the person who experienced it.
Cite ? Please
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 03, 2016, 01:47:57 AM
Cite ? Please

He reached such a conclusion because he did not think it possible that she had gone out on her own or opened the blinds and window in the room.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/GERRY-MCCANN-ARGUIDO.htm#p10p2567

 ... and numerous interviews since.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: faithlilly on April 03, 2016, 01:51:03 AM
But that hearsay is confirmed by KM's own statement. It is not GM's statement which should be deemed suspicious.

And I'd assume Mr Carpenter's statement is confirmed by his wife too.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 01:56:40 AM
He reached such a conclusion because he did not think it possible that she had gone out on her own or opened the blinds and window in the room.
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/GERRY-MCCANN-ARGUIDO.htm#p10p2567

 ... and numerous interviews since.

No you said "he witnessed it"

Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 03, 2016, 02:03:02 AM
GM statement 10 May 2007 "When he arrived at the bedroom he first noticed that the door was completely open, the window was also open to one side, the shutters almost fully raised"
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: misty on April 03, 2016, 02:05:18 AM
And I'd assume Mr Carpenter's statement is confirmed by his wife too.

That's what we don't know, isn't it? So Carpenter's reference to the content of his wife's recollections are hearsay without her written evidence.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 03, 2016, 02:05:30 AM
No you said "he witnessed it"

If you don't believe he saw the open window and the raised shutter there isn't a lot I can do about it.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 03, 2016, 02:06:48 AM
GM statement 10 May 2007 "When he arrived at the bedroom he first noticed that the door was completely open, the window was also open to one side, the shutters almost fully raised"

Thank you pegasus.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 02:09:30 AM
GM statement 10 May 2007 "When he arrived at the bedroom he first noticed that the door was completely open, the window was also open to one side, the shutters almost fully raised"

So? Why shouldnt thebedroom door be completely open when he arrived?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: Brietta on April 03, 2016, 02:16:27 AM
So? Why shouldnt thebedroom door be completely open when he arrived?

The point being no one told him about the window and shutter (hearsay) he saw it for himself.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 02:24:00 AM
The point being no one told him about the window and shutter (hearsay) he saw it for himself.

Still hearsay as he wasnt there at the time technically

Then again no one knows who if anyone was telling the truth about that night so ie no one knows anything much



Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 03, 2016, 04:01:32 AM
Still hearsay as he wasnt there at the time technically

Then again no one knows who if anyone was telling the truth about that night so ie no one knows anything much
The print supposedly positioned where it proves KM opened the window is complete rubbish.
Therefore there is no reason to doubt that KM is telling the truth about finding the window and shutter open.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: mercury on April 03, 2016, 10:20:58 PM
The print supposedly positioned where it proves KM opened the window is complete rubbish.
Therefore there is no reason to doubt that KM is telling the truth about finding the window and shutter open.

No other prints were found, not even glove prints so how did a burglar or anyone else open the window?
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 05, 2016, 03:00:06 PM
No other prints were found, not even glove prints so how did a burglar or anyone else open the window?
There were lots of prints and marks revealed by the "dragon's blood" dust which were too smudged to be identified. For example there were numerous marks on the outside of the child's bedroom shutter.
I repeat that the supposed print, which supposedly indicated that KM opened the window, is complete and utter rubbish.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on April 05, 2016, 03:08:06 PM
There were lots of prints and marks revealed by the "dragon's blood" dust which were too smudged to be identified. For example there were numerous marks on the outside of the child's bedroom shutter.
I repeat that the supposed print, which supposedly indicated that KM opened the window, is complete and utter rubbish.


These were the shutters handled by Gerry & Diane, I presume.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 05, 2016, 03:52:02 PM

These were the shutters handled by Gerry & Diane, I presume.
Later on, yes.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: jassi on April 05, 2016, 03:59:22 PM
But before prints were taken, so no one knows for sure when they were placed there.  These smudged prints may well have occurred   be post alarm.
Title: Re: Has Martin Smith Changed his Opinion ?
Post by: pegasus on April 05, 2016, 04:04:04 PM
But before prints were taken, so no one knows for sure when they were placed there.  These smudged prints may well have occurred   be post alarm.
IMO the marks on shutter are some by GM and DW and some earlier.